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Thomas Drechsel

Citations

Many of the citations below have been collected in an experimental project, CitEc, where a more detailed citation analysis can be found. These are citations from works listed in RePEc that could be analyzed mechanically. So far, only a minority of all works could be analyzed. See under "Corrections" how you can help improve the citation analysis.

Blog mentions

As found by EconAcademics.org, the blog aggregator for Economics research:
  1. Ben Broadbent & Federico Di Pace & Thomas Drechsel & Richard Harrison & Silvana Tenreyro, 2019. "The Brexit Vote, Productivity Growth and Macroeconomic Adjustments in the United Kingdom," Discussion Papers 1916, Centre for Macroeconomics (CFM).

    Mentioned in:

    1. The Brexit Vote, Productivity Growth and Macroeconomic Adjustments in the United Kingdom
      by Christian Zimmermann in NEP-DGE blog on 2019-09-29 01:05:34

RePEc Biblio mentions

As found on the RePEc Biblio, the curated bibliography of Economics:
  1. Juan Antolin-Diaz & Thomas Drechsel & Ivan Petrella, 2017. "Tracking the Slowdown in Long-Run GDP Growth," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 99(2), pages 343-356, May.

    Mentioned in:

    1. > Econometrics > Forecasting > Nowcasting

Working papers

  1. Doerr, Sebastian & Drechsel, Thomas & Lee, Donggyu, 2022. "Income Inequality and Job Creation," CEPR Discussion Papers 17342, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.

    Cited by:

    1. Christoph Albert & Andrea Caggese & Beatriz González & Victor Martin-Sanchez, 2022. "Income Inequality and Entrepreneurship: Lessons from the 2020 COVID-19 Recession," Working Papers 1377, Barcelona School of Economics.

  2. Drechsel, Thomas, 2022. "Earnings-Based Borrowing Constraints and Macroeconomic Fluctuations," CEPR Discussion Papers 16975, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.

    Cited by:

    1. James Cloyne & Clodomiro Ferreira & Maren Froemel & Paolo Surico, 2023. "Monetary Policy, Corporate Finance, and Investment," Journal of the European Economic Association, European Economic Association, vol. 21(6), pages 2586-2634.
    2. igescu, iulia, 2023. "With or Without Usura? Monetary Policy and Market Creation," MPRA Paper 120865, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    3. Kariya, Ankitkumar, 2022. "Earnings-based borrowing constraints & corporate investments in 2007–2009 financial crisis," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 75(C).
    4. Cesa-Bianchi, Ambrogio & Anderson, Gareth, 2020. "Crossing the Credit Channel: Credit Spreads and Firm Heterogeneity," CEPR Discussion Papers 14426, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    5. James Cloyne & Clodomiro Ferreira & Maren Froemel & Paolo Surico, 2021. "Monetary Policy, External Finance and Investment," Working Papers 92, Red Nacional de Investigadores en Economía (RedNIE).
    6. Mølbak Ingholt, Marcus, 2022. "Multiple Credit Constraints and Time-Varying Macroeconomic Dynamics," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 143(C).
    7. Chiţu, Livia & Grothe, Magdalena & Schulze, Tatjana & Van Robays, Ine, 2023. "Financial shock transmission to heterogeneous firms: the earnings-based borrowing constraint channel," Working Paper Series 2860, European Central Bank.

  3. Petrella, Ivan & Antolin-Diaz, Juan & Drechsel, Thomas, 2021. "Advances in Nowcasting Economic Activity: Secular Trends, Large Shocks and New Data," CEPR Discussion Papers 15926, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.

    Cited by:

    1. Longo, Luigi & Riccaboni, Massimo & Rungi, Armando, 2022. "A neural network ensemble approach for GDP forecasting," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 134(C).
    2. Valentina Aprigliano & Alessandro Borin & Francesco Paolo Conteduca & Simone Emiliozzi & Marco Flaccadoro & Sabina Marchetti & Stefania Villa, 2021. "Forecasting Italian GDP growth with epidemiological data," Questioni di Economia e Finanza (Occasional Papers) 664, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
    3. Cristea, R. G., 2020. "Can Alternative Data Improve the Accuracy of Dynamic Factor Model Nowcasts?," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 20108, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
    4. Carriero, Andrea & Clark, Todd E. & Marcellino, Massimiliano & Mertens, Elmar, 2022. "Addressing COVID-19 outliers in BVARs with stochastic volatility," Discussion Papers 13/2022, Deutsche Bundesbank.
    5. Daniel Hopp, 2021. "Economic Nowcasting with Long Short-Term Memory Artificial Neural Networks (LSTM)," Papers 2106.08901, arXiv.org.
    6. Franky Juliano Galeano-Ramírez & Nicolás Martínez-Cortés & Carlos D. Rojas-Martínez, 2021. "Nowcasting Colombian Economic Activity: DFM and Factor-MIDAS approaches," Borradores de Economia 1168, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
    7. Mertens, Elmar, 2023. "Precision-based sampling for state space models that have no measurement error," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 154(C).
    8. Antolín-Díaz, Juan & Drechsel, Thomas & Petrella, Ivan, 2024. "Advances in nowcasting economic activity: The role of heterogeneous dynamics and fat tails," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 238(2).
    9. Todd E. Clark & Gergely Ganics & Elmar Mertens, 2024. "Constructing fan charts from the ragged edge of SPF forecasts," Working Papers 2429, Banco de España.
    10. Matteo Iacopini & Aubrey Poon & Luca Rossini & Dan Zhu, 2022. "Bayesian Mixed-Frequency Quantile Vector Autoregression: Eliciting tail risks of Monthly US GDP," Papers 2209.01910, arXiv.org.
    11. Joshua C. C. Chan & Aubrey Poon & Dan Zhu, 2023. "High-Dimensional Conditionally Gaussian State Space Models with Missing Data," Papers 2302.03172, arXiv.org.
    12. David Kohns & Arnab Bhattacharjee, 2020. "Nowcasting Growth using Google Trends Data: A Bayesian Structural Time Series Model," Papers 2011.00938, arXiv.org, revised May 2022.
    13. Frank Schorfheide & Dongho Song, 2020. "Real-Time Forecasting with a (Standard) Mixed-Frequency VAR During a Pandemic," Working Papers 20-26, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia.
    14. Boriss Siliverstovs, 2021. "Gauging the Effect of Influential Observations on Measures of Relative Forecast Accuracy in a Post-COVID-19 Era: Application to Nowcasting Euro Area GDP Growth," Working Papers 2021/01, Latvijas Banka.
    15. Jack Fosten & Daniel Gutknecht & Marc-Oliver Pohle, 2023. "Testing Quantile Forecast Optimality," Papers 2302.02747, arXiv.org, revised Oct 2023.
    16. Bańbura, Marta & Belousova, Irina & Bodnár, Katalin & Tóth, Máté Barnabás, 2023. "Nowcasting employment in the euro area," Working Paper Series 2815, European Central Bank.
    17. Danilo Cascaldi-Garcia, 2022. "Pandemic Priors," International Finance Discussion Papers 1352, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    18. Danilo Cascaldi-Garcia & Thiago Revil T. Ferreira & Domenico Giannone & Michele Modugno, 2021. "Back to the Present: Learning about the Euro Area through a Now-casting Model," International Finance Discussion Papers 1313, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    19. Kohns, David & Potjagailo, Galina, 2023. "Flexible Bayesian MIDAS: time‑variation, group‑shrinkage and sparsity," Bank of England working papers 1025, Bank of England.
    20. Fumio Hayashi & Yuta Tachi, 2023. "Nowcasting Japan’s GDP," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 64(4), pages 1699-1735, April.
    21. Andreini, Paolo & Hasenzagl, Thomas & Reichlin, Lucrezia & Senftleben-König, Charlotte & Strohsal, Till, 2023. "Nowcasting German GDP: Foreign factors, financial markets, and model averaging," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 39(1), pages 298-313.
    22. Bobeica, Elena & Hartwig, Benny, 2023. "The COVID-19 shock and challenges for inflation modelling," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 39(1), pages 519-539.
    23. Nicolo Maffei-Faccioli, 2020. "Identifying the Sources of the Slowdown in Growth: Demand vs. Supply," 2020 Papers pma2978, Job Market Papers.
    24. Paul Labonne, 2020. "Asymmetric uncertainty : Nowcasting using skewness in real-time data," Papers 2012.02601, arXiv.org, revised May 2024.
    25. Lukas Berend & Jan Pruser, 2024. "The Transmission of Monetary Policy via Common Cycles in the Euro Area," Papers 2410.05741, arXiv.org, revised Oct 2024.
    26. Serena Ng & Susannah Scanlan, 2023. "Constructing High Frequency Economic Indicators by Imputation," Papers 2303.01863, arXiv.org, revised Oct 2023.
    27. Kohns, David & Bhattacharjee, Arnab, 2023. "Nowcasting growth using Google Trends data: A Bayesian Structural Time Series model," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 39(3), pages 1384-1412.

