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The Crash of '87: Was It Expected? The Evidence from Options Markets
Citations
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As found by EconAcademics.org, the blog aggregator for Economics research:- Scientists Seek Warning Signs for Catastrophic Tipping Points
by Brandon Keim in Wired Science on 2009-09-02 22:48:33
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Cited by:
- Irma Alonso & Pedro Serrano & Antoni Vaello-Sebastià, 2021. "The impact of heterogeneous unconventional monetary policies on the expectations of market crashes," Working Papers 2127, Banco de España.
- Della Corte, Pasquale & Sarno, Lucio & Tsiakas, Ilias, 2011.
"Spot and forward volatility in foreign exchange,"
Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 100(3), pages 496-513, June.
- Sarno, Lucio & Della Corte, Pasquale & Tsiakas, Ilias, 2010. "Spot and Forward Volatility in Foreign Exchange," CEPR Discussion Papers 7893, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Ravi Bansal & Ivan Shaliastovich, 2011.
"Learning and Asset-price Jumps,"
The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 24(8), pages 2738-2780.
- Ravi Bansal & Ivan Shaliastovich, 2009. "Learning and Asset-Price Jumps," NBER Working Papers 14814, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- George J. Jiang & Pieter J. van der Sluis, 1999.
"Index Option Pricing Models with Stochastic Volatility and Stochastic Interest Rates,"
Review of Finance, European Finance Association, vol. 3(3), pages 273-310.
- Jiang, G.J. & van der Sluis, P.J., 2000. "Index Option Pricing Models with Stochastic Volatility and Stochastic Interest Rates," Other publications TiSEM c0839083-c128-4a3f-a2c5-f, Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management.
- Jiang, G.J. & van der Sluis, P.J., 2000. "Index Option Pricing Models with Stochastic Volatility and Stochastic Interest Rates," Discussion Paper 2000-36, Tilburg University, Center for Economic Research.
- Arismendi, Juan & Genaro, Alan De, 2016. "A Monte Carlo multi-asset option pricing approximation for general stochastic processes," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 88(C), pages 75-99.
- Barro, Robert J. & Liao, Gordon Y., 2021. "Rare disaster probability and options pricing," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 139(3), pages 750-769.
- Simona Sanfelici, 2007. "Calibration of a nonlinear feedback option pricing model," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 7(1), pages 95-110.
- Christian Gouriéroux & Alain Monfort & Sarah Mouabbi & Jean-Paul Renne, 2021.
"Disastrous Defaults [Risk premia and term premia in general equilibrium],"
Review of Finance, European Finance Association, vol. 25(6), pages 1727-1772.
- Gouriéroux Christian & Monfort Alain & Mouabbi Sarah & Renne Jean-Paul, 2020. "Disastrous Defaults," Working papers 778, Banque de France.
- Gouriéroux, Christian & Monfort, Alain & Mouabbi, Sarah & Renne, Jean-Paul, 2021. "Disastrous Defaults," TSE Working Papers 21-1237, Toulouse School of Economics (TSE).
- Nakamura, Hisashi & Shiratsuka, Shigenori, 1999.
"Extracting Market Expectations from Option Prices: Case Studies in Japanese Option Markets,"
Monetary and Economic Studies, Institute for Monetary and Economic Studies, Bank of Japan, vol. 17(1), pages 1-43, May.
- Hisashi Nakamura & Shigenori Shiratsuka, 1999. "Extracting market expectations from option prices: case studies in Japanese option markets," Working Paper Series WP-99-1, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago.
- Alexander David & Pietro Veronesi, 2014. "Investors' and Central Bank's Uncertainty Embedded in Index Options," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 27(6), pages 1661-1716.
- Jozef Barunik & Jiri Kukacka, 2015.
"Realizing stock market crashes: stochastic cusp catastrophe model of returns under time-varying volatility,"
Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 15(6), pages 959-973, June.
- Jozef Barunik & Jiri Kukacka, 2013. "Realizing stock market crashes: stochastic cusp catastrophe model of returns under the time-varying volatility," Papers 1302.7036, arXiv.org, revised May 2013.
