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Optimists and pessimists in (in)complete markets

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  • Branger, Nicole
  • Konermann, Patrick
  • Schlag, Christian

Abstract

We study the effects of market incompleteness on speculation, investor survival, and asset pricing moments, when investors disagree about the likelihood of jumps and have recursive preferences. We consider two models. In a model with jumps in aggregate consumption, incompleteness barely matters, since the consumption claim resembles an insurance product against jump risk and effectively reproduces approximate spanning. In a long-run risk model with jumps in the long-run growth rate, market incompleteness affects speculation, and investor survival. Jump and diffusive risks are more balanced regarding their importance and, therefore, the consumption claim cannot reproduce approximate spanning.

Suggested Citation

  • Branger, Nicole & Konermann, Patrick & Schlag, Christian, 2019. "Optimists and pessimists in (in)complete markets," SAFE Working Paper Series 252, Leibniz Institute for Financial Research SAFE.
    • Handle: RePEc:zbw:safewp:252
    DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2356502
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    market (in)completeness; heterogeneous beliefs; jumps in the longrungrowth rate; jumps in aggregate consumption; recursive preferences;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • D51 - Microeconomics - - General Equilibrium and Disequilibrium - - - Exchange and Production Economies
    • D52 - Microeconomics - - General Equilibrium and Disequilibrium - - - Incomplete Markets
    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates

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