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Good Volatility, Bad Volatility: Signed Jumps and The Persistence of Volatility

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Cited by:

  1. Segal, Gill & Shaliastovich, Ivan & Yaron, Amir, 2015. "Good and bad uncertainty: Macroeconomic and financial market implications," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 117(2), pages 369-397.
  2. Gong, Xu & Lin, Boqiang, 2018. "The incremental information content of investor fear gauge for volatility forecasting in the crude oil futures market," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 74(C), pages 370-386.
  3. Degiannakis, Stavros & Filis, George & Klein, Tony & Walther, Thomas, 2022. "Forecasting realized volatility of agricultural commodities," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 38(1), pages 74-96.
  4. Christophe Chorro & Florian Ielpo & Benoît Sévi, 2017. "The contribution of jumps to forecasting the density of returns," Post-Print halshs-01442618, HAL.
  5. repec:uts:finphd:39 is not listed on IDEAS
  6. Do, Hung Xuan & Nepal, Rabindra & Jamasb, Tooraj, 2020. "Electricity market integration, decarbonisation and security of supply: Dynamic volatility connectedness in the Irish and Great Britain markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 92(C).
  7. Asai, Manabu & Gupta, Rangan & McAleer, Michael, 2020. "Forecasting volatility and co-volatility of crude oil and gold futures: Effects of leverage, jumps, spillovers, and geopolitical risks," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 36(3), pages 933-948.
  8. Demirer, Riza & Gkillas, Konstantinos & Gupta, Rangan & Pierdzioch, Christian, 2019. "Time-varying risk aversion and realized gold volatility," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 50(C).
  9. repec:hum:wpaper:sfb649dp2017-025 is not listed on IDEAS
  10. Cheng, Mingmian & Liao, Yuan & Yang, Xiye, 2023. "Uniform predictive inference for factor models with instrumental and idiosyncratic betas," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 237(2).
  11. Kim Christensen & Mathias Siggaard & Bezirgen Veliyev, 2023. "A Machine Learning Approach to Volatility Forecasting," Journal of Financial Econometrics, Oxford University Press, vol. 21(5), pages 1680-1727.
  12. Manabu Asai & Rangan Gupta & Michael McAleer, 2019. "The Impact of Jumps and Leverage in Forecasting the Co-Volatility of Oil and Gold Futures," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(17), pages 1-17, September.
  13. Christophe Chorro & Florian Ielpo & Benoît Sévi, 2020. "The contribution of intraday jumps to forecasting the density of returns," Post-Print halshs-02505861, HAL.
  14. Tiwari, Aviral Kumar & Aikins Abakah, Emmanuel Joel & Doğan, Buhari & Adekoya, Oluwasegun B. & Wohar, Mark, 2024. "Asymmetric spillover effects in energy markets," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 92(C), pages 470-502.
  15. Guan, Bo & Mazouz, Khelifa & Xu, Yongdeng, 2024. "Asymmetric volatility spillover between crude oil and other asset markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 130(C).
  16. Jozef Baruník & Evžen KoÄ enda, 2019. "Total, Asymmetric and Frequency Connectedness between Oil and Forex Markets," The Energy Journal, , vol. 40(2_suppl), pages 157-174, December.
  17. Megaritis, Anastasios & Vlastakis, Nikolaos & Triantafyllou, Athanasios, 2021. "Stock market volatility and jumps in times of uncertainty," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 113(C).
  18. Feng, Yun & Hou, Weijie & Song, Yuping, 2023. "Asymmetric contagion of jump risk in the Chinese financial sector: Monetary policy transmission matters," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 119(C).
  19. Pan, Ging-Ginq & Shiu, Yung-Ming & Wu, Tu-Cheng, 2024. "Extrapolation and option-implied kurtosis in volatility forecasting," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 84(C).
  20. Jozef Barunik & Mattia Bevilacqua & Radu Tunaru, 2022. "Asymmetric Network Connectedness of Fears," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 104(6), pages 1304-1316, November.
  21. Oscar V. De la Torre-Torres & José Álvarez-García & María de la Cruz del Río-Rama, 2024. "An EM/MCMC Markov-Switching GARCH Behavioral Algorithm for Random-Length Lumber Futures Trading," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 12(3), pages 1-20, February.
