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Yan Carrière-Swallow
(Yan Carriere-Swallow)

Citations

Many of the citations below have been collected in an experimental project, CitEc, where a more detailed citation analysis can be found. These are citations from works listed in RePEc that could be analyzed mechanically. So far, only a minority of all works could be analyzed. See under "Corrections" how you can help improve the citation analysis.

Working papers

  1. Mr. Yan Carriere-Swallow & Melih Firat & Davide Furceri & Daniel Jimenez, 2023. "State-Dependent Exchange Rate Pass-Through," IMF Working Papers 2023/086, International Monetary Fund.

    Cited by:

    1. Canales, Mario & Lopez-Martin, Bernabe, 2024. "Exchange rates, uncertainty, and price-setting: Evidence from CPI microdata," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 139(C).
    2. Kwon, Janghan & Shin, Woongjae, 2023. "Nonlinear exchange rate pass-through and monetary policy credibility: Evidence from Korea," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 230(C).

  2. Carriere-Swallow, Yan & Deb, Pragyan & Furceri, Davide & Jiménez, Daniel & Ostry, Jonathan D., 2022. "Shipping Costs and Inflation," CEPR Discussion Papers 17259, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.

    Cited by:

    1. Szafranek, Karol & Szafrański, Grzegorz & Leszczyńska-Paczesna, Agnieszka, 2024. "Inflation returns. Revisiting the role of external and domestic shocks with Bayesian structural VAR," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 93(PA), pages 789-810.
    2. Selim Suleyman, 2023. "The Possible Effects of the Belt and Road Initiative on Turkey’s Foreign Trade within the Scope of the Gravity Model: A Modes of Transportation Approach," Istanbul Journal of Economics-Istanbul Iktisat Dergisi, Istanbul University, Faculty of Economics, vol. 73(73-1), pages 83-105, June.
    3. Willem THORBECKE, 2023. "Macroeconomic Shocks and Economic Performance in Malaysia: A sectoral analysis," Discussion papers 23070, Research Institute of Economy, Trade and Industry (RIETI).
    4. Ascari, Guido & Bonam, Dennis & Smadu, Andra, 2024. "Global supply chain pressures, inflation, and implications for monetary policy," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 142(C).
    5. Carrière-Swallow, Yan & Firat, Melih & Furceri, Davide & Jiménez, Daniel, 2023. "State-Dependent Exchange Rate Pass-Through," Working papers 106, Red Investigadores de Economía.
    6. Hernández, Juan R. & Ventosa-Santaulària, Daniel & Valencia, J. Eduardo, 2024. "Global supply chain inflationary pressures and monetary policy in Mexico," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 58(C).
    7. Puch González, Luis Antonio & Ruiz, Jesús, 2024. "The asymmetry puzzle: the supply chain disruptions news shocks effects on oil prices and inflation," UC3M Working papers. Economics 43758, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid. Departamento de Economía.
    8. Omid Asadollah & Linda Schwartz Carmy & Md. Rezwanul Hoque & Hakan Yilmazkuday, 2024. "Geopolitical risk, supply chains, and global inflation," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 47(8), pages 3450-3486, August.
    9. Beckmann, Joscha & Czudaj, Robert L., 2024. "Uncertainty Shocks and Inflation: The Role of Credibility and Expectation Anchoring," MPRA Paper 119971, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    10. Anderl, Christina & Caporale, Guglielmo Maria, 2024. "Shipping cost uncertainty, endogenous regime switching and the global drivers of inflation," International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 178(C).
    11. Butollo, Florian & Staritz, Cornelia, 2022. "Deglobalisierung, Rekonfiguration oder Business as Usual? COVID-19 und die Grenzen der Rückverlagerung globalisierter Produktion [Deglobalization, reconfiguration, or business as usual? COVID-19 an," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 32(3), pages 393-425.
    12. Christian Glocker & Matteo Iacopini & Tam'as Krisztin & Philipp Piribauer, 2023. "A Bayesian Markov-switching SAR model for time-varying cross-price spillovers," Papers 2310.19557, arXiv.org.
    13. Christina Anderl & Guglielmo Maria Caporale, 2024. "A Global Oil Market Model with Shipping Costs," CESifo Working Paper Series 11551, CESifo.
    14. Mohamad B. Karaki & Andrios Neaimeh, 2024. "Do higher global oil and wheat prices matter for the wheat flour price in Lebanon?," Agricultural Economics, International Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 55(4), pages 559-571, July.
    15. St-Pierre, Marc, 2023. "On market power and inflation," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 226(C).
    16. Cherryl Chico & Zhaowen Wang & Ed Kieran C. Reyes & Mahinthan J. Mariasingham, 2024. "AIS-Based Framework for Analyzing the Impacts of Passageway Disruptions," Economics of Disasters and Climate Change, Springer, vol. 8(3), pages 489-511, November.
    17. Bańbura, Marta & Bobeica, Elena & Martínez Hernández, Catalina, 2024. "Shocked to the core: a new model to understand euro area inflation," Research Bulletin, European Central Bank, vol. 117.
    18. Bańbura, Marta & Bobeica, Elena & Martínez Hernández, Catalina, 2023. "What drives core inflation? The role of supply shocks," Working Paper Series 2875, European Central Bank.
    19. Juan R. Hernández & Mateo Hoyos & Daniel Ventosa-Santaulària, 2024. "Monetary Policy in Emerging Markets under Global Uncertainty," Working Papers DTE 634, CIDE, División de Economía.
    20. Abdullah Bin Zafar & Tanvir Ahmed Tuhin, 2024. "An Ordinary Least Squares Approach Measuring the Impact of Factors Affecting the Underground Economy of Bangladesh and Their Implications in the Context of the Country’s Supply Chain," International Journal of Science and Business, IJSAB International, vol. 34(1), pages 92-107.
    21. Stefano Neri, 2024. "There has been an awakening. The rise (and fall) of inflation in the euro area," Questioni di Economia e Finanza (Occasional Papers) 834, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
    22. Ha, Jongrim & Kose, M. Ayhan & Ohnsorge, Franziska & Yilmazkuday, Hakan, 2023. "Understanding the global drivers of inflation: How important are oil prices?11We would like to thank Xuguang Simon Sheng, Guest Editor, and two anonymous reviewers for their detailed feedback. We also," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 127(PA).

  3. Mr. Yan Carriere-Swallow & José Marzluf, 2021. "Macrofinancial Causes of Optimism in Growth Forecasts," IMF Working Papers 2021/275, International Monetary Fund.

    Cited by:

    1. Eicher, Theo S. & Kawai, Reina, 2023. "IMF trade forecasts for crisis countries: Bias, inefficiency, and their origins," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 39(4), pages 1615-1639.

  4. Mr. Yan Carriere-Swallow & Mr. V. Haksar & Manasa Patnam, 2021. "India’s Approach to Open Banking: Some Implications for Financial Inclusion," IMF Working Papers 2021/052, International Monetary Fund.

    Cited by:

    1. Sally Chen & Derryl D'Silva & Frank Packer & Siddharth Tiwari, 2022. "Virtual banking and beyond," BIS Papers, Bank for International Settlements, number 120, October –.
    2. Peter J. Morgan, 2022. "Fintech and Financial Inclusion in Southeast Asia and India," Asian Economic Policy Review, Japan Center for Economic Research, vol. 17(2), pages 183-208, July.

  5. Mr. V. Haksar & Mr. Yan Carriere-Swallow & Emran Islam & Andrew Giddings & Kathleen Kao & Emanuel Kopp & Mr. Gabriel Quiros-Romero, 2021. "Toward a Global Approach to Data in the Digital Age," IMF Staff Discussion Notes 2021/005, International Monetary Fund.

    Cited by:

    1. Olga Pilipczuk, 2022. "Cognitive Computing—Will It Be the Future “Smart Power” for the Energy Enterprises?," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(17), pages 1-19, August.

  6. Mr. Yan Carriere-Swallow & Mr. V. Haksar, 2019. "The Economics and Implications of Data: An Integrated Perspective," IMF Departmental Papers / Policy Papers 2019/013, International Monetary Fund.

