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Carl S Bonham

Citations

Many of the citations below have been collected in an experimental project, CitEc, where a more detailed citation analysis can be found. These are citations from works listed in RePEc that could be analyzed mechanically. So far, only a minority of all works could be analyzed. See under "Corrections" how you can help improve the citation analysis.

Blog mentions

As found by EconAcademics.org, the blog aggregator for Economics research:
  1. Carl Bonham & Calla Wiemer, 2010. "Chinese Saving Dynamics: The Impact of GDP Growth and Dependent Share," Working Papers 2010-11R, University of Hawaii Economic Research Organization, University of Hawaii at Manoa, revised 11 Jan 2012.

    Mentioned in:

    1. The Real Reason for China's Unbalanced Growth (Orlik Review Addendum)
      by calla.wiemer@acaes.us (Calla Wiemer) in Asia Economics Blog on 2020-07-15 13:27:11

Working papers

  1. Carl Bonham & Peter Fuleky & James Jones & Ashley Hirashima, 2015. "Nowcasting Tourism Industry Performance Using High Frequency Covariates," Working Papers 2015-13R, University of Hawaii Economic Research Organization, University of Hawaii at Manoa, revised Jul 2016.

    Cited by:

    1. Eric W. K. See-To & Eric W. T. Ngai, 2018. "Customer reviews for demand distribution and sales nowcasting: a big data approach," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 270(1), pages 415-431, November.

  2. Peter Fuleky & Carl S. Bonham & Qianxue Zhao, 2013. "Estimating Demand Elasticities in Non-Stationary Panels: The Case of Hawaii Tourism," Working Papers 2013-2R, University of Hawaii Economic Research Organization, University of Hawaii at Manoa, revised Aug 2013.

    Cited by:

    1. Junwook Chi, 2016. "Research Note: Employment and Wage Sensitivity to Tourism Activities – The Case of US Tourist Arrivals and Expenditure in Hawaii," Tourism Economics, , vol. 22(1), pages 171-178, February.
    2. Francesco Aiello & Graziella Bonanno & Alessia Via, 2015. "Again on trade elasticities: evidence from a selected sample of countries," Eurasian Business Review, Springer;Eurasia Business and Economics Society, vol. 5(2), pages 259-287, December.
    3. Yun-Huan Lee & William S. Chang, 2016. "Analyzing the effects of economic factors on modeling the diffusion of foreign exchange earnings from tourism in Taiwan," Tourism Economics, , vol. 22(5), pages 1126-1131, October.
    4. Tarik Dogru & Umit Bulut & Ercan Sirakaya-Turk, 2021. "Modeling tourism demand: Theoretical and empirical considerations for future research," Tourism Economics, , vol. 27(4), pages 874-889, June.
    5. Silvia Emili & Paolo Figini & Andrea Guizzardi, 2020. "Modelling international monthly tourism demand at the micro destination level with climate indicators and web-traffic data," Tourism Economics, , vol. 26(7), pages 1129-1151, November.
    6. Xueying Huang & Yuanjun Han & Xuhong Gong & Xiangyan Liu, 2020. "Does the belt and road initiative stimulate China’s inbound tourist market? An empirical study using the gravity model with a DID method," Tourism Economics, , vol. 26(2), pages 299-323, March.
    7. Dogru, Tarik & Sirakaya-Turk, Ercan & Crouch, Geoffrey I., 2017. "Remodeling international tourism demand: Old theory and new evidence," Tourism Management, Elsevier, vol. 60(C), pages 47-55.

  3. Peter Fuleky & Carl, 2013. "Forecasting with Mixed Frequency Samples: The Case of Common Trends," Working Papers 2013-5, University of Hawaii Economic Research Organization, University of Hawaii at Manoa.

    Cited by:

    1. Shang, Yuhuang & Zheng, Tingguo, 2018. "Fitting and forecasting yield curves with a mixed-frequency affine model: Evidence from China," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 68(C), pages 145-154.

  4. Carl Bonham & Calla Wiemer, 2010. "Chinese Saving Dynamics: The Impact of GDP Growth and Dependent Share," Working Papers 2010-11R, University of Hawaii Economic Research Organization, University of Hawaii at Manoa, revised 11 Jan 2012.

    Cited by:

    1. Rahmanda Muhammad Thaariq & Arif Anindita & Hafizha Dea Iftina, 2021. "The Internet Miracle: The Impact Of Internet Access On Household Saving In Indonesia," Bulletin of Monetary Economics and Banking, Bank Indonesia, vol. 24(2), pages 255-282, June.
    2. Tingying Chen & Haitian Lu & Rong Chen & Lina Wu, 2021. "The Impact of Marketization on Sustainable Economic Growth—Evidence from West China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(7), pages 1-24, March.
    3. Alhaj-Yaseen, Yaseen S. & Barkoulas, John T. & Ouandlous, Arav, 2020. "Liberalization and asymmetric information flow dynamics in the Chinese equity markets," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 21(C).
    4. Xinhua Gu & Bihong Huang & Pui Sun Tam & Yang Zhang, 2015. "Inequality and Saving: Further Evidence from Integrated Economies," Review of Development Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 19(1), pages 15-30, February.
    5. Ghassan, Hassan B. & Alhajhoj, Hassan R. & Balli, Faruk, 2020. "Bi-Demographic and Current Account Dynamics using SVAR Model: Evidence from Saudi Arabia," MPRA Paper 109772, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised Jun 2021.
    6. Mark S. Manger & J. Scott Matthews, 2021. "Knowing When to Splurge: Precautionary Saving and Chinese-Canadians," Papers 2108.00519, arXiv.org.
    7. Ghassan, Hassan & Alhajhoj, Hassan R. & Balli, Faruk, 2018. "Bi-Demographic Changes and Current Account using SVAR Modeling: Evidence from Saudi Arabia," MPRA Paper 93013, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 01 Feb 2019.
    8. Manger, Mark S. & Matthews, J. Scott, 2021. "Knowing when to splurge: Precautionary saving and Chinese-Canadians," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 76(C).
    9. Hassan Belkacem Ghassan & Hassan Rafdan Al-Hajhoj & Faruk Balli, 2019. "Bi-Demographic Changes and Current Account using SVAR Modeling: Evidence from Saudi Economy," Working Papers hal-01742574, HAL.
    10. Gu, Xinhua & Tam, Pui Sun & Li, Guoqiang & Zhao, Qingbin, 2020. "An alternative explanation for high saving in China: Rising inequality," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 69(C), pages 1082-1094.
    11. Chang, Xiao & An, Tongliang & Tam, Pui Sun & Gu, Xinhua, 2020. "National savings rate and sectoral income distribution: An empirical look at China," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 61(C).
    12. Gu, Xinhua & Tam, Pui Sun, 2013. "The saving–growth–inequality triangle in China," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 33(C), pages 850-857.
    13. Hassan B. Ghassan & Hassan R. Al-Hajhoj & Faruk Balli, 2018. "Bi-Demographic Changes and Current Account using SVAR Modeling," Papers 1803.11161, arXiv.org, revised Mar 2019.

  5. Somchai Amornthum & Carl Bonham, 2008. "Financial Integration in the Pacific Basin Region: RIP by PANIC Attack?," Working Papers 200802, University of Hawaii at Manoa, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Lee, Byung-Joo, 2019. "Asian financial market integration and the role of Chinese financial market," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 490-499.
    2. Baharumshah, Ahmad Zubaidi & Soon, Siew-Voon & Hamzah, Nor Aishah, 2013. "Parity reversion in real interest rate in the Asian countries: Further evidence based on local-persistent model," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 35(C), pages 634-642.
    3. Fumitaka Furuoka, 2015. "Electricity consumption and economic development in Asia: new data and new methods," Asian-Pacific Economic Literature, The Crawford School, The Australian National University, vol. 29(1), pages 102-125, May.

  6. Rodger D. Blair & James Mak & Carl Bonham, 2007. "Collusive Duopoly: The Economic Effects of Aloha and Hawaiian Airlines� Agreement to Reduce Capacity," Working Papers 2007-1, University of Hawaii Economic Research Organization, University of Hawaii at Manoa.