  22. Xu, Yongdeng & Guan, Bo & Lu, Wenna & Heravi, Saeed, 2024. "Macroeconomic shocks and volatility spillovers between stock, bond, gold and crude oil markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 136(C).
  23. Borjigin, Sumuya & Gao, Ting & Sun, Yafei & An, Biao, 2020. "For evil news rides fast, while good news baits later?—A network based analysis in Chinese stock market," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 551(C).
  24. Doureige J. Jurdi, 2020. "Intraday Jumps, Liquidity, and U.S. Macroeconomic News: Evidence from Exchange Traded Funds," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 13(6), pages 1-19, June.
  25. Fei Su & Lei Wang, 2020. "Conditional Volatility Persistence and Realized Volatility Asymmetry: Evidence from the Chinese Stock Markets," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 56(14), pages 3252-3269, November.
  26. Ahn, Yongkil & Kim, Dongyeon, 2021. "Emotional trading in the cryptocurrency market," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 42(C).
  27. Baruník, Jozef & Kočenda, Evžen & Vácha, Lukáš, 2016. "Asymmetric connectedness on the U.S. stock market: Bad and good volatility spillovers," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 27(C), pages 55-78.
  28. Minseog Oh & Donggyu Kim, 2024. "Effect of the U.S.–China Trade War on Stock Markets: A Financial Contagion Perspective," Journal of Financial Econometrics, Oxford University Press, vol. 22(4), pages 954-1005.
  29. Lee, Hwang Hee & Hyun, Jung-Soon, 2019. "The asymmetric effect of equity volatility on credit default swap spreads," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 98(C), pages 125-136.
  30. Bevilacqua, Mattia & Morelli, David & Tunaru, Radu, 2019. "The determinants of the model-free positive and negative volatilities," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 92(C), pages 1-24.
  31. Lyócsa, Štefan & Todorova, Neda, 2020. "Trading and non-trading period realized market volatility: Does it matter for forecasting the volatility of US stocks?," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 36(2), pages 628-645.
  32. Lu, Xinjie & Ma, Feng & Wang, Jiqian & Wang, Jianqiong, 2020. "Examining the predictive information of CBOE OVX on China’s oil futures volatility: Evidence from MS-MIDAS models," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 212(C).
  33. Bollerslev, Tim & Medeiros, Marcelo C. & Patton, Andrew J. & Quaedvlieg, Rogier, 2022. "From zero to hero: Realized partial (co)variances," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 231(2), pages 348-360.
  34. Luo, Xin & Tao, Yunqing & Zou, Kai, 2022. "A new measure of realized volatility: Inertial and reverse realized semivariance," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 47(PA).
  35. Dehua Shen & Andrew Urquhart & Pengfei Wang, 2020. "Forecasting the volatility of Bitcoin: The importance of jumps and structural breaks," European Financial Management, European Financial Management Association, vol. 26(5), pages 1294-1323, November.
  36. Timmermann, Allan, 2018. "Forecasting Methods in Finance," CEPR Discussion Papers 12692, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
  37. Özbekler, Ali Gencay & Kontonikas, Alexandros & Triantafyllou, Athanasios, 2021. "Volatility forecasting in European government bond markets," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 37(4), pages 1691-1709.
  38. Scarcioffolo, Alexandre R. & Etienne, Xiaoli L., 2021. "Regime-switching energy price volatility: The role of economic policy uncertainty," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 336-356.
  39. Lu Wang & Feng Ma & Guoshan Liu, 2020. "Forecasting stock volatility in the presence of extreme shocks: Short‐term and long‐term effects," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 39(5), pages 797-810, August.
  40. Barbara Będowska-Sójka, 2018. "Is intraday data useful for forecasting VaR? The evidence from EUR/PLN exchange rate," Risk Management, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 20(4), pages 326-346, November.
  41. Lee, Suzanne S. & Wang, Minho, 2019. "The impact of jumps on carry trade returns," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 131(2), pages 433-455.
  42. Juan M. Londono & Nancy R. Xu, 2021. "The Global Determinants of International Equity Risk Premiums," International Finance Discussion Papers 1318, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
  43. Štefan Lyócsa & Peter Molnár, 2016. "Volatility forecasting of strategically linked commodity ETFs: gold-silver," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 16(12), pages 1809-1822, December.
