Daniel J. Lewis
Citations
Many of the citations below have been collected in an experimental project, CitEc, where a more detailed citation analysis can be found. These are citations from works listed in RePEc that could be analyzed mechanically. So far, only a minority of all works could be analyzed. See under "Corrections" how you can help improve the citation analysis.Working papers
- Daniel Lewis & Davide Melcangi & Laura Pilossoph, 2024.
"Latent heterogeneity in the marginal propensity to consume,"
CeMMAP working papers
13/24, Institute for Fiscal Studies.
- Daniel Lewis & Davide Melcangi & Laura Pilossoph, 2019. "Latent Heterogeneity in the Marginal Propensity to Consume," 2019 Meeting Papers 519, Society for Economic Dynamics.
- Daniel Lewis & Davide Melcangi & Laura Pilossoph, 2024. "Latent Heterogeneity in the Marginal Propensity to Consume," NBER Working Papers 32523, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Daniel J. Lewis & Davide Melcangi & Laura Pilossoph, 2019. "Latent Heterogeneity in the Marginal Propensity to Consume," Staff Reports 902, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
Cited by:
- Christian Hellwig & Nicolas Werquin, 2022.
"A Fair Day's Pay for a Fair Day's Work: Optimal Tax Design as Redistributional Arbitrage,"
Working Paper Series
WP 2022-03, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago.
- Hellwig, Christian & Werquin, Nicolas, 2022. "A Fair Day's Pay for a Fair Day's Work: Optimal Tax Design as Redistributional Arbitrage," CEPR Discussion Papers 16863, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Hellwig, Christian & Werquin, Nicolas, 2022. "Using Consumption Data to Derive Optimal Income and Capital Tax Rates," TSE Working Papers 22-1284, Toulouse School of Economics (TSE), revised Jul 2024.
- Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas & Ṣebnem Kalemli-Özcan & Veronika Penciakova & Nick Sander, 2021. "Fiscal Policy in the Age of COVID: Does it ‘Get in all of the Cracks?’," NBER Working Papers 29293, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Jorge Miranda-Pino & Daniel Murphy & Kieran Walsh & Eric Young, 2020. "A Model of Expenditure Shocks," Working Papers 20-04, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
- Dutt, Satyajit & Radermacher, Jan W., 2023. "Age, wealth, and the MPC in Europe: A supervised machine learning approach," SAFE Working Paper Series 383, Leibniz Institute for Financial Research SAFE.
- Daniel J. Lewis & Davide Melcangi & Laura Pilossoph & Aidan Toner-Rodgers, 2022.
"Approximating Grouped Fixed Effects Estimation via Fuzzy Clustering Regression,"
Staff Reports
1033, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
- Daniel J. Lewis & Davide Melcangi & Laura Pilossoph & Aidan Toner‐Rodgers, 2023. "Approximating grouped fixed effects estimation via fuzzy clustering regression," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 38(7), pages 1077-1084, November.
Cited by:
- Daniel Lewis & Davide Melcangi & Laura Pilossoph, 2024.
"Latent Heterogeneity in the Marginal Propensity to Consume,"
NBER Working Papers
32523, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Daniel Lewis & Davide Melcangi & Laura Pilossoph, 2019. "Latent Heterogeneity in the Marginal Propensity to Consume," 2019 Meeting Papers 519, Society for Economic Dynamics.
- Daniel Lewis & Davide Melcangi & Laura Pilossoph, 2024. "Latent heterogeneity in the marginal propensity to consume," CeMMAP working papers 13/24, Institute for Fiscal Studies.
- Daniel J. Lewis & Davide Melcangi & Laura Pilossoph, 2019. "Latent Heterogeneity in the Marginal Propensity to Consume," Staff Reports 902, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
- Daniel J. Lewis & Karel Mertens, 2022.
"A Robust Test for Weak Instruments for 2SLS with Multiple Endogenous Regressors,"
Working Papers
2208, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, revised 26 Sep 2024.
Cited by:
- Hack, Lukas & Istrefi, Klodiana & Meier, Matthias, 2023.
"Identification of systematic monetary policy,"
Working Paper Series
2851, European Central Bank.
- Hack, Lukas & Istrefi, Klodiana & Meier, Matthias, 2023. "Identification of Systematic Monetary Policy," CEPR Discussion Papers 17999, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Campbell, Douglas & Brodeur, Abel & Dreber, Anna & Johannesson, Magnus & Kopecky, Joseph & Lusher, Lester & Tsoy, Nikita, 2024. "The Robustness Reproducibility of the American Economic Review," I4R Discussion Paper Series 124, The Institute for Replication (I4R).
- Chang Liu & Yinxi Xie, 2023. "Understanding Inflation Dynamics: The Role of Government Expenditures," Staff Working Papers 23-30, Bank of Canada.
- Hack, Lukas & Istrefi, Klodiana & Meier, Matthias, 2023.
"Identification of systematic monetary policy,"
Working Paper Series
2851, European Central Bank.
- Daniel J. Lewis & Karel Mertens, 2022.
"A Robust Test for Weak Instruments with Multiple Endogenous Regressors,"
Staff Reports
1020, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
Cited by:
- Hack, Lukas & Istrefi, Klodiana & Meier, Matthias, 2023.
"Identification of systematic monetary policy,"
Working Paper Series
2851, European Central Bank.
- Hack, Lukas & Istrefi, Klodiana & Meier, Matthias, 2023. "Identification of Systematic Monetary Policy," CEPR Discussion Papers 17999, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Campbell, Douglas & Brodeur, Abel & Dreber, Anna & Johannesson, Magnus & Kopecky, Joseph & Lusher, Lester & Tsoy, Nikita, 2024. "The Robustness Reproducibility of the American Economic Review," I4R Discussion Paper Series 124, The Institute for Replication (I4R).
- Chang Liu & Yinxi Xie, 2023. "Understanding Inflation Dynamics: The Role of Government Expenditures," Staff Working Papers 23-30, Bank of Canada.
- Hack, Lukas & Istrefi, Klodiana & Meier, Matthias, 2023.
"Identification of systematic monetary policy,"
Working Paper Series
2851, European Central Bank.
- Daniel J. Lewis & Karel Mertens & James H. Stock, 2020.
"Monitoring Real Activity in Real Time: The Weekly Economic Index,"
Liberty Street Economics
20200330b, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
Cited by:
- Marc Burri & Daniel Kaufmann, 2020.
"A daily fever curve for the Swiss economy,"
Swiss Journal of Economics and Statistics, Springer;Swiss Society of Economics and Statistics, vol. 156(1), pages 1-11, December.
- Marc Burri & Daniel Kaufmann, 2020. "A daily fever curve for the Swiss economy," IRENE Working Papers 20-05, IRENE Institute of Economic Research.
- Jean-Charles Bricongne & Baptiste Meunier & Raquel Caldeira, 2024. "Should Central Banks Care About Text Mining? A Literature Review," Working papers 950, Banque de France.
- Daniel J. Lewis & Karel Mertens & James H. Stock & Mihir Trivedi, 2021.
"High-Frequency Data and a Weekly Economic Index during the Pandemic,"
AEA Papers and Proceedings, American Economic Association, vol. 111, pages 326-330, May.
- Daniel J. Lewis & Karel Mertens & James H. Stock & Mihir Trivedi, 2020. "High Frequency Data and a Weekly Economic Index during the Pandemic," Staff Reports 954, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
- Le, Thai-Ha & Boubaker, Sabri & Bui, Manh Tien & Park, Donghyun, 2023.
"On the volatility of WTI crude oil prices: A time-varying approach with stochastic volatility,"
Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 117(C).
- T.-H. Le & Sabri Boubaker & M.T. Bui & D. Park, 2023. "On the Volatility of WTI Crude Oil Prices: A Time-Varying Approach with Stochastic Volatility," Post-Print hal-04433059, HAL.
- Patricia C. Mosser, 2020. "Central bank responses to COVID-19," Business Economics, Palgrave Macmillan;National Association for Business Economics, vol. 55(4), pages 191-201, October.
- Mariia Artemova & Francisco Blasques & Siem Jan Koopman & Zhaokun Zhang, 2021. "Forecasting in a changing world: from the great recession to the COVID-19 pandemic," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 21-006/III, Tinbergen Institute.
- Daniel J. Lewis & Karel Mertens & James H. Stock & Mihir Trivedi, 2020.
"Measuring Real Activity Using a Weekly Economic Index,"
Staff Reports
920, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
- Daniel J. Lewis & Karel Mertens & James H. Stock & Mihir Trivedi, 2022. "Measuring real activity using a weekly economic index," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 37(4), pages 667-687, June.
- Daniel J. Lewis & Karel Mertens & James H. Stock, 2020. "Measuring Real Activity Using a Weekly Economic Index," Working Papers 2011, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, revised 02 Mar 2021.
- Fornaro, Paolo, 2020. "Nowcasting Industrial Production Using Uncoventional Data Sources," ETLA Working Papers 80, The Research Institute of the Finnish Economy.
- Nicolas Woloszko, 2020. "Tracking activity in real time with Google Trends," OECD Economics Department Working Papers 1634, OECD Publishing.
- Marc Burri & Daniel Kaufmann, 2020.
"A daily fever curve for the Swiss economy,"
Swiss Journal of Economics and Statistics, Springer;Swiss Society of Economics and Statistics, vol. 156(1), pages 1-11, December.
- Mertens, Karel & Lewis, Daniel & Makridis, Christos, 2020.
"Do Monetary Policy Announcements Shift Household Expectations?,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
14360, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Daniel J. Lewis & Christos Makridis & Karel Mertens, 2019. "Do Monetary Policy Announcements Shift Household Expectations?," Working Papers 1906, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, revised 17 Jan 2020.
- Daniel J. Lewis & Christos Makridis & Karel Mertens, 2019. "Do Monetary Policy Announcements Shift Household Expectations?," Staff Reports 897, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
Cited by:
- Choi, Sangyup & Shin, Junhyeok & Yoo, Seung Yong, 2022.
"Are government spending shocks inflationary at the zero lower bound? New evidence from daily data,"
Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 139(C).
- Sangyup Choi & Junhyeok Shin & Seung Yong Yoo, 2022. "Are government spending shocks inflationary at the zero lower bound? New evidence from daily data," CAMA Working Papers 2022-19, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Sangyup Choi & Junhyeok Shin & Seung Yong Yoo, 2021. "Are Government Spending Shocks Inflationary at the Zero Lower Bound? New Evidence from Daily Data," Working papers 2021rwp-189, Yonsei University, Yonsei Economics Research Institute.
- Luisa Corrado & Daniela Fantozzi & Simona Giglioli, 2022. "Real-time ineuqalities and policies during the pandemic in the US," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 1396, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
- Coibion, Olivier & Georgarakos, Dimitris & Gorodnichenko, Yuriy & Weber, Michael, 2022.
"Forward Guidance and Household Expectations,"
Department of Economics, Working Paper Series
qt71g5h892, Department of Economics, Institute for Business and Economic Research, UC Berkeley.
- Coibion, Olivier & Georgarakos, Dimitris & Gorodnichenko, Yuriy & Weber, Michael, 2020. "Forward Guidance and Household Expectations," IZA Discussion Papers 12979, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
- Coibion, Olivier & Georgarakos, Dimitris & Gorodnichenko, Yuriy & Weber, Michael, 2020. "Forward Guidance and Household Expectations," Department of Economics, Working Paper Series qt63x5f3w5, Department of Economics, Institute for Business and Economic Research, UC Berkeley.
- Coibion, Olivier & Georgarakos, Dimitris & Gorodnichenko, Yuriy & Weber, Michael, 2020. "Forward Guidance and Household Expectations," Department of Economics, Working Paper Series qt6w1837rg, Department of Economics, Institute for Business and Economic Research, UC Berkeley.
- Olivier Coibion & Dimitris Georgarakos & Yuriy Gorodnichenko & Michael Weber, 2023. "Forward Guidance and Household Expectations," Journal of the European Economic Association, European Economic Association, vol. 21(5), pages 2131-2171.
- Olivier Coibion & Dimitris Georgarakos & Yuriy Gorodnichenko & Michael Weber & Michael Weber, 2020. "Forward Guidance and Household Expectations," CESifo Working Paper Series 8118, CESifo.
- Olivier Coibion & Dimitris Georgarakos & Yuriy Gorodnichenko & Michael Weber, 2020. "Forward Guidance and Household Expectations," NBER Working Papers 26778, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Coibion, Olivier & Georgarakos, Dimitris & Gorodnichenko, Yuriy & Weber, Michael, 2023. "Forward Guidance and Household Expectations," Department of Economics, Working Paper Series qt7np4511v, Department of Economics, Institute for Business and Economic Research, UC Berkeley.
- Olivier Coibion & Dimitris Georgarakos & Yuriy Gorodnichenko & Michael Weber, 2020. "Forward Guidance and Household Expectations," Working Papers 2020-07, Becker Friedman Institute for Research In Economics.
- Olivier Coibion & Yuriy Gorodnichenko & Edward S. Knotek II & Raphael Schoenle, 2020.
"Average Inflation Targeting and Household Expectations,"
NBER Working Papers
27836, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Schoenle, Raphael & Gorodnichenko, Yuriy & Knotek, Edward, 2020. "Average Inflation Targeting and Household Expectations," CEPR Discussion Papers 15307, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Olivier Coibion & Yuriy Gorodnichenko & Edward S. Knotek & Raphael Schoenle, 2023. "Average Inflation Targeting and Household Expectations," Journal of Political Economy Macroeconomics, University of Chicago Press, vol. 1(2), pages 403-446.
- Olivier Coibion & Yuriy Gorodnichenko & Edward S. Knotek, 2020. "Average Inflation Targeting and Household Expectations," Working Papers 20-26R, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, revised 20 Dec 2021.
- Andrade, Philippe & Gautier, Erwan & Mengus, Eric, 2023.
"What matters in households’ inflation expectations?,"
Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 138(C), pages 50-68.
- Mengus, Eric & Andrade, Philippe & Gautier, Erwan, 2020. "What Matters in Households' Inflation Expectations?," CEPR Discussion Papers 14905, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Philippe Andrade & Erwan Gautier & Eric Mengus, 2021. "What Matters in Households' Inflation Expectations?," CESifo Working Paper Series 9005, CESifo.
- Philippe Andrade & Erwan Gautier & Eric Mengus, 2020. "What Matters in Households’ Inflation Expectations?," Working papers 770, Banque de France.
- Claus, Edda & Nguyen, Viet Hoang, 2023. "Biased expectations," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 154(C).
- Lena Dräger & Michael J. Lamla, 2024.
"Consumers' macroeconomic expectations,"
Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 38(2), pages 427-451, April.
- Lena Dräger & Michael J. Lamla & Michael Lamla, 2023. "Consumers' Macroeconomic Expectations," CESifo Working Paper Series 10709, CESifo.
- Dräger, Lena & Lamla, Michael J., 2023. "Consumers' Macroeconomic Expectations," Hannover Economic Papers (HEP) dp-714, Leibniz Universität Hannover, Wirtschaftswissenschaftliche Fakultät.
- Kim Nguyen & Gianni La Cava, 2020. "Start Spreading the News: News Sentiment and Economic Activity in Australia," RBA Research Discussion Papers rdp2020-08, Reserve Bank of Australia.
- Ivan Yotzov & Nicholas Bloom & Philip Bunn & Paul Mizen & Gregory Thwaites, 2024.
"The Speed of Firm Response to Inflation,"
Discussion Papers
2425, Centre for Macroeconomics (CFM).