    Cited by:

    1. Ehsan Valavi & Joel Hestness & Marco Iansiti & Newsha Ardalani & Feng Zhu & Karim R. Lakhani, 2022. "Time Dependency, Data Flow, and Competitive Advantage," Papers 2203.09128, arXiv.org.
    2. Doerr, Sebastian & Frost, Jon & Gambacorta, Leonardo & Shreeti, Vatsala, 2023. "Big techs in finance," CEPR Discussion Papers 18665, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    3. Siddharth Tiwari & Sharad Sharma & Siddharth Shetty & Frank Packer, 2022. "The design of a data governance system," BIS Papers, Bank for International Settlements, number 124, October –.
    4. Nwaobi, Godwin, 2024. "Nigerian Firms and Digital Transformation:Incubations, Unipoding and Prospects," MPRA Paper 121833, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    5. Frederic Boissay & Torsten Ehlers & Leonardo Gambacorta & Hyun Song Shin, 2021. "Big techs in finance: on the new nexus between data privacy and competition," BIS Working Papers 970, Bank for International Settlements.
    6. Falch, Morten, 2021. "Surveillance capitalism – a new techno-economic paradigm?," 23rd ITS Biennial Conference, Online Conference / Gothenburg 2021. Digital societies and industrial transformations: Policies, markets, and technologies in a post-Covid world 238019, International Telecommunications Society (ITS).
    7. Auboin, Marc & Koopman, Robert & Xu, Ankai, 2021. "Trade and innovation policies: Coexistence and spillovers," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 43(4), pages 844-872.
    8. Hans Brits & Nicole Jonker, 2023. "The Use of Financial Apps: Privacy Paradox or Privacy Calculus?," Working Papers 794, DNB.
    9. Ehsan Valavi & Joel Hestness & Newsha Ardalani & Marco Iansiti, 2022. "Time and the Value of Data," Papers 2203.09118, arXiv.org.
    10. Garrett A. Johnson, 2022. "Economic Research on Privacy Regulation: Lessons from the GDPR and Beyond," NBER Chapters, in: The Economics of Privacy, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    11. Boot, Arnoud & Hoffmann, Peter & Laeven, Luc & Ratnovski, Lev, 2021. "Fintech: what’s old, what’s new?," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 53(C).
    12. Zhou, Qin & Cheng, Changgao & Fang, Zhou & Zhang, Hengquan & Xu, Yining, 2024. "How does the development of the digital economy affect innovation output? Exploring mechanisms from the perspective of regional innovation systems," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 1-17.
    13. Arnold, René & Hildebrandt, Christian & Taş, Serpil, 2020. "European data economy: Between competition and regulation. Final report," Study Series, WIK Wissenschaftliches Institut für Infrastruktur und Kommunikationsdienste GmbH, number 251538.
    14. Oliver Falck & Johannes Koenen, 2020. "Resource “Data”: Economic Benefits of Data Provision," CESifo Forum, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 21(03), pages 31-41, September.
    15. Liu, Yi & Zhao, Xuan & Liu, Yi & Kong, Fanjun, 2023. "The dynamic impact of digital economy on the green development of traditional manufacturing industry: Evidence from China," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 143-160.

  7. Mr. Yan Carriere-Swallow & Mr. Nicolas E Magud & Juan Yepez, 2018. "No Pain, All Gain? Exchange Rate Flexibility and the Expenditure-Switching Effect," IMF Working Papers 2018/213, International Monetary Fund.

    Cited by:

    1. Aamir Jamal & G. M. Bhat, 2023. "Disentangling the Nexus Between Exchange Rate Volatility, Exports, and FDI: Empirical Evidence from the Indian Economy," Global Journal of Emerging Market Economies, Emerging Markets Forum, vol. 15(3), pages 449-472, September.

  8. Mr. Yan Carriere-Swallow & Mr. Antonio David & Mr. Daniel Leigh, 2018. "The Macroeconomic Effects of Fiscal Consolidation in Emerging Economies: Evidence from Latin America," IMF Working Papers 2018/142, International Monetary Fund.

    Cited by:

    1. Ms. Era Dabla-Norris & Frederico Lima, 2018. "Macroeconomic Effects of Tax Rate and Base Changes: Evidence from Fiscal Consolidations," IMF Working Papers 2018/220, International Monetary Fund.
    2. Sawadogo, Ibrahim, 2019. "Fiscal revenues and macroeconomic effects : case of Burkina Faso," MPRA Paper 97287, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    3. Hayley Pallan, 2022. "Do Investors Care About Consumption Taxes? Evidence from Equities in Advanced and Emerging Economies," IHEID Working Papers 14-2022, Economics Section, The Graduate Institute of International Studies.
    4. Milenko Krajišnik & Dragan Gligoriæ & Biljana Gojkoviæ, 2019. "Effects of fiscal consolidation in Western Balkan Countries," Zbornik radova Ekonomskog fakulteta u Rijeci/Proceedings of Rijeka Faculty of Economics, University of Rijeka, Faculty of Economics and Business, vol. 37(2), pages 527-551.
    5. Davide Furceri & Ms. Aleksandra Zdzienicka, 2018. "Twin Deficits in Developing Economies," IMF Working Papers 2018/170, International Monetary Fund.
    6. António Afonso & Eduardo Rodrigues, 2024. "Is public investment in construction and in R&D, growth enhancing? A PVAR approach," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 56(24), pages 2875-2899, May.
    7. Christian Estmann & Henrik Hansen & John Rand, 2021. "Fiscal policy responses to COVID-19 in Danida priority countries in Sub-Saharan Africa," DERG working paper series 21-09, University of Copenhagen. Department of Economics. Development Economics Research Group (DERG).
    8. Carolina Correa-Caro & Leandro Medina & Mr. Marcos Poplawski Ribeiro & Mr. Bennett W Sutton, 2018. "Fiscal Stimulus Impact on Firms' Profitability During the Global Financial Crisis," IMF Working Papers 2018/251, International Monetary Fund.
    9. Eduardo de Sá Fortes Leitão Rodrigues, 2020. "Uncertainty And The Effectiveness Of Fiscal Policy In The United States And Brazil: Svar Approach," Working Papers REM 2020/0150, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa.
    10. Thibault Lemaire, 2020. "Fiscal Consolidations and Informality in Latin America and the Caribbean," Working Papers halshs-03948669, HAL.
    11. David, Antonio C. & Guajardo, Jaime & Yepez, Juan F., 2022. "The rewards of fiscal consolidations: Sovereign spreads and confidence effects," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 123(C).
    12. Amine Lahiani & Ameni Mtibaa & Foued Gabsi, 2022. "Fiscal Consolidation, Social Sector Expenditures and Twin Deficit Hypothesis: Evidence from Emerging and Middle-Income Countries," Comparative Economic Studies, Palgrave Macmillan;Association for Comparative Economic Studies, vol. 64(4), pages 710-747, December.
    13. García-Albán, Freddy & González-Astudillo, Manuel & Vera-Avellán, Cristhian, 2021. "Good policy or good luck? Analyzing the effects of fiscal policy and oil revenue shocks in Ecuador," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 100(C).
    14. Eduardo de Sa Fortes Leitao Rodrigues, 2023. "Uncertainty and the effectiveness of fiscal policy in the United States and Brasil: SVAR Approach," Working Papers 2023.03, International Network for Economic Research - INFER.

  9. Steve Brito & Mr. Yan Carriere-Swallow & Bertrand Gruss, 2018. "Disagreement about Future Inflation: Understanding the Benefits of Inflation Targeting and Transparency," IMF Working Papers 2018/024, International Monetary Fund.