  44. Tim Bollerslev & Benjamin Hood & John Huss & Lasse Heje Pedersen, 2018. "Risk Everywhere: Modeling and Managing Volatility," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 31(7), pages 2729-2773.
  45. Xu, Yanyan & Huang, Dengshi & Ma, Feng & Qiao, Gaoxiu, 2019. "Liquidity and realized range-based volatility forecasting: Evidence from China," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 525(C), pages 1102-1113.
  46. Li, Xiafei & Liao, Yin & Lu, Xinjie & Ma, Feng, 2022. "An oil futures volatility forecast perspective on the selection of high-frequency jump tests," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 116(C).
  47. Casas Villalba, Maria Isabel, 2020. "Adaptative predictability of stock market returns," DES - Working Papers. Statistics and Econometrics. WS 31648, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid. Departamento de Estadística.
  48. Pan, Zhiyuan & Liu, Li, 2018. "Forecasting stock return volatility: A comparison between the roles of short-term and long-term leverage effects," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 492(C), pages 168-180.
  49. Li, Yifan & Nolte, Ingmar & Vasios, Michalis & Voev, Valeri & Xu, Qi, 2022. "Weighted Least Squares Realized Covariation Estimation," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 137(C).
  50. Qu, Fang & Chen, Yufeng & Zheng, Biao, 2021. "Is new energy driven by crude oil, high-tech sector or low-carbon notion? New evidence from high-frequency data," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 230(C).
  51. Asai, Manabu & Chang, Chia-Lin & McAleer, Michael, 2017. "Realized stochastic volatility with general asymmetry and long memory," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 199(2), pages 202-212.
  52. Liu, Yi & Liu, Huifang & Zhang, Lei, 2019. "Modeling and forecasting return jumps using realized variation measures," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 63-80.
  53. Kislay Kumar Jha & Dirk G. Baur, 2020. "Regime-Dependent Good and Bad Volatility of Bitcoin," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 13(12), pages 1-16, December.
  54. Lyócsa, Štefan & Molnár, Peter & Todorova, Neda, 2017. "Volatility forecasting of non-ferrous metal futures: Covariances, covariates or combinations?," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 51(C), pages 228-247.
  55. Donghua Wang & Yang Xin & Xiaohui Chang & Xingze Su, 2021. "Realized volatility forecasting and volatility spillovers: Evidence from Chinese non‐ferrous metals futures," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(2), pages 2713-2731, April.
  56. Danilo Cascaldi-Garcia & Cisil Sarisoy & Juan M. Londono & Bo Sun & Deepa D. Datta & Thiago Ferreira & Olesya Grishchenko & Mohammad R. Jahan-Parvar & Francesca Loria & Sai Ma & Marius Rodriguez & Ilk, 2023. "What Is Certain about Uncertainty?," Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 61(2), pages 624-654, June.
  57. Qiao, Gaoxiu & Teng, Yuxin & Li, Weiping & Liu, Wenwen, 2019. "Improving volatility forecasting based on Chinese volatility index information: Evidence from CSI 300 index and futures markets," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 49(C), pages 133-151.
  58. Pham, Son Duy & Nguyen, Thao Thac Thanh & Li, Xiao-Ming, 2024. "Stabilizing global foreign exchange markets in the time of COVID-19: The role of vaccinations," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 59(C).
  59. Nima Nonejad, 2022. "New Findings Regarding the Out-of-Sample Predictive Impact of the Price of Crude Oil on the United States Industrial Production," Journal of Business Cycle Research, Springer;Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys (CIRET), vol. 18(1), pages 1-35, March.
  60. Kim, Alisa & Trimborn, Simon & Härdle, Wolfgang Karl, 2021. "VCRIX — A volatility index for crypto-currencies," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
  61. Harvey, Andrew & Palumbo, Dario, 2023. "Score-driven models for realized volatility," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 237(2).
  62. Baruník, Jozef & Kočenda, Evžen & Vácha, Lukáš, 2017. "Asymmetric volatility connectedness on the forex market," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 77(C), pages 39-56.
  63. Frantisek Cech & Jozef Barunik, 2017. "Measurement of Common Risk Factors: A Panel Quantile Regression Model for Returns," Papers 1708.08622, arXiv.org.
  64. Zhang, Chuanhai & Zhang, Zhengjun & Xu, Mengyu & Peng, Zhe, 2023. "Good and bad self-excitation: Asymmetric self-exciting jumps in Bitcoin returns," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 119(C).