  4. Sebastian Doerr & Thomas Drechsel & Donggyu Lee, 2021. "Income inequality, financial intermediation, and small firms," BIS Working Papers 944, Bank for International Settlements.

    Cited by:

    1. Sebastian Doerr & Gazi Kabas & Steven Ongena, 2022. "Population aging and bank risk-taking," BIS Working Papers 1050, Bank for International Settlements.
    2. Domonkos, Tomas & Fisera, Boris & Siranova, Maria, 2023. "Income inequality as long-term conditioning factor of monetary transmission to bank rates," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 128(C).
    3. Christoph Albert & Andrea Caggese & Beatriz González & Victor Martin-Sanchez, 2022. "Income Inequality and Entrepreneurship: Lessons from the 2020 COVID-19 Recession," Working Papers 1377, Barcelona School of Economics.
    4. Valeria Zvereva & Olga Demidova & Dmitry Korshunov & Alexander Myasnikov, 2024. "Impact of Intraregional Income Inequality on the Operation of the Bank of Russia's Monetary Policy Transmission Mechanism," Russian Journal of Money and Finance, Bank of Russia, vol. 83(1), pages 3-31, March.
    5. Hervé, Justine, 2023. "Specialists or generalists? Cross-industry mobility and wages," Labour Economics, Elsevier, vol. 84(C).

  5. Tenreyro, Silvana & Drechsel, Thomas & McLeay, Michael, 2019. "Monetary policy for commodity booms and busts," CEPR Discussion Papers 14030, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.

    Cited by:

    1. Kristin J. Forbes & Francis E. Warnock, 2020. "Capital Flow Waves—or Ripples? Extreme Capital Flow Movements Since the Crisis," NBER Working Papers 26851, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    2. Li, Xiang, 2021. "Dilemma and global financial cycle: Evidence from capital account liberalisation episodes," IWH Discussion Papers 13/2021, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH).
    3. Naraidoo, Ruthira & Paez-Farrell, Juan, 2023. "Commodity price shocks, labour market dynamics and monetary policy in small open economies," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 151(C).
    4. Damian Romero, 2022. "Market Incompleteness, Consumption Heterogeneity and Commodity Price Shocks," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 950, Central Bank of Chile.
    5. Faltermeier, Julia & Lama, Ruy & Medina, Juan Pablo, 2022. "Foreign exchange intervention for commodity booms and busts," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 143(C).
    6. Ioana Octavia Popescu, 2023. "Fallacy of floating? Reconsidering the ability of flexible exchange rates to offset terms-of-trade volatility in developing countries," CSAE Working Paper Series 2023-01, Centre for the Study of African Economies, University of Oxford.

  6. Ben Broadbent & Federico Di Pace & Thomas Drechsel & Richard Harrison & Silvana Tenreyro, 2019. "The Brexit Vote, Productivity Growth and Macroeconomic Adjustments in the United Kingdom," Discussion Papers 1916, Centre for Macroeconomics (CFM).

    Cited by:

    1. Peydró, José-Luis & Rodriguez-Tous, Francesc & Tripathy, Jagdish & Uluc, Arzu, 2020. "Macroprudential Policy, Mortgage Cycles and Distributional Effects: Evidence from the UK," EconStor Preprints 223303, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics.
    2. Fetzer, Thiemo & Wang, Shizhuo, 2020. "Measuring the Regional Economic Cost of Brexit: Evidence up to 2019," CEPR Discussion Papers 15051, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    3. Tervala, Juha, 2021. "Hysteresis and the welfare costs of recessions," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 95(C), pages 136-144.
    4. Hans-Ulrich Brautzsch & Oliver Holtemöller, 2021. "International trade barriers and regional employment: the case of a no-deal Brexit," Journal of Economic Structures, Springer;Pan-Pacific Association of Input-Output Studies (PAPAIOS), vol. 10(1), pages 1-25, December.
    5. Sergei Guriev & Elias Papaioannou, 2022. "The Political Economy of Populism," Post-Print hal-03874305, HAL.
    6. Renato Faccini & Edoardo Palombo, 2019. "News Uncertainty in Brexit U.K," Discussion Papers 1921, Centre for Macroeconomics (CFM).
    7. Garcia-Lazaro, Aida & Mistak, Jakub & Gulcin Ozkan, F., 2021. "Supply chain networks, trade and the Brexit deal: a general equilibrium analysis," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 133(C).
    8. Margarita Rubio, 2024. "Macroprudential policies and Brexit: A welfare analysis," Economic Inquiry, Western Economic Association International, vol. 62(3), pages 1246-1267, July.

  7. Wouter J. Den Haan & Thomas Drechsel, 2018. "Agnostic Structural Disturbances (ASDs): Detecting and Reducing Misspecification in Empirical Macroeconomic Models," Discussion Papers 1826, Centre for Macroeconomics (CFM).