- Ivan Yotzov & Nicholas Bloom & Philip Bunn & Paul Mizen & Gregory Thwaites, 2024. "The Speed of Firm Response to Inflation," NBER Working Papers 32731, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Yotzov, Ivan & Bloom, Nicholas & Bunn, Philip & Mizen, Paul & Thwaites, Gregory, 2024. "The speed of firm response to inflation," Bank of England working papers 1085, Bank of England.
- Dajčman Silvo, 2020. "Economic policy and confidence of economic agents – a causal relationship?," Review of Economic Perspectives, Sciendo, vol. 20(4), pages 471-484, December.
- Conrad, Christian & Enders, Zeno & Glas, Alexander, 2022.
"The role of information and experience for households’ inflation expectations,"
European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 143(C).
- Conrad, Christian & Enders, Zeno & Glas, Alexander, 2021. "The role of information and experience for households' inflation expectations," Discussion Papers 07/2021, Deutsche Bundesbank.
- Christian Conrad & Zeno Enders & Alexander Glas, 2021. "The role of information and experience for households' inflation expectations," Working Paper series 21-04, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis.
- Conrad, Christian & Enders, Zeno & Glas, Alexander, 2020. "The role of information and experience for households' inflation expectations," Working Papers 20, German Research Foundation's Priority Programme 1859 "Experience and Expectation. Historical Foundations of Economic Behaviour", Humboldt University Berlin.
- Christian Conrad & Zeno Enders & Alexander Glas, 2020. "The Role of Information and Experience for Households' Inflation Expectations," CESifo Working Paper Series 8528, CESifo.
- Moritz Grebe & Peter Tillmann, 2022. "Household Expectations and Dissent Among Policymakers," MAGKS Papers on Economics 202226, Philipps-Universität Marburg, Faculty of Business Administration and Economics, Department of Economics (Volkswirtschaftliche Abteilung).
- Grebe, Moritz & Tillmann, Peter, 2022. "Household expectations and dissent among policymakers," IMFS Working Paper Series 169, Goethe University Frankfurt, Institute for Monetary and Financial Stability (IMFS).
- Fiorella De Fiore & Marco Jacopo Lombardi & Johannes Schuffels, 2021.
"Are households indifferent to monetary policy announcements?,"
BIS Working Papers
956, Bank for International Settlements.
- De Fiore, Fiorella & Lombardi, Marco & Schuffels, Johannes, 2022. "Are Households Indifferent to Monetary Policy Announcements?," CEPR Discussion Papers 17041, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Jmaes McNeil, 2020.
"Monetary policy and the term structure of Inflation expectations with information frictions,"
Working Papers
daleconwp2020-07, Dalhousie University, Department of Economics.
- McNeil, James, 2023. "Monetary policy and the term structure of inflation expectations with information frictions," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 146(C).
- Julien Pinter & Evzen Kocenda, 2021.
"Media Treatment of Monetary Policy Surprises and Their Impact on Firms' and Consumers' Expectations,"
Working Papers IES
2021/30, Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, Institute of Economic Studies, revised Sep 2021.
- Julien Pinter & Evžen Kocenda, 2023. "Media Treatment of Monetary Policy Surprises and Their Impact on Firms’ and Consumers’ Expectations," CESifo Working Paper Series 10413, CESifo.
- Ambrocio, Gene & Juselius, Mikael, 2020. "Dealing with the costs of the COVID-19 pandemic – what are the fiscal options?," BoF Economics Review 2/2020, Bank of Finland.
- Olivier Coibion & Yuriy Gorodnichenko & Saten Kumar & Mathieu Pedemonte, 2018.
"Inflation Expectations as a Policy Tool?,"
NBER Working Papers
24788, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Coibion, Olivier & Gorodnichenko, Yuriy & Kumar, Saten & Pedemonte, Mathieu, 2020. "Inflation expectations as a policy tool?," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 124(C).
- Olivier Coibion & Yuriy Gorodnichenko & Saten Kumar & Mathieu Pedemonte, 2018. "Inflation Expectations as a Policy Tool?," Working Papers 2019-06, Auckland University of Technology, Department of Economics.
- Olivier Coibion & Yuriy Gorodnichenko & Saten Kumar & Mathieu Pedemonte, 2019. "Inflation Expectations as a Policy Tool?," NBER Chapters, in: NBER International Seminar on Macroeconomics 2019, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Hamid Baghestani & Sehar Fatima, 2021. "Growth in US Durables Spending: Assessing the Impact of Consumer Ability and Willingness to Buy," Journal of Business Cycle Research, Springer;Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys (CIRET), vol. 17(1), pages 55-69, April.
- SYED, Sarfaraz Ali Shah, 2021. "Heterogeneous consumers in the Euro-Area, facing homogeneous monetary policy: Tale of two large economies," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 24(C).
- Baumann, Ursel & Darracq Pariès, Matthieu & Westermann, Thomas & Riggi, Marianna & Bobeica, Elena & Meyler, Aidan & Böninghausen, Benjamin & Fritzer, Friedrich & Trezzi, Riccardo & Jonckheere, Jana & , 2021. "Inflation expectations and their role in Eurosystem forecasting," Occasional Paper Series 264, European Central Bank.
- Conces Binder, Carola & Campbell, Jeffrey & Ryngaert, Jane, 2022. "Consumer Inflation Expectations: Daily Dynamics," MPRA Paper 117628, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Angino, Siria & Robitu, Robert, 2023. "One question at a time! A text mining analysis of the ECB Q&A session," Working Paper Series 2852, European Central Bank.
- Große Steffen, Christoph, 2021. "Anchoring of long-term inflation expectations: Do inflation target formulations matter?," VfS Annual Conference 2021 (Virtual Conference): Climate Economics 242466, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
- Daniel Lewis & Karel Mertens & James H. Stock, 2020.
"U.S. Economic Activity During the Early Weeks of the SARS-Cov-2 Outbreak,"
NBER Working Papers
26954, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
Cited by:
- Andrea Carriero & Todd E. Clark & Marcellino Massimiliano, 2020. "Nowcasting Tail Risks to Economic Activity with Many Indicators," Working Papers 20-13R2, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, revised 22 Sep 2020.
- Brodeur, Abel & Gray, David & Islam, Anik & Bhuiyan, Suraiya Jabeen, 2020.
"A Literature Review of the Economics of COVID-19,"
GLO Discussion Paper Series
601, Global Labor Organization (GLO).
- Brodeur, Abel & Gray, David M. & Islam, Anik & Bhuiyan, Suraiya Jabeen, 2020. "A Literature Review of the Economics of COVID-19," IZA Discussion Papers 13411, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
- Abel Brodeur & David Gray & Anik Islam & Suraiya Bhuiyan, 2021. "A literature review of the economics of COVID‐19," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 35(4), pages 1007-1044, September.
- Abel Brodeur & Suraiya Bhuyian & Anik Islam & David Gray, 2021. "A Literature Review of the Economics of COVID-19," Working Papers 2103E, University of Ottawa, Department of Economics.
- Diane Alexander & Ezra Karger, 2020.
"Do Stay-at-Home Orders Cause People to Stay at Home? Effects of Stay-at-Home Orders on Consumer Behavior,"
Working Paper Series
WP-2020-12, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, revised 19 Aug 2021.
- Diane Alexander & Ezra Karger, 2020. "Do Stay-at-Home Orders Cause People to Stay at Home? Effects of Stay-at-Home Orders on Consumer Behavior," Working Paper Series WP 2020-12, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago.
- Diane Alexander & Ezra Karger, 2023. "Do Stay-at-Home Orders Cause People to Stay at Home? Effects of Stay-at-Home Orders on Consumer Behavior," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 105(4), pages 1017-1027, July.
- Tyler Atkinson & Jim Dolmas & Christoffer Koch & Evan F. Koenig & Karel Mertens & Anthony Murphy & Kei-Mu Yi, 2020. "Mobility and Engagement Following the SARS-Cov-2 Outbreak," Working Papers 2014, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas.
- Peter Fuleky, 2020.
"Nowcasting the Trajectory of the COVID-19 Recovery,"
Working Papers
202022, University of Hawaii at Manoa, Department of Economics.
- Peter Fuleky, 2020. "Nowcasting the Trajectory of the COVID-19 Recovery," Working Papers 2020-3, University of Hawaii Economic Research Organization, University of Hawaii at Manoa.
- Peter Fuleky, 2022. "Nowcasting the trajectory of the COVID-19 recovery," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 29(11), pages 1037-1041, June.
- Galdi, Giulio & Casarin, Roberto & Ferrari, Davide & Fezzi, Carlo & Ravazzolo, Francesco, 2023.
"Nowcasting industrial production using linear and non-linear models of electricity demand,"
Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 126(C).
- Giulio Galdi & Roberto Casarin & Davide Ferrari & Carlo Fezzi & Francesco Ravazzolo, 2022. "Nowcasting industrial production using linear and non-linear models of electricity demand," DEM Working Papers 2022/2, Department of Economics and Management.
- Ana Beatriz Galvão & Michael Owyang, 2022.
"Forecasting low‐frequency macroeconomic events with high‐frequency data,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 37(7), pages 1314-1333, November.
- Galvao, Ana Beatriz & Owyang, Michael, 2020. "Forecasting Low Frequency Macroeconomic Events with High Frequency Data," EMF Research Papers 38, Economic Modelling and Forecasting Group.
- Ana B. Galvão & Michael T. Owyang, 2020. "Forecasting Low Frequency Macroeconomic Events with High Frequency Data," Working Papers 2020-028, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, revised Apr 2022.
- Sakouvogui Kekoura & Guilavogui Mama Genevieve, 2022. "How are the United States Banks faring during the COVID-19 Pandemic? Evidence of Economic Efficiency Measures," Open Economics, De Gruyter, vol. 5(1), pages 11-29, January.
- Frank Schorfheide & Dongho Song, 2024.
"Real-Time Forecasting with a (Standard) Mixed-Frequency VAR During a Pandemic,"
International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 20(4), pages 275-320, October.
- Schorfheide, Frank & Song, Dongho, 2021. "Real-Time Forecasting with a (Standard) Mixed-Frequency VAR During a Pandemic," CEPR Discussion Papers 16760, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Frank Schorfheide & Dongho Song, 2020. "Real-Time Forecasting with a (Standard) Mixed-Frequency VAR During a Pandemic," Working Papers 20-26, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia.
- Frank Schorfheide & Dongho Song, 2020. "Real-Time Forecasting with a (Standard) Mixed-Frequency VAR During a Pandemic," PIER Working Paper Archive 20-039, Penn Institute for Economic Research, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania.
- Frank Schorfheide & Dongho Song, 2021. "Real-Time Forecasting with a (Standard) Mixed-Frequency VAR During a Pandemic," NBER Working Papers 29535, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Olympia Bover & Natalia Fabra & Sandra García-Uribe & Aitor Lacuesta & Roberto Ramos, 2020.
"Firms and households during the pandemic: what do we learn from their electricity consumption?,"
Occasional Papers
2031, Banco de España.
- Olympia Bover & Natalia Fabra & Sandra GarcÃa-Uribe & Aitor Lacuesta & Roberto Ramos, 2023. "Firms and Households during the Pandemic: What Do We Learn from Their Electricity Consumption?," The Energy Journal, , vol. 44(3), pages 267-288, May.
- Ilan Noy & Nguyen Doan & Benno Ferrarini & Donghyun Park, 2020.
"Measuring the Economic Risk of Covid-19,"
CESifo Working Paper Series
8373, CESifo.
- Ilan Noy & Nguyen Doan & Benno Ferrarini & Donghyun Park, 2020. "Measuring the Economic Risk of COVID‐19," Global Policy, London School of Economics and Political Science, vol. 11(4), pages 413-423, September.
- Catherine Buffington & Carrie Dennis & Emin Dinlersoz & Lucia Foster & Shawn Klimek, 2020. "Measuring the Effect of COVID-19 on U.S. Small Businesses: The Small Business Pulse Survey," Working Papers 20-16, Center for Economic Studies, U.S. Census Bureau.
- Raymundo M. Campos-Vazquez & Gerardo Esquivel, 2021. "Consumption and geographic mobility in pandemic times. Evidence from Mexico," Review of Economics of the Household, Springer, vol. 19(2), pages 353-371, June.
- Todd Gabe & Andrew Crawley, 2021. "Effects of the COVID-related stay-at-home order on hospitality sales and automobile traffic counts: evidence from the State of Maine, USA," Economics and Business Letters, Oviedo University Press, vol. 10(4), pages 336-341.
- Anna Cororaton & Samuel Rosen, 2021. "Public Firm Borrowers of the U.S. Paycheck Protection Program [The risk of being a fallen angel and the corporate dash for cash in the midst of COVID]," The Review of Corporate Finance Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 10(4), pages 641-693.
- Kajal Lahiri & Cheng Yang, 2021.
"Boosting Tax Revenues with Mixed-Frequency Data in the Aftermath of Covid-19: The Case of New York,"
CESifo Working Paper Series
9365, CESifo.
- Lahiri, Kajal & Yang, Cheng, 2022. "Boosting tax revenues with mixed-frequency data in the aftermath of COVID-19: The case of New York," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 38(2), pages 545-566.
- Zheng, Chen & Zhang, Junru, 2021. "The impact of COVID-19 on the efficiency of microfinance institutions," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 71(C), pages 407-423.
- Buda, G. & Carvalho, V. M. & Corsetti, G. & Duarte, J. B. & Hansen, S. & Moura, A. S. & Ortiz, A. & Rodrigo, T. & Ortiz, A. & Ortiz, A., 2023.
"Short and Variable Lags,"
Cambridge Working Papers in Economics
2321, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
- Buda, G. & Carvalho, V. M. & Corsetti, G. & Duarte, J. B. & Hansen, S. & Moura, A. S. & Ortiz, A. & Rodrigo, T. & Ortiz, A. & Ortiz, A., 2023. "Short and Variable Lags," Janeway Institute Working Papers 2308, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
- Giancarlo Corsetti & Gergely Buda & Vasco M. Carvalho, 2023. "Short and Variable Lags," RSCAS Working Papers 2023/22, European University Institute.
- Buda, Gergely & Carvalho, Vasco & Corsetti, Giancarlo & Duarte, Joao B. & Hansen, Stephen & Moura, Afonso S. & Ortiz, Alvaro & Rodrigo, Tomasa & RodrÃguez Mora, José V & Silva, Guilherme A., 2023. "Short and Variable Lags," CEPR Discussion Papers 18022, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Tino Berger & James Morley & Benjamin Wong, 2020.
"Nowcasting the output gap,"
CAMA Working Papers
2020-78, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Berger, Tino & Morley, James & Wong, Benjamin, 2023. "Nowcasting the output gap," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 232(1), pages 18-34.
- Horvath, Akos & Kay, Benjamin & Wix, Carlo, 2023. "The COVID-19 shock and consumer credit: Evidence from credit card data," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 152(C).
- Yörük, Barış K., 2022. "Early effects of COVID-19 pandemic-related state policies on housing market activity in the United States," Journal of Housing Economics, Elsevier, vol. 57(C).
- Habtewold, Tsegaye Mulugeta, 2021. "Our Welfare at The Time of Covid-19: Early Empirical Assessment for Ethiopia," International Journal of Food and Agricultural Economics (IJFAEC), Alanya Alaaddin Keykubat University, Department of Economics and Finance, vol. 9(2), April.