  65. Liu, Jing & Ma, Feng & Yang, Ke & Zhang, Yaojie, 2018. "Forecasting the oil futures price volatility: Large jumps and small jumps," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 72(C), pages 321-330.
  66. Wang, Xunxiao & Wu, Chongfeng, 2018. "Asymmetric volatility spillovers between crude oil and international financial markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 74(C), pages 592-604.
  67. Riza Demirer & Konstantinos Gkillas & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2022. "Risk aversion and the predictability of crude oil market volatility: A forecasting experiment with random forests," Journal of the Operational Research Society, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 73(8), pages 1755-1767, August.
  68. Shi, Yujie & Wang, Liming, 2023. "Comparing the impact of Chinese and U.S. economic policy uncertainty on the volatility of major global stock markets," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 57(C).
  69. Mei, Dexiang & Ma, Feng & Liao, Yin & Wang, Lu, 2020. "Geopolitical risk uncertainty and oil future volatility: Evidence from MIDAS models," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 86(C).
  70. Zhu, Haibin & Bai, Lu & He, Lidan & Liu, Zhi, 2023. "Forecasting realized volatility with machine learning: Panel data perspective," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 73(C), pages 251-271.
  71. Eghbal Rahimikia & Stefan Zohren & Ser-Huang Poon, 2021. "Realised Volatility Forecasting: Machine Learning via Financial Word Embedding," Papers 2108.00480, arXiv.org, revised Nov 2024.
  72. Bruno Feunou & Mohammad R Jahan-Parvar & Cédric Okou, 2018. "Downside Variance Risk Premium," Journal of Financial Econometrics, Oxford University Press, vol. 16(3), pages 341-383.
  73. Elena Ivona Dumitrescu & Georgiana-Denisa Banulescu, 2019. "Do High-frequency-based Measures Improve Conditional Covariance Forecasts?," Post-Print hal-03331122, HAL.
  74. Junjie Hu & Wolfgang Karl Hardle & Weiyu Kuo, 2019. "Risk of Bitcoin Market: Volatility, Jumps, and Forecasts," Papers 1912.05228, arXiv.org, revised Dec 2021.
  75. Jiqian Wang & Rangan Gupta & Oğuzhan Çepni & Feng Ma, 2023. "Forecasting international REITs volatility: the role of oil-price uncertainty," The European Journal of Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 29(14), pages 1579-1597, September.
  76. Reisenhofer, Rafael & Bayer, Xandro & Hautsch, Nikolaus, 2022. "HARNet: A convolutional neural network for realized volatility forecasting," CFS Working Paper Series 680, Center for Financial Studies (CFS).
  77. Chorro, Christophe & Ielpo, Florian & Sévi, Benoît, 2020. "The contribution of intraday jumps to forecasting the density of returns," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 113(C).
  78. Gaoxiu Qiao & Gongyue Jiang, 2023. "VIX futures pricing based on high‐frequency VIX: A hybrid approach combining SVR with parametric models," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 43(9), pages 1238-1260, September.
  79. Gkillas, Konstantinos & Konstantatos, Christoforos & Floros, Christos & Tsagkanos, Athanasios, 2021. "Realized volatility spillovers between US spot and futures during ECB news: Evidence from the European sovereign debt crisis," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
  80. Pan, Ging-Ginq & Shiu, Yung-Ming & Wu, Tu-Cheng, 2022. "Can risk-neutral skewness and kurtosis subsume the information content of historical jumps?," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 57(C).
  81. Feunou, Bruno & Okou, Cédric, 2019. "Good Volatility, Bad Volatility, and Option Pricing," Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 54(2), pages 695-727, April.
  82. Xiao, Jihong & Wang, Yudong, 2021. "Investor attention and oil market volatility: Does economic policy uncertainty matter?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 97(C).
  83. Yaojie Zhang & Yu Wei & Li Liu, 2019. "Improving forecasting performance of realized covariance with extensions of HAR-RCOV model: statistical significance and economic value," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 19(9), pages 1425-1438, September.
  84. Chen, Yan & Qiao, Gaoxiu & Zhang, Feipeng, 2022. "Oil price volatility forecasting: Threshold effect from stock market volatility," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 180(C).