    Cited by:

    1. Schlicht, Ekkehart, 2006. "VC - A Method For Estimating Time-Varying Coefficients in Linear Models," Discussion Papers in Economics 61656, University of Munich, Department of Economics.
    2. Barbara Rossi & Atsushi Inoue & Yiru Wang, 2024. "Has the Phillips curve flattened?," French Stata Users' Group Meetings 2024 22, Stata Users Group.
    3. Mertens, Elmar, 2023. "Precision-based sampling for state space models that have no measurement error," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 154(C).
    4. Ben Broadbent & Federico Di Pace & Thomas Drechsel & Richard Harrison & Silvana Tenreyro, 2019. "The Brexit Vote, Productivity Growth and Macroeconomic Adjustments in the United Kingdom," Discussion Papers 1916, Centre for Macroeconomics (CFM).
    5. Damioli, Giacomo & Gregori, Wildmer Daniel, 2021. "Diplomatic relations and cross-border investments in the European Union," Working Papers 2021-02, Joint Research Centre, European Commission.
    6. Adrian Pagan & Michael Wickens, 2019. "Checking if the straitjacket fits," CAMA Working Papers 2019-81, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
    7. Cardani, Roberta & Hohberger, Stefan & Pfeiffer, Philipp & Vogel, Lukas, 2020. "Domestic versus foreign drivers of trade (im)balances: How robust is evidence from estimated DSGE models?," MPRA Paper 102469, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    8. Canova, Fabio & Matthes, Christian, 2019. "Dealing with misspecification in structural macroeconometric models," CEPR Discussion Papers 13511, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    9. Giovannini, Massimo & Pfeiffer, Philipp & Ratto, Marco, 2021. "Efficient and robust inference of models with occasionally binding constraints," Working Papers 2021-03, Joint Research Centre, European Commission.
    10. Thomas Drechsel, 2023. "Earnings-Based Borrowing Constraints and Macroeconomic Fluctuations," American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, American Economic Association, vol. 15(2), pages 1-34, April.
    11. Wouter J. Den Haan & Tiancheng Sun, 2024. "The Role of Sell Frictions for Inventories and Business Cycles," Discussion Papers 2426, Centre for Macroeconomics (CFM).
    12. Nikolaos Kokonas & Paulo Santos Monteiro, 2020. "The Ins and Outs of Unemployment in General Equilibrium," Discussion Papers 2014, Centre for Macroeconomics (CFM).
    13. Calo, Silvia & Gregori, Wildmer Daniel & Petracco Giudici, Marco & Rancan, Michela, 2021. "Has the Comprehensive Assessment made the European financial system more resilient?," Working Papers 2021-08, Joint Research Centre, European Commission.
    14. Loria, Francesca & Matthes, Christian & Wang, Mu-Chun, 2022. "Economic theories and macroeconomic reality," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 126(C), pages 105-117.

  8. Thomas Drechsel & Silvana Tenreyro, 2017. "Commodity Booms and Busts in Emerging Economies," Discussion Papers 1723, Centre for Macroeconomics (CFM).

    Cited by:

