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Volatility modeling with jumps: applications to Russian and American stock markets (in Russian)

Author

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  • Sergey Belousov

    (Alfa-Bank, Russia)

Abstract

It is well known that stock returns exhibit conditional heteroskedasticity, and their distribution displays leptokurtosis. Moreover, modern financial markets are characterized by large discrete changes in asset returns. One of the most popular models describing this behavior is the GARCH-J(ump) model, where the arrival of jumps is governed by a Poisson distribution. In this paper we propose a new specification called GARCH-TJI, where the jump intensity depends on the absolute lagged return and whether it exceeds some threshold. The comparative analysis demonstrates a higher effectiveness of the GARCH-TJI model than of the GARCH-ARJI specification described in the literature.

Suggested Citation

  • Sergey Belousov, 2006. "Volatility modeling with jumps: applications to Russian and American stock markets (in Russian)," Quantile, Quantile, issue 1, pages 101-110, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:qnt:quantl:y:2006:i:1:p:101-110
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    stock returns; conditional heteroskedasticity; jump intensity;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets

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