J. Scott Armstrong
(deceased)Personal Details
First Name: | J. |
Middle Name: | Scott |
Last Name: | Armstrong |
Suffix: | |
RePEc Short-ID: | par65 |
http://jscottarmstrong.com | |
This person is deceased (Date: 28 Sep 2023) |
Research output
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- Graefe, Andreas & Armstrong, J. Scott & Jones, Randall J. & Cuzan, Alfred G., 2017. "Assessing the 2016 U.S. Presidential Election Popular Vote Forecasts," MPRA Paper 83282, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Armstrong, J. Scott & Green, Kesten C. & Graefe, Andreas, 2014.
"Golden Rule of Forecasting: Be conservative,"
MPRA Paper
53579, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Armstrong, J. Scott & Green, Kesten C. & Graefe, Andreas, 2015. "Golden rule of forecasting: Be conservative," Journal of Business Research, Elsevier, vol. 68(8), pages 1717-1731.
- Armstrong, J. Scott & Green, Kesten C., 2012.
"Effects of corporate social responsibility and irresponsibility policies,"
MPRA Paper
43007, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Armstrong, J. Scott & Green, Kesten C., 2013. "Effects of corporate social responsibility and irresponsibility policies," Journal of Business Research, Elsevier, vol. 66(10), pages 1922-1927.
- Green, Kesten C. & Armstrong, J. Scott, 2012. "Evidence on the effects of mandatory disclaimers in advertising," MPRA Paper 37766, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Armstrong, J. Scott, 2012. "Moneyball: a Message for Managers," MPRA Paper 36648, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Armstrong, J. Scott, 2012. "Natural Learning in Higher Education," MPRA Paper 37648, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Armstrong, J. Scott, 2011. "Illusions in Regression Analysis," MPRA Paper 81663, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Armstrong, J. Scott & Graefe, Andreas, 2009. "Predicting Elections from Biographical Information about Candidates," MPRA Paper 16461, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Green, Kesten C. & Armstrong, J. Scott, 2009.
"Role thinking: Standing in other people’s shoes to forecast decisions in conflicts,"
MPRA Paper
16422, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Green, Kesten C. & Armstrong, J. Scott, 2011. "Role thinking: Standing in other people's shoes to forecast decisions in conflicts," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 27(1), pages 69-80, January.
- Green, Kesten C. & Armstrong, J. Scott, 2011. "Role thinking: Standing in other people’s shoes to forecast decisions in conflicts," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 27(1), pages 69-80.
- Green, Kesten C & Armstrong, J Scott & Soon, Willie, 2008. "Benchmark forecasts for climate change," MPRA Paper 12163, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Armstrong, J. Scott & Green, Kesten C. & Jones, Randall J. & Wright, Malcolm, 2008. "Predicting elections from politicians’ faces," MPRA Paper 9150, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Graefe, Andreas & Armstrong, J. Scott, 2008. "Forecasting Elections from Voters’ Perceptions of Candidates’ Positions on Issues and Policies," MPRA Paper 9829, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Armstrong, J. Scott, 2007.
"Significance Tests Harm Progress in Forecasting,"
MPRA Paper
81664, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Armstrong, J. Scott, 2007. "Significance tests harm progress in forecasting," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 23(2), pages 321-327.
- Armstrong, J. Scott & Green, Kesten C. & Soon, Willie, 2007.
"Polar Bear Population Forecasts: A Public-Policy Forecasting Audit,"
MPRA Paper
6317, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- J. Scott Armstrong & Kesten C. Green & Willie Soon, 2008. "Polar Bear Population Forecasts: A Public-Policy Forecasting Audit," Interfaces, INFORMS, vol. 38(5), pages 382-405, October.
- Jones, Randall J. & Armstrong, J. Scott & Cuzan, Alfred G., 2007. "Forecasting elections using expert surveys: an application to U.S. presidential elections," MPRA Paper 5301, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Green, Kesten C. & Armstrong, J. Scott & Graefe, Andreas, 2007.
"Methods to Elicit Forecasts from Groups: Delphi and Prediction Markets Compared,"
MPRA Paper
4663, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Kesten Green & J. Scott Armstrong & Andreas Graefe, 2007. "Methods to Elicit Forecasts from Groups: Delphi and Prediction Markets Compared," Foresight: The International Journal of Applied Forecasting, International Institute of Forecasters, issue 8, pages 17-20, Fall.
- Wright, Malcolm & Armstrong, J. Scott, 2007. "Verification of Citations: Fawlty Towers of Knowledge?," MPRA Paper 4149, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Green, Kesten C. & Armstrong, J. Scott, 2007.
"Global warming: Forecasts by scientists versus scientific forecasts,"
MPRA Paper
4361, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Kesten C. Green & J. Scott Armstrong, 2007. "Global Warming: Forecasts by Scientists Versus Scientific Forecasts," Energy & Environment, , vol. 18(7), pages 997-1021, December.
- Raymond Hubbard & JS Armstrong, 2005. "Are Null Results Becoming an Endangered Species in Marketing?," General Economics and Teaching 0502038, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- JS Armstrong, 2005. "Review of Peter W. Huber, Liability: The Legal Revolution and Its Consequences, New York: Basic Books, Inc., 1988," General Economics and Teaching 0502061, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- J. S. Armstrong, 2005. "Business School Prestige ^V Research versus Teaching," General Economics and Teaching 0502009, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- J.S. Armstrong, 2005. "The Graffiti Solution," General Economics and Teaching 0502005, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- JS Armstrong, 2005. "On the Effectiveness of Marketing Planning," General Economics and Teaching 0502064, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- J. S. Armstrong, 2005. "Commentary on the Makridakis Time Series Competition (M- Competition)," General Economics and Teaching 0502026, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- JS Armstrong & Estella Bee Dagum & Robert Fildes & Spyros Makridakis, 2005. "Publishing Standards for Research in Forecasting (Editorial)," General Economics and Teaching 0502054, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- JS Armstrong & Randall L. Schultz, 2005. "Principles Involving Marketing Policies: An Empirical Assessment," General Economics and Teaching 0502037, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- J. S. Armstrong & R. Brodie & S. McIntyre, 2005. "Forecasting Methods for Marketing:* Review of Empirical Research," General Economics and Teaching 0502023, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- JS Armstrong & Ruth Pagell, 2005. "Reaping Benefits from Management Research: Lessons from the Forecasting Principles Project, with Reply to Commentators," General Economics and Teaching 0502048, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Raymond Hubbard & JS Armstrong, 2005. "Publication Bias Against Null Results," General Economics and Teaching 0502034, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- JS Armstrong, 2005. "Quality Control Versus Innovation in Research on Marketing," General Economics and Teaching 0502050, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- J. S. Armstrong, 2005.
"How Expert Are the Experts?,"
General Economics and Teaching
0502027, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Armstrong JS, 2005. "How Expert Are the Experts?," General Economics and Teaching 0502029, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- JS Armstrong, 2005. "Class of Mail Does Affect Response Rates to Mailed," General Economics and Teaching 0502039, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- JS Armstrong, 2005. "Is Review By Peers As Fair As It Appears?," General Economics and Teaching 0502058, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- J. S. Armstrong, 2005. "The Devil s Advocate Responds to an MBA Student s Claim that Research Harms Learning," General Economics and Teaching 0502008, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- JS Armstrong, 2005. "Review of Don A. Dillman's Mail and Telephone Surveys, New York: John Wiley & Sons, 1978," General Economics and Teaching 0502043, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- JS Armstrong, 2005. "Book Review: Intentional Changes: A Fresh Approach to Helping People Change, by Allen Tough, Chicago: Follette Publishing Co., 1982," General Economics and Teaching 0502033, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- J. Scott Armstrong & Kesten C. Green, 2005. "Demand Forecasting: Evidence-based Methods," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers 24/05, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics.