- Baek, ChaeWon & McCrory, Peter B & Messer, Todd & Mui, Preston, 2020. "Unemployment Effects of Stay-at-Home Orders: Evidence from High Frequency Claims Data," Institute for Research on Labor and Employment, Working Paper Series qt042177j7, Institute of Industrial Relations, UC Berkeley.
- António Rua & Nuno Lourenço, 2020. "The DEI: tracking economic activity daily during the lockdown," Working Papers w202013, Banco de Portugal, Economics and Research Department.
- Tomaz Cajner & Leland D. Crane & Ryan A. Decker & John Grigsby & Adrian Hamins-Puertolas & Erik Hurst & Christopher Johann Kurz & Ahu Yildirmaz, 2020.
"The U.S. Labor Market During the Beginning of the Pandemic Recession,"
Working Papers
2020-58_Revision, Becker Friedman Institute for Research In Economics.
- Tomaz Cajner & Leland D. Crane & Ryan A. Decker & John Grigsby & Adrian Hamins-Puertolas & Erik Hurst & Christopher Kurz & Ahu Yildirmaz, 2020. "The U.S. Labor Market during the Beginning of the Pandemic Recession," NBER Working Papers 27159, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Ezra Karger & Aastha Rajan, 2020.
"Heterogeneity in the Marginal Propensity to Consume: Evidence from Covid-19 Stimulus Payments,"
Working Paper Series
WP 2020-15, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago.
- Ezra Karger & Aastha Rajan, 2020. "Heterogeneity in the Marginal Propensity to Consume: Evidence from Covid-19 Stimulus Payments," Working Paper Series WP-2020-15, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, revised 21 Feb 2021.
- Alain Hecq & Marie Ternes & Ines Wilms, 2021. "Hierarchical Regularizers for Mixed-Frequency Vector Autoregressions," Papers 2102.11780, arXiv.org, revised Mar 2022.
- Kong, Edward & Prinz, Daniel, 2020. "Disentangling policy effects using proxy data: Which shutdown policies affected unemployment during the COVID-19 pandemic?," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 189(C).
- Larson, William D. & Sinclair, Tara M., 2022.
"Nowcasting unemployment insurance claims in the time of COVID-19,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 38(2), pages 635-647.
- William D. Larson & Tara M. Sinclair, 2020. "Nowcasting unemployment insurance claims in the time of COVID-19," CAMA Working Papers 2020-63, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- William D. Larson & Tara M. Sinclair, 2020. "Nowcasting Unemployment Insurance Claims in the Time of COVID-19," FHFA Staff Working Papers 20-02, Federal Housing Finance Agency.
- William D. Larson & Tara M. Sinclair, 2020. "Nowcasting Unemployment Insurance Claims in the Time of COVID-19," Working Papers 2020-004, The George Washington University, Department of Economics, H. O. Stekler Research Program on Forecasting, revised Aug 2020.
- Aysu Celgin & Mahmut Gunay, 2020. "Weekly Economic Conditions Index for Turkey," CBT Research Notes in Economics 2018, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey.
- Daniel Borup & David E. Rapach & Erik Christian Montes Schütte, 2021. "Now- and Backcasting Initial Claims with High-Dimensional Daily Internet Search-Volume Data," CREATES Research Papers 2021-02, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
- Chen, Zhuo & Li, Pengfei & Liao, Li & Liu, Lu & Wang, Zhengwei, 2024. "Assessing and addressing the coronavirus-induced economic crisis: Evidence from 1.5 billion sales invoices," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 85(C).
- De Santis, Roberto A. & Van der Veken, Wouter, 2020. "Forecasting macroeconomic risk in real time: Great and Covid-19 Recessions," Working Paper Series 2436, European Central Bank.
- Eraslan, Sercan & Götz, Thomas, 2021. "An unconventional weekly economic activity index for Germany," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 204(C).
- Fezzi, Carlo & Fanghella, Valeria, 2021. "Tracking GDP in real-time using electricity market data: Insights from the first wave of COVID-19 across Europe," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 139(C).
- Lourenço, Nuno & Rua, António, 2021. "The Daily Economic Indicator: tracking economic activity daily during the lockdown," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 100(C).
- Baulkaran, Vishaal & Jain, Pawan, 2023. "COVID-19, home equity and retirement funding," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 58(PB).
- Barbaglia, Luca & Frattarolo, Lorenzo & Onorante, Luca & Pericoli, Filippo Maria & Ratto, Marco & Tiozzo Pezzoli, Luca, 2022.
"Testing big data in a big crisis: Nowcasting under COVID-19,"
Working Papers
2022-06, Joint Research Centre, European Commission.
- Barbaglia, Luca & Frattarolo, Lorenzo & Onorante, Luca & Pericoli, Filippo Maria & Ratto, Marco & Tiozzo Pezzoli, Luca, 2023. "Testing big data in a big crisis: Nowcasting under Covid-19," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 39(4), pages 1548-1563.
- Baron, E. Jason & Goldstein, Ezra G. & Wallace, Cullen T., 2020. "Suffering in silence: How COVID-19 school closures inhibit the reporting of child maltreatment," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 190(C).
- Toufique, M. M. K., 2020. "Why do some countries have more COVID-19 cases than others? Evidence from 70 most affected countries sans China," EconStor Preprints 222456, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics.
- Sjoquist, David & Wheeler, Laura, 2021. "Unemployment insurance claims and COVID-19," Journal of Economics and Business, Elsevier, vol. 115(C).
- Demirguc-Kunt,Asli & Lokshin,Michael M. & Torre,Ivan, 2020. "The Sooner, the Better : The Early Economic Impact of Non-Pharmaceutical Interventions during the COVID-19 Pandemic," Policy Research Working Paper Series 9257, The World Bank.
- Shibata, Ippei, 2021. "The distributional impact of recessions: The global financial crisis and the COVID-19 pandemic recession," Journal of Economics and Business, Elsevier, vol. 115(C).
- Fabian Stephany & Leonie Neuhäuser & Niklas Stoehr & Philipp Darius & Ole Teutloff & Fabian Braesemann, 2022. "The CoRisk-Index: a data-mining approach to identify industry-specific risk perceptions related to Covid-19," Palgrave Communications, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 9(1), pages 1-15, December.
- Paul Labonne, 2020. "Asymmetric uncertainty : Nowcasting using skewness in real-time data," Papers 2012.02601, arXiv.org, revised May 2024.
- Akos Horvath & Benjamin S. Kay & Carlo Wix, 2021. "The COVID-19 Shock and Consumer Credit: Evidence from Credit Card Data," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2021-008, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Atems, Bebonchu & Yimga, Jules, 2021. "Quantifying the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on US airline stock prices," Journal of Air Transport Management, Elsevier, vol. 97(C).
- Borup, Daniel & Rapach, David E. & Schütte, Erik Christian Montes, 2023. "Mixed-frequency machine learning: Nowcasting and backcasting weekly initial claims with daily internet search volume data," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 39(3), pages 1122-1144.
- Daniel J. Lewis & Karel Mertens & James H. Stock & Mihir Trivedi, 2020.
"High Frequency Data and a Weekly Economic Index during the Pandemic,"
Staff Reports
954, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
- Daniel J. Lewis & Karel Mertens & James H. Stock & Mihir Trivedi, 2021. "High-Frequency Data and a Weekly Economic Index during the Pandemic," AEA Papers and Proceedings, American Economic Association, vol. 111, pages 326-330, May.
Cited by:
- Daniel Ollech & Deutsche Bundesbank, 2023. "Economic analysis using higher-frequency time series: challenges for seasonal adjustment," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 64(3), pages 1375-1398, March.
- Luciano Campos & Danilo Leiva-León & Steven Zapata- Álvarez, 2022. "Latin American Falls, Rebounds and Tail Risks," Borradores de Economia 1201, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
- Menezes, Flavio & Figer, Vivian & Jardim, Fernanda & Medeiros, Pedro, 2022. "A near real-time economic activity tracker for the Brazilian economy during the COVID-19 pandemic," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 112(C).
- Toledo Wilfredo, 2021. "Covid-19 and Unemployment: Evidence from Puerto Rico Using Bayesian Analyses with High-Frequency Data," Economics and Business, Sciendo, vol. 35(1), pages 174-189, January.
- Luciano Campos & Danilo Leiva-León & Steven Zapata, 2022. "Latin American Falls, Rebounds and Tail," Working Papers 145, Red Nacional de Investigadores en Economía (RedNIE).
- Cooray, Arusha & Gangopadhyay, Partha & Das, Narasingha, 2023. "Causality between volatility and the weekly economic index during COVID-19: The predictive power of efficient markets and rational expectations," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 89(C).
- Margaret M. Jacobson & Christian Matthes & Todd B. Walker, 2022. "Inflation Measured Every Day Keeps Adverse Responses Away: Temporal Aggregation and Monetary Policy Transmission," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2022-054, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Daniel J. Lewis & Karel Mertens & James H. Stock & Mihir Trivedi, 2020.
"Measuring Real Activity Using a Weekly Economic Index,"
Staff Reports
920, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
- Daniel J. Lewis & Karel Mertens & James H. Stock & Mihir Trivedi, 2022. "Measuring real activity using a weekly economic index," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 37(4), pages 667-687, June.
- Daniel J. Lewis & Karel Mertens & James H. Stock, 2020. "Measuring Real Activity Using a Weekly Economic Index," Working Papers 2011, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, revised 02 Mar 2021.
- Rueben Ellul & Germano Ruisi, 2022. "Nowcasting the Maltese economy with a dynamic factor model," CBM Working Papers WP/02/2022, Central Bank of Malta.
- Ollech, Daniel, 2021. "Economic analysis using higher frequency time series: Challenges for seasonal adjustment," Discussion Papers 53/2021, Deutsche Bundesbank.
- Daniel J. Lewis & Karel Mertens & James H. Stock, 2020.
"Measuring Real Activity Using a Weekly Economic Index,"
Working Papers
2011, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, revised 02 Mar 2021.
- Daniel J. Lewis & Karel Mertens & James H. Stock & Mihir Trivedi, 2022. "Measuring real activity using a weekly economic index," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 37(4), pages 667-687, June.
- Daniel J. Lewis & Karel Mertens & James H. Stock & Mihir Trivedi, 2020. "Measuring Real Activity Using a Weekly Economic Index," Staff Reports 920, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
Cited by:
- Andrea Carriero & Todd E. Clark & Marcellino Massimiliano, 2020. "Nowcasting Tail Risks to Economic Activity with Many Indicators," Working Papers 20-13R2, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, revised 22 Sep 2020.
- Miescu, Mirela & Rossi, Raffaele, 2021.
"COVID-19-induced shocks and uncertainty,"
European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 139(C).
- Mirela Miescu & Raffaele Rossi, 2020. "COVID-19-Induced Shocks and Uncertainty," Economics Discussion Paper Series 2013, Economics, The University of Manchester, revised Aug 2021.
- Diane Alexander & Ezra Karger, 2020.
"Do Stay-at-Home Orders Cause People to Stay at Home? Effects of Stay-at-Home Orders on Consumer Behavior,"
Working Paper Series
WP-2020-12, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, revised 19 Aug 2021.
- Diane Alexander & Ezra Karger, 2020. "Do Stay-at-Home Orders Cause People to Stay at Home? Effects of Stay-at-Home Orders on Consumer Behavior," Working Paper Series WP 2020-12, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago.
- Diane Alexander & Ezra Karger, 2023. "Do Stay-at-Home Orders Cause People to Stay at Home? Effects of Stay-at-Home Orders on Consumer Behavior," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 105(4), pages 1017-1027, July.
- Marcellino, Massimiliano & Clark, Todd & Carriero, Andrea, 2021.
"Nowcasting Tail Risk to Economic Activity at a Weekly Frequency,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
16496, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Andrea Carriero & Todd E. Clark & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2022. "Nowcasting tail risk to economic activity at a weekly frequency," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 37(5), pages 843-866, August.
- Tyler Atkinson & Jim Dolmas & Christoffer Koch & Evan F. Koenig & Karel Mertens & Anthony Murphy & Kei-Mu Yi, 2020. "Mobility and Engagement Following the SARS-Cov-2 Outbreak," Working Papers 2014, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas.
- Daniele Valenti & Andrea Bastianin & Matteo Manera, 2022.
"A weekly structural VAR model of the US crude oil market,"
Working Papers
2022.11, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei.
- Valenti, Daniele & Bastianin, Andrea & Manera, Matteo, "undated". "A weekly structural VAR model of the US crude oil market," FEEM Working Papers 324040, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei (FEEM).
- Valenti, Daniele & Bastianin, Andrea & Manera, Matteo, 2023. "A weekly structural VAR model of the US crude oil market," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 121(C).
- VAN DER WIELEN Wouter & BARRIOS Salvador, 2020.
"Fear and Employment During the COVID Pandemic: Evidence from Search Behaviour in the EU,"
JRC Working Papers on Taxation & Structural Reforms
2020-08, Joint Research Centre.
- van der Wielen, Wouter & Barrios, Salvador, 2021. "Economic sentiment during the COVID pandemic: Evidence from search behaviour in the EU," Journal of Economics and Business, Elsevier, vol. 115(C).
- Yonatan Navon & Ashton de Silva, 2023. "Measuring Local Economic Activity Using Pedestrian Count Data," The Economic Record, The Economic Society of Australia, vol. 99(S1), pages 35-49, December.
- Peter Fuleky, 2020.
"Nowcasting the Trajectory of the COVID-19 Recovery,"
Working Papers
202022, University of Hawaii at Manoa, Department of Economics.
- Peter Fuleky, 2020. "Nowcasting the Trajectory of the COVID-19 Recovery," Working Papers 2020-3, University of Hawaii Economic Research Organization, University of Hawaii at Manoa.
- Peter Fuleky, 2022. "Nowcasting the trajectory of the COVID-19 recovery," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 29(11), pages 1037-1041, June.
- Christiane Baumeister & Danilo Leiva-León & Eric R. Sims, 2021.
"Tracking Weekly State-Level Economic Conditions,"
CESifo Working Paper Series
9165, CESifo.
- Baumeister, Christiane & Leiva-León, Danilo & Sims, Eric, 2021. "Tracking Weekly State-Level Economic Conditions," CEPR Discussion Papers 16317, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Christiane Baumeister & Danilo Leiva-León & Eric Sims, 2024. "Tracking Weekly State-Level Economic Conditions," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 106(2), pages 483-504, March.
- Christiane Baumeister & Danilo Leiva-Leon & Eric Sims, 2021. "Tracking Weekly State-Level Economic Conditions," Working Papers 202151, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Christiane Baumeister & Danilo Leiva-León & Eric Sims, 2021. "Tracking weekly state-level economic conditions," Working Papers 2134, Banco de España.
- Christiane Baumeister & Danilo Leiva-León & Eric Sims, 2021. "Tracking weekly state-level economic conditions," CAMA Working Papers 2021-55, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Christiane Baumeister & Danilo Leiva-León & Eric R. Sims, 2021. "Tracking Weekly State-Level Economic Conditions," NBER Working Papers 29003, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Frank Schorfheide & Dongho Song, 2024.
"Real-Time Forecasting with a (Standard) Mixed-Frequency VAR During a Pandemic,"
International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 20(4), pages 275-320, October.