    Cited by:

    1. Kyle Hampton & Katerina Sherstyuk, 2010. "Demand Shocks, Capacity Coordination and Industry Performance: Lessons from Economic Laboratory," Working Papers 2010-09, University of Alaska Anchorage, Department of Economics.
    2. Rene Y. Kamita, 2010. "Analyzing the Effects of Temporary Antitrust Immunity: The Aloha-Hawaiian Immunity Agreement," Journal of Law and Economics, University of Chicago Press, vol. 53(2), pages 239-261, May.
    3. Tetsuji Okazaki & Ken Onishi & Naoki Wakamori, 2022. "Excess Capacity And Effectiveness Of Policy Interventions: Evidence From The Cement Industry," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 63(2), pages 883-915, May.
    4. Bonham, Carl & Gangnes, Byron & Zhou, Ting, 2009. "Modeling tourism: A fully identified VECM approach," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 25(3), pages 531-549, July.

  7. Richard H. Cohen & Carl Bonham, 2007. "Specifying the Forecast Generating Process for Exchange Rate Survey Forecasts," Working Papers 200718, University of Hawaii at Manoa, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Carl Bonham & Richard Cohen & Shigeyuki Abe, 2006. "The Rationality and Heterogeneity of Survey Forecasts of the Yen-Dollar Exchange Rate: A Reexamination," Working Papers 200611, University of Hawaii at Manoa, Department of Economics.

  8. Allison Zhou & Carl Bonham & Byron Gangnes, 2007. "Modeling the supply and demand for tourism: a fully identified VECM approach," Working Papers 200717, University of Hawaii at Manoa, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. El houssin Ouassou & Hafsa Taya, 2022. "Forecasting Regional Tourism Demand in Morocco from Traditional and AI-Based Methods to Ensemble Modeling," Forecasting, MDPI, vol. 4(2), pages 1-18, April.
    2. Marisol Valencia Cárdenas & Juan Gabriel Vanegas López & Juan Carlos Correa Morales & Jorge Aníbal Restrepo Morales, 2017. "Comparing forecasts for tourism dynamics in Medellín, Colombia," Lecturas de Economía, Universidad de Antioquia, Departamento de Economía, issue 86, pages 199-230, Enero - J.
    3. Wani, M.H. & Paul, Ranjit Kumar & Bazaz, Naseer H. & Manzoor, M., 2015. "Market integration and Price Forecasting of Apple in India," Indian Journal of Agricultural Economics, Indian Society of Agricultural Economics, vol. 70(2), pages 1-13.
    4. Valencia Cárdenas, Marisol & Vanegas López, Juan Gabriel & Correa Morales, Juan Carlos & Restrepo Morales, Jorge Aníbal, 2016. "Comparación de pronósticos para la dinámica del turismo en Medellín, Colombia," Revista Lecturas de Economía, Universidad de Antioquia, CIE, issue 86, pages 199-230, December.
    5. Mohammad Mohebi & Khalid Abdul Rahim & Lee Chin & Khairil Wahidin Awang, 2011. "Tax Exportability in Tourism Market," American Journal of Economics and Business Administration, Science Publications, vol. 3(2), pages 410-415, June.

  9. Carl Bonham & Richard Cohen & Shigeyuki Abe, 2006. "The Rationality and Heterogeneity of Survey Forecasts of the Yen-Dollar Exchange Rate: A Reexamination," Working Papers 200611, University of Hawaii at Manoa, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Chortareas, Georgios & Jitmaneeroj, Boonlert & Wood, Andrew, 2012. "Forecast rationality and monetary policy frameworks: Evidence from UK interest rate forecasts," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 22(1), pages 209-231.

  10. Carl Bonham & Christopher Edmonds & James Mak, 2006. "The Impact of 9/11 and Other Terrible Global Events on Tourism in the U.S. and Hawaii," Economics Study Area Working Papers 87, East-West Center, Economics Study Area.

    Cited by:

    1. Adam Rose & Misak Avetisyan & Heather Rosoff & William J. Burns & Paul Slovic & Oswin Chan, 2017. "The Role of Behavioral Responses in the Total Economic Consequences of Terrorist Attacks on U.S. Air Travel Targets," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 37(7), pages 1403-1418, July.
    2. J. Cunado & L.A. Gil-Alana & F. P Erez de Gracia, 2008. "Fractional Integration and Structural Breaks: Evidence from International Monthly Arrivals in the USA," Tourism Economics, , vol. 14(1), pages 13-23, March.
    3. Julio A. Afonso-Rodríguez & María Santana-Gallego, 2018. "Is Spain benefiting from the Arab Spring? On the impact of terrorism on a tourist competitor country," Quality & Quantity: International Journal of Methodology, Springer, vol. 52(3), pages 1371-1408, May.
    4. Tzu-Ming Liu, 2014. "Analysis of the Economic Impact of Meteorological Disasters on Tourism: The Case of Typhoon Morakot's Impact on the Maolin National Scenic Area in Taiwan," Tourism Economics, , vol. 20(1), pages 143-156, February.
    5. Seabra, Claudia & Reis, Pedro & Abrantes, José Luís, 2020. "The influence of terrorism in tourism arrivals: A longitudinal approach in a Mediterranean country," Annals of Tourism Research, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).
    6. Bonham, Carl & Gangnes, Byron & Zhou, Ting, 2009. "Modeling tourism: A fully identified VECM approach," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 25(3), pages 531-549, July.
    7. Augusto Voltes-Dorta & Juan Luis Jiménez & Ancor Suárez-Alemán, 2016. "The Impact of ETA’s Dissolution on Domestic Tourism in Spain," Defence and Peace Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 27(6), pages 854-870, November.
    8. Junwook Chi, 2016. "Research Note: Employment and Wage Sensitivity to Tourism Activities – The Case of US Tourist Arrivals and Expenditure in Hawaii," Tourism Economics, , vol. 22(1), pages 171-178, February.
    9. Song, Haiyan & Qiu, Richard T.R. & Park, Jinah, 2019. "A review of research on tourism demand forecasting," Annals of Tourism Research, Elsevier, vol. 75(C), pages 338-362.
    10. Andrew Kato & James Mak, 2010. "Technical Progress in Transport and the Tourism Area Life Cycle," Working Papers 2010-13, University of Hawaii Economic Research Organization, University of Hawaii at Manoa.
    11. Ahlfeldt, Gabriel M. & Franke, Bastian & Maennig, Wolfgang, 2015. "Terrorism and international tourism: the case of Germany," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 56847, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    12. Ruey-Chyn Tsaur & Chyoug-Hwa Chen, 2018. "Sustainable Tourism Planning for Taiwanese in Administrative Effects with Respect to Chinese Arrivals," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(12), pages 1-19, December.
    13. Allison Zhou & Carl Bonham & Byron Gangnes, 2007. "Modeling the supply and demand for tourism: a fully identified VECM approach," Working Papers 200717, University of Hawaii at Manoa, Department of Economics.
    14. Ghialy Yap, 2010. "Australian domestic tourism demand analysis using panel data static regression," Economic Journal of Emerging Markets, Universitas Islam Indonesia, vol. 2(2), pages 113-127, April.
    15. Young Dae Ko & Byung Duk Song, 2021. "Complementary Cooperation of CCTV and UAV Systems for Tourism Security and Sustainability," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(19), pages 1-15, September.
    16. Twila-Mae Logan & Eritha Huntley Lewis & Clive Scott, 2016. "A Time Series Analysis of the Impact of International Sporting Events on International Arrivals: Melbourne, Australia and Jamaica," International Journal of Economics and Finance, Canadian Center of Science and Education, vol. 8(6), pages 267-267, June.
    17. Sander Van Cranenburgh & Caspar Chorus & Bert Van Wee, 2012. "Substantial Changes and Their Impact on Mobility: A Typology and an Overview of the Literature," Transport Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 32(5), pages 569-597, June.
    18. Najam, Najam Ul Sabeeh & Mehmood, Arshad Mehmood, 2019. "The economic cost of terrorism and natural disasters: A deeper analysis of the financial market markets of Pakistan," MPRA Paper 92278, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    19. Zhang, Hanyuan & Song, Haiyan & Wen, Long & Liu, Chang, 2021. "Forecasting tourism recovery amid COVID-19," Annals of Tourism Research, Elsevier, vol. 87(C).
    20. Minhong Kim & Kyu Ha Choi & Becca Leopkey, 2021. "The influence of tourist risk perceptions on travel intention to mega sporting event destinations with different levels of risk," Tourism Economics, , vol. 27(3), pages 419-435, May.
    21. Jihye Min & Birendra KC & Seungman Kim & Jaehoon Lee, 2020. "The Impact of Disasters on a Heritage Tourist Destination: A Case Study of Nepal Earthquakes," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(15), pages 1-12, July.
    22. Steven Bond-Smith, 2022. "Diversifying Hawai‘i’s specialized economy: A spatial economic perspective," Working Papers 2022-5, University of Hawaii Economic Research Organization, University of Hawaii at Manoa.