- JS Armstrong, 2005. "Incentives for Developing and Communicating Principles: A Reply," General Economics and Teaching 0502049, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Armstrong JS, 2005. "Tom Swift and His Electric Regression Analysis Machine: 1973," General Economics and Teaching 0502030, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- J. S. Armstrong & F. Collopy, 2005. "How Serious are Methodological Issues in Surveys? A Reexamination of the Clarence Thomas Polls^T," General Economics and Teaching 0502020, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- JS Armstrong, 2005.
"Advocacy and Objectivity in Science,"
General Economics and Teaching
0502060, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- J. Scott Armstrong, 1979. "Advocacy and Objectivity in Science," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 25(5), pages 423-428, May.
- Kesten C. Green & J. Scott Armstrong, 2005.
"Competitor-oriented Objectives: The Myth of Market Share,"
Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers
17/05, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics.
- Armstrong, J. Scott & Green, Kesten C., 2007. "Competitor-oriented Objectives: The Myth of Market Share," MPRA Paper 81674, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- J.S. Armstrong, 2005. "Are Student Ratings of Instruction Useful?," General Economics and Teaching 0502007, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- JS Armstrong, 2005. "The Manager’s Dilemma: Role Conflict in Marketing," General Economics and Teaching 0502042, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- JS Armstrong, 2005. "Readability and Prestige in Scientific Journals," General Economics and Teaching 0502053, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- J. S. Armstrong, 2005.
"Decomposition by Causal Forces: A Procedure for Forecasting Complex Time Series,"
General Economics and Teaching
0502015, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Armstrong, J. Scott & Collopy, Fred & Yokum, J. Thomas, 2005. "Decomposition by causal forces: a procedure for forecasting complex time series," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 21(1), pages 25-36.
- J. S. Armstrong, 2005. "Review of Ravi Batra, The Great Depression of 1990 (Simon and Schuster, New York, 1985)," General Economics and Teaching 0502021, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- J. S. Armstrong, 2005. "Learner Responsibility in Management Education, or Ventures into Forbidden Research (with Comments)," General Economics and Teaching 0502012, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- JS Armstrong, 2005. "Barriers to Scientific Contributions: The Author’s Formula," General Economics and Teaching 0502057, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Kesten C. Green & J. Scott Armstrong, 2005.
"The war in Iraq: Should we have expected better forecasts?,"
Others
0511003, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Kesten C. Green & J. Scott Armstrong, 2005. "The War in Iraq: Should We Have Expected Better Forecasts?," Foresight: The International Journal of Applied Forecasting, International Institute of Forecasters, issue 2, pages 50-52, October.
- JS Armstrong, 2005.
"The Value of Formal Planning for Strategic Decisions: A Reply,"
General Economics and Teaching
0502065, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- J. Scott Armstrong, 1986. "The value of formal planning for strategic decisions: Reply," Strategic Management Journal, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 7(2), pages 183-185, March.
- J. S. Armstrong, 2005.
"Forecasting by Extrapolation: Conclusions from 25 Years of Research,"
General Economics and Teaching
0502025, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- J. Scott Armstrong, 1984. "Forecasting by Extrapolation: Conclusions from 25 Years of Research," Interfaces, INFORMS, vol. 14(6), pages 52-66, December.
- J.S. Armstrong, 2005. "Improving Learning at Universities: Who is Responsible?," General Economics and Teaching 0502006, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- David Montgomery & JS Armstrong, 2005. "Brand Trial After a Credibility Change," General Economics and Teaching 0502047, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- J. S. Armstrong, 2005.
"Damped Seasonality Factors: Introduction,"
General Economics and Teaching
0502014, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Armstrong, J. Scott, 2004. "Damped seasonality factors: Introduction," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 20(4), pages 525-527.
- J. S. Armstrong, 2005.
"Communication of Research on Forecasting: The Journal,"
General Economics and Teaching
0502022, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Armstrong, J. Scott, 1988. "Communication of research on forecasting: The journal," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 4(3), pages 321-324.
- JS Armstrong & Fred Collopy, 2005. "The Profitability of Winning," General Economics and Teaching 0502035, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- J. S. Armstrong, 2005. "Commentary by J. Scott Armstrong on Fildes et al.: Generalizing about univariate forecasting methods: further empirical evidence," General Economics and Teaching 0502019, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Robert Nason & JS Armstrong, 2005. "Role Conflict: Society’s Dilemma with Excellence in Marketing," General Economics and Teaching 0502046, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- JS Armstrong & Philip D. Hutcherson, 2005. "Predicting The Outcome of Marketing Negotiations: Role-Playing versus Unaided Opinions," General Economics and Teaching 0502040, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- JS Armstrong, 2005. "The Importance of Objectivity and Falsification in Management Science," General Economics and Teaching 0502055, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- JS Armstrong, 2005. "Cheating in Management Science (with Comments by M. K. Starr and M. J. Mahoney)," General Economics and Teaching 0502056, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- J. S. Armstrong, 2005. "Review of Steven J. Rosenstone, Forecasting Presidential Elections (published by Yale University Press, New Haven, CT, 1983))," General Economics and Teaching 0502024, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Raymond Hubbard & JS Armstrong, 2005. "Replications and Extensions in Marketing – Rarely Published But Quite Contrary," General Economics and Teaching 0502051, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- JS Armstrong, 2005. "Research on Scientific Journals: Implications for Editors and Authors," General Economics and Teaching 0502059, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- JS Armstrong & Raymond Hubbard, 2005. "Does the Need for Agreement Among Reviewers Inhibit the Publication of Controversial Findings?," General Economics and Teaching 0502052, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- J. S. Armstrong, 2005. "Review of: Predicting Presidential Elections and Other Things," General Economics and Teaching 0502016, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- JS Armstrong, 2004. "Relative Accuracy of Judgmental and Extrapolative Methods in Forecasting Annual Earnings," General Economics and Teaching 0412007, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- JS Armstrong & Fred Collopy, 2004. "Effects of Objectives and Information on Managerial Decisions and Profitability," General Economics and Teaching 0412014, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Kesten C. Green & J. Scott Armstrong, 2004. "Value of Expertise For Forecasting Decisions in Conflicts," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers 27/04, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics.
- JS Armstrong, 2004. "Research on Forecasting: A Quarter-Century Review, 1960-1984," General Economics and Teaching 0412006, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- JS Armstrong, 2004. "Peer Review for Journals: Evidence on Quality Control, Fairness, and Innovation," General Economics and Teaching 0412027, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- JS Armstrong & Roderick J. Brodie, 2004. "Portfolio Planning Methods: Faulty Approach or Faulty Research? A Rejoinder to 'Making Better Decisions' by Wensley," General Economics and Teaching 0412017, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- JS Armstrong, 2004.
"Social Irresponsibility in Management,"
General Economics and Teaching
0412031, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Armstrong, J. Scott, 1977. "Social irresponsibility in management," Journal of Business Research, Elsevier, vol. 5(3), pages 185-213, September.
- JS Armstrong, 2004.
"Forecasting for Environmental Decision Making,"
General Economics and Teaching
0412023, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- J. S. Armstrong, 2005. "Forecasting for Environmental Decision Making," General Economics and Teaching 0502017, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- JS Armstrong, 2004.
"Discovery and Communication of Important Marketing Findings: Evidence and Proposals,"
General Economics and Teaching
0412011, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Armstrong, J. Scott, 2003. "Discovery and communication of important marketing findings: Evidence and proposals," Journal of Business Research, Elsevier, vol. 56(1), pages 69-84, January.
- JS Armstrong, 2004.
