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Can Time-Varying Risk of Rare Disasters Explain Aggregate Stock Market Volatility?
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- Segal, Gill & Shaliastovich, Ivan & Yaron, Amir, 2015.
"Good and bad uncertainty: Macroeconomic and financial market implications,"
Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 117(2), pages 369-397.
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- Kroencke, Tim A. & Schmeling, Maik & Schrimpf, Andreas, 2021.
"The FOMC Risk Shift,"
Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 120(C), pages 21-39.
- Schmeling, Maik & Schrimpf, Paul & Kroencke, Tim, 2019. "The FOMC Risk Shift," CEPR Discussion Papers 14037, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
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- Umar, Muhammad & Mirza, Nawazish & Rizvi, Syed Kumail Abbas & Furqan, Mehreen, 2023. "Asymmetric volatility structure of equity returns: Evidence from an emerging market," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 87(C), pages 330-336.
- Bianchi, Francesco, 2020.
"The Great Depression and the Great Recession: A view from financial markets,"
Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 114(C), pages 240-261.
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"Pricing Assets in an Economy with Two Types of People,"
NBER Working Papers
22228, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
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"Discounting the Future: on Climate Change, Ambiguity Aversion and Epstein-Zin Preferences,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
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"Disaster risk and asset returns: An international perspective,"
Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 108(S1), pages 42-58.
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"Extreme Inflation and Time-Varying Expected Consumption Growth,"
Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 69(5), pages 2972-3002, May.
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"A Markov chain measure of systemic banking crisis frequency,"
Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 28(16), pages 1351-1356, September.
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IMF Economic Review, Palgrave Macmillan;International Monetary Fund, vol. 72(1), pages 335-392, March.
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- Lloyd, S. & Manuel, E. & Panchev, K., 2021. "Foreign Vulnerabilities, Domestic Risks: The Global Drivers of GDP-at-Risk," Janeway Institute Working Papers 2102, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
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"Tails, Fears, and Risk Premia,"
Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 66(6), pages 2165-2211, December.
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- Tim Bollerslev & Viktor Todorov, 2010. "Tails, Fears and Risk Premia," Working Papers 10-33, Duke University, Department of Economics.
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"Equilibrium Asset Pricing in Directed Networks [Risk premia and term premia in general equilibrium],"
Review of Finance, European Finance Association, vol. 25(3), pages 777-818.
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"Peso problems in the estimation of the C‐CAPM,"
Quantitative Economics, Econometric Society, vol. 13(1), pages 259-313, January.
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"Disasters Implied by Equity Index Options,"
Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 66(6), pages 1969-2012, December.
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- David Backus & Mikhail Chernov & Ian Martin, 2009. "Disasters Implied by Equity Index Options," Working Papers 09-14, New York University, Leonard N. Stern School of Business, Department of Economics.
- Riccardo Colacito & Eric Ghysels & Jinghan Meng & Wasin Siwasarit, 2016. "Skewness in Expected Macro Fundamentals and the Predictability of Equity Returns: Evidence and Theory," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 29(8), pages 2069-2109.
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"Spillovers at the extremes: The macroprudential stance and vulnerability to the global financial cycle,"
Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 136(C).
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- Anusha Chari & Karlye Dilts Stedman & Kristin J. Forbes, 2021. "Spillovers at the Extremes: The Macroprudential Stance and Vulnerability to the Global Financial Cycle," Research Working Paper RWP 21-16, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City.
- Anusha Chari & Karlye Dilts Stedman & Kristin Forbes, 2022. "Spillovers at the Extremes: The Macroprudential Stance and Vulnerability to the Global Financial Cycle," NBER Working Papers 29670, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Chari, Anusha & Dilts Stedman, Karlye & Forbes, Kristin, 2022. "Spillovers at the Extremes: The Macroprudential Stance and Vulnerability to the Global Financial Cycle," CEPR Discussion Papers 16889, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Niu, Yingjie & Yang, Jinqiang & Zou, Zhentao, 2024. "Disaster learning and aggregate investment," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 220(C).
- João F Gomes & Marco Grotteria & Jessica A Wachter, 2019.
"Cyclical Dispersion in Expected Defaults,"
The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 32(4), pages 1275-1308.
- João F. Gomes & Marco Grotteria & Jessica A. Wachter, 2017. "Cyclical Dispersion in Expected Defaults," NBER Working Papers 23704, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Michael Weber & Christian Dorion & Alexandre Jeanneret & Harjoat Bhamra, 2017. "Deflation, Sticky Leverage and Asset Prices," 2017 Meeting Papers 796, Society for Economic Dynamics.
- Robin Greenwood & Samuel G. Hanson, 2013.
"Issuer Quality and Corporate Bond Returns,"
The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 26(6), pages 1483-1525.
- Robin Greenwood & Samuel G. Hanson, 2010. "Issuer Quality and Corporate Bond Returns," Harvard Business School Working Papers 11-065, Harvard Business School.
- Venky Venkateswaran, 2023. "Comment on "Long Term Expectations and Aggregate Fluctuations"," NBER Chapters, in: NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2023, volume 38, pages 363-368, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Dew-Becker, Ian & Giglio, Stefano & Kelly, Bryan, 2021.
"Hedging macroeconomic and financial uncertainty and volatility,"
Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 142(1), pages 23-45.