  11. Carl Bonham & Byron Gangnes & Ari Van Assche, 2004. "Fragmentation and East Asia’s Information Technology Trade," Working Papers 200409, University of Hawaii at Manoa, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Hudea Caraman, Oana Simona & Stancu, Stelian, 2012. "Foreign Direct Investments, Technology Transfer and Economic Growth. A Panel Approach," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(2), pages 85-102, June.
    2. Ari Van Assche & Byron Gangnes, 2010. "Electronics production upgrading: is China exceptional?," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 17(5), pages 477-482.
    3. Salotti, Simone, 2008. "Global imbalances and household savings: the role of wealth," MPRA Paper 17729, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 2009.
    4. Byron Gangnes & Ari Van Assche, 2011. "Product Modularity and the Rise of Global Value Chains: Insights from the Electronics Industry," Working Papers 201119, University of Hawaii at Manoa, Department of Economics.
    5. Ari Van Assche, 2006. "Modularity and the Organization of International Production," CIRANO Working Papers 2006s-09, CIRANO.
    6. Van Assche, Ari, 2008. "Modularity and the organization of international production," Japan and the World Economy, Elsevier, vol. 20(3), pages 353-368, August.
    7. Kubo, Akihiro, 2012. "The US tech pulse, stock prices, and exchange rate dynamics: Evidence from Asian developing countries," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 23(6), pages 680-687.
    8. Das, Gouranga, 2010. "Globalization, socio-institutional factors and North–South knowledge diffusion: Role of India and China as Southern growth progenitors," MPRA Paper 37252, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 01 Aug 2011.
    9. MOTOHASHI Kazuyuki & YUAN Yuan, 2009. "Technology Spillovers from Multinationals to Local Firms: Evidence from Automobile and Electronics Firms in China," Discussion papers 09005, Research Institute of Economy, Trade and Industry (RIETI).

  12. Carl S Bonham & Richard H Cohen, 2000. "Testing the Rational Expectations Hypothesis using Survey Data," Working Papers 200007, University of Hawaii at Manoa, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Lui, Silvia & Mitchell, James & Weale, Martin, 2011. "The utility of expectational data: Firm-level evidence using matched qualitative-quantitative UK surveys," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 27(4), pages 1128-1146, October.
    2. Paul Frijters & John P. Haisken-DeNew & Michael Shields, 2003. "How Well Do Individuals Predict Their Future Life Satisfaction? Rationality and Learning Following a Nationwide Exogenous Shock," CEPR Discussion Papers 468, Centre for Economic Policy Research, Research School of Economics, Australian National University.
    3. Ivana Komunjer & Michael T. Owyang, 2012. "Multivariate Forecast Evaluation and Rationality Testing," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 94(4), pages 1066-1080, November.
    4. D'Agostino, Antonello & McQuinn, Kieran & Whelan, Karl, 2010. "Are Some Forecasters Really Better Than Others?," Research Technical Papers 5/RT/10, Central Bank of Ireland.
    5. James Yetman & Gregor W. Smith, 2007. "The Curse Of Irving Fisher (professional Forecasters' Version)," Working Paper 1144, Economics Department, Queen's University.
    6. Herzer, Dierk, 2014. "Unions and income inequality: a heterogenous cointegration and causality analysis," Working Paper 146/2014, Helmut Schmidt University, Hamburg.
    7. Carl Bonham & Richard Cohen & Shigeyuki Abe, 2006. "The Rationality and Heterogeneity of Survey Forecasts of the Yen-Dollar Exchange Rate: A Reexamination," Working Papers 200611, University of Hawaii at Manoa, Department of Economics.
    8. Krenz, Astrid, 2016. "Do political institutions influence international trade? Measurement of institutions and the Long-Run effects," University of Göttingen Working Papers in Economics 276, University of Goettingen, Department of Economics.
    9. Gregor W. Smith, 2007. "Pooling Forecasts In Linear Rational Expectations Models," Working Paper 1129, Economics Department, Queen's University.
    10. Frijters, Paul & de New, John & Shields, Michael A., 2002. "Individual Rationality and Learning: Welfare Expectations in East Germany Post-Reunification," IZA Discussion Papers 498, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
    11. Yu, Ge, 2003. "Comparing Expectations and Outcomes: Application to UK Data," MPRA Paper 502, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 2005.
    12. Mr. Christopher W. Crowe, 2010. "Consensus Forecasts and Inefficient Information Aggregation," IMF Working Papers 2010/178, International Monetary Fund.