    Cited by:

    1. Bems, Rudolfs & Caselli, Francesca & Grigoli, Francesco & Gruss, Bertrand, 2021. "Expectations' Anchoring and Inflation Persistence," CEPR Discussion Papers 16391, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    2. Mr. Andrea Pescatori, 2018. "Central Bank Communication and Monetary Policy Surprises in Chile," IMF Working Papers 2018/156, International Monetary Fund.
    3. Stan Du Plessis & Monique Reid & Pierre Siklos, 2018. "What drives household inflation expectations in South Africa? Demographics and anchoring under inflation targeting," CAMA Working Papers 2018-48, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
    4. Carrière-Swallow, Yan & Firat, Melih & Furceri, Davide & Jiménez, Daniel, 2023. "State-Dependent Exchange Rate Pass-Through," Working papers 106, Red Investigadores de Economía.
    5. Mr. Yan Carriere-Swallow & Mr. Pragyan Deb & Davide Furceri & Daniel Jimenez & Mr. Jonathan David Ostry, 2022. "Shipping Costs and Inflation," IMF Working Papers 2022/061, International Monetary Fund.
    6. Kuester, Keith & Corsetti, Giancarlo & Müller, Gernot & Schmidt, Sebastian, 2021. "The Exchange Rate Insulation Puzzle," CEPR Discussion Papers 15689, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    7. Suh, Sangwon & Kim, Daehwan, 2021. "Inflation targeting and expectation anchoring: Evidence from developed and emerging market economies," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C).
    8. Gaurav Kumar Singh & Tathagata Bandyopadhyay, 2024. "Determinants of disagreement: Learning from inflation expectations survey of households," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 43(2), pages 326-343, March.
    9. Kristoph Naggert & Robert W. Rich & Joseph Tracy, 2023. "The Anchoring of US Inflation Expectations Since 2012," Economic Commentary, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, vol. 2023(11), pages 1-7, July.
    10. Sangyong Joo & Daehwan Kim & Jeffrey Nilsen, 2021. "Monetary Policy and Long-Term Interest Rates in Korea: A Decomposition Analysis," Korean Economic Review, Korean Economic Association, vol. 37, pages 327-366.
    11. José Antonio Ocampo-Gaviria & Carlos Eduardo Caballero Argáez & María del Pilar Esguerra-Umaña & Miguel Urrutia-Montoya & Antonio Hernández-Gamarra, 2023. "Ensayos de historia económica. Cien años del Banco de la República," Books, Banco de la Republica de Colombia, number 2023-isbn:9789586644730 edited by Luis I.Jácome & Samuel Pienknagura & Leonardo Villar Gómez & Esguerra Umaña Pilar.

  10. Mr. Yan Carriere-Swallow & Mr. Luis Ignacio Jácome & Mr. Nicolas E Magud & Alejandro M. Werner, 2016. "Central Banking in Latin America: The Way Forward," IMF Working Papers 2016/197, International Monetary Fund.

    Cited by:

    1. Davide Romelli, 2024. "Trends in central bank independence: a de-jure perspective," BAFFI CAREFIN Working Papers 24217, BAFFI CAREFIN, Centre for Applied Research on International Markets Banking Finance and Regulation, Universita' Bocconi, Milano, Italy.
    2. Carlos Alberto Zarazúa Juárez, 2021. "Macroprudential regulation as part of the Mexican policy toolkit," Remef - Revista Mexicana de Economía y Finanzas Nueva Época REMEF (The Mexican Journal of Economics and Finance), Instituto Mexicano de Ejecutivos de Finanzas, IMEF, vol. 16(1), pages 1-27, Enero - M.
    3. McKnight, Stephen & Mihailov, Alexander & Pompa Rangel, Antonio, 2020. "What do Latin American inflation targeters care about? A comparative Bayesian estimation of central bank preferences," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 63(C).
    4. Eduardo Rosas Rojas & Mónica C. Mimbrera Delgado, 2018. "Inflación y volatilidad cambiaria en México (1969-2017)," Ensayos de Economía 17297, Universidad Nacional de Colombia Sede Medellín.

  11. Mr. Yan Carriere-Swallow & Bertrand Gruss & Mr. Nicolas E Magud & Mr. Fabian Valencia, 2016. "Monetary Policy Credibility and Exchange Rate Pass-Through," IMF Working Papers 2016/240, International Monetary Fund.

    Cited by:

    1. Issler, João Victor & Soares, Ana Flávia, 2019. "Central Bank credibility and inflation expectations: a microfounded forecasting approach," FGV EPGE Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE) 812, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil).
    2. Pym Manopimoke & Nuwat Nookhwun & Jettawat Pattararangrong, 2024. "Exchange Rate in Emerging Markets: Shock Absorber or Source of Shock?," PIER Discussion Papers 220, Puey Ungphakorn Institute for Economic Research.
    3. Ken Miyajima, 2020. "Exchange rate volatility and pass‐through to inflation in South Africa," African Development Review, African Development Bank, vol. 32(3), pages 404-418, September.
    4. Bems, Rudolfs & Caselli, Francesca & Grigoli, Francesco & Gruss, Bertrand, 2021. "Expectations' Anchoring and Inflation Persistence," CEPR Discussion Papers 16391, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    5. Nasir, Muhammad Ali & Vo, Xuan Vinh, 2020. "A quarter century of inflation targeting & structural change in exchange rate pass-through: Evidence from the first three movers," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 54(C), pages 42-61.
    6. Ahmad Zubaidi Baharumshah & Siew-Voon Soon & Mark E. Wohar, 2021. "Phillips Curve for the Asian Economies: A Nonlinear Perspective," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 57(12), pages 3508-3537, September.
    7. Valérie Mignon & Antonia Lopez Villavicencio, 2017. "Exchange rate pass-through in emerging countries: Do the inflation environment, monetary policy regime and central bank behavior matter?," Post-Print hal-01589202, HAL.
    8. González-Gómez, Andrés & Guarín-López, Alexander & Rodríguez, Diego & Vargas-Herrera, Hernando, 2020. "4GM: A New Model for the Monetary Policy Analysis in Colombia," Working papers 31, Red Investigadores de Economía.
    9. Carrière-Swallow, Yan & Firat, Melih & Furceri, Davide & Jiménez, Daniel, 2023. "State-Dependent Exchange Rate Pass-Through," Working papers 106, Red Investigadores de Economía.
    10. Javier García-Cicco, 2021. "Alternative Monetary-Policy Instruments and Limited Credibility: An Exploration," BCRA Working Paper Series 202191, Central Bank of Argentina, Economic Research Department.
    11. Kristin Forbes & Ida Hjortsoe & Tsvetelina Nenova, 2020. "International Evidence on Shock-Dependent Exchange Rate Pass-Through," IMF Economic Review, Palgrave Macmillan;International Monetary Fund, vol. 68(4), pages 721-763, December.
    12. Cuitiño, María Fernanda & Medina, Juan Pablo & Zacheo, Laura, 2022. "Conditional exchange rate pass-through and monetary policy credibility: Insights from Uruguay and Chile," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 114(C).
    13. World Bank Group, 2017. "Russia Economic Report, May 2017," World Bank Publications - Reports 27522, The World Bank Group.
    14. Behera, Harendra & Wahi, Garima & Kapur, Muneesh, 2018. "Phillips curve relationship in an emerging economy: Evidence from India," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 116-126.
    15. Yan Carrière‐Swallow & Nicolás E. Magud & Juan F. Yépez, 2021. "Exchange rate flexibility, the real exchange rate, and adjustment to terms‐of‐trade shocks," Review of International Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 29(2), pages 439-483, May.
    16. Mr. Yan Carriere-Swallow & Mr. Pragyan Deb & Davide Furceri & Daniel Jimenez & Mr. Jonathan David Ostry, 2022. "Shipping Costs and Inflation," IMF Working Papers 2022/061, International Monetary Fund.
    17. Castellares, Renzo & Toma, Hiroshi, 2020. "Effects of a mandatory local currency pricing law on the exchange rate pass-through," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 106(C).
    18. Mariarosaria Comunale, 2019. "An Investigation of the Exchange Rate Pass-Through in the Baltic States," Bank of Lithuania Discussion Paper Series 13, Bank of Lithuania.
    19. Roberta Colavecchio & Ieva Rubene, 2019. "Non-linear exchange rate pass-through to euro area inflation: A local projection approach," BCL working papers 138, Central Bank of Luxembourg.
    20. Bicchal, Motilal, 2022. "Central bank credibility and its effect on stabilization," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 73-94.
    21. Elías Albagli & Mauricio Calani & Metodij Hadzi-Vaskov & Mario Marcel & Mr. Luca A Ricci, 2020. "Comfort in Floating: Taking Stock of Twenty Years of Freely-Floating Exchange Rate in Chile," IMF Working Papers 2020/100, International Monetary Fund.
    22. Mr. Yan Carriere-Swallow & Mr. Nicolas E Magud & Juan Yepez, 2018. "No Pain, All Gain? Exchange Rate Flexibility and the Expenditure-Switching Effect," IMF Working Papers 2018/213, International Monetary Fund.
    23. Bems, Rudolfs & Caselli, Francesca & Grigoli, Francesco & Gruss, Bertrand, 2020. "Gains from anchoring inflation expectations: Evidence from the taper tantrum shock," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 188(C).
    24. Thitipat Chansriniyom & Mr. Natan P. Epstein & Valeriu Nalban, 2020. "The Monetary Policy Credibility Channel and the Amplification Effects in a Semi-structural Model," IMF Working Papers 2020/201, International Monetary Fund.
    25. Kwon, Janghan & Shin, Woongjae, 2023. "Nonlinear exchange rate pass-through and monetary policy credibility: Evidence from Korea," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 230(C).
    26. Osbat, Chiara & Sun, Yiqiao & Wagner, Martin, 2021. "Sectoral exchange rate pass-through in the euro area," Working Paper Series 2634, European Central Bank.
    27. Forbes, Kristin & Hjortsoe, Ida & Nenova, Tsvetelina, 2017. "Shocks versus structure: explaining differences in exchange rate pass-through across countries and time," Discussion Papers 50, Monetary Policy Committee Unit, Bank of England.

