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Currency Depreciation and Korean Stock Market Performance during the Asian Financial Crisis

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  • WenShwo Fang

    (Feng Chia University)

  • Stephen M. Miller

    (University of Nevada and University of Connecticut)

Abstract

Structural shifts characterize the volatility of the Korean stock and foreign exchange markets during the 1997 Asian financial crisis. This paper employs an unrestricted bivariate GARCH-M model of stock market returns to investigate empirically the effects of daily currency depreciation on Korean stock market returns. The evidence shows that currency depreciation significantly affects stock market performance through three distinct channels: exchange rate depreciation adversely affects stock market returns, higher exchange rate depreciation volatility induces higher stock market returns, and exchange rate depreciation volatility raises stock market return volatility. The evidence suggests that small open stock markets are vulnerable to exchange rate movements.

Suggested Citation

  • WenShwo Fang & Stephen M. Miller, 2002. "Currency Depreciation and Korean Stock Market Performance during the Asian Financial Crisis," Working papers 2002-30, University of Connecticut, Department of Economics.
    • Handle: RePEc:uct:uconnp:2002-30
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    4. Raphael Gwahula, 2018. "Examining Key Macroeconomic Factors Influencing the Stock Market Performance: Evidence from Tanzania," International Journal of Academic Research in Accounting, Finance and Management Sciences, Human Resource Management Academic Research Society, International Journal of Academic Research in Accounting, Finance and Management Sciences, vol. 8(2), pages 228-234, April.
    5. Mardi Dungey & Renee Fry & Brenda Gonzalez-Hermosillo & Vance Martin, 2005. "Empirical modelling of contagion: a review of methodologies," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 5(1), pages 9-24.
    6. Bing Zhang & Xindan Li, 2010. "Currency appreciation and stock market performance: Evidence from China," Frontiers of Economics in China, Springer;Higher Education Press, vol. 5(3), pages 393-411, September.
    7. Saqib Muneer & Babar Zaheer Butt & Kashif Ur Rehman, 2011. "A Multifactor Model of Banking Industry Stock Returns: An Emerging Market Perspective," Information Management and Business Review, AMH International, vol. 2(6), pages 267-275.
    8. Anhar Fauzan Priyono & Arief Bustaman, 2014. "Volatility Transmission between Exchange Rates and Stock Prices in Indonesia post 1997 Asia Crisis," Working Papers in Economics and Development Studies (WoPEDS) 201404, Department of Economics, Padjadjaran University, revised Feb 2014.
    9. Choi, Sun-Yong, 2022. "Volatility spillovers among Northeast Asia and the US: Evidence from the global financial crisis and the COVID-19 pandemic," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 73(C), pages 179-193.
    10. Subrata Roy, 2020. "Gold & Stock Relation: Investors’ Reaction During Covid-19 Outbreak," Review of Economic and Business Studies, Alexandru Ioan Cuza University, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, issue 26, pages 29-52, December.
    11. Betül Çal, 2015. "Reconciliation of Expectancy-Valence and Expectation-Disconfirmation Paradigms in Investment Decisions: Case of Turkish Equity Investors," International Journal of Business and Social Research, MIR Center for Socio-Economic Research, vol. 5(1), pages 15-32, January.
    12. Alok Kumar Mishra, 2004. "Stock Market and Foreign Exchange Market in India: Are they Related?," South Asia Economic Journal, Institute of Policy Studies of Sri Lanka, vol. 5(2), pages 209-232, September.
    13. Gnagne, Pascal Xavier & Bonga-Bonga, Lumengo, 2020. "The Impact of Exchange Rate Volatility on the Security Markets in BRICS Economies," Economia Internazionale / International Economics, Camera di Commercio Industria Artigianato Agricoltura di Genova, vol. 73(1), pages 21-50.
    14. Mira Nurmakhanova, 2019. "Exchange Rate and Stock Prices Interactions in Kazakhstan," Eurasian Journal of Economics and Finance, Eurasian Publications, vol. 7(2), pages 19-31.
    15. Joshua Odutola Omokehinde & Matthew Adeolu Abata & Stephen Oseko Migiro, 2017. "Foreign Exchange News Announcements and the Volatility of Stock Returns in Nigeria," SPOUDAI Journal of Economics and Business, SPOUDAI Journal of Economics and Business, University of Piraeus, vol. 67(3), pages 3-17, july-Sept.
    16. Sandoval Paucar, Giovanny, 2018. "Efectos de desbordamiento sobre los mercados financieros de Colombia. Identificación a través de la heterocedasticidad [Spillovers effects on financial markets of Colombia. Identification through h," MPRA Paper 90422, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    17. Sanjay Sehgal & Mala Dutt, 2018. "Domestic and International Information Linkages for the US Dollar/Indian Rupee Contracts: An Empirical Study," Management and Labour Studies, XLRI Jamshedpur, School of Business Management & Human Resources, vol. 43(4), pages 205-233, November.
    18. Bonga-Bonga, Lumengo & Gnagne, Pascal Xavier, 2017. "The impact of exchange rate volatility on capital flows in BRICS economies," MPRA Paper 84773, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    19. Stefanescu, Razvan & Dumitriu, Ramona, 2013. "Impact of the foreign exchange rates fluctuations on returns and volatility of the Bucharest Stock Exchange," MPRA Paper 47229, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 04 Apr 2013.
    20. Mehmet PEKKAYA & Ersin AÇIKGÖZ & Veli YILANCI, 2017. "Panel causality analysis between exchange rates and stock indexes for fragile five," Theoretical and Applied Economics, Asociatia Generala a Economistilor din Romania / Editura Economica, vol. 0(2(611), S), pages 33-44, Summer.
    21. Choi, Sun-Yong, 2022. "Credit risk interdependence in global financial markets: Evidence from three regions using multiple and partial wavelet approaches," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).
    22. Aravind M., 2017. "FX Volatility Impact on Indian Stock Market: An Empirical Investigation," Vision, , vol. 21(3), pages 284-294, September.
    23. Subrata ROY, 2020. "Foreign trade policy and economic growth: Indian evidence," Theoretical and Applied Economics, Asociatia Generala a Economistilor din Romania / Editura Economica, vol. 0(3(624), A), pages 107-126, Autumn.
    24. Paresh Kumar Narayan, 2009. "On the Relationship between Stock Prices and Exchange Rates for India," Review of Pacific Basin Financial Markets and Policies (RPBFMP), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 12(02), pages 289-308.

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