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Predicting Volatility in the Foreign Exchange Market

Citations

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Cited by:

  1. Jose A. Lopez & Christian Walter, 1997. "Is implied correlation worth calculating? Evidence from foreign exchange options and historical data," Research Paper 9730, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
  2. Thorsten Egelkraut & Philip Garcia & Bruce Sherrick, 2007. "Options-based forecasts of futures prices in the presence of limit moves," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 39(2), pages 145-152.
  3. Della Corte, Pasquale & Sarno, Lucio & Tsiakas, Ilias, 2011. "Spot and forward volatility in foreign exchange," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 100(3), pages 496-513, June.
  4. Ghysels, E. & Harvey, A. & Renault, E., 1995. "Stochastic Volatility," Papers 95.400, Toulouse - GREMAQ.
  5. Nobuya Takezawa & Noriyoshi Shiraishi, 1998. "A Note on the Term Structure of Implied Volatilities for the Yen/U.S. Dollar Currency Option," Asia-Pacific Financial Markets, Springer;Japanese Association of Financial Economics and Engineering, vol. 5(3), pages 227-236, November.
  6. Becker, Ralf & Clements, Adam E., 2008. "Are combination forecasts of S&P 500 volatility statistically superior?," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 24(1), pages 122-133.
  7. Jumah, Adusei & Kunst, Robert M., 2001. "The Effects of Exchange-Rate Exposures on Equity Asset Markets," Economics Series 94, Institute for Advanced Studies.
  8. Tomas Björk & Bent Jesper Christensen, 1999. "Interest Rate Dynamics and Consistent Forward Rate Curves," Mathematical Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 9(4), pages 323-348, October.
  9. Chen, Qi-an & Li, Huashi, 2023. "How does exchange rate elasticity of aggregate consumption adjust currency risk price in the stock market?," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 84(C), pages 590-610.
  10. Peter Christoffersen & Kris Jacobs, 2002. "Which Volatility Model for Option Valuation?," CIRANO Working Papers 2002s-33, CIRANO.
  11. McAleer, Michael & Wiphatthanananthakul, Chatayan, 2010. "A simple expected volatility (SEV) index: Application to SET50 index options," Mathematics and Computers in Simulation (MATCOM), Elsevier, vol. 80(10), pages 2079-2090.
  12. Hartmann, Philipp, 1999. "Trading volumes and transaction costs in the foreign exchange market: Evidence from daily dollar-yen spot data," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 23(5), pages 801-824, May.
  13. Michael Puleo & Michael McDonald & Steven Kozlowski, 2021. "Share‐pledging and the cost of debt," Accounting and Finance, Accounting and Finance Association of Australia and New Zealand, vol. 61(1), pages 1047-1079, March.
  14. Woerner Jeannette H. C., 2003. "Variational sums and power variation: a unifying approach to model selection and estimation in semimartingale models," Statistics & Risk Modeling, De Gruyter, vol. 21(1), pages 47-68, January.
  15. Ferland, Rene & Lalancette, Simon, 2006. "Dynamics of realized volatilities and correlations: An empirical study," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 30(7), pages 2109-2130, July.
  16. Benavides, Guillermo & Capistrán, Carlos, 2012. "Forecasting exchange rate volatility: The superior performance of conditional combinations of time series and option implied forecasts," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 19(5), pages 627-639.
  17. Agnolucci, Paolo, 2009. "Volatility in crude oil futures: A comparison of the predictive ability of GARCH and implied volatility models," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 31(2), pages 316-321, March.
  18. Steven Li & Qianqian Yang, 2009. "The relationship between implied and realized volatility: evidence from the Australian stock index option market," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 32(4), pages 405-419, May.
  19. Christopher J. Neely & Drew B. Winters, 2005. "Year-end seasonality in one-month LIBOR derivatives," Working Papers 2003-040, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.
  20. Chen, Ren-Raw & Hsieh, Pei-lin & Huang, Jeffrey, 2018. "Crash risk and risk neutral densities," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 47(C), pages 162-189.
  21. Peter Carr & Liuren Wu, 2004. "Variance Risk Premia," Finance 0409015, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  22. Peter Christoffersen & Kris Jacobs, 2004. "Which GARCH Model for Option Valuation?," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 50(9), pages 1204-1221, September.
  23. Pong, Shiuyan & Shackleton, Mark B. & Taylor, Stephen J. & Xu, Xinzhong, 2004. "Forecasting currency volatility: A comparison of implied volatilities and AR(FI)MA models," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 28(10), pages 2541-2563, October.
  24. Nicholas Taylor, 2014. "The Economic Value of Volatility Forecasts: A Conditional Approach," Journal of Financial Econometrics, Oxford University Press, vol. 12(3), pages 433-478.
  25. Pan, Ging-Ginq & Shiu, Yung-Ming & Wu, Tu-Cheng, 2024. "Extrapolation and option-implied kurtosis in volatility forecasting," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 84(C).
  26. Awartani, Basel & Aktham, Maghyereh & Cherif, Guermat, 2016. "The connectedness between crude oil and financial markets: Evidence from implied volatility indices," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 4(1), pages 56-69.
  27. René Garcia & Richard Luger & Eric Renault, 2000. "Asymmetric Smiles, Leverage Effects and Structural Parameters," Working Papers 2000-57, Center for Research in Economics and Statistics.
  28. Lai T. Hoang & Dirk G. Baur, 2020. "Forecasting bitcoin volatility: Evidence from the options market," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 40(10), pages 1584-1602, October.
  29. William Pedersen, 1998. "Capturing all the information in foreign currency option prices: solving for one versus two implied variables," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 30(12), pages 1679-1683.
  30. Mitchell, James L. & Tonsor, Glynn T., 2017. "Effect of Price Expectations and Market Volatility on Sale Rates at Superior Livestock Video Auctions," 2017 Annual Meeting, July 30-August 1, Chicago, Illinois 258425, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
  31. Florian Ielpo & Benoît Sévi, 2014. "Forecasting the density of oil futures," Working Papers 2014-601, Department of Research, Ipag Business School.
  32. Ammann, Manuel & Buesser, Ralf, 2013. "Variance Risk Premiums in Foreign Exchange Markets," Working Papers on Finance 1304, University of St. Gallen, School of Finance.
  33. Campa, Jose Manuel & Chang, P. H. Kevin, 1998. "The forecasting ability of correlations implied in foreign exchange options," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 17(6), pages 855-880, December.
  34. David S. Bates, 2001. "The Market for Crash Risk," NBER Working Papers 8557, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  35. Busch, Thomas & Christensen, Bent Jesper & Nielsen, Morten Ørregaard, 2011. "The role of implied volatility in forecasting future realized volatility and jumps in foreign exchange, stock, and bond markets," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 160(1), pages 48-57, January.
  36. Imlak Shaikh & Puja Padhi, 2013. "On the Linkages among Ex-ante and Ex-post Volatility: Evidence from NSE Options Market (India)," Global Business Review, International Management Institute, vol. 14(3), pages 487-505, September.
  37. DAVID G. McMILLAN & ALAN E. H. SPEIGHT, 2007. "Value‐at‐Risk in Emerging Equity Markets: Comparative Evidence for Symmetric, Asymmetric, and Long‐Memory GARCH Models," International Review of Finance, International Review of Finance Ltd., vol. 7(1‐2), pages 1-19, March.
  38. Bollen, Nicolas P. B & Rasiel, Emma, 2003. "The performance of alternative valuation models in the OTC currency options market," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 22(1), pages 33-64, February.
  39. Chun, Dohyun & Cho, Hoon & Ryu, Doojin, 2019. "Forecasting the KOSPI200 spot volatility using various volatility measures," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 514(C), pages 156-166.
  40. Chuang, Wen-I & Huang, Teng-Ching & Lin, Bing-Huei, 2013. "Predicting volatility using the Markov-switching multifractal model: Evidence from S&P 100 index and equity options," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 25(C), pages 168-187.
  41. Hjalmar Böhm & Michael Funke & Nikolaus A. Siegfried, 1999. "Discovering the Link between Uncertainty and Investment - Microeconometric Evidence from Germany," Quantitative Macroeconomics Working Papers 19906, Hamburg University, Department of Economics.
  42. Fernandes, Marcelo & Medeiros, Marcelo C. & Scharth, Marcel, 2014. "Modeling and predicting the CBOE market volatility index," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 40(C), pages 1-10.
  43. Jun Lu & Shao Yi, 2022. "Reducing Overestimating and Underestimating Volatility via the Augmented Blending-ARCH Model," Applied Economics and Finance, Redfame publishing, vol. 9(2), pages 48-59, May.
  44. Manabu Asai & Michael McAleer, 2017. "Forecasting the volatility of Nikkei 225 futures," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 37(11), pages 1141-1152, November.
  45. Christoffersen, Peter & Heston, Steven & Jacobs, Kris, 2010. "Option Anomalies and the Pricing Kernel," Working Papers 11-17, University of Pennsylvania, Wharton School, Weiss Center.
  46. David T. L. Siu & John Okunev, 2009. "Forecasting exchange rate volatility: a multiple horizon comparison using historical, realized and implied volatility measures," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 28(6), pages 465-486.
  47. Barr, Kanlaya Jintanakul, 2009. "The implied volatility bias and option smile: is there a simple explanation?," ISU General Staff Papers 200901010800002026, Iowa State University, Department of Economics.
  48. Twm Evans & David McMillan, 2007. "Volatility forecasts: the role of asymmetric and long-memory dynamics and regional evidence," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 17(17), pages 1421-1430.
  49. Ayla Ogus, 2002. "Pricing of S&P 100 Index Options Based On Garch Volatility Estimates," Working Papers 0201, Izmir University of Economics.
  50. Barunik, Jozef & Barunikova, Michaela, 2015. "Revisiting the long memory dynamics of implied-realized volatility relation: A new evidence from wavelet band spectrum regression," FinMaP-Working Papers 43, Collaborative EU Project FinMaP - Financial Distortions and Macroeconomic Performance: Expectations, Constraints and Interaction of Agents.
  51. Bauwens, Luc & Sucarrat, Genaro, 2010. "General-to-specific modelling of exchange rate volatility: A forecast evaluation," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 26(4), pages 885-907, October.
  52. Martin Martens & Dick van Dijk & Michiel de Pooter, 2004. "Modeling and Forecasting S&P 500 Volatility: Long Memory, Structural Breaks and Nonlinearity," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 04-067/4, Tinbergen Institute.
  53. Mark T. Leung & An‐Sing Chen & Ruben Mancha, 2009. "Making trading decisions for financial‐engineered derivatives: a novel ensemble of neural networks using information content," Intelligent Systems in Accounting, Finance and Management, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 16(4), pages 257-277, October.
  54. Hassan Tanha & Michael Dempsey, 2016. "The Information Content of ASX SPI 200 Implied Volatility," Review of Pacific Basin Financial Markets and Policies (RPBFMP), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 19(01), pages 1-14, March.
  55. Olga Isengildina-Massa & Scott H. Irwin & Darrel L. Good & Jennifer K. Gomez, 2008. "Impact of WASDE reports on implied volatility in corn and soybean markets," Agribusiness, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 24(4), pages 473-490.
  56. Becker, Ralf & Clements, Adam E. & White, Scott I., 2007. "Does implied volatility provide any information beyond that captured in model-based volatility forecasts?," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 31(8), pages 2535-2549, August.
  57. Chang, Chuang-Chang & Hsieh, Pei-Fang & Wang, Yaw-Huei, 2010. "Information content of options trading volume for future volatility: Evidence from the Taiwan options market," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 34(1), pages 174-183, January.
  58. Luo, Xin & Tao, Yunqing & Zou, Kai, 2022. "A new measure of realized volatility: Inertial and reverse realized semivariance," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 47(PA).
  59. David S. Bates, 1995. "Testing Option Pricing Models," NBER Working Papers 5129, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  60. Anjum, Hassan & Malik, Farooq, 2020. "Forecasting risk in the US Dollar exchange rate under volatility shifts," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 54(C).
  61. Davidson, Wallace N. & Kim, Jin Kyoung & Ors, Evren & Szakmary, Andrew, 2001. "Using implied volatility on options to measure the relation between asset returns and variability," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 25(7), pages 1245-1269, July.
  62. Neely, Christopher J., 2009. "Forecasting foreign exchange volatility: Why is implied volatility biased and inefficient? And does it matter?," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 19(1), pages 188-205, February.
  63. Kellard, Neil & Sarantis, Nicholas, 2008. "Can exchange rate volatility explain persistence in the forward premium?," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 15(4), pages 714-728, September.
  64. Alaganar, V.T. & Bhar, Ramaprasad, 2007. "Empirical properties of currency risk in country index portfolios," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 47(1), pages 159-174, March.
  65. Ren-Raw Chen & Oded Palmon, 2005. "A Non-Parametric Option Pricing Model: Theory and Empirical Evidence," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 24(2), pages 115-134, January.
  66. Bonser-Neal, Catherine & Tanner, Glenn, 1996. "Central bank intervention and the volatility of foreign exchange rates: evidence from the options market," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 15(6), pages 853-878, December.
  67. Sévi, Benoît, 2014. "Forecasting the volatility of crude oil futures using intraday data," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 235(3), pages 643-659.
  68. Liu, Min & Taylor, James W. & Choo, Wei-Chong, 2020. "Further empirical evidence on the forecasting of volatility with smooth transition exponential smoothing," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 93(C), pages 651-659.
  69. Mark R. Manfredo. & Raymond M. Leuthold, 1999. "Market Risk Measurement and the Cattle Feeding Margin: An Application of Value-at-Risk," Finance 9908002, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  70. Taylor, Stephen J. & Xu, Xinzhong, 1997. "The incremental volatility information in one million foreign exchange quotations," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 4(4), pages 317-340, December.
  71. Nidhal Mgadmi & Khemaies Bougatef, 2017. "Modeling volatility of the French stock market," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 37(2), pages 988-998.
  72. Jun Lu & Shao Yi, 2022. "Reducing overestimating and underestimating volatility via the augmented blending-ARCH model," Papers 2203.12456, arXiv.org.
  73. Tzang, Shyh-Weir & Hung, Chih-Hsing & Wang, Chou-Wen & Shyu, David So-De, 2011. "Do liquidity and sampling methods matter in constructing volatility indices? Empirical evidence from Taiwan," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 20(2), pages 312-324, April.
  74. Franses,Philip Hans & Dijk,Dick van & Opschoor,Anne, 2014. "Time Series Models for Business and Economic Forecasting," Cambridge Books, Cambridge University Press, number 9780521520911, September.
  75. Sapp, Stephen, 2004. "Are all Central Bank interventions created equal? An empirical investigation," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 28(3), pages 443-474, March.
  76. El Bouhadi, Abdelhamid & Achibane, Khalid, 2009. "The Predictive Power of Conditional Models: What Lessons to Draw with Financial Crisis in the Case of Pre-Emerging Capital Markets?," MPRA Paper 19482, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  77. Kai‐Min Huang & I‐Doun Kuo & Rong‐Tsorng Wang, 2022. "Resale options and heterogeneous beliefs," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(6), pages 1067-1083, June.
  78. Äijö, Janne, 2008. "Implied volatility term structure linkages between VDAX, VSMI and VSTOXX volatility indices," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 18(3), pages 290-302.
  79. Gomes, Frederico Pechir & Takami, Marcelo Yoshio & Brandi, Vinicius Ratton, 2008. "Investigating Unusual Changes in Real-Dollar Exchange Rate," Revista Brasileira de Economia - RBE, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil), vol. 62(2), October.
  80. Imlak Shaikh & Puja Padhi, 2015. "On the Relationship of Ex-ante and Ex-post Volatility: A Sub-period Analysis of S&P CNX Nifty Index Options," Journal of Emerging Market Finance, Institute for Financial Management and Research, vol. 14(2), pages 140-175, August.
  81. Peng, Qing & Li, Jie & Zhao, Yu & Wu, Han, 2021. "The informational content of implied volatility: Application to the USD/JPY exchange rates," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 76(C).
  82. Andrew J. Patton & Kevin Sheppard, 2008. "Evaluating Volatility and Correlation Forecasts," OFRC Working Papers Series 2008fe22, Oxford Financial Research Centre.
  83. Zhiyuan Pan & Yudong Wang & Li Liu & Qing Wang, 2019. "Improving volatility prediction and option valuation using VIX information: A volatility spillover GARCH model," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 39(6), pages 744-776, June.
  84. Awojobi, Omotola & Amel, Roya & Norouzi, Safoura, 2011. "Analysing Risk Management in Banks: Evidence of Bank Efficiency and Macroeconomic Impact," MPRA Paper 33590, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 17 Jul 2011.
  85. Chikashi Tsuji, 2003. "Is Volatility the Best Predictor of Market Crashes?," Asia-Pacific Financial Markets, Springer;Japanese Association of Financial Economics and Engineering, vol. 10(2), pages 163-185, September.
  86. Cremers, Martijn & Fleckenstein, Matthias & Gandhi, Priyank, 2021. "Treasury yield implied volatility and real activity," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 140(2), pages 412-435.
  87. Brian H. Boyer & Michael S. Gibson, 1997. "Evaluating forecasts of correlation using option pricing," International Finance Discussion Papers 600, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
  88. Puja Padhi & Imlak Shaikh, 2014. "On the relationship of implied, realized and historical volatility: evidence from NSE equity index options," Journal of Business Economics and Management, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 15(5), pages 915-934, November.
  89. Zhangxin (Frank) Liu & Michael J. O'Neill & Tom Smith, 2017. "State-preference pricing and volatility indices," Accounting and Finance, Accounting and Finance Association of Australia and New Zealand, vol. 57(3), pages 815-836, September.
  90. Haugom, Erik & Langeland, Henrik & Molnár, Peter & Westgaard, Sjur, 2014. "Forecasting volatility of the U.S. oil market," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 47(C), pages 1-14.
  91. Bent Jesper Christensen & Charlotte Strunk Hansen, 2002. "New evidence on the implied-realized volatility relation," The European Journal of Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 8(2), pages 187-205, June.
  92. Najmi Ismail Murad Samsudin & Azhar Mohamad & Imtiaz Mohammad Sifat & Zarinah Hamid, 2022. "Predictive power of implied volatility of structured call warrants: Evidence from Singapore," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(4), pages 4412-4430, October.
  93. Torben G. Andersen & Tim Bollerslev, 1997. "Answering the Critics: Yes, ARCH Models Do Provide Good Volatility Forecasts," NBER Working Papers 6023, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  94. Brennan, Michael J. & Xia, Yihong, 2004. "International Capital Markets and Foreign Exchange Risk," University of California at Los Angeles, Anderson Graduate School of Management qt53z0s29k, Anderson Graduate School of Management, UCLA.
  95. Evžen Kočenda, 2018. "Survey of Volatility and Spillovers on Financial Markets," Prague Economic Papers, Prague University of Economics and Business, vol. 2018(3), pages 293-305.
  96. José R. Aragonés & Carlos Blanco & Pablo García Estévez, 2007. "Neural network volatility forecasts," Intelligent Systems in Accounting, Finance and Management, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 15(3‐4), pages 107-121, July.
  97. Ding, Liang & Huang, Yirong & Pu, Xiaoling, 2014. "Volatility linkage across global equity markets," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 25(2), pages 71-89.
  98. Franses,Philip Hans & Dijk,Dick van, 2000. "Non-Linear Time Series Models in Empirical Finance," Cambridge Books, Cambridge University Press, number 9780521770415, September.
  99. Subu Venkataraman, 1997. "Value at risk for a mixture of normal distributions: the use of quasi- Bayesian estimation techniques," Economic Perspectives, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, vol. 21(Mar), pages 2-13.
  100. Garcia, R. & Renault, E., 1998. "Risk Aversion, Intertemporal Substitution, and Option Pricing," Cahiers de recherche 9801, Centre interuniversitaire de recherche en économie quantitative, CIREQ.
  101. Chamil W SENARATHNE & Wei JIANGUO, 2020. "Testing for Heteroskedastic Mixture of Ordinary Least Squares Errors," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(2), pages 73-91, July.
  102. Jungmu Kim & Yuen Jung Park, 2020. "Predictability of OTC Option Volatility for Future Stock Volatility," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(12), pages 1-23, June.
  103. Markus Hertrich, 2022. "Foreign exchange interventions under a minimum exchange rate regime and the Swiss franc," Review of International Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 30(2), pages 450-489, May.
  104. Palandri, Alessandro, 2015. "Do negative and positive equity returns share the same volatility dynamics?," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 486-505.
  105. Andersen, Torben G. & Bollerslev, Tim & Lange, Steve, 1999. "Forecasting financial market volatility: Sample frequency vis-a-vis forecast horizon," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 6(5), pages 457-477, December.
  106. Pham, Son Duy & Nguyen, Thao Thac Thanh & Li, Xiao-Ming, 2024. "Stabilizing global foreign exchange markets in the time of COVID-19: The role of vaccinations," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 59(C).
  107. Lan Zhang, 2012. "Implied and realized volatility: empirical model selection," Annals of Finance, Springer, vol. 8(2), pages 259-275, May.
  108. Aguilar, Javiera & Nydahl, Stefan, 2000. "Central bank intervention and exchange rates: the case of Sweden," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 10(3-4), pages 303-322, December.
  109. Ole E. Barndorff-Nielsen & Neil Shephard, 2001. "Realised power variation and stochastic volatility models," Economics Papers 2001-W18, Economics Group, Nuffield College, University of Oxford.
  110. Peter F. Christoffersen & Francis X. Diebold, 2000. "How Relevant is Volatility Forecasting for Financial Risk Management?," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 82(1), pages 12-22, February.
  111. Martin Cincibuch, 2002. "Distributions Implied by Exchange Traded Options: A Ghost’s Smile?," CERGE-EI Working Papers wp200, The Center for Economic Research and Graduate Education - Economics Institute, Prague.
  112. Wiphatthanananthakul, C. & McAleer, M.J., 2008. "A simple expected volatility (SEV) index," Econometric Institute Research Papers EI 2008-35, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Erasmus School of Economics (ESE), Econometric Institute.
  113. Carl H. Korkpoe & Peterson Owusu Junior, 2018. "Behaviour of Johannesburg Stock Exchange All Share Index Returns - An Asymmetric GARCH and News Impact Effects Approach," SPOUDAI Journal of Economics and Business, SPOUDAI Journal of Economics and Business, University of Piraeus, vol. 68(1), pages 26-42, January-M.
  114. Peter Christoffersen & Stefano Mazzotta, 2004. "The Informational Content of Over-the-Counter Currency Options," CIRANO Working Papers 2004s-16, CIRANO.
  115. Kambouroudis, Dimos S. & McMillan, David G., 2015. "Is there an ideal in-sample length for forecasting volatility?," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 37(C), pages 114-137.
  116. Geppert, Gero & Kamerschen, David R., 2008. "The effect of mergers on implied volatility of equity options," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 17(2), pages 330-344.
  117. Kent Wang, 2009. "Volatility linkages of the equity, bond and money markets: an implied volatility approach," Accounting and Finance, Accounting and Finance Association of Australia and New Zealand, vol. 49(1), pages 207-219, March.
  118. Thobekile Qabhobho, 2023. "Assessing the Asymmetric Effect of Local Realized Exchange Rate Volatility and Implied Volatilities in Energy Market on Exchange Rate Returns in BRICS," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 13(2), pages 231-239, March.
  119. Chong, James, 2005. "The forecasting abilities of implied and econometric variance-covariance models across financial measures," Journal of Economics and Business, Elsevier, vol. 57(5), pages 463-490.
  120. Hilscher, Jens, 2007. "Is the corporate bond market forward looking?," Working Paper Series 800, European Central Bank.
  121. Johnson, Robert & Soenen, Luc, 2004. "The US stock market and the international value of the US dollar," Journal of Economics and Business, Elsevier, vol. 56(6), pages 469-481.
  122. George P. Gao & Xiaomeng Lu & Zhaogang Song, 2019. "Tail Risk Concerns Everywhere," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 65(7), pages 3111-3130, July.
  123. Beine, Michel, 2003. "Volatility expectations and asymmetric effects of direct interventions in the FX market," Journal of the Japanese and International Economies, Elsevier, vol. 17(1), pages 55-80, March.
  124. Jozef Barunik & Michaela Barunikova, 2012. "Revisiting the fractional cointegrating dynamics of implied-realized volatility relation with wavelet band spectrum regression," Papers 1208.4831, arXiv.org, revised Feb 2013.
  125. Castrén, Olli, 2004. "Do financial market variables show (symmetric) indicator properties relative to exchange rate returns?," Working Paper Series 379, European Central Bank.
  126. Ahoniemi, Katja & Lanne, Markku, 2009. "Joint modeling of call and put implied volatility," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 25(2), pages 239-258.
  127. Jorge V. Pérez-Rodríguez, 2020. "Another look at the implied and realised volatility relation: a copula-based approach," Risk Management, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 22(1), pages 38-64, March.
  128. Zhang, Wenting & Hamori, Shigeyuki, 2021. "Crude oil market and stock markets during the COVID-19 pandemic: Evidence from the US, Japan, and Germany," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
  129. Ren‐Raw Chen & Pei‐Lin Hsieh & Jeffrey Huang & Xiaowei Li, 2023. "Predictive power of the implied volatility term structure in the fixed‐income market," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 43(3), pages 349-383, March.
  130. Christoffersen, Peter & Jacobs, Kris & Chang, Bo Young, 2013. "Forecasting with Option-Implied Information," Handbook of Economic Forecasting, in: G. Elliott & C. Granger & A. Timmermann (ed.), Handbook of Economic Forecasting, edition 1, volume 2, chapter 0, pages 581-656, Elsevier.
  131. Suk Joon Byun & Dong Woo Rhee & Sol Kim, 2011. "Intraday volatility forecasting from implied volatility," International Journal of Managerial Finance, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 7(1), pages 83-100, February.
  132. Steven A. Weinberg, 2001. "Interpreting the volatility smile: an examination of the information content of option prices," International Finance Discussion Papers 706, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
  133. William Fallon, 1996. "Calculating Value-at-Risk," Center for Financial Institutions Working Papers 96-49, Wharton School Center for Financial Institutions, University of Pennsylvania.
  134. Chen, Shiyi & Jeong, Kiho & Härdle, Wolfgang Karl, 2008. "Support vector regression based GARCH model with application to forecasting volatility of financial returns," SFB 649 Discussion Papers 2008-014, Humboldt University Berlin, Collaborative Research Center 649: Economic Risk.
  135. Yudong Wang & Zhiyuan Pan & Chongfeng Wu, 2017. "Time‐Varying Parameter Realized Volatility Models," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 36(5), pages 566-580, August.
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