  85. Richard T. Baillie & Fabio Calonaci & Dooyeon Cho & Seunghwa Rho, 2019. "Long Memory, Realized Volatility and HAR Models," Working Papers 881, Queen Mary University of London, School of Economics and Finance.
  86. Lyócsa, Štefan & Todorova, Neda & Výrost, Tomáš, 2021. "Predicting risk in energy markets: Low-frequency data still matter," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 282(PA).
  87. BenSaïda, Ahmed, 2019. "Good and bad volatility spillovers: An asymmetric connectedness," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 43(C), pages 78-95.
  88. Xu, Yanyan & Liu, Jing & Ma, Feng & Chu, Jielei, 2024. "Liquidity and realized volatility prediction in Chinese stock market: A time-varying transitional dynamic perspective," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 89(PA), pages 543-560.
  89. Liu, Guangqiang & Wang, Yan & Chen, Xiaodan & Zhang, Yifeng & Shang, Yue, 2020. "Forecasting volatility of the Chinese stock markets using TVP HAR-type models," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 542(C).
  90. Nikitopoulos, Christina Sklibosios & Thomas, Alice Carole & Wang, Jianxin, 2023. "The economic impact of daily volatility persistence on energy markets," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 30(C).
  91. Dimos Kambouroudis & David McMillan & Katerina Tsakou, 2019. "Forecasting Realized Volatility: The role of implied volatility, leverage effect, overnight returns and volatility of realized volatility," Working Papers 2019-03, Swansea University, School of Management.
  92. Wang Gao & Jiajia Wei & Shixiong Yang, 2023. "The Asymmetric Effects of Extreme Climate Risk Perception on Coal Futures Return Dynamics: Evidence from Nonparametric Causality-In-Quantiles Tests," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(10), pages 1-19, May.
  93. Maki, Daiki, 2024. "Evaluation of volatility spillovers for asymmetric realized covariance," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 73(C).
  94. Ewald, Christian & Hadina, Jelena & Haugom, Erik & Lien, Gudbrand & Størdal, Ståle & Yahya, Muhammad, 2023. "Sample frequency robustness and accuracy in forecasting Value-at-Risk for Brent Crude Oil futures," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 58(PA).
  95. Maghyereh, Aktham & Abdoh, Hussein, 2020. "Asymmetric effects of oil price uncertainty on corporate investment," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 86(C).
  96. Evelyn Stommel & Nicole Gottschalck & Andreas Hack & Kimberly A. Eddleston & Franz Kellermanns & Nils Kraiczy, 2024. "What is Your Reference Point? How Price Volatility and Organizational Context Affect the Reference Points of Family and Nonfamily Managers," Small Business Economics, Springer, vol. 63(2), pages 805-829, August.
  97. Wang, Lu & Ma, Feng & Liu, Jing & Yang, Lin, 2020. "Forecasting stock price volatility: New evidence from the GARCH-MIDAS model," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 36(2), pages 684-694.
  98. Maki, Daiki, 2024. "Forecasting downside and upside realized volatility: The role of asymmetric information," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 29(C).
  99. Wang, Jianxin, 2022. "Market distraction and near-zero daily volatility persistence," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).
  100. Buncic, Daniel & Gisler, Katja I.M., 2016. "Global equity market volatility spillovers: A broader role for the United States," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 32(4), pages 1317-1339.
  101. Klein, Tony, 2024. "Investor behavior in times of conflict: A natural experiment on the interplay of geopolitical risk and defense stocks," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 222(C), pages 294-313.
  102. Clements, Adam & Preve, Daniel P.A., 2021. "A Practical Guide to harnessing the HAR volatility model," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 133(C).
  103. Nima Nonejad, 2021. "Should crude oil price volatility receive more attention than the price of crude oil? An empirical investigation via a large‐scale out‐of‐sample forecast evaluation of US macroeconomic data," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 40(5), pages 769-791, August.
  104. Luo, Jiawen & Klein, Tony & Ji, Qiang & Hou, Chenghan, 2022. "Forecasting realized volatility of agricultural commodity futures with infinite Hidden Markov HAR models," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 38(1), pages 51-73.
  105. Chao Zhang & Yihuang Zhang & Mihai Cucuringu & Zhongmin Qian, 2022. "Volatility forecasting with machine learning and intraday commonality," Papers 2202.08962, arXiv.org, revised Feb 2023.