  13. Carl S Bonham & Richard H Cohen, 2000. "To Aggregate, Pool, or Neither: Testing the Rational Expectations Hypothesis Using Survey Data," Working Papers 200003, University of Hawaii at Manoa, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Lui, Silvia & Mitchell, James & Weale, Martin, 2011. "The utility of expectational data: Firm-level evidence using matched qualitative-quantitative UK surveys," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 27(4), pages 1128-1146, October.
    2. Paul Frijters & John P. Haisken-DeNew & Michael Shields, 2003. "How Well Do Individuals Predict Their Future Life Satisfaction? Rationality and Learning Following a Nationwide Exogenous Shock," CEPR Discussion Papers 468, Centre for Economic Policy Research, Research School of Economics, Australian National University.
    3. Herzer, Dierk & Nunnenkamp, Peter, 2013. "Private Donations, Government Grants, Commercial Activities, and Fundraising: Cointegration and Causality for NGOs in International Development Cooperation," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 46(C), pages 234-251.
    4. Pesaran, M. Hashem & Weale, Martin, 2006. "Survey Expectations," Handbook of Economic Forecasting, in: G. Elliott & C. Granger & A. Timmermann (ed.), Handbook of Economic Forecasting, edition 1, volume 1, chapter 14, pages 715-776, Elsevier.
    5. Ivana Komunjer & Michael T. Owyang, 2012. "Multivariate Forecast Evaluation and Rationality Testing," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 94(4), pages 1066-1080, November.
    6. Carlos Capistr¡N & Allan Timmermann, 2009. "Disagreement and Biases in Inflation Expectations," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 41(2-3), pages 365-396, March.
    7. D'Agostino, Antonello & McQuinn, Kieran & Whelan, Karl, 2010. "Are Some Forecasters Really Better Than Others?," Research Technical Papers 5/RT/10, Central Bank of Ireland.
    8. Dierk Herzer, 2016. "Unions and Income Inequality: A Heterogeneous Panel Co-integration and Causality Analysis," LABOUR, CEIS, vol. 30(3), pages 318-346, September.
    9. Clements, Michael P., 2010. "Why are survey forecasts superior to model forecasts?," The Warwick Economics Research Paper Series (TWERPS) 954, University of Warwick, Department of Economics.
    10. Herzer, Dierk & Nunnenkamo, Peter, 2014. "Income Inequality and Health: Evidence from Developed and Developing Countries," Working Paper 141/2014, Helmut Schmidt University, Hamburg.
    11. Gultekin Isiklar, 2004. "On aggregation bias in fixed-event forecast efficiency tests," Econometrics 0412011, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 28 Dec 2004.
    12. James Yetman & Gregor W. Smith, 2007. "The Curse Of Irving Fisher (professional Forecasters' Version)," Working Paper 1144, Economics Department, Queen's University.
    13. Chortareas, Georgios & Jitmaneeroj, Boonlert & Wood, Andrew, 2012. "Forecast rationality and monetary policy frameworks: Evidence from UK interest rate forecasts," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 22(1), pages 209-231.
    14. Herzer, Dierk, 2014. "Unions and income inequality: a heterogenous cointegration and causality analysis," Working Paper 146/2014, Helmut Schmidt University, Hamburg.
    15. Carl Bonham & Richard Cohen & Shigeyuki Abe, 2006. "The Rationality and Heterogeneity of Survey Forecasts of the Yen-Dollar Exchange Rate: A Reexamination," Working Papers 200611, University of Hawaii at Manoa, Department of Economics.
    16. Clements, Michael P., 2011. "Do Professional Forecasters Pay Attention to Data Releases?," Economic Research Papers 270768, University of Warwick - Department of Economics.
    17. Thomas Jobert & Lionel Persyn, 2011. "Quelques constats sur les prévisions conjoncturelles de la croissance française," Working Papers halshs-00721673, HAL.
    18. Krenz, Astrid, 2016. "Do political institutions influence international trade? Measurement of institutions and the Long-Run effects," University of Göttingen Working Papers in Economics 276, University of Goettingen, Department of Economics.
    19. João Valle e Azevedo & João Tovar Jalles, 2011. "Rational vs. Professional Forecasts," Working Papers w201114, Banco de Portugal, Economics and Research Department.
    20. Ali, Syed Zahid & Anwar, Sajid, 2017. "Exchange rate pass through, cost channel to monetary policy transmission, adaptive learning, and the price puzzle," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 69-82.
    21. Ager, Philipp & Kappler, Marcus & Osterloh, Steffen, 2007. "The Accuracy and Efficiency of the Consensus Forecasts: A Further Application and Extension of the Pooled Approach," ZEW Discussion Papers 07-058, ZEW - Leibniz Centre for European Economic Research.
    22. Hatcher, Michael C. & Minford, Patrick, 2013. "Stabilization policy, rational expectations and price-level versus inflation targeting: a survey," Cardiff Economics Working Papers E2013/14, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section.
    23. Yoichi Tsuchiya, 2022. "Evaluating plant managers’ production plans over business cycles: asymmetric loss and rationality," SN Business & Economics, Springer, vol. 2(8), pages 1-29, August.
    24. Gerunov, Anton, 2014. "Критичен Преглед На Основните Подходи За Моделиране На Икономическите Очаквания [A Critical Review of Major Approaches for Modeling Economic Expectations]," MPRA Paper 68797, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    25. Michael P. Clements, 2022. "Forecaster Efficiency, Accuracy, and Disagreement: Evidence Using Individual‐Level Survey Data," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 54(2-3), pages 537-568, March.
    26. Cronin, David & McQuinn, Kieran, 2020. "The (Pro-) Cyclicality of Fiscal Policy in the EU and Governments’ Expectations of Future Output Growth: New Evidence," Papers WP683, Economic and Social Research Institute (ESRI).
    27. Gregor W. Smith, 2007. "Pooling Forecasts In Linear Rational Expectations Models," Working Paper 1129, Economics Department, Queen's University.
    28. Naveen Kumar & Dibyendu Maiti, 2024. "The Dynamic Causal Impact of Climate Change on Economic Activity - A Disaggregated Panel Analysis of India," Working papers 345, Centre for Development Economics, Delhi School of Economics.
    29. Casey, Eddie, 2021. "Are professional forecasters overconfident?," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 37(2), pages 716-732.
    30. Illmann, Ulrike & Kluge, Jan, 2019. "Public Charging Infrastructure and the Market Diffusion of Electric Vehicles," IHS Working Paper Series 9, Institute for Advanced Studies.
    31. Kalvinder Shields & Kevin Lee, 2004. "Overcoming Measurement Error Problems in the use of Survey Data on Expectations," Econometric Society 2004 Australasian Meetings 107, Econometric Society.
    32. Dierk Herzer & Holger Strulik, 2017. "Religiosity and income: a panel cointegration and causality analysis," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 49(30), pages 2922-2938, June.
    33. Chetan Dave, 2011. "Are Investment Expectations Rational, Adaptive Or Regressive?," Economic Inquiry, Western Economic Association International, vol. 49(1), pages 212-225, January.
    34. Fotios Petropoulos & Daniele Apiletti & Vassilios Assimakopoulos & Mohamed Zied Babai & Devon K. Barrow & Souhaib Ben Taieb & Christoph Bergmeir & Ricardo J. Bessa & Jakub Bijak & John E. Boylan & Jet, 2020. "Forecasting: theory and practice," Papers 2012.03854, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2022.
    35. Herzer, Dierk, 2009. "Cross-country heterogeneity and the trade-income relationship," Proceedings of the German Development Economics Conference, Frankfurt a.M. 2009 13, Verein für Socialpolitik, Research Committee Development Economics.
    36. Frijters, Paul & de New, John & Shields, Michael A., 2002. "Individual Rationality and Learning: Welfare Expectations in East Germany Post-Reunification," IZA Discussion Papers 498, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
    37. Paul Frijters & Harry Greenwell & John P. Haisken-DeNew & Michael A. Shields, 2009. "How well do individuals predict their future life satisfaction? Evidence from panel data following a nationwide exogenous shock," Canadian Journal of Economics, Canadian Economics Association, vol. 42(4), pages 1326-1346, November.
    38. Sebastiano Manzan, 2011. "Differential Interpretation in the Survey of Professional Forecasters," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 43(5), pages 993-1017, August.
    39. Markiewicz, Agnieszka & Pick, Andreas, 2014. "Adaptive learning and survey data," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 107(PB), pages 685-707.
    40. Kumar Verma, Akhilesh & McQuinn, Kieran, 2024. "Assessing expectations of European house prices," Papers WP783, Economic and Social Research Institute (ESRI).
    41. David Cronin & Kieran McQuinn, 2021. "The (pro-) cyclicality of government consumption in the EU and official expectations of future output growth: new evidence," International Economics and Economic Policy, Springer, vol. 18(2), pages 331-345, May.
    42. Carlos Capistrán & Allan Timmermann, 2009. "Disagreement and Biases in Inflation Expectations," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 41(2‐3), pages 365-396, March.
    43. Karlyn Mitchell & Douglas K. Pearce, 2004. "Professional Forecasts of Interest Rates and Exchange Rates: Evidence from the Wall Street Journal's Panel of Economists," Working Paper Series 004, North Carolina State University, Department of Economics.
    44. Cheolbeom Park, 2006. "Rational Beliefs or Distorted Beliefs: The Equity Premium Puzzle and Micro Survey Data," Southern Economic Journal, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 72(3), pages 677-689, January.
    45. Ince, Onur & Molodtsova, Tanya, 2017. "Rationality and forecasting accuracy of exchange rate expectations: Evidence from survey-based forecasts," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 47(C), pages 131-151.
    46. KOMINE Takao & BAN Kanemi & KAWAGOE Masaaki & YOSHIDA Hiroshi, 2009. "What Have We Learned from a Survey of Japanese Professional Forecasters? Taking Stock of Four Years of ESP Forecast Experience," ESRI Discussion paper series 214, Economic and Social Research Institute (ESRI).
    47. Nicole Grunewald & Inmaculada Martínez-Zarzoso, 2014. "Green Growth in Mexico, Brazil and Chile: Policy strategies and future prospects," Ibero America Institute for Econ. Research (IAI) Discussion Papers 229, Ibero-America Institute for Economic Research.
    48. Michael P. Clements, 2020. "Do Survey Joiners and Leavers Differ from Regular Participants? The US SPF GDP Growth and Inflation Forecasts," ICMA Centre Discussion Papers in Finance icma-dp2020-01, Henley Business School, University of Reading.
    49. Dovern, Jonas & Weisser, Johannes, 2008. "Are they really rational? Assessing professional macro-economic forecasts from the G7-countries," Kiel Working Papers 1447, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
    50. Andersson, Jens & Lazuka, Volha, 2019. "Long-term drivers of taxation in francophone West Africa 1893–2010," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 114(C), pages 294-313.
    51. Herzer, Dierk, 2014. "The long-run relationship between trade and population health: evidence from five decades," VfS Annual Conference 2014 (Hamburg): Evidence-based Economic Policy 100441, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    52. Fabiana Gomez & David Pacini, 2015. "Counting Biased Forecasters: An Application of Multiple Testing Techniques," Bristol Economics Discussion Papers 15/661, School of Economics, University of Bristol, UK.
    53. Yu, Ge, 2003. "Comparing Expectations and Outcomes: Application to UK Data," MPRA Paper 502, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 2005.
    54. Xiao, Jinzhi & Lence, Sergio H. & Hart, Chad, 2014. "Usda And Private Analysts' Forecasts Of Ending Stocks: How Good Are They?," 2014 Annual Meeting, July 27-29, 2014, Minneapolis, Minnesota 170642, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    55. Meyler, Aidan, 2020. "Forecast performance in the ECB SPF: ability or chance?," Working Paper Series 2371, European Central Bank.
    56. Tonmoy Chatterjee & Ghirmai Tesfamariam Teame & Sharmi Sen, 2024. "Impact of income inequality on health and education in Africa: the long-run role of public spending with short-run dynamics," Journal of Computational Social Science, Springer, vol. 7(1), pages 259-304, April.
    57. Jitmaneeroj, Boonlert & Wood, Andrew, 2013. "The expectations hypothesis: New hope or illusory support?," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 37(3), pages 1084-1092.
    58. Mr. Christopher W. Crowe, 2010. "Consensus Forecasts and Inefficient Information Aggregation," IMF Working Papers 2010/178, International Monetary Fund.

