Anthony P. Rodrigues
Citations
Many of the citations below have been collected in an experimental project, CitEc, where a more detailed citation analysis can be found. These are citations from works listed in RePEc that could be analyzed mechanically. So far, only a minority of all works could be analyzed. See under "Corrections" how you can help improve the citation analysis.RePEc Biblio mentions
As found on the RePEc Biblio, the curated bibliography of Economics:- Arturo Estrella & Anthony P. Rodrigues & Sebastian Schich, 2003.
"How Stable is the Predictive Power of the Yield Curve? Evidence from Germany and the United States,"
The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 85(3), pages 629-644, August.
- Arturo Estrella & Anthony P. Rodrigues & Sebastian Schich, 2000. "How stable is the predictive power of the yield curve? evidence from Germany and the United States," Staff Reports 113, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
Mentioned in:
Wikipedia or ReplicationWiki mentions
(Only mentions on Wikipedia that link back to a page on a RePEc service)- Engel, Charles & Rodrigues, Anthony P, 1989.
"Tests of International CAPM with Time-Varying Covariances,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 4(2), pages 119-138, April-Jun.
- Charles Engel & Anthony P. Rodrigues, 1987. "Tests of International CAPM with Time-Varying Covariances," NBER Working Papers 2303, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
Mentioned in:
Working papers
- Doug Brain & Michiel De Pooter & Dobrislav Dobrev & Michael J. Fleming & Peter Johansson & Collin Jones & Frank M. Keane & Michael Puglia & Liza Reiderman & Anthony P. Rodrigues & Or Shachar, 2018.
"Unlocking the Treasury Market through TRACE,"
Liberty Street Economics
20180928b, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
- Doug Brain & Michiel De Pooter & Dobrislav Dobrev & Michael J. Fleming & Peter Johansson & Collin Jones & Frank M. Keane & Michael Puglia & Liza Reiderman & Tony Rodrigues & Or Shachar, 2018. "Unlocking the Treasury Market through TRACE," FEDS Notes 2018-09-28-1, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
Cited by:
- De Pooter, Michiel & Favara, Giovanni & Modugno, Michele & Wu, Jason, 2021.
"Monetary policy uncertainty and monetary policy surprises,"
Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 112(C).
- Michiel De Pooter & Giovanni Favara & Michele Modugno & Jason J. Wu, 2020. "Monetary Policy Uncertainty and Monetary Policy Surprises," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2020-032, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- De Pooter, Michiel & Favara, Giovanni & Modugno, Michele & Wu, Jason, 2021. "Reprint: Monetary policy uncertainty and monetary policy surprises," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 114(C).
- Egemen Eren & Philip Wooldridge, 2021. "Non-bank financial institutions and the functioning of government bond markets," BIS Papers, Bank for International Settlements, number 119.
- James Collin Harkrader & Michael Puglia, 2020. "Price Discovery in the U.S. Treasury Cash Market: On Principal Trading Firms and Dealers," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2020-096, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Doug Brain & Michiel De Pooter & Dobrislav Dobrev & Michael J. Fleming & Peter Johansson & Frank M. Keane & Michael Puglia & Anthony P. Rodrigues & Or Shachar, 2018.
"Breaking Down TRACE Volumes Further,"
Liberty Street Economics
20181129, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
- Doug Brain & Michiel De Pooter & Dobrislav Dobrev & Michael J. Fleming & Peter Johansson & Frank M. Keane & Michael Puglia & Tony Rodrigues & Or Shachar, 2018. "Breaking Down TRACE Volumes Further," FEDS Notes 2018-11-29, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
Cited by:
- Michael J. Fleming & Giang Nguyen & Joshua V. Rosenberg, 2007.
"How do treasury dealers manage their positions?,"
Staff Reports
299, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
- Fleming, Michael & Nguyen, Giang & Rosenberg, Joshua, 2024. "How do Treasury dealers manage their positions?," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 158(C).
- Darrell Duffie & Michael Fleming & Frank Keane & Claire Nelson & Or Shachar & Peter Van Tassel, 2023.
"Dealer capacity and US Treasury market functionality,"
BIS Working Papers
1138, Bank for International Settlements.
- Darrell Duffie & Michael J. Fleming & Frank M. Keane & Claire Nelson & Or Shachar & Peter Van Tassel, 2023. "Dealer Capacity and U.S. Treasury Market Functionality," Staff Reports 1070, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
- Tobias Adrian & Agostino Capponi & Michael J. Fleming & Erik Vogt & Hongzhong Zhang, 2016.
"Intraday market making with overnight inventory costs,"
Staff Reports
799, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
- Adrian, Tobias & Capponi, Agostino & Fleming, Michael & Vogt, Erik & Zhang, Hongzhong, 2020. "Intraday market making with overnight inventory costs," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 50(C).