  106. Dudley Gilder & Leonidas Tsiaras, 2020. "Volatility forecasts embedded in the prices of crude‐oil options," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 40(7), pages 1127-1159, July.
  107. Lyócsa, Štefan & Molnár, Peter, 2018. "Exploiting dependence: Day-ahead volatility forecasting for crude oil and natural gas exchange-traded funds," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 155(C), pages 462-473.
  108. Mei, Dexiang & Liu, Jing & Ma, Feng & Chen, Wang, 2017. "Forecasting stock market volatility: Do realized skewness and kurtosis help?," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 481(C), pages 153-159.
  109. G.M. Gallo & D. Lacava & E. Otranto, 2023. "Volatility jumps and the classification of monetary policy announcements," Working Paper CRENoS 202306, Centre for North South Economic Research, University of Cagliari and Sassari, Sardinia.
  110. Wang, Qingxia & Faff, Robert & Zhu, Min, 2022. "Realized moments and the cross-sectional stock returns around earnings announcements," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 79(C), pages 408-427.
  111. Ma, Chaoqun & Mi, Xianhua & Cai, Zongwu, 2020. "Nonlinear and time-varying risk premia," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 62(C).
  112. Segal, Gill, 2019. "A tale of two volatilities: Sectoral uncertainty, growth, and asset prices," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 134(1), pages 110-140.
  113. Klein, Tony & Todorova, Neda, 2019. "Night Trading with Futures in China: The Case of Aluminum and Copper," QBS Working Paper Series 2019/06, Queen's University Belfast, Queen's Business School.
  114. Xu Gong & Boqiang Lin, 2018. "Structural breaks and volatility forecasting in the copper futures market," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 38(3), pages 290-339, March.
  115. Branco, Rafael R. & Rubesam, Alexandre & Zevallos, Mauricio, 2024. "Forecasting realized volatility: Does anything beat linear models?," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
  116. Mensi, Walid & Shafiullah, Muhammad & Vo, Xuan Vinh & Kang, Sang Hoon, 2022. "Asymmetric spillovers and connectedness between crude oil and currency markets using high-frequency data," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
  117. Christensen, Bent Jesper & Kjær, Mads Markvart & Veliyev, Bezirgen, 2023. "The incremental information in the yield curve about future interest rate risk," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 155(C).
  118. Huang, Jiefei & Xu, Yang & Song, Yuping, 2022. "A high-frequency approach to VaR measures and forecasts based on the HAR-QREG model with jumps," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 608(P1).
  119. Chun, Dohyun & Cho, Hoon & Ryu, Doojin, 2023. "Discovering the drivers of stock market volatility in a data-rich world," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).
  120. Jiawen Luo & Shengjie Fu & Oguzhan Cepni & Rangan Gupta, 2025. "The Role of Uncertainty in Forecasting Realized Covariance of US State-Level Stock Returns: A Reverse-MIDAS Approach," Working Papers 202501, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
  121. Mete Kilic & Ivan Shaliastovich, 2019. "Good and Bad Variance Premia and Expected Returns," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 67(6), pages 2522-2544, June.
  122. Papantonis Ioannis & Rompolis Leonidas S. & Tzavalis Elias & Agapitos Orestis, 2023. "Augmenting the Realized-GARCH: the role of signed-jumps, attenuation-biases and long-memory effects," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 27(2), pages 171-198, April.
  123. Skander Slim & Ibrahim Tabche & Yosra Koubaa & Mohamed Osman & Andreas Karathanasopoulos, 2023. "Forecasting realized volatility of Bitcoin: The informative role of price duration," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(7), pages 1909-1929, November.
  124. Dimos S. Kambouroudis & David G. McMillan & Katerina Tsakou, 2021. "Forecasting realized volatility: The role of implied volatility, leverage effect, overnight returns, and volatility of realized volatility," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 41(10), pages 1618-1639, October.
  125. Rangika Peiris & Minh-Ngoc Tran & Chao Wang & Richard Gerlach, 2024. "Loss-based Bayesian Sequential Prediction of Value at Risk with a Long-Memory and Non-linear Realized Volatility Model," Papers 2408.13588, arXiv.org.
  126. Zhang, Yaojie & Wei, Yu & Zhang, Yi & Jin, Daxiang, 2019. "Forecasting oil price volatility: Forecast combination versus shrinkage method," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 423-433.
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