    1. Bajraj, Gent & Lorca, Jorge & Wlasiuk, Juan M., 2023. "On foreign drivers of emerging markets fluctuations," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 129(C).
    2. Rebeca Jiménez-Rodríguez & Amalia Morales-Zumaquero, 2022. "Commodity price pass-through along the pricing chain," Review of World Economics (Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv), Springer;Institut für Weltwirtschaft (Kiel Institute for the World Economy), vol. 158(1), pages 109-125, February.
    3. Nils M. Gornemann & Sebastian Hildebrand & Keith Kuester, 2024. "Limited (Energy) Supply, Monetary Policy, and Sunspots," International Finance Discussion Papers 1395, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    4. Nils Gornemann & Sebastian Hildebrand & Keith Kuester, 2022. "Limited Energy Supply, Sunspots, and Monetary Policy," ECONtribute Discussion Papers Series 215, University of Bonn and University of Cologne, Germany.
    5. Omotosho, Babatunde Samson, 2022. "Oil price shocks and monetary policy in resource-rich economies: Does capital matter?," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 143(C).
    6. Rodrigo da Silva Souza & Leonardo Bornacki Mattos, 2023. "Macroeconomic effects of oil price shocks on an emerging market economy," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 56(2), pages 803-824, April.
    7. Presbitero, Andrea & Eberhardt, Markus, 2021. "Commodity Prices and Banking Crises," CEPR Discussion Papers 15959, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    8. Rodrigo da Silva Souza & Leonardo Bornacki Mattos, 2022. "Oil price shocks and global liquidity: macroeconomic effects on the Brazilian real," International Economics and Economic Policy, Springer, vol. 19(4), pages 761-781, October.
    9. Niftiyev, Ibrahim, 2020. "Analysis of Inflation Trends in Urban and Rural Parts of Azerbaijan: Main Drivers and Links to Oil Revenue," EconStor Preprints 226217, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics.
    10. Vásquez Cordano, Arturo L. & Zellou, Abdel M., 2020. "Super cycles in natural gas prices and their impact on Latin American energy and environmental policies," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 65(C).
    11. Arthur Mendes & Steven Pennings, 2025. "One Rule Fits All? Heterogeneous Fiscal Rules for Commodity Exporters When Price Shocks Can Be Persistent: Theory and Evidence," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 55, January.
    12. David Kohn & Fernando Leibovici & Håkon Tretvoll, 2018. "Trade in Commodities and Business Cycle Volatility," Working Papers 2018-5, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.
    13. Bakas, Dimitrios & Ioakimidis, Marilou & Triantafyllou, Athanasios, 2020. "Commodity Price Uncertainty as a Leading Indicator of Economic Activity," Essex Finance Centre Working Papers 27361, University of Essex, Essex Business School.
    14. Shigeto Kitano & Kenya Takaku, 2023. "Effect of sovereign wealth funds in commodity‐exporting economies when commodity prices affect interest spreads," Asian Economic Journal, East Asian Economic Association, vol. 37(3), pages 267-292, September.
    15. Mitchener, Kris James & Pina, Gonçalo, 2023. "The effects of countercyclical interest rates: Evidence from the classical gold standard," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 145(C).
    16. Doojav, Gan-Ochir & Luvsannyam, Davaajargal & Enkh-Amgalan, Elbegjargal, 2022. "Effects of global liquidity and commodity market shocks in a commodity-exporting developing economy," MPRA Paper 116831, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    17. Ameyaw, Emmanuel, 2024. "Business cycles in a cocoa and gold economy: Commodity price shocks do not always matter," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 91(C).
    18. Thibault Fally & James Sayre, 2018. "Commodity Trade Matters," 2018 Meeting Papers 172, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    19. Galego Mendes,Arthur & Pennings,Steven Michael, 2020. "One Rule Fits All ? Heterogeneous Fiscal Rules for Commodity Exporters When Price Shocks Can BePersistent: Theory and Evidence," Policy Research Working Paper Series 9400, The World Bank.
    20. Mauro Sayar Ferreira & André Cordeiro Valério, 2020. "Global shocks and emerging economies: disentangling the commodity roller coaster," Textos para Discussão Cedeplar-UFMG 623, Cedeplar, Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais.
    21. Tatiana Didier & Ross Levine & Ruth Llovet Montanes & Sergio L. Schmukler, 2020. "Capital Market Financing and Firm Growth," Mo.Fi.R. Working Papers 166, Money and Finance Research group (Mo.Fi.R.) - Univ. Politecnica Marche - Dept. Economic and Social Sciences.
    22. Letendre, Marc-André & Obaid, Sabreena, 2020. "Emerging economy business cycles: Interest rate shocks vs trend shocks," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 93(C), pages 526-545.
    23. Rodríguez-Puello, Gabriel & Chávez, Alicia & Pérez Trujillo, Manuel, 2022. "Youth unemployment during economic shocks: Evidence from the metal-mining prices super cycle in Chile," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    24. Peiris, M.U. & Shirobokov, A. & Tsomocos, D.P., 2024. "Does “Lean Against the Wind” monetary policy improve welfare in a commodity exporter?," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 141(C).
    25. Hou, Yulin & Jia, Shaomeng, 2023. "Do remittances react to commodity windfall? Evidence from Latin America and the Caribbean," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 121(C).
    26. Ohnsorge, Franziska & Kabundi, Alain, 2020. "Implications of Cheap Oil for Emerging Markets," CEPR Discussion Papers 15296, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    27. Rodrigo da Silva Souza & Leonardo B. de Mattos & João E. de Lima, 2021. "Commodity prices and the Brazilian real exchange rate," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(2), pages 3152-3172, April.
    28. Houssa, Romain & Mohimont, Jolan & Otrok, Christopher, 2023. "Commodity exports, financial frictions, and international spillovers," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 158(C).
    29. Angélica Domínguez-Cardoza & Adelina Garamow & Josefin Meyer, 2022. "Global Commodity Markets and Sovereign Risk across 150 Years," Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin 2020, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research.
    30. Vincent Bodart & François Courtoy & Erica Perego, 2021. "World interest rates and macroeconomic adjustments in developing commodity producing countries," LIDAM Discussion Papers IRES 2021002, Université catholique de Louvain, Institut de Recherches Economiques et Sociales (IRES).
    31. Souza, Rodrigo da Silva & Fry-McKibbin, Renée, 2021. "Global liquidity and commodity market interactions: Macroeconomic effects on a commodity exporting emerging market," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 781-800.
    32. Fernandes, Leonardo H.S. & Araújo, Fernando H.A., 2020. "Taxonomy of commodities assets via complexity-entropy causality plane," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 137(C).
    33. Alejandro Torres-García & Jaime Montoya-Arbeláez & Laura Wberth-Escobar, 2022. "Commodity price shocks and the balance sheet effect in emerging economies," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 55(4), pages 2081-2110, November.
    34. Zhang, Tianding & Du, Tianwen & Li, Jie, 2020. "The impact of China's macroeconomic determinants on commodity prices," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 36(C).
    35. Zhang, Wei & He, Jie & Ge, Chanyuan & Xue, Rui, 2022. "Real-time macroeconomic monitoring using mixed frequency data: Evidence from China," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 117(C).
    36. Carrera Jorge & Montes Rojas Gabriel & Solla Mariquena & Toledo Fernando, 2022. "Global Financial Cycle, Commodity Terms of Trade and Financial Spreads in Emerging Markets and Developing Economies," Asociación Argentina de Economía Política: Working Papers 4613, Asociación Argentina de Economía Política.
    37. Valle Quintana Facundo Marcelo, 2023. "Argentina post COVID: commodity boom o commodity doom?," Asociación Argentina de Economía Política: Working Papers 4696, Asociación Argentina de Economía Política.
    38. Jinan Liu & Apostolos Serletis, 2022. "World Commodity Prices and Economic Activity in Advanced and Emerging Economies," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 33(2), pages 347-374, April.
    39. Mora Cortez, Roberto & Johnston, Wesley J. & Ehret, Michael, 2023. "“Good Times–Bad Times” – Relationship marketing through business cycles," Journal of Business Research, Elsevier, vol. 165(C).
    40. Romain Houssa & Jolan Mohimont & Chris Otrok, 2019. "A Model for International Spillovers to Emerging Markets," CESifo Working Paper Series 7702, CESifo.
    41. Dieci, Roberto & Mignot, Sarah & Schmitt, Noemi & Westerhoff, Frank H., 2022. "Production delays, supply distortions and endogenous price dynamics," BERG Working Paper Series 182, Bamberg University, Bamberg Economic Research Group.
    42. Kris James Mitchener & Gonçalo Pina, 2022. "Causal Effects of Countercyclical Interest Rates: Evidence from the Classical Gold Standard," CESifo Working Paper Series 9716, CESifo.
    43. Andrés Fernández & Andres Gonzalez & Diego Rodriguez, 2015. "Sharing a Ride on the Commodities Roller Coaster: Common Factors in Business Cycles of Emerging Economies," IMF Working Papers 2015/280, International Monetary Fund.