  12. Carlos Caceres & Mr. Yan Carriere-Swallow & Ishak Demir & Bertrand Gruss, 2016. "U.S. Monetary Policy Normalization and Global Interest Rates," IMF Working Papers 2016/195, International Monetary Fund.

    Cited by:

    1. Mr. Olumuyiwa S Adedeji & Mr. Erik Roos & Mr. Sohaib Shahid & Ling Zhu, 2019. "U.S. Monetary Policy Spillovers to GCC Countries: Do Oil Prices Matter?," IMF Working Papers 2019/304, International Monetary Fund.
    2. Weicheng Lian & Natalija Novta & Evgenia Pugacheva & Mr. Yannick Timmer & Petia Topalova, 2019. "The Price of Capital Goods: A Driver of Investment Under Threat," IMF Working Papers 2019/134, International Monetary Fund.
    3. Aaron Mehrotra & Richhild Moessner & Chang Shu, 2019. "Interest Rate Spillovers from the United States: Expectations, Term Premia and Macro-Financial Vulnerabilities," CESifo Working Paper Series 7896, CESifo.
    4. Ms. Margaux MacDonald & Michał Ksawery Popiel, 2017. "Unconventional Monetary Policy in a Small Open Economy," IMF Working Papers 2017/268, International Monetary Fund.
    5. Arbatli-Saxegaard, Elif & Furceri, Davide & González, Pablo & Ostry, Jonathan D. & Peiris, Shanaka, 2024. "Spillovers from US Monetary Policy: Role of Policy Drivers and Cyclical Conditions," CEPR Discussion Papers 18768, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    6. M. Yu. GOLOVNIN, 2018. "External effects of US monetary policy," Outlines of global transformations: politics, economics, law, Center for Crisis Society Studies, vol. 11(2).
    7. Fida Hussain & Asif Mahmood, 2017. "Predicting Output Growth and Inflation in Pakistan: The Role of Yield Spread," SBP Research Bulletin, State Bank of Pakistan, Research Department, vol. 13, pages 53-76.
    8. Akhtar, Shumi & Akhtar, Farida & Jahromi, Maria & John, Kose, 2017. "Impact of interest rate surprises on Islamic and conventional stocks and bonds," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 79(C), pages 218-231.
    9. Julio Carrillo, 2017. "Inquiry on the Transmission of U.S. Aggregate Shocks to Mexico: A SVAR Approach," 2017 Meeting Papers 1509, Society for Economic Dynamics.

  13. Carlos Caceres & Mr. Yan Carriere-Swallow & Bertrand Gruss, 2016. "Global Financial Conditions and Monetary Policy Autonomy," IMF Working Papers 2016/108, International Monetary Fund.

    Cited by:

    1. Huiqing Li & Yixuan Xu & Ying Zhuang, 2021. "China's trilemma: monetary policy autonomy in an economy with a managed floating exchange rate," Asian-Pacific Economic Literature, The Crawford School, The Australian National University, vol. 35(1), pages 99-107, May.
    2. Belke, Ansgar & Dubova, Irina, 2017. "International spillovers in global asset markets," VfS Annual Conference 2017 (Vienna): Alternative Structures for Money and Banking 168087, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    3. Riccardo Degasperi & Fabrizio Venditti, 2024. "US monetary policy spillovers to the euro area," Questioni di Economia e Finanza (Occasional Papers) 891, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
    4. Georgiadis, Georgios & Zhu, Feng, 2019. "Monetary policy spillovers, capital controls and exchange rate flexibility, and the financial channel of exchange rates," Working Paper Series 2267, European Central Bank.
    5. Ruthira Naraidoo & Vo Phuong Mai Le, 2019. "Monetary policy in a model with commodity and financial market," Working Papers 782, Economic Research Southern Africa.
    6. Maurice Obstfeld & Alan M. Taylor, 2017. "International Monetary Relations: Taking Finance Seriously," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 31(3), pages 3-28, Summer.
    7. Eichengreen, Barry & Park, Donghyun & Ramayandi, Arief & Shin, Kwanho, 2020. "Exchange Rates and Insulation in Emerging Markets," ADB Economics Working Paper Series 610, Asian Development Bank.
    8. Obstfeld, Maurice & Ostry, Jonathan D. & Qureshi, Mahvash S., 2017. "A Tie That Binds: Revisiting the Trilemma in Emerging Market Economies," CEPR Discussion Papers 12093, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    9. Hang Zhou, 2016. "Cross-Country Evidence on Monetary Policy Autonomy: A Markov Regime Switching Approach," 2016 Papers pzh699, Job Market Papers.
    10. Ha,Jongrim & Ivanova,Anna & Ohnsorge,Franziska Lieselotte & Unsal Portillo Ocando,Derya Filiz, 2019. "Inflation : Concepts, Evolution, and Correlates," Policy Research Working Paper Series 8738, The World Bank.
    11. Vanessa Olakemi Dovonou, 2023. "Trilemma revisited with dollar dominance in trade and finance," Working Papers 2023.05, International Network for Economic Research - INFER.
    12. Demir, Ishak, 2019. "Monetary Policy Autonomy and International Monetary Spillovers," LEAF Working Paper Series 19-01, University of Lincoln, Lincoln International Business School, Lincoln Economics and Finance Research Group (LEAF).
    13. Nicolas Eterovic & Dalibor Eterovic, 2022. "Stocks, Bonds and the US Dollar - Measuring Domestic and International Market Developments in an Emerging Market," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 964, Central Bank of Chile.

  14. Mr. Yan Carriere-Swallow & Mr. Pablo Garcia-Silva, 2013. "Capital Account Policies in Chile Macro-financial considerations along the path to liberalization," IMF Working Papers 2013/107, International Monetary Fund.

    Cited by:

    1. Ebert, Laura & La Menza, Tania, 2015. "Chile, copper and resource revenue: A holistic approach to assessing commodity dependence," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 43(C), pages 101-111.

  15. Yan Carrière–Swallow & Luis Felipe Céspedes, 2011. "The Impact of Uncertainty Shocks in Emerging Economies," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 646, Central Bank of Chile.

