Unravelling the Narratives Behind Macroeconomic Forecasts
Author
Abstract
Suggested Citation
Download full text from publisher
References listed on IDEAS
- Susanto Basu & Brent Bundick, 2017.
"Uncertainty Shocks in a Model of Effective Demand,"
Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 85, pages 937-958, May.
- Susanto Basu & Brent Bundick, 2011. "Uncertainty Shocks in a Model of Effective Demand," Boston College Working Papers in Economics 774, Boston College Department of Economics, revised 01 Nov 2015.
- Susanto Basu & Brent Bundick, 2012. "Uncertainty shocks in a model of effective demand," Working Papers 12-15, Federal Reserve Bank of Boston.
- Susanto Basu & Brent Bundick, 2012. "Uncertainty Shocks in a Model of Effective Demand," NBER Working Papers 18420, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Susanto Basu & Brent Bundick, 2014. "Uncertainty shocks in a model of effective demand," Research Working Paper RWP 14-15, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City.
- Jesus Fernandez-Villaverde & Pablo Guerron-Quintana & Juan F. Rubio-Ramirez & Martin Uribe, 2011.
"Risk Matters: The Real Effects of Volatility Shocks,"
American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 101(6), pages 2530-2561, October.
- Pablo A. Guerron-Quintana & Martin Uribe & Juan Rubio-Ramirez & Jesús Fernández-Villaverde, 2009. "Risk Matters: The Real E¤ects of Volatility Shocks," 2009 Meeting Papers 237, Society for Economic Dynamics.
- Jesús Fernández-Villaverde & Pablo A. Guerrón-Quintana & Juan Rubio-Ramírez & Martín Uribe, 2009. "Risk Matters: The Real Effects of Volatility Shocks," NBER Working Papers 14875, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Uribe, MartÃn & Rubio-RamÃrez, Juan Francisco & Fernández-Villaverde, Jesús & Guerron-Quintana, Pablo A., 2009. "Risk Matters: The Real Effects of Volatility Shocks," CEPR Discussion Papers 7264, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Pablo Guerron & Martin Uribe & Juan Rubio-Ramirez & Jesus Fernandez-Villaverde, 2010. "Risk Matters: The Real Effects of Volatility Shocks," 2010 Meeting Papers 281, Society for Economic Dynamics.
- Jesus Fernandez-Villaverde & Pablo Guerron-Quintana & Juan F. Rubio-RamÃrez & Martin Uribe, 2009. "Risk Matters: The Real Effects of Volatility Shocks," PIER Working Paper Archive 09-013, Penn Institute for Economic Research, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania.
- Alan S. Blinder & Michael Ehrmann & Marcel Fratzscher & Jakob De Haan & David-Jan Jansen, 2008.
"Central Bank Communication and Monetary Policy: A Survey of Theory and Evidence,"
Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 46(4), pages 910-945, December.
- Blinder, Alan S. & Ehrmann, Michael & Fratzscher, Marcel & de Haan, Jakob & Jansen, David-Jan, 2008. "Central Bank communication and monetary policy: a survey of theory and evidence," Working Paper Series 898, European Central Bank.
- Alan S. Blinder & Michael Ehrmann & Marcel Fratzscher & Jakob de Haan & David-Jan Jansen, 2008. "Central Bank Communication and Monetary Policy: A Survey of Theory and Evidence," DNB Working Papers 170, Netherlands Central Bank, Research Department.
- Alan S. Blinder & Michael Ehrmann & Marcel Fratzscher & Jakob De Haan & David-Jan Jansen, 2008. "Central Bank Communication and Monetary Policy: A Survey of Theory and Evidence," Working Papers 1038, Princeton University, Department of Economics, Center for Economic Policy Studies..
- Alan S. Blinder & Michael Ehrmann & Marcel Fratzscher & Jakob De Haan & David-Jan Jansen, 2008. "Central Bank Communication and Monetary Policy: A Survey of Theory and Evidence," NBER Working Papers 13932, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Alan S. Blinder & Michael Ehrmann & Marcel Fratzscher & Jakob De Haan & David-Jan Jansen, 2008. "Central Bank Communication and Monetary Policy: A Survey of Theory and Evidence," Working Papers 2008-2, Princeton University. Economics Department..