- Adrian, Tobias & Capponi, Agostino & Vogt, Erik & Zhang, Hongzhong, 2017. "Intraday Market Making with Overnight Inventory Costs," CEPR Discussion Papers 12245, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Michael J. Fleming & Frank M. Keane, 2021. "The Netting Efficiencies of Marketwide Central Clearing," Staff Reports 964, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
- Broto, Carmen & Lamas, Matías, 2020.
"Is market liquidity less resilient after the financial crisis? Evidence for US Treasuries,"
Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 93(C), pages 217-229.
- Carmen Broto & Matías Lamas, 2019. "Is market liquidity less resilient after the financial crisis? Evidence for us treasuries," Working Papers 1917, Banco de España.
- James Collin Harkrader & Michael Puglia, 2020. "Price Discovery in the U.S. Treasury Cash Market: On Principal Trading Firms and Dealers," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2020-096, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Bonni Brodsky & Marco Del Negro & Joseph Fiorica & Eric LeSueur & Ari Morse & Anthony P. Rodrigues, 2016.
"Reconciling Survey- and Market-Based Expectations for the Policy Rate,"
Liberty Street Economics
20160408, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
Cited by:
- Dr. Lucas Marc Fuhrer & Dr. Basil Guggenheim & Dr. Matthias Jüttner, 2018. "What do Swiss franc Libor futures really tell us?," Working Papers 2018-06, Swiss National Bank.
- Leo Krippner & Michael Callaghan, 2016. "Short-term risk premiums and policy rate expectations in the United States," Reserve Bank of New Zealand Analytical Notes series AN2016/07, Reserve Bank of New Zealand.
- Bonni Brodsky & Marco Del Negro & Joseph Fiorica & Eric LeSueur & Ari Morse & Anthony P. Rodrigues, 2016.
"How Do Survey- and Market-Based Expectations of the Policy Rate Differ?,"
Liberty Street Economics
20160407, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
Cited by:
- Dr. Lucas Marc Fuhrer & Dr. Basil Guggenheim & Dr. Matthias Jüttner, 2018. "What do Swiss franc Libor futures really tell us?," Working Papers 2018-06, Swiss National Bank.
- Leo Krippner & Michael Callaghan, 2016. "Short-term risk premiums and policy rate expectations in the United States," Reserve Bank of New Zealand Analytical Notes series AN2016/07, Reserve Bank of New Zealand.
- Arturo Estrella & Anthony P. Rodrigues, 2005.
"One-sided test for an unknown breakpoint: theory, computation, and application to monetary theory,"
Staff Reports
232, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
Cited by:
- Linda S. Goldberg & Michael W. Klein, 2007.
"Establishing Credibility: Evolving Perceptions of the European Central Bank,"
The Institute for International Integration Studies Discussion Paper Series
iiisdp194, IIIS.
- Linda S. Goldberg & Michael W. Klein, 2005. "Establishing Credibility: Evolving Perceptions of the European Central Bank," The Institute for International Integration Studies Discussion Paper Series iiisdp105, IIIS.
- Linda S. Goldberg & Michael W. Klein, 2005. "Establishing credibility: evolving perceptions of the European Central Bank," Staff Reports 231, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
- Linda S. Goldberg & Michael W. Klein, 2005. "Establishing Credibility: Evolving Perceptions of the European Central Bank," NBER Working Papers 11792, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Sandip Sinharay, 2017. "Some Remarks on Applications of Tests for Detecting A Change Point to Psychometric Problems," Psychometrika, Springer;The Psychometric Society, vol. 82(4), pages 1149-1161, December.
- Jean-Marc Azaïs & Alan Genz, 2013. "Computation of the Distribution of the Maximum of Stationary Gaussian Processes," Methodology and Computing in Applied Probability, Springer, vol. 15(4), pages 969-985, December.
- Linda S. Goldberg & Michael W. Klein, 2007.
"Establishing Credibility: Evolving Perceptions of the European Central Bank,"
The Institute for International Integration Studies Discussion Paper Series
iiisdp194, IIIS.
- Arturo Estrella & Anthony P. Rodrigues & Sebastian Schich, 2000.
"How stable is the predictive power of the yield curve? evidence from Germany and the United States,"
Staff Reports
113, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
- Arturo Estrella & Anthony P. Rodrigues & Sebastian Schich, 2003. "How Stable is the Predictive Power of the Yield Curve? Evidence from Germany and the United States," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 85(3), pages 629-644, August.
Cited by:
- Muhammad Yasir & Sitara Afzal & Khalid Latif & Ghulam Mujtaba Chaudhary & Nazish Yameen Malik & Farhan Shahzad & Oh-young Song, 2020. "An Efficient Deep Learning Based Model to Predict Interest Rate Using Twitter Sentiment," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(4), pages 1-16, February.