- Schorfheide, Frank & Song, Dongho, 2021. "Real-Time Forecasting with a (Standard) Mixed-Frequency VAR During a Pandemic," CEPR Discussion Papers 16760, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Frank Schorfheide & Dongho Song, 2020. "Real-Time Forecasting with a (Standard) Mixed-Frequency VAR During a Pandemic," Working Papers 20-26, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia.
- Frank Schorfheide & Dongho Song, 2020. "Real-Time Forecasting with a (Standard) Mixed-Frequency VAR During a Pandemic," PIER Working Paper Archive 20-039, Penn Institute for Economic Research, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania.
- Frank Schorfheide & Dongho Song, 2021. "Real-Time Forecasting with a (Standard) Mixed-Frequency VAR During a Pandemic," NBER Working Papers 29535, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Gary Koop & Stuart McIntyre & James Mitchell & Aubrey Poon, 2022.
"Reconciled Estimates of Monthly GDP in the US,"
Working Papers
22-01, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
- James Mitchell & Gary Koop & Stuart McIntyre & Aubrey Poon, 2020. "Reconciled Estimates of Monthly GDP in the US," Economic Statistics Centre of Excellence (ESCoE) Discussion Papers ESCoE DP-2020-16, Economic Statistics Centre of Excellence (ESCoE).
- Koop, Gary & McIntyre, Stuart & Mitchell, James & Poon, Aubrey, 2020. "Reconciled Estimates of Monthly GDP in the US," EMF Research Papers 37, Economic Modelling and Forecasting Group.
- Jean-Charles Bricongne & Baptiste Meunier & Sylvain Pouget, 2023.
"Web-scraping housing prices in real-time: The Covid-19 crisis in the UK,"
SciencePo Working papers Main
hal-04064185, HAL.
- Jean-Charles Bricongne & Baptiste Meunier & Sylvain Pouget, 2023. "Web-scraping housing prices in real-time: The Covid-19 crisis in the UK," Post-Print hal-04064185, HAL.
- Jean-Charles Bricongne & Baptiste Meunier & Sylvain Pouget, 2021. "Web Scraping Housing Prices in Real-time: the Covid-19 Crisis in the UK," Working papers 827, Banque de France.
- Bricongne, Jean-Charles & Meunier, Baptiste & Pouget, Sylvain, 2023. "Web-scraping housing prices in real-time: The Covid-19 crisis in the UK," Journal of Housing Economics, Elsevier, vol. 59(PB).
- Ilan Noy & Nguyen Doan & Benno Ferrarini & Donghyun Park, 2020.
"Measuring the Economic Risk of Covid-19,"
CESifo Working Paper Series
8373, CESifo.
- Ilan Noy & Nguyen Doan & Benno Ferrarini & Donghyun Park, 2020. "Measuring the Economic Risk of COVID‐19," Global Policy, London School of Economics and Political Science, vol. 11(4), pages 413-423, September.
- Francesco Casalena, 2024. "Back to normal? Assessing the Effects of the Federal Reserve's Quantitative Tightening," IHEID Working Papers 14-2024, Economics Section, The Graduate Institute of International Studies.
- Catherine Buffington & Carrie Dennis & Emin Dinlersoz & Lucia Foster & Shawn Klimek, 2020. "Measuring the Effect of COVID-19 on U.S. Small Businesses: The Small Business Pulse Survey," Working Papers 20-16, Center for Economic Studies, U.S. Census Bureau.
- Aprigliano, Valentina & Emiliozzi, Simone & Guaitoli, Gabriele & Luciani, Andrea & Marcucci, Juri & Monteforte, Libero, 2023.
"The power of text-based indicators in forecasting Italian economic activity,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 39(2), pages 791-808.
- Valentina Aprigliano & Simone Emiliozzi & Gabriele Guaitoli & Andrea Luciani & Juri Marcucci & Libero Monteforte, 2021. "The power of text-based indicators in forecasting the Italian economic activity," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 1321, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
- Daniel J. Lewis & Karel Mertens & James H. Stock & Mihir Trivedi, 2021.
"High-Frequency Data and a Weekly Economic Index during the Pandemic,"
AEA Papers and Proceedings, American Economic Association, vol. 111, pages 326-330, May.
- Daniel J. Lewis & Karel Mertens & James H. Stock & Mihir Trivedi, 2020. "High Frequency Data and a Weekly Economic Index during the Pandemic," Staff Reports 954, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
- Mahmood, Asif & Masood, Hina, 2024. "A High-frequency Monthly Measure of Real Economic Activity in Pakistan," MPRA Paper 121838, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Zheng, Chen & Zhang, Junru, 2021. "The impact of COVID-19 on the efficiency of microfinance institutions," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 71(C), pages 407-423.
- Le, Thai-Ha & Boubaker, Sabri & Bui, Manh Tien & Park, Donghyun, 2023.
"On the volatility of WTI crude oil prices: A time-varying approach with stochastic volatility,"
Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 117(C).
- T.-H. Le & Sabri Boubaker & M.T. Bui & D. Park, 2023. "On the Volatility of WTI Crude Oil Prices: A Time-Varying Approach with Stochastic Volatility," Post-Print hal-04433059, HAL.
- Steven Bond-Smith & Peter Fuleky, 2022.
"The effects of the pandemic on the economy of Hawaii,"
Working Papers
2022-4, University of Hawaii Economic Research Organization, University of Hawaii at Manoa.
- Steven Bond-Smith & Peter Fuleky, 2023. "The effects of the pandemic on the economy of Hawaii," Current Issues in Tourism, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 26(23), pages 3846-3852, December.
- Barend Abeln & Jan P.A.M. Jacobs, 2021.
"COVID19 and Seasonal Adjustment,"
CIRANO Working Papers
2021s-05, CIRANO.
- Barend Abeln & Jan P. A. M. Jacobs, 2022. "COVID-19 and Seasonal Adjustment," Journal of Business Cycle Research, Springer;Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys (CIRET), vol. 18(2), pages 159-169, July.
- Barend Abeln & Jan P.A.M. Jacobs, 2021. "COVID-19 and seasonal adjustment," CAMA Working Papers 2021-23, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Barend Abeln & Jan P. A. M. Jacobs, 2023. "COVID-19 and Seasonal Adjustment," SpringerBriefs in Economics, in: Seasonal Adjustment Without Revisions, chapter 0, pages 53-61, Springer.
- Laura Felber & Dr. Simon Beyeler, 2023. "Nowcasting economic activity using transaction payments data," Working Papers 2023-01, Swiss National Bank.
- Valentina Aprigliano & Guerino Ardizzi & Alessia Cassetta & Alessandro Cavallero & Simone Emiliozzi & Alessandro Gambini & Nazzareno Renzi & Roberta Zizza, 2021. "Exploiting payments to track Italian economic activity: the experience at Banca d’Italia," Questioni di Economia e Finanza (Occasional Papers) 609, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
- Fabian Kruger & Hendrik Plett, 2022. "Prediction intervals for economic fixed-event forecasts," Papers 2210.13562, arXiv.org, revised Mar 2024.
- Baek, ChaeWon & McCrory, Peter B & Messer, Todd & Mui, Preston, 2020. "Unemployment Effects of Stay-at-Home Orders: Evidence from High Frequency Claims Data," Institute for Research on Labor and Employment, Working Paper Series qt042177j7, Institute of Industrial Relations, UC Berkeley.
- António Rua & Nuno Lourenço, 2020. "The DEI: tracking economic activity daily during the lockdown," Working Papers w202013, Banco de Portugal, Economics and Research Department.
- Tomaz Cajner & Leland D. Crane & Ryan A. Decker & John Grigsby & Adrian Hamins-Puertolas & Erik Hurst & Christopher Johann Kurz & Ahu Yildirmaz, 2020.
"The U.S. Labor Market During the Beginning of the Pandemic Recession,"
Working Papers
2020-58_Revision, Becker Friedman Institute for Research In Economics.
- Tomaz Cajner & Leland D. Crane & Ryan A. Decker & John Grigsby & Adrian Hamins-Puertolas & Erik Hurst & Christopher Kurz & Ahu Yildirmaz, 2020. "The U.S. Labor Market during the Beginning of the Pandemic Recession," NBER Working Papers 27159, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Poncela, Pilar, 2021. "Dynamic factor models: does the specification matter?," DES - Working Papers. Statistics and Econometrics. WS 32210, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid. Departamento de EstadÃstica.
- Valentina Aprigliano & Alessandro Borin & Francesco Paolo Conteduca & Simone Emiliozzi & Marco Flaccadoro & Sabina Marchetti & Stefania Villa, 2021. "Forecasting Italian GDP growth with epidemiological data," Questioni di Economia e Finanza (Occasional Papers) 664, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
- Donato Ceci & Andrea Silvestrini, 2023.
"Nowcasting the state of the Italian economy: The role of financial markets,"
Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(7), pages 1569-1593, November.
- Donato Ceci & Andrea Silvestrini, 2022. "Nowcasting the state of the Italian economy: the role of financial markets," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 1362, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
- Ezra Karger & Aastha Rajan, 2020.
"Heterogeneity in the Marginal Propensity to Consume: Evidence from Covid-19 Stimulus Payments,"
Working Paper Series
WP 2020-15, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago.
- Ezra Karger & Aastha Rajan, 2020. "Heterogeneity in the Marginal Propensity to Consume: Evidence from Covid-19 Stimulus Payments," Working Paper Series WP-2020-15, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, revised 21 Feb 2021.
- Eraslan, Sercan & Reif, Magnus, 2023. "A latent weekly GDP indicator for Germany," Technical Papers 08/2023, Deutsche Bundesbank.
- Jose Asturias & William R. Bell & Rebecca Hutchinson & Tucker McElroy & Katherine J. Thompson, 2023. "Building the Census Bureau Index of Economic Activity (IDEA)," Working Papers 23-15, Center for Economic Studies, U.S. Census Bureau.
- Urom, Christian & Ndubuisi, Gideon & Ozor, Jude, 2021. "Economic activity, and financial and commodity markets’ shocks: An analysis of implied volatility indexes," International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 165(C), pages 51-66.
- Sharada Nia Davidson & Kevin Connolly & Ciara Crummey & Niccolo Brazzelli & Mairi Spowage, 2022. "Building a Suite of Subnational Socioeconomic Indicators for the United Kingdom: Opportunities, Challenges and Recommendations," Economic Statistics Centre of Excellence (ESCoE) Discussion Papers ESCoE DP-2022-13, Economic Statistics Centre of Excellence (ESCoE).
- Kong, Edward & Prinz, Daniel, 2020. "Disentangling policy effects using proxy data: Which shutdown policies affected unemployment during the COVID-19 pandemic?," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 189(C).
- Larson, William D. & Sinclair, Tara M., 2022.
"Nowcasting unemployment insurance claims in the time of COVID-19,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 38(2), pages 635-647.
- William D. Larson & Tara M. Sinclair, 2020. "Nowcasting unemployment insurance claims in the time of COVID-19," CAMA Working Papers 2020-63, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- William D. Larson & Tara M. Sinclair, 2020. "Nowcasting Unemployment Insurance Claims in the Time of COVID-19," FHFA Staff Working Papers 20-02, Federal Housing Finance Agency.
- William D. Larson & Tara M. Sinclair, 2020. "Nowcasting Unemployment Insurance Claims in the Time of COVID-19," Working Papers 2020-004, The George Washington University, Department of Economics, H. O. Stekler Research Program on Forecasting, revised Aug 2020.
- Aysu Celgin & Mahmut Gunay, 2020. "Weekly Economic Conditions Index for Turkey," CBT Research Notes in Economics 2018, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey.
- Ali B. Barlas & Seda Guler Mert & Berk Orkun Isa & Alvaro Ortiz & Tomasa Rodrigo & Baris Soybilgen & Ege Yazgan, 2021. "Big Data Information and Nowcasting: Consumption and Investment from Bank Transactions in Turkey," Papers 2107.03299, arXiv.org.
- Chan, Joshua C.C. & Poon, Aubrey & Zhu, Dan, 2023.
"High-dimensional conditionally Gaussian state space models with missing data,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 236(1).
- Joshua C. C. Chan & Aubrey Poon & Dan Zhu, 2023. "High-Dimensional Conditionally Gaussian State Space Models with Missing Data," Papers 2302.03172, arXiv.org.
- De Santis, Roberto A. & Van der Veken, Wouter, 2020. "Forecasting macroeconomic risk in real time: Great and Covid-19 Recessions," Working Paper Series 2436, European Central Bank.
- Eraslan, Sercan & Götz, Thomas, 2021. "An unconventional weekly economic activity index for Germany," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 204(C).
- Rueben Ellul & Germano Ruisi, 2022. "Nowcasting the Maltese economy with a dynamic factor model," CBM Working Papers WP/02/2022, Central Bank of Malta.
- Baron, E. Jason & Goldstein, Ezra G. & Wallace, Cullen T., 2020. "Suffering in silence: How COVID-19 school closures inhibit the reporting of child maltreatment," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 190(C).
- Toufique, M. M. K., 2020. "Why do some countries have more COVID-19 cases than others? Evidence from 70 most affected countries sans China," EconStor Preprints 222456, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics.
- Arshad, Selvia & Beyer, Robert C.M., 2023. "Tracking economic fluctuations with electricity consumption in Bangladesh," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 123(C).
- Guglielmo Maria Caporale & Abdurrahman Nazif Çatık & Mohamad Husam Helmi & Coşkun Akdeniz & Ali İlhan, 2024. "Time-varying effects of the COVID-19 pandemic on stock markets and economic activity: evidence from the US and Europe," Empirica, Springer;Austrian Institute for Economic Research;Austrian Economic Association, vol. 51(2), pages 529-558, May.
- Philipp Wegmüller & Christian Glocker, 2023. "US weekly economic index: Replication and extension," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 38(6), pages 977-985, September.
- Simone Emiliozzi & Concetta Rondinelli & Stefania Villa, 2023. "Consumption during the Covid-19 pandemic: evidence from Italian credit cards," Questioni di Economia e Finanza (Occasional Papers) 769, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
- Ollech, Daniel, 2021. "Economic analysis using higher frequency time series: Challenges for seasonal adjustment," Discussion Papers 53/2021, Deutsche Bundesbank.
- Juan Pablo Cote-Barón & Karen L. Pulido-Mahecha & Nicol Valeria Rodríguez-Rodríguez & Carlos D. Rojas-Martínez, 2023. "El ISAE: Un Indicador para Monitorear la Actividad Económica Colombiana en Alta Frecuencia," Borradores de Economia 1225, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
- Demirguc-Kunt,Asli & Lokshin,Michael M. & Torre,Ivan, 2020. "The Sooner, the Better : The Early Economic Impact of Non-Pharmaceutical Interventions during the COVID-19 Pandemic," Policy Research Working Paper Series 9257, The World Bank.
- Diego Fresoli & Pilar Poncela & Esther Ruiz, 2024. "Dealing with idiosyncratic cross-correlation when constructing confidence regions for PC factors," Papers 2407.06883, arXiv.org.
- Wegmüller, Philipp & Glocker, Christian & Guggia, Valentino, 2023.
"Weekly economic activity: Measurement and informational content,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 39(1), pages 228-243.
- Philipp Wegmüller & Christian Glocker & Valentino Guggia, 2021. "Weekly Economic Activity: Measurement and Informational Content," WIFO Working Papers 627, WIFO.
- Akos Horvath & Benjamin S. Kay & Carlo Wix, 2021. "The COVID-19 Shock and Consumer Credit: Evidence from Credit Card Data," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2021-008, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Sonya Georgieva, 2023. "Application of Artificial Intelligence and Machine Learning in the Conduct of Monetary Policy by Central Banks," Economic Studies journal, Bulgarian Academy of Sciences - Economic Research Institute, issue 8, pages 177-199.