- Alessandri, Piergiorgio & Mumtaz, Haroon, 2019.
"Financial regimes and uncertainty shocks,"
Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 101(C), pages 31-46.
- Piergiorgio Alessandri & Haroon Mumtaz, 2014. "Financial regimes and uncertainty shocks," BCAM Working Papers 1404, Birkbeck Centre for Applied Macroeconomics.
- Piergiorgio Alessandri & Haroon Mumtaz, 2014. "Financial Regimes and Uncertainty Shocks," Working Papers 729, Queen Mary University of London, School of Economics and Finance.
- Mark Gertler & Jordi Gali & Richard Clarida, 1999.
"The Science of Monetary Policy: A New Keynesian Perspective,"
Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 37(4), pages 1661-1707, December.
- Richard Clarida & Jordi Galí & Mark Gertler, 1997. "The science of monetary policy: A new Keynesian perspective," Economics Working Papers 356, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra, revised Apr 1999.
- Clarida, Richard & Galí, Jordi & Gertler, Mark, 1999. "The Science of Monetary Policy: A New Keynesian Perspective," CEPR Discussion Papers 2139, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Richard Clarida & Jordi Gali & Mark Gertler, 1999. "The Science of Monetary Policy: A New Keynesian Perspective," NBER Working Papers 7147, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Bekaert, Geert & Hoerova, Marie & Lo Duca, Marco, 2013.
"Risk, uncertainty and monetary policy,"
Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 60(7), pages 771-788.
- Geert Bekaert & Marie Hoerova, 2010. "Risk, uncertainty and monetary policy," Research Bulletin, European Central Bank, vol. 10, pages 11-13.
- Bekaert, Geert & Lo Duca, Marco & Hoerova, Marie, 2010. "Risk, Uncertainty and Monetary Policy," CEPR Discussion Papers 8154, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Geert Bekaert & Marie Hoerova & Marco Lo Duca, 2012. "Risk, uncertainty and monetary policy," Working Paper Research 229, National Bank of Belgium.
- Lo Duca, Marco & Hoerova, Marie & Bekaert, Geert, 2013. "Risk, uncertainty and monetary policy," Working Paper Series 1565, European Central Bank.
- Geert Bekaert & Marie Hoerova & Marco Lo Duca, 2010. "Risk, Uncertainty and Monetary Policy," NBER Working Papers 16397, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Efrem Castelnuovo & Guay Lim & Giovanni Pellegrino, 2017. "A Short Review of the Recent Literature on Uncertainty," Australian Economic Review, The University of Melbourne, Melbourne Institute of Applied Economic and Social Research, vol. 50(1), pages 68-78, March.
- Scott R. Baker & Nicholas Bloom & Steven J. Davis & Stephen J. Terry, 2020. "COVID-Induced Economic Uncertainty," NBER Working Papers 26983, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Emi Nakamura & Jón Steinsson, 2018.
"High-Frequency Identification of Monetary Non-Neutrality: The Information Effect,"
The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 133(3), pages 1283-1330.
- Emi Nakamura & Jón Steinsson, 2013. "High Frequency Identification of Monetary Non-Neutrality: The Information Effect," NBER Working Papers 19260, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Woodford, Michael, 2010.
"Optimal Monetary Stabilization Policy,"
Handbook of Monetary Economics, in: Benjamin M. Friedman & Michael Woodford (ed.), Handbook of Monetary Economics, edition 1, volume 3, chapter 14, pages 723-828,
Elsevier.
- Michael Woodford, 2010. "Optimal Monetary Stabilization Policy," NBER Working Papers 16095, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Justiniano, Alejandro & Preston, Bruce, 2010.
"Can structural small open-economy models account for the influence of foreign disturbances?,"
Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 81(1), pages 61-74, May.
- Alejandro Justiniano & Bruce Preston, 2006. "Can Structural Small Open Economy Models Account for the Influence of Foreign Disturbances?," 2006 Meeting Papers 479, Society for Economic Dynamics.
- Alejandro Justiniano & Bruce Preston, 2009. "Can structural small open economy models account for the influence of foreign disturbances?," Working Paper Series WP-09-19, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago.