    Cited by:

    1. Tan, Xueping & Zhong, Yiran & Vivian, Andrew & Geng, Yong & Wang, Ziyi & Zhao, Difei, 2024. "Towards an era of multi-source uncertainty: A systematic and bibliometric analysis," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 95(PB).
    2. Azad, Nahiyan Faisal & Serletis, Apostolos, 2022. "Spillovers of U.S. monetary policy uncertainty on inflation targeting emerging economies," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 51(PA).
    3. Kumari, Vineeta & Hassan, Majdi & Pandey, Dharen Kumar, 2024. "Are high-income and innovative nations resilient to the Russia-Ukraine war?," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 93(PA), pages 1268-1287.
    4. Michael Siemer & Adrien Verdelhan & Francois Gourio, 2015. "Uncertainty and International Capital Flows," 2015 Meeting Papers 880, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    5. Marina Diakonova & Luis Molina & Hannes Mueller & Javier J. Pérez & Cristopher Rauh, 2022. "The information content of conflict, social unrest and policy uncertainty measures for macroeconomic forecasting," Working Papers 2232, Banco de España.
    6. Albagli, Elias & Ceballos, Luis & Claro, Sebastian & Romero, Damian, 2024. "UIP deviations: Insights from event studies," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 148(C).
    7. Charles Engel, 2015. "International Coordination of Central Bank Policy," NBER Working Papers 20952, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    8. Delong Li & Mr. Nicolas E Magud & Mr. Fabian Valencia, 2015. "Corporate Investment in Emerging Markets: Financing vs. Real Options Channel," IMF Working Papers 2015/285, International Monetary Fund.
    9. Athanasios Triantafyllou & Dimitrios Bakas & Marilou Ioakimidis, 2019. "Commodity Price Uncertainty as a Leading Indicator of Economic Activity," Working Paper series 19-03, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis.
    10. Hashem Pesaran & Ambrogio Cesa-Bianchi & Alessandro Rebucci, 2014. "Uncertainty and Economic Activity: A Global Perspective," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 1407, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
    11. Bobasu, Alina & Geis, André & Quaglietti, Lucia & Ricci, Martino, 2021. "Tracking global economic uncertainty: implications for the euro area," Working Paper Series 2541, European Central Bank.
    12. Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Theshne Kisten, 2020. "The Impact of Uncertainty Shocks in South Africa: The Role of Financial Regimes," Working Papers 202046, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    13. Liu, Guangqiang & Zeng, Qing & Lei, Juan, 2022. "Dynamic risks from climate policy uncertainty: A case study for the natural gas market," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    14. Hjortsø, Ida & Forbes, Kristin & Nenova, Tsvetelina, 2018. "The Shocks Matter: Improving our Estimates of Exchange Rate Pass-Through," CEPR Discussion Papers 13037, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    15. Jalloul, Maya & Miescu, Mirela, 2023. "Equity market connectedness across regimes of geopolitical risks: Historical evidence and theory," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 137(C).
    16. Mr. Yan Carriere-Swallow & José Marzluf, 2021. "Macrofinancial Causes of Optimism in Growth Forecasts," IMF Working Papers 2021/275, International Monetary Fund.
    17. Peter Claeys, 2017. "Uncertainty spillover and policy reactions," Revista ESPE - Ensayos sobre Política Económica, Banco de la Republica de Colombia, vol. 35(82), pages 64-77, April.
    18. Cho, Dooyeon & Kim, Husang, 2023. "Macroeconomic effects of uncertainty shocks: Evidence from Korea," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 84(C).
    19. Silvia Delrio, 2016. "Estimating the effects of global uncertainty in open economies," Working Papers 2016:19, Department of Economics, University of Venice "Ca' Foscari".
    20. Shin, Minchul & Zhang, Boyuan & Zhong, Molin & Lee, Dong Jin, 2018. "Measuring international uncertainty: The case of Korea," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 162(C), pages 22-26.
    21. Yonas Alem & Jonathan Colmer, 2015. "Consumption smoothing and the welfare cost of uncertainty," GRI Working Papers 118b, Grantham Research Institute on Climate Change and the Environment.
    22. Yves S. Schüler, 2014. "Asymmetric Effects of Uncertainty over the Business Cycle: A Quantile Structural Vector Autoregressive Approach," Working Paper Series of the Department of Economics, University of Konstanz 2014-02, Department of Economics, University of Konstanz.
    23. Canales, Mario & Lopez-Martin, Bernabe, 2024. "Exchange rates, uncertainty, and price-setting: Evidence from CPI microdata," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 139(C).
    24. Haroon Mumtaz & Laura Sunder-Plassmann & Angeliki Theophilopoulou, 2016. "The State Level Impact of Uncertainty Shocks," Working Papers 793, Queen Mary University of London, School of Economics and Finance.
    25. Abiad, Abdul & Bluedorn, John & Guajardo, Jaime & Topalova, Petia, 2015. "The Rising Resilience of Emerging Market and Developing Economies," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 72(C), pages 1-26.
    26. Chris Redl, 2015. "Macroeconomic Uncertainty in South Africa," Working Papers 509, Economic Research Southern Africa.
    27. Yonas Alem & Jonathan Colmer, 2015. "Consumption Smoothing and the Welfare Cost of Uncertainty," CEP Discussion Papers dp1369, Centre for Economic Performance, LSE.
    28. Lee, Seohyun, 2017. "Three essays on uncertainty: real and financial effects of uncertainty shocks," MPRA Paper 83617, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    29. Hippolyte d'Albis & Ekrame Boubtane & Dramane Coulibaly, 2022. "Global Uncertainty and International Migration to Western Europe," PSE Working Papers halshs-03770391, HAL.
    30. Martínez-Jaramillo, Serafín & Montañez-Enríquez, Ricardo & Ossandon Busch, Matias & Ramos-Francia, Manuel & Rodríguez-Martínez, Anahí & Sánchez-Martínez, Manuel, 2022. "Stress-ridden finance and growth losses: Does financial development break the link?," IWH Discussion Papers 3/2022, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH).
    31. Hsiao, Cody Yu-Ling & Jin, Tao & Kwok, Simon & Wang, Xi & Zheng, Xin, 2023. "Entrepreneurial risk shocks and financial acceleration asymmetry in a two-country DSGE model," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
    32. Laurent Ferrara & Aikaterina Karadimitropoulou & Athanasios Triantafyllou & Theodora Bermpei, 2022. "Commodity currencies revisited: The role of global commodity price uncertainty," Working Papers hal-04159791, HAL.
    33. Mr. Fabio Comelli & Mrs. Esther Perez Ruiz, 2016. "To Bet or Not to Bet: Copper Price Uncertainty and Investment in Chile," IMF Working Papers 2016/218, International Monetary Fund.
    34. Oguzhan Cepni & I. Ethem Guney & Norman R. Swanson, 2020. "Forecasting and nowcasting emerging market GDP growth rates: The role of latent global economic policy uncertainty and macroeconomic data surprise factors," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 39(1), pages 18-36, January.
    35. Ambrogio Cesa-Bianchi & M. Hashem Pesaran & Alessandro Rebucci, 2018. "Uncertainty and Economic Activity: A Multi-Country Perspective," NBER Working Papers 24325, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    36. Wang, Yonglian & Wang, Lijun & Pan, Changchun & Hong, Songzhi, 2022. "Economic policy uncertainty and price pass-through effect of exchange rate in China," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 75(C).