- Lajos Horv'ath & Lorenzo Trapani, 2023. "Real-time monitoring with RCA models," Papers 2312.11710, arXiv.org.
- Daniel J. Lewis & Karel Mertens & James H. Stock, 2020.
"Tracking the COVID-19 Economy with the Weekly Economic Index (WEI),"
Liberty Street Economics
20200804, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
Cited by:
- Sebastian Doerr & Leonardo Gambacorta & José María Serena Garralda, 2021. "Big data and machine learning in central banking," BIS Working Papers 930, Bank for International Settlements.
- Daniel J. Lewis & Karel Mertens & James H. Stock & Mihir Trivedi, 2020.
"Measuring Real Activity Using a Weekly Economic Index,"
Staff Reports
920, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
- Daniel J. Lewis & Karel Mertens & James H. Stock & Mihir Trivedi, 2022. "Measuring real activity using a weekly economic index," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 37(4), pages 667-687, June.
- Daniel J. Lewis & Karel Mertens & James H. Stock, 2020. "Measuring Real Activity Using a Weekly Economic Index," Working Papers 2011, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, revised 02 Mar 2021.
- Daniel J. Lewis, 2019.
"Announcement-Specific Decompositions of Unconventional Monetary Policy Shocks and Their Macroeconomic Effects,"
Staff Reports
891, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
Cited by:
- Mirela Miescu, 2022. "Forward guidance shocks," Working Papers 352591340, Lancaster University Management School, Economics Department.
- Daniel J. Lewis & Christos Makridis & Karel Mertens, 2019.
"Do Monetary Policy Announcements Shift Household Expectations?,"
Staff Reports
897, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
- Daniel J. Lewis & Christos Makridis & Karel Mertens, 2019. "Do Monetary Policy Announcements Shift Household Expectations?," Working Papers 1906, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, revised 17 Jan 2020.
- Mertens, Karel & Lewis, Daniel & Makridis, Christos, 2020. "Do Monetary Policy Announcements Shift Household Expectations?," CEPR Discussion Papers 14360, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Jarociński, Marek, 2021.
"Estimating the Fed’s Unconventional Policy Shocks,"
Working Paper Series
20210, European Central Bank.
- Jarociński, Marek, 2024. "Estimating the Fed’s unconventional policy shocks," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 144(C).
- Sumner, Scott, 2020. "Currency Manipulation, Saving Manipulation, and the Current Account Balance," Working Papers 07761, George Mason University, Mercatus Center.
- Gnewuch, Matthias, 2022. "Spillover effects of sovereign debt-based quantitative easing in the euro area," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 145(C).
- Couture, Cody, 2021. "Financial market effects of FOMC projections," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 67(C).
- Daniel J. Lewis, 2018.
"Identifying shocks via time-varying volatility,"
Staff Reports
871, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
- Daniel J Lewis, 2021. "Identifying Shocks via Time-Varying Volatility [First Order Autoregressive Processes and Strong Mixing]," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 88(6), pages 3086-3124.
Cited by:
- Joshua C. C. Chan & Gary Koop & Xuewen Yu, 2024.
"Large Order-Invariant Bayesian VARs with Stochastic Volatility,"
Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 42(2), pages 825-837, April.
- Joshua C. C. Chan & Gary Koop & Xuewen Yu, 2021. "Large Order-Invariant Bayesian VARs with Stochastic Volatility," Papers 2111.07225, arXiv.org.
- Jan Philipp Fritsche & Mathias Klein & Malte Rieth, 2020.
"Government Spending Multipliers in (Un)certain Times,"
Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin
1901, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research.
- Fritsche, Jan Philipp & Klein, Mathias & Rieth, Malte, 2021. "Government spending multipliers in (un)certain times," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 203(C).
- Sascha A. Keweloh, 2023. "Uncertain Short-Run Restrictions and Statistically Identified Structural Vector Autoregressions," Papers 2303.13281, arXiv.org, revised Apr 2024.
- Ruben Hipp, 2020. "On Causal Networks of Financial Firms: Structural Identification via Non-parametric Heteroskedasticity," Staff Working Papers 20-42, Bank of Canada.
- Olli Palm'en, 2022. "Macroeconomic Effect of Uncertainty and Financial Shocks: a non-Gaussian VAR approach," Papers 2202.10834, arXiv.org.
- Bulat Gafarov & Madina Karamysheva & Andrey Polbin & Anton Skrobotov, 2024. "Policymaker meetings as heteroscedasticity shifters: Identification and simultaneous inference in unstable SVARs," Papers 2407.03265, arXiv.org.
- Keweloh, Sascha A. & Hetzenecker, Stephan & Seepe, Andre, 2023. "Monetary policy and information shocks in a block-recursive SVAR," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 137(C).
- Angelini, Giovanni & Cavaliere, Giuseppe & Fanelli, Luca, 2024.
"An identification and testing strategy for proxy-SVARs with weak proxies,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 238(2).
- Giovanni Angelini & Giuseppe Cavaliere & Luca Fanelli, 2022. "An identification and testing strategy for proxy-SVARs with weak proxies," Papers 2210.04523, arXiv.org, revised Oct 2023.
- Andrea Gazzani & Fabrizio Venditti & Giovanni Veronese, 2024.
"Oil price shocks in real time,"
Temi di discussione (Economic working papers)
1448, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
- Gazzani, Andrea & Venditti, Fabrizio & Veronese, Giovanni, 2024. "Oil price shocks in real time," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 144(C).
- Jonathan J Adams & Philip Barrett, 2023.
"Identifying News Shocks from Forecasts,"
Working Papers
001010, University of Florida, Department of Economics.
- Jonathan J. Adams & Mr. Philip Barrett, 2023. "Identifying News Shocks from Forecasts," IMF Working Papers 2023/208, International Monetary Fund.
- Demetrescu, Matei & Salish, Nazarii, 2024. "(Structural) VAR models with ignored changes in mean and volatility," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 40(2), pages 840-854.
- Carriero, Andrea & Marcellino, Massimiliano & Tornese, Tommaso, 2022.
"Blended Identification in Structural VARs,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
17640, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Andrea Carriero & Massimiliano Marcellino & Tommaso Tornese, 2023. "Blended Identification in Structural VARs," BAFFI CAREFIN Working Papers 23200, BAFFI CAREFIN, Centre for Applied Research on International Markets Banking Finance and Regulation, Universita' Bocconi, Milano, Italy.
- Carriero, Andrea & Marcellino, Massimiliano & Tornese, Tommaso, 2024. "Blended identification in structural VARs," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 146(C).
- Sune Karlsson & Stepan Mazur & Hoang Nguyen, 2021.
"Vector autoregression models with skewness and heavy tails,"
Papers
2105.11182, arXiv.org.
- Karlsson, Sune & Mazur, Stepan & Nguyen, Hoang, 2021. "Vector autoregression models with skewness and heavy tails," Working Papers 2021:8, Örebro University, School of Business.
- Karlsson, Sune & Mazur, Stepan & Nguyen, Hoang, 2023. "Vector autoregression models with skewness and heavy tails," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 146(C).
- Mirela Miescu, 2022. "Forward guidance shocks," Working Papers 352591340, Lancaster University Management School, Economics Department.
- Dominik Bertsche & Robin Braun, 2018.
"Identification of Structural Vector Autoregressions by Stochastic Volatility,"
Working Paper Series of the Department of Economics, University of Konstanz
2018-03, Department of Economics, University of Konstanz.
- Bertsche, Dominik & Braun, Robin, 2018. "Identification of Structural Vector Autoregressions by Stochastic Volatility," VfS Annual Conference 2018 (Freiburg, Breisgau): Digital Economy 181631, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
- Bertsche, Dominik & Braun, Robin, 2020. "Identification of structural vector autoregressions by stochastic volatility," Bank of England working papers 869, Bank of England.
- Dominik Bertsche & Robin Braun, 2017. "Identification of Structural Vector Autoregressions by Stochastic Volatility," Working Paper Series of the Department of Economics, University of Konstanz 2017-11, Department of Economics, University of Konstanz.
- Dominik Bertsche & Robin Braun, 2022. "Identification of Structural Vector Autoregressions by Stochastic Volatility," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 40(1), pages 328-341, January.
- Daniel J. Lewis & Christos Makridis & Karel Mertens, 2019.
"Do Monetary Policy Announcements Shift Household Expectations?,"
Staff Reports
897, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
- Daniel J. Lewis & Christos Makridis & Karel Mertens, 2019. "Do Monetary Policy Announcements Shift Household Expectations?," Working Papers 1906, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, revised 17 Jan 2020.
- Mertens, Karel & Lewis, Daniel & Makridis, Christos, 2020. "Do Monetary Policy Announcements Shift Household Expectations?," CEPR Discussion Papers 14360, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Marek A. Dąbrowski & Łukasz Kwiatkowski & Justyna Wróblewska, 2020. "Sources of Real Exchange Rate Variability in Central and Eastern European Countries: Evidence from Structural Bayesian MSH-VAR Models," Central European Journal of Economic Modelling and Econometrics, Central European Journal of Economic Modelling and Econometrics, vol. 12(4), pages 369-412, December.
- Alfan Mansur, 2023. "Simultaneous identification of fiscal and monetary policy shocks," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 65(2), pages 697-728, August.
- Jarociński, Marek, 2021.
"Estimating the Fed’s Unconventional Policy Shocks,"
Working Paper Series
20210, European Central Bank.
- Jarociński, Marek, 2024. "Estimating the Fed’s unconventional policy shocks," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 144(C).
- Thorsten Drautzburg & Jonathan H. Wright, 2021.
"Refining Set-Identification in VARs through Independence,"
Working Papers
21-31, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia.
- Thorsten Drautzburg & Jonathan H. Wright, 2021. "Refining Set-Identification in VARs through Independence," NBER Working Papers 29316, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Drautzburg, Thorsten & Wright, Jonathan H., 2023. "Refining set-identification in VARs through independence," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 235(2), pages 1827-1847.
- Drautzburg, Thorsten & Wright, Jonathan H, 2021. "Refining Set-Identification in VARs through Independence," Economics Working Paper Archive 64575, The Johns Hopkins University,Department of Economics.
- Gurdgiev, Constantin & Petrovskiy, Alexander, 2024. "Hedging and safe haven assets dynamics in developed and developing markets: Are different markets that much different?," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 92(C).
- Helmut Lutkepohl & Fei Shang & Luis Uzeda & Tomasz Wo'zniak, 2024.
"Partial Identification of Heteroskedastic Structural VARs: Theory and Bayesian Inference,"
Papers
2404.11057, arXiv.org.
- Helmut Lütkepohl & Fei Shang & Luis Uzeda & Tomasz Woźniak, 2024. "Partial Identification of Heteroskedastic Structural VARs: Theory and Bayesian Inference," Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin 2081, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research.
- Griller, Stefan & Huber, Florian & Pfarrhofer, Michael, 2024. "Financial markets and legal challenges to unconventional monetary policy," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 163(C).
- Yohei Yamamoto & Naoko Hara, 2022.
"Identifying factor‐augmented vector autoregression models via changes in shock variances,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 37(4), pages 722-745, June.
- YAMAMOTO, Yohei & 山本, 庸平, 2018. "Identifying Factor-Augmented Vector Autoregression Models via Changes in Shock Variances," Discussion paper series HIAS-E-72, Hitotsubashi Institute for Advanced Study, Hitotsubashi University.
- Emanuele Bacchiocchi & Toru Kitagawa, 2020.
"Locally- but not globally-identified SVARs,"
CeMMAP working papers
CWP40/20, Centre for Microdata Methods and Practice, Institute for Fiscal Studies.
- Emanuele Bacchiocchi & Toru Kitagawa, 2022. "Locally- but not Globally-identified SVARs," Working Papers wp1171, Dipartimento Scienze Economiche, Universita' di Bologna.
- Joshua Chan & Eric Eisenstat & Xuewen Yu, 2022. "Large Bayesian VARs with Factor Stochastic Volatility: Identification, Order Invariance and Structural Analysis," Papers 2207.03988, arXiv.org.
- Carriero, Andrea & Clark, Todd E. & Marcellino, Massimiliano, 2021.
"Using time-varying volatility for identification in Vector Autoregressions: An application to endogenous uncertainty,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 225(1), pages 47-73.
- Marcellino, Massimiliano & Carriero, Andrea & Clark, Todd, 2021. "Using Time-Varying Volatility for Identification in Vector Autoregressions: An Application to Endogenous Uncertainty," CEPR Discussion Papers 16346, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Cordoni, Francesco & Dorémus, Nicolas & Moneta, Alessio, 2024.
"Identification of vector autoregressive models with nonlinear contemporaneous structure,"
Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 162(C).
- Francesco Cordoni & Nicolas Doremus & Alessio Moneta, 2023. "Identification of Vector Autoregressive Models with Nonlinear Contemporaneous Structure," LEM Papers Series 2023/07, Laboratory of Economics and Management (LEM), Sant'Anna School of Advanced Studies, Pisa, Italy.
- Karamysheva, Madina & Skrobotov, Anton, 2022. "Do we reject restrictions identifying fiscal shocks? identification based on non-Gaussian innovations," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 138(C).
- Sascha A. Keweloh & Mathias Klein & Jan Pruser, 2023. "Estimating Fiscal Multipliers by Combining Statistical Identification with Potentially Endogenous Proxies," Papers 2302.13066, arXiv.org, revised May 2024.
- Ambrocio, Gene, 2020.
"Inflationary household uncertainty shocks,"
Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers
5/2020, Bank of Finland.
- Ambrocio, Gene, 2022. "Inflationary household uncertainty shocks," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 5/2022, Bank of Finland.
- Braun, Robin, 2021. "The importance of supply and demand for oil prices: evidence from non-Gaussianity," Bank of England working papers 957, Bank of England.
- Martin Bruns & Sascha A. Keweloh, 2023. "Testing for Strong Exogeneity in Proxy-VARS," University of East Anglia School of Economics Working Paper Series 2023-07, School of Economics, University of East Anglia, Norwich, UK..
- Daniel J. Lewis, 2018.
"Robust inference in models identified via heteroskedasticity,"
Staff Reports
876, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
- Daniel J. Lewis, 2022. "Robust Inference in Models Identified via Heteroskedasticity," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 104(3), pages 510-524, May.
Cited by:
- Ruben Hipp, 2020. "On Causal Networks of Financial Firms: Structural Identification via Non-parametric Heteroskedasticity," Staff Working Papers 20-42, Bank of Canada.
- Carriero, Andrea & Marcellino, Massimiliano & Tornese, Tommaso, 2022.
"Blended Identification in Structural VARs,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
17640, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Andrea Carriero & Massimiliano Marcellino & Tommaso Tornese, 2023. "Blended Identification in Structural VARs," BAFFI CAREFIN Working Papers 23200, BAFFI CAREFIN, Centre for Applied Research on International Markets Banking Finance and Regulation, Universita' Bocconi, Milano, Italy.
- Carriero, Andrea & Marcellino, Massimiliano & Tornese, Tommaso, 2024. "Blended identification in structural VARs," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 146(C).
- Marc Burri & Daniel Kaufmann, 2024. "Multi-dimensional monetary policy shocks based on heteroscedasticity," IRENE Working Papers 24-03, IRENE Institute of Economic Research.
