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Dealer Capacity and U.S. Treasury Market Functionality

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Abstract

We show a significant loss in U.S. Treasury market functionality when intensive use of dealer balance sheets is needed to intermediate bond markets, as in March 2020. Although yield volatility explains most of the variation in Treasury market liquidity over time, when dealer balance sheet utilization reaches sufficiently high levels, liquidity is much worse than predicted by yield volatility alone. This is consistent with the existence of occasionally binding constraints on the intermediation capacity of bond markets.

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  • Darrell Duffie & Michael J. Fleming & Frank M. Keane & Claire Nelson & Or Shachar & Peter Van Tassel, 2023. "Dealer Capacity and U.S. Treasury Market Functionality," Staff Reports 1070, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
    • Handle: RePEc:fip:fednsr:96553
    DOI: 10.59576/sr.1070
    Note: Revised October 2023.
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    Cited by:

    1. Scheicher, Martin, 2023. "Intermediation in US and EU bond and swap markets: stylised facts, trends and impact of the coronavirus (COVID-19) crisis in March 2020," ESRB Occasional Paper Series 24, European Systemic Risk Board.
    2. Kerssenfischer, Mark & Helmus, Caspar, 2024. "Outages in sovereign bond markets," Working Paper Series 2944, European Central Bank.
    3. Cimon, David A. & Walton, Adrian, 2024. "Central bank liquidity facilities and market making," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 162(C).

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Treasury market; liquidity; volatility; dealer intermediation; Value-at-Risk;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E58 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Central Banks and Their Policies
    • G01 - Financial Economics - - General - - - Financial Crises
    • G1 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets
    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
    • G18 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Government Policy and Regulation

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