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Alfonso Novales

Citations

Many of the citations below have been collected in an experimental project, CitEc, where a more detailed citation analysis can be found. These are citations from works listed in RePEc that could be analyzed mechanically. So far, only a minority of all works could be analyzed. See under "Corrections" how you can help improve the citation analysis.

Blog mentions

As found by EconAcademics.org, the blog aggregator for Economics research:
  1. Alfonso Novales & Jesús Ruiz, 2001. "Dynamic Laffer Curves," Documentos de Trabajo del ICAE 0106, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales, Instituto Complutense de Análisis Económico.

    Mentioned in:

    1. Buscando la curva de Laffer desesperadamente
      by admin in Nada Es Gratis on 2020-02-26 06:07:46

Working papers

  1. Angel de la Fuente & Miguel Ángel García Díaz & Luis González-Calbet & Alfonso Novales & Jorge Onrubia & Álvaro Sanmartín, 2023. "Notas sobre el Proyecto de Ley de Función Pública," Policy Papers 2023-02, FEDEA.

    Cited by:

    1. Angel de la Fuente, 2024. "Situación económica y respuesta a la crisis de Ucrania. Boletín Fedea no. 25," Studies on the Spanish Economy eee2024-05, FEDEA.

  2. Álvaro Chamizo & Alfonso Novales, 2019. "Splitting credit risk into systemic, sectorial and idiosyncratic components," Documentos de Trabajo del ICAE 2019-30, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales, Instituto Complutense de Análisis Económico.

    Cited by:

    1. Álvaro Chamizo & Alfonso Novales, 2019. "Looking through systemic credit risk: determinants, stress testing and market value," Documentos de Trabajo del ICAE 2019-27, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales, Instituto Complutense de Análisis Económico.
    2. Ballester, Laura & López, Jesúa & Pavía, Jose M., 2023. "European systemic credit risk transmission using Bayesian networks," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 65(C).

  3. Álvaro Chamizo & Alfonso Novales, 2019. "Looking through systemic credit risk: determinants, stress testing and market value," Documentos de Trabajo del ICAE 2019-27, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales, Instituto Complutense de Análisis Económico.

    Cited by:

    1. Chamizo, Álvaro & Novales, Alfonso, 2021. "Evaluation of market risk associated with hedging a credit derivative portfolio," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 411-430.
    2. Bellardini, Luca & Murro, Pierluigi & Previtali, Daniele, 2024. "Measuring the risk appetite of bank-controlling shareholders: The Risk-Weighted Ownership index," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 60(C).
    3. Ballester, Laura & López, Jesúa & Pavía, Jose M., 2023. "European systemic credit risk transmission using Bayesian networks," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 65(C).
    4. Caiazza, Stefano & Galloppo, Giuseppe & La Rosa, Giovanni, 2023. "The mitigation role of corporate sustainability: Evidence from the CDS spread," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 52(C).

  4. Alfonso Novales & Laura Garcia-Jorcano, 2019. "Backtesting Extreme Value Theory models of expected shortfall," Documentos de Trabajo del ICAE 2019-24, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales, Instituto Complutense de Análisis Económico.

    Cited by:

    1. Garcia-Jorcano, Laura & Sanchis-Marco, Lidia, 2024. "Forecasting the effect of extreme sea-level rise on financial market risk," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 93(PB), pages 1-27.

  5. Manuel Moreno & Alfonso Novales & Federico Platania, 2019. "Long-term swings and seasonality in energy markets," Documentos de Trabajo del ICAE 2019-29, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales, Instituto Complutense de Análisis Económico.

    Cited by:

    1. Ioannis Kountouris & Rasmus Bramstoft & Theis Madsen & Juan Gea-Bermúdez & Marie Münster & Dogan Keles, 2024. "A unified European hydrogen infrastructure planning to support the rapid scale-up of hydrogen production," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 15(1), pages 1-13, December.
    2. Carlo Andrea Bollino & Philipp Galkin, 2021. "Energy Security and Portfolio Diversification: Conventional and Novel Perspectives," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(14), pages 1-24, July.
    3. Zi‐Yi Guo, 2020. "Stochastic multifactor models in risk management of energy futures," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 40(12), pages 1918-1934, December.
    4. Ioannidis, Filippos & Kosmidou, Kyriaki & Savva, Christos & Theodossiou, Panayiotis, 2021. "Electricity pricing using a periodic GARCH model with conditional skewness and kurtosis components," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 95(C).
    5. Ewald, Christian & Zou, Yihan, 2021. "Analytic formulas for futures and options for a linear quadratic jump diffusion model with seasonal stochastic volatility and convenience yield: Do fish jump?," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 294(2), pages 801-815.
    6. Tarik Bazgour & Federico Platania, 2022. "A defaultable bond model with cyclical fluctuations in the spread process," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 312(2), pages 647-672, May.
    7. Jinniao Qiu & Antony Ware & Yang Yang, 2024. "Stochastic Path-Dependent Volatility Models for Price-Storage Dynamics in Natural Gas Markets and Discrete-Time Swing Option Pricing," Papers 2406.16400, arXiv.org.

  6. Laura Garcia-Jorcano & Alfonso Novales, 2019. "A dominance approach for comparing the performance of VaR forecasting models," Documentos de Trabajo del ICAE 2019-23, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales, Instituto Complutense de Análisis Económico.

    Cited by:

    1. Laura Garcia-Jorcano & Lidia Sanchis-Marco, 2023. "Measuring Systemic Risk Using Multivariate Quantile-Located ES Models," Journal of Financial Econometrics, Oxford University Press, vol. 21(1), pages 1-72.

  7. Laura Garcia-Jorcano & Alfonso Novales, 2019. "Volatility specifications versus probability distributions in VaR forecasting," Documentos de Trabajo del ICAE 2019-26, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales, Instituto Complutense de Análisis Económico.

    Cited by:

    1. Müller, Fernanda Maria & Santos, Samuel Solgon & Righi, Marcelo Brutti, 2023. "A description of the COVID-19 outbreak role in financial risk forecasting," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 66(C).
    2. Fernanda Maria Müller & Marcelo Brutti Righi, 2024. "Comparison of Value at Risk (VaR) Multivariate Forecast Models," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 63(1), pages 75-110, January.
    3. Fernanda Maria Müller & Thalles Weber Gössling & Samuel Solgon Santos & Marcelo Brutti Righi, 2024. "A comparison of Range Value at Risk (RVaR) forecasting models," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 43(3), pages 509-543, April.
    4. Müller, Fernanda Maria & Santos, Samuel Solgon & Gössling, Thalles Weber & Righi, Marcelo Brutti, 2022. "Comparison of risk forecasts for cryptocurrencies: A focus on Range Value at Risk," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 48(C).

  8. Álvaro Chamizo & Alexandre Fonollosa & Alfonso Novales, 2019. "Forward-looking asset correlations in the estimation of economic capital," Documentos de Trabajo del ICAE 2019-25, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales, Instituto Complutense de Análisis Económico.

    Cited by:

    1. Álvaro Chamizo & Alfonso Novales, 2019. "Market risk when hedging a global credit portfolio," Documentos de Trabajo del ICAE 2019-28, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales, Instituto Complutense de Análisis Económico.

  9. Manuel Moreno & Alfonso Novales & Federico Platania, 2019. "A term structure model under cyclical fluctuations in interest rates," Documentos de Trabajo del ICAE 2019-31, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales, Instituto Complutense de Análisis Económico.

    Cited by:

    1. Moreno, Manuel & Novales, Alfonso & Platania, Federico, 2019. "Long-term swings and seasonality in energy markets," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 279(3), pages 1011-1023.
    2. Tarik Bazgour & Federico Platania, 2022. "A defaultable bond model with cyclical fluctuations in the spread process," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 312(2), pages 647-672, May.
    3. Songzhuo LI & Fang ZHANG, 2023. "Forecasting the Government Yield Curve in China: A Cyclical Reverting Mean Approach," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(1), pages 78-90, March.
    4. Luo, Deqing & Pang, Tao & Xu, Jiawen, 2021. "Forecasting U.S. Yield Curve Using the Dynamic Nelson–Siegel Model with Random Level Shift Parameters," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 94(C), pages 340-350.

  10. Belén Nieto & Alfonso Novales Cinca & Gonzalo Rubio, 2014. "Macroeconomic and Financial Determinants of the Volatility of Corporate Bond Returns," Documentos de Trabajo del ICAE 2014-25, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales, Instituto Complutense de Análisis Económico.

    Cited by:

    1. Fang, Libing & Yu, Honghai & Xiao, Wen, 2018. "Forecasting gold futures market volatility using macroeconomic variables in the United States," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 72(C), pages 249-259.
    2. Duc Khuong Nguyen & Thomas Walther, 2020. "Modeling and forecasting commodity market volatility with long‐term economic and financial variables," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 39(2), pages 126-142, March.
    3. Richter, Sylvia & Heyde, Frank & Horsch, Andreas & Wünsche, Andreas, 2021. "Determinants of project bond prices – Insights into infrastructure and energy capital markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 97(C).
    4. Wu, Xinyu & Xie, Haibin, 2021. "A realized EGARCH-MIDAS model with higher moments," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 38(C).
    5. Zeeshan, Mohammad, 2024. "Financial market volatility: Does banking concentration play a role?," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 68(C).
    6. Crimmel, Jeremy & Elyasiani, Elyas, 2021. "The association between financial market volatility and banking market structure," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 82(C), pages 335-349.

  11. Alfonso Novales Cinca & Rafaela Pérez Sánchez & Jesús Rúiz Andújar, 2013. "Optimal time-consistent fiscal policy under endogenous growth with elastic labour supply," Documentos de Trabajo del ICAE 2013-24, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales, Instituto Complutense de Análisis Económico.

    Cited by:

    1. Zhang, Lifeng & Ru, Yucong & Li, Jingkui, 2016. "Optimal tax structure and public expenditure composition in a simple model of endogenous growth," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 352-360.

  12. Alfonso Novales Cinca & Rafaela María Pérez Sánchez & Jesús Rúiz Andújar, 2013. "Optimal time-consistent fiscal policy in an endogenous growth economy with public consumption and capital," Documentos de Trabajo del ICAE 2013-23, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales, Instituto Complutense de Análisis Económico.

    Cited by:

    1. Novales, Alfonso & Pérez, Rafaela & Ruiz, Jesus, 2014. "Optimal time-consistent fiscal policy under endogenous growth with elastic labor supply," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 398-412.
    2. Guo, Lu & Yan, Chong, 2021. "Optimal Taxation in the Endogenous Growth Framework with the Private Information," MPRA Paper 109548, University Library of Munich, Germany.

  13. Juan-Ángel Jiménez-Martín & Alfonso Novales Cinca, 2009. "State-Uncertainty preferences and the Risk Premium in the Exchange rate market," Documentos de Trabajo del ICAE 2009-17, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales, Instituto Complutense de Análisis Económico.

    Cited by:

    1. Mpoha, Salifya & Bonga-Bonga, Lumengo, 2020. "Assessing the extent of exchange rate risk pricing in equity markets: emerging versus developed economies," MPRA Paper 99597, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    2. Al-Shboul, Mohammad & Anwar, Sajid, 2014. "Time-varying exchange rate exposure and exchange rate risk pricing in the Canadian Equity Market," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 37(C), pages 451-463.
    3. Jayasinghe, Prabhath & Tsui, Albert K. & Zhang, Zhaoyong, 2014. "New estimates of time-varying currency betas: A trivariate BEKK approach," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 128-139.
    4. Kumar, Vikram, 2020. "Liquidity shocks: A new solution to the forward premium puzzle," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 91(C), pages 445-454.

  14. Alfonso Novales & J.A. Lafuente, 2002. "Optimal hedging under departures from the cost-of-carry valuation: evidence from the Spanish stock index futures market," Documentos de Trabajo del ICAE 0223, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales, Instituto Complutense de Análisis Económico.

    Cited by:

    1. Panayiotis Andreou & Yiannos Pierides, 2008. "Empirical investigation of stock index futures market efficiency: the case of the Athens Derivatives Exchange," The European Journal of Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 14(3), pages 211-223.
    2. Alizadeh, Amir H. & Huang, Chih-Yueh & van Dellen, Stefan, 2015. "A regime switching approach for hedging tanker shipping freight rates," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 49(C), pages 44-59.
    3. Shackleton, Mark B. & Voukelatos, Nikolaos, 2013. "Hedging efficiency in the Greek options market before and after the financial crisis of 2008," Journal of Multinational Financial Management, Elsevier, vol. 23(1), pages 1-18.
    4. Amir H. Alizadeh & Nikos Nomikos, 2011. "An Investigation into the Effect of Risk Management on the Profitability of Shipping Investment and Operations," Chapters, in: Kevin Cullinane (ed.), International Handbook of Maritime Economics, chapter 7, Edward Elgar Publishing.
    5. Patrick McGlenchy & Paul Kofman, 2004. "Structurally Sound Dynamic Index Futures Hedging," Econometric Society 2004 Australasian Meetings 80, Econometric Society.
    6. Sharma, Susan Sunila & Narayan, Paresh Kumar & Zheng, Xinwei, 2011. "An analysis of firm and market volatility," Working Papers fe_2011_02, Deakin University, Department of Economics.
    7. Lee, Hsiang-Tai & Tsang, Wei-Lun, 2011. "Cross hedging single stock with American Depositary Receipt and stock index futures," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 8(3), pages 146-157, September.
    8. Lin, Xiaoqiang & Chen, Qiang & Tang, Zhenpeng, 2014. "Dynamic hedging strategy in incomplete market: Evidence from Shanghai fuel oil futures market," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 40(C), pages 81-90.
    9. Jahangir Sultan & Mohammad Hasan, 2008. "The effectiveness of dynamic hedging: evidence from selected European stock index futures," The European Journal of Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 14(6), pages 469-488.
    10. Manolis Kavussanos & Ilias Visvikis, 2008. "Hedging effectiveness of the Athens stock index futures contracts," The European Journal of Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 14(3), pages 243-270.
    11. Suo, Yuan-Yuan & Wang, Dong-Hua & Li, Sai-Ping, 2015. "Risk estimation of CSI 300 index spot and futures in China from a new perspective," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 49(C), pages 344-353.
    12. Christos Floros & Dimitrios Vougas, 2004. "Hedge ratios in Greek stock index futures market," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 14(15), pages 1125-1136.
    13. Alizadeh, Amir H. & Nomikos, Nikos K. & Pouliasis, Panos K., 2008. "A Markov regime switching approach for hedging energy commodities," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 32(9), pages 1970-1983, September.
    14. Hakan Er & Adnan Hushmat, 2017. "The application of technical trading rules developed from spot market prices on futures market prices using CAPM," Eurasian Business Review, Springer;Eurasia Business and Economics Society, vol. 7(3), pages 313-353, December.
    15. Pablo Urtubia & Alfonso Novales & Andrés Mora-Valencia, 2021. "Cross-Hedging Portfolios in Emerging Stock Markets: Evidence for the LATIBEX Index," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 9(21), pages 1-19, October.
    16. Wen-Chung Hsu & Hsiang-Tai Lee, 2018. "Cross Hedging Stock Sector Risk with Index Futures by Considering the Global Equity Systematic Risk," IJFS, MDPI, vol. 6(2), pages 1-17, April.
    17. Lee, Hsiang-Tai, 2010. "Regime switching correlation hedging," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 34(11), pages 2728-2741, November.

  15. Alfonso Novales & Emilio Domínguez, 2002. "Can forward rates be used to improve interest rate forecasts?"," Documentos de Trabajo del ICAE 0225, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales, Instituto Complutense de Análisis Económico.

    Cited by:

    1. Hernandis, Lucía & Torró, Hipòlit, 2013. "The information content of Eonia swap rates before and during the financial crisis," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 37(12), pages 5316-5328.
    2. Minoas Koukouritakis & Leo Michelis, 2008. "The term structure of interest rates in the 12 newest EU countries," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 40(4), pages 479-490.
    3. Wickens, Michael R., 2020. "Forward interest rates as predictors of future US and UK spot rates before and after the 2008 financial crisis," CEPR Discussion Papers 14800, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    4. N. K. Kishor & H. A. Marfatia, 2013. "Does federal funds futures rate contain information about the treasury bill rate?," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 23(16), pages 1311-1324, August.

  16. Alfonso Novales & Javier J. Pérez, 2002. "Is it Worth Refining Linear Approximations to Non-Linear Rational Expectations Models?," Economic Working Papers at Centro de Estudios Andaluces E2002/15, Centro de Estudios Andaluces.

    Cited by:

    1. Antonio Morales & Pablo Brañas Garza, 2003. "Computational Errors in Guessing Games1," Economic Working Papers at Centro de Estudios Andaluces E2003/11, Centro de Estudios Andaluces.
    2. Alfonso Novales & Javier J. PÈrez, 2004. "Is It Worth Refining Linear Approximations to Non-Linear Rational Expectations Models?," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 23(4), pages 343-377, June.

  17. Pilar Abad & Alfonso Novales, 2002. "Volatility Transmission acros the Term Structure of Swap Markets: International Evidence," Documentos de Trabajo del ICAE 0220, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales, Instituto Complutense de Análisis Económico.

    Cited by:

    1. Silvio Colarossi & Andrea Zaghini, 2009. "Gradualism, Transparency and the Improved Operational Framework: A Look at Overnight Volatility Transmission," International Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 12(2), pages 151-170, August.
    2. Julius Moschitz, 2009. "Monetary policy implementation and the Euro area money market," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 19(1), pages 39-57.
    3. Malinská, Barbora, 2022. "Time-varying pricing of risk in sovereign bond futures returns," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 47(PA).
    4. Bank for International Settlements, 2006. "The recent behaviour of financial market volatility," BIS Papers, Bank for International Settlements, number 29.
    5. Sohel Azad, A.S.M. & Batten, Jonathan A. & Fang, Victor & Wickramanayake, Jayasinghe, 2015. "International swap market contagion and volatility," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 47(C), pages 355-371.

  18. Alfonso Novales & Emilio Domínguez, 2002. "A factor model of term structure slopes in eurocurrency markets," Documentos de Trabajo del ICAE 0224, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales, Instituto Complutense de Análisis Económico.

    Cited by:

    1. Vähämaa, Sami & Krylova, Elizaveta & Nikkinen, Jussi, 2005. "Cross-dynamics of volatility term structures implied by foreign exchange options," Working Paper Series 530, European Central Bank.
    2. Abad, Pilar & Novales, Alfonso, 2005. "An error correction factor model of term structure slopes in international swap markets," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 15(3), pages 229-254, July.
    3. Pilar Abad & Alfonso Novales, 2002. "An Error Correction Factor Model of Term Structure Slopes in International Swaps Markets," Documentos de Trabajo del ICAE 0222, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales, Instituto Complutense de Análisis Económico.

  19. Gustavo A. Marrero & Alfonso Novales, 2001. "Growth and welfare: Distorting versus non-distorting taxes," Documentos de Trabajo del ICAE 0105, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales, Instituto Complutense de Análisis Económico.

    Cited by:

    1. P R Agénor, 2005. "Infrastructure Investment and Maintenance Expenditure: Optimal Allocation Rules in a Growing Economy," Centre for Growth and Business Cycle Research Discussion Paper Series 60, Economics, The University of Manchester.
    2. Gustavo Marrero, 2010. "Tax-mix, public spending composition and growth," Journal of Economics, Springer, vol. 99(1), pages 29-51, February.
    3. José Manuel González-Páramo & Diego Martínez López, "undated". "Public Investment and Convergence in the Spanish Regions," Studies on the Spanish Economy 112, FEDEA.
    4. Pierre-Richard Agénor, 2005. "Infrastructure Investment and Maintenance Expenditure: Optimal Allocation Rules in a Growing," Economics Discussion Paper Series 0537, Economics, The University of Manchester.
    5. Muhsin Ali & Karim Khan, 2020. "Volatility in Discretionary Public Spending and Economic Growth: A Cross Country Analysis," The Pakistan Development Review, Pakistan Institute of Development Economics, vol. 59(1), pages 45-68.
    6. Thi Kim Cuong Pham, 2018. "Keeping Up with or Running Away from the Joneses: the Barro Model Revisited," Working Papers of BETA 2018-29, Bureau d'Economie Théorique et Appliquée, UDS, Strasbourg.
    7. Andreas Irmen & Johanna Kuehnel, 2008. "Productive Government Expenditure and Economic Growth," CESifo Working Paper Series 2314, CESifo.
    8. Marrero, Gustavo A., 2008. "Revisiting The Optimal Stationary Public Investment Policy In Endogenous Growth Economies," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 12(2), pages 172-194, April.
    9. Cavalcanti, Carlos B. & Marrero, Gustavo A. & Le, Tuan Minh, 2014. "Measuring the impact of debt-financed public investment," Policy Research Working Paper Series 6766, The World Bank.
    10. Zhang, Lifeng & Ru, Yucong & Li, Jingkui, 2016. "Optimal tax structure and public expenditure composition in a simple model of endogenous growth," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 352-360.
    11. Masaya Yasuoka, 2021. "How should a government finance pension benefits?," Australian Economic Papers, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 60(1), pages 138-152, March.
    12. Thi Kim Cuong Pham, 2012. "Status-seeking and economic growth: the Barro model revisited," Working Papers of BETA 2012-06, Bureau d'Economie Théorique et Appliquée, UDS, Strasbourg.
    13. Marrero, Gustavo A. & Novales, Alfonso, 2011. "Growth, income taxes and consumption aspirations," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 113(3), pages 221-224.
    14. Marrero, Gustavo A. & Novales, Alfonso, 2007. "Income taxes, public investment and welfare in a growing economy," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 31(10), pages 3348-3369, October.

  20. Alfonso Novales & Jesús Ruiz, 2001. "Dynamic Laffer Curves," Documentos de Trabajo del ICAE 0106, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales, Instituto Complutense de Análisis Económico.

    Cited by:

    1. Wickens, Michael R. & Heer, Burkhard, 2017. "Population Aging, Social Security and Fiscal Limits," CEPR Discussion Papers 11978, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    2. Kelbesa Abdisa Megersa, 2015. "The laffer curve and the debt-growth link in low-income Sub-Saharan African economies," Journal of Economic Studies, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 42(5), pages 878-892, October.
    3. Eugenio J. Miravete & Katja Seim & Jeff Thurk, 2018. "Market Power and the Laffer Curve," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 86(5), pages 1651-1687, September.
    4. Eric M. Leeper & Shu-Chun Susan Yang, 2006. "Dynamic Scoring: Alternative Financing Schemes," NBER Working Papers 12103, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    5. Loretti I. Dobrescu & Mihaela Neamtu & Dumitru Opris, 2011. "Stability in a Three-Sector Dynamic Growth Model with Endogenous Labor Supply," Discussion Papers 2012-10, School of Economics, The University of New South Wales.
    6. E. EHRHART & Alexandru MINEA & Patrick VILLIEU, 2009. "Deficits, Seignorage and the Growth Laffer Curve in Developing Countries," LEO Working Papers / DR LEO 118, Orleans Economics Laboratory / Laboratoire d'Economie d'Orleans (LEO), University of Orleans.
    7. Dean Scrimgeour, 2015. "Dynamic Scoring in a Romer‐Style Economy," Southern Economic Journal, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 81(3), pages 697-723, January.
    8. Wouter J. DenHaan, 2002. "Temporary Shocks and Unavoidable Transistions to a High-Unemployment Regime," NBER Working Papers 9349, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    9. Alan Krause, 2009. "A general equilibrium analysis of the Laffer argument," Social Choice and Welfare, Springer;The Society for Social Choice and Welfare, vol. 33(4), pages 601-615, November.
    10. Alejandro Cunat & Szabolcs Deak & Marco Maffezzoli, 2022. "Tax Cuts in Open Economies," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 45, pages 83-108, July.
    11. Ferede Ergete, 2008. "Dynamic Scoring in the Ramsey Growth Model," The B.E. Journal of Economic Analysis & Policy, De Gruyter, vol. 8(1), pages 1-27, September.
    12. Esther Fernández & Rafaela Pérez Sánchez & Jesús Ruiz, 2004. "Double Dividend in an Endogenous Growth Model with Pollution and Abatement," Economic Working Papers at Centro de Estudios Andaluces E2004/15, Centro de Estudios Andaluces.
    13. Loretti Dobrescu & Mihaela Neamtu & Dumitru Opris, 2013. "Deterministic and Stochastic Three-Sector Dynamic Growth Model with Endogenous Labour Supply," The Economic Record, The Economic Society of Australia, vol. 89(284), pages 99-111, March.
    14. Fredriksson, Anders, 2007. "Compositional and dynamic Laffer effects in models with constant returns to scale," Research Papers in Economics 2007:2, Stockholm University, Department of Economics, revised 21 Apr 2004.
    15. Xiaoshan Chen & Campbell Leith & Mattia Ricci, 2018. "Debt Sustainability and Welfare along an Optimal Laffer Curve," Department of Economics Working Papers 2018_02, Durham University, Department of Economics.
    16. van Oudheusden, P., 2012. "Dynamic Scoring Through Creative Destruction," Discussion Paper 2012-084, Tilburg University, Center for Economic Research.
    17. Tsuchiya, Yoichi, 2016. "Dynamic Laffer curves, population growth and public debt overhangs," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 41(C), pages 40-52.
    18. Sanz-Sanz, José Félix, 2022. "A full-fledged analytical model for the Laffer curve in personal income taxation," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 73(C), pages 795-811.
    19. Heijman, W.J.M. & van Ophem, J.A.C., 2005. "Willingness to pay tax: The Laffer curve revisited for 12 OECD countries," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Economics (formerly The Journal of Socio-Economics), Elsevier, vol. 34(5), pages 714-723, October.
    20. Uhlig, Harald & Trabandt, Mathias, 2010. "How far are we from the slippery slope? The Laffer curve revisited," Working Paper Series 1174, European Central Bank.
    21. N. Gregory Mankiw & Matthew Weinzierl, 2005. "Dynamic Scoring: A Back-of-the-Envelope Guide," Harvard Institute of Economic Research Working Papers 2057, Harvard - Institute of Economic Research.
    22. Marcelo Bianconi & Walter H. Fisher, 2014. "Intertemporal Budget Policies and Macroeconomic Adjustment in Indebted Open Economies," Review of International Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 22(1), pages 116-130, February.
    23. Hüseyin ŞEN & Zeynep Burcu BULUT-ÇEVIK, 2021. "The Revenue-Maximizing Corporate Income Tax Rate for Turkey," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(1), pages 122-142, December.
    24. Francesco Busato & Bruno Chiarini & Guido M. Rey, 2005. "The Macroeconomic Implications of Fiscal Policy with Tax Evasion," Economics Working Papers 2005-04, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
    25. Holger Strulik & Timo Trimborn, 2011. "Laffer Strikes Again: Dynamic Scoring of Capital Taxes," DEGIT Conference Papers c016_074, DEGIT, Dynamics, Economic Growth, and International Trade.
    26. Juha Tervala & Mr. Giovanni Ganelli, 2008. "Tax Reforms, “Free Lunches”, and “Cheap Lunches” in Open Economies," IMF Working Papers 2008/227, International Monetary Fund.
    27. Alexandru Minea & Patrick Villieu, 2009. "Impôt, déficit et croissance économique : un réexamen de la courbe de Laffer," Post-Print hal-00448337, HAL.
    28. Menichini, Amilcar A., 2020. "How do firm characteristics affect the corporate income tax revenue?," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 65(C), pages 146-162.
    29. Trabandt, Mathias & Uhlig, Harald, 2011. "The Laffer curve revisited," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 58(4), pages 305-327.
    30. van Oudheusden, P., 2010. "Fiscal Policy Reforms and Dynamic Laffer Effects," Discussion Paper 2010-15, Tilburg University, Center for Economic Research.
    31. Alan Krause, 2007. "A Tax Reform Analysis of the Laffer Argument," Discussion Papers 07/10, Department of Economics, University of York.
    32. Fernández, Esther & Pérez, Rafaela & Ruiz, Jesús, 2011. "Optimal green tax reforms yielding double dividend," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 39(7), pages 4253-4263, July.
    33. Choi, Yoonseok & Kim, Sunghyun, 2016. "Dynamic scoring of tax reforms in a small open economy model," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 182-193.
    34. Emilian Dobrescu, 2016. "LINS Curve in Romanian Economy," The AMFITEATRU ECONOMIC journal, Academy of Economic Studies - Bucharest, Romania, vol. 18(41), pages 136-136, February.
    35. Dennis Ridley & Cartreal Davison, 2022. "Optimal Tax Rate for Maximal Revenue Generation," Technium Social Sciences Journal, Technium Science, vol. 29(1), pages 271-284, March.
    36. van Oudheusden, P., 2012. "Dynamic Scoring Through Creative Destruction," Other publications TiSEM 13955715-2cbb-443b-a099-9, Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management.
    37. M Saifur Rahman, 2008. "Should Dynamic Scoring be done with Heterogeneous Agent-Based Models? Challenging the Conventional Wisdom," CAEPR Working Papers 2008-023, Center for Applied Economics and Policy Research, Department of Economics, Indiana University Bloomington.
    38. Den Haan, Wouter J., 2003. "Temporary shocks and unavoidable transitions to a high-unemployment regime," Working Paper Series 239, European Central Bank.
    39. Fernández, Esther & Pérez, Rafaela & Ruiz, Jesús, 2010. "Double dividend, dynamic Laffer effects and public abatement," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 27(3), pages 656-665, May.
    40. van Oudheusden, P., 2010. "Fiscal Policy Reforms and Dynamic Laffer Effects," Other publications TiSEM 9333f615-5bd1-4105-994a-d, Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management.

Articles

  1. Laura Garcia‐Jorcano & Alfonso Novales, 2021. "Volatility specifications versus probability distributions in VaR forecasting," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 40(2), pages 189-212, March.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  2. Chamizo, Álvaro & Novales, Alfonso, 2021. "Evaluation of market risk associated with hedging a credit derivative portfolio," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 411-430.

    Cited by:

    1. Santosh KUMAR & Bharat Kumar MEHER & Ramona BIRAU & Abhishek ANAND & Mircea Laurentiu SIMION, 2023. "Investigating Volatility Dynamics of the Portugal Stock Market using FIGARCH Models," Economics and Applied Informatics, "Dunarea de Jos" University of Galati, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, issue 3, pages 39-45.

  3. Chamizo, Álvaro & Novales, Alfonso, 2020. "Looking through systemic credit risk: Determinants, stress testing and market value," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
    See citations under working paper version above.
  4. Laura Garcia-Jorcano & Alfonso Novales, 2020. "A dominance approach for comparing the performance of VaR forecasting models," Computational Statistics, Springer, vol. 35(3), pages 1411-1448, September.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  5. Alfonso Novales & Alvaro Chamizo, 2019. "Splitting Credit Risk into Systemic, Sectorial and Idiosyncratic Components," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 12(3), pages 1-33, August.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  6. Moreno, Manuel & Novales, Alfonso & Platania, Federico, 2019. "Long-term swings and seasonality in energy markets," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 279(3), pages 1011-1023.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  7. Moreno, Manuel & Novales, Alfonso & Platania, Federico, 2018. "A term structure model under cyclical fluctuations in interest rates," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 72(C), pages 140-150.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  8. Chamizo Cana, Álvaro & Novales Cinca, Alfonso, 2016. "Credit Risk Decomposition for Asset Allocation," Journal of Financial Transformation, Capco Institute, vol. 43, pages 117-123.

    Cited by:

    1. Chamizo, Álvaro & Novales, Alfonso, 2021. "Evaluation of market risk associated with hedging a credit derivative portfolio," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 411-430.
    2. Álvaro Chamizo & Alexandre Fonollosa & Alfonso Novales, 2019. "Forward-looking asset correlations in the estimation of economic capital," Documentos de Trabajo del ICAE 2019-25, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales, Instituto Complutense de Análisis Económico.
    3. Chamizo, Álvaro & Fonollosa, Alexandre & Novales, Alfonso, 2019. "Forward-looking asset correlations in the estimation of economic capital," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 264-288.

  9. Belén Nieto & Alfonso Novales & Gonzalo Rubio, 2015. "Macroeconomic and Financial Determinants of the Volatility of Corporate Bond Returns," Quarterly Journal of Finance (QJF), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 5(04), pages 1-41, December.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  10. Novales, Alfonso & Pérez, Rafaela & Ruiz, Jesús, 2014. "Optimal time-consistent fiscal policy in an endogenous growth economy with public consumption and capital," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 104-117.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  11. Novales, Alfonso & Pérez, Rafaela & Ruiz, Jesus, 2014. "Optimal time-consistent fiscal policy under endogenous growth with elastic labor supply," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 398-412.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  12. Nieto, Belén & Novales, Alfonso & Rubio, Gonzalo, 2014. "Variance swaps, non-normality and macroeconomic and financial risks," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 54(2), pages 257-270.

    Cited by:

    1. Eirini Konstantinidi & George Skiadopoulos, 2014. "How Does the Market Variance Risk Premium Vary over Time? Evidence from S&P 500 Variance Swap Investment Returns," Working Papers 732, Queen Mary University of London, School of Economics and Finance.
    2. Juliusz Jablecki & Robert Slepaczuk & Ryszard Kokoszczynski & Pawel Sakowski & Piotr Wojcik, 2014. "Does historical VIX term structure contain valuable information for predicting VIX futures?," Dynamic Econometric Models, Uniwersytet Mikolaja Kopernika, vol. 14, pages 5-28.
    3. Juliusz Jabłecki & Ryszard Kokoszczyński & Paweł Sakowski & Robert Ślepaczuk & Piotr Wójcik, 2014. "Does historical volatility term structure contain valuable in-formation for predicting volatility index futures?," Working Papers 2014-18, Faculty of Economic Sciences, University of Warsaw.

  13. Maria Gonzalez-Perez & Alfonso Novales, 2011. "The information content in a volatility index for Spain," SERIEs: Journal of the Spanish Economic Association, Springer;Spanish Economic Association, vol. 2(2), pages 185-216, June.

    Cited by:

    1. Fassas, Athanasios P. & Siriopoulos, Costas, 2021. "Implied volatility indices – A review," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 79(C), pages 303-329.
    2. Sensoy, Ahmet & Omole, John, 2018. "Implied volatility indices: A review and extension in the Turkish case," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 60(C), pages 151-161.
    3. Giovanni Campisi & Silvia Muzzioli, 2021. "Designing volatility indices for Austria, Finland and Spain," Financial Markets and Portfolio Management, Springer;Swiss Society for Financial Market Research, vol. 35(3), pages 369-455, September.

  14. Marrero, Gustavo A. & Novales, Alfonso, 2011. "Growth, income taxes and consumption aspirations," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 113(3), pages 221-224.

    Cited by:

    1. Carmen D. Ã lvarez-Albelo, 2018. "A calibration of the output elasticity of public capital," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 38(2), pages 761-771.
    2. Durusu-Ciftci, Dilek & Gokmenoglu, Korhan K. & Yetkiner, Hakan, 2018. "The heterogeneous impact of taxation on economic development: New insights from a panel cointegration approach," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 42(3), pages 503-513.

  15. Jiménez-Martín, Juan-Ángel & Cinca, Alfonso Novales, 2010. "State-uncertainty preferences and the risk premium in the exchange rate market," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 27(5), pages 1043-1053, September.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  16. A. Andani & J. A. Lafuente & A. Novales, 2009. "Liquidity and hedging effectiveness under futures mispricing: International evidence," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 29(11), pages 1050-1066, November.

    Cited by:

    1. Lee, Seungho & Meslmani, Nabil El & Switzer, Lorne N., 2020. "Pricing Efficiency and Arbitrage in the Bitcoin Spot and Futures Markets," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 53(C).
    2. Lin, Xiaoqiang & Chen, Qiang & Tang, Zhenpeng, 2014. "Dynamic hedging strategy in incomplete market: Evidence from Shanghai fuel oil futures market," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 40(C), pages 81-90.
    3. Chyi Lee & Simon Stevenson & Ming-Long Lee, 2014. "Futures Trading, Spot Price Volatility and Market Efficiency: Evidence from European Real Estate Securities Futures," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 48(2), pages 299-322, February.
    4. Seungho Lee, 2022. "The COVID-19 pandemic, short-sale ban, and market efficiency: empirical evidence from the European equity markets," Journal of Asset Management, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 23(2), pages 156-171, March.
    5. Edyta Marcinkiewicz, 2016. "Short Sale and Index Futures Mispricing: Evidence from the Warsaw Stock Exchange," Prague Economic Papers, Prague University of Economics and Business, vol. 2016(5), pages 547-559.

  17. Marrero, Gustavo A. & Novales, Alfonso, 2007. "Income taxes, public investment and welfare in a growing economy," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 31(10), pages 3348-3369, October.

    Cited by:

    1. Luigi MARATTIN & Massimiliano MARZO & Paolo ZAGAGLIA, 2010. "Distortionary Tax Instruments and Implementable Monetary Policy," EcoMod2010 259600110, EcoMod.
    2. Xin Long & Alessandra Pelloni, 2013. "Factor Income Taxation in a Horizontal Innovation Model," CEIS Research Paper 273, Tor Vergata University, CEIS, revised 19 Apr 2013.
    3. Ibrahim Ari & Muammer Koc, 2020. "Economic Growth, Public and Private Investment: A Comparative Study of China and the United States," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(6), pages 1-19, March.
    4. Gustavo Marrero, 2010. "Tax-mix, public spending composition and growth," Journal of Economics, Springer, vol. 99(1), pages 29-51, February.
    5. Minoru Watanabe & Yusuke Miyake & Masaya Yasuoka, 2015. "Public Investment Financed By Consumption Tax In An Aging Society," The Singapore Economic Review (SER), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 60(05), pages 1-17, December.
    6. Ángeles Sánchez & Antonio L. Pérez-Corral, 2018. "Government Social Expenditure and Income Inequalities in the European Union," Hacienda Pública Española / Review of Public Economics, IEF, vol. 227(4), pages 133-156, December.
    7. Xin Long & Alessandra Pelloni, 2012. "Welfare Improving Taxation on Savings in a Growth Model," Working Paper series 01_12, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis.
    8. Barbara Annicchiarico & Valentina Antonaroli & Alessandra Pelloni, 2020. "Optimal Factor Taxation in A Scale Free Model of Vertical Innovation," CEIS Research Paper 485, Tor Vergata University, CEIS, revised 13 May 2020.
    9. Marrero, Gustavo A., 2008. "Revisiting The Optimal Stationary Public Investment Policy In Endogenous Growth Economies," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 12(2), pages 172-194, April.
    10. Cavalcanti, Carlos B. & Marrero, Gustavo A. & Le, Tuan Minh, 2014. "Measuring the impact of debt-financed public investment," Policy Research Working Paper Series 6766, The World Bank.
    11. Zhang, Lifeng & Ru, Yucong & Li, Jingkui, 2016. "Optimal tax structure and public expenditure composition in a simple model of endogenous growth," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 352-360.
    12. Bhattacharyya, Chandril, 2014. "A Note on Endogenous Growth with Public Capital," MPRA Paper 55728, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    13. Marrero, Gustavo A. & Novales, Alfonso, 2011. "Growth, income taxes and consumption aspirations," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 113(3), pages 221-224.

  18. Abad, Pilar & Novales, Alfonso, 2005. "An error correction factor model of term structure slopes in international swap markets," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 15(3), pages 229-254, July.

    Cited by:

    1. Vähämaa, Sami & Krylova, Elizaveta & Nikkinen, Jussi, 2005. "Cross-dynamics of volatility term structures implied by foreign exchange options," Working Paper Series 530, European Central Bank.

  19. Marrero, Gustavo A. & Novales, Alfonso, 2005. "Growth and welfare: Distorting versus non-distorting taxes," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 27(3), pages 403-433, September.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  20. Novales, Alfonso, 2005. "Comments on: "Linear models, smooth transition autoregressions, and neural networks for forecasting macroeconomic time series: A re-examination"," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 21(4), pages 775-780.

    Cited by:

    1. Anders Bredahl Kock & Timo Teräsvirta, 2016. "Forecasting Macroeconomic Variables Using Neural Network Models and Three Automated Model Selection Techniques," Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 35(8-10), pages 1753-1779, December.

  21. Alfonso Novales & Javier J. PÈrez, 2004. "Is It Worth Refining Linear Approximations to Non-Linear Rational Expectations Models?," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 23(4), pages 343-377, June.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  22. Fernandez, Esther & Novales, Alfonso & Ruiz, Jesus, 2004. "Indeterminacy under non-separability of public consumption and leisure in the utility function," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 21(3), pages 409-428, May.

    Cited by:

    1. Hosoya, Kei, 2014. "Public health infrastructure and growth: Ways to improve the inferior equilibrium under multiple equilibria," Research in Economics, Elsevier, vol. 68(3), pages 194-207.
    2. wei-bin zhang, 2017. "Business Cycles with Progressive Income Taxation," International Journal of Business and Management, International Institute of Social and Economic Sciences, vol. 5(2), pages 78-95, November.
    3. Esther Fernández Casillas & pfe216 & Rafaela Mª Pérez Sánchez & Jesús Ruiz Andújar, 2003. "Environmental fiscal policies might be ineffective to control pollution," Documentos de Trabajo del ICAE 0307, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales, Instituto Complutense de Análisis Económico.
    4. Zhiming Fu & Antoine Le Riche, 2022. "Public spending, monetary policy and macroeconomic instability," Journal of Public Economic Theory, Association for Public Economic Theory, vol. 24(3), pages 580-608, June.
    5. Jaime Alonso-Carrera & Jordi Caballé & Xavier Raurich, 2005. "Can consumption spillovers be a source