    44. Jasmien De Winne & Gert Peersman, 2021. "The adverse consequences of global harvest and weather disruptions on economic activity," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 11(8), pages 665-672, August.
    45. Naraidoo, Ruthira & Paez-Farrell, Juan, 2023. "Commodity price shocks, labour market dynamics and monetary policy in small open economies," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 151(C).
    46. Konstantin Egorov & Dmitry Mukhin, 2020. "Optimal Policy under Dollar Pricing," CESifo Working Paper Series 8272, CESifo.
    47. Andrés Fernández & Stephanie Schmitt-Grohé & Martín Uribe, 2020. "Does the Commodity Super Cycle Matter?," NBER Working Papers 27589, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    48. Carrasco, Alex & Florián, David & Nivín, Rafael, 2019. "SFX Interventions, Financial Intermediation, and External Shocks in Emerging Economies," Working Papers 2019-022, Banco Central de Reserva del Perú.
    49. Felipe Benguria & Felipe Saffie & Sergio Urzua, 2024. "The Transmission of Commodity Price Super-Cycles," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 91(4), pages 1923-1955.
    50. Vo Phuong Mai Le & Ruthira Naraidoo, 2019. "Monetary policy in a Model with Commodity and Financial Markets," Working Papers 201928, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    51. Santiago Camara, 2022. "TANK meets Diaz-Alejandro: Household heterogeneity, non-homothetic preferences & policy design," Papers 2201.02916, arXiv.org.
    52. Emilio Espino & Julian Kozlowski & Fernando M. Martin & Juan M. Sanchez, 2023. "External Shocks versus Domestic Policies in Emerging Markets," Review, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, vol. 105(2), pages 108-121, April.
    53. Flavio Pérez Rojo & Gabriel Rodríguez, 2023. "Jane Haldimand Marcet: Impact of Monetary Policy Shocks in the Peruvian Economy Over Time," Documentos de Trabajo / Working Papers 2023-523, Departamento de Economía - Pontificia Universidad Católica del Perú.
    54. Jemio Hurtado, Valeria, 2020. "Monetary rules in an open economy with distortionary subsidies and inefficient shocks: A DSGE approach for Bolivia," MPRA Paper 102374, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 14 Jul 2020.
    55. Gabriel Rodríguez & Paulo Chávez, 2022. "Time Changing Effects of External Shocks on Macroeconomic Fluctuations in Peru: Empirical Application Using Regime-Switching VAR Models with Stochastic Volatility," Documentos de Trabajo / Working Papers 2022-509, Departamento de Economía - Pontificia Universidad Católica del Perú.
    56. Sophio Togonidze & Evžen Kočenda, 2022. "Macroeconomic Responses of Emerging Market Economies to Oil Price Shocks: An Analysis by Region and Resource Profile," FFA Working Papers 4.005, Prague University of Economics and Business, revised 25 Apr 2022.
    57. Ivan Khotulev & Konstantin Styrin, 2020. "Optimal Monetary and Macroprudential Policies for Financial Stability in a Commodity-Exporting Economy," Russian Journal of Money and Finance, Bank of Russia, vol. 79(2), pages 3-42, June.
    58. Marc-Andre Letendre & Sabreena Obaid, 2019. "Emerging Economy Business Cycles: Interest Rate Shocks vs Trend Shocks," Department of Economics Working Papers 2019-07, McMaster University.
    59. Nivín, Rafael & Pérez, Fernando, 2019. "Estimación de un Índice de Condiciones Financieras para el Perú," Working Papers 2019-006, Banco Central de Reserva del Perú.
    60. Troug, Haytem, 2020. "The heterogeneity among commodity-rich economies: Beyond the prices of commodities," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 66(C).
    61. Renée Fry-McKibbin & Rodrigo da Silva Souza, 2018. "Chinese resource demand or commodity price shocks: Macroeconomic effects for an emerging market economy," CAMA Working Papers 2018-45, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
    62. Di Pace, Federico & Juvenal, Luciana & Petrella, Ivan, 2021. "Terms-of-trade shocks are not all alike," Bank of England working papers 901, Bank of England.
    63. Kang, Wensheng & Ratti, Ronald A. & Vespignani, Joaquin, 2020. "Global commodity prices and global stock market volatility shocks: Effects across countries," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 71(C).
    64. Ebenezer Olamide & Andrew Maredza & Kanayo Ogujiuba, 2022. "Monetary Policy, External Shocks and Economic Growth Dynamics in East Africa: An S-VAR Model," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(6), pages 1-19, March.
    65. Villca, Alfredo, 2022. "Commodity prices, bank balance sheets and macroprudential policies in small open economies," Latin American Journal of Central Banking (previously Monetaria), Elsevier, vol. 3(1).
    66. Faltermeier, Julia & Lama, Ruy & Medina, Juan Pablo, 2022. "Foreign exchange intervention for commodity booms and busts," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 143(C).
    67. Damian Romero, 2022. "Domestic Linkages and the Transmission of Commodity Price Shocks," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 936, Central Bank of Chile.
    68. Ottonello, Pablo, 2021. "Optimal exchange-rate policy under collateral constraints and wage rigidity," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 131(C).
    69. Tenreyro, Silvana & Drechsel, Thomas & McLeay, Michael, 2019. "Monetary policy for commodity booms and busts," CEPR Discussion Papers 14030, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    70. Torfinn Harding & Julika Herzberg & Karlygash Kuralbayeva, 2020. "Commodity Prices and Robust Environmental Regulation: Evidence from Deforestation in Brazil," OxCarre Working Papers 225, Oxford Centre for the Analysis of Resource Rich Economies, University of Oxford.
    71. Barrail, Zulma, 2020. "Business cycle implications of rising household credit market participation in emerging countries," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 116(C).
    72. Marcelo Randolfo da Costa Januário & Mauro Sayar Ferreira, 2021. "Global shocks and trade response of a commodity exporter small open economy: Terms of Trade, J-Curve and the Marshall-Lerner Condition," Textos para Discussão Cedeplar-UFMG 635, Cedeplar, Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais.
    73. David Ubilava, 2022. "A comparison of multistep commodity price forecasts using direct and iterated smooth transition autoregressive methods," Agricultural Economics, International Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 53(5), pages 687-701, September.
    74. Junior A. Ojeda Cunya & Gabriel Rodríguez, 2022. "Time-Varying Effects of External Shocks on Macroeconomic Fluctuations in Peru: An Empirical Application using TVP-VAR- SV Models," Documentos de Trabajo / Working Papers 2022-507, Departamento de Economía - Pontificia Universidad Católica del Perú.
    75. Alfredo Villca & Alejandro Torres-García, 2023. "Commodity price shocks and the business cycles in emerging economies: the role of banking system balance sheets," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 65(5), pages 2039-2063, November.
    76. Mikhail Andreev & M. Udara Peiris & Alexander Shirobokov & Dimitrios P. Tsomocos, 2024. "Commodity cycles and financial instability in emerging economies," Annals of Finance, Springer, vol. 20(2), pages 167-197, June.
    77. Boehm, Hannes & Eichler, Stefan & Giessler, Stefan, 2021. "What drives the commodity-sovereign risk dependence in emerging market economies?," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 111(C).
    78. Fernandez, Viviana, 2019. "A readily computable commodity price index: 1900–2016," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 31(C).
    79. Shigeto Kitano & Kenya Takaku, 2023. "Commodity Prices, Financial Frictions, and Macroprudential Policies," Discussion Paper Series DP2023-21, Research Institute for Economics & Business Administration, Kobe University.
    80. Hansen, Erwin & Wagner, Rodrigo, 2022. "The reinvestment by multinationals as a capital flow: Crises, imbalances, and the cash-based current account," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 124(C).
    81. Bin Xu & Boqiang Lin, 2021. "Large fluctuations of China's commodity prices: Main sources and heterogeneous effects," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(2), pages 2074-2089, April.
    82. Egorov, Konstantin & Mukhin, Dmitry, 2023. "Optimal policy under dollar pricing," SAFE Working Paper Series 377, Leibniz Institute for Financial Research SAFE.
    83. Xia, Tian & Zhou, Hang, 2023. "Commodity terms of trade co-movement: Global and regional factors," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 139(C).
    84. Andrea Gazzani & Vicente Herrera & Alejandro Vicondoa, 2024. "The Asymmetric Effects of Commodity Price Shocks in Emerging Economies," Working Papers 311, Red Nacional de Investigadores en Economía (RedNIE).
    85. Mitchener, Kris & Trebesch, Christoph, 2021. "Sovereign Debt in the 21st Century: Looking Backward, Looking Forward," CEPR Discussion Papers 15935, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    86. Zhang, Zhengyong & Shahzad, Syed Jawad Hussain & Bouri, Elie, 2022. "Tail risk transmission from commodity prices to sovereign risk of emerging economies," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
    87. Doojav, Gan-Ochir & Purevdorj, Munkhbayar & Batjargal, Anand, 2024. "The macroeconomic effects of exchange rate movements in a commodity-exporting developing economy," International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 177(C).