  14. Carl Bonham & Byron Gangnes, 1995. "Intervention Analysis with Cointegrated Time Series: The Case of the Hawaii Hotel Room Tax," Working Papers 199505, University of Hawaii at Manoa, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Lava Prakash Yadav & Stephen O’Neill & Tom van Rensburg, 2013. "Economic Crisis and the Restructuring of Wage Setting Mechanisms for Vulnerable Workers in Ireland," The Economic and Social Review, Economic and Social Studies, vol. 44(2), pages 221-245.
    2. Nestor M. Arguea & Richard R. Hawkins, 2015. "The rate elasticity of Florida tourist development (aka bed) taxes," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 47(18), pages 1823-1832, April.
    3. Michael Toma & Richard McGrath & James Payne, 2009. "Hotel tax receipts and the 'Midnight in the Garden of Good and Evil': a time series intervention seasonal ARIMA model with time-varying variance," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 16(7), pages 653-656.
    4. Bonham, Carl & Gangnes, Byron & Zhou, Ting, 2009. "Modeling tourism: A fully identified VECM approach," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 25(3), pages 531-549, July.
    5. Carl Bonham & Christopher Edmonds & James Mak, 2006. "The Impact of 9/11 and Other Terrible Global Events on Tourism in the U.S. and Hawaii," Working Papers 200602, University of Hawaii at Manoa, Department of Economics.
    6. Stephen O'Neill & Lava Prakash Yadav, 2016. "Willingness to pay towards a public good: how does a refund option affect stated values?," Journal of Environmental Planning and Management, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 59(2), pages 342-359, February.
    7. Brida, Juan Gabriel & Pereyra, Juan S., 2008. "Tourism Taxation and Environmental Quality in a Model with Vertical Differentiation," MPRA Paper 25305, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 19 Dec 2008.
    8. Allison Zhou & Carl Bonham & Byron Gangnes, 2007. "Modeling the supply and demand for tourism: a fully identified VECM approach," Working Papers 200717, University of Hawaii at Manoa, Department of Economics.
    9. Robert McComb & Young-Kyu Moh & Anita Schiller, 2011. "Measuring long-run economic effects of natural hazard," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 58(1), pages 559-566, July.
    10. Russu, Paolo, 2012. "Dynamics in a environmental model with tourism taxation," MPRA Paper 37213, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    11. Mohammad Mohebi & Khalid Abdul Rahim & Lee Chin & Khairil Wahidin Awang, 2011. "Tax Exportability in Tourism Market," American Journal of Economics and Business Administration, Science Publications, vol. 3(2), pages 410-415, June.

  15. Carl Bonham & Richard Cohen, 1992. "The Rationality of Price Level Forecasts: Correct Tests Using Micro Data," Working Papers 199204, University of Hawaii at Manoa, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Carl S Bonham & Richard H Cohen, 2000. "To Aggregate, Pool, or Neither: Testing the Rational Expectations Hypothesis Using Survey Data," Working Papers 200003, University of Hawaii at Manoa, Department of Economics.

  16. Carl Bonham & Edwin Fujii & Eric Im & James Mak, 1991. "The Impact of the Hotel Room Tax: An Interrupted Time Series Approach," Working Papers 199124, University of Hawaii at Manoa, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Sour, Laura, 2020. "Financing sustainable tourism in Mexico through hotel room tax," MPRA Paper 115601, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    2. Gurel Cetin & Zaid Alrawadieh & Mithat Zeki Dincer & Fusun Istanbullu Dincer & Dimitri Ioannides, 2017. "Willingness to Pay for Tourist Tax in Destinations: Empirical Evidence from Istanbul," Economies, MDPI, vol. 5(2), pages 1-15, June.
    3. James Mak, 2013. "Are Hotel Property Taxes Fully Passed on to Hotel Guests?," Working Papers 2013-15, University of Hawaii Economic Research Organization, University of Hawaii at Manoa.
    4. KAMKOUM, Arnaud Cedric, 2023. "The Federal Reserve’s Response to the Global Financial Crisis and its Effects: An Interrupted Time-Series Analysis of the Impact of its Quantitative Easing Programs," Thesis Commons d7pvg, Center for Open Science.
    5. James Mak, 2012. "Taxing Hotel Room Sales by Online Travel Companies: What Should Be the Appropriate Tax Base?," Working Papers 2012-5R, University of Hawaii Economic Research Organization, University of Hawaii at Manoa, revised Aug 2012.
    6. Wallace E. Oates & Robert M. Schwab & Wallace E. Oates & Robert M. Schwab, 2004. "The Impact of Urban Land Taxation: The Pittsburgh Experience," Chapters, in: Environmental Policy and Fiscal Federalism, chapter 16, pages 273-293, Edward Elgar Publishing.
    7. Arnaud Cedric Kamkoum, 2023. "The Federal Reserve's Response to the Global Financial Crisis and Its Long-Term Impact: An Interrupted Time-Series Natural Experimental Analysis," Papers 2305.12318, arXiv.org.
    8. Levent Selman GOKTAS & Serkan Polat, 0. "Tourist Tax Practices in European Union Member Countries and Its Applicability in Turkey," Journal of Tourismology, Istanbul University, Faculty of Economics, vol. 5(2), pages 145-158.
    9. Leon Taylor, 1998. "Taxing sales to tourists over time," Public Economics 9810003, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    10. Ian Yeoman, 2022. "How COVID-19 changed things and what we did about it," Journal of Revenue and Pricing Management, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 21(6), pages 579-580, December.
    11. Gelardi, Alexander M.G., 1996. "The Influence of Tax Law Changes on the Timing of Marriages: A Two-Country Analysis," National Tax Journal, National Tax Association;National Tax Journal, vol. 49(1), pages 17-30, March.
    12. Tim Pritchard & Larry DeBoer, 1995. "The Effect of Taxes and Insurance Costs On Automobile Registrations in the United States," Public Finance Review, , vol. 23(3), pages 283-304, July.
    13. Voltaire, Louinord & Pirrone, Claudio & Bailly, Denis, 2013. "Dealing with preference uncertainty in contingent willingness to pay for a nature protection program: A new approach," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 88(C), pages 76-85.
    14. James Mak, 2008. "Taxing Cruise Tourism: Alaska's Head Tax on Cruise Ship Passengers," Tourism Economics, , vol. 14(3), pages 599-614, September.
    15. James Mak, 2016. "State Aid to Local Governments: How Hawaii’s State Government Shares Transient Accommodation Tax Revenues With Its Local Governments," Working Papers 2016-4, University of Hawaii Economic Research Organization, University of Hawaii at Manoa.
    16. Ranjith Ihalanayake, 2012. "Economic Effects of Tourism Tax Changes in Australia: Empirical Evidence from a Computable General Equilibrium Model," Tourism Economics, , vol. 18(1), pages 181-202, February.
    17. James Mak, 2016. "State Aid to Local Governments: How Hawaii’s State Government Shares Transient Accommodation Tax Revenues With Its Local Governments," Working Papers 201605, University of Hawaii at Manoa, Department of Economics.
    18. Yao Cui & Andrew M. Davis, 2022. "Tax-Induced Inequalities in the Sharing Economy," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 68(10), pages 7202-7220, October.
    19. Asma BEN OTHMEN, 2014. "De la mise à contribution des bénéficiaires au financement de la préservation des espaces naturels : tarification de l’accès ou augmentation de taxe?," Cahiers du GREThA (2007-2019) 2014-10, Groupe de Recherche en Economie Théorique et Appliquée (GREThA).
    20. Carl Bonham & Byron Gangnes, 1995. "Intervention Analysis with Cointegrated Time Series: The Case of the Hawaii Hotel Room Tax," Working Papers 199505, University of Hawaii at Manoa, Department of Economics.
    21. Nestor M. Arguea & Richard R. Hawkins, 2022. "Florida tourist development tax changes and the risk to hotel revenue," Journal of Revenue and Pricing Management, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 21(6), pages 685-690, December.
    22. Simon Hudson & Fang Meng & Kevin Kam Fung So & Scott Smith & Jing Li & Rui Qi, 2021. "The effect of lodging tax increases on US destinations," Tourism Economics, , vol. 27(1), pages 205-219, February.
    23. Nishaal Gooroochurn & Thea Sinclair, 2008. "Commodity Taxation in the Presence of Tourists," Tourism Economics, , vol. 14(4), pages 839-856, December.
    24. Charles Swenson, 2022. "Empirical Evidence on the Economic Impacts of Hotel Taxes," Economic Development Quarterly, , vol. 36(1), pages 33-42, February.
    25. James Mak, 2015. "Research Note: Are Hotel Property Taxes Fully Passed on to Hotel Guests? Implications from Recent Research on Property Tax Incidence," Tourism Economics, , vol. 21(4), pages 899-905, August.