- Alejandro Justiniano & Bruce Preston, 2008. "Can Structural Small Open Economy Models Account for the Influence of Foreign Disturbances?," NBER Working Papers 14547, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Alejandro Justiniano & Bruce Preston, 2006. "Can Structural Small Open Economy Models Account For The Influence Of Foreign Disturbances?," CAMA Working Papers 2006-12, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Michael Weber & Francesco D'Acunto & Yuriy Gorodnichenko & Olivier Coibion, 2022.
"The Subjective Inflation Expectations of Households and Firms: Measurement, Determinants, and Implications,"
Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 36(3), pages 157-184, Summer.
- Weber, Michael & D’Acunto, Francesco & Gorodnichenko, Yuriy & Coibion, Olivier, 2022. "The Subjective Inflation Expectations of Households and Firms: Measurement, Determinants, and Implications," IZA Discussion Papers 15391, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
- Weber, Michael & D'Acunto, Francesco & Gorodnichenko, Yuriy & Coibion, Olivier, 2022. "The Subjective Inflation Expectations of Households and Firms: Measurement, Determinants, and Implications," CEPR Discussion Papers 17406, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Michael Weber & Francesco D’Acunto & Yuriy Gorodnichenko & Olivier Coibion, 2022. "The Subjective Inflation Expectations of Households and Firms: Measurement, Determinants, and Implications," NBER Working Papers 30046, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Marek Jarociński & Peter Karadi, 2020.
"Deconstructing Monetary Policy Surprises—The Role of Information Shocks,"
American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, American Economic Association, vol. 12(2), pages 1-43, April.
- Karadi, Peter & Jarocinski, Marek, 2018. "Deconstructing Monetary Policy Surprises - The Role of Information Shocks," CEPR Discussion Papers 12765, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Jarociński, Marek & Karadi, Peter, 2018. "Deconstructing monetary policy surprises: the role of information shocks," Working Paper Series 2133, European Central Bank.
- repec:ulb:ulbeco:2013/13388 is not listed on IDEAS
- Domenico Giannone & Michele Lenza & Giorgio E. Primiceri, 2015.
"Prior Selection for Vector Autoregressions,"
The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 97(2), pages 436-451, May.
- Domenico Giannone & Michele Lenza & Giorgio E. Primiceri, 2012. "Prior Selection for Vector Autoregressions," NBER Working Papers 18467, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Giannone, Domenico & Lenza, Michele & Primiceri, Giorgio, 2012. "Prior Selection for Vector Autoregressions," CEPR Discussion Papers 8755, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Giannone, Domenico & Lenza, Michele & Primiceri, Giorgio E., 2012. "Prior selection for vector autoregressions," Working Paper Series 1494, European Central Bank.
- Domenico Giannone & Michèle Lenza & Giorgio E. Primiceri, 2012. "Prior Selection for Vector Autoregressions," Working Papers ECARES ECARES 2012-002, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
- Sims, Christopher A & Zha, Tao, 1998.
"Bayesian Methods for Dynamic Multivariate Models,"
International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 39(4), pages 949-968, November.
- Christopher A. Sims & Tao Zha, 1996. "Bayesian methods for dynamic multivariate models," FRB Atlanta Working Paper 96-13, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta.
- Marta Banbura & Domenico Giannone & Lucrezia Reichlin, 2010.
"Large Bayesian vector auto regressions,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 25(1), pages 71-92.
- Reichlin, Lucrezia & Giannone, Domenico & Banbura, Marta, 2007. "Bayesian VARs with Large Panels," CEPR Discussion Papers 6326, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Martha Banbura & Domenico Giannone & Lucrezia Reichlin, 2008. "Large Bayesian VARs," Working Papers ECARES 2008_033, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
- Marta Bańbura, 2008. "Large Bayesian VARs," 2008 Meeting Papers 334, Society for Economic Dynamics.
- Julian Kozlowski & Laura Veldkamp & Venky Venkateswaran, 2020.
"The Tail That Wags the Economy: Beliefs and Persistent Stagnation,"
Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 128(8), pages 2839-2879.
- Julian Kozlowski & Laura Veldkamp & Venky Venkateswaran, 2015. "The Tail that Wags the Economy: Beliefs and Persistent Stagnation," NBER Working Papers 21719, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Julian Kozlowski & Laura Veldkamp & Venky Venkateswaran, 2019. "The Tail that Wags the Economy: Beliefs and Persistent Stagnation," Working Papers 2019-6, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.
- Veldkamp, Laura & Venkateswaran, Venky, 2018. "The Tail that Wags the Economy: Beliefs and Persistent Stagnation," CEPR Discussion Papers 11352, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Olivier Coibion & Yuriy Gorodnichenko & Rupal Kamdar, 2018.
"The Formation of Expectations, Inflation, and the Phillips Curve,"
Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 56(4), pages 1447-1491, December.
- Olivier Coibion & Yuriy Gorodnichenko & Rupal Kamdar, 2017. "The Formation of Expectations, Inflation and the Phillips Curve," NBER Working Papers 23304, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Domenico Giannone & Michele Lenza & Giorgio E. Primiceri, 2019.
"Priors for the Long Run,"
Journal of the American Statistical Association, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 114(526), pages 565-580, April.
- Primiceri, Giorgio & Giannone, Domenico & Lenza, Michele, 2016. "Priors for the Long Run," CEPR Discussion Papers 11261, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Giannone, Domenico & Lenza, Michele & Primiceri, Giorgio E., 2018. "Priors for the long run," Working Paper Series 2132, European Central Bank.
- Domenico Giannone & Michele Lenza & Giorgio E. Primiceri, 2017. "Priors for the long run," Staff Reports 832, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
- Alan S. Blinder & Michael Ehrmann & Marcel Fratzscher & Jakob De Haan & David-Jan Jansen, 2008.
"Central Bank Communication and Monetary Policy: A Survey of Theory and Evidence,"
Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 46(4), pages 910-945, December.
- Alan S. Blinder & Michael Ehrmann & Marcel Fratzscher & Jakob de Haan & David-Jan Jansen, 2008. "Central Bank Communication and Monetary Policy: A Survey of Theory and Evidence," DNB Working Papers 170, Netherlands Central Bank, Research Department.
- Alan S. Blinder & Michael Ehrmann & Marcel Fratzscher & Jakob De Haan & David-Jan Jansen, 2008. "Central Bank Communication and Monetary Policy: A Survey of Theory and Evidence," Working Papers 1038, Princeton University, Department of Economics, Center for Economic Policy Studies..
- Alan S. Blinder & Michael Ehrmann & Marcel Fratzscher & Jakob De Haan & David-Jan Jansen, 2008. "Central Bank Communication and Monetary Policy: A Survey of Theory and Evidence," NBER Working Papers 13932, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Blinder, Alan S. & Ehrmann, Michael & Fratzscher, Marcel & de Haan, Jakob & Jansen, David-Jan, 2008. "Central Bank communication and monetary policy: a survey of theory and evidence," Working Paper Series 898, European Central Bank.
- Refet S Gürkaynak & Brian Sack & Eric Swanson, 2005.
"Do Actions Speak Louder Than Words? The Response of Asset Prices to Monetary Policy Actions and Statements,"
International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 1(1), May.
- Refet S. Gürkaynak & Brian P. Sack & Eric T. Swanson, 2004. "Do actions speak louder than words? the response of asset prices to monetary policy actions and statements," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2004-66, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Refet Gurkaynak & Brian Sack & Eric Swanson, 2005. "Do Actions Speak Louder than Words? The Response of Asset Prices to Monetary Policy Actions and Statements," Macroeconomics 0504013, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Gurkaynak, Refet S & Sack, Brian & Swanson, Eric T, 2005. "Do Actions Speak Louder Than Words? The Response of Asset Prices to Monetary Policy Actions and Statements," MPRA Paper 820, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Refet Gürkaynak & Brian Sack, 2005. "Do Actions Speak Louder Than Words?The Response of Asset Prices to Monetary Policy Actions and Statements," Computing in Economics and Finance 2005 323, Society for Computational Economics.
- Olivier Coibion & Yuriy Gorodnichenko & Michael Weber, 2022.
"Monetary Policy Communications and Their Effects on Household Inflation Expectations,"
Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 130(6), pages 1537-1584.
- Olivier Coibion & Yuriy Gorodnichenko & Michael Weber & Michael Weber, 2019. "Monetary Policy Communications and their Effects on Household Inflation Expectations," CESifo Working Paper Series 7464, CESifo.
- Olivier Coibion & Yuriy Gorodnichenko & Michael Weber, 2019. "Monetary Policy Communications and their Effects on Household Inflation Expectations," NBER Working Papers 25482, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Veronica Guerrieri & Guido Lorenzoni & Ludwig Straub & Iván Werning, 2022.
"Macroeconomic Implications of COVID-19: Can Negative Supply Shocks Cause Demand Shortages?,"
American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 112(5), pages 1437-1474, May.
- Veronica Guerrieri & Guido Lorenzoni & Ludwig Straub & Iván Werning, 2020. "Macroeconomic Implications of COVID-19: Can Negative Supply Shocks Cause Demand Shortages?," NBER Working Papers 26918, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Veronica Guerrieri & Guido Lorenzoni & Ludwig Straub & Iván Werning, 2020. "Macroeconomic Implications of COVID-19: Can Negative Supply Shocks Cause Demand Shortages?," Working Papers 2020-35, Becker Friedman Institute for Research In Economics.
- repec:pri:cepsud:161blinder is not listed on IDEAS
- Ramey, V.A., 2016.
"Macroeconomic Shocks and Their Propagation,"
Handbook of Macroeconomics, in: J. B. Taylor & Harald Uhlig (ed.), Handbook of Macroeconomics, edition 1, volume 2, chapter 0, pages 71-162,
Elsevier.
- Valerie A. Ramey, 2016. "Macroeconomic Shocks and Their Propagation," NBER Working Papers 21978, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Ramey, VA, 2016. "Macroeconomic Shocks and Their Propagation," University of California at San Diego, Economics Working Paper Series qt5mb353t2, Department of Economics, UC San Diego.
- Andres Gonzalez & Alexander Guarin & Diego A. Rodriguez-Guzman & Hernando Vargas-Herrera, 2020.
"4GM: A New Model for the Monetary Policy Analysis in Colombia,"
Borradores de Economia
1106, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
- González-Gómez, Andrés & Guarín-López, Alexander & Rodríguez, Diego & Vargas-Herrera, Hernando, 2020. "4GM: A New Model for the Monetary Policy Analysis in Colombia," Working papers 31, Red Investigadores de Economía.
- Marek Jarocinski & Peter Karadi, 2017.
"Central Bank Information Shocks,"
2017 Meeting Papers
1193, Society for Economic Dynamics.
- Jarociński, Marek & Karadi, Peter, 2018. "Deconstructing monetary policy surprises: the role of information shocks," Working Paper Series 2133, European Central Bank.
- Karadi, Peter & Jarocinski, Marek, 2018. "Deconstructing Monetary Policy Surprises - The Role of Information Shocks," CEPR Discussion Papers 12765, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Ravenna, Federico & Walsh, Carl E., 2006. "Optimal monetary policy with the cost channel," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 53(2), pages 199-216, March.
- Lamla, Michael J. & Vinogradov, Dmitri V., 2019.
"Central bank announcements: Big news for little people?,"
Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 108(C), pages 21-38.
- Lamla, Michael J & Vinogradov, Dmitri V, 2019. "Central Bank Announcements: Big News for Little People?," Essex Finance Centre Working Papers 25125, University of Essex, Essex Business School.
- Coibion, Olivier & Gorodnichenko, Yuriy & Kumar, Saten & Pedemonte, Mathieu, 2020.
"Inflation expectations as a policy tool?,"
Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 124(C).
- Olivier Coibion & Yuriy Gorodnichenko & Saten Kumar & Mathieu Pedemonte, 2019. "Inflation Expectations as a Policy Tool?," NBER Chapters, in: NBER International Seminar on Macroeconomics 2019, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Olivier Coibion & Yuriy Gorodnichenko & Saten Kumar & Mathieu Pedemonte, 2018. "Inflation Expectations as a Policy Tool?," NBER Working Papers 24788, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Olivier Coibion & Yuriy Gorodnichenko & Saten Kumar & Mathieu Pedemonte, 2018. "Inflation Expectations as a Policy Tool?," Working Papers 2019-06, Auckland University of Technology, Department of Economics.
- Marta Banbura & Domenico Giannone & Lucrezia Reichlin, 2010.
"Large Bayesian vector auto regressions,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 25(1), pages 71-92.
- Marta Bańbura & Domenico Giannone & Lucrezia Reichlin, 2010. "Large Bayesian vector auto regressions," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 25(1), pages 71-92, January.
- Robert B. Litterman, 1979. "Techniques of forecasting using vector autoregressions," Working Papers 115, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis.
- Aastveit, Knut Are & Natvik, Gisle James & Sola, Sergio, 2017. "Economic uncertainty and the influence of monetary policy," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 50-67.
- Michal Andrle & Mr. Andrew Berg & Rogelio Morales & Mr. Rafael A Portillo & Mr. Jan Vlcek, 2013. "Forecasting and Monetary Policy Analysis in Low-Income Countries: Food and non-Food Inflation in Kenya," IMF Working Papers 2013/061, International Monetary Fund.
- Stefano Eusepi & Bruce Preston, 2010.
"Central Bank Communication and Expectations Stabilization,"
American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, American Economic Association, vol. 2(3), pages 235-271, July.
- Stefano Eusepi & Bruce Preston, 2007. "Central bank communication and expectations stabilization," Proceedings, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue March, pages 1-43.
- Stefano Eusepi & Bruce Preston, 2007. "Central Bank Communication and Expectations Stabilization," NBER Working Papers 13259, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Carrière-Swallow, Yan & Céspedes, Luis Felipe, 2013.
"The impact of uncertainty shocks in emerging economies,"
Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 90(2), pages 316-325.
- Yan Carrière–Swallow & Luis Felipe Céspedes, 2011. "The Impact of Uncertainty Shocks in Emerging Economies," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 646, Central Bank of Chile.
- Stanisławska, Ewa & Paloviita, Maritta & Łyziak, Tomasz, 2021. "Consumer inflation views: Micro-level inconsistencies and macro-level measures," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 206(C).
- Benjamin M. Friedman & Michael Woodford (ed.), 2010. "Handbook of Monetary Economics," Handbook of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, edition 1, volume 3, number 3.
- Kozeniauskas, Nicholas & Orlik, Anna & Veldkamp, Laura, 2018. "What are uncertainty shocks?," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 100(C), pages 1-15.
- Javier G. Gómez-Pineda, 2020. "The depth, length and shape of the covid-19 recession conveyed in 2020 growth forecasts," Borradores de Economia 1123, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
- Kadiyala, K Rao & Karlsson, Sune, 1997.
"Numerical Methods for Estimation and Inference in Bayesian VAR-Models,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 12(2), pages 99-132, March-Apr.
- Kadiyala, K. Rao & Karlsson, Sune, 1994. "Numerical Aspects of Bayesian VAR-modeling," SSE/EFI Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance 12, Stockholm School of Economics.
Most related items
These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.- Kaminska, Iryna & Mumtaz, Haroon & Šustek, Roman, 2021.
"Monetary policy surprises and their transmission through term premia and expected interest rates,"
Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 124(C), pages 48-65.
- Iryna Kaminska & Haroon Mumtaz & Roman Sustek, 2020. "Monetary policy surprises and their transmission through term premia and expected interest rates," Working Papers 917, Queen Mary University of London, School of Economics and Finance.
- Kaminska, Iryna & Mumtaz, Haroon & Sustek, Roman, 2021. "Monetary policy surprises and their transmission through term premia and expected interest rates," Bank of England working papers 914, Bank of England, revised 28 Apr 2021.
- Iryna Kaminska & Haroon Mumtaz & Roman Sustek, 2020. "Monetary policy surprises and their transmission through term premia and expected interest rates," Discussion Papers 2024, Centre for Macroeconomics (CFM).
- Geiger, Martin & Gründler, Daniel & Scharler, Johann, 2023. "Monetary policy shocks and consumer expectations in the euro area," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 140(C).
- Daniel J. Lewis & Christos Makridis & Karel Mertens, 2019.
"Do Monetary Policy Announcements Shift Household Expectations?,"
Working Papers
1906, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, revised 17 Jan 2020.
- Daniel J. Lewis & Christos Makridis & Karel Mertens, 2019. "Do Monetary Policy Announcements Shift Household Expectations?," Staff Reports 897, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
- Mertens, Karel & Lewis, Daniel & Makridis, Christos, 2020. "Do Monetary Policy Announcements Shift Household Expectations?," CEPR Discussion Papers 14360, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Saskia Ter Ellen & Vegard H. Larsen & Leif Anders Thorsrud, 2022.
"Narrative Monetary Policy Surprises and the Media,"
Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 54(5), pages 1525-1549, August.
- Saskia ter Ellen & Vegard H. Larsen & Leif Anders Thorsrud, 2019. "Narrative monetary policy surprises and the media," Working Papers No 06/2019, Centre for Applied Macro- and Petroleum economics (CAMP), BI Norwegian Business School.
- ter Ellen, Saskia & Larsen, Vegard H. & Thorsrud, Leif Anders, 2019. "Narrative monetary policy surprises and the media," Working Paper 2019/19, Norges Bank.
- Karau, Sören, 2024. "Relative monetary policy and exchange rates," Discussion Papers 40/2024, Deutsche Bundesbank.
- Kryvtsov, Oleksiy & Petersen, Luba, 2021.
"Central bank communication that works: Lessons from lab experiments,"
Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 117(C), pages 760-780.
- Oleksiy Kryvtsov & Luba Petersen, 2019. "Central Bank Communication That Works: Lessons from Lab Experiments," Staff Working Papers 19-21, Bank of Canada.
- Cafiso, Gianluca & Rivolta, Giulia, 2024. "Conventional monetary interventions through the credit channel and the rise of non-bank institutions," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 48(1).
- Hauzenberger, Niko & Pfarrhofer, Michael & Stelzer, Anna, 2021.
"On the effectiveness of the European Central Bank’s conventional and unconventional policies under uncertainty,"
Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 191(C), pages 822-845.
- Niko Hauzenberger & Michael Pfarrhofer & Anna Stelzer, 2020. "On the effectiveness of the European Central Bank's conventional and unconventional policies under uncertainty," Papers 2011.14424, arXiv.org.
- Bonciani, Dario & Roye, Björn van, 2016.
"Uncertainty shocks, banking frictions and economic activity,"
Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 73(C), pages 200-219.
- Bonciani, Dario & van Roye, Björn, 2013. "Uncertainty shocks, banking frictions, and economic activity," Kiel Working Papers 1843, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
- Bonciani, Dario & van Roye, Björn, 2015. "Uncertainty shocks, banking frictions and economic activity," Working Paper Series 1825, European Central Bank.
- Alexander Jung & Patrick Kuehl, 2021.
"Can central bank communication help to stabilise inflation expectations?,"
Scottish Journal of Political Economy, Scottish Economic Society, vol. 68(3), pages 298-321, July.
- Jung, Alexander & Kühl, Patrick, 2021. "Can central bank communication help to stabilise inflation expectations?," Working Paper Series 2547, European Central Bank.
- Patrick Hirsch & Lars P. Feld & Ekkehard A. Köhler, 2023. "Breaking Monetary Policy News: The Role of Mass Media Coverage of ECB Announcements for Public Inflation Expectations," CESifo Working Paper Series 10285, CESifo.
- van der Zwan, Terri & Kole, Erik & van der Wel, Michel, 2024. "Heterogeneous macro and financial effects of ECB asset purchase programs," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 143(C).
- Max Breitenlechner & Martin Geiger & Mathias Klein, 2024. "The Fiscal Channel of Monetary Policy," Working Papers 2024-07, Faculty of Economics and Statistics, Universität Innsbruck.
- Ho, Paul, 2023.
"Global robust Bayesian analysis in large models,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 235(2), pages 608-642.
- Paul Ho, 2019. "Global Robust Bayesian Analysis in Large Models," 2019 Meeting Papers 390, Society for Economic Dynamics.
- Paul Ho, 2020. "Global Robust Bayesian Analysis in Large Models," Working Paper 20-07, Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond.
- Rivolta, Giulia & Trecroci, Carmine, 2020. "Measuring the effects of U.S. uncertainty and monetary conditions on EMEs' macroeconomic dynamics," MPRA Paper 99403, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Silvia Miranda-Agrippino & Giovanni Ricco, 2021.
"The Transmission of Monetary Policy Shocks,"
American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, American Economic Association, vol. 13(3), pages 74-107, July.
- Silvia Miranda-Agrippino & Giovanni Ricco, 2015. "The Transmission of Monetary Policy Shocks," Discussion Papers 1711, Centre for Macroeconomics (CFM), revised Feb 2017.
- Miranda-Agrippino, Silvia & Ricco, Giovanni, 2017. "The Transmission of Monetary Policy Shocks," The Warwick Economics Research Paper Series (TWERPS) 1136, University of Warwick, Department of Economics.
- Miranda-Agrippino, Silvia & Ricco, Giovanni, 2017. "The transmission of monetary policy shocks," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 86163, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
- Ricco, Giovanni & Miranda-Agrippino, Silvia, 2018. "The Transmission of Monetary Policy Shocks," CEPR Discussion Papers 13396, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Miranda-Agrippino, Silvia & Ricco, Giovanni, 2017. "The transmission of monetary policy shocks," Bank of England working papers 657, Bank of England.
- Miranda-Agrippino, Silvia & Ricco, Giovanni, 2017. "The Transmission of Monetary Policy Shocks," Economic Research Papers 269310, University of Warwick - Department of Economics.
- Silvia Miranda-Agrippino & Giovanni Ricco, 2017. "The transmission of monetary policy shocks," Documents de Travail de l'OFCE 2017-15, Observatoire Francais des Conjonctures Economiques (OFCE).
- Hansen, Stephen & McMahon, Michael & Tong, Matthew, 2019.
"The long-run information effect of central bank communication,"
Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 108(C), pages 185-202.
- McMahon, Michael & , & Tong, Matthew, 2019. "The Long-Run Information Effect of Central Bank Communication," CEPR Discussion Papers 13438, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Hansen, Stephen & McMahon, Michael & Tong, Matthew, 2019. "The long-run information effect of central bank communication," Bank of England working papers 777, Bank of England.
- Hansen, Stephen & McMahon, Michael & Tong, Matthew, 2020. "The long-run information effect of central bank communication," Working Paper Series 2363, European Central Bank.
- Aeimit Lakdawala, 2019.
"Decomposing the effects of monetary policy using an external instruments SVAR,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 34(6), pages 934-950, September.
- Lakdawala, Aeimit, 2016. "Decomposing the Effects of Monetary Policy Using an External Instruments SVAR," MPRA Paper 78254, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Ricardo J. Caballero & Alp Simsek, 2022.
"Monetary Policy with Opinionated Markets,"
American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 112(7), pages 2353-2392, July.
- Ricardo J. Caballero & Alp Simsek, 2020. "Monetary Policy with Opinionated Markets," NBER Working Papers 27313, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Caballero, Ricardo & Simsek, Alp, 2022. "Monetary Policy with Opinionated Markets," CEPR Discussion Papers 14830, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Andrade, Philippe & Ferroni, Filippo, 2021.
"Delphic and odyssean monetary policy shocks: Evidence from the euro area,"
Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 117(C), pages 816-832.
- Philippe Andrade & Filippo Ferroni, 2016. "Delphic and Odyssean monetary policy shocks: Evidence from the euro-area," School of Economics Discussion Papers 1216, School of Economics, University of Surrey.
- Philippe Andrade & Filippo Ferroni, 2019. "Delphic and Odyssean Monetary Policy Shocks: Evidence from the Euro Area," Working Papers 19-17, Federal Reserve Bank of Boston.
- Filippo Ferroni, 2018. "Delphic and Odyssean monetary policy shocks: Evidence from the euro-area," 2018 Meeting Papers 60, Society for Economic Dynamics.
- Philippe Andrade & Filippo Ferroni, 2018. "Delphic and Odyssean Monetary Policy Shocks: Evidence from the Euro Area," Working Paper Series WP-2018-12, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago.
More about this item
Keywords
Macroeconomic expectations; Narratives; Central Bank; Monetary Policy; Professional forecasters; Survey;All these keywords.
JEL classification:
- C11 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Bayesian Analysis: General
- C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
- C55 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Large Data Sets: Modeling and Analysis
- E47 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications
- E58 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Central Banks and Their Policies
- E37 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications
NEP fields
This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:- NEP-BAN-2022-09-19 (Banking)
- NEP-CBA-2022-09-19 (Central Banking)
Statistics
Access and download statisticsCorrections
All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:gii:giihei:heidwp18-2022. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.
If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.
If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .
If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.
For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Dorina Dobre (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/ieheich.html .
Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.