- Ian Dew-Becker & Stefano Giglio & Bryan T. Kelly, 2019. "Hedging Macroeconomic and Financial Uncertainty and Volatility," NBER Working Papers 26323, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Giglio, Stefano & Dew-Becker, Ian & Kelly, Bryan, 2020. "Hedging macroeconomic and financial uncertainty and volatility," CEPR Discussion Papers 15239, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Julien Pénasse & Luc Renneboog, 2022. "Speculative Trading and Bubbles: Evidence from the Art Market," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 68(7), pages 4939-4963, July.
- Olijslagers, Stan & van der Ploeg, Frederick & van Wijnbergen, Sweder, 2023.
"On current and future carbon prices in a risky world,"
Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 146(C).
- Stan W.J. Olijslagers & Rick van der Ploeg & Sweder van Wijnbergen, 2021. "On Current and Future Carbon Prices in a Risky World," CESifo Working Paper Series 9092, CESifo.
- Stan Olijslagers & Rick van der Ploeg & Sweder van Wijnbergen, 2021. "On current and future carbon prices in a risky world," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 21-045/VI, Tinbergen Institute.
- Barberis, Nicholas & Greenwood, Robin & Jin, Lawrence & Shleifer, Andrei, 2015.
"X-CAPM: An extrapolative capital asset pricing model,"
Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 115(1), pages 1-24.
- Nicholas Barberis & Robin Greenwood & Lawrence Jin & Andrei Shleifer, "undated". "X-CAPM: An Extrapolative Capital Asset Pricing Model," Working Paper 86521, Harvard University OpenScholar.
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- Zhifeng Liu & Toan Luu Duc Huynh & Peng-Fei Dai, 2020. "The impact of COVID-19 on the stock market crash risk in China," Papers 2009.08030, arXiv.org, revised Aug 2021.
- Elie Bouri & Rangan Gupta & Asingamaanda Liphadzi & Christian Pierdzioch, 2024. "Forecasting Stock Returns Volatility of the G7 Over Centuries: The Role of Climate Risks," Working Papers 202424, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- François Gourio, 2013.
"Credit Risk and Disaster Risk,"
American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, American Economic Association, vol. 5(3), pages 1-34, July.
- Francois Gourio, 2010. "Credit risk and Disaster risk," 2010 Meeting Papers 112, Society for Economic Dynamics.
- François Gourio, 2012. "Credit risk and disaster risk," Working Paper Series WP-2012-07, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago.
- Gourio, Francois, 2011. "Credit Risk and Disaster Risk," CEPR Discussion Papers 8201, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Francois Gourio, 2011. "Credit Risk and Disaster Risk," NBER Working Papers 17026, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
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- Robert Barro & Tao Jin, 2021.
"Rare Events and Long-Run Risks,"
Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 39, pages 1-25, January.
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- Robert Barro & Tao Jin, 2020. "Online Appendix to "Rare Events and Long-Run Risks"," Online Appendices 18-485, Review of Economic Dynamics.
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"Carry,"
Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 127(2), pages 197-225.
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- Steven J. Davis & Dingqian Liu & Xuguang Simon Sheng, 2022.
"Stock Prices and Economic Activity in the Time of Coronavirus,"
IMF Economic Review, Palgrave Macmillan;International Monetary Fund, vol. 70(1), pages 32-67, March.
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"Credit Expansion and Neglected Crash Risk,"
The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 132(2), pages 713-764.
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Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 113(C).
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"Risk premia in general equilibrium,"
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"Asset pricing under rational learning about rare disasters,"
IMFS Working Paper Series
46, Goethe University Frankfurt, Institute for Monetary and Financial Stability (IMFS).
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"Market fragility and the paradox of the recent stock-bond dissonance,"
Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 162(C), pages 162-166.
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Quantitative Economics, Econometric Society, vol. 9(2), pages 903-944, July.
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- Reinhart, Carmen M. & Reinhart, Vincent & Rogoff, Kenneth, 2015. "Dealing with Debt," Working Paper Series rwp15-009, Harvard University, John F. Kennedy School of Government.
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Quantitative Economics, Econometric Society, vol. 11(4), pages 1461-1484, November.
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"Asset Pricing with Countercyclical Household Consumption Risk,"
Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 72(1), pages 415-460, February.
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"The risk premium of gold,"
Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 94(C), pages 140-159.
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"The role of time‐varying rare disaster risks in predicting bond returns and volatility,"
Review of Financial Economics, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 37(3), pages 327-340, July.
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"Asset Prices in a Lifecycle Economy,"
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"Measuring macroeconomic tail risk,"
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- Zhenzhen Fan & Juan M. Londono & Xiao Xiao, 2019. "US Equity Tail Risk and Currency Risk Premia," International Finance Discussion Papers 1253, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Demirer, Riza & Gupta, Rangan & Suleman, Tahir & Wohar, Mark E., 2018.
"Time-varying rare disaster risks, oil returns and volatility,"
Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 75(C), pages 239-248.
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- Ravi Bansal & Marcelo Ochoa & Dana Kiku, 2016. "Climate Change and Growth Risks," NBER Working Papers 23009, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Roberto Marfè & Julien Penasse, 2016. "The Time-Varying Risk of Macroeconomic Disasters," Carlo Alberto Notebooks 463, Collegio Carlo Alberto.
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