  9. Antolin-Diaz, Juan & Drechsel, Thomas & Petrella, Ivan, 2016. "Tracking the slowdown in long-run GDP growth," Bank of England working papers 587, Bank of England.

    Cited by:

    1. Schubert, Torben & Jäger, Angela & Türkeli, Serdar & Visentin, Fabiana, 2020. "Addressing the productivity paradox with big data: A literature review and adaptation of the CDM econometric model," MERIT Working Papers 2020-050, United Nations University - Maastricht Economic and Social Research Institute on Innovation and Technology (MERIT).
    2. Martin Iseringhausen & Hauke Vierke, 2018. "What Drives Output Volatility? The Role of Demographics and Government Size Revisited," European Economy - Discussion Papers 075, Directorate General Economic and Financial Affairs (DG ECFIN), European Commission.
    3. Martin Iseringhausen, 2018. "The Time-Varying Asymmetry Of Exchange Rate Returns: A Stochastic Volatility – Stochastic Skewness Model," Working Papers of Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, Ghent University, Belgium 18/944, Ghent University, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration.
    4. Catherine Doz & Laurent Ferrara & Pierre-Alain Pionnier, 2020. "Business cycle dynamics after the Great Recession: An extended Markov-Switching Dynamic Factor Model," OECD Statistics Working Papers 2020/01, OECD Publishing.
    5. Callum Jones & Mariano Kulish & James Morley, 2024. "A Structural Measure of the Shadow Federal Funds Rate," Working Papers 2024-05, University of Sydney, School of Economics.
    6. Huang, Kaixing, 2016. "The postwar growth slowdown and the path of economic development," MPRA Paper 80988, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 01 Aug 2017.
    7. Jaeho Kim & Sora Chon, 2020. "Why are Bayesian trend-cycle decompositions of US real GDP so different?," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 58(3), pages 1339-1354, March.
    8. Manu García & Juan F. Rubio-Ramírez, 2019. "Now-casting Spain," Working Papers 2019-03, FEDEA.
    9. Bofinger, Peter & Feld, Lars P. & Schmidt, Christoph M. & Schnabel, Isabel & Wieland, Volker, 2018. "Vor wichtigen wirtschaftspolitischen Weichenstellungen. Jahresgutachten 2018/19 [Setting the Right Course for Economic Policy. Annual Report 2018/19]," Annual Economic Reports / Jahresgutachten, German Council of Economic Experts / Sachverständigenrat zur Begutachtung der gesamtwirtschaftlichen Entwicklung, volume 127, number 201819.
    10. Christiane Baumeister & Danilo Leiva-León & Eric Sims, 2024. "Tracking Weekly State-Level Economic Conditions," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 106(2), pages 483-504, March.
    11. Schmidt, Torsten & Arce-Alfaro, Gabriel & Barabas, György & Blagov, Boris & Döhrn, Roland & Fuest, Angela & Isaak, Niklas & Jäger, Philipp & Micheli, Martin & Schacht, Philip, 2020. "Die wirtschaftliche Entwicklung im Inland: Konjunktur im Griff der Corona-Epidemie," RWI Konjunkturberichte, RWI - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, vol. 71(1), pages 41-73.
    12. Daniel Baquero & Manuel Gonzalez-Astudillo, 2018. "A Nowcasting Model for the Growth Rate of Real GDP of Ecuador : Implementing a Time-Varying Intercept," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2018-044, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    13. Leon-Ledesma, Miguel & Moro, Alessio, 2017. "The rise of services and balanced growth in theory and data," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 86161, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    14. Hasan, Iftekhar & Manfredonia, Stefano, 2022. "Productivity, managers’ social connections and the financial crisis," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 141(C).
    15. Ivan Mendieta-Muñoz, 2017. "Is Potential Output Growth Falling?," Working Paper Series, Department of Economics, University of Utah 2017_03, University of Utah, Department of Economics.
    16. Markus Heinrich & Magnus Reif, 2018. "Forecasting using mixed-frequency VARs with time-varying parameters," ifo Working Paper Series 273, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich.
    17. Andrew Foerster & Andreas Hornstein & Pierre-Daniel Sarte & Mark W. Watson, 2019. "Aggregate Implications of Changing Sectoral Trends," NBER Working Papers 25867, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    18. Caterina Schiavoni & Siem Jan Koopman & Franz Palm & Stephan Smeekes & Jan van den Brakel, 2021. "Time-varying state correlations in state space models and their estimation via indirect inference," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 21-020/III, Tinbergen Institute.
    19. Eraslan, Sercan & Schröder, Maximilian, 2023. "Nowcasting GDP with a pool of factor models and a fast estimation algorithm," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 39(3), pages 1460-1476.
    20. Cimadomo, Jacopo & Giannone, Domenico & Lenza, Michele & Monti, Francesca & Sokol, Andrej, 2022. "Nowcasting with large Bayesian vector autoregressions," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 231(2), pages 500-519.
    21. Luciano Campos & Danilo Leiva-León & Steven Zapata, 2022. "Latin American Falls, Rebounds and Tail," Working Papers 145, Red Nacional de Investigadores en Economía (RedNIE).
    22. Francesco Furlanetto & Antoine Lepetit & Ørjan Robstad & Juan F. Rubio-Ramirez & Pål Ulvedal, 2021. "Estimating Hysteresis Effects," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2021-059, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    23. Thomas Drechsel & Silvana Tenreyro, 2017. "Commodity Booms and Busts in Emerging Economies," Discussion Papers 1723, Centre for Macroeconomics (CFM).
    24. Alexander Beames & Mariano Kulish & Nadine Yamout, 2022. "Fiscal Policy and the Slowdown in Trend Growth in an Open Economy," Working Papers 143, Red Nacional de Investigadores en Economía (RedNIE).
    25. Gerdie Everaert & Martin Iseringhausen, 2017. "Measuring The International Dimension Of Output Volatility," Working Papers of Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, Ghent University, Belgium 17/928, Ghent University, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration.
    26. Yunjong Eo & James Morley, 2022. "Why Has the U.S. Economy Stagnated since the Great Recession?," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 104(2), pages 246-258, May.
    27. Matteo Luciani, 2020. "Common and Idiosyncratic Inflation," FEDS Notes 2020-03-05, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    28. Krist'of N'emeth & D'aniel Hadh'azi, 2024. "Generating density nowcasts for U.S. GDP growth with deep learning: Bayes by Backprop and Monte Carlo dropout," Papers 2405.15579, arXiv.org.
    29. Berger, Tino & Morley, James & Wong, Benjamin, 2023. "Nowcasting the output gap," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 232(1), pages 18-34.
      • Tino Berger & James Morley & Benjamin Wong, 2020. "Nowcasting the output gap," CAMA Working Papers 2020-78, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
    30. David Kiefer & Ivan Mendieta-Muñoz & Codrina Rada & Rudiger von Arnim, 2020. "Secular Stagnation and Income Distribution Dynamics," Review of Radical Political Economics, Union for Radical Political Economics, vol. 52(2), pages 189-207, June.
    31. Iseringhausen, Martin, 2024. "A time-varying skewness model for Growth-at-Risk," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 40(1), pages 229-246.
    32. Nikita D. Fokin & Ekaterina V. Malikova & Andrey V. Polbin, 2024. "Time-varying parameters error correction model for real ruble exchange rate and oil prices: What has changed due to capital control and sanctions?," Russian Journal of Economics, ARPHA Platform, vol. 10(1), pages 20-33, March.
    33. Chin, Michael & Graeve, Ferre De & Filippeli, Thomai & Theodoridis, Konstantinos, 2018. "Understanding International Long-Term Interest Rate Comovement," Cardiff Economics Working Papers E2018/19, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section.
    34. Nicholas Oulton, 2018. "The UK (and Western) Productivity Puzzle: Does Arthur Lewis Hold the Key?," Discussion Papers 1809, Centre for Macroeconomics (CFM).
    35. Fosten, Jack, 2019. "CO2 emissions and economic activity: A short-to-medium run perspective," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 83(C), pages 415-429.
    36. Ziesemer, Thomas, 2021. "Labour-augmenting technical change data for alternative elasticities of substitution, growth, slowdown, and distribution dynamics," MERIT Working Papers 2021-003, United Nations University - Maastricht Economic and Social Research Institute on Innovation and Technology (MERIT).
    37. Henrik Jensen & Ivan Petrella & Søren Hove Ravn & Emiliano Santoro, 2020. "Leverage and Deepening Business-Cycle Skewness," American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, American Economic Association, vol. 12(1), pages 245-281, January.
    38. Antolín-Díaz, Juan & Drechsel, Thomas & Petrella, Ivan, 2024. "Advances in nowcasting economic activity: The role of heterogeneous dynamics and fat tails," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 238(2).
    39. Ben Broadbent & Federico Di Pace & Thomas Drechsel & Richard Harrison & Silvana Tenreyro, 2019. "The Brexit Vote, Productivity Growth and Macroeconomic Adjustments in the United Kingdom," Discussion Papers 1916, Centre for Macroeconomics (CFM).