    37. Caballero, Julián & Fernandez, Andres & Park, Jongho, 2016. "On Corporate Borrowing, Credit Spreads and Economic Activity in Emerging Economies: An Empirical Investigation," IDB Publications (Working Papers) 7793, Inter-American Development Bank.
    38. Medel, Carlos A., 2015. "Forecasting Inflation with the Hybrid New Keynesian Phillips Curve: A Compact-Scale Global VAR Approach," MPRA Paper 67081, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    39. Lyu, Yongjian & Yi, Heling & Hu, Yingyi & Yang, Mo, 2021. "Economic uncertainty shocks and China's commodity futures returns: A time-varying perspective," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 70(C).
    40. Jože Damijan & Jozef Konings & Črt Kostevc & Katja Zajc Kejžar, 2022. "Explaining the Low Level of Investment in Slovenia," European Economy - Discussion Papers 169, Directorate General Economic and Financial Affairs (DG ECFIN), European Commission.
    41. Dang, Tam Hoang Nhat & Balli, Faruk & Balli, Hatice Ozer & Gabauer, David & Nguyen, Thi Thu Ha, 2024. "Sectoral uncertainty spillovers in emerging markets: A quantile time–frequency connectedness approach," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 93(PB), pages 121-139.
    42. Liu, Yang & Sheng, Xuguang Simon, 2019. "The measurement and transmission of macroeconomic uncertainty: Evidence from the U.S. and BRIC countries," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 35(3), pages 967-979.
    43. Mr. Yan Carriere-Swallow & Mr. Pragyan Deb & Davide Furceri & Daniel Jimenez & Mr. Jonathan David Ostry, 2022. "Shipping Costs and Inflation," IMF Working Papers 2022/061, International Monetary Fund.
    44. Josué Diwambuena & Jean-Paul K. Tsasa, 2021. "The Real Effects of Uncertainty Shocks: New Evidence from Linear and Nonlinear SVAR Models," BEMPS - Bozen Economics & Management Paper Series BEMPS87, Faculty of Economics and Management at the Free University of Bozen.
    45. Saroj Bhattarai & Arpita Chatterjee & Woong Yong Park, 2019. "Global Spillover Effects of US Uncertainty," Working Paper Series no107, Institute of Economic Research, Seoul National University.
    46. Georgios Georgiadis & Gernot J. Müller & Ben Schumann, 2023. "Global Risk and the Dollar," Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin 2057, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research.
    47. Huang, Yu-Fan & Liao, Wenting & Wang, Taining, 2024. "Does US financial uncertainty spill over through the (asymmetric) international credit channel? The role of market expectations," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 148(C).
    48. Canh Phuc Nguyen & Su Dinh Thanh & Bach Nguyen, 2022. "Economic uncertainty and tourism consumption," Tourism Economics, , vol. 28(4), pages 920-941, June.
    49. Redl, Chris, 2020. "Uncertainty matters: Evidence from close elections," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 124(C).
    50. Marcela De Castro-Valderrama & Santiago Forero-Alvarado & Nicolas Moreno-Arias & Sara Naranjo-Saldarriaga, 2022. "Unravelling the Narratives Behind Macroeconomic Forecasts," IHEID Working Papers 18-2022, Economics Section, The Graduate Institute of International Studies.
    51. Liu, Liping & Xu, Jietian & Li, Jixin, 2024. "The spillover effects of U.S. uncertainties on the systemic tail risk of Chinese enterprises," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
    52. Sebastiao OLIVEIRA & Jay RAFI & Pedro SIMON, 2024. "The Effect of United States Monetary Policy on Foreign Firms: Does Debt Maturity Matter?," Working Papers DP-2024-27, Economic Research Institute for ASEAN and East Asia (ERIA).
    53. Raymond L. Aor & Afees A. Salisu & Isah J. Okpe, 2021. "A Comparative Assessment of the Global Effects of US Monetary and Fiscal Policy Uncertainty Shocks," Advances in Decision Sciences, Asia University, Taiwan, vol. 25(4), pages 89-114, December.
    54. Ricardo J. Caballero & Gunes Kamber, 2019. "On the Global Impact of Risk-off Shocks and Policy-put Frameworks," NBER Working Papers 26031, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    55. Alem, Yonas & Colmer, Jonathan, 2018. "Consumption smoothing and the welfare cost of uncertainty," Ruhr Economic Papers 780, RWI - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, Ruhr-University Bochum, TU Dortmund University, University of Duisburg-Essen.
    56. Pinar Sener & Fatma Didin Sonmez & Elvin Tigrel, 2022. "The impact of economic policy uncertainty on corporate diversification: evidence from Latin american emerging economies," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 42(2), pages 1110-1123.
    57. Isaac Ketu & Paul Ningaye & Anatole Tchounga, 2024. "Industrialization in the face of economic policy uncertainty: cross-country evidence," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 44(2), pages 601-610.
    58. Semih Emre Cekin & Ashis Kumar Pradhan & Aviral Kumar Tiwari & Rangan Gupta, 2018. "Measuring Co-Dependencies of Economic Policy Uncertainty in Latin American Countries using Vine Copulas," Working Papers 201867, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    59. Gustavo Adler & Marie-Louise Djigbenou & Sebastian Sosa, 2016. "Global Financial Shocks and Foreign Asset Repatriation: Do Local Investors Play a Stabilizing Role?," Post-Print hal-03954341, HAL.
    60. Lu, Yunzhi & Li, Jie & Yang, Haisheng, 2023. "Time-varying impacts of monetary policy uncertainty on China's housing market," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 118(C).
    61. Rivolta, Giulia & Trecroci, Carmine, 2020. "Measuring the effects of U.S. uncertainty and monetary conditions on EMEs' macroeconomic dynamics," MPRA Paper 99403, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    62. Kovalenko, Tim, 2021. "Uncertainty shocks and employment fluctuations in Germany: The role of establishment size," Discussion Papers 119, Friedrich-Alexander University Erlangen-Nuremberg, Chair of Labour and Regional Economics.
    63. Gian Paulo Soave, 2023. "A panel threshold VAR with stochastic volatility-in-mean model: an application to the effects of financial and uncertainty shocks in emerging economies," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 55(4), pages 397-431, January.
    64. Sun, Yizhong & Jin, Keyan & Wang, Deyong & Wu, Qingyang & Li, Zhezhou, 2023. "Revisiting the natural resources-financial development nexus in China: The importance of economic policy uncertainty," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 86(PB).
    65. Carrière-Swallow, Yan & Medel, Carlos, 2011. "Incertidumbre Global sobre el Pacífico Sur," Working Papers 2011-016, Banco Central de Reserva del Perú.
    66. Horvath, Jaroslav, 2020. "Macroeconomic disasters and the equity premium puzzle: Are emerging countries riskier?," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 112(C).
    67. Balcilar, Mehmet & Ozdemir, Zeynel Abidin & Ozdemir, Huseyin & Aygun, Gurcan & Wohar, Mark E., 2022. "The macroeconomic impact of economic uncertainty and financial shocks under low and high financial stress," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 63(C).
    68. Hachula, Michael & Hoffmann, Sebastian, 2015. "The output effects of commodity price volatility: Evidence from exporting countries," Discussion Papers 2015/29, Free University Berlin, School of Business & Economics.
    69. Miescu, Mirela S., 2023. "Uncertainty shocks in emerging economies: A global to local approach for identification," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 154(C).
    70. Konstantinos Lagos & Yuan Wang, . "The threshold effects of global economic uncertainty on foreign direct investment," UNCTAD Transnational Corporations Journal, United Nations Conference on Trade and Development.