"Would Mandatory Attendance Be Effective for Economics Classes?,"
General Economics and Teaching
0412018, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- J. S. Armstrong, 2005. "Would Mandatory Attendance Be Effective for Economics Classes?," General Economics and Teaching 0502010, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- JS Armstrong, 2004. "Strategies for Implementing Change: An Experiential Approach," General Economics and Teaching 0412026, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Kesten C. Green & J. Scott Armstrong, 2004.
"Structured analogies for forecasting,"
Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers
17/04, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics.
- Green, Kesten C. & Armstrong, J. Scott, 2007. "Structured analogies for forecasting," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 23(3), pages 365-376.
- J.S. Armstrong, 2005. "Structured Analogies for Forecasting," General Economics and Teaching 0502001, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- JS Armstrong, 2004. "The Panalba Role Playing Case," General Economics and Teaching 0412029, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Robert Carbone & JS Armstrong, 2004. "Evaluation of Extrapolative Forecasting Methods: Results of a Survey of Academicians and Practitioners," General Economics and Teaching 0412008, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- JS Armstrong, 2004. "The Graffiti Problem," General Economics and Teaching 0412035, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- JS Armstrong & Fred Collopy, 2004. "Causal Forces: Structuring Knowledge for Time-series Extrapolation," General Economics and Teaching 0412003, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- JS Armstrong, 2004. "Designing and Using Experiential Exercises," General Economics and Teaching 0412022, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- JS Armstrong, 2004.
"Market Share Superstition (Letter),"
General Economics and Teaching
0412032, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- JS Armstrong, 2005. "Market Share Superstition (Letter)," General Economics and Teaching 0502063, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Fred Collopy & JS Armstrong, 2004.
"Rule-Based Forecasting: Development and Validation of an Expert Systems Approach to Combining Time Series Extrapolations,"
General Economics and Teaching
0412004, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Fred Collopy & J. Scott Armstrong, 1992. "Rule-Based Forecasting: Development and Validation of an Expert Systems Approach to Combining Time Series Extrapolations," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 38(10), pages 1394-1414, October.
- JS Armstrong, 2004.
"The Case for Minimum Teaching Standards,"
General Economics and Teaching
0412019, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- J. S. Armstrong, 2005. "The Case for Minimum Teaching Standards," General Economics and Teaching 0502011, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- JS Armstrong, 2004. "Forecasting Methods for Conflict Situations," General Economics and Teaching 0412025, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- JS Armstrong, 2004. "The Seer-Sucker Theory: The Value of Experts in Forecasting," General Economics and Teaching 0412009, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- JS Armstrong, 2004. "The Natural Learning Project," General Economics and Teaching 0412021, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- JS Armstrong, 2004.
"Teacher vs. Learner Responsibility in Management Education,"
General Economics and Teaching
0412020, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- J. S. Armstrong, 2005. "Teacher vs. Learner Responsibility in Management Education," General Economics and Teaching 0502013, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- JS Armstrong & Roderick J. Brodie & Andrew G. Parsons, 2004. "Hypotheses in Marketing Science: Literature Review and Publication Audit," General Economics and Teaching 0412013, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- JS Armstrong, 2004. "Should We Redesign Forecasting Competitions?," General Economics and Teaching 0412001, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- JS Armstrong & Robert Fildes, 2004. "Correspondence On the Selection of Error Measures for Comparisons Among Forecasting Methods," General Economics and Teaching 0412002, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- JS Armstrong, 2004. "Eclectic Research and Construct Validation," General Economics and Teaching 0412028, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- JS Armstrong, 2004.
"The Case of the Detrimental Drug: Implications for the Stakeholder Theory of Directorship,"
General Economics and Teaching
0412030, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- JS Armstrong, 2005. "The Case of the Detrimental Drug: Implications for the Stakeholder Theory of Directorship," General Economics and Teaching 0502062, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Stephen Dakin & JS Armstrong, 2004.
"Predicting job performance: A comparison of expert opinion and research findings,"
General Economics and Teaching
0412005, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Dakin, Stephen & Armstrong, J. Scott, 1989. "Predicting job performance: A comparison of expert opinion and research findings," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 5(2), pages 187-194.
- JS Armstrong & Fred Collopy, 2004. "Integration of Statistical Methods and Judgment for Time Series," General Economics and Teaching 0412024, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- JS Armstrong, 2004.
"The Value of Surprising Findings for Research on Marketing,"
General Economics and Teaching
0412012, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Armstrong, J. Scott, 2003. "The value of surprising findings for research on marketing," Journal of Business Research, Elsevier, vol. 56(1), pages 91-92, January.
- Armstrong, J. Scott, 2002.
"Assessing Game Theory, Role Playing, and Unaided Judgment,"
MPRA Paper
81670, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Armstrong, J. Scott, 2002. "Assessing game theory, role playing, and unaided judgment," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 18(3), pages 345-352.
- Armstrong, J. Scott & Morwitz, Vicki G. & Kumar, V., 2000.
"Sales Forecasts for Existing Consumer Products and Services: Do Purchase Intentions Contribute to Accuracy?,"
MPRA Paper
81689, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Armstrong, J. Scott & Morwitz, Vicki G. & Kumar, V., 2000. "Sales forecasts for existing consumer products and services: Do purchase intentions contribute to accuracy?," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 16(3), pages 383-397.
- Armstrong, J. Scott & Brodie, Roderick J., 1999.
"Forecasting for Marketing,"
MPRA Paper
81690, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- J. S. Armstrong & R. Brodie, 2005. "Forecasting for Marketing," General Economics and Teaching 0502018, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Armstrong, J. Scott, 1997. "Review of Co-opetition by Adam M. Brandenburger and Barry J. Nalebuff," MPRA Paper 81675, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Armstrong, J. Scott & Collopy, Fred, 1996. "Competitor Orientation: Effects of Objectives and Information on Managerial Decisions and Profitability," MPRA Paper 81676, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Armstrong, J. Scott & Brodie, Roderick J., 1994.
"Effects of portfolio planning methods on decision making: experimental results,"
MPRA Paper
81684, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- JS Armstrong & Roderick J. Brodie, 2004. "Effects of Portfolio Planning Methods on Decision Making: Experimental Results," General Economics and Teaching 0412016, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Armstrong, J. Scott & Yokum, J. Thomas, 1994.
"Effectiveness of Monetary Incentives: Mail Surveys to Members of Multinational Professional Groups,"
MPRA Paper
81691, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- JS Armstrong & J. Thomas Yokum, 2004. "Effectiveness of Monetary Incentives: Mail Surveys to Members of Multinational Professional Groups," General Economics and Teaching 0412015, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Armstrong, J. Scott & Coviello, Nicole & Safranek, Barbara, 1993.
"Escalation bias: does it extend to marketing?,"
MPRA Paper
81685, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- JS Armstrong & Nicole Coviello & Barbara Safranek, 2005. "Escalation Bias: Does It Extend to Marketing?," General Economics and Teaching 0502036, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Armstrong, J. Scott, 1991.
"Prediction of Consumer Behavior by Experts and Novices,"
MPRA Paper
81687, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Armstrong, J Scott, 1991. "Prediction of Consumer Behavior by Experts and Novices," Journal of Consumer Research, Journal of Consumer Research Inc., vol. 18(2), pages 251-256, September.
- Armstrong, J. Scott, 1991.
"Strategic Planning Improves Manufacturing Performance,"
MPRA Paper
81677, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- JS Armstrong, 2004. "Strategic Planning Improves Manufacturing Performance," General Economics and Teaching 0412033, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Armstrong, J. Scott, 1990. "Class of Mail Does Affect Response Rates to Mailed Questionnaires: Evidence from Meta-analysis," MPRA Paper 81692, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Armstrong, J. Scott, 1988. "Review of Ravi Batra, The Great Depression of 1990," MPRA Paper 81671, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Armstrong, J. Scott & Lusk, Edward J., 1987.
