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Deep learning based ensemble approach for probabilistic wind power forecasting

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  1. Liu, Xin & Cao, Zheming & Zhang, Zijun, 2021. "Short-term predictions of multiple wind turbine power outputs based on deep neural networks with transfer learning," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 217(C).
  2. Long, Huan & Zhang, Zijun & Sun, Mu-Xia & Li, Yan-Fu, 2018. "The data-driven schedule of wind farm power generations and required reserves," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 149(C), pages 485-495.
  3. Guo, Yabin & Tan, Zehan & Chen, Huanxin & Li, Guannan & Wang, Jiangyu & Huang, Ronggeng & Liu, Jiangyan & Ahmad, Tanveer, 2018. "Deep learning-based fault diagnosis of variable refrigerant flow air-conditioning system for building energy saving," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 225(C), pages 732-745.
  4. Derek W. Bunn & Angelica Gianfreda & Stefan Kermer, 2018. "A Trading-Based Evaluation of Density Forecasts in a Real-Time Electricity Market," Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(10), pages 1-13, October.
  5. Thrampoulidis, Emmanouil & Mavromatidis, Georgios & Lucchi, Aurelien & Orehounig, Kristina, 2021. "A machine learning-based surrogate model to approximate optimal building retrofit solutions," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 281(C).
  6. Nantian Huang & Enkai Xing & Guowei Cai & Zhiyong Yu & Bin Qi & Lin Lin, 2018. "Short-Term Wind Speed Forecasting Based on Low Redundancy Feature Selection," Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(7), pages 1-19, June.
  7. Zhiyong Guo & Fangzheng Wei & Wenkai Qi & Qiaoli Han & Huiyuan Liu & Xiaomei Feng & Minghui Zhang, 2024. "A Time Series Prediction Model for Wind Power Based on the Empirical Mode Decomposition–Convolutional Neural Network–Three-Dimensional Gated Neural Network," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 16(8), pages 1-20, April.
  8. Tahmasebifar, Reza & Moghaddam, Mohsen Parsa & Sheikh-El-Eslami, Mohammad Kazem & Kheirollahi, Reza, 2020. "A new hybrid model for point and probabilistic forecasting of wind power," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 211(C).
  9. Yu, Guangzheng & Liu, Chengquan & Tang, Bo & Chen, Rusi & Lu, Liu & Cui, Chaoyue & Hu, Yue & Shen, Lingxu & Muyeen, S.M., 2022. "Short term wind power prediction for regional wind farms based on spatial-temporal characteristic distribution," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 199(C), pages 599-612.
  10. Gensler, André & Sick, Bernhard & Vogt, Stephan, 2018. "A review of uncertainty representations and metaverification of uncertainty assessment techniques for renewable energies," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 96(C), pages 352-379.
  11. Sabarathinam Srinivasan & Suresh Kumarasamy & Zacharias E. Andreadakis & Pedro G. Lind, 2023. "Artificial Intelligence and Mathematical Models of Power Grids Driven by Renewable Energy Sources: A Survey," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(14), pages 1-56, July.
  12. Aziz Ezzat, Ahmed, 2020. "Turbine-specific short-term wind speed forecasting considering within-farm wind field dependencies and fluctuations," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 269(C).
  13. Li, Qing & Zhang, Xinyan & Ma, Tianjiao & Jiao, Chunlei & Wang, Heng & Hu, Wei, 2021. "A multi-step ahead photovoltaic power prediction model based on similar day, enhanced colliding bodies optimization, variational mode decomposition, and deep extreme learning machine," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 224(C).
  14. Jesús Ferrero Bermejo & Juan Francisco Gómez Fernández & Rafael Pino & Adolfo Crespo Márquez & Antonio Jesús Guillén López, 2019. "Review and Comparison of Intelligent Optimization Modelling Techniques for Energy Forecasting and Condition-Based Maintenance in PV Plants," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(21), pages 1-18, October.
  15. Yang, Di & Luan, Weixin & Qiao, Lu & Pratama, Mahardhika, 2020. "Modeling and spatio-temporal analysis of city-level carbon emissions based on nighttime light satellite imagery," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 268(C).
  16. Gonçalves, Rui & Ribeiro, Vitor Miguel & Pereira, Fernando Lobo & Rocha, Ana Paula, 2019. "Deep learning in exchange markets," Information Economics and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 47(C), pages 38-51.
  17. Dillon, Trent & Maurer, Benjamin & Lawson, Michael & Polagye, Brian, 2024. "Forecast-based stochastic optimization for a load powered by wave energy," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 226(C).
  18. Rohitash Chandra & Ayush Jain & Divyanshu Singh Chauhan, 2022. "Deep learning via LSTM models for COVID-19 infection forecasting in India," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 17(1), pages 1-28, January.
  19. Li, Jianping & Li, Guowen & Liu, Mingxi & Zhu, Xiaoqian & Wei, Lu, 2022. "A novel text-based framework for forecasting agricultural futures using massive online news headlines," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 38(1), pages 35-50.
  20. Duan, Jikai & Zuo, Hongchao & Bai, Yulong & Duan, Jizheng & Chang, Mingheng & Chen, Bolong, 2021. "Short-term wind speed forecasting using recurrent neural networks with error correction," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 217(C).
  21. Li, Mingchen & Cheng, Zishu & Lin, Wencan & Wei, Yunjie & Wang, Shouyang, 2023. "What can be learned from the historical trend of crude oil prices? An ensemble approach for crude oil price forecasting," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 123(C).
  22. Zhang, Jincheng & Zhao, Xiaowei, 2021. "Spatiotemporal wind field prediction based on physics-informed deep learning and LIDAR measurements," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 288(C).
  23. Omer Berat Sezer & Mehmet Ugur Gudelek & Ahmet Murat Ozbayoglu, 2019. "Financial Time Series Forecasting with Deep Learning : A Systematic Literature Review: 2005-2019," Papers 1911.13288, arXiv.org.
  24. Paweł Pijarski & Adrian Belowski, 2024. "Application of Methods Based on Artificial Intelligence and Optimisation in Power Engineering—Introduction to the Special Issue," Energies, MDPI, vol. 17(2), pages 1-42, January.
  25. Hao, Yan & Tian, Chengshi, 2019. "A novel two-stage forecasting model based on error factor and ensemble method for multi-step wind power forecasting," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 238(C), pages 368-383.
  26. Yuansheng Huang & Shijian Liu & Lei Yang, 2018. "Wind Speed Forecasting Method Using EEMD and the Combination Forecasting Method Based on GPR and LSTM," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(10), pages 1-15, October.
  27. Zhang, Shuai & Chen, Yong & Xiao, Jiuhong & Zhang, Wenyu & Feng, Ruijun, 2021. "Hybrid wind speed forecasting model based on multivariate data secondary decomposition approach and deep learning algorithm with attention mechanism," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 174(C), pages 688-704.
  28. Hui Huang & Qiliang Zhu & Xueling Zhu & Jinhua Zhang, 2023. "An Adaptive, Data-Driven Stacking Ensemble Learning Framework for the Short-Term Forecasting of Renewable Energy Generation," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(4), pages 1-20, February.
  29. Sharifzadeh, Mahdi & Sikinioti-Lock, Alexandra & Shah, Nilay, 2019. "Machine-learning methods for integrated renewable power generation: A comparative study of artificial neural networks, support vector regression, and Gaussian Process Regression," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 108(C), pages 513-538.
  30. Wang, Jian & Yang, Zhongshan, 2021. "Ultra-short-term wind speed forecasting using an optimized artificial intelligence algorithm," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 171(C), pages 1418-1435.
  31. Liu, Zhenya & Teka, Hanen & You, Rongyu, 2023. "Conditional autoencoder pricing model for energy commodities," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 86(PA).
  32. Han, Shuang & Qiao, Yan-hui & Yan, Jie & Liu, Yong-qian & Li, Li & Wang, Zheng, 2019. "Mid-to-long term wind and photovoltaic power generation prediction based on copula function and long short term memory network," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 239(C), pages 181-191.
  33. Wang, Zhi & Peng, Xianyong & Zhou, Huaichun & Cao, Shengxian & Huang, Wenbo & Yan, Weijie & Li, Kuangyu & Fan, Siyuan, 2024. "A dynamic modeling method using channel-selection convolutional neural network: A case study of NOx emission," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 290(C).
  34. Yimei Wang & Yongqian Liu & Li Li & David Infield & Shuang Han, 2018. "Short-Term Wind Power Forecasting Based on Clustering Pre-Calculated CFD Method," Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(4), pages 1-19, April.
  35. Ke Yan & Yuting Dai & Meiling Xu & Yuchang Mo, 2019. "Tunnel Surface Settlement Forecasting with Ensemble Learning," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(1), pages 1-11, December.
  36. Chen, Xi & Yu, Ruyi & Ullah, Sajid & Wu, Dianming & Li, Zhiqiang & Li, Qingli & Qi, Honggang & Liu, Jihui & Liu, Min & Zhang, Yundong, 2022. "A novel loss function of deep learning in wind speed forecasting," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 238(PB).
  37. Wei Wu & Shih-Chieh Chou & Karthickeyan Viswanathan, 2023. "Optimal Dispatching of Smart Hybrid Energy Systems for Addressing a Low-Carbon Community," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(9), pages 1-19, April.
  38. Jin, Jingxin & Li, Yilin & Ye, Lin & Xu, Xunjian & Lu, Jiazheng, 2023. "Integration of atmospheric stability in wind resource assessment through multi-scale coupling method," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 348(C).
  39. Wang, Zhiwen & Shen, Chen & Liu, Feng, 2018. "A conditional model of wind power forecast errors and its application in scenario generation," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 212(C), pages 771-785.
  40. Liu, Hui & Mi, Xiwei & Li, Yanfei & Duan, Zhu & Xu, Yinan, 2019. "Smart wind speed deep learning based multi-step forecasting model using singular spectrum analysis, convolutional Gated Recurrent Unit network and Support Vector Regression," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 143(C), pages 842-854.
  41. Eryilmaz, Serkan & Devrim, Yilser, 2019. "Theoretical derivation of wind plant power distribution with the consideration of wind turbine reliability," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 185(C), pages 192-197.
  42. Yan, Jie & Möhrlen, Corinna & Göçmen, Tuhfe & Kelly, Mark & Wessel, Arne & Giebel, Gregor, 2022. "Uncovering wind power forecasting uncertainty sources and their propagation through the whole modelling chain," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 165(C).
  43. Huaizhi Wang & Xian Zhang & Qing Li & Guibin Wang & Hui Jiang & Jianchun Peng, 2018. "Recursive Method for Distribution System Reliability Evaluation," Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(10), pages 1-15, October.
  44. Wang, Jingfan & Tchapmi, Lyne P. & Ravikumar, Arvind P. & McGuire, Mike & Bell, Clay S. & Zimmerle, Daniel & Savarese, Silvio & Brandt, Adam R., 2020. "Machine vision for natural gas methane emissions detection using an infrared camera," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 257(C).
  45. Alma Y. Alanis & Oscar D. Sanchez & Jesus G. Alvarez, 2021. "Time Series Forecasting for Wind Energy Systems Based on High Order Neural Networks," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 9(10), pages 1-18, May.
  46. Wang, Huaizhi & Xue, Wenli & Liu, Yitao & Peng, Jianchun & Jiang, Hui, 2020. "Probabilistic wind power forecasting based on spiking neural network," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 196(C).
  47. Zhang, Yachao & Le, Jian & Liao, Xiaobing & Zheng, Feng & Li, Yinghai, 2019. "A novel combination forecasting model for wind power integrating least square support vector machine, deep belief network, singular spectrum analysis and locality-sensitive hashing," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 168(C), pages 558-572.
  48. Tawn, R. & Browell, J., 2022. "A review of very short-term wind and solar power forecasting," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 153(C).
  49. Wang, Kejun & Qi, Xiaoxia & Liu, Hongda, 2019. "Photovoltaic power forecasting based LSTM-Convolutional Network," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 189(C).
  50. Barja-Martinez, Sara & Aragüés-Peñalba, Mònica & Munné-Collado, Íngrid & Lloret-Gallego, Pau & Bullich-Massagué, Eduard & Villafafila-Robles, Roberto, 2021. "Artificial intelligence techniques for enabling Big Data services in distribution networks: A review," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 150(C).
  51. Houjian Li & Xinya Huang & Deheng Zhou & Andi Cao & Mengying Su & Yufeng Wang & Lili Guo, 2022. "Forecasting Carbon Price in China: A Multimodel Comparison," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 19(10), pages 1-16, May.
  52. Wang, Yun & Chen, Tuo & Zou, Runmin & Song, Dongran & Zhang, Fan & Zhang, Lingjun, 2022. "Ensemble probabilistic wind power forecasting with multi-scale features," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 201(P1), pages 734-751.
  53. Lu, Quanying & Li, Yuze & Chai, Jian & Wang, Shouyang, 2020. "Crude oil price analysis and forecasting: A perspective of “new triangle”," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 87(C).
  54. Wang, Shuai & Li, Bin & Li, Guanzheng & Yao, Bin & Wu, Jianzhong, 2021. "Short-term wind power prediction based on multidimensional data cleaning and feature reconfiguration," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 292(C).
  55. Nam, KiJeon & Hwangbo, Soonho & Yoo, ChangKyoo, 2020. "A deep learning-based forecasting model for renewable energy scenarios to guide sustainable energy policy: A case study of Korea," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 122(C).
  56. Duan, Jikai & Chang, Mingheng & Chen, Xiangyue & Wang, Wenpeng & Zuo, Hongchao & Bai, Yulong & Chen, Bolong, 2022. "A combined short-term wind speed forecasting model based on CNN–RNN and linear regression optimization considering error," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 200(C), pages 788-808.
  57. Wang, Huaizhi & Meng, Anjian & Liu, Yitao & Fu, Xueqian & Cao, Guangzhong, 2019. "Unscented Kalman Filter based interval state estimation of cyber physical energy system for detection of dynamic attack," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 188(C).
  58. Munir Husein & Il-Yop Chung, 2019. "Day-Ahead Solar Irradiance Forecasting for Microgrids Using a Long Short-Term Memory Recurrent Neural Network: A Deep Learning Approach," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(10), pages 1-21, May.
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