    71. Tosapol Apaitan & Pongsak Luangaram & Pym Manopimoke, 2020. "Uncertainty and Economic Activity: Does it Matter for Thailand?," PIER Discussion Papers 130, Puey Ungphakorn Institute for Economic Research.
    72. Gustavo Adler & Sebastian Sosa, 2016. "External Factors in Debt Sustainability Analysis: An Application to Latin America?," Journal of Banking and Financial Economics, University of Warsaw, Faculty of Management, vol. 1(5), pages 81-120, June.
    73. Martha Elena Delgado-Rojas & Hernán Rincón-Castro, 2017. "Incertidumbre acerca de la política fiscal y ciclo económico," Borradores de Economia 1008, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
    74. Sangyup Choi & Gabriele Ciminelli & Davide Furceri, 2022. "Is Domestic Uncertainty a Local Pull Factor Driving Foreign Capital Inflows? New Cross-Country Evidence," CAMA Working Papers 2022-64, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
    75. Alem, Yonas & Colmer, Jonathan, 2015. "Consumption smoothing and the welfare cost of uncertainty," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 63816, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    76. Evren Erdogan Cosar & Sayg�n Sahinoz, 2018. "Quantifying Uncertainty and Identifying its Impacts on the Turkish Economy," Working Papers 1806, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey.
    77. Li, Houjian & Li, Yanjiao & Guo, Lili, 2023. "Extreme risk spillover effect and dynamic linkages between uncertainty and commodity markets: A comparison between China and America," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 85(PA).
    78. Gustavo Adler & Mr. Sebastian Sosa, 2013. "External Conditions and Debt Sustainability in Latin America," IMF Working Papers 2013/027, International Monetary Fund.
    79. Liu, Ding & Sun, Weihong & Xu, Liao & Zhang, Xuan, 2023. "Time-frequency relationship between economic policy uncertainty and financial cycle in China: Evidence from wavelet analysis," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
    80. Morikawa, Masayuki, 2016. "Business uncertainty and investment: Evidence from Japanese companies," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 49(C), pages 224-236.
    81. Yildirim, Zekeriya, 2022. "Global financial risk, the risk-taking channel, and monetary policy in emerging markets," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 116(C).
    82. Horvath, Jaroslav & Rothman, Philip, 2021. "Mortgage spreads, asset prices, and business cycles in emerging countries," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 115(C).
    83. Kim, Youngju & Lim, Hyunjoon & Sohn, Wook, 2020. "Which external shock matters in small open economies? Global risk aversion vs. US economic policy uncertainty," Japan and the World Economy, Elsevier, vol. 54(C).
    84. Jiang, Yonghong & Ao, Zhiming & Mo, Bin, 2023. "The risk spillover between China’s economic policy uncertainty and commodity markets: Evidence from frequency spillover and quantile connectedness approaches," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 66(C).
    85. Kevin Larcher & Jaebeom Kim & Youngju Kim, 2019. "Uncertainty shocks and asymmetric dynamics in Korea: a non-linear approach," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 51(6), pages 594-610, February.
    86. Chen, Xiangyu & Tongurai, Jittima, 2023. "Informational linkage and price discovery between China's futures and spot markets: Evidence from the US–China trade dispute," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 55(C).
    87. Kohler, Karsten & Bonizzi, Bruno & Kaltenbrunner, Annina, 2023. "Global financial uncertainty shocks and external monetary vulnerability: The role of dominance, exposure, and history," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 88(C).
    88. Gustavo Adler & Mr. Camilo E Tovar Mora, 2012. "Riding Global Financial Waves: The Economic Impact of Global Financial Shocks on Emerging Market Economies," IMF Working Papers 2012/188, International Monetary Fund.
    89. Valeriu Nalban, 2016. "Sentiment-Driven Asymmetries in Romanian Monetary Policy Transmission," Eastern European Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 54(3), pages 251-270, May.
    90. Scott R. Baker & Nicholas Bloom, 2013. "Does Uncertainty Reduce Growth? Using Disasters as Natural Experiments," NBER Working Papers 19475, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    91. Mauricio Alvarado & Gabriel Rodríguez, 2024. "Time-Varying Effects of Financial Uncertainty Shocks on Macroeconomic Fluctuations in Peru," Documentos de Trabajo / Working Papers 2024-531, Departamento de Economía - Pontificia Universidad Católica del Perú.
    92. Ömer Faruk TAN, 2023. "Is There Any Impact of the World Uncertainty Spillover Index (WUSI) on Firm Investment? Evidence from Turkey," Bingol University Journal of Economics and Administrative Sciences, Bingol University, Faculty of Economics and Administrative Sciences, vol. 7(1), pages 97-108, June.
    93. Graziano Moramarco, 2022. "Measuring Global Macroeconomic Uncertainty and Cross-Country Uncertainty Spillovers," Econometrics, MDPI, vol. 11(1), pages 1-29, December.
    94. Chatterjee, Pratiti, 2024. "Uncertainty shocks, financial frictions, and business cycle asymmetries across countries," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 162(C).
    95. Metiu, Norbert & Prieto, Esteban, 2023. "The macroeconomic effects of inflation uncertainty," Discussion Papers 32/2023, Deutsche Bundesbank.
    96. Tim Kovalenko, 2021. "Uncertainty shocks and employment fluctuations in Germany: the role of establishment size," Working Papers 212, Bavarian Graduate Program in Economics (BGPE).
    97. Prüser, Jan & Schlösser, Alexander, 2017. "The effects of economic policy uncertainty on European economies: Evidence from a TVP-FAVAR," Ruhr Economic Papers 708, RWI - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, Ruhr-University Bochum, TU Dortmund University, University of Duisburg-Essen.
    98. Azzouzi, asmae & Bousselhamia, Ahmed, 2021. "Impact des chocs d'incertitude liés au Covid-19 sur l’économie marocaine [Impact of uncertainty shocks related to the Covid-19 on the Moroccan economy]," MPRA Paper 110398, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    99. Huang, Yisu & Ma, Feng & Bouri, Elie & Huang, Dengshi, 2023. "A comprehensive investigation on the predictive power of economic policy uncertainty from non-U.S. countries for U.S. stock market returns," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 87(C).
    100. Wentao GU & Wanting QI & Yutong WANG & Lixiang LI & Liyan PAN, 2024. "What Causes the Influence of Bank Channel towards Corporate Investment: Liquidity or Economic Policy Uncertainty?," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(3), pages 81-101, October.
    101. Wu, Ping, 2024. "Should I open to forecast? Implications from a multi-country unobserved components model with sparse factor stochastic volatility," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 40(3), pages 903-917.
    102. Antonio Focacci & Angelo Focacci & Alessandro Faenza, 2024. "The lens of the quantity theory of money to disentangle the perceived relationship between money growth and inflation: a PSVAR approach," Eurasian Economic Review, Springer;Eurasia Business and Economics Society, vol. 14(3), pages 571-595, September.
    103. Caballero, Julián & Fernández, Andrés, 2017. "On corporate borrowing, credit spreads and economic activity in emerging economies: An empirical investigation," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 31/2017, Bank of Finland.