- Baruník, Jozef & Kukacka, Jiri, 2014. "Realizing stock market crashes: stochastic cusp catastrophe model of returns under time-varying volatility," FinMaP-Working Papers 15, Collaborative EU Project FinMaP - Financial Distortions and Macroeconomic Performance: Expectations, Constraints and Interaction of Agents.
- Karen K. Lewis, 2011.
"Global Asset Pricing,"
Annual Review of Financial Economics, Annual Reviews, vol. 3(1), pages 435-466, December.
- Karen K. Lewis, 2011. "Global asset pricing," Globalization Institute Working Papers 88, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas.
- Karen K. Lewis, 2011. "Global Asset Pricing," NBER Working Papers 17261, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Andreou, Panayiotis C. & Charalambous, Chris & Martzoukos, Spiros H., 2010. "Generalized parameter functions for option pricing," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 34(3), pages 633-646, March.
- Della Corte, Pasquale & Ramadorai, Tarun & Sarno, Lucio, 2016.
"Volatility risk premia and exchange rate predictability,"
Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 120(1), pages 21-40.
- Sarno, Lucio & Della Corte, Pasquale, 2013. "Volatility Risk Premia and Exchange Rate Predictability," CEPR Discussion Papers 9549, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Kim, In Joon & Kim, Sol, 2004. "Empirical comparison of alternative stochastic volatility option pricing models: Evidence from Korean KOSPI 200 index options market," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 12(2), pages 117-142, April.
- Yu, Xisheng & Xie, Xiaoke, 2015. "Pricing American options: RNMs-constrained entropic least-squares approach," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 31(C), pages 155-173.
- Peng Cheng & Olivier Scaillet, 2002.
"Linear-Quadratic Jump-Diffusion Modeling with Application to Stochastic Volatility,"
FAME Research Paper Series
rp67, International Center for Financial Asset Management and Engineering.
- Olivier Scaillet., 2003. "Linear-Quadratic Jump-Diffusion Modelling with Application to Stochastic Volatility," THEMA Working Papers 2003-29, THEMA (THéorie Economique, Modélisation et Applications), Université de Cergy-Pontoise.
- Sol Kim & In Jung Song, 2021. "The traders' rule and long‐term options," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 41(3), pages 406-436, March.
- Y. Wang & H. Yin & L. Qi, 2004. "No-Arbitrage Interpolation of the Option Price Function and Its Reformulation," Journal of Optimization Theory and Applications, Springer, vol. 120(3), pages 627-649, March.
- Alberto Bueno-Guerrero & Steven P. Clark, 2023. "Option Pricing under a Generalized Black–Scholes Model with Stochastic Interest Rates, Stochastic Strings, and Lévy Jumps," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 12(1), pages 1-39, December.
- Eric Benhamou & Alexandre Duguet, 2000. "A 2 Dimensional Pde For Discrete Asian Options," Computing in Economics and Finance 2000 33, Society for Computational Economics.
- Roy Stein & Yoel Hecht, 2003. "Distribution of the Exchange Rate Implicit in Option Prices: Application to TASE," Bank of Israel Working Papers 2003.05b, Bank of Israel.
- Gradojevic Nikola, 2016.
"Multi-criteria classification for pricing European options,"
Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 20(2), pages 123-139, April.
- Nikola Gradojevic, 2015. "Multi-criteria Classification for Pricing European Options," Working Paper series 15-13, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis.
- Richter, Andries & Dakos, Vasilis, 2015. "Profit fluctuations signal eroding resilience of natural resources," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 117(C), pages 12-21.
- Peter Carr & Liuren Wu, 2014.
"Static Hedging of Standard Options,"
Journal of Financial Econometrics, Oxford University Press, vol. 12(1), pages 3-46.
- Peter Carr & Liuren Wu, 2013. "Static Hedging of Standard Options," Journal of Financial Econometrics, Oxford University Press, vol. 12(1), pages 3-46, December.
- Peter Carr & Liuren Wu, 2004. "Static Hedging of Standard Options," Finance 0409016, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- S H Martzoukos, 2009. "Real R&D options and optimal activation of two-dimensional random controls," Journal of the Operational Research Society, Palgrave Macmillan;The OR Society, vol. 60(6), pages 843-858, June.