- Ken Nyholm, 2007. "A New Approach to Predicting Recessions," Economic Notes, Banca Monte dei Paschi di Siena SpA, vol. 36(1), pages 27-42, February.
- Lahiri, Kajal & Monokroussos, George & Zhao, Yongchen, 2013.
"The yield spread puzzle and the information content of SPF forecasts,"
Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 118(1), pages 219-221.
- Kajal Lahiri & George Monokroussos & Yongchen Zhao, 2012. "The yield spread puzzle and the information content of SPF forecasts," Discussion Papers 12-04, University at Albany, SUNY, Department of Economics.
- Kajal Lahiri & George Monokroussos & Yongchen Zhao, 2012. "The Yield Spread Puzzle and the Information Content of SPF Forecasts," CESifo Working Paper Series 3949, CESifo.
- Galvão, Ana Beatriz, 2013.
"Changes in predictive ability with mixed frequency data,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 29(3), pages 395-410.
- Ana Beatriz Galvão, 2007. "Changes in Predictive Ability with Mixed Frequency Data," Working Papers 595, Queen Mary University of London, School of Economics and Finance.
- Quentin LAJAUNIE, 2021. "Nonlinear Impulse Response Function for Dichotomous Models," LEO Working Papers / DR LEO 2852, Orleans Economics Laboratory / Laboratoire d'Economie d'Orleans (LEO), University of Orleans.
- Esther Fernández Galar & Javier Gómez Biscarri, 2003. "Revisiting the Ability of Interest Rate Spreads to Predict Recessions: Evidence for a," Faculty Working Papers 04/03, School of Economics and Business Administration, University of Navarra.
- Gab-Je Jo, 2024. "Analysis of Long-Term Bond Yields Using Deviations from Covered Interest Rate Parity," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 17(3), pages 1-15, March.
- Pierdzioch Christian & Gupta Rangan, 2020.
"Uncertainty and Forecasts of U.S. Recessions,"
Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 24(4), pages 1-20, September.
- Christian Pierdzioch & Rangan Gupta, 2017. "Uncertainty and Forecasts of U.S. Recessions," Working Papers 201732, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Laurent Ferrara & Clément Marsilli, 2012.
"Financial variables as leading indicators of GDP growth: Evidence from a MIDAS approach during the Great Recession,"
Working Papers
hal-04141077, HAL.
- Laurent Ferrara & Cl�ment Marsilli, 2013. "Financial variables as leading indicators of GDP growth: Evidence from a MIDAS approach during the Great Recession," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 20(3), pages 233-237, February.
- Laurent Ferrara & Clément Marsilli, 2013. "Financial variables as leading indicators of GDP growth: Evidence from a MIDAS approach during the Great Recession," Post-Print hal-01385844, HAL.
- Laurent Ferrara & Clément Marsilli, 2012. "Financial variables as leading indicators of GDP growth: Evidence from a MIDAS approach during the Great Recession," EconomiX Working Papers 2012-19, University of Paris Nanterre, EconomiX.
- Katsuhiro Sugita, 2015. "Bayesian analysis of the predictive power of the yield curve using a vector autoregressive model with multiple structural breaks," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 35(3), pages 1867-1873.
- Donato Ceci & Andrea Silvestrini, 2023.
"Nowcasting the state of the Italian economy: The role of financial markets,"
Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(7), pages 1569-1593, November.
- Donato Ceci & Andrea Silvestrini, 2022. "Nowcasting the state of the Italian economy: the role of financial markets," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 1362, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
- Jean-Baptiste Hasse & Quentin Lajaunie, 2020.
"Does the Yield Curve Signal Recessions? New Evidence from an International Panel Data Analysis,"
AMSE Working Papers
2013, Aix-Marseille School of Economics, France.
- Hasse, Jean-Baptiste & Lajaunie, Quentin, 2022. "Does the yield curve signal recessions? New evidence from an international panel data analysis," LIDAM Reprints LFIN 2022004, Université catholique de Louvain, Louvain Finance (LFIN).
- Hasse, Jean-Baptiste & Lajaunie, Quentin, 2022. "Does the yield curve signal recessions? New evidence from an international panel data analysis," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 84(C), pages 9-22.
- Jean-Baptiste Hasse & Quentin Lajaunie, 2022. "Does the yield curve signal recessions? New evidence from an international panel data analysis," Post-Print hal-03740235, HAL.
- Jean-Baptiste Hasse & Quentin Lajaunie, 2020. "Does the Yield Curve Signal Recessions? New Evidence from an International Panel Data Analysis," Working Papers halshs-02549044, HAL.