  16. Yan Carrière–Swallow & Carlos Medel, 2011. "Incertidumbre Global sobre la Economía Chilena," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 647, Central Bank of Chile.

    Cited by:

    1. Luis Ceballos S. & Mario González F., 2012. "Indicador de Condiciones Económicas," Notas de Investigación Journal Economía Chilena (The Chilean Economy), Central Bank of Chile, vol. 15(1), pages 105-117, April.
    2. Carrière-Swallow, Yan & Medel, Carlos, 2011. "Incertidumbre Global sobre el Pacífico Sur," Working Papers 2011-016, Banco Central de Reserva del Perú.
    3. Carrière-Swallow, Yan & Céspedes, Luis Felipe, 2013. "The impact of uncertainty shocks in emerging economies," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 90(2), pages 316-325.

  17. Yan Carrière-Swallow & Felipe Labbé, 2010. "Nowcasting With Google Trends in an Emerging Market," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 588, Central Bank of Chile.

    Cited by:

    1. Askitas, Nikos & Zimmermann, Klaus F., 2015. "The Internet as a Data Source for Advancement in Social Sciences," IZA Discussion Papers 8899, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
    2. Hasanzadeh, Samira & Alishahi, Modjgan, 2020. "COVID-19 Pounds: Quarantine and Weight Gain," MPRA Paper 103074, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    3. Fantazzini, Dean & Toktamysova, Zhamal, 2015. "Forecasting German Car Sales Using Google Data and Multivariate Models," MPRA Paper 67110, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    4. Jian Mou & Wenting Liu & Chong Guan & J. Christopher Westland & Jongki Kim, 2024. "Predicting the cryptocurrency market using social media metrics and search trends during COVID-19," Electronic Commerce Research, Springer, vol. 24(2), pages 1307-1333, June.
    5. Laurent Ferrara & Anna Simoni, 2019. "When are Google data useful to nowcast GDP? An approach via pre-selection and shrinkage," Working Papers 2019-04, Center for Research in Economics and Statistics.
    6. Karaman Örsal, Deniz Dilan, 2021. "Onlinedaten und Konsumentscheidungen: Voraussagen anhand von Daten aus Social Media und Suchmaschinen," Edition HWWI: Chapters, in: Straubhaar, Thomas (ed.), Neuvermessung der Datenökonomie, volume 6, pages 157-172, Hamburg Institute of International Economics (HWWI).
    7. Rafael R. S. Guimaraes, 2022. "Deep Learning Macroeconomics," Papers 2201.13380, arXiv.org.
    8. Correa, Alexander, 2021. "Prediciendo la llegada de turistas a Colombia a partir de los criterios de Google Trends," Revista Lecturas de Economía, Universidad de Antioquia, CIE, issue No. 95, pages 105-134, July.
    9. Li, Xin & Ma, Jian & Wang, Shouyang & Zhang, Xun, 2015. "How does Google search affect trader positions and crude oil prices?," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 49(C), pages 162-171.
    10. Olivier Gergaud & Victor Ginsburgh, 2016. "Evaluating the Economic Effects of Cultural Events," Working Papers ECARES ECARES 2016-24, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
    11. Gantiah Wuryandani & Indri Mardiani, 2015. "Surveys as leading information to support central bank policy formulation: the case of Indonesia," IFC Bulletins chapters, in: Bank for International Settlements (ed.), Indicators to support monetary and financial stability analysis: data sources and statistical methodologies, volume 39, Bank for International Settlements.
    12. Steven L. Scott & Hal R. Varian, 2015. "Bayesian Variable Selection for Nowcasting Economic Time Series," NBER Chapters, in: Economic Analysis of the Digital Economy, pages 119-135, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    13. Cebrián, Eduardo & Domenech, Josep, 2024. "Addressing Google Trends inconsistencies," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 202(C).
    14. Kevin Caves & Ted Tatos & Augustus Urschel, 2022. "Are the Lowest-Paid UFC Fighters Really Overpaid? A Comment on Gift (2019)," Journal of Sports Economics, , vol. 23(3), pages 355-365, April.
    15. Havranek, Tomas & Zeynalov, Ayaz, 2018. "Forecasting Tourist Arrivals with Google Trends and Mixed Frequency Data," EconStor Preprints 187420, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics.
    16. Havranek, Tomas & Zeynalov, Ayaz, 2018. "Forecasting Tourist Arrivals: Google Trends Meets Mixed Frequency Data," MPRA Paper 90205, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    17. Bantis, Evripidis & Clements, Michael P. & Urquhart, Andrew, 2023. "Forecasting GDP growth rates in the United States and Brazil using Google Trends," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 39(4), pages 1909-1924.
    18. Paul Gift, 2020. "Moving the Needle in MMA: On the Marginal Revenue Product of UFC Fighters," Journal of Sports Economics, , vol. 21(2), pages 176-209, February.
    19. Jiam Song & Kwangmin Jung & Jonghun Kam, 2023. "Evidence of the time-varying impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic on online search activities relating to shopping products in South Korea," Palgrave Communications, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 10(1), pages 1-12, December.
    20. Eric W. K. See-To & Eric W. T. Ngai, 2018. "Customer reviews for demand distribution and sales nowcasting: a big data approach," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 270(1), pages 415-431, November.
    21. Drachal, Krzysztof, 2018. "Comparison between Bayesian and information-theoretic model averaging: Fossil fuels prices example," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 74(C), pages 208-251.
    22. Papadamou, Stephanos & Fassas, Athanasios P. & Kenourgios, Dimitris & Dimitriou, Dimitrios, 2023. "Effects of the first wave of COVID-19 pandemic on implied stock market volatility: International evidence using a google trend measure," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 28(C).
    23. Zeynalov, Ayaz, 2014. "Nowcasting Tourist Arrivals to Prague: Google Econometrics," MPRA Paper 60945, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    24. Kohns, David & Bhattacharjee, Arnab, 2023. "Nowcasting growth using Google Trends data: A Bayesian Structural Time Series model," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 39(3), pages 1384-1412.
    25. Zeynalov, Ayaz, 2017. "Forecasting Tourist Arrivals in Prague: Google Econometrics," MPRA Paper 83268, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    26. Dimitrios Anastasiou & Konstantinos Drakos, 2021. "Nowcasting the Greek (semi‐) deposit run: Hidden uncertainty about the future currency in a Google search," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(1), pages 1133-1150, January.
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    30. Zhao, Lu-Tao & Zheng, Zhi-Yi & Wei, Yi-Ming, 2023. "Forecasting oil inventory changes with Google trends: A hybrid wavelet decomposer and ARDL-SVR ensemble model," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 120(C).

Articles

  1. Yan Carrière-Swallow & José Marzluf, 2023. "Macrofinancial Causes of Optimism in Growth Forecasts," IMF Economic Review, Palgrave Macmillan;International Monetary Fund, vol. 71(2), pages 509-537, June.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  2. Carrière-Swallow, Yan & Deb, Pragyan & Furceri, Davide & Jiménez, Daniel & Ostry, Jonathan D., 2023. "Shipping costs and inflation," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 130(C).
    See citations under working paper version above.
  3. Yan Carrière‐Swallow & Nicolás E. Magud & Juan F. Yépez, 2021. "Exchange rate flexibility, the real exchange rate, and adjustment to terms‐of‐trade shocks," Review of International Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 29(2), pages 439-483, May.

    Cited by:

    1. Miguel Lebre de Freitas, 2023. "Forecasting inflation with excess liquidity and excess depreciation: the case of Angola," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 56(1), pages 473-514, February.

  4. Yan Carrière-Swallow & Bertrand Gruss & Nicolas E. Magud & Fabián Valencia, 2021. "Monetary Policy Credibility and Exchange Rate Pass-Through," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 17(3), pages 61-94, September.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  5. Yan Carrière‐Swallow & Antonio C. David & Daniel Leigh, 2021. "Macroeconomic Effects of Fiscal Consolidation in Emerging Economies: New Narrative Evidence from Latin America and the Caribbean," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 53(6), pages 1313-1335, September.

    Cited by:

    1. Lorenzo Carbonari & Alessio Farcomeni & Filippo Maurici & Giovanni Trovato, 2023. "On the output effect of fiscal consolidation plans: a causal analysis," Working Paper series 23-18, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis.
    2. Mr. Yan Carriere-Swallow & José Marzluf, 2021. "Macrofinancial Causes of Optimism in Growth Forecasts," IMF Working Papers 2021/275, International Monetary Fund.
    3. Emilio Colombo & Davide Furceri & Pietro Pizzuto & Patrizio Tirelli, 2022. "Fiscal Multipliers and Informality," DISEIS - Quaderni del Dipartimento di Economia internazionale, delle istituzioni e dello sviluppo dis2201, Università Cattolica del Sacro Cuore, Dipartimento di Economia internazionale, delle istituzioni e dello sviluppo (DISEIS).
    4. Magud, Nicolas E. & Pienknagura, Samuel, 2024. "The return of expansionary austerity: Firms' investment response to fiscal adjustments in emerging markets," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 143(C).
    5. Dabla-Norris, Era & Lima, Frederico, 2023. "Macroeconomic effects of tax rate and base changes: Evidence from fiscal consolidations," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 153(C).
    6. Vybhavi Balasundharam & Olivier Basdevant & Dalmacio Benicio & Andrew Ceber & Yujin Kim & Luca Mazzone & Hoda Selim & Yongzheng Yang, 2023. "Fiscal Consolidation: Taking Stock of Success Factors, Impact, and Design," IMF Working Papers 2023/063, International Monetary Fund.
    7. Markus Brueckner, 2024. "Action-Based Fiscal Consolidations and Economic Growth," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 17(5), pages 1-27, May.
    8. Carmignani, Fabrizio, 2022. "The electoral fiscal multiplier," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 938-945.
    9. David, Antonio C. & Guajardo, Jaime & Yepez, Juan F., 2022. "The rewards of fiscal consolidations: Sovereign spreads and confidence effects," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 123(C).
    10. Dante Cardoso & Laura Carvalho, 2022. "Effects of fiscal consolidation on income inequality: narrative evidence from South America," Working Papers, Department of Economics 2022_15, University of São Paulo (FEA-USP).
    11. Woldu, Gabriel Temesgen & Szakálné Kanó, Izabella, 2023. "Macroeconomic effects of fiscal consolidation on economic activity in SSA countries," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 28(C).
    12. Colombo, Emilio & Furceri, Davide & Pizzuto, Pietro & Tirelli, Patrizio, 2024. "Public expenditure multipliers and informality," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 164(C).
    13. Jorge Pablo Puig & Martin Ardanaz & Eduardo Cavallo & Alejandro Izquierdo, 2021. "Output effects of fiscal consolidations: does spending composition matter?," Asociación Argentina de Economía Política: Working Papers 4507, Asociación Argentina de Economía Política.

  6. Yan Carrière‐Swallow & Felipe Labbé, 2013. "Nowcasting with Google Trends in an Emerging Market," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 32(4), pages 289-298, July.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  7. Carrière-Swallow, Yan & Céspedes, Luis Felipe, 2013. "The impact of uncertainty shocks in emerging economies," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 90(2), pages 316-325.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  8. Yan Carrière-Swallow & Carlos A. Medel V., 2011. "Incertidumbre Externa sobre la Economía Chilena," Notas de Investigación Journal Economía Chilena (The Chilean Economy), Central Bank of Chile, vol. 14(3), pages 75-82, December.
    See citations under working paper version above.
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