"Return Postage in Mail Surveys: A Meta Analysis,"
MPRA Paper
81693, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- JS Armstrong & Edward J. Lusk, 2005. "Return Postage in Mail Surveys: A Meta Analysis," General Economics and Teaching 0502041, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Armstrong, J. Scott & Reibstein, David J., 1985.
"Evidence on the Value of Strategic Planning in Marketing: How Much Planning Should a Marketing Planner Plan?,"
MPRA Paper
81680, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- JS Armstrong & David J. Reibstein, 2004. "Evidence on the Value of Strategic Planning in Marketing: How Much Planning Should a Marketing Planner Plan?," General Economics and Teaching 0412034, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Armstrong, J. Scott, 1983.
"Strategic Planning and Forecasting Fundamentals,"
MPRA Paper
81682, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- JS Armstrong, 2005. "Strategic Planning And Forecasting Fundamentals," General Economics and Teaching 0502066, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Armstrong, J. Scott, 1982.
"The value of formal planning for strategic decisions: review of empirical research,"
MPRA Paper
81683, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- J. Scott Armstrong, 1982. "The value of formal planning for strategic decisions: Review of empirical research," Strategic Management Journal, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 3(3), pages 197-211, July.
- Armstrong, J. Scott, 1978.
"Forecasting with Econometric Methods: Folklore Versus Fact,"
MPRA Paper
81672, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Armstrong, J Scott, 1978. "Forecasting with Econometric Methods: Folklore versus Fact," The Journal of Business, University of Chicago Press, vol. 51(4), pages 549-564, October.
- Armstrong, J. Scott & Overton, Terry S., 1977.
"Estimating Nonresponse Bias in Mail Surveys,"
MPRA Paper
81694, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- JS Armstrong & Terry Overton, 2005. "Estimating Nonresponse Bias in Mail Surveys," General Economics and Teaching 0502044, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Armstrong, J. Scott, 1975.
"Monetary incentives in mail surveys,"
MPRA Paper
81695, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- JS Armstrong, 2005. "Monetary Incentives in Mail Surveys," General Economics and Teaching 0502045, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Armstrong, J. Scott & Shapiro, Alan C., 1974.
"Analyzing Quantitative Models,"
MPRA Paper
81696, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Armstrong JS & Shapiro George, 2005. "Analyzing Quantitative Models," General Economics and Teaching 0502031, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Armstrong, J. Scott & C., Michael, 1972.
"A Comparative Study of Methods for Long-Range Market Forecasting,"
MPRA Paper
81673, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- J. Scott Armstrong & Michael C. Grohman, 1972. "A Comparative Study of Methods for Long-Range Market Forecasting," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 19(2), pages 211-221, October.
- JS Armstrong & Michael C. Grohman, 2004. "A Comparative Study of Methods for Long-Range Market Forecasting," General Economics and Teaching 0412010, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Armstrong, J. Scott & Overton, Terry, 1971.
"Brief vs. comprehensive descriptions in measuring intentions to purchase,"
MPRA Paper
81697, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- JS Armstrong & Terry Overton, 2005. "Brief vs. Comprehensive Descriptions in Measuring Intentions to Purchase," General Economics and Teaching 0502032, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Armstrong, J. Scott & Andress, James G., 1970. "Exploratory Analysis of Marketing Data: Trees vs. Regression," MPRA Paper 81668, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Armstrong, J. Scott, 1970.
"How to avoid exploratory research,"
MPRA Paper
81666, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- J.S. Armstrong, 2005. "How to Avoid Exploratory Research," General Economics and Teaching 0502002, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Armstrong, J. Scott, 1970. "An Application of Econometric Models to International Marketing," MPRA Paper 81698, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Armstrong, J. Scott & Soelberg, Peer, 1968.
"On the interpretation of factor analysis,"
MPRA Paper
81665, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- J.S. Armstrong, 2005. "On the Interpretation of Factor Analysis," General Economics and Teaching 0502003, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Armstrong, J. Scott, 1967.
"Derivation of theory by means of factor analysis or Tom Swift and his electric factor analysis machine,"
MPRA Paper
81667, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- J.S. Armstrong, 2005. "Derivation of Theory by Means of Factor Analysis or Tom Swift and His Electric Factor Analysis Machine," General Economics and Teaching 0502004, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Articles
- Andreas Graefe & Kesten C Green & J Scott Armstrong, 2019. "Accuracy gains from conservative forecasting: Tests using variations of 19 econometric models to predict 154 elections in 10 countries," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 14(1), pages 1-14, January.
- J. Scott Armstrong & Kesten C. Green, 2018. "Forecasting methods and principles: Evidence-based checklists," Journal of Global Scholars of Marketing Science, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 28(2), pages 103-159, April.
- Green, Kesten C. & Armstrong, J. Scott & Graefe, Andreas, 2015. "Golden rule of forecasting rearticulated: Forecast unto others as you would have them forecast unto you," Journal of Business Research, Elsevier, vol. 68(8), pages 1768-1771.
- Green, Kesten C. & Armstrong, J. Scott, 2015. "Simple versus complex forecasting: The evidence," Journal of Business Research, Elsevier, vol. 68(8), pages 1678-1685.
- Armstrong, J. Scott & Green, Kesten C. & Graefe, Andreas, 2015.
"Golden rule of forecasting: Be conservative,"
Journal of Business Research, Elsevier, vol. 68(8), pages 1717-1731.
- Armstrong, J. Scott & Green, Kesten C. & Graefe, Andreas, 2014. "Golden Rule of Forecasting: Be conservative," MPRA Paper 53579, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Tessier, Thomas H. & Armstrong, J. Scott, 2015. "Decomposition of time-series by level and change," Journal of Business Research, Elsevier, vol. 68(8), pages 1755-1758.
- Graefe, Andreas & Armstrong, J. Scott, 2014. "Forecasts of the 2012 US Presidential Election based on Candidates’ Perceived Competence in Handling the Most Important Issue," Political Science Research and Methods, Cambridge University Press, vol. 2(1), pages 141-149, April.
- Graefe, Andreas & Armstrong, J. Scott & Jones, Randall J. & Cuzán, Alfred G., 2014. "Combining forecasts: An application to elections," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 30(1), pages 43-54.
- Armstrong, J. Scott & Green, Kesten C., 2013.
"Effects of corporate social responsibility and irresponsibility policies,"
Journal of Business Research, Elsevier, vol. 66(10), pages 1922-1927.
- Armstrong, J. Scott & Green, Kesten C., 2012. "Effects of corporate social responsibility and irresponsibility policies," MPRA Paper 43007, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Philippe Jacquart & J. Scott Armstrong, 2013. "The Ombudsman: Are Top Executives Paid Enough? An Evidence-Based Review," Interfaces, INFORMS, vol. 43(6), pages 580-589, December.
- J. Scott Armstrong & Philippe Jacquart, 2013. "The Ombudsman: Is the Evidence Sufficient to Take Action on Executive Pay? Reply to Commentators," Interfaces, INFORMS, vol. 43(6), pages 602-604, December.
- Andreas Graefe & J. Scott Armstrong, & Randall J. Jones & Alfred G. Cuz‡n, 2013. "Combined Forecasts of the 2012 Election: The PollyVote," Foresight: The International Journal of Applied Forecasting, International Institute of Forecasters, issue 28, pages 50-51, Winter.
- Evanschitzky, Heiner & Armstrong, J. Scott, 2013. "Research with In-built replications: Comment and further suggestions for replication research," Journal of Business Research, Elsevier, vol. 66(9), pages 1406-1408.