  17. Carl Bonham, 1990. "Correct Cointegration Tests of the Long Run Relationship Between Nominal Interest and Inflation," Working Papers 199026, University of Hawaii at Manoa, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Månsson, Kristofer & Shukur, Ghazi & Sjölander, Pär, 2012. "Testing for Panel Cointegration in an Error Correction Framework - with an Application to the Fisher Hypothesis," HUI Working Papers 72, HUI Research.
    2. Iris Claus, 1997. "A Measure of Underlying Inflation in the United States," Staff Working Papers 97-20, Bank of Canada.
    3. Westerlund, Joakim, 2005. "Panel Cointegration Tests of the Fisher Hypothesis," Working Papers 2005:10, Lund University, Department of Economics.
    4. Johnson, Paul, 2004. "Is it Really the Fisher Effect?," Vassar College Department of Economics Working Paper Series 58, Vassar College Department of Economics.
    5. Kate Phylaktis & David Blake, 1993. "The fisher hypothesis: Evidence from three high inflation economies," Review of World Economics (Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv), Springer;Institut für Weltwirtschaft (Kiel Institute for the World Economy), vol. 129(3), pages 591-599, September.
    6. Jeung-Lak Lee & Carolyn Clark & Sung Ahn, 1998. "Long- and short-run Fisher effects: new tests and new results," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 30(1), pages 113-124.
    7. Devadoss, Stephen, 1994. "Cointegration Results Of Farm Incomes And Production Costs In U.S. Agriculture," A.E. Research Series 305121, University of Idaho, Department of Agricultural Economics and Rural Sociology.
    8. Takayasu Ito, 2009. "Fisher Hypothesis in Japan: Analysis of Long‐term Interest Rates under Different Monetary Policy Regimes," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 32(7), pages 1019-1035, July.
    9. Kon Lai, 1997. "Is the real interest rate unstable? Some new evidence," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 29(3), pages 359-364.
    10. Junttila, Juha, 2001. "Testing an Augmented Fisher Hypothesis for a Small Open Economy: The Case of Finland," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 23(4), pages 577-599, October.
    11. Francesca Di Iorio & Stefano Fachin, 2009. "A residual-based bootstrap test for panel cointegration," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 29(4), pages 3222-3232.
    12. Maghyereh, A. & Al-Zoubi, H., 2006. "Does Fisher Effect Apply in Developing Countries: Evidence From a Nonlinear Cotrending Test applied to Argentina, Brazil, Malysia, Mexico, Korea and Turkey," Applied Econometrics and International Development, Euro-American Association of Economic Development, vol. 6(2).
    13. Westerlund, J., 2006. "Panel cointegration tests of the Fisher effect," Research Memorandum 054, Maastricht University, Maastricht Research School of Economics of Technology and Organization (METEOR).
    14. Kon Lai, 1997. "On the disparate evidence on trend stationarity in inflation rates: a reappraisal," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 4(5), pages 305-309.
    15. Yin-Wong Cheung & Javier Gardeazabal & Jesús Vázquez, 2004. "Exchange Rate Dynamics: Where is the Saddle Path?," CESifo Working Paper Series 1129, CESifo.
    16. Seppo Pynnönen & Warren Hogan & Jonathan Batten, 2002. "Expectations and Liquidity in Yen Bond Markets," Journal of the Asia Pacific Economy, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 7(3), pages 335-354.
    17. James Payne & Bradley Ewing, 1997. "Evidence from lesser developed countries on the Fisher hypothesis: a cointegration analysis," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 4(11), pages 683-687.
    18. Chu, Quentin C. & Pittman, Deborah N. & Yu, Linda Q., 2003. "Real rates, nominal rates, and the Fisherian link," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 12(2), pages 189-205.

Articles

  1. Carl Bonham & Ruben Juarez & Nicole Siegal, 2023. "Long COVID and Unemployment in Hawaii," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 20(13), pages 1-12, June.

    Cited by:

    1. C. Vladimir Rodríguez-Caballero & J. Eduardo Vera-Valdés, 2020. "Long-Lasting Economic Effects of Pandemics:Evidence on Growth and Unemployment," Econometrics, MDPI, vol. 8(3), pages 1-16, September.
    2. Prados de la Escosura, Leandro & Rodríguez-Caballero, C. Vladimir, 2022. "War, pandemics, and modern economic growth in Europe," Explorations in Economic History, Elsevier, vol. 86(C).

  2. Hirashima, Ashley & Jones, James & Bonham, Carl S. & Fuleky, Peter, 2017. "Forecasting in a Mixed Up World: Nowcasting Hawaii Tourism," Annals of Tourism Research, Elsevier, vol. 63(C), pages 191-202.

    Cited by:

    1. Edmond H. C. Wu & Jihao Hu & Rui Chen, 2022. "Monitoring and forecasting COVID-19 impacts on hotel occupancy rates with daily visitor arrivals and search queries," Current Issues in Tourism, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 25(3), pages 490-507, February.
    2. Mogliani, Matteo & Darné, Olivier & Pluyaud, Bertrand, 2017. "The new MIBA model: Real-time nowcasting of French GDP using the Banque de France's monthly business survey," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 64(C), pages 26-39.
    3. Eden Xiaoying Jiao & Jason Li Chen, 2019. "Tourism forecasting: A review of methodological developments over the last decade," Tourism Economics, , vol. 25(3), pages 469-492, May.
    4. Ji Wu & Xian Cheng & Stephen Shaoyi Liao, 2020. "Tourism forecast combination using the stochastic frontier analysis technique," Tourism Economics, , vol. 26(7), pages 1086-1107, November.
    5. Katerina Volchek & Anyu Liu & Haiyan Song & Dimitrios Buhalis, 2019. "Forecasting tourist arrivals at attractions: Search engine empowered methodologies," Tourism Economics, , vol. 25(3), pages 425-447, May.
    6. DeMaagd, Nathan & Fuleky, Peter & Burnett, Kimberly & Wada, Christopher, 2022. "Tourism water use during the COVID-19 shutdown," Annals of Tourism Research, Elsevier, vol. 97(C).
    7. Shaolong Suna & Dan Bi & Ju-e Guo & Shouyang Wang, 2020. "Seasonal and Trend Forecasting of Tourist Arrivals: An Adaptive Multiscale Ensemble Learning Approach," Papers 2002.08021, arXiv.org, revised Mar 2020.
    8. A Fronzetti Colladon & B Guardabascio & R Innarella, 2021. "Using social network and semantic analysis to analyze online travel forums and forecast tourism demand," Papers 2105.07727, arXiv.org.
    9. Jiao, Xiaoying & Chen, Jason Li & Li, Gang, 2021. "Forecasting tourism demand: Developing a general nesting spatiotemporal model," Annals of Tourism Research, Elsevier, vol. 90(C).
    10. Wanhai You & Yuming Huang & Chien‐Chiang Lee, 2024. "Forecasting tourist flows in the COVID‐19 era using nonparametric mixed‐frequency VARs," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 43(2), pages 473-489, March.
    11. Yang, Yang & Zhang, Honglei, 2019. "Spatial-temporal forecasting of tourism demand," Annals of Tourism Research, Elsevier, vol. 75(C), pages 106-119.
    12. Han Liu & Yongjing Wang & Haiyan Song & Ying Liu, 2023. "Measuring tourism demand nowcasting performance using a monotonicity test," Tourism Economics, , vol. 29(5), pages 1302-1327, August.

