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Wind Speed Forecasting Method Using EEMD and the Combination Forecasting Method Based on GPR and LSTM

Author

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  • Yuansheng Huang

    (Department of Economics and Management, North China Electric Power University, Baoding 071003, China)

  • Shijian Liu

    (Department of Economics and Management, North China Electric Power University, Baoding 071003, China)

  • Lei Yang

    (Department of Economics and Management, North China Electric Power University, Baoding 071003, China)

Abstract

Short-term wind speed prediction is of cardinal significance for maximization of wind power utilization. However, the strong intermittency and volatility of wind speed pose a challenge to the wind speed prediction model. To improve the accuracy of wind speed prediction, a novel model using the ensemble empirical mode decomposition (EEMD) method and the combination forecasting method for Gaussian process regression (GPR) and the long short-term memory (LSTM) neural network based on the variance-covariance method is proposed. In the proposed model, the EEMD method is employed to decompose the original data of wind speed series into several intrinsic mode functions (IMFs). Then, the LSTM neural network and the GPR method are utilized to predict the IMFs, respectively. Lastly, based on the IMFs’ prediction results with the two forecasting methods, the variance-covariance method can determine the weight of the two forecasting methods and offer a combination forecasting result. The experimental results from two forecasting cases in Zhangjiakou, China, indicate that the proposed approach outperforms other compared wind speed forecasting methods.

Suggested Citation

  • Yuansheng Huang & Shijian Liu & Lei Yang, 2018. "Wind Speed Forecasting Method Using EEMD and the Combination Forecasting Method Based on GPR and LSTM," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(10), pages 1-15, October.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jsusta:v:10:y:2018:i:10:p:3693-:d:175707
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    2. Sandra Minerva Valdivia-Bautista & José Antonio Domínguez-Navarro & Marco Pérez-Cisneros & Carlos Jesahel Vega-Gómez & Beatriz Castillo-Téllez, 2023. "Artificial Intelligence in Wind Speed Forecasting: A Review," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(5), pages 1-28, March.
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    5. Liu, Hui & Chen, Chao, 2019. "Data processing strategies in wind energy forecasting models and applications: A comprehensive review," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 249(C), pages 392-408.
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    7. Longnv Huang & Qingyuan Wang & Jiehui Huang & Limin Chen & Yin Liang & Peter X. Liu & Chunquan Li, 2022. "A Novel Hybrid Predictive Model for Ultra-Short-Term Wind Speed Prediction," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(13), pages 1-17, July.
    8. Nathan Oaks Farrar & Mohd Hasan Ali & Dipankar Dasgupta, 2023. "Artificial Intelligence and Machine Learning in Grid Connected Wind Turbine Control Systems: A Comprehensive Review," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(3), pages 1-25, February.
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