- Andreas Graefe & Randy Jones & Scott Armstrong & Alfred Cuzán, 2012. "The PollyVote’s Year-Ahead Forecast of the 2012 U.S. Presidential Election," Foresight: The International Journal of Applied Forecasting, International Institute of Forecasters, issue 24, pages 13-14, Winter.
- J. Scott Armstrong, 2012. "Predicting Job Performance: The Moneyball Factor," Foresight: The International Journal of Applied Forecasting, International Institute of Forecasters, issue 25, pages 31-34, Spring.
- Green, Kesten C. & Armstrong, J. Scott, 2011.
"Role thinking: Standing in other people's shoes to forecast decisions in conflicts,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 27(1), pages 69-80, January.
- Green, Kesten C. & Armstrong, J. Scott, 2011. "Role thinking: Standing in other people’s shoes to forecast decisions in conflicts," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 27(1), pages 69-80.
- Green, Kesten C. & Armstrong, J. Scott, 2009. "Role thinking: Standing in other people’s shoes to forecast decisions in conflicts," MPRA Paper 16422, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Graefe, Andreas & Armstrong, J. Scott, 2011. "Conditions under which index models are useful: Reply to bio-index commentaries," Journal of Business Research, Elsevier, vol. 64(7), pages 693-695, July.
- Armstrong, J. Scott & Graefe, Andreas, 2011. "Predicting elections from biographical information about candidates: A test of the index method," Journal of Business Research, Elsevier, vol. 64(7), pages 699-706, July.
- Graefe, Andreas & Armstrong, J. Scott, 2011.
"Comparing face-to-face meetings, nominal groups, Delphi and prediction markets on an estimation task,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 27(1), pages 183-195, January.
- Graefe, Andreas & Armstrong, J. Scott, 2011. "Comparing face-to-face meetings, nominal groups, Delphi and prediction markets on an estimation task," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 27(1), pages 183-195.
- J. Scott Armstrong & Kesten C. Green & Willie Soon, 2011. "Research on Forecasting for the Manmade Global Warming Alarm," Energy & Environment, , vol. 22(8), pages 1091-1104, December.
- Evanschitzky, Heiner & Armstrong, J. Scott, 2010. "Replications of forecasting research," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 26(1), pages 4-8, January.
- Andreas Graefe & J. Scott Armstrong & Alfred G. Cuzán & Randall J. Jones, Jr., 2009. "Combined Forecasts of the 2008 Election: The Pollyvote," Foresight: The International Journal of Applied Forecasting, International Institute of Forecasters, issue 12, pages 41-42, Winter.
- Green, Kesten C. & Armstrong, J. Scott & Soon, Willie, 2009. "Validity of climate change forecasting for public policy decision making," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 25(4), pages 826-832, October.
- Malcolm Wright & J. Scott Armstrong, 2008. "The Ombudsman: Verification of Citations: Fawlty Towers of Knowledge?," Interfaces, INFORMS, vol. 38(2), pages 125-139, April.
- J. Scott Armstrong & Kesten C. Green & Willie Soon, 2008.
"Polar Bear Population Forecasts: A Public-Policy Forecasting Audit,"
Interfaces, INFORMS, vol. 38(5), pages 382-405, October.
- Armstrong, J. Scott & Green, Kesten C. & Soon, Willie, 2007. "Polar Bear Population Forecasts: A Public-Policy Forecasting Audit," MPRA Paper 6317, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Evanschitzky, Heiner & Baumgarth, Carsten & Hubbard, Raymond & Armstrong, J. Scott, 2007. "Replication research's disturbing trend," Journal of Business Research, Elsevier, vol. 60(4), pages 411-415, April.
- Green, Kesten C. & Armstrong, J. Scott, 2007.
"Structured analogies for forecasting,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 23(3), pages 365-376.
- J.S. Armstrong, 2005. "Structured Analogies for Forecasting," General Economics and Teaching 0502001, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Kesten C. Green & J. Scott Armstrong, 2004. "Structured analogies for forecasting," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers 17/04, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics.
- Tschoegl, Adrian E. & Armstrong, J. Scott, 2007. "P.E. Tetlock, Expert political judgment: How good is it? How can we know?, Princeton University Press (2006) ISBN 978-0-691-12871-9 Paperback, 352 pp.," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 23(2), pages 339-342.
- Kesten C. Green & J. Scott Armstrong, 2007. "The Ombudsman: Value of Expertise for Forecasting Decisions in Conflicts," Interfaces, INFORMS, vol. 37(3), pages 287-299, June.
- Armstrong, J. Scott, 2007.
"Significance tests harm progress in forecasting,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 23(2), pages 321-327.
- Armstrong, J. Scott, 2007. "Significance Tests Harm Progress in Forecasting," MPRA Paper 81664, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Armstrong, J. Scott, 2007. "Forecasting of software development work effort: Introduction," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 23(3), pages 445-447.
- Kesten Green & J. Scott Armstrong & Andreas Graefe, 2007.
"Methods to Elicit Forecasts from Groups: Delphi and Prediction Markets Compared,"
Foresight: The International Journal of Applied Forecasting, International Institute of Forecasters, issue 8, pages 17-20, Fall.
- Green, Kesten C. & Armstrong, J. Scott & Graefe, Andreas, 2007. "Methods to Elicit Forecasts from Groups: Delphi and Prediction Markets Compared," MPRA Paper 4663, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Kesten C. Green & J. Scott Armstrong, 2007.
"Global Warming: Forecasts by Scientists Versus Scientific Forecasts,"
Energy & Environment, , vol. 18(7), pages 997-1021, December.
- Green, Kesten C. & Armstrong, J. Scott, 2007. "Global warming: Forecasts by scientists versus scientific forecasts," MPRA Paper 4361, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Armstrong, J. Scott, 2007. "Statistical significance tests are unnecessary even when properly done and properly interpreted: Reply to commentaries," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 23(2), pages 335-336.
- Armstrong, J. Scott & Fildes, Robert, 2006. "Making progress in forecasting," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 22(3), pages 433-441.
- J. Scott Armstrong, 2006. "Should the Forecasting Process Eliminate Face-to-Face Meetings?," Foresight: The International Journal of Applied Forecasting, International Institute of Forecasters, issue 5, pages 3-8, Fall.
- Armstrong, J. Scott, 2006. "Findings from evidence-based forecasting: Methods for reducing forecast error," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 22(3), pages 583-598.
- J. Scott Armstrong & Alfred Cuzan, 2006. "The Keys to the White House: Forecast for 2008," Foresight: The International Journal of Applied Forecasting, International Institute of Forecasters, issue 3, pages 10-13, February.
- Armstrong, J. Scott & Collopy, Fred & Yokum, J. Thomas, 2005.
"Decomposition by causal forces: a procedure for forecasting complex time series,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 21(1), pages 25-36.
- J. S. Armstrong, 2005. "Decomposition by Causal Forces: A Procedure for Forecasting Complex Time Series," General Economics and Teaching 0502015, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Alfred Cuzan & J. Scott Armstrong & Randall J. Jones, Jr., 2005. "How We Computed the Pollyvote," Foresight: The International Journal of Applied Forecasting, International Institute of Forecasters, issue 1, pages 51-52, June.
- Kesten C. Green & J. Scott Armstrong, 2005.
"The War in Iraq: Should We Have Expected Better Forecasts?,"
Foresight: The International Journal of Applied Forecasting, International Institute of Forecasters, issue 2, pages 50-52, October.
- Kesten C. Green & J. Scott Armstrong, 2005. "The war in Iraq: Should we have expected better forecasts?," Others 0511003, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- J. Scott Armstrong, 2005. "The Forecasting Canon: Nine Generalizations to Improve Forecast Accuracy," Foresight: The International Journal of Applied Forecasting, International Institute of Forecasters, issue 1, pages 29-35, June.