- Tobias Adrian & Arturo Estrella & Hyun Song Shin, 2019.
"Risk‐taking channel of monetary policy,"
Financial Management, Financial Management Association International, vol. 48(3), pages 725-738, September.
- Adrian, Tobias & Estrella, Arturo & Shin, Hyun Song, 2018. "Risk-Taking Channel of Monetary Policy," CEPR Discussion Papers 12677, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Periklis Gogas & Ioannis Pragidis, 2012. "GDP trend deviations and the yield spread: the case of eight E.U. countries," Journal of Economics and Finance, Springer;Academy of Economics and Finance, vol. 36(1), pages 226-237, January.
- Poon, Aubrey & Zhu, Dan, 2022. "Do Recessions Occur Concurrently Across Countries? A Multinomial Logistic Approach," Working Papers 2022:11, Örebro University, School of Business.
- Ege, Yazgan & Huseyin, Kaya, 2010. "Has inflation targeting increased predictive power of term structure about future inflation: evidence from an emerging market ?," MPRA Paper 24810, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Pauwels, Laurent & Vasnev, Andrey, 2013.
"Forecast combination for U.S. recessions with real-time data,"
Working Papers
02/2013, University of Sydney Business School, Discipline of Business Analytics.
- Pauwels, Laurent & Vasnev, Andrey, 2014. "Forecast combination for U.S. recessions with real-time data," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 28(C), pages 138-148.
- Pauwels, Laurent & Vasnev, Andrey, 2013. "Forecast combination for U.S. recessions with real-time data," Working Papers 2013-05, University of Sydney Business School, Discipline of Business Analytics.
- Dopke, Jorg & Fritsche, Ulrich, 2006. "When do forecasters disagree? An assessment of German growth and inflation forecast dispersion," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 22(1), pages 125-135.
- Pederzoli, Chiara & Torricelli, Costanza, 2005. "Capital requirements and business cycle regimes: Forward-looking modelling of default probabilities," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 29(12), pages 3121-3140, December.
- Michael Dueker & Katrin Assenmacher-Wesche, 2010.
"Forecasting macro variables with a Qual VAR business cycle turning point index,"
Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 42(23), pages 2909-2920.
- Michael J. Dueker & Katrin Wesche, 2005. "Forecasting macro variables with a Qual VAR business cycle turning point index," Working Papers 2001-019, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.
- Menzie D. Chinn & Kavan J. Kucko, 2010.
"The Predictive Power of the Yield Curve across Countries and Time,"
NBER Working Papers
16398, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Menzie Chinn & Kavan Kucko, 2015. "The Predictive Power of the Yield Curve Across Countries and Time," International Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 18(2), pages 129-156, June.
- Nicholas Apergis & James E. Payne, 2013. "New Evidence on the Information and Predictive Content of the Baltic Dry Index," IJFS, MDPI, vol. 1(3), pages 1-19, July.
- Galvao, Ana Beatriz & Costa, Sonia, 2013. "Does the euro area forward rate provide accurate forecasts of the short rate?," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 29(1), pages 131-141.
- Guidolin, Massimo & Ono, Sadayuki, 2006.
"Are the dynamic linkages between the macroeconomy and asset prices time-varying?,"
Journal of Economics and Business, Elsevier, vol. 58(5-6), pages 480-518.
- Massimo Guidolin & Sadayuki Ono, 2005. "Are the dynamic linkages between the macroeconomy and asset prices time-varying?," Working Papers 2005-056, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.
- Anna Florio, 2016.
"The central bank as shaper and observer of events: The case of the yield spread,"
Canadian Journal of Economics/Revue canadienne d'économique, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 49(1), pages 320-346, February.
- Anna Florio, 2016. "The central bank as shaper and observer of events: The case of the yield spread," Canadian Journal of Economics, Canadian Economics Association, vol. 49(1), pages 320-346, February.
- Shuaizhang Feng & Jiandong Sun, 2020. "Misclassification-Errors-Adjusted Sahm Rule for Early Identification of Economic Recession," Working Papers 2020-029, Human Capital and Economic Opportunity Working Group.
- Aguiar-Conraria, Luís & Martins, Manuel M.F. & Soares, Maria Joana, 2012.
"The yield curve and the macro-economy across time and frequencies,"
Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 36(12), pages 1950-1970.
- Luís Aguiar-Conraria & Manuel M. F. Martins & Maria Joana Soares, 2010. "The yield curve and the macro-economy across time and frequencies," CEF.UP Working Papers 1004, Universidade do Porto, Faculdade de Economia do Porto.
- Luís Francisco Aguiar & Manuel M. F. Martins & Maria Joana Soares, 2010. "The yield curve and the macro-economy across time and frequencies," NIPE Working Papers 21/2010, NIPE - Universidade do Minho.