- Jung‐Soon Shin & Minki Kim & Dongjun Oh & Tong Suk Kim, 2019. "Do hedge funds time market tail risk? Evidence from option‐implied tail risk," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 39(2), pages 205-237, February.
- Carey, Alexander, 2005. "Higher-order volatility," MPRA Paper 4993, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Soderlind, Paul & Svensson, Lars, 1997.
"New techniques to extract market expectations from financial instruments,"
Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 40(2), pages 383-429, October.
- Söderlind, Paul & Svensson, Lars E.O., 1996. "New Techniques to Extract Market expectations from Financial Instruments," SSE/EFI Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance 142, Stockholm School of Economics.
- Paul Soderlind & Lars E. O. Svensson, 1997. "New Techniques to Extract Market Expectations from Financial Instruments," NBER Working Papers 5877, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Söderlind, Paul & Svensson, Lars E O, 1997. "New Techniques to Extract Market Expectations from Financial Instruments," CEPR Discussion Papers 1556, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Soderlind, P & Svensson, L-E-O, 1996. "New Techniques to Extract Market Expectations from Financial Instruments," Papers 621, Stockholm - International Economic Studies.
- Söderlind, Paul & Svensson, Lars E.O., 1997. "New Techniques to Extract Market Expectations from Financial Instruments," Seminar Papers 621, Stockholm University, Institute for International Economic Studies.
- Cho-Hoi Hui & Tsz-Kin Chung, 2010. "The Risk of Sudden Depreciation of the Euro in the Sovereign Debt Crisis of 2009-2010," Working Papers 252010, Hong Kong Institute for Monetary Research.
- Maxime Charlebois & Stephen Sapp, 2007. "Temporal Patterns in Foreign Exchange Returns and Options," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 39(2‐3), pages 443-470, March.
- Kuo-Shing Chen & Yu-Chuan Huang, 2021. "Detecting Jump Risk and Jump-Diffusion Model for Bitcoin Options Pricing and Hedging," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 9(20), pages 1-24, October.
- Jer-Shiou Chiou & Pei-Shan Wu & Ming-Chih Lee, 2006. "Variation of interest-rate parity and its asymmetry on stock return in a jump-diffusion process," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 16(17), pages 1309-1316.
- Marcus Miller & Paul Weller & Lei Zhang, 2002.
"Moral Hazard and the US Stock Market: Analysing the "Greenspan Put","
Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 112(478), pages 171-186, March.
- Marcus H. Miller & Paul Weller & Lei Zhang, 2002. "Moral Hazard and the US Stockmarket: Analyzing the "Greenspan Put"," Working Paper Series WP02-1, Peterson Institute for International Economics.
- Zhang, Lei & Chen, Yan & Bouri, Elie, 2024. "Time-varying jump intensity and volatility forecasting of crude oil returns," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 129(C).
- Jondeau, Eric & Rockinger, Michael, 2000.
"Reading the smile: the message conveyed by methods which infer risk neutral densities,"
Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 19(6), pages 885-915, December.
- Michael Rockinger & Eric Jondeau, 1997. "Reading the Smile: The Message Conveyed by Methods which Infer Risk Neutral Densities," Working Papers hal-00601591, HAL.
- Jondeau, Eric & Rockinger, Michael, 1998. "Reading the Smile: The Message Conveyed by Methods which Infer Risk Neutral Densities," CEPR Discussion Papers 2009, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Megaritis, Anastasios & Vlastakis, Nikolaos & Triantafyllou, Athanasios, 2021.
"Stock market volatility and jumps in times of uncertainty,"
Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 113(C).
- Megaritis, Anastasios & Vlastakis, Nikolaos & Triantafyllou, Athanasios, 2020. "Stock market volatility and jumps in times of uncertainty," Essex Finance Centre Working Papers 29200, University of Essex, Essex Business School.
- Shiller, Robert J., 1999.
"Human behavior and the efficiency of the financial system,"
Handbook of Macroeconomics, in: J. B. Taylor & M. Woodford (ed.), Handbook of Macroeconomics, edition 1, volume 1, chapter 20, pages 1305-1340,
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- Robert J. Shiller, 1998. "Human Behavior and the Efficiency of the Financial System," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 1172, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University.
- Costas Siriopoulos & Athanasios Fassas, 2013. "Dynamic relations of uncertainty expectations: a conditional assessment of implied volatility indices," Review of Derivatives Research, Springer, vol. 16(3), pages 233-266, October.
- Irving Fisher Committee, 2003. "Proceedings of the IFC Conference on "Challenges to Central Bank Statistical Activities", Basel, August 2002," IFC Bulletins, Bank for International Settlements, number 14.
- Chen, Gongmeng & Choi, Yoon K. & Zhou, Yong, 2008. "Detections of changes in return by a wavelet smoother with conditional heteroscedastic volatility," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 143(2), pages 227-262, April.
- Timothy Sharp & Steven Li & David Allen, 2010. "Empirical performance of affine option pricing models: evidence from the Australian index options market," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 20(6), pages 501-514.
- Audrino, Francesco & Huitema, Robert & Ludwig, Markus, 2014. "An Empirical Analysis of the Ross Recovery Theorem," Economics Working Paper Series 1411, University of St. Gallen, School of Economics and Political Science.
- Dilip B. Madan, 2015. "Estimating Parametric Models of Probability Distributions," Methodology and Computing in Applied Probability, Springer, vol. 17(3), pages 823-831, September.
- Da Silva, M. E. & Guimarães, B. V., 1999. "Precificação de Opções com Volatilidade Estocástica e Saltos," Finance Lab Working Papers flwp_11, Finance Lab, Insper Instituto de Ensino e Pesquisa.
- Romuald Kenmoe & Simona Sanfelici, 2014. "An application of nonparametric volatility estimators to option pricing," Decisions in Economics and Finance, Springer;Associazione per la Matematica, vol. 37(2), pages 393-412, October.
- Rombouts, Jeroen V.K. & Stentoft, Lars, 2014.
"Bayesian option pricing using mixed normal heteroskedasticity models,"
Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 588-605.
- Jeroen V.K. Rombouts & Lars Stentoft, 2009. "Bayesian Option Pricing Using Mixed Normal Heteroskedasticity Models," Cahiers de recherche 0926, CIRPEE.
- Jeroen V.K. Rombouts & Lars Stentoft, 2009. "Bayesian Option Pricing Using Mixed Normal Heteroskedasticity Models," CREATES Research Papers 2009-07, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
- ROMBOUTS, Jeroen V.K. & STENTOFT, Lars, 2009. "Bayesian option pricing using mixed normal heteroskedasticity models," LIDAM Discussion Papers CORE 2009013, Université catholique de Louvain, Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE).
- Jeroen Rombouts & Lars Stentoft, 2009. "Bayesian Option Pricing Using Mixed Normal Heteroskedasticity Models," CIRANO Working Papers 2009s-19, CIRANO.
- G. William Schwert, 1997.
"Stock Market Volatility: Ten Years After the Crash,"
Center for Financial Institutions Working Papers
97-51, Wharton School Center for Financial Institutions, University of Pennsylvania.
- G. William Schwert, 1998. "Stock Market Volatility: Ten Years After the Crash," NBER Working Papers 6381, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Thomas Busch, 2008. "Testing the martingale restriction for option implied densities," Review of Derivatives Research, Springer, vol. 11(1), pages 61-81, March.
- David S. Bates, 2001. "The Market for Crash Risk," NBER Working Papers 8557, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Broadie, Mark & Detemple, Jerome & Ghysels, Eric & Torres, Olivier, 2000.
"Nonparametric estimation of American options' exercise boundaries and call prices,"
Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 24(11-12), pages 1829-1857, October.
- Mark Broadie & Jérôme Detemple & Eric Ghysels & Olivier Torrès, 1996. "Nonparametric Estimation of American Options Exercise Boundaries and Call Prices," CIRANO Working Papers 96s-24, CIRANO.
- Michael Shafer & Edward Szado, 2020. "Environmental, social, and governance practices and perceived tail risk," Accounting and Finance, Accounting and Finance Association of Australia and New Zealand, vol. 60(4), pages 4195-4224, December.
- Busch, Thomas & Christensen, Bent Jesper & Nielsen, Morten Ørregaard, 2011.
"The role of implied volatility in forecasting future realized volatility and jumps in foreign exchange, stock, and bond markets,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 160(1), pages 48-57, January.
- Thomas Busch & Bent Jesper Christensen & Morten Ørregaard Nielsen, 2007. "The Role of Implied Volatility in Forecasting Future Realized Volatility and Jumps in Foreign Exchange, Stock, and Bond Markets," CREATES Research Papers 2007-09, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
- Bent Jesper Christensen & Morten Ø. Nielsen & Thomas Busch, 2008. "The Role Of Implied Volatility In Forecasting Future Realized Volatility And Jumps In Foreign Exchange, Stock, And Bond Markets," Working Paper 1181, Economics Department, Queen's University.
- François-Éric Racicot & William F Rentz & David Tessier & Raymond Théoret, 2019. "The conditional Fama-French model and endogenous illiquidity: A robust instrumental variables test," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 14(9), pages 1-26, September.
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European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 114(2), pages 249-262, April.
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- Bin Xie & Weiping Li & Nan Liang, 2021. "Pricing S&P 500 Index Options with L\'evy Jumps," Papers 2111.10033, arXiv.org, revised Nov 2021.
- Haas, Markus & Mittnik, Stefan & Mizrach, Bruce, 2006.
"Assessing central bank credibility during the ERM crises: Comparing option and spot market-based forecasts,"
Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 2(1), pages 28-54, April.
- Markus Haas & Stefan Mittnik & Bruce Mizrach, 2004. "Assessing Central Bank Credibility During the EMS Crises: Comparing Option and Spot Market-Based Forecasts," Departmental Working Papers 200424, Rutgers University, Department of Economics.
- Haas, Markus & Mittnik, Stefan & Mizrach, Bruce, 2005. "Assessing central bank credibility during the EMS crises: Comparing option and spot market-based forecasts," CFS Working Paper Series 2005/09, Center for Financial Studies (CFS).
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"Adaptive Expectations And Stock Market Crashes,"
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International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 30(1), pages 78-98.
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- Jeroen Rombouts & Lars Stentoft & Francesco Violente, 2012. "The Value of Multivariate Model Sophistication: An Application to pricing Dow Jones Industrial Average Options," CIRANO Working Papers 2012s-05, CIRANO.
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"Mispriced index option portfolios,"
Financial Management, Financial Management Association International, vol. 49(2), pages 297-330, June.
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"State-controlled companies and political risk: Evidence from the 2014 Brazilian election,"
Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 159(C), pages 66-78.
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"Option prices under Bayesian learning: implied volatility dynamics and predictive densities,"
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"Short-Term Market Risks Implied by Weekly Options,"
Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 72(3), pages 1335-1386, June.
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"Normal mixture GARCH(1,1): applications to exchange rate modelling,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 21(3), pages 307-336, April.
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- Ren-Raw Chen & Oded Palmon, 2005. "A Non-Parametric Option Pricing Model: Theory and Empirical Evidence," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 24(2), pages 115-134, January.
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- Andersson, Magnus & Lomakka, Magnus, 2003. "Evaluating Implied RNDs by some New Confidence Interval Estimation Techniques," Working Paper Series 146, Sveriges Riksbank (Central Bank of Sweden).
- Eric Benhamou, 2002. "Option pricing with Levy Process," Finance 0212006, University Library of Munich, Germany.
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- Kang, Byung Jin & Kim, Tong Suk, 2006. "Option-implied risk preferences: An extension to wider classes of utility functions," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 9(2), pages 180-198, May.
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- Michal Czerwonko & Stylianos Perrakis, 2016. "Portfolio Selection with Transaction Costs and Jump-Diffusion Asset Dynamics II: Economic Implications," Quarterly Journal of Finance (QJF), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 6(04), pages 1-28, December.
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