- Armstrong, J. Scott, 2004.
"Damped seasonality factors: Introduction,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 20(4), pages 525-527.
- J. S. Armstrong, 2005. "Damped Seasonality Factors: Introduction," General Economics and Teaching 0502014, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Armstrong, J. Scott, 2003.
"Discovery and communication of important marketing findings: Evidence and proposals,"
Journal of Business Research, Elsevier, vol. 56(1), pages 69-84, January.
- JS Armstrong, 2004. "Discovery and Communication of Important Marketing Findings: Evidence and Proposals," General Economics and Teaching 0412011, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- J. Scott Armstrong & Ruth Pagell, 2003. "The Ombudsman: Reaping Benefits from Management Research: Lessons from the Forecasting Principles Project," Interfaces, INFORMS, vol. 33(6), pages 91-111, December.
- Armstrong, J. Scott, 2003.
"The value of surprising findings for research on marketing,"
Journal of Business Research, Elsevier, vol. 56(1), pages 91-92, January.
- JS Armstrong, 2004. "The Value of Surprising Findings for Research on Marketing," General Economics and Teaching 0412012, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Armstrong, J. Scott, 2003. "Predicting Presidential Elections and Other Things,: Ray C. Fair. Stanford University Press: Stanford, CA, 2002, 168 pp., Hardback, ISBN 0-8047-4509-9, $26.00," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 19(4), pages 760-761.
- Armstrong, J. Scott, 2002. ""How useful are the forecasts of intergovernmental agencies? The IMF and OECD versus the consensus": Batchelor, Roy (2001), Applied Economics, 33, pp. 225-235. E-mail address: R.A.Batchelor@," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 18(3), pages 482-483.
- Armstrong, J. Scott, 2002.
"Assessing game theory, role playing, and unaided judgment,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 18(3), pages 345-352.
- Armstrong, J. Scott, 2002. "Assessing Game Theory, Role Playing, and Unaided Judgment," MPRA Paper 81670, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Armstrong, J Scott & Collopy, Fred, 2001. "Identification of Asymmetric Prediction Intervals through Causal Forces," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 20(4), pages 273-283, July.
- Adya, Monica & Collopy, Fred & Armstrong, J. Scott & Kennedy, Miles, 2001. "Automatic identification of time series features for rule-based forecasting," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 17(2), pages 143-157.
- Armstrong, J. Scott & Morwitz, Vicki G. & Kumar, V., 2000.
"Sales forecasts for existing consumer products and services: Do purchase intentions contribute to accuracy?,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 16(3), pages 383-397.
- Armstrong, J. Scott & Morwitz, Vicki G. & Kumar, V., 2000. "Sales Forecasts for Existing Consumer Products and Services: Do Purchase Intentions Contribute to Accuracy?," MPRA Paper 81689, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Adya, Monica & Armstrong, J. Scott & Collopy, Fred & Kennedy, Miles, 2000. "An application of rule-based forecasting to a situation lacking domain knowledge," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 16(4), pages 477-484.
- Armstrong, J. Scott, 1997. "The impact of empirical accuracy studies on time series analysis and forecasting : R. Fildes and S. Makridakis, 1995, International Statistical Review, 63, 289-308," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 13(1), pages 151-153, March.
- Armstrong, J. Scott, 1996. "The validity of employment interviews: A comprehensive review and meta-analysis : Michael A. McDaniel, D.L. Whetzel, F.L. Schmidt and S.D. Maurer, 994, Journal of Applied Psychology, 79, 599-615," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 12(2), pages 317-318, June.
- Armstrong, J. Scott, 1996. "Heuristics, biases and improvement strategies in judgmental time series : P. Goodwin and G. Wright, 1994, Omega, 22, 553-568," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 12(2), pages 319-321, June.
- Armstrong, J. Scott, 1996. "Factors affecting new product forecasting accuracy in new firms : William B. Gartner, and Robert J. Thomas, 1993, Journal of Productive Innovation Management, 10, 35-52," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 12(2), pages 321-322, June.
- Armstrong, J. Scott, 1996. "Journal of economic literature : Clifford Winston, 1993, Economic deregulation: Days of reckoning for microeconomists, 31, 1263-1289," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 12(1), pages 183-184, March.
- Armstrong, J. Scott, 1996. "Publication of research on controversial topics: The early acceptance procedure," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 12(2), pages 299-302, June.
- Armstrong, J. Scott, 1996. "Predicting insurance agent turnover using a video-based judgement test : Anthony T. Dalessio, 1994, Journal of Business an Psychology, 9, 23-32," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 12(2), pages 322-323, June.
- J. Scott Armstrong, 1996. "The Ombudsman: Management Folklore and Management Science—On Portfolio Planning, Escalation Bias, and Such," Interfaces, INFORMS, vol. 26(4), pages 25-55, August.
- Armstrong, J. Scott, 1996. "Journal of business forecasting : John Hanke and Pam Weigand, 1994, What are business schools doing to educate forecasters, Fall, 10-12," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 12(1), pages 185-186, March.
- Armstrong, J. Scott, 1996. "Validity of an honeesty test in predicting theft among convenience store employees : H. John Bernardin and D.K. Cooke, 1993 Academy of Management Journal, 36, 1097-1108," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 12(2), pages 318-319, June.
- Yokuma, J. Thomas & Armstrong, J. Scott, 1995. "Beyond accuracy: Comparison of criteria used to select forecasting methods," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 11(4), pages 591-597, December.
- Armstrong, J. Scott, 1994. "Omega 21: G.L. Riddington, (1993), Time varying coefficient models and their forecasting performance, 573-583," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 10(4), pages 647-649, December.
- MacGregor, Donald G. & Armstrong, J. Scott, 1994. "Judgmental decomposition: when does it work?," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 10(4), pages 495-506, December.
- Fred Collopy & Monica Adya & J. Scott Armstrong, 1994. "Research Report—Principles for Examining Predictive Validity: The Case of Information Systems Spending Forecasts," Information Systems Research, INFORMS, vol. 5(2), pages 170-179, June.
- Scott Armstrong, J., 1994. "An analysis of the accuracy ot "trial heat" polls during the 1992 presidential election : Richard R. Lau, 1994, Public opinion quarterly, 58, 2-20," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 10(3), pages 473-474, November.
- Armstrong, J. Scott, 1994. "Marketing letters : Barry L., Bayus, (1992), Have diffusion rates been accelerating over time? 3 215-226," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 10(4), pages 647-647, December.
- Armstrong, J. Scott, 1994. "Forecasting practices in US corporations: Survey results : Nada Sanders and Karl B. Manrodt, 1994, interfaces, 24, 92-100," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 10(3), pages 471-472, November.
- Armstrong, J. Scott, 1994. "The fertile field of meta-analysis: Cumulative progress in agricultural forecasting," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 10(1), pages 147-149, June.
- J. Scott Armstrong & Tad Sperry, 1994. "The Ombudsman: Business School Prestige—Research versus Teaching," Interfaces, INFORMS, vol. 24(2), pages 13-43, April.
- Armstrong, J. Scott, 1993. "A case study of expert judgment: Economists probabilities versus base-rate model forecasts : Phillip A. Braun and Ilan Yaniv, Journal of behavioral decision making, 5 (1992), 217-231," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 9(3), pages 431-431, November.
- Armstrong, J. Scott, 1993. "Finding public opinion data: A guide to sources : Tom W. Smith and Frederick D. Weil, Public Opinion Quarterly, 54 (1990), 609-626," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 9(1), pages 137-138, April.