- Favero, Carlo A. & Söderström, Ulf & Kaminska, Iryna, 2005.
"The Predictive Power of the Yield Spread: Further Evidence and A Structural Interpretation,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
4910, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Carlo Favero & Iryna Kaminska & Ulf Soderstrom, 2005. "The Predictive Power of the Yield Spread: Further Evidence and a Structural Interpretation," Working Papers 280, IGIER (Innocenzo Gasparini Institute for Economic Research), Bocconi University.
- Michael Feroli, 2004. "Monetary policy and the information content of the yield spread," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2004-44, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Alonso Gomez & John M Maheu & Alex Maynard, 2008. "Improving Forecasts of Inflation using the Term Structure of Interest Rates," Working Papers tecipa-319, University of Toronto, Department of Economics.
- Marcelle Chauvet & Simon Potter, 2005.
"Forecasting recessions using the yield curve,"
Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 24(2), pages 77-103.
- Marcelle Chauvet & Simon M. Potter, 2001. "Forecasting recessions using the yield curve," Staff Reports 134, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
- Hogrefe, Jens, 2007. "The yield spread and GDP growth - Time Varying Leading Properties and the Role of Monetary Policy," Economics Working Papers 2007-12, Christian-Albrechts-University of Kiel, Department of Economics.
- Ferreira García, María Eva & Martínez, María Isabel & Navarro, Eliseo & Rubio Irigoyen, Gonzalo, 2005. "Consumer Confidence and Yield Spreads in Europe," DFAEII Working Papers 1988-088X, University of the Basque Country - Department of Foundations of Economic Analysis II.
- B. De Backer & M. Deroose & Ch. Van Nieuwenhuyze, 2019. "Is a recession imminent? The signal of the yield curve," Economic Review, National Bank of Belgium, issue i, pages 69-93, June.
- Shuping Shi & Peter C. B. Phillips & Stan Hurn, 2018.
"Change Detection and the Causal Impact of the Yield Curve,"
Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 39(6), pages 966-987, November.
- Stan Hurn & Peter C. B. Phillips & Shu-Ping Shi, 2016. ""Change Detection and the Causal Impact of the Yield Curve," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 2058, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University.
- Stan Hurn & Peter C B Phillips & Shuping Shi, 2015. "Change Detection and the Casual Impact of the Yield Curve," NCER Working Paper Series 107, National Centre for Econometric Research.
- Ng, Eric C.Y., 2012. "Forecasting US recessions with various risk factors and dynamic probit models," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 34(1), pages 112-125.
- Drechsel, Katja & Scheufele, Rolf, 2012. "The performance of short-term forecasts of the German economy before and during the 2008/2009 recession," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 28(2), pages 428-445.
- Arturo Estrella & Mary R. Trubin, 2006. "The yield curve as a leading indicator: some practical issues," Current Issues in Economics and Finance, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, vol. 12(Jul).
- Raffaella Giacomini & Barbara Rossi, 2006.
"How Stable is the Forecasting Performance of the Yield Curve for Output Growth?,"
Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 68(s1), pages 783-795, December.
- Rossi, Barbara & Giacomini, Raffaella, 2005. "How Stable is the Forecasting Performance of the Yield Curve for Outpot Growth?," Working Papers 05-08, Duke University, Department of Economics.
- Kuosmanen, Petri & Vataja, Juuso, 2011. "The role of stock markets vs. the term spread in forecasting macrovariables in Finland," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 51(2), pages 124-132, May.
- Arturo Estrella, 2005. "Why Does the Yield Curve Predict Output and Inflation?," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 115(505), pages 722-744, July.
- Schrimpf, Andreas & Wang, Qingwei, 2010. "A reappraisal of the leading indicator properties of the yield curve under structural instability," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 26(4), pages 836-857, October.
- Kuosmanen, Petri & Nabulsi, Nasib & Vataja, Juuso, 2015. "Financial variables and economic activity in the Nordic countries," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 37(C), pages 368-379.
- Massimo Ferrari Minesso & Laura Lebastard & Helena Mezo, 2023.
"Text-Based Recession Probabilities,"
IMF Economic Review, Palgrave Macmillan;International Monetary Fund, vol. 71(2), pages 415-438, June.
- Le Mezo, Helena & Ferrari Minesso, Massimo, 2021. "Text-based recession probabilities," Working Paper Series 2516, European Central Bank.
- Ibarra-Ramírez Raúl, 2021. "The Yield Curve as a Predictor of Economic Activity in Mexico: The Role of the Term Premium," Working Papers 2021-07, Banco de México.
- Mathias Moersch & Armin Pohl, 2011. "Predicting recessions with the term spread - recent evidence from seven countries," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 18(13), pages 1285-1288.