  3. Coffman, Makena & Wee, Sherilyn & Bonham, Carl & Salim, Germaine, 2016. "A policy analysis of Hawaii's solar tax credit," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 85(C), pages 1036-1043.

    Cited by:

    1. Hanson, Eric & Canfield, Casey & Fikru, Mahelet G. & Sumner, Jenny, 2023. "State-level trends in renewable energy procurement via solar installation versus green electricity," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 218(C).
    2. Kai Chang & Ning Lu & Ze Sheng Li & Yi Ran Wang, 2021. "The combined impacts of fiscal and credit policies on green firm's investment opportunity: Evidences from Chinese firm‐level analysis," Managerial and Decision Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(7), pages 1822-1835, October.
    3. Lee, Minhyun & Hong, Taehoon & Koo, Choongwan, 2016. "An economic impact analysis of state solar incentives for improving financial performance of residential solar photovoltaic systems in the United States," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 590-607.
    4. Nori Tarui, 2017. "Electric utility regulation under enhanced renewable energy integration and distributed generation," Environmental Economics and Policy Studies, Springer;Society for Environmental Economics and Policy Studies - SEEPS, vol. 19(3), pages 503-518, July.
    5. Wee, Sherilyn, 2016. "The effect of residential solar photovoltaic systems on home value: A case study of Hawai‘i," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 91(C), pages 282-292.
    6. Haghi, Ehsan & Raahemifar, Kaamran & Fowler, Michael, 2018. "Investigating the effect of renewable energy incentives and hydrogen storage on advantages of stakeholders in a microgrid," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 113(C), pages 206-222.
    7. Makena Coffman & Scott F. Allen & Sherilyn Wee, 2018. "Determinants of Residential Solar Photovoltaic Adoption," Working Papers 2018-1, University of Hawaii Economic Research Organization, University of Hawaii at Manoa.
    8. Stecanella, Priscilla A. Juá & Camargos, Ronaldo S.C. & Vieira, Daniel & Domingues, Elder G. & Ferreira Filho, Anésio de L., 2022. "A methodology for determining the incentive policy for photovoltaic distributed generation that leverages its technical benefits in the distribution system," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 199(C), pages 474-485.
    9. Stewart, Fraser, 2021. "All for sun, sun for all: Can community energy help to overcome socioeconomic inequalities in low-carbon technology subsidies?," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 157(C).
    10. Stewart, Fraser, 2022. "Friends with benefits: How income and peer diffusion combine to create an inequality “trap” in the uptake of low-carbon technologies," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 163(C).

  4. Fuleky, Peter & Bonham, Carl S., 2015. "Forecasting With Mixed-Frequency Factor Models In The Presence Of Common Trends," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 19(4), pages 753-775, June.

    Cited by:

    1. Carl Bonham & Peter Fuleky & James Jones & Ashley Hirashima, 2015. "Nowcasting Tourism Industry Performance Using High Frequency Covariates," Working Papers 2015-13R, University of Hawaii Economic Research Organization, University of Hawaii at Manoa, revised Jul 2016.
    2. Hirashima, Ashley & Jones, James & Bonham, Carl S. & Fuleky, Peter, 2017. "Forecasting in a Mixed Up World: Nowcasting Hawaii Tourism," Annals of Tourism Research, Elsevier, vol. 63(C), pages 191-202.
    3. Catherine Doz & Peter Fuleky, 2019. "Dynamic Factor Models," PSE Working Papers halshs-02262202, HAL.
    4. Poncela, Pilar & Ruiz, Esther & Miranda, Karen, 2021. "Factor extraction using Kalman filter and smoothing: This is not just another survey," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 37(4), pages 1399-1425.

  5. Carl Bonham & Calla Wiemer, 2013. "Chinese saving dynamics: the impact of GDP growth and the dependent share," Oxford Economic Papers, Oxford University Press, vol. 65(1), pages 173-196, January.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  6. Amornthum, Somchai & Bonham, Carl S., 2011. "Financial integration in the pacific basin region: RIP by PANIC attack?," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 30(6), pages 1019-1033, October.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  7. Bonham, Carl & Gangnes, Byron & Zhou, Ting, 2009. "Modeling tourism: A fully identified VECM approach," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 25(3), pages 531-549, July.

    Cited by:

    1. Nanthakumar Loganathan & Ang Shy Han & Mori Kogid, 2013. "Demand for Indonesia, Singapore and Thailand Tourist to Malaysia:Seasonal Unit Root and Multivariate Analysis," International Journal of Economics and Empirical Research (IJEER), The Economics and Social Development Organization (TESDO), vol. 1(2), pages 15-23, Februray.
    2. Majid Eskafi & Milad Kowsari & Ali Dastgheib & Gudmundur F. Ulfarsson & Gunnar Stefansson & Poonam Taneja & Ragnheidur I. Thorarinsdottir, 2021. "A model for port throughput forecasting using Bayesian estimation," Maritime Economics & Logistics, Palgrave Macmillan;International Association of Maritime Economists (IAME), vol. 23(2), pages 348-368, June.
    3. Sheng, Li, 2011. "Taxing tourism and subsidizing non-tourism: A welfare-enhancing solution to “Dutch disease”?," Tourism Management, Elsevier, vol. 32(5), pages 1223-1228.
    4. Divino, J.A. & McAleer, M.J., 2008. "Modelling sustainable international tourism demand to the Brazilian Amazon," Econometric Institute Research Papers EI 2008-22, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Erasmus School of Economics (ESE), Econometric Institute.
    5. Carl S. Bonham & Peter Fuleky & Qianxue Zhao, 2013. "Estimating Demand Elasticities in Non-Stationary Panels: The Case of Hawaii's Tourism Industry," Working Papers 201303, University of Hawaii at Manoa, Department of Economics.
    6. Azmat Gani & Michael D. Clemes, 2017. "The main determinants effecting international visitor arrivals in New Zealand," Tourism Economics, , vol. 23(5), pages 921-940, August.
    7. Jose Angelo Divino & Michael McAleer, 2009. "Modelling and Forecasting Daily International Mass Tourism to Peru," CIRJE F-Series CIRJE-F-651, CIRJE, Faculty of Economics, University of Tokyo.
    8. Denise Eby Konan, 2010. "Limits to Growth: Tourism and Regional Labor Migration," Working Papers 2010-14, University of Hawaii Economic Research Organization, University of Hawaii at Manoa.
    9. Amira Gasmi & Seifallah Sassi, 2015. "International tourism demand in Tunisia: Evidence from dynamic panel data model," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 35(1), pages 507-518.
    10. Becken, Susanne & Lennox, James, 2012. "Implications of a long-term increase in oil prices for tourism," Tourism Management, Elsevier, vol. 33(1), pages 133-142.
    11. George Athanasopoulos & Rob J Hyndman & Haiyan Song & Doris C Wu, 2008. "The tourism forecasting competition," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers 10/08, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics, revised Oct 2009.
    12. Song, Haiyan & Qiu, Richard T.R. & Park, Jinah, 2019. "A review of research on tourism demand forecasting," Annals of Tourism Research, Elsevier, vol. 75(C), pages 338-362.
    13. Armand Viljoen & Andrea Saayman & Melville Saayman, 2019. "Determinants influencing inbound arrivals to Africa," Tourism Economics, , vol. 25(6), pages 856-883, September.
    14. E. M. Ekanayake & Mihalis Halkides & John R. Ledgerwood, 2012. "Inbound International Tourism To The United States: A Panel Data Analysis," International Journal of Management and Marketing Research, The Institute for Business and Finance Research, vol. 5(3), pages 15-27.
    15. Farhan Abdi Omar & Abdishakur Mohamed Hussein, 2020. "The Stability of Money Demand Function: Evidence from South Africa," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 10(5), pages 16-22.
    16. Sergej Gricar & Stefan Bojnec & Vesna Karadzic & Svetlana Rakocevic, 2016. "Comparative Analysis of Tourism-Led Growth in Slovenia and Montenegro," Managing Global Transitions, University of Primorska, Faculty of Management Koper, vol. 14(1 (Spring), pages 75-92.
    17. Ulrich Gunter, 2021. "Improving Hotel Room Demand Forecasts for Vienna across Hotel Classes and Forecast Horizons: Single Models and Combination Techniques Based on Encompassing Tests," Forecasting, MDPI, vol. 3(4), pages 1-36, November.
    18. Cao, Zheng & Li, Gang & Song, Haiyan, 2017. "Modelling the interdependence of tourism demand: The global vector autoregressive approach," Annals of Tourism Research, Elsevier, vol. 67(C), pages 1-13.
    19. Jose Angelo Divino & Michael McAleer, 2009. "Modelling the Growth and Volatility in Daily International Mass Tourism to Peru," Documentos de Trabajo del ICAE 2009-15, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales, Instituto Complutense de Análisis Económico.
    20. Andrea Saayman & Jacques de Klerk, 2019. "Forecasting tourist arrivals using multivariate singular spectrum analysis," Tourism Economics, , vol. 25(3), pages 330-354, May.
    21. Petr Štumpf & Jitka Mattyašovská & Adriana Krištùfková, 2021. "Restart of Hospitality and Tourism: System Dynamics and Scenario-Based Modelling," Academica Turistica - Tourism and Innovation Journal, University of Primorska Press, vol. 14(2), pages 125-136.
    22. Nicholas Apergis & Andrea Mervar & James E. Payne, 2017. "Forecasting disaggregated tourist arrivals in Croatia," Tourism Economics, , vol. 23(1), pages 78-98, February.
    23. Mesfin Bekele Gebbisa & Abdi Shukri Yasin & Zsuzsanna Bacsi, 2024. "Impacts of Weather Variability on the International Tourism Receipts—Evidence from Ethiopia (1995–2019)," Tourism and Hospitality, MDPI, vol. 5(2), pages 1-23, May.
    24. Azmat Gani, 2022. "Using a consumer choice model to explain the effect of the newly developed oxford COVID-19 government stringency measure on hotel occupancy rates," Quality & Quantity: International Journal of Methodology, Springer, vol. 56(6), pages 4313-4333, December.
    25. Timothy Halliday & Hui He & Hao Zhang, 2010. "Health Investment over the Life-Cycle," Working Papers 201020, University of Hawaii at Manoa, Department of Economics.