- Armstrong, J. Scott, 1993. "Municipal forecasting practice: 'Demand' and 'supply' side perspectives" : Howard A. Frank and Jane McCollough, International Journal of Public Administration, 15 (1992) 1669-1696," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 9(1), pages 137-137, April.
- Armstrong, J. Scoot, 1993. "The uses and abuses of consensus forecasts : Stephen K. McNees,Journal of forecasting, 11 (1992) 703-710," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 9(3), pages 431-432, November.
- Armstrong, J. Scott, 1993. "Accuracy of judgmental forecasts: A comparison : R. Nada Sanders, Omega, 20 (1992) 353-364," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 9(3), pages 429-430, November.
- Collopy, Fred & Armstrong, J. Scott, 1992. "Generalization and communication issues in the use of error measures: A reply," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 8(1), pages 107-109, June.
- Armstrong, J. Scott, 1992. "Public opinion quarterly : Tom W. Smith and Frederick D. Weil, "Finding public opinion data: A guide to sources" 54 (1990) 609-626," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 8(2), pages 279-279, October.
- Fred Collopy & J. Scott Armstrong, 1992.
"Rule-Based Forecasting: Development and Validation of an Expert Systems Approach to Combining Time Series Extrapolations,"
Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 38(10), pages 1394-1414, October.
- Fred Collopy & JS Armstrong, 2004. "Rule-Based Forecasting: Development and Validation of an Expert Systems Approach to Combining Time Series Extrapolations," General Economics and Teaching 0412004, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Armstrong, J. Scott & Collopy, Fred, 1992. "Error measures for generalizing about forecasting methods: Empirical comparisons," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 8(1), pages 69-80, June.
- Armstrong, J. Scott, 1992. "Editorial policies for the publication of controversial findings," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 8(4), pages 543-544, December.
- Collopy, Fred & Armstrong, J. Scott, 1992. "Management science : D. Bunn and G. Wright, "Interaction of Judgmental and Statistical Forecasting Methods: Issues and Analysis", 37 (1991) 501-518," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 8(2), pages 277-279, October.
- Collopy, Fred & Armstrong, J. Scott, 1992. "Expert opinions about extrapolation and the mystery of the overlooked discontinuities," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 8(4), pages 575-582, December.
- Armstrong, J Scott, 1991.
"Prediction of Consumer Behavior by Experts and Novices,"
Journal of Consumer Research, Journal of Consumer Research Inc., vol. 18(2), pages 251-256, September.
- Armstrong, J. Scott, 1991. "Prediction of Consumer Behavior by Experts and Novices," MPRA Paper 81687, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Armstrong, J. Scott, 1991. "A cautionary tale about multiple regression : Milton Friedman (the appendix to "Alternative approaches to analyzing economic data' Milton Friedman and Anna J. Schwartz), American Economic Review ," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 7(2), pages 252-252, August.
- Brodie, Roderick J. & Armstrong, J. Scott, 1991. "The forecasting accuracy of market share models using predicted values of competitive marketing behavior : Karel J. Alsem, Peter S.H. Leeflang and Jan C. Reuyl, International Journal of Research in Ma," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 7(1), pages 117-118, May.
- Dakin, Stephen & Armstrong, J. Scott, 1989.
"Predicting job performance: A comparison of expert opinion and research findings,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 5(2), pages 187-194.
- Stephen Dakin & JS Armstrong, 2004. "Predicting job performance: A comparison of expert opinion and research findings," General Economics and Teaching 0412005, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Armstrong, J. Scott, 1989. "Combining forecasts: The end of the beginning or the beginning of the end?," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 5(4), pages 585-588.
- Armstrong, J. Scott, 1989. "Editorial: Reflections on forecasting in the 1980's," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 5(4), pages 467-468.
- Armstrong, J. Scott & Shamir, Jacob, 1988. "Public opinion quarterly : Jacob Shamir, preelection polls in Israel: Structural constraints on accuracy, 50 (1986) 62-75," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 4(1), pages 167-167.
- Armstrong, J. Scott, 1988. "Organizational behavior and human decision processes : Wagenaar, Willem A. and G.B. Keren, The seat belt paradox: Effect off accepted roles on information seeking,, 38 (1986), 1-6," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 4(3), pages 513-513.
- Armstrong, J. Scott & Lemert, James B., 1988. "Public opinion quarterly : James B. Lemert, picking the winners: Politician vs. voter predictions of two controversial ballot measures, 50 (1986) 208-221," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 4(1), pages 165-166.
- Armstrong, J. Scott & Rosenstone, Steven J., 1988. "Public opinion quarterly : Steven J. Rosenstone, John Mark Hansen, and Donald R. Kinder, measuring change in personal economic well-being, 50 (1986) 176-192," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 4(1), pages 166-167.
- Armstrong, J. Scott & Buchanan, William, 1988. "Public opinion quarterly : William Buchanan, election predictions: An empirical assessment, 50 (1986) 222-227," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 4(1), pages 162-164.
- Armstrong, J. Scott, 1988. "Journal of personality and social psychology : Osberg, Timothy M. and J. Sidney Shrauger, Self-prediction: Exploring the parameters of accuracy, 51 (1986), 1044-1057," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 4(3), pages 514-514.
- Armstrong, J. Scott & Georgoff, David M., 1988. "Harvard Business Review : David M. Georgoff and Robert G. Murdick, manager's guide to forecasting, 64 (Jan-Feb.) (1986) 110-120," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 4(1), pages 164-165.
- Armstrong, J. Scott, 1988.
"Communication of research on forecasting: The journal,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 4(3), pages 321-324.
- J. S. Armstrong, 2005. "Communication of Research on Forecasting: The Journal," General Economics and Teaching 0502022, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Armstrong, J. Scott, 1988. "The great depression of 1990 : Ravi Batra, (Simon and Schuster, New York, 1985) pp. 235, $14.95," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 4(3), pages 493-495.
- Armstrong, J. Scott & Brouthers, Lance Eliot, 1988. "International journal of public administration : Lance Eliot Brouthers, parties, ideology and elections: The politics of federal revenues and expenditures forecasting, 8 (1986) 289-314," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 4(1), pages 161-162.
- Armstrong, J. Scott & McIntyre, Shelby, 1987. "Editorial," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 3(3-4), pages 351-351.
- J. Scott Armstrong, 1986.
"The value of formal planning for strategic decisions: Reply,"
Strategic Management Journal, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 7(2), pages 183-185, March.
- JS Armstrong, 2005. "The Value of Formal Planning for Strategic Decisions: A Reply," General Economics and Teaching 0502065, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- J. Scott Armstrong, 1986. "The Ombudsman: Research on Forecasting: A Quarter-Century Review, 1960--1984," Interfaces, INFORMS, vol. 16(1), pages 89-109, February.
- Makridakis, Spyros & Armstrong, J. Scott & Carbone, Robert & Fildes, Robert, 1985. "From the editors," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 1(1), pages 1-1.
- Armstrong, J. Scott, 1985. "J. Scott Armstrong, Forecasting by extrapolation: Conclusions from 25 years of research, Interfaces 14 (1984), pp. 52-66," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 1(4), pages 309-310.
- J. Scott Armstrong, 1984.
"Forecasting by Extrapolation: Conclusions from 25 Years of Research,"
Interfaces, INFORMS, vol. 14(6), pages 52-66, December.
- J. S. Armstrong, 2005. "Forecasting by Extrapolation: Conclusions from 25 Years of Research," General Economics and Teaching 0502025, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- J. Scott Armstrong, 1983. "The Ombudsman: Learner Responsibility in Management Education, or Ventures into Forbidden Research," Interfaces, INFORMS, vol. 13(2), pages 26-38, April.
- J. Scott Armstrong, 1983. "The Ombudsman: Cheating in Management Science," Interfaces, INFORMS, vol. 13(4), pages 20-29, August.
- J. Scott Armstrong, 1982. "The Ombudsman: Is Review By Peers As Fair As It Appears?," Interfaces, INFORMS, vol. 12(5), pages 62-74, October.
- J. Scott Armstrong, 1982.
"The value of formal planning for strategic decisions: Review of empirical research,"
Strategic Management Journal, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 3(3), pages 197-211, July.
- Armstrong, J. Scott, 1982. "The value of formal planning for strategic decisions: review of empirical research," MPRA Paper 81683, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- J. Scott Armstrong, 1980. "Unintelligible Management Research and Academic Prestige," Interfaces, INFORMS, vol. 10(2), pages 80-86, April.
- J. Scott Armstrong, 1979.
"Advocacy and Objectivity in Science,"
Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 25(5), pages 423-428, May.
- JS Armstrong, 2005. "Advocacy and Objectivity in Science," General Economics and Teaching 0502060, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Armstrong, J Scott, 1978. "Econometric Forecasting and the Science Court," The Journal of Business, University of Chicago Press, vol. 51(4), pages 595-600, October.
- Armstrong, J Scott, 1978.
"Forecasting with Econometric Methods: Folklore versus Fact,"
The Journal of Business, University of Chicago Press, vol. 51(4), pages 549-564, October.
- Armstrong, J. Scott, 1978. "Forecasting with Econometric Methods: Folklore Versus Fact," MPRA Paper 81672, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Armstrong, J. Scott, 1977.
"Social irresponsibility in management,"
Journal of Business Research, Elsevier, vol. 5(3), pages 185-213, September.
- JS Armstrong, 2004. "Social Irresponsibility in Management," General Economics and Teaching 0412031, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- J. Scott Armstrong & Michael C. Grohman, 1972.
"A Comparative Study of Methods for Long-Range Market Forecasting,"
Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 19(2), pages 211-221, October.
- JS Armstrong & Michael C. Grohman, 2004. "A Comparative Study of Methods for Long-Range Market Forecasting," General Economics and Teaching 0412010, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Armstrong, J. Scott & C., Michael, 1972. "A Comparative Study of Methods for Long-Range Market Forecasting," MPRA Paper 81673, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Chapters
- J. Scott Armstrong, 2010. "Creativity," Palgrave Macmillan Books, in: Persuasive Advertising, pages 278-286, Palgrave Macmillan.
- J. Scott Armstrong, 2010. "The principles," Palgrave Macmillan Books, in: Persuasive Advertising, pages 25-277, Palgrave Macmillan.
- J. Scott Armstrong, 2010. "Conditions," Palgrave Macmillan Books, in: Persuasive Advertising, pages 14-24, Palgrave Macmillan.
- J. Scott Armstrong, 2010. "Types of evidence," Palgrave Macmillan Books, in: Persuasive Advertising, pages 6-13, Palgrave Macmillan.
- J. Scott Armstrong, 2010. "Conclusions," Palgrave Macmillan Books, in: Persuasive Advertising, pages 293-293, Palgrave Macmillan.
- J. Scott Armstrong, 2010. "Introduction," Palgrave Macmillan Books, in: Persuasive Advertising, pages 1-5, Palgrave Macmillan.
- J. Scott Armstrong, 2010. "Evaluating advertisements," Palgrave Macmillan Books, in: Persuasive Advertising, pages 287-292, Palgrave Macmillan.
Books
- J. Scott Armstrong, 2010. "Persuasive Advertising," Palgrave Macmillan Books, Palgrave Macmillan, number 978-0-230-28580-4, March.
More information
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This author is among the top 5% authors according to these criteria:- Average Rank Score
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Co-authorship network on CollEc
Featured entries
This author is featured on the following reading lists, publication compilations, Wikipedia, or ReplicationWiki entries:NEP Fields
NEP is an announcement service for new working papers, with a weekly report in each of many fields. This author has had 61 papers announced in NEP. These are the fields, ordered by number of announcements, along with their dates. If the author is listed in the directory of specialists for this field, a link is also provided.- NEP-HPE: History and Philosophy of Economics (14) 2004-12-12 2004-12-12 2004-12-20 2004-12-20 2005-04-16 2005-04-16 2005-04-16 2005-04-16 2005-04-16 2005-04-16 2005-04-16 2005-04-16 2007-07-27 2009-07-28. Author is listed
- NEP-CBE: Cognitive and Behavioural Economics (13) 2004-12-12 2004-12-20 2005-04-16 2005-04-16 2005-10-15 2007-07-27 2007-09-09 2007-10-20 2007-12-19 2008-06-21 2008-08-14 2009-07-28 2012-04-10. Author is listed
- NEP-FOR: Forecasting (13) 2005-10-15 2005-11-19 2007-08-14 2007-09-09 2007-10-20 2007-12-19 2008-06-21 2008-08-14 2008-12-21 2009-07-28 2009-08-02 2014-02-15 2018-01-08. Author is listed
- NEP-BEC: Business Economics (10) 2004-12-12 2004-12-12 2004-12-12 2004-12-12 2004-12-12 2004-12-20 2004-12-20 2004-12-20 2005-04-16 2005-04-16. Author is listed
- NEP-ETS: Econometric Time Series (6) 2004-12-12 2004-12-12 2004-12-12 2004-12-12 2004-12-12 2004-12-20. Author is listed
- NEP-POL: Positive Political Economics (6) 2004-12-20 2007-10-20 2008-06-21 2008-08-14 2009-08-02 2018-01-08. Author is listed
- NEP-CDM: Collective Decision-Making (5) 2007-10-20 2008-06-21 2008-08-14 2009-08-02 2018-01-08. Author is listed
- NEP-ENV: Environmental Economics (5) 2004-12-20 2005-04-16 2007-08-14 2007-12-19 2008-12-21. Author is listed
- NEP-EXP: Experimental Economics (5) 2004-12-12 2004-12-20 2004-12-20 2012-04-10 2012-12-10. Author is listed
- NEP-HIS: Business, Economic and Financial History (5) 2004-12-12 2004-12-12 2004-12-12 2005-04-16 2005-04-16. Author is listed
- NEP-ECM: Econometrics (4) 2005-10-15 2007-08-14 2007-10-20 2009-08-02
- NEP-EDU: Education (4) 2005-04-16 2005-04-16 2005-04-16 2005-04-16
- NEP-ACC: Accounting and Auditing (3) 2004-12-12 2004-12-12 2004-12-20
- NEP-CUL: Cultural Economics (3) 2004-12-20 2005-04-16 2005-04-16
- NEP-MKT: Marketing (3) 2005-07-11 2005-10-15 2012-04-10
- NEP-ENE: Energy Economics (2) 2007-08-14 2008-12-21
- NEP-SOG: Sociology of Economics (2) 2007-07-27 2014-02-15
- NEP-AGR: Agricultural Economics (1) 2008-12-21
- NEP-COM: Industrial Competition (1) 2005-07-11
- NEP-EVO: Evolutionary Economics (1) 2004-12-20
- NEP-HEA: Health Economics (1) 2004-12-20
- NEP-INO: Innovation (1) 2007-07-27
- NEP-IPR: Intellectual Property Rights (1) 2007-07-27
- NEP-LAB: Labour Economics (1) 2004-12-20
- NEP-MIC: Microeconomics (1) 2004-12-20
- NEP-NEU: Neuroeconomics (1) 2009-07-28
- NEP-ORE: Operations Research (1) 2014-02-15
- NEP-PKE: Post Keynesian Economics (1) 2007-07-27
- NEP-RES: Resource Economics (1) 2012-12-10
- NEP-SPO: Sports and Economics (1) 2005-04-16
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