- Linda S. Goldberg & Michael W. Klein, 2007.
"Establishing Credibility: Evolving Perceptions of the European Central Bank,"
The Institute for International Integration Studies Discussion Paper Series
iiisdp194, IIIS.
- Linda S. Goldberg & Michael W. Klein, 2005. "Establishing Credibility: Evolving Perceptions of the European Central Bank," The Institute for International Integration Studies Discussion Paper Series iiisdp105, IIIS.
- Linda S. Goldberg & Michael W. Klein, 2005. "Establishing credibility: evolving perceptions of the European Central Bank," Staff Reports 231, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
- Linda S. Goldberg & Michael W. Klein, 2005. "Establishing Credibility: Evolving Perceptions of the European Central Bank," NBER Working Papers 11792, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Goodness C. Aye & Christina Christou & Luis A. Gil-Alana & Rangan Gupta, 2016.
"Forecasting the Probability of Recessions in South Africa: The Role of Decomposed Term-Spread and Economic Policy Uncertainty,"
Working Papers
201680, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Goodness C. Aye & Christina Christou & Luis A. Gil‐Alana & Rangan Gupta, 2019. "Forecasting the Probability of Recessions in South Africa: the Role of Decomposed Term Spread and Economic Policy Uncertainty," Journal of International Development, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 31(1), pages 101-116, January.
- Hännikäinen, Jari, 2016.
"When does the yield curve contain predictive power? Evidence from a data-rich environment,"
MPRA Paper
70489, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Jari Hännikäinen, 2016. "When does the yield curve contain predictive power? Evidence from a data-rich environment," Working Papers 1603, Tampere University, Faculty of Management and Business, Economics.
- Hännikäinen, Jari, 2017. "When does the yield curve contain predictive power? Evidence from a data-rich environment," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 33(4), pages 1044-1064.
- Bellégo, C. & Ferrara, L., 2009. "Forecasting Euro-area recessions using time-varying binary response models for financial," Working papers 259, Banque de France.
- Hännikäinen, Jari, 2014.
"Zero lower bound, unconventional monetary policy and indicator properties of interest rate spreads,"
MPRA Paper
56737, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Hännikäinen, Jari, 2015. "Zero lower bound, unconventional monetary policy and indicator properties of interest rate spreads," Review of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 26(C), pages 47-54.
- Jari Hännikäinen, 2014. "Zero lower bound, unconventional monetary policy and indicator properties of interest rate spreads," Working Papers 1495, Tampere University, Faculty of Management and Business, Economics.
- Bellégo, C. & Ferrara, L., 2012. "Macro-financial linkages and business cycles: A factor-augmented probit approach," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 29(5), pages 1793-1797.
- Herman O. Stekler & Tianyu Ye, 2017.
"Evaluating a leading indicator: an application—the term spread,"
Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 53(1), pages 183-194, August.
- Herman O. Stekler & Tianyu Ye, 2016. "Evaluating a Leading Indicator: An Application: the Term Spread," Working Papers 2016-004, The George Washington University, Department of Economics, H. O. Stekler Research Program on Forecasting.
- Dovern, Jonas & Ziegler, Christina, 2008.
"Predicting growth rates and recessions: assessing US leading indicators under real-time conditions,"
Kiel Working Papers
1397, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
- Jonas Dovern & Christina Ziegler, 2008. "Predicting Growth Rates and Recessions. Assessing U.S. Leading Indicators under Real-Time Condition," Applied Economics Quarterly (formerly: Konjunkturpolitik), Duncker & Humblot, Berlin, vol. 54(4), pages 293-318.
- Thomas B. King & Andrew T. Levin & Roberto Perli, 2007. "Financial market perceptions of recession risk," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2007-57, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Junttila, Juha & Vataja, Juuso, 2018. "Economic policy uncertainty effects for forecasting future real economic activity," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 42(4), pages 569-583.
- Simon M. Potter & Edward E. Leamer, 2004.
"A Nonlinear Model of the Business Cycle,"
Econometric Society 2004 North American Winter Meetings
490, Econometric Society.
- Potter Simon M., 2000. "A Nonlinear Model of the Business Cycle," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 4(2), pages 1-11, July.
- Manfred Keil & Edward Leamer & Yao Li, 2023. "An investigation into the probability that this is the last year of the economic expansion," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(5), pages 1228-1244, August.
- Tomas Havranek & Roman Horvath & Jakub Mateju, 2010. "Do Financial Variables Help Predict Macroeconomic Environment? The Case of the Czech Republic," Working Papers 2010/06, Czech National Bank.
- Eva Ferreira & M. Isabel Martínez Serna & Eliseo Navarro & Gonzalo Rubio, 2008. "Economic Sentiment and Yield Spreads in Europe," European Financial Management, European Financial Management Association, vol. 14(2), pages 206-221, March.
