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Weather Forecasting for Weather Derivatives

Citations

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Cited by:

  1. Turvey, Calum G. & Norton, Michael T., 2008. "An Internet-Based Tool for Weather Risk Management," Agricultural and Resource Economics Review, Northeastern Agricultural and Resource Economics Association, vol. 37(1), pages 1-16, April.
  2. C. Vladimir Rodr'iguez-Caballero & Esther Ruiz, 2024. "Temperature in the Iberian Peninsula: Trend, seasonality, and heterogeneity," Papers 2406.14145, arXiv.org.
  3. Lunina, Veronika, 2016. "Joint Modelling of Power Price, Temperature, and Hydrological Balance with a View towards Scenario Analysis," Working Papers 2016:30, Lund University, Department of Economics.
  4. Nairobi Nairobi & Edwin Russel & Ambya Ambya & Arif Darmawan & Mustofa Usman & Wamiliana Wamiliana, 2020. "Dynamic Modeling Data Export Oil and Gas and Non-Oil and Gas by ARMA(2,1)-GARCH(1,1) Model: Study of Indonesian s Export over the Years 2008-2019," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 10(6), pages 175-184.
  5. Francis X. Diebold & Glenn D. Rudebusch, 2022. "On the Evolution of US Temperature Dynamics," Advances in Econometrics, in: Essays in Honor of M. Hashem Pesaran: Prediction and Macro Modeling, volume 43, pages 9-28, Emerald Group Publishing Limited.
  6. Sean D. Campbell & Francis X. Diebold, 2005. "Weather Forecasting for Weather Derivatives," Journal of the American Statistical Association, American Statistical Association, vol. 100, pages 6-16, March.
  7. Wei Yuan & Ahmet Göncü & Giray Ökten, 2015. "Estimating sensitivities of temperature-based weather derivatives," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 47(19), pages 1942-1955, April.
  8. Groll, Andreas & López-Cabrera, Brenda & Meyer-Brandis, Thilo, 2016. "A consistent two-factor model for pricing temperature derivatives," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 55(C), pages 112-126.
  9. Bigerna, Simona, 2018. "Estimating temperature effects on the Italian electricity market," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 118(C), pages 257-269.
  10. Xiaofeng Cao & Ostap Okhrin & Martin Odening & Matthias Ritter, 2015. "Modelling spatio-temporal variability of temperature," Computational Statistics, Springer, vol. 30(3), pages 745-766, September.
  11. repec:hum:wpaper:sfb649dp2012-027 is not listed on IDEAS
  12. Fred Espen Benth & Anca Pircalabu, 2018. "A non-Gaussian Ornstein–Uhlenbeck model for pricing wind power futures," Applied Mathematical Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 25(1), pages 36-65, January.
  13. Benth, Fred Espen & Taib, Che Mohd Imran Che, 2013. "On the speed towards the mean for continuous time autoregressive moving average processes with applications to energy markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 40(C), pages 259-268.
  14. Fred Espen Benth & Jūratė Šaltytė Benth, 2012. "Modeling and Pricing in Financial Markets for Weather Derivatives," World Scientific Books, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., number 8457, August.
  15. Andersen, Torben G. & Bollerslev, Tim & Christoffersen, Peter F. & Diebold, Francis X., 2006. "Volatility and Correlation Forecasting," Handbook of Economic Forecasting, in: G. Elliott & C. Granger & A. Timmermann (ed.), Handbook of Economic Forecasting, edition 1, volume 1, chapter 15, pages 777-878, Elsevier.
  16. Jeongin Lee & Jongwoo Choi & Wanki Park & Ilwoo Lee, 2023. "A Dual-Stage Solar Power Prediction Model That Reflects Uncertainties in Weather Forecasts," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(21), pages 1-19, October.
  17. Benth, Fred & Härdle, Wolfgang Karl & López Cabrera, Brenda, 2009. "Pricing of Asian temperature risk," SFB 649 Discussion Papers 2009-046, Humboldt University Berlin, Collaborative Research Center 649: Economic Risk.
  18. Július Bemš & Caner Aydin, 2022. "Introduction to weather derivatives," Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Energy and Environment, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 11(3), May.
  19. repec:hum:wpaper:sfb649dp2012-067 is not listed on IDEAS
  20. Yeny E. Rodríguez & Miguel A. Pérez-Uribe & Javier Contreras, 2021. "Wind Put Barrier Options Pricing Based on the Nordix Index," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(4), pages 1-14, February.
  21. Zhang, Li, 2008. "Three essays on agricultural risk and insurance," ISU General Staff Papers 2008010108000016857, Iowa State University, Department of Economics.
  22. Atak, Alev & Linton, Oliver & Xiao, Zhijie, 2011. "A semiparametric panel model for unbalanced data with application to climate change in the United Kingdom," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 164(1), pages 92-115, September.
  23. Ollech, Daniel, 2018. "Seasonal adjustment of daily time series," Discussion Papers 41/2018, Deutsche Bundesbank.
  24. Meng, Xiaochun & Taylor, James W., 2022. "Comparing probabilistic forecasts of the daily minimum and maximum temperature," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 38(1), pages 267-281.
  25. Šaltytė Benth, Jūratė & Benth, Fred Espen, 2012. "A critical view on temperature modelling for application in weather derivatives markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 34(2), pages 592-602.
  26. Chen, Gang & Roberts, Matthew C. & Thraen, Cameron S., 2006. "Managing Dairy Profit Risk Using Weather Derivatives," Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 31(3), pages 1-14, December.
  27. Jorge Caiado, 2009. "Performance of combined double seasonal univariate time series models for forecasting water demand," CEMAPRE Working Papers 0903, Centre for Applied Mathematics and Economics (CEMAPRE), School of Economics and Management (ISEG), Technical University of Lisbon.
  28. Jacob Boudoukh & Matthew Richardson & YuQing Shen & Robert F. Whitelaw, 2003. "Do Asset Prices Reflect Fundamentals? Freshly Squeezed Evidence from the OJ Market," NBER Working Papers 9515, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  29. Fred Espen Benth & Jurate Saltyte-Benth, 2005. "Stochastic Modelling of Temperature Variations with a View Towards Weather Derivatives," Applied Mathematical Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 12(1), pages 53-85.
  30. Ahmet Göncü, 2013. "Comparison of temperature models using heating and cooling degree days futures," Journal of Risk Finance, Emerald Group Publishing, vol. 14(2), pages 159-178, February.
  31. Zhang, Yongli & Rolling, Craig & Yang, Yuhong, 2021. "Estimating and forecasting dynamic correlation matrices: A nonlinear common factor approach," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 183(C).
  32. Rui Zhou & Johnny Siu-Hang Li & Jeffrey Pai, 2019. "Pricing temperature derivatives with a filtered historical simulation approach," The European Journal of Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 25(15), pages 1462-1484, October.
  33. Andrea Barth & Fred Espen Benth & Jurgen Potthoff, 2011. "Hedging of Spatial Temperature Risk with Market-Traded Futures," Applied Mathematical Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 18(2), pages 93-117.
  34. Janda, Karel & Vylezik, Tomas, 2011. "Financial Management of Weather Risk with Energy Derivatives," MPRA Paper 35037, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  35. Baojing Sun & G. Cornelis van Kooten, 2014. "Financial Weather Options for Crop Production," Working Papers 2014-03, University of Victoria, Department of Economics, Resource Economics and Policy Analysis Research Group.
  36. Sun, Baojing, 2017. "Financial Weather Derivatives for Corn Production in Northeastern China: Modelling the Underlying Weather Index," Working Papers 257083, University of Victoria, Resource Economics and Policy.
  37. Adam Clements & A S Hurn & K A Lindsay, 2008. "Estimating the Payoffs of Temperature-based Weather Derivatives," NCER Working Paper Series 33, National Centre for Econometric Research.
  38. Leonardo Bortolan & Atreya Dey & Luca Taschini, 2024. "Volatile Temperatures and Their Effects on Equity Returns and Firm Performance," CESifo Working Paper Series 11438, CESifo.
  39. repec:hum:wpaper:sfb649dp2009-046 is not listed on IDEAS
  40. Thordis L. Thorarinsdottir & Tilmann Gneiting, 2010. "Probabilistic forecasts of wind speed: ensemble model output statistics by using heteroscedastic censored regression," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 173(2), pages 371-388, April.
  41. Demers, Jean-Guy, 2009. "Multiple zone power forwards: A value at risk framework," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 31(5), pages 714-726, September.
  42. Adam Clements & A S Hurn & K A Lindsay, 2008. "Developing analytical distributions for temperature indices for the purposes of pricing temperature-based weather derivatives," NCER Working Paper Series 34, National Centre for Econometric Research.
  43. Pai, Jeffrey & Ravishanker, Nalini, 2009. "A multivariate preconditioned conjugate gradient approach for maximum likelihood estimation in vector long memory processes," Statistics & Probability Letters, Elsevier, vol. 79(9), pages 1282-1289, May.
  44. Hipòlit Torró, 2007. "Forecasting Weekly Electricity Prices at Nord Pool," Working Papers 2007.88, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei.
  45. repec:wvu:wpaper:09-04 is not listed on IDEAS
  46. Preve, Daniel, 2015. "Linear programming-based estimators in nonnegative autoregression," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 61(S2), pages 225-234.
  47. Cees Diks & Valentyn Panchenko & Dick van Dijk, 2008. "Partial Likelihood-Based Scoring Rules for Evaluating Density Forecasts in Tails," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 08-050/4, Tinbergen Institute.
  48. Rosella Castellano & Roy Cerqueti & Giulia Rotundo, 2020. "Exploring the financial risk of a temperature index: a fractional integrated approach," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 284(1), pages 225-242, January.
  49. Ostap Okhrin & Martin Odening & Wei Xu, 2013. "Systemic Weather Risk and Crop Insurance: The Case of China," Journal of Risk & Insurance, The American Risk and Insurance Association, vol. 80(2), pages 351-372, June.
  50. Dupuis, Debbie J., 2011. "Forecasting temperature to price CME temperature derivatives," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 27(2), pages 602-618, April.
  51. Eckhard Platen & Jason West, 2004. "A Fair Pricing Approach to Weather Derivatives," Asia-Pacific Financial Markets, Springer;Japanese Association of Financial Economics and Engineering, vol. 11(1), pages 23-53, March.
  52. Torben G. Andersen & Tim Bollerslev & Peter F. Christoffersen & Francis X. Diebold, 2005. "Volatility Forecasting," PIER Working Paper Archive 05-011, Penn Institute for Economic Research, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania.
  53. Sun, Baojing, 2017. "Financial Weather Derivatives for Corn Production in Northeastern China: Modelling the underlying Weather Index," Working Papers 263197, University of Victoria, Resource Economics and Policy.
  54. Wolfgang Karl Hardle and Maria Osipenko, 2012. "Spatial Risk Premium on Weather Derivatives and Hedging Weather Exposure in Electricity," The Energy Journal, International Association for Energy Economics, vol. 0(Number 2).
  55. Larsson, Karl & Green, Rikard & Benth, Fred Espen, 2023. "A stochastic time-series model for solar irradiation," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 117(C).
  56. Ahmet Göncü, 2011. "Pricing temperature-based weather derivatives in China," Journal of Risk Finance, Emerald Group Publishing, vol. 13(1), pages 32-44, December.
  57. Sun, Baojing & van Kooten, G. Cornelis, 2015. "Financial weather derivatives for corn production in Northern China: A comparison of pricing methods," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 32(C), pages 201-209.
  58. Ito, Ryoko, 2013. "Modeling Dynamic Diurnal Patterns in High-Frequency Financial Data," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 1315, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
  59. Siamak Javadi & Abdullah‐Al Masum & Mohsen Aram & Ramesh P. Rao, 2023. "Climate change and corporate cash holdings: Global evidence," Financial Management, Financial Management Association International, vol. 52(2), pages 253-295, June.
  60. Wolfgang Karl Härdle & Brenda López Cabrera & Ostap Okhrin & Weining Wang, 2016. "Localizing Temperature Risk," Journal of the American Statistical Association, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 111(516), pages 1491-1508, October.
  61. Huynh, Thanh D. & Nguyen, Thu Ha & Truong, Cameron, 2020. "Climate risk: The price of drought," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 65(C).
  62. Zhao, Xiaobing, 2011. "The Economic Cost of CO2 Emission Cuts," 2011 Annual Meeting, July 24-26, 2011, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania 103413, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
  63. Musshoff, Oliver & Odening, Martin & Xu, Wei, 2005. "Zur Bewertung von Wetterderivaten als innovative Risikomanagementinstrumente in der Landwirtschaft," German Journal of Agricultural Economics, Humboldt-Universitaet zu Berlin, Department for Agricultural Economics, vol. 54(04), pages 1-13.
  64. Prabakaran, Sellamuthu & Garcia, Isabel C. & Mora, Jose U., 2020. "A temperature stochastic model for option pricing and its impacts on the electricity market," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 68(C), pages 58-77.
  65. Žmuk Berislav & Kovač Matej, 2020. "Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process and GARCH model for temperature forecasting in weather derivatives valuation," Croatian Review of Economic, Business and Social Statistics, Sciendo, vol. 6(1), pages 27-42, May.
  66. repec:hal:journl:peer-00844810 is not listed on IDEAS
  67. Markus Herrmann & Martin Hibbeln, 2021. "Seasonality in catastrophe bonds and market‐implied catastrophe arrival frequencies," Journal of Risk & Insurance, The American Risk and Insurance Association, vol. 88(3), pages 785-818, September.
  68. Tran, Ngoc M. & Burdejová, Petra & Ospienko, Maria & Härdle, Wolfgang K., 2019. "Principal component analysis in an asymmetric norm," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 171(C), pages 1-21.
  69. Eirini Konstantinidi & Gkaren Papazian & George Skiadopoulos, 2015. "Modeling the Dynamics of Temperature with a View to Weather Derivatives," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Anastasios G Malliaris & William T Ziemba (ed.), THE WORLD SCIENTIFIC HANDBOOK OF FUTURES MARKETS, chapter 17, pages 511-544, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
  70. Soumil Hooda & Shubham Sharma & Kunal Bansal, 2024. "Quantifying Seasonal Weather Risk in Indian Markets: Stochastic Model for Risk-Averse State-Specific Temperature Derivative Pricing," Papers 2409.04541, arXiv.org, revised Sep 2024.
  71. Tseng, Chung-Li & Zhu, Wei & Dmitriev, Alexandre, 2009. "Variable capacity utilization, ambient temperature shocks and generation asset valuation," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 31(6), pages 888-896, November.
  72. Gneiting, Tilmann, 2011. "Quantiles as optimal point forecasts," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 27(2), pages 197-207, April.
  73. González-Rivera, Gloria & Rodríguez Caballero, Carlos Vladimir, 2023. "Modelling intervals of minimum/maximum temperatures in the Iberian Peninsula," DES - Working Papers. Statistics and Econometrics. WS 37968, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid. Departamento de Estadística.
  74. repec:hum:wpaper:sfb649dp2014-001 is not listed on IDEAS
  75. Caporin, Massimiliano & Preś, Juliusz, 2012. "Modelling and forecasting wind speed intensity for weather risk management," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 56(11), pages 3459-3476.
  76. Eric Beutner & Julia Schaumburg & Barend Spanjers, 2024. "Bootstrapping GARCH Models Under Dependent Innovations," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 24-008/III, Tinbergen Institute.
  77. Roberto Buizza & James W. Taylor, 2004. "A comparison of temperature density forecasts from GARCH and atmospheric models," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 23(5), pages 337-355.
  78. Guo, Mengmeng & Zhou, Lhan & Huang, Jianhua Z. & Härdle, Wolfgang Karl, 2013. "Functional data analysis of generalized quantile regressions," SFB 649 Discussion Papers 2013-001, Humboldt University Berlin, Collaborative Research Center 649: Economic Risk.
  79. Larsson, Karl, 2023. "Parametric heat wave insurance," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 31(C).
  80. Schlenker, Wolfram & Taylor, Charles A., 2021. "Market expectations of a warming climate," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 142(2), pages 627-640.
  81. Cui, Hairong & Zhou, Ying & Dzandu, Michael D. & Tang, Yinshan & Lu, Xunfa, 2019. "Is temperature-index derivative suitable for China?," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 536(C).
  82. Wolfgang Karl Härdle & Brenda López Cabrera, 2012. "The Implied Market Price of Weather Risk," Applied Mathematical Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 19(1), pages 59-95, February.
  83. Diks, Cees & Panchenko, Valentyn & van Dijk, Dick, 2011. "Likelihood-based scoring rules for comparing density forecasts in tails," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 163(2), pages 215-230, August.
  84. Balvers, Ronald & Du, Ding & Zhao, Xiaobing, 2012. "The Adverse Impact of Gradual Temperature Change on Capital Investment," 2012 Annual Meeting, August 12-14, 2012, Seattle, Washington 124676, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
  85. Monika Wieczorek-Kosmala, 2020. "Weather Risk Management in Energy Sector: The Polish Case," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(4), pages 1-21, February.
  86. repec:ags:ijag24:347283 is not listed on IDEAS
  87. Alessio Giorgini & Rogemar S. Mamon & Marianito R. Rodrigo, 2021. "A Stochastic Harmonic Oscillator Temperature Model for the Valuation of Weather Derivatives," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 9(22), pages 1-15, November.
  88. Dorfleitner, Gregor & Wimmer, Maximilian, 2010. "The pricing of temperature futures at the Chicago Mercantile Exchange," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 34(6), pages 1360-1370, June.
  89. Kyungsik Nam, 2021. "Nonlinear Cointegrating Regression of the Earth’s Surface Mean Temperature Anomalies on Total Radiative Forcing," Econometrics, MDPI, vol. 9(1), pages 1-25, February.
  90. Harrison Hong & Frank Weikai Li & Jiangmin Xu, 2016. "Climate Risks and Market Efficiency," NBER Working Papers 22890, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  91. Fred Espen Benth & Jūratė Šaltytė Benth & Steen Koekebakker, 2008. "Stochastic Modeling of Electricity and Related Markets," World Scientific Books, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., number 6811, August.
  92. Zhao, Jing & Guo, Yanling & Xiao, Xia & Wang, Jianzhou & Chi, Dezhong & Guo, Zhenhai, 2017. "Multi-step wind speed and power forecasts based on a WRF simulation and an optimized association method," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 197(C), pages 183-202.
  93. Holemans, N. & Van Vuuren, G. & Styger, P., 2011. "Pricing weather derivatives for the Chardonnay cultivar in Wellington using a credit default swap methodology," Agrekon, Agricultural Economics Association of South Africa (AEASA), vol. 50(4), December.
  94. Härdle, Wolfgang Karl & López-Cabrera, Brenda & Ritter, Matthias, 2012. "Forecast based pricing of weather derivatives," SFB 649 Discussion Papers 2012-027, Humboldt University Berlin, Collaborative Research Center 649: Economic Risk.
  95. Mu, Xiaoyi, 2007. "Weather, storage, and natural gas price dynamics: Fundamentals and volatility," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 29(1), pages 46-63, January.
  96. Ahčan, Aleš, 2012. "Statistical analysis of model risk concerning temperature residuals and its impact on pricing weather derivatives," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 50(1), pages 131-138.
  97. Elias, R.S. & Wahab, M.I.M. & Fang, L., 2014. "A comparison of regime-switching temperature modeling approaches for applications in weather derivatives," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 232(3), pages 549-560.
  98. repec:hal:journl:peer-00834423 is not listed on IDEAS
  99. Fred Espen Benth & Jūratė Šaltytė Benth & Steen Koekebakker, 2007. "Putting a Price on Temperature," Scandinavian Journal of Statistics, Danish Society for Theoretical Statistics;Finnish Statistical Society;Norwegian Statistical Association;Swedish Statistical Association, vol. 34(4), pages 746-767, December.
  100. Javadi, Siamak & Masum, Abdullah-Al, 2021. "The impact of climate change on the cost of bank loans," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 69(C).
  101. Frank Schiller & Gerold Seidler & Maximilian Wimmer, 2012. "Temperature models for pricing weather derivatives," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 12(3), pages 489-500, March.
  102. Wolfgang Karl Härdle & Brenda López Cabrera & Awdesch Melzer, 2021. "Pricing wind power futures," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series C, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 70(4), pages 1083-1102, August.
  103. Baojing Sun, 2017. "Financial Weather Derivatives for Corn Production in Northeastern China: Modelling the underlying Weather Index," Working Papers 2017-05, University of Victoria, Department of Economics, Resource Economics and Policy Analysis Research Group.
  104. Silvio M. Duarte Queiros & Evaldo M. F. Curado & Fernando D. Nobre, 2011. "Minding impacting events in a model of stochastic variance," Papers 1102.4819, arXiv.org, revised Feb 2011.
  105. Baltuttis, Dennik & Töppel, Jannick & Tränkler, Timm & Wiethe, Christian, 2020. "Managing the risks of energy efficiency insurances in a portfolio context: An actuarial diversification approach," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 68(C).
  106. Zhao, Jing & Guo, Yiyi & Lin, Yihua & Zhao, Zhiyuan & Guo, Zhenhai, 2024. "A novel dynamic ensemble of numerical weather prediction for multi-step wind speed forecasting with deep reinforcement learning and error sequence modeling," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 302(C).
  107. Zhao, Jing & Guo, Zhen-Hai & Su, Zhong-Yue & Zhao, Zhi-Yuan & Xiao, Xia & Liu, Feng, 2016. "An improved multi-step forecasting model based on WRF ensembles and creative fuzzy systems for wind speed," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 162(C), pages 808-826.
  108. Hélène Hamisultane, 2008. "Which Method for Pricing Weather Derivatives ?," Working Papers halshs-00355856, HAL.
  109. Martínez, Beatriz & Torró, Hipòlit, 2023. "Theory of storage implications in the European natural gas market," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 29(C).
  110. Dupuis, Debbie J., 2011. "Forecasting temperature to price CME temperature derivatives," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 27(2), pages 602-618.
  111. Heng Xiong & Rogemar Mamon, 2018. "Putting a price tag on temperature," Computational Management Science, Springer, vol. 15(2), pages 259-296, June.
  112. Ohana, Steve, 2010. "Modeling global and local dependence in a pair of commodity forward curves with an application to the US natural gas and heating oil markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 32(2), pages 373-388, March.
  113. Ritter, Matthias, 2012. "Can the market forecast the weather better than meteorologists?," SFB 649 Discussion Papers 2012-067, Humboldt University Berlin, Collaborative Research Center 649: Economic Risk.
  114. repec:hum:wpaper:sfb649dp2014-006 is not listed on IDEAS
  115. Gneiting, Tilmann, 2011. "Quantiles as optimal point forecasts," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 27(2), pages 197-207.
  116. Turvey, Calum G. & Weersink, Alfons, 2005. "Pricing Weather Insurance with a Random Strike Price: An Application to the Ontario Ice Wine Harvest," 2005 Annual meeting, July 24-27, Providence, RI 19255, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
  117. Hélène Hamisultane, 2008. "Sunshine-Factor Model with Treshold GARCH for Predicting Temperature of Weather Contracts," Working Papers halshs-00355857, HAL.
  118. Cyr, Don & Kusy, Martin, 2007. "Identification of stochastic processes for an estimated icewine temperature hedging variable," Working Papers 37298, American Association of Wine Economists.
  119. Duran, Esra Akdeniz & Guo, Mengmeng & Härdle, Wolfgang Karl, 2010. "A confidence corridor for expectile functions," SFB 649 Discussion Papers 2011-004, Humboldt University Berlin, Collaborative Research Center 649: Economic Risk.
  120. Caiado, Jorge, 2007. "Forecasting water consumption in Spain using univariate time series models," MPRA Paper 6610, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  121. Balvers, Ronald & Du, Ding & Zhao, Xiaobing, 2017. "Temperature shocks and the cost of equity capital: Implications for climate change perceptions," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 77(C), pages 18-34.
  122. Nam, Kyungsik, 2021. "Investigating the effect of climate uncertainty on global commodity markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 96(C).
  123. Beyazıt, Mehmet Fuat & Koc, Erdogan, 2010. "An analysis of snow options for ski resort establishments," Tourism Management, Elsevier, vol. 31(5), pages 676-683.
  124. Mathias S. Kruttli & Brigitte Roth Tran & Sumudu W. Watugala, 2019. "Pricing Poseidon: Extreme Weather Uncertainty and Firm Return Dynamics," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2019-054, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
  125. Peng Li, 2021. "The Valuation of Weather Derivatives Using One Sided Crank–Nicolson Schemes," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 58(3), pages 825-847, October.
  126. Helene Hamisultane, 2010. "Utility-based pricing of weather derivatives," The European Journal of Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 16(6), pages 503-525.
  127. Musshoff, Oliver & Odening, Martin & Xu, Wei, 2006. "Modeling and Hedging Rain Risk," 2006 Annual meeting, July 23-26, Long Beach, CA 21050, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
  128. Philipp Hell & Thilo Meyer-Brandis & Thorsten Rheinländer, 2012. "Consistent Factor Models For Temperature Markets," International Journal of Theoretical and Applied Finance (IJTAF), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 15(04), pages 1-24.
  129. Aur'elien Alfonsi & Nerea Vadillo, 2023. "Risk valuation of quanto derivatives on temperature and electricity," Papers 2310.07692, arXiv.org, revised Apr 2024.
  130. Wang, Lu & Wu, Rui & Ma, WeiChun & Xu, Weiju, 2023. "Examining the volatility of soybean market in the MIDAS framework: The importance of bagging-based weather information," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 89(C).
  131. Ailliot, Pierre & Boutigny, Marie & Koutroulis, Eftichis & Malisovas, Athanasios & Monbet, Valérie, 2020. "Stochastic weather generator for the design and reliability evaluation of desalination systems with Renewable Energy Sources," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 158(C), pages 541-553.
  132. repec:hum:wpaper:sfb649dp2013-001 is not listed on IDEAS
  133. Zhao, Xiaobing & Du, Ding & Xiong, Jun & Springer, Abraham & Masek Lopez, Sharon R. & Winkler, Blake & Hubler, Kenedy, 2019. "The impact of forest restoration on agriculture in the Verde River watershed, Arizona, USA," Forest Policy and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 109(C).
  134. Ross Baldick & Sergey Kolos & Stathis Tompaidis, 2006. "Interruptible Electricity Contracts from an Electricity Retailer's Point of View: Valuation and Optimal Interruption," Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 54(4), pages 627-642, August.
  135. Mengmeng Guo & Wolfgang Härdle, 2012. "Simultaneous confidence bands for expectile functions," AStA Advances in Statistical Analysis, Springer;German Statistical Society, vol. 96(4), pages 517-541, October.
  136. Li, Lei & Yin, Xiao-Li & Jia, Xin-Chun & Sobhani, Behrooz, 2020. "Day ahead powerful probabilistic wind power forecast using combined intelligent structure and fuzzy clustering algorithm," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 192(C).
  137. Zhao, Xiaobing & Fletcher, Jerald J., 2011. "A spatial–temporal optimization approach to watershed management: Acid mine drainage treatment in the Cheat River watershed, WV, USA," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 222(9), pages 1580-1591.
  138. repec:hum:wpaper:sfb649dp2014-020 is not listed on IDEAS
  139. Wolfram Schlenker & Michael J. Roberts, 2008. "Estimating the Impact of Climate Change on Crop Yields: The Importance of Nonlinear Temperature Effects," NBER Working Papers 13799, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  140. Taylor, James W. & Buizza, Roberto, 2006. "Density forecasting for weather derivative pricing," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 22(1), pages 29-42.
  141. Jr‐Wei Huang & Sharon S. Yang & Chuang‐Chang Chang, 2018. "Modeling temperature behaviors: Application to weather derivative valuation," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 38(9), pages 1152-1175, September.
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