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Gemeinschaftsdiagnose Frühjahr 2010: Erholung setzt sich fort – Risiken bleiben groß

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Abstract

Am 15. April 2010 stellte die Projektgruppe Gemeinschaftsdiagnose in Berlin ihr Frühjahrsgutachten der Presse vor. Ihrer Ansicht nach erholt sich die Weltwirtschaft, und die Finanz- und Wirtschaftskrise der Jahre 2008 und 2009 wird allmählich überwunden. Allerdings ist das Tempo der Expansion in den einzelnen Weltregionen sehr unterschiedlich. In einigen Schwellenländern, vor allem in Asien, ist es ausgesprochen hoch, und vereinzelt besteht sogar die Gefahr einer konjunkturellen Überhitzung. Dagegen ist in den Industrieländern die Auslastung der gesamtwirtschaftlichen Kapazitäten weiterhin gering. Hier hat sich die Erholung noch nicht gefestigt, sondern wird nach wie vor maßgeblich von der expansiven Wirtschaftspolitik getragen.

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  • Projektgruppe Gemeinschaftsdiagnose, 2010. "Gemeinschaftsdiagnose Frühjahr 2010: Erholung setzt sich fort – Risiken bleiben groß," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 63(08), pages 03-78, April.
    • Handle: RePEc:ces:ifosdt:v:63:y:2010:i:08:p:03-78
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    Cited by:

    1. Christian Breuer & Thiess Büttner, 2010. "Auf Sand gebaut: Das strukturelle Defizit im Auf und Ab der Konjunktur," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 63(11), pages 28-31, June.
    2. Brügelmann, Ralph & Fuest, Winfried & Grömling, Michael & Hüther, Michael & Jäger, Manfred & Kroker, Rolf & Pimpertz, Jochen & Römer, Christof & Schäfer, Holger & Schröder, Christoph, 2010. "Gewohnte Wachstumskräfte gewinnen die Oberhand: IW-Konjunkturprognose Frühjahr 2010," IW-Trends – Vierteljahresschrift zur empirischen Wirtschaftsforschung, Institut der deutschen Wirtschaft (IW) / German Economic Institute, vol. 37(2), pages 19-57.
    3. Wolfgang Nierhaus & Timo Wollmershäuser, 2016. "ifo Konjunkturumfragen und Konjunkturanalyse: Band II," ifo Forschungsberichte, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, number 72, July.
    4. Nils aus dem Moore, 2010. "Eine Wirtschaftsregierung für Europa? – Die EU braucht bessere governance, aber kein gouvernement économique," RWI Positionen, Rheinisch-Westfälisches Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, pages 24, December.
    5. aus dem Moore, Nils, 2010. "Eine Wirtschaftsregierung für Europa? Die EU braucht bessere governance, aber kein gouvernement économique," RWI Positionen 41, RWI - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung.
    6. Bauer, Thomas K. & Gebhardt, Heinz & Matz, Florian & Schmidt, Christoph M. & Schmidt, Torsten & Siemers, Lars-H., 2010. "Ermittlung der Konjunkturkomponenten für die Länderhaushalte zur Umsetzung der in der Föderalismuskommission II vereinbarten Verschuldungsbegrenzung: Endbericht - Juni 2010," RWI Projektberichte, RWI - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, number 69915.
    7. Rietzler, Katja & Truger, Achim, 2018. "Is the debt brake behind Germany's successful fiscal consolidation?," IPE Working Papers 105/2018, Berlin School of Economics and Law, Institute for International Political Economy (IPE).
    8. Eicker-Wolf, Kai. & Truger, Achim., 2014. "Demystifying a "shining example" : German public finances under the debt brake," ILO Working Papers 994845193402676, International Labour Organization.
    9. Roland Döhrn & Tobias Kitlinski & Martin Micheli & Torsten Schmidt & Simeon Vosen & György Barabas & Heinz Gebhardt & Lina Zimmermann, 2010. "Die wirtschaftliche Entwicklung im Inland zur Jahresmitte 2010 - Aufschwung verliert an Fahrt," RWI Konjunkturbericht, Rheinisch-Westfälisches Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, pages 46, 09.
    10. Projektgruppe Gemeinschaftsdiagnose, 2012. "Deutsche Konjunktur im Aufwind – Europäische Schuldenkrise schwelt weiter," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 65(08), pages 03-72, April.
    11. Brügelmann, Ralph, 2010. "Die Wirkung von Konjunkturprogrammen," IW-Trends – Vierteljahresschrift zur empirischen Wirtschaftsforschung, Institut der deutschen Wirtschaft (IW) / German Economic Institute, vol. 37(4), pages 67-80.
    12. Döhrn, Roland & Barabas, György & Gebhardt, Heinz & Kitlinski, Tobias & Micheli, Martin & Schmidt, Torsten & Vosen, Simeon & Zimmermann, Lina, 2010. "Die wirtschaftliche Entwicklung im Inland: Aufschwung verliert an Fahrt," RWI Konjunkturberichte, RWI - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, vol. 61(2), pages 37-82.
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    14. Projektgruppe Gemeinschaftsdiagnose, 2010. "Gemeinschaftsdiagnose Herbst 2010: Deutschland im Aufschwung – Wirtschaftspolitik vor wichtigen Entscheidungen," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 63(20), pages 03-61, October.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Weltwirtschaft; Weltkonjunktur; Konjunktur; Konjunkturprognose; Wirtschaftslage; Deutschland; Welt;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F00 - International Economics - - General - - - General
    • O10 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - General

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