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Articles
- Arturo Estrella & Anthony P. Rodrigues & Sebastian Schich, 2003.
"How Stable is the Predictive Power of the Yield Curve? Evidence from Germany and the United States,"
The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 85(3), pages 629-644, August.
See citations under working paper version above.
- Arturo Estrella & Anthony P. Rodrigues & Sebastian Schich, 2000. "How stable is the predictive power of the yield curve? evidence from Germany and the United States," Staff Reports 113, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
- Anthony P. Rodrigues, 1995.
"Why do volatilities sometimes move together?,"
Proceedings, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.), pages 123-146.
Cited by:
- John Ammer, 1996. "Macroeconomic state variables as determinants of asset price covariances," International Finance Discussion Papers 553, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Engel, Charles & Frankel, Jeffrey A. & Froot, Kenneth A. & Rodrigues, Anthony P., 1995.
"Tests of conditional mean-variance efficiency of the U.S. stock market,"
Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 2(1), pages 3-18, March.
Cited by:
- Joyce, Michael & Lasaosa, Ana & Stevens , Ibrahim & Tong, Matthew, 2010. "The financial market impact of quantitative easing," Bank of England working papers 393, Bank of England.
- N. Groenewold & P. Fraser, 1998. "Tests of Asset-pricing Models: How important is the IID-normal assumptions?," Economics Discussion / Working Papers 98-20, The University of Western Australia, Department of Economics.
- N. Groenewold, 2000. "The Sensitivity of Tests of Asset Pricing Models to the IID-normal Assumptions: Contemporaneous evidence from the US and UK stock markets," Economics Discussion / Working Papers 00-06, The University of Western Australia, Department of Economics.
- Groenewold, Nicolaas & Fraser, Patricia, 2001. "Tests of asset-pricing models: how important is the iid-normal assumption?," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 8(4), pages 427-449, September.
- Patricia Fraser & Nicolaas Groenewold, 2000. "The effect of exchange rate shocks on the volatility of Australian sector excess returns: a note," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 7(2), pages 77-81.
- Wang, Kevin Q., 2002. "Nonparametric tests of conditional mean-variance efficiency of a benchmark portfolio," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 9(2), pages 133-169, March.
- Majumder, Debasish, 2014. "Asset pricing for inefficient markets: Evidence from China and India," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 54(2), pages 282-291.
- Eric Girard & Amit Sinha, 2006. "Does Total Risk Matter? The Case of Emerging Markets," Multinational Finance Journal, Multinational Finance Journal, vol. 10(1-2), pages 117-151, March-Jun.
- Shah, Imran Hussain & Schmidt-Fischer, Francesca & Malki, Issam & Hatfield, Richard, 2019. "A structural break approach to analysing the impact of the QE portfolio balance channel on the US stock market," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 64(C), pages 204-220.
- Engel, Charles M & Rodrigues, Anthony P, 1993.
"Tests of Mean-Variance Efficiency of International Equity Markets,"
Oxford Economic Papers, Oxford University Press, vol. 45(3), pages 403-421, July.
See citations under working paper version above.
- Charles Engel & Anthony P. Rodrigues, 1992. "Tests of mean-variance efficiency of international equity markets," Research Paper 9209, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
- Charles Engel & Anthony P. Rodrigues, 1990. "Tests of mean-variance efficiency of international equity markets," Research Working Paper 90-05, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City.
- Anthony P. Rodrigues, 1993.
"Government securities investments of commercial banks,"
Quarterly Review, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, vol. 18(Sum), pages 39-53.
Cited by:
- Ito, Takatoshi & Sasaki, Yuri Nagataki, 2002.
"Impacts of the Basle Capital Standard on Japanese Banks' Behavior,"
Journal of the Japanese and International Economies, Elsevier, vol. 16(3), pages 372-397, September.
- Takatoshi Ito & Yuri Nagataki Sasaki, 1998. "Impacts of the Basle Capital Standard on Japanese Banks' Behavior," Discussion Paper Series a356, Institute of Economic Research, Hitotsubashi University.
- Takatoshi Ito & Yuri Nagatake Sasaki, 1998. "Impacts of the Basle Capital Standard on Japanese Banks' Behavior," NBER Working Papers 6730, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- José Carlos Teixeira & Carlos Vieira & Paulo Ferreira, 2021. "The Effects of Government Bonds on Liquidity Risk and Bank Profitability in Cape Verde," IJFS, MDPI, vol. 9(1), pages 1-23, January.
- Piotr Ciżkowicz & Andrzej Rzońcaz, 2017. "Are Major Central Banks Blinded By The Analytical Elegance Of Their Models? Possible Costs Of Unconventional Monetary Policy Measures," The Singapore Economic Review (SER), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 62(01), pages 87-108, March.