    40. Mendieta-Muñoz Ivan, 2024. "Time-varying Investment Dynamics in the USA," Economics - The Open-Access, Open-Assessment Journal, De Gruyter, vol. 18(1), pages 1-18.
    41. Mengheng Li & Ivan Mendieta-Muñoz, 2019. "Are long-run output growth rates falling?," Working Papers 2019.07, International Network for Economic Research - INFER.
    42. Alexander Beames & Mariano Kulish & Nadine Yamout, 2021. "Implications of the slowdown in trend growth for fiscal policy in a small open economy," CAMA Working Papers 2021-18, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
    43. Weiske, Sebastian, 2018. "Indicator-based estimates of the output gap in the euro area," Working Papers 12/2018, German Council of Economic Experts / Sachverständigenrat zur Begutachtung der gesamtwirtschaftlichen Entwicklung.
    44. Brandyn Bok & Daniele Caratelli & Domenico Giannone & Argia M. Sbordone & Andrea Tambalotti, 2018. "Macroeconomic Nowcasting and Forecasting with Big Data," Annual Review of Economics, Annual Reviews, vol. 10(1), pages 615-643, August.
    45. David Kohns & Arnab Bhattacharjee, 2020. "Nowcasting Growth using Google Trends Data: A Bayesian Structural Time Series Model," Papers 2011.00938, arXiv.org, revised May 2022.
    46. Jaeho Kim & Sora Chon, 2022. "Bayesian estimation of the long-run trend of the US economy," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 62(2), pages 461-485, February.
    47. Ivan Mendieta-Muñoz, 2024. "Time-varying investment dynamics in the USA," Working Paper Series, Department of Economics, University of Utah 2024_01, University of Utah, Department of Economics.
    48. Matteo Barigozzi & Matteo Luciani, 2024. "Quasi Maximum Likelihood Estimation and Inference of Large Approximate Dynamic Factor Models via the EM algorithm," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2024-086, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    49. Iftekhar Hasan & Stefano Manfredonia, 2021. "Productivity, managers' social connections and the Great Recession," CEIS Research Paper 507, Tor Vergata University, CEIS, revised 10 Mar 2021.
    50. Paul Labonne, 2022. "Asymmetric Uncertainty: Nowcasting Using Skewness in Real-time Data," Economic Statistics Centre of Excellence (ESCoE) Discussion Papers ESCoE DP-2022-23, Economic Statistics Centre of Excellence (ESCoE).
    51. Boriss Siliverstovs, 2021. "Gauging the Effect of Influential Observations on Measures of Relative Forecast Accuracy in a Post-COVID-19 Era: Application to Nowcasting Euro Area GDP Growth," Working Papers 2021/01, Latvijas Banka.
    52. Luciano Campos & Danilo Leiva-León & Steven Zapata- Álvarez, 2022. "Latin American Falls, Rebounds and Tail Risks," Borradores de Economia 1201, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
    53. Matteo Barigozzi & Matteo Luciani, 2017. "Common Factors, Trends, and Cycles in Large Datasets," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2017-111, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    54. Matei Demetrescu & Robinson Kruse-Becher, 2021. "Is U.S. real output growth really non-normal? Testing distributional assumptions in time-varying location-scale models," CREATES Research Papers 2021-07, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
    55. Denis Belomestny & Ekaterina Krymova & Andrey Polbin, 2020. "Estimating TVP-VAR models with time invariant long-run multipliers," Papers 2008.00718, arXiv.org.
    56. Lee, Byoungchan, 2023. "Wealth Inequality and Endogenous Growth," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 133(C), pages 132-148.
    57. Bandi, Federico M. & Bretscher, Lorenzo & Tamoni, Andrea, 2023. "Return predictability with endogenous growth," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 150(3).
    58. Zhang, Xiaoge, 2022. "Belief-driven growth slowdowns and zero-bounded risk-free rate," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 59(C).
    59. Adam Check & Jeremy Piger, 2021. "Structural Breaks in U.S. Macroeconomic Time Series: A Bayesian Model Averaging Approach," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 53(8), pages 1999-2036, December.
    60. Marta Banbura & Andries van Vlodrop, 2018. "Forecasting with Bayesian Vector Autoregressions with Time Variation in the Mean," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 18-025/IV, Tinbergen Institute.
    61. Akos Valentinyi, 2018. "Quantity Measurement and Balanced Growth in Multi-Sector Growth Models," 2018 Meeting Papers 837, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    62. Michal Franta & Jan Libich, 2024. "Holding the economy by the tail: analysis of short- and long-run macroeconomic risks," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 66(4), pages 1443-1489, April.
    63. Nam Gang Lee, 2020. "Vulnerable Growth: A Revisit," Working Papers 2020-22, Economic Research Institute, Bank of Korea.
    64. Crafts, Nicholas & Mills, Terence, 2017. "Trend TFP Growth in the United States: Forecasts versus Outcomes," CEPR Discussion Papers 12029, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    65. John Fernald, 2018. "Is Slow Productivity and Output Growth in Advanced Economies the New Normal?," International Productivity Monitor, Centre for the Study of Living Standards, vol. 35, pages 138-148, Fall.
    66. Jack Fosten & Daniel Gutknecht, 2021. "Horizon confidence sets," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 61(2), pages 667-692, August.
    67. Florian Huber & Gary Koop, 2023. "Fast and Order-invariant Inference in Bayesian VARs with Non-Parametric Shocks," Papers 2305.16827, arXiv.org.
    68. Fritz, Marlon, 2019. "Steady state adjusting trends using a data-driven local polynomial regression," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 83(C), pages 312-325.
    69. Belomestny, Denis & Krymova, Ekaterina & Polbin, Andrey, 2021. "Bayesian TVP-VARX models with time invariant long-run multipliers," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 101(C).
    70. Lu, Fei & Ma, Feng & Hu, Shiyang, 2024. "Does energy consumption play a key role? Re-evaluating the energy consumption-economic growth nexus from GDP growth rates forecasting," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 129(C).
    71. Kohns, David & Potjagailo, Galina, 2023. "Flexible Bayesian MIDAS: time‑variation, group‑shrinkage and sparsity," Bank of England working papers 1025, Bank of England.
    72. Weiske, Sebastian, 2019. "Indicator-based estimates of the output gap in the euro area," VfS Annual Conference 2019 (Leipzig): 30 Years after the Fall of the Berlin Wall - Democracy and Market Economy 203604, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    73. González-Astudillo, Manuel & Baquero, Daniel, 2019. "A nowcasting model for Ecuador: Implementing a time-varying mean output growth," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 82(C), pages 250-263.
    74. Magnus Reif, 2020. "Macroeconomics, Nonlinearities, and the Business Cycle," ifo Beiträge zur Wirtschaftsforschung, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, number 87.
    75. Nicolo Maffei-Faccioli, 2020. "Identifying the Sources of the Slowdown in Growth: Demand vs. Supply," 2020 Papers pma2978, Job Market Papers.
    76. Paul Labonne, 2020. "Asymmetric uncertainty : Nowcasting using skewness in real-time data," Papers 2012.02601, arXiv.org, revised May 2024.
    77. Valentinyi, Akos & Herrendorf, Berthold & Duernecker, Georg, 2017. "Structural Change within the Service Sector and the Future of Baumol's Disease," CEPR Discussion Papers 12467, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    78. Götz, Thomas B. & Hauzenberger, Klemens, 2018. "Large mixed-frequency VARs with a parsimonious time-varying parameter structure," Discussion Papers 40/2018, Deutsche Bundesbank.
    79. Akos Valentinyi & Georg Duernecker, 2017. "Unbalanced Growth Slowdown," 2017 Meeting Papers 822, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    80. Kohns, David & Bhattacharjee, Arnab, 2023. "Nowcasting growth using Google Trends data: A Bayesian Structural Time Series model," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 39(3), pages 1384-1412.
    81. Thomas B Götz & Klemens Hauzenberger, 2021. "Large mixed-frequency VARs with a parsimonious time-varying parameter structure," The Econometrics Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 24(3), pages 442-461.
    82. Klaus Gründler & Niklas Potrafke, 2023. "Population Aging, Retirement, and Aggregate Productivity," CESifo Working Paper Series 10594, CESifo.
    83. Zarges, Lara & Lehmann, Robert, 2024. "What Drives Trend German GDP Growth? A Disaggregated Sectoral View," VfS Annual Conference 2024 (Berlin): Upcoming Labor Market Challenges 302409, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    84. Nicholas Crafts, 2017. "Is Slow Economic Growth the ‘New Normal’ for Europe?," Atlantic Economic Journal, Springer;International Atlantic Economic Society, vol. 45(3), pages 283-297, September.
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    86. Saeed Zaman, 2021. "A Unified Framework to Estimate Macroeconomic Stars," Working Papers 21-23R2, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, revised 31 May 2024.

