IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/ccs/journl/y2018id330.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

External effects of US monetary policy

Author

Listed:
  • M. Yu. GOLOVNIN

Abstract

The article focuses on the changes in US monetary policy since the beginning of the 21st century and reveals the impact of this policy on the national economies of other countries, especially emerging markets. The US monetary policy influenced the emerging markets both through the real and financial channels. Through the latter, the main impact was on the Treasury bills rates and on the exchange rates. At the same time, the influence on different countries varied in different periods. For example, interest rates in Thailand, Mexico and Pakistan before the global economic and financial crisis in general followed the cycle of US monetary policy. The “quantitative easing†policy, the statements and the follow-up actions to abolish it, have influenced cross-border capital flows to emerging markets. A number of countries, including Russia, experienced the impact of US monetary policy through the dynamics of oil prices. Emerging markets face restrictions on their monetary policy from the US monetary policy, but in practice they seek to circumvent them through exchange rate regulation, restrictions on crossborder capital flows and the pursuit of an independent monetary policy, not following the  cycles of interest rate changes in the US.

Suggested Citation

  • M. Yu. GOLOVNIN, 2018. "External effects of US monetary policy," Outlines of global transformations: politics, economics, law, Center for Crisis Society Studies, vol. 11(2).
  • Handle: RePEc:ccs:journl:y:2018:id:330
    DOI: 10.23932/2542-0240-2018-11-2-82-99
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.ogt-journal.com/jour/article/viewFile/330/331
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.23932/2542-0240-2018-11-2-82-99?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Eichengreen, Barry & Gupta, Poonam, 2015. "Tapering talk: The impact of expectations of reduced Federal Reserve security purchases on emerging markets," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 25(C), pages 1-15.
    2. Ratti, Ronald A & Vespignani, Joaquin L., 2012. "Why are crude oil prices high when global activity is weak?," MPRA Paper 43777, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    3. Fructuoso Borrallo & Ignacio Hernando & Javier Vallés, 2017. "The Effects of US Unconventional Monetary Policies in Latin America," Investigación Conjunta-Joint Research, in: Ángel Estrada García & Alberto Ortiz Bolaños (ed.), International Spillovers of Monetary Policy, edition 1, chapter 5, pages 111-154, Centro de Estudios Monetarios Latinoamericanos, CEMLA.
    4. Carlos Caceres & Mr. Yan Carriere-Swallow & Ishak Demir & Bertrand Gruss, 2016. "U.S. Monetary Policy Normalization and Global Interest Rates," IMF Working Papers 2016/195, International Monetary Fund.
    5. Ratti, Ronald A. & Vespignani, Joaquin L., 2013. "Why are crude oil prices high when global activity is weak?," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 121(1), pages 133-136.
    6. Brett W. Fawley & Christopher J. Neely, 2013. "Four stories of quantitative easing," Review, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, issue Jan, pages 51-88.
    7. Ms. Prachi Mishra & Mr. Kenji Moriyama & Mr. Papa M N'Diaye & Lam Nguyen, 2014. "Impact of Fed Tapering Announcements on Emerging Markets," IMF Working Papers 2014/109, International Monetary Fund.
    8. Naoyuki Yoshino & Farhad Taghizadeh-Hesary, 2014. "Monetary policy and oil price fluctuations following the subprime mortgage crisis," International Journal of Monetary Economics and Finance, Inderscience Enterprises Ltd, vol. 7(3), pages 157-174.
    9. Skrypnik, D., 2014. "The Spillover Effects of Quantitative Easing in the United States for Russian Economy. Macroeconometric Analysis," Journal of the New Economic Association, New Economic Association, vol. 22(2), pages 74-101.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Bhattarai, Saroj & Chatterjee, Arpita & Park, Woong Yong, 2021. "Effects of US quantitative easing on emerging market economies," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 122(C).
    2. Raghavan, Mala, 2020. "An analysis of the global oil market using SVARMA models," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 86(C).
    3. Nida Çakır Melek & Troy Davig & Jun Nie & Andrew Lee Smith & Didem Tuzemen, 2015. "Evaluating a year of oil price volatility," Macro Bulletin, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, pages 1-3, September.
    4. Rodrigo da Silva Souza & Leonardo Bornacki Mattos, 2022. "Oil price shocks and global liquidity: macroeconomic effects on the Brazilian real," International Economics and Economic Policy, Springer, vol. 19(4), pages 761-781, October.
    5. Polo, Andrea & Gonzalez, Rodrigo & Khametshin, Dmitry & Peydró, José-Luis, 2018. "Hedger of Last Resort: Evidence from Brazilian FX Interventions, Local Credit and Global Financial Cycles," CEPR Discussion Papers 12817, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    6. Cerutti, Eugenio & Claessens, Stijn & Puy, Damien, 2019. "Push factors and capital flows to emerging markets: why knowing your lender matters more than fundamentals," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 119(C), pages 133-149.
    7. Ratti, Ronald A. & Vespignani, Joaquin L., 2015. "Commodity prices and BRIC and G3 liquidity: A SFAVEC approach," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 53(C), pages 18-33.
    8. Rodrigo Alfaro Alfaro & Carlos A. Medel & Carola Moreno, 2017. "An Analysis of the Impact of External Financial Risks on the Sovereign Risk Premium of Latin American Economies," Revista de Analisis Economico – Economic Analysis Review, Universidad Alberto Hurtado/School of Economics and Business, vol. 32(2), pages 131-153, October.
    9. Vicente J. Bolós & Rafael Benítez & Román Ferrer, 2020. "A New Wavelet Tool to Quantify Non-Periodicity of Non-Stationary Economic Time Series," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 8(5), pages 1-16, May.
    10. Hoek, Jasper & Kamin, Steve & Yoldas, Emre, 2022. "Are higher U.S. interest rates always bad news for emerging markets?," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 137(C).
    11. Ratti, Ronald A. & Vespignani, Joaquin L., 2016. "Oil prices and global factor macroeconomic variables," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 198-212.
    12. Keefe, Helena Glebocki, 2021. "The transmission of global monetary and credit shocks on exchange market pressure in emerging markets and developing economies," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 72(C).
    13. Takuji Fueki & Hiroka Higashi & Naoto Higashio & Jouchi Nakajima & Shinsuke Ohyama & Yoichiro Tamanyu, 2016. "Identifying Oil Price Shocks and Their Consequences:Role of Expectations and Financial Factors in the Crude Oil Market," Bank of Japan Working Paper Series 16-E-17, Bank of Japan.
    14. Vespignani, Joaquin L. & Ratti, Ronald A, 2013. "International monetary transmission to the Euro area: Evidence from the U.S., Japan and China," MPRA Paper 45844, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    15. Konopczak, Michal, 2015. "Government debt holdings of non-residents – an analysis of the impact on selected emerging economies’ sovereign risk," MPRA Paper 68597, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    16. Anusha Chari & Karlye Dilts Stedman & Christian T. Lundblad, 2020. "Capital Flows in Risky Times: Risk-On / Risk-Off and Emerging Market Tail Risk," Research Working Paper RWP 20-08, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City.
    17. Ahmed, Shaghil & Coulibaly, Brahima & Zlate, Andrei, 2017. "International financial spillovers to emerging market economies: How important are economic fundamentals?," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 133-152.
    18. Karolyi, G. Andrew & McLaren, Kirsty J., 2017. "Racing to the exits: International transmissions of funding shocks during the Federal Reserve's taper experiment," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 32(C), pages 96-115.
    19. Stefano Grassi & Francesco Ravazzolo & Joaquin Vespignani & Giorgio Vocalelli, 2023. "Global Money Supply and Energy and Non-Energy Commodity Prices: A MS-TV-VAR Approach," CAMA Working Papers 2023-13, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
    20. Liu, Zhenhua & Zhang, Huiying & Ding, Zhihua & Lv, Tao & Wang, Xu & Wang, Deqing, 2022. "When are the effects of economic policy uncertainty on oil–stock correlations larger? Evidence from a regime-switching analysis," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 114(C).

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:ccs:journl:y:2018:id:330. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Кривопалов Ð Ð»ÐµÐºÑ ÐµÐ¹ Ð Ð»ÐµÐºÑ ÐµÐµÐ²Ð¸Ñ‡ (email available below). General contact details of provider: .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.