- Jarociński, Marek, 2021.
"Estimating the Fed’s Unconventional Policy Shocks,"
Working Paper Series
20210, European Central Bank.
- Jarociński, Marek, 2024. "Estimating the Fed’s unconventional policy shocks," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 144(C).
- Yang, Yang & Tang, Yanling & Cheng, Kai, 2023. "Spillback effects of US unconventional monetary policy," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 53(C).
- Emiliano A. Carlevaro & Leandro M. Magnusson, 2020. "The (in)stability of stock returns and monetary policy interdependence in the US," Economics Discussion / Working Papers 20-27, The University of Western Australia, Department of Economics.
- Guzman, Jorge & Liu, Yupeng, 2019. "Short Term Credit Costs and U.S. Entrepreneurship," SocArXiv ap978, Center for Open Science.
Articles
- Daniel J. Lewis & Davide Melcangi & Laura Pilossoph & Aidan Toner‐Rodgers, 2023.
"Approximating grouped fixed effects estimation via fuzzy clustering regression,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 38(7), pages 1077-1084, November.
See citations under working paper version above.
- Daniel J. Lewis & Davide Melcangi & Laura Pilossoph & Aidan Toner-Rodgers, 2022. "Approximating Grouped Fixed Effects Estimation via Fuzzy Clustering Regression," Staff Reports 1033, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
- Daniel J. Lewis, 2022.
"Robust Inference in Models Identified via Heteroskedasticity,"
The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 104(3), pages 510-524, May.
See citations under working paper version above.
- Daniel J. Lewis, 2018. "Robust inference in models identified via heteroskedasticity," Staff Reports 876, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
- Daniel J. Lewis & Karel Mertens & James H. Stock & Mihir Trivedi, 2022.
"Measuring real activity using a weekly economic index,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 37(4), pages 667-687, June.
See citations under working paper version above.
- Daniel J. Lewis & Karel Mertens & James H. Stock, 2020. "Measuring Real Activity Using a Weekly Economic Index," Working Papers 2011, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, revised 02 Mar 2021.
- Daniel J. Lewis & Karel Mertens & James H. Stock & Mihir Trivedi, 2020. "Measuring Real Activity Using a Weekly Economic Index," Staff Reports 920, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
- Eben Lazarus & Daniel J. Lewis & James H. Stock, 2021.
"The Size‐Power Tradeoff in HAR Inference,"
Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 89(5), pages 2497-2516, September.
Cited by:
- Alessandro Casini & Pierre Perron, 2021.
"Prewhitened Long-Run Variance Estimation Robust to Nonstationarity,"
Papers
2103.02235, arXiv.org, revised Aug 2024.
- Casini, Alessandro & Perron, Pierre, 2024. "Prewhitened long-run variance estimation robust to nonstationarity," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 242(1).
- Andrew Martinez, 2017. "Testing for Differences in Path Forecast Accuracy: Forecast-Error Dynamics Matter," Working Papers (Old Series) 1717, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
- Grigory Franguridi & Bulat Gafarov & Kaspar Wüthrich, 2021. "Conditional Quantile Estimators: A Small Sample Theory," CESifo Working Paper Series 9046, CESifo.
- Alessandro Casini, 2021. "Theory of Evolutionary Spectra for Heteroskedasticity and Autocorrelation Robust Inference in Possibly Misspecified and Nonstationary Models," Papers 2103.02981, arXiv.org, revised Aug 2024.
- Jungbin Hwang & Gonzalo Valdés, 2020. "Low Frequency Cointegrating Regression in the Presence of Local to Unity Regressors and Unknown Form of Serial Dependence," Working papers 2020-03, University of Connecticut, Department of Economics, revised Aug 2020.
- Kaicheng Chen & Timothy J. Vogelsang, 2023. "Fixed-b Asymptotics for Panel Models with Two-Way Clustering," Papers 2309.08707, arXiv.org, revised Aug 2024.
- Federico Belotti & Alessandro Casini & Leopoldo Catania & Stefano Grassi & Pierre Perron, 2023.
"Simultaneous bandwidths determination for DK-HAC estimators and long-run variance estimation in nonparametric settings,"
Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 42(3), pages 281-306, February.
- Federico Belotti & Alessandro Casini & Leopoldo Catania & Stefano Grassi & Pierre Perron, 2021. "Simultaneous Bandwidths Determination for DK-HAC Estimators and Long-Run Variance Estimation in Nonparametric Settings," Papers 2103.00060, arXiv.org.
- Niels Joachim Gormsen, 2021. "Time Variation of the Equity Term Structure," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 76(4), pages 1959-1999, August.
- Casini, Alessandro, 2024. "The fixed-b limiting distribution and the ERP of HAR tests under nonstationarity," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 238(2).
- Jungbin Hwang & Gonzalo Valdés, 2020. "Finite-sample Corrected Inference for Two-step GMM in Time Series," Working papers 2020-02, University of Connecticut, Department of Economics.
- Alessandro Casini & Taosong Deng & Pierre Perron, 2021. "Theory of Low Frequency Contamination from Nonstationarity and Misspecification: Consequences for HAR Inference," Papers 2103.01604, arXiv.org, revised Sep 2024.
- Alessandro Casini & Pierre Perron, 2021.
"Prewhitened Long-Run Variance Estimation Robust to Nonstationarity,"
Papers
2103.02235, arXiv.org, revised Aug 2024.
- Daniel J Lewis, 2021.
"Identifying Shocks via Time-Varying Volatility [First Order Autoregressive Processes and Strong Mixing],"
The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 88(6), pages 3086-3124.
See citations under working paper version above.
- Daniel J. Lewis, 2018. "Identifying shocks via time-varying volatility," Staff Reports 871, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
- Daniel J. Lewis & Karel Mertens & James H. Stock & Mihir Trivedi, 2021.
"High-Frequency Data and a Weekly Economic Index during the Pandemic,"
AEA Papers and Proceedings, American Economic Association, vol. 111, pages 326-330, May.
See citations under working paper version above.
- Daniel J. Lewis & Karel Mertens & James H. Stock & Mihir Trivedi, 2020. "High Frequency Data and a Weekly Economic Index during the Pandemic," Staff Reports 954, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
- Eben Lazarus & Daniel J. Lewis & James H. Stock & Mark W. Watson, 2018.
"HAR Inference: Recommendations for Practice,"
Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 36(4), pages 541-559, October.
Cited by:
- Viktor Todorov & Yang Zhang, 2022. "Information gains from using short‐dated options for measuring and forecasting volatility," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 37(2), pages 368-391, March.
- Granziera, Eleonora & Sekhposyan, Tatevik, 2019.
"Predicting relative forecasting performance: An empirical investigation,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 35(4), pages 1636-1657.
- Granziera, Eleonora & Sekhposyan, Tatevik, 2018. "Predicting relative forecasting performance: An empirical investigation," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 23/2018, Bank of Finland.
- Matthieu Picault & Julien Pinter & Thomas Renault, 2022.
"Media sentiment on monetary policy: Determinants and relevance for inflation expectations,"
Post-Print
hal-03959147, HAL.
- Matthieu Picault & Julien Pinter & Thomas Renault, 2022. "Media sentiment on monetary policy: Determinants and relevance for inflation expectations," Université Paris1 Panthéon-Sorbonne (Post-Print and Working Papers) hal-03959147, HAL.
- Picault, Matthieu & Pinter, Julien & Renault, Thomas, 2022. "Media sentiment on monetary policy: Determinants and relevance for inflation expectations," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 124(C).
- Matthieu PICAULT & Julien PINTER & Thomas RENAULT, 2021. "Media sentiment on monetary policy: determinants and relevance for inflation expectations," LEO Working Papers / DR LEO 2895, Orleans Economics Laboratory / Laboratoire d'Economie d'Orleans (LEO), University of Orleans.
- Matthieu Picault & Julien Pinter & Thomas Renault, 2022. "Media sentiment on monetary policy: Determinants and relevance for inflation expectations," Post-Print hal-03810447, HAL.
- Hack, Lukas & Istrefi, Klodiana & Meier, Matthias, 2023.
"Identification of systematic monetary policy,"
Working Paper Series
2851, European Central Bank.
- Hack, Lukas & Istrefi, Klodiana & Meier, Matthias, 2023. "Identification of Systematic Monetary Policy," CEPR Discussion Papers 17999, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Toshiaki Ogawa & Masato Ubukata & Toshiaki Watanabe, 2020. "Stock Return Predictability and Variance Risk Premia around the ZLB," IMES Discussion Paper Series 20-E-09, Institute for Monetary and Economic Studies, Bank of Japan.
- Filip Stanek, 2021. "Optimal Out-of-Sample Forecast Evaluation under Stationarity," CERGE-EI Working Papers wp712, The Center for Economic Research and Graduate Education - Economics Institute, Prague.
- Ulrich K. Müller & Mark W. Watson, 2021. "Spatial Correlation Robust Inference," Working Papers 2021-61, Princeton University. Economics Department..
- Andrii Babii & Eric Ghysels & Jonas Striaukas, 2024.
"High-Dimensional Granger Causality Tests with an Application to VIX and News,"
Journal of Financial Econometrics, Oxford University Press, vol. 22(3), pages 605-635.
- Andrii Babii & Eric Ghysels & Jonas Striaukas, 2019. "High-Dimensional Granger Causality Tests with an Application to VIX and News," Papers 1912.06307, arXiv.org, revised Feb 2021.
- Mohamed Saleh & Jean Tirole, 2021.
"Taxing identity: theory and evidence from early Islam,"
Post-Print
hal-03352999, HAL.
- Saleh, Mohamed & Tirole, Jean, 2019. "Taxing Identity: Theory and Evidence from Early Islam," CEPR Discussion Papers 13705, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Mohamed Saleh & Jean Tirole, 2021. "Taxing Identity: Theory and Evidence From Early Islam," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 89(4), pages 1881-1919, July.
- Barbara Rossi & Atsushi Inoue & Yiru Wang, 2024. "Has the Phillips curve flattened?," French Stata Users' Group Meetings 2024 22, Stata Users Group.
- J. Hidalgo & M. Schafgans, 2020. "Inference without smoothing for large panels with cross-sectional and temporal dependence," Papers 2006.14409, arXiv.org.
- Adam Jassem & Lenard Lieb & Rui Jorge Almeida & Nalan Bac{s}turk & Stephan Smeekes, 2021. "Min(d)ing the President: A text analytic approach to measuring tax news," Papers 2104.03261, arXiv.org, revised May 2022.
- Ana Beatriz Galvão & James Mitchell, 2023.
"Real‐Time Perceptions of Historical GDP Data Uncertainty,"
Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 85(3), pages 457-481, June.
- Galvao, Ana Beatriz & Mitchell, James, 2020. "Real-Time Perceptions of Historical GDP Data Uncertainty," EMF Research Papers 35, Economic Modelling and Forecasting Group.
- Coroneo, Laura & Iacone, Fabrizio & Paccagnini, Alessia & Santos Monteiro, Paulo, 2023.
"Testing the predictive accuracy of COVID-19 forecasts,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 39(2), pages 606-622.
- Laura Coroneo & Fabrizio Iacone & Alessia Paccagnini & Paulo Santos Monteiro, 2020. "Testing the predictive accuracy of COVID-19 forecasts," Discussion Papers 20/10, Department of Economics, University of York.
- Laura Coroneo & Fabrizio Iacone & Alessia Paccagnini & Paulo Santos Monteiro, 2021. "Testing the predictive accuracy of COVID-19 forecasts," CAMA Working Papers 2021-52, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Laura Coroneo & Fabrizio Iacone, 2020. "Comparing predictive accuracy in small samples using fixed‐smoothing asymptotics," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 35(4), pages 391-409, June.
- Dake Li & Mikkel Plagborg-Møller & Christian K. Wolf, 2021.
"Local Projections vs. VARs: Lessons From Thousands of DGPs,"
Working Papers
2021-55, Princeton University. Economics Department..
- Dake Li & Mikkel Plagborg-Møller & Christian K. Wolf, 2022. "Local Projections vs. VARs: Lessons From Thousands of DGPs," NBER Working Papers 30207, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Dake Li & Mikkel Plagborg-M{o}ller & Christian K. Wolf, 2021. "Local Projections vs. VARs: Lessons From Thousands of DGPs," Papers 2104.00655, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2024.
- Alessandro Casini & Pierre Perron, 2021.
"Prewhitened Long-Run Variance Estimation Robust to Nonstationarity,"
Papers
2103.02235, arXiv.org, revised Aug 2024.
- Casini, Alessandro & Perron, Pierre, 2024. "Prewhitened long-run variance estimation robust to nonstationarity," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 242(1).
- Richard T. Baillie & Francis X. Diebold & George Kapetanios & Kun Ho Kim & Aaron Mora, 2022.
"On Robust Inference in Time Series Regression,"
Papers
2203.04080, arXiv.org, revised May 2024.
- Richard T. Baillie & Francis X. Diebold & George Kapetanios & Kun Ho Kim, 2022. "On Robust Inference in Time Series Regression," PIER Working Paper Archive 22-012, Penn Institute for Economic Research, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania.
- Richard T. Baillie & Francis X. Diebold & George Kapetanios & Kun Ho Kim & Aaron Mora, 2024. "On Robust Inference in Time Series Regression," NBER Working Papers 32554, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Artur Doshchyn, 2023. "Sinking Ships: Illiquidity and the Predictability of Returns on Real Assets in Recessions," Economics Series Working Papers 1028, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.
- Stefan Nagel & Zhengyang Xu, 2022.
"Dynamics of Subjective Risk Premia,"
NBER Working Papers
29803, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Nagel, Stefan & Xu, Zhengyang, 2023. "Dynamics of subjective risk premia," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 150(2).
- Stefan Nagel & Zhengyang Xu, 2022. "Dynamics of Subjective Risk Premia," CESifo Working Paper Series 9693, CESifo.
- Nagel, Stefan & Xu, Zhengyang, 2022. "Dynamics of Subjective Risk Premia," CEPR Discussion Papers 17064, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Kolokotrones, Thomas & Stock, James H. & Walker, Christopher D., 2024. "Is Newey–West optimal among first-order kernels?," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 240(2).
- Ulrich K. Müller & Mark W. Watson, 2020. "Low-Frequency Analysis of Economic Time Series," Working Papers 2020-13, Princeton University. Economics Department..
- Hidalgo, Javier & Schafgans, Marcia, 2021. "Inference without smoothing for large panels with cross-sectional and temporal dependence," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 107426, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
- Rho, Seunghwa & Vogelsang, Timothy J., 2021. "Inference in time series models using smoothed-clustered standard errors," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 224(1), pages 113-133.
- Abhimanyu Gupta & Myung Hwan Seo, 2023.
"Robust Inference on Infinite and Growing Dimensional Time‐Series Regression,"
Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 91(4), pages 1333-1361, July.
- Abhimanyu Gupta & Myung Hwan Seo, 2019. "Robust Inference on Infinite and Growing Dimensional Time Series Regression," Papers 1911.08637, arXiv.org, revised Apr 2023.
- Nicolau, João & Rodrigues, Paulo M.M. & Stoykov, Marian Z., 2023.
"Tail index estimation in the presence of covariates: Stock returns’ tail risk dynamics,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 235(2), pages 2266-2284.
- Paulo M.M. Rodrigues & João Nicolau, 2023. "Tail index estimation in the presence of covariates: Stock returns’ tail risk dynamics," Working Papers w202306, Banco de Portugal, Economics and Research Department.