  10. Petrella, Ivan & Drechsel, Thomas & Antolin-Diaz, Juan, 2014. "Following the Trend: Tracking GDP when Long-Run Growth is Uncertain," CEPR Discussion Papers 10272, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.

    Cited by:

    1. Huber, Kilian, 2018. "Disentangling the effects of a banking crisis: evidence from German firms and counties," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 87410, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    2. Krusell, Per & Rudanko, Leena, 2016. "Unions in a frictional labor market," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 35-50.
    3. Petrella, Ivan & Venditti, Fabrizio & Delle Monache, Davide, 2016. "Adaptive state space models with applications to the business cycle and financial stress," CEPR Discussion Papers 11599, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    4. Matutinović, Igor & Salthe, Stanley N. & Ulanowicz, Robert E., 2016. "The mature stage of capitalist development: Models, signs and policy implications," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 39(C), pages 17-30.

Articles

  1. Thomas Drechsel, 2023. "Earnings-Based Borrowing Constraints and Macroeconomic Fluctuations," American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, American Economic Association, vol. 15(2), pages 1-34, April.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  2. Den Haan, Wouter J. & Drechsel, Thomas, 2021. "Agnostic Structural Disturbances (ASDs): Detecting and reducing misspecification in empirical macroeconomic models," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 117(C), pages 258-277.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  3. Drechsel, Thomas & Tenreyro, Silvana, 2018. "Commodity booms and busts in emerging economies," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 112(C), pages 200-218.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  4. Juan Antolin-Diaz & Thomas Drechsel & Ivan Petrella, 2017. "Tracking the Slowdown in Long-Run GDP Growth," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 99(2), pages 343-356, May.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  5. Itamar Drechsler & Thomas Drechsel & David Marques-Ibanez & Philipp Schnabl, 2016. "Who Borrows from the Lender of Last Resort?," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 71(5), pages 1933-1974, October.

    Cited by:

    1. António Afonso & Michael G. Arghyrou & María Dolores Gadea & Alexandros Kontonikas, 2017. ""Whatever it takes" to resolve the European sovereign debt crisis? Bond pricing regime switches and monetary policy effects," Working Papers REM 2017/02, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa.
    2. Christoph Trebesch & Jeromin Zettelmeyer, 2014. "ECB Interventions in Distressed Sovereign Debt Markets: The Case of Greek Bonds," CESifo Working Paper Series 4731, CESifo.
    3. Corradin, Stefano & Heider, Florian & Hoerova, Marie, 2017. "On collateral: implications for financial stability and monetary policy," Working Paper Series 2107, European Central Bank.
    4. Jean‐Stéphane Mésonnier & Charles O'Donnell & Olivier Toutain, 2022. "The Interest of Being Eligible," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 54(2-3), pages 425-458, March.
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Chapters

  1. Thomas Drechsel & Silvana Tenreyro, 2017. "Commodity Booms and Busts in Emerging Economies," NBER Chapters, in: NBER International Seminar on Macroeconomics 2017, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    See citations under working paper version above.Sorry, no citations of chapters recorded.
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