- Ito, Takatoshi & Sasaki, Yuri Nagataki, 2002.
"Impacts of the Basle Capital Standard on Japanese Banks' Behavior,"
Journal of the Japanese and International Economies, Elsevier, vol. 16(3), pages 372-397, September.
- Bruce Kasman & Anthony P. Rodrigues, 1991.
"Financial liberalization and monetary control in Japan,"
Quarterly Review, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, vol. 16(Aut), pages 28-46.
Cited by:
- J T Kneeshaw, 1995. "A survey of non-financial sector balance sheets in industialised countries: implications for the monetary policy transmission mechanism," BIS Working Papers 25, Bank for International Settlements.
- James R. Rhodes & Naoyuki Yoshino, 2007. "Japan’s Monetary Policy Transition, 1955-2005," GRIPS Discussion Papers 07-04, National Graduate Institute for Policy Studies.
- Bruce Kasman, 1993. "A comparison of monetary policy operating procedures in six industrial countries," Proceedings, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Rhodes, James & Yoshino, Naoyuki, 2005.
"Japan's monetary policy transition, 1955-2004,"
MPRA Paper
4387, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised Jun 2007.
- Naoyuki Yoshino & James R. Rhodes, 2004. "Japan's Monetary Policy Transition, 1955-2004," Econometric Society 2004 Far Eastern Meetings 725, Econometric Society.
- John E. Morton & Paul R. Wood, 1993. "Interest rate operating procedures of foreign central banks," Proceedings, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Sun Bae Kim & Ramon Moreno, 1993. "Money, interest rates and economic activity: stylized facts for Japan," Economic Review, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, pages 12-24.
- Robert B. Kahn & Linda S. Kole, 1993. "Monetary transmission channels in major foreign industrial countries," Proceedings, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Hyoung-kyu Chey & Yu Wai Vic Li, 2016. "Bringing the Central Bank into the Study of Currency Internationalization: Monetary Policy, Independence, and Internationalization," GRIPS Discussion Papers 15-23, National Graduate Institute for Policy Studies.
- Engel, Charles & Rodrigues, Anthony P, 1989.
"Tests of International CAPM with Time-Varying Covariances,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 4(2), pages 119-138, April-Jun.
See citations under working paper version above.
- Charles Engel & Anthony P. Rodrigues, 1987. "Tests of International CAPM with Time-Varying Covariances," NBER Working Papers 2303, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Juann H. Hung & Charles Pigott & Anthony P. Rodrigues, 1988.
"Financial implications of the U.S. external deficit,"
Quarterly Review, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, vol. 13(Win), pages 33-51.
Cited by:
- Robert McCauley, 1999. "The Euro and the Dollar, 1998," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 10(1), pages 91-133, February.
- Robert N. McCauley, 1997.
"The euro and the dollar,"
BIS Working Papers
50, Bank for International Settlements.
- McCauley, R.N., 1997. "The Euro and the Dollar," Princeton Essays in International Economics 205, International Economics Section, Departement of Economics Princeton University,.
Books
- Kausar Hamdani & Anthony P. Rodrigues & Maria Varvatsoulis, 1994.
"Survey evidence on credit tightening and the factors behind the recent credit crunch,"
Monograph,
Federal Reserve Bank of New York, number 1994seoctatfbtrc.
Cited by:
- Philippe BACCHETTA & Stefan GERLACH, 1997.
"Consumption and Credit Constraints : International Evidence,"
Cahiers de Recherches Economiques du Département d'économie
9707, Université de Lausanne, Faculté des HEC, Département d’économie.
- Bacchetta, Philippe & Gerlach, Stefan, 1997. "Consumption and credit constraints: International evidence," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 40(2), pages 207-238, October.
- Bacchetta, Philippe & Gerlach, Stefan, 1997. "Consumption and Credit Constraints: International evidence," CEPR Discussion Papers 1727, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- William R. Keeton, 1999. "Does faster loan growth lead to higher loan losses?," Economic Review, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, vol. 84(Q II), pages 57-75.
- Philippe BACCHETTA & Stefan GERLACH, 1997.
"Consumption and Credit Constraints : International Evidence,"
Cahiers de Recherches Economiques du Département d'économie
9707, Université de Lausanne, Faculté des HEC, Département d’économie.
- Richard Cantor & Anthony P. Rodrigues, 1994.
"Nonbank lenders and the credit slowdown,"
Monograph,
Federal Reserve Bank of New York, number 1994nlatc.
Cited by:
- Richard G. Anderson & Charles S. Gascon, 2009. "The commercial paper market, the Fed, and the 2007-2009 financial crisis," Review, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, vol. 91(Nov), pages 589-612.