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Asymmetric volatility connectedness on the forex market

Author

Listed:
  • Jozef Barunik

    (Institute of Economic Studies, Charles University Institute of Information Theory and Automation, The Czech Academy of Sciences)

  • Evzen Kocenda

    (Institute of Economic Studies, Charles University)

  • Lukas Vacha

    (Institute of Economic Studies, Charles University Institute of Information Theory and Automation, The Czech Academy of Sciences)

Abstract

We show how bad and good volatility propagate through the forex market, i.e., we provide evidence for asymmetric volatility connectedness on the forex market. Using highfrequency, intra-day data of the most actively traded currencies over 2007-2015 we document the dominating asymmetries in spillovers that are due to bad, rather than good, volatility. We also show that negative spillovers are chiefly tied to the dragging sovereign debt crisis in Europe while positive spillovers are correlated with the subprime crisis, different monetary policies among key world central banks, and developments on commodities markets. It seems that a combination of monetary and real-economy events is behind the positive asymmetries in volatility spillovers, while scal factors are linked with negative spillovers.

Suggested Citation

  • Jozef Barunik & Evzen Kocenda & Lukas Vacha, 2017. "Asymmetric volatility connectedness on the forex market," KIER Working Papers 956, Kyoto University, Institute of Economic Research.
  • Handle: RePEc:kyo:wpaper:956
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    volatility; connectedness; spillovers; semivariance; asymmetric effects; forexmarket;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C18 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Methodolical Issues: General
    • C58 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Financial Econometrics
    • E58 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Central Banks and Their Policies
    • F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets

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