- Alexander Henzi & Johanna F Ziegel, 2022. "Valid sequential inference on probability forecast performance [A comparison of the ECMWF, MSC, and NCEP global ensemble prediction systems]," Biometrika, Biometrika Trust, vol. 109(3), pages 647-663.
- Ulrich K. Müller & Mark W. Watson, 2022. "Spatial Correlation Robust Inference," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 90(6), pages 2901-2935, November.
- Hirukawa, Masayuki, 2023. "Robust Covariance Matrix Estimation in Time Series: A Review," Econometrics and Statistics, Elsevier, vol. 27(C), pages 36-61.
- Daniel Lewis & Karel Mertens & James H. Stock, 2020. "U.S. Economic Activity During the Early Weeks of the SARS-Cov-2 Outbreak," NBER Working Papers 26954, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Boudoukh, Jacob & Israel, Ronen & Richardson, Matthew, 2022. "Biases in long-horizon predictive regressions," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 145(3), pages 937-969.
- Daniel J. Lewis & Christos Makridis & Karel Mertens, 2019.
"Do Monetary Policy Announcements Shift Household Expectations?,"
Staff Reports
897, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
- Daniel J. Lewis & Christos Makridis & Karel Mertens, 2019. "Do Monetary Policy Announcements Shift Household Expectations?," Working Papers 1906, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, revised 17 Jan 2020.
- Mertens, Karel & Lewis, Daniel & Makridis, Christos, 2020. "Do Monetary Policy Announcements Shift Household Expectations?," CEPR Discussion Papers 14360, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Andersen, Torben G. & Todorov, Viktor & Ubukata, Masato, 2021. "Tail risk and return predictability for the Japanese equity market," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 222(1), pages 344-363.
- Phillips, Peter C.B. & Kheifets, Igor L., 2024. "High-dimensional IV cointegration estimation and inference," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 238(2).
- Kurt Graden Lunsford & Kenneth D. West, 2024. "An Empirical Evaluation of Some Long-Horizon Macroeconomic Forecasts," Working Papers 24-20, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
- Peter C. B. Phillips & Xiaohu Wang & Yonghui Zhang, 2019.
"HAR Testing for Spurious Regression in Trend,"
Econometrics, MDPI, vol. 7(4), pages 1-28, December.
- Peter C.B. Phillips & Yonghui Zhang & Xiaohu Wang, 2018. "HAR Testing for Spurious Regression in Trend," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 2153, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University.
- Alessandro Casini, 2021. "Theory of Evolutionary Spectra for Heteroskedasticity and Autocorrelation Robust Inference in Possibly Misspecified and Nonstationary Models," Papers 2103.02981, arXiv.org, revised Aug 2024.
- Sokbae Lee & Yuan Liao & Myung Hwan Seo & Youngki Shin, 2021. "Fast and Robust Online Inference with Stochastic Gradient Descent via Random Scaling," Papers 2106.03156, arXiv.org, revised Oct 2021.
- Siddhartha Chib & Minchul Shin & Fei Tan, 2020. "High-Dimensional DSGE Models: Pointers on Prior, Estimation, Comparison, and Prediction∗," Working Papers 20-35, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia.
- Michael W. McCracken & Serena Ng, 2021.
"FRED-QD: A Quarterly Database for Macroeconomic Research,"
Review, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, vol. 103(1), pages 1-44, January.
- Michael McCracken & Serena Ng, 2020. "FRED-QD: A Quarterly Database for Macroeconomic Research," NBER Working Papers 26872, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Michael W. McCracken & Serena Ng, 2020. "FRED-QD: A Quarterly Database for Macroeconomic Research," Working Papers 2020-005, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.
- Julian Martinez-Iriarte & Yixiao Sun & Xuexin Wang, 2019.
"Asymptotic F Tests under Possibly Weak Identification,"
Working Papers
2019-03-12, Wang Yanan Institute for Studies in Economics (WISE), Xiamen University.
- Martínez-Iriarte, Julián & Sun, Yixiao & Wang, Xuexin, 2020. "Asymptotic F tests under possibly weak identification," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 218(1), pages 140-177.
- Martínez-Iriarte, Julián & Sun, Yixiao & Wang, Xuexin, 2019. "Asymptotic F Tests under Possibly Weak Identification," University of California at San Diego, Economics Working Paper Series qt6qk200q8, Department of Economics, UC San Diego.
- Stephen Taylor & Ming Fang, 2018. "Unbiased weighted variance and skewness estimators for overlapping returns," Swiss Journal of Economics and Statistics, Springer;Swiss Society of Economics and Statistics, vol. 154(1), pages 1-8, December.
- Eugene Dettaa & Endong Wang, 2024. "Inference in High-Dimensional Linear Projections: Multi-Horizon Granger Causality and Network Connectedness," Papers 2410.04330, arXiv.org.
- José Luis Montiel Olea & Mikkel Plagborg‐Møller, 2021. "Local Projection Inference Is Simpler and More Robust Than You Think," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 89(4), pages 1789-1823, July.
- Jungbin Hwang & Gonzalo Valdés, 2020. "Low Frequency Cointegrating Regression in the Presence of Local to Unity Regressors and Unknown Form of Serial Dependence," Working papers 2020-03, University of Connecticut, Department of Economics, revised Aug 2020.
- Yixiao Sun & Xuexin Wang, 2019. "An Asymptotically F-Distributed Chow Test in the Presence of Heteroscedasticity and Autocorrelation," Papers 1911.03771, arXiv.org.
- Sun, Yixiao & Yang, Jingjing, 2020. "Testing-optimal kernel choice in HAR inference," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 219(1), pages 123-136.
- Federico Belotti & Alessandro Casini & Leopoldo Catania & Stefano Grassi & Pierre Perron, 2023.
"Simultaneous bandwidths determination for DK-HAC estimators and long-run variance estimation in nonparametric settings,"
Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 42(3), pages 281-306, February.
- Federico Belotti & Alessandro Casini & Leopoldo Catania & Stefano Grassi & Pierre Perron, 2021. "Simultaneous Bandwidths Determination for DK-HAC Estimators and Long-Run Variance Estimation in Nonparametric Settings," Papers 2103.00060, arXiv.org.
- Xuexin Wang & Yixiao Sun, 2020.
"An Asymptotic F Test for Uncorrelatedness in the Presence of Time Series Dependence,"
Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 41(4), pages 536-550, July.
- Xuexin Wang & Yixiao Sun, 2019. "An Asymptotic F Test for Uncorrelatedness in the Presence of Time Series Dependence," Working Papers 2019-05-24, Wang Yanan Institute for Studies in Economics (WISE), Xiamen University.
- Ulrich K. Muller & Mark W. Watson, 2021. "Spatial Correlation Robust Inference," Papers 2102.09353, arXiv.org.
- Goodell, John W. & Gurdgiev, Constantin & Paltrinieri, Andrea & Piserà, Stefano, 2024. "Do price caps assist monetary authorities to control inflation? Examining the impact of the natural gas price cap on TTF spikes," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 131(C).
- Pellatt , Daniel & Sun, Yixiao, 2020. "Asymptotic F test in Regressions with Observations Collected at High Frequency over Long Span," University of California at San Diego, Economics Working Paper Series qt19f0d9wz, Department of Economics, UC San Diego.
- Bollerslev, Tim & Todorov, Viktor, 2023. "The jump leverage risk premium," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 150(3).
- Peter C.B. Phillips & Igor Kheifets, 2021. "On Multicointegration," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 2306, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University.
- Yi-Chieh Wen & Bin Li, 2020. "Lagged country returns and international stock return predictability during business cycle recession periods," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 52(46), pages 5005-5019, October.
- Xu, Ke-Li, 2021. "On the serial correlation in multi-horizon predictive quantile regression," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 200(C).
- Casini, Alessandro, 2023. "Theory of evolutionary spectra for heteroskedasticity and autocorrelation robust inference in possibly misspecified and nonstationary models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 235(2), pages 372-392.
- Daniel J. Lewis & Karel Mertens & James H. Stock & Mihir Trivedi, 2020.
"Measuring Real Activity Using a Weekly Economic Index,"
Staff Reports
920, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
- Daniel J. Lewis & Karel Mertens & James H. Stock & Mihir Trivedi, 2022. "Measuring real activity using a weekly economic index," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 37(4), pages 667-687, June.
- Daniel J. Lewis & Karel Mertens & James H. Stock, 2020. "Measuring Real Activity Using a Weekly Economic Index," Working Papers 2011, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, revised 02 Mar 2021.
- Ya‐Ming Liu & Chon‐Kit Ao, 2021. "Effect of air pollution on health care expenditure: Evidence from respiratory diseases," Health Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 30(4), pages 858-875, April.
- Casini, Alessandro, 2024. "The fixed-b limiting distribution and the ERP of HAR tests under nonstationarity," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 238(2).
- Pellatt, Daniel F. & Sun, Yixiao, 2023. "Asymptotic F test in regressions with observations collected at high frequency over long span," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 235(2), pages 1281-1309.
- Yu, Shuo, 2024. "Short-Term Impact of the Trade War on U.S. Agricultural Commodities Futures Prices," 2024 Annual Meeting, July 28-30, New Orleans, LA 344060, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
- Eben Lazarus & Daniel J. Lewis & James H. Stock, 2021. "The Size‐Power Tradeoff in HAR Inference," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 89(5), pages 2497-2516, September.
- Jungbin Hwang & Gonzalo Valdés, 2020. "Finite-sample Corrected Inference for Two-step GMM in Time Series," Working papers 2020-02, University of Connecticut, Department of Economics.
- Jonathan Iworiso & Spyridon Vrontos, 2020. "On the directional predictability of equity premium using machine learning techniques," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 39(3), pages 449-469, April.
- Siddhartha Chib & Minchul Shin & Fei Tan, 2023.
"DSGE-SVt: An Econometric Toolkit for High-Dimensional DSGE Models with SV and t Errors,"
Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 61(1), pages 69-111, January.
- Siddhartha Chib & Minchul Shin & Fei Tan, 2021. "DSGE-SVt: An Econometric Toolkit for High-Dimensional DSGE Models with SV and t Errors," Working Papers 21-02, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia.
- Filip Staněk, 2023. "Optimal out‐of‐sample forecast evaluation under stationarity," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(8), pages 2249-2279, December.
- David Ardia & S'ebastien Laurent & Rosnel Sessinou, 2024. "High-Dimensional Mean-Variance Spanning Tests," Papers 2403.17127, arXiv.org.
- Rodrigo Ad~ao & Michal Koles'ar & Eduardo Morales, 2018. "Shift-Share Designs: Theory and Inference," Papers 1806.07928, arXiv.org, revised Aug 2019.
- Yu‐Sheng Lai, 2022. "Use of high‐frequency data to evaluate the performance of dynamic hedging strategies," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(1), pages 104-124, January.
- Niels Joachim Gormsen & Eben Lazarus, 2023. "Duration‐Driven Returns," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 78(3), pages 1393-1447, June.
- Alessandro Casini & Taosong Deng & Pierre Perron, 2021. "Theory of Low Frequency Contamination from Nonstationarity and Misspecification: Consequences for HAR Inference," Papers 2103.01604, arXiv.org, revised Sep 2024.
- Lai, Yu-Sheng, 2023. "Economic evaluation of dynamic hedging strategies using high-frequency data," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 57(C).
- Kurt Graden Lunsford, 2023. "The Discrepancy Between Expenditure- and Income-Side Estimates of US Output," Economic Commentary, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, vol. 2023(01), pages 1-7, January.
- Herbst, Edward P. & Johannsen, Benjamin K., 2024. "Bias in local projections," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 240(1).
- Zhengyang Jiang, 2019. "US Fiscal Cycle and the Dollar," 2019 Meeting Papers 667, Society for Economic Dynamics.
- Hidalgo, Javier & Schafgans, Marcia, 2021. "Inference without smoothing for large panels with cross-sectional and temporal dependence," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 223(1), pages 125-160.
- Ashesh Rambachan & Neil Shephard, 2019. "Econometric analysis of potential outcomes time series: instruments, shocks, linearity and the causal response function," Papers 1903.01637, arXiv.org, revised Feb 2020.
- Xiaohong Chen & Sokbae Lee & Yuan Liao & Myung Hwan Seo & Youngki Shin & Myunghyun Song, 2023. "SGMM: Stochastic Approximation to Generalized Method of Moments," Papers 2308.13564, arXiv.org, revised Oct 2023.
- Sokbae Lee & Yuan Liao & Myung Hwan Seo & Youngki Shin, 2022. "Fast Inference for Quantile Regression with Tens of Millions of Observations," Papers 2209.14502, arXiv.org, revised Oct 2023.
- Morales, Eduardo & Adao, Rodrigo & Kolesár, Michal, 2018. "Shift-Share Designs: Theory and Inference," CEPR Discussion Papers 13118, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Hwang, Jungbin & Valdés, Gonzalo, 2023. "Finite-sample corrected inference for two-step GMM in time series," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 234(1), pages 327-352.
- NAM, Deokwoo & LI, Xiaole, 2024. "The Stimulative Effects of Anticipated Government Spending Expansions : Evidence from Survey Forecasts," Hitotsubashi Journal of Economics, Hitotsubashi University, vol. 65(1), pages 1-31, June.
- Giselle Montamat & James H. Stock, 2020. "Quasi-experimental estimates of the transient climate response using observational data," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 160(3), pages 361-371, June.
- Eben Lazarus & Daniel J. Lewis & James H. Stock & Mark W. Watson, 2018.
"HAR Inference: Recommendations for Practice Rejoinder,"
Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 36(4), pages 574-575, October.
Cited by:
- Viktor Todorov & Yang Zhang, 2022. "Information gains from using short‐dated options for measuring and forecasting volatility," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 37(2), pages 368-391, March.
- Granziera, Eleonora & Sekhposyan, Tatevik, 2019.
"Predicting relative forecasting performance: An empirical investigation,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 35(4), pages 1636-1657.
- Granziera, Eleonora & Sekhposyan, Tatevik, 2018. "Predicting relative forecasting performance: An empirical investigation," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 23/2018, Bank of Finland.
- Matthieu Picault & Julien Pinter & Thomas Renault, 2022.
"Media sentiment on monetary policy: Determinants and relevance for inflation expectations,"
Post-Print
hal-03959147, HAL.
- Matthieu Picault & Julien Pinter & Thomas Renault, 2022. "Media sentiment on monetary policy: Determinants and relevance for inflation expectations," Université Paris1 Panthéon-Sorbonne (Post-Print and Working Papers) hal-03959147, HAL.
- Picault, Matthieu & Pinter, Julien & Renault, Thomas, 2022. "Media sentiment on monetary policy: Determinants and relevance for inflation expectations," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 124(C).
- Matthieu PICAULT & Julien PINTER & Thomas RENAULT, 2021. "Media sentiment on monetary policy: determinants and relevance for inflation expectations," LEO Working Papers / DR LEO 2895, Orleans Economics Laboratory / Laboratoire d'Economie d'Orleans (LEO), University of Orleans.
- Matthieu Picault & Julien Pinter & Thomas Renault, 2022. "Media sentiment on monetary policy: Determinants and relevance for inflation expectations," Post-Print hal-03810447, HAL.
- Hack, Lukas & Istrefi, Klodiana & Meier, Matthias, 2023.
"Identification of systematic monetary policy,"
Working Paper Series
2851, European Central Bank.
- Hack, Lukas & Istrefi, Klodiana & Meier, Matthias, 2023. "Identification of Systematic Monetary Policy," CEPR Discussion Papers 17999, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Filip Stanek, 2021. "Optimal Out-of-Sample Forecast Evaluation under Stationarity," CERGE-EI Working Papers wp712, The Center for Economic Research and Graduate Education - Economics Institute, Prague.
- Toshiaki Ogawa & Masato Ubukata & Toshiaki Watanabe, 2020. "Stock Return Predictability and Variance Risk Premia around the ZLB," IMES Discussion Paper Series 20-E-09, Institute for Monetary and Economic Studies, Bank of Japan.
- Ulrich K. Müller & Mark W. Watson, 2021. "Spatial Correlation Robust Inference," Working Papers 2021-61, Princeton University. Economics Department..
- Mohamed Saleh & Jean Tirole, 2021.
"Taxing identity: theory and evidence from early Islam,"
Post-Print
hal-03352999, HAL.
- Saleh, Mohamed & Tirole, Jean, 2019. "Taxing Identity: Theory and Evidence from Early Islam," CEPR Discussion Papers 13705, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Mohamed Saleh & Jean Tirole, 2021. "Taxing Identity: Theory and Evidence From Early Islam," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 89(4), pages 1881-1919, July.
- Barbara Rossi & Atsushi Inoue & Yiru Wang, 2024. "Has the Phillips curve flattened?," French Stata Users' Group Meetings 2024 22, Stata Users Group.
- Adam Jassem & Lenard Lieb & Rui Jorge Almeida & Nalan Bac{s}turk & Stephan Smeekes, 2021. "Min(d)ing the President: A text analytic approach to measuring tax news," Papers 2104.03261, arXiv.org, revised May 2022.
- Ana Beatriz Galvão & James Mitchell, 2023.
"Real‐Time Perceptions of Historical GDP Data Uncertainty,"
Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 85(3), pages 457-481, June.
- Galvao, Ana Beatriz & Mitchell, James, 2020. "Real-Time Perceptions of Historical GDP Data Uncertainty," EMF Research Papers 35, Economic Modelling and Forecasting Group.
- Coroneo, Laura & Iacone, Fabrizio & Paccagnini, Alessia & Santos Monteiro, Paulo, 2023.
"Testing the predictive accuracy of COVID-19 forecasts,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 39(2), pages 606-622.
- Laura Coroneo & Fabrizio Iacone & Alessia Paccagnini & Paulo Santos Monteiro, 2020. "Testing the predictive accuracy of COVID-19 forecasts," Discussion Papers 20/10, Department of Economics, University of York.
- Laura Coroneo & Fabrizio Iacone & Alessia Paccagnini & Paulo Santos Monteiro, 2021. "Testing the predictive accuracy of COVID-19 forecasts," CAMA Working Papers 2021-52, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Laura Coroneo & Fabrizio Iacone, 2020. "Comparing predictive accuracy in small samples using fixed‐smoothing asymptotics," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 35(4), pages 391-409, June.
- Dake Li & Mikkel Plagborg-Møller & Christian K. Wolf, 2021.
"Local Projections vs. VARs: Lessons From Thousands of DGPs,"
Working Papers
2021-55, Princeton University. Economics Department..
- Dake Li & Mikkel Plagborg-Møller & Christian K. Wolf, 2022. "Local Projections vs. VARs: Lessons From Thousands of DGPs," NBER Working Papers 30207, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Dake Li & Mikkel Plagborg-M{o}ller & Christian K. Wolf, 2021. "Local Projections vs. VARs: Lessons From Thousands of DGPs," Papers 2104.00655, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2024.
- Artur Doshchyn, 2023. "Sinking Ships: Illiquidity and the Predictability of Returns on Real Assets in Recessions," Economics Series Working Papers 1028, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.
- Stefan Nagel & Zhengyang Xu, 2022.
"Dynamics of Subjective Risk Premia,"
NBER Working Papers
29803, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Nagel, Stefan & Xu, Zhengyang, 2023. "Dynamics of subjective risk premia," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 150(2).
- Stefan Nagel & Zhengyang Xu, 2022. "Dynamics of Subjective Risk Premia," CESifo Working Paper Series 9693, CESifo.
- Nagel, Stefan & Xu, Zhengyang, 2022. "Dynamics of Subjective Risk Premia," CEPR Discussion Papers 17064, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Kolokotrones, Thomas & Stock, James H. & Walker, Christopher D., 2024. "Is Newey–West optimal among first-order kernels?," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 240(2).
- Hidalgo, Javier & Schafgans, Marcia, 2021. "Inference without smoothing for large panels with cross-sectional and temporal dependence," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 107426, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
- Rho, Seunghwa & Vogelsang, Timothy J., 2021. "Inference in time series models using smoothed-clustered standard errors," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 224(1), pages 113-133.
- Abhimanyu Gupta & Myung Hwan Seo, 2023.
"Robust Inference on Infinite and Growing Dimensional Time‐Series Regression,"
Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 91(4), pages 1333-1361, July.
- Abhimanyu Gupta & Myung Hwan Seo, 2019. "Robust Inference on Infinite and Growing Dimensional Time Series Regression," Papers 1911.08637, arXiv.org, revised Apr 2023.
- Nicolau, João & Rodrigues, Paulo M.M. & Stoykov, Marian Z., 2023.
"Tail index estimation in the presence of covariates: Stock returns’ tail risk dynamics,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 235(2), pages 2266-2284.
- Paulo M.M. Rodrigues & João Nicolau, 2023. "Tail index estimation in the presence of covariates: Stock returns’ tail risk dynamics," Working Papers w202306, Banco de Portugal, Economics and Research Department.
- Alexander Henzi & Johanna F Ziegel, 2022. "Valid sequential inference on probability forecast performance [A comparison of the ECMWF, MSC, and NCEP global ensemble prediction systems]," Biometrika, Biometrika Trust, vol. 109(3), pages 647-663.
- Ulrich K. Müller & Mark W. Watson, 2022. "Spatial Correlation Robust Inference," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 90(6), pages 2901-2935, November.
- Hirukawa, Masayuki, 2023. "Robust Covariance Matrix Estimation in Time Series: A Review," Econometrics and Statistics, Elsevier, vol. 27(C), pages 36-61.
- Daniel Lewis & Karel Mertens & James H. Stock, 2020. "U.S. Economic Activity During the Early Weeks of the SARS-Cov-2 Outbreak," NBER Working Papers 26954, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Boudoukh, Jacob & Israel, Ronen & Richardson, Matthew, 2022. "Biases in long-horizon predictive regressions," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 145(3), pages 937-969.
- Andersen, Torben G. & Todorov, Viktor & Ubukata, Masato, 2021. "Tail risk and return predictability for the Japanese equity market," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 222(1), pages 344-363.
- Phillips, Peter C.B. & Kheifets, Igor L., 2024. "High-dimensional IV cointegration estimation and inference," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 238(2).
- Kurt Graden Lunsford & Kenneth D. West, 2024. "An Empirical Evaluation of Some Long-Horizon Macroeconomic Forecasts," Working Papers 24-20, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
- Peter C. B. Phillips & Xiaohu Wang & Yonghui Zhang, 2019.
"HAR Testing for Spurious Regression in Trend,"
Econometrics, MDPI, vol. 7(4), pages 1-28, December.
- Peter C.B. Phillips & Yonghui Zhang & Xiaohu Wang, 2018. "HAR Testing for Spurious Regression in Trend," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 2153, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University.
- Julian Martinez-Iriarte & Yixiao Sun & Xuexin Wang, 2019.
"Asymptotic F Tests under Possibly Weak Identification,"
Working Papers
2019-03-12, Wang Yanan Institute for Studies in Economics (WISE), Xiamen University.
- Martínez-Iriarte, Julián & Sun, Yixiao & Wang, Xuexin, 2020. "Asymptotic F tests under possibly weak identification," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 218(1), pages 140-177.
- Martínez-Iriarte, Julián & Sun, Yixiao & Wang, Xuexin, 2019. "Asymptotic F Tests under Possibly Weak Identification," University of California at San Diego, Economics Working Paper Series qt6qk200q8, Department of Economics, UC San Diego.
- Eugene Dettaa & Endong Wang, 2024. "Inference in High-Dimensional Linear Projections: Multi-Horizon Granger Causality and Network Connectedness," Papers 2410.04330, arXiv.org.
- José Luis Montiel Olea & Mikkel Plagborg‐Møller, 2021. "Local Projection Inference Is Simpler and More Robust Than You Think," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 89(4), pages 1789-1823, July.
- Jungbin Hwang & Gonzalo Valdés, 2020. "Low Frequency Cointegrating Regression in the Presence of Local to Unity Regressors and Unknown Form of Serial Dependence," Working papers 2020-03, University of Connecticut, Department of Economics, revised Aug 2020.
- Yixiao Sun & Xuexin Wang, 2019. "An Asymptotically F-Distributed Chow Test in the Presence of Heteroscedasticity and Autocorrelation," Papers 1911.03771, arXiv.org.
- Sun, Yixiao & Yang, Jingjing, 2020. "Testing-optimal kernel choice in HAR inference," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 219(1), pages 123-136.
- Federico Belotti & Alessandro Casini & Leopoldo Catania & Stefano Grassi & Pierre Perron, 2023.
"Simultaneous bandwidths determination for DK-HAC estimators and long-run variance estimation in nonparametric settings,"
Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 42(3), pages 281-306, February.
- Federico Belotti & Alessandro Casini & Leopoldo Catania & Stefano Grassi & Pierre Perron, 2021. "Simultaneous Bandwidths Determination for DK-HAC Estimators and Long-Run Variance Estimation in Nonparametric Settings," Papers 2103.00060, arXiv.org.
- Goodell, John W. & Gurdgiev, Constantin & Paltrinieri, Andrea & Piserà, Stefano, 2024. "Do price caps assist monetary authorities to control inflation? Examining the impact of the natural gas price cap on TTF spikes," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 131(C).
- Pellatt , Daniel & Sun, Yixiao, 2020. "Asymptotic F test in Regressions with Observations Collected at High Frequency over Long Span," University of California at San Diego, Economics Working Paper Series qt19f0d9wz, Department of Economics, UC San Diego.
- Bollerslev, Tim & Todorov, Viktor, 2023. "The jump leverage risk premium," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 150(3).
- Peter C.B. Phillips & Igor Kheifets, 2021. "On Multicointegration," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 2306, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University.
- Yi-Chieh Wen & Bin Li, 2020. "Lagged country returns and international stock return predictability during business cycle recession periods," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 52(46), pages 5005-5019, October.
- Xu, Ke-Li, 2021. "On the serial correlation in multi-horizon predictive quantile regression," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 200(C).
- Casini, Alessandro, 2023. "Theory of evolutionary spectra for heteroskedasticity and autocorrelation robust inference in possibly misspecified and nonstationary models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 235(2), pages 372-392.
- Daniel J. Lewis & Karel Mertens & James H. Stock & Mihir Trivedi, 2020.
"Measuring Real Activity Using a Weekly Economic Index,"
Staff Reports
920, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
- Daniel J. Lewis & Karel Mertens & James H. Stock & Mihir Trivedi, 2022. "Measuring real activity using a weekly economic index," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 37(4), pages 667-687, June.
- Daniel J. Lewis & Karel Mertens & James H. Stock, 2020. "Measuring Real Activity Using a Weekly Economic Index," Working Papers 2011, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, revised 02 Mar 2021.
- Ya‐Ming Liu & Chon‐Kit Ao, 2021. "Effect of air pollution on health care expenditure: Evidence from respiratory diseases," Health Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 30(4), pages 858-875, April.
- Casini, Alessandro, 2024. "The fixed-b limiting distribution and the ERP of HAR tests under nonstationarity," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 238(2).
- Pellatt, Daniel F. & Sun, Yixiao, 2023. "Asymptotic F test in regressions with observations collected at high frequency over long span," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 235(2), pages 1281-1309.
- Yu, Shuo, 2024. "Short-Term Impact of the Trade War on U.S. Agricultural Commodities Futures Prices," 2024 Annual Meeting, July 28-30, New Orleans, LA 344060, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
- Eben Lazarus & Daniel J. Lewis & James H. Stock, 2021. "The Size‐Power Tradeoff in HAR Inference," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 89(5), pages 2497-2516, September.
- Jungbin Hwang & Gonzalo Valdés, 2020. "Finite-sample Corrected Inference for Two-step GMM in Time Series," Working papers 2020-02, University of Connecticut, Department of Economics.
- Jonathan Iworiso & Spyridon Vrontos, 2020. "On the directional predictability of equity premium using machine learning techniques," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 39(3), pages 449-469, April.
- Siddhartha Chib & Minchul Shin & Fei Tan, 2023.
"DSGE-SVt: An Econometric Toolkit for High-Dimensional DSGE Models with SV and t Errors,"
Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 61(1), pages 69-111, January.
- Siddhartha Chib & Minchul Shin & Fei Tan, 2021. "DSGE-SVt: An Econometric Toolkit for High-Dimensional DSGE Models with SV and t Errors," Working Papers 21-02, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia.
- Filip Staněk, 2023. "Optimal out‐of‐sample forecast evaluation under stationarity," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(8), pages 2249-2279, December.
- David Ardia & S'ebastien Laurent & Rosnel Sessinou, 2024. "High-Dimensional Mean-Variance Spanning Tests," Papers 2403.17127, arXiv.org.
- Yu‐Sheng Lai, 2022. "Use of high‐frequency data to evaluate the performance of dynamic hedging strategies," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(1), pages 104-124, January.
- Niels Joachim Gormsen & Eben Lazarus, 2023. "Duration‐Driven Returns," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 78(3), pages 1393-1447, June.
- Lai, Yu-Sheng, 2023. "Economic evaluation of dynamic hedging strategies using high-frequency data," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 57(C).
- Kurt Graden Lunsford, 2023. "The Discrepancy Between Expenditure- and Income-Side Estimates of US Output," Economic Commentary, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, vol. 2023(01), pages 1-7, January.
- Herbst, Edward P. & Johannsen, Benjamin K., 2024. "Bias in local projections," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 240(1).
- Hidalgo, Javier & Schafgans, Marcia, 2021. "Inference without smoothing for large panels with cross-sectional and temporal dependence," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 223(1), pages 125-160.
- Xiaohong Chen & Sokbae Lee & Yuan Liao & Myung Hwan Seo & Youngki Shin & Myunghyun Song, 2023. "SGMM: Stochastic Approximation to Generalized Method of Moments," Papers 2308.13564, arXiv.org, revised Oct 2023.
- Sokbae Lee & Yuan Liao & Myung Hwan Seo & Youngki Shin, 2022. "Fast Inference for Quantile Regression with Tens of Millions of Observations," Papers 2209.14502, arXiv.org, revised Oct 2023.
- Hwang, Jungbin & Valdés, Gonzalo, 2023. "Finite-sample corrected inference for two-step GMM in time series," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 234(1), pages 327-352.
- NAM, Deokwoo & LI, Xiaole, 2024. "The Stimulative Effects of Anticipated Government Spending Expansions : Evidence from Survey Forecasts," Hitotsubashi Journal of Economics, Hitotsubashi University, vol. 65(1), pages 1-31, June.
- Giselle Montamat & James H. Stock, 2020. "Quasi-experimental estimates of the transient climate response using observational data," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 160(3), pages 361-371, June.