  8. Carl Bonham & Byron Gangnes & Ari Van Assche, 2007. "Fragmentation and East Asia's information technology trade," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 39(2), pages 215-228.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  9. Bonham, Carl S & Cohen, Richard H, 2001. "To Aggregate, Pool, or Neither: Testing the Rational-Expectations Hypothesis Using Survey Data," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 19(3), pages 278-291, July.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  10. Robert D. Laurent & J. Bradford De Long & George Bredon & Martin Shanahan & Carl S. Bonham & Richard H. Cohen, 2000. "Correspondence," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 14(4), pages 225-230, Fall.

    Cited by:

    1. Nicola Lansdell & Lata Gangadharan, 2003. "Comparing Travel Cost Models And The Precision Of Their Consumer Surplus Estimates: Albert Park And Maroondah Reservoir," Australian Economic Papers, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 42(4), pages 399-417, December.

  11. Bonham, Carl & Cohen, Richard, 1995. "Testing the Rationality of Price Forecasts: Comment," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 85(1), pages 284-289, March.

    Cited by:

    1. Laurence Ball & Dean Croushore, 1998. "Expectations and the effects of monetary policy," Working Papers 98-13, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia.
    2. Graham Elliott & Ivana Komunjer & Allan Timmermann, 2008. "Biases in Macroeconomic Forecasts: Irrationality or Asymmetric Loss?," Journal of the European Economic Association, MIT Press, vol. 6(1), pages 122-157, March.
    3. Fernando Borraz & Laura Zacheo, 2018. "Inattention, Disagreement and Internal (In)Consistency of Inflation Forecasts," Documentos de trabajo 2018007, Banco Central del Uruguay.
    4. Eugene N. White & John Landon-Lane & Adam Klug, 2002. "How Could Everyone Have Been So Wrong? Forecasting The Great Depression With The Railroads," Departmental Working Papers 200209, Rutgers University, Department of Economics.
    5. Francis X. Diebold & Jose A. Lopez, 1996. "Forecast Evaluation and Combination," NBER Technical Working Papers 0192, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    6. Yin-Wong Cheung & Menzie D. Chinn, 1999. "Are Macroeconomic Forecasts Informative? Cointegration Evidence from the ASA-NBER Surveys," NBER Working Papers 6926, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    7. Miah, Fazlul & Rahman, M. Saifur & Albinali, Khalid, 2016. "Rationality of survey based inflation expectations: A study of 18 emerging economies’ inflation forecasts," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 36(C), pages 158-166.
    8. Carl Bonham & Richard Cohen & Shigeyuki Abe, 2006. "The Rationality and Heterogeneity of Survey Forecasts of the Yen-Dollar Exchange Rate: A Reexamination," Working Papers 200611, University of Hawaii at Manoa, Department of Economics.
    9. Tobias F. Rötheli, 1999. "Selling prices and profits: what survey data tell about firms' rationality," Managerial and Decision Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 20(6), pages 319-325.
    10. Timmermann, Allan & Elliott, Graham & Komunjer, Ivana, 2003. "Estimating Loss Function Parameters," CEPR Discussion Papers 3821, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    11. Robert W. Rich & Joseph Tracy, 2003. "Modeling uncertainty: predictive accuracy as a proxy for predictive confidence," Staff Reports 161, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
    12. Tom Stark, 1997. "Macroeconomic forecasts and microeconomic forecasters in the Survey of Professional Forecasters," Working Papers 97-10, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia.
    13. Davies, Antony, 2006. "A framework for decomposing shocks and measuring volatilities derived from multi-dimensional panel data of survey forecasts," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 22(2), pages 373-393.
    14. Paul Bennett & In Sun Geoum & David S. Laster, 1997. "Rational bias in macroeconomic forecasts," Staff Reports 21, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
    15. Alexander, Marcus & Christakis, Nicholas A., 2008. "Bias and asymmetric loss in expert forecasts: A study of physician prognostic behavior with respect to patient survival," Journal of Health Economics, Elsevier, vol. 27(4), pages 1095-1108, July.
    16. Scott Schuh, 2001. "An evaluation of recent macroeconomic forecast errors," New England Economic Review, Federal Reserve Bank of Boston, pages 35-56.

  12. Bonham, Carl & Fujii, Edwin & Im, Eric & Mak, James, 1992. "The Impact of the Hotel Room Tax: An Interrupted Time Series Approach," National Tax Journal, National Tax Association;National Tax Journal, vol. 45(4), pages 433-441, December.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  13. Carl Bonham & Sumner J. La Croix, 1992. "Forecasting Earnings Growth and Discount Rates: New Evidence From Time Series Analysis," Journal of Forensic Economics, National Association of Forensic Economics, vol. 5(3), pages 221-231, September.

    Cited by:

    1. Wagner Neal F & Thompson Mark A, 2009. "Forecasting the Periodic Net Discount Rate with Genetic Programming," Journal of Business Valuation and Economic Loss Analysis, De Gruyter, vol. 4(1), pages 1-15, October.

  14. Bonham, Carl S & Dacy, Douglas C, 1991. "In Search of a "Strictly Rational" Forecast," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 73(2), pages 245-253, May.

    Cited by:

    1. Pesaran, M. Hashem & Weale, Martin, 2006. "Survey Expectations," Handbook of Economic Forecasting, in: G. Elliott & C. Granger & A. Timmermann (ed.), Handbook of Economic Forecasting, edition 1, volume 1, chapter 14, pages 715-776, Elsevier.
    2. Yin-Wong Cheung & Menzie D. Chinn, 1999. "Are Macroeconomic Forecasts Informative? Cointegration Evidence from the ASA-NBER Surveys," NBER Working Papers 6926, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    3. Ali, Syed Zahid & Anwar, Sajid, 2017. "Exchange rate pass through, cost channel to monetary policy transmission, adaptive learning, and the price puzzle," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 69-82.
    4. Schaefer, Matthew P. & Myers, Robert J., 1999. "Forecasting Accuracy, Rational Expectations And Market Efficiency In The Us Beef Cattle Industry," 1999 Annual meeting, August 8-11, Nashville, TN 21487, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
    5. Markiewicz, Agnieszka & Pick, Andreas, 2014. "Adaptive learning and survey data," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 107(PB), pages 685-707.
    6. Dean Croushore, 2012. "Forecast bias in two dimensions," Working Papers 12-9, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia.
    7. Lopez-Calix, Jose R., 1998. "Are Pick data on parallel exchange rates misleading?," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 59(2), pages 223-230, May.

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