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Indikatoren für die globale Konjunktur

Author

Listed:
  • Klaus Abberger
  • Maximilian Frey
  • Michaela Kesina
  • Anna Wolf

Abstract

Neben Konjunkturindikatoren für einzelne Länder spielen auch Konjunkturindikatoren für länderübergreifende Regionen und Instrumente für die Beobachtung der globalen Konjunktur eine wichtige Rolle. Der vorliegende Artikel stellt die Instrumente und die wichtigsten Indikatoren für eine Konjunkturbeobachtung auf globaler Ebene vor und vergleicht ihre jeweiligen Eigenschaften. Die durchgeführten Berechnungen zeigen, dass ein Monitoringsystem für die globale Konjunktur aus vier Zeitreihen bestehen sollte: dem Composite Leading Indicator, dem Business Confidence Indicator und der internationalen Industrieproduktion, alle drei veröffentlicht durch die OECD, sowie dem durch das ifo Institut veröffentlichten ifo Weltwirtschaftsklima. Mit Hilfe dieser vier Zeitreihen lässt sich die Entwicklung im globalen Konjunkturzyklus abschätzen.

Suggested Citation

  • Klaus Abberger & Maximilian Frey & Michaela Kesina & Anna Wolf, 2009. "Indikatoren für die globale Konjunktur," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 62(16), pages 32-41, August.
    • Handle: RePEc:ces:ifosdt:v:62:y:2009:i:16:p:32-41
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    File URL: https://www.ifo.de/DocDL/ifosd_2009_16_3.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    4. Klaus Abberger & Wolfgang Nierhaus, 2007. "Das ifo Geschäftsklima und Wendepunkte der deutschen Konjunktur," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 60(03), pages 26-31, February.
    5. Ambler, Steve & Cardia, Emanuela & Zimmermann, Christian, 2004. "International business cycles: What are the facts?," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 51(2), pages 257-276, March.
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Evgenia Kudymowa & Johanna Garnitz & Klaus Wohlrabe, 2013. "Ifo World Economic Survey und die realwirtschaftliche Entwicklung in ausgewählten Ländern," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 66(19), pages 23-30, October.
    2. Evgenia Kudymowa & Johanna Garnitz & Klaus Wohlrabe, 2014. "Ifo World Economic Survey and the Business Cycle in Selected Countries," CESifo Forum, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 14(04), pages 51-57, January.
    3. Evgenia Kudymowa & Johanna Garnitz & Klaus Wohlrabe, 2014. "Ifo World Economic Survey and the Business Cycle in Selected Countries," CESifo Forum, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 14(4), pages 51-57, January.
    4. Wolfgang Nierhaus & Timo Wollmershäuser, 2016. "ifo Konjunkturumfragen und Konjunkturanalyse: Band II," ifo Forschungsberichte, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, number 72, October.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Konjunkturindikator; Geschäftsklima; Konjunktur; Weltwirtschaftsklima; Unternehmen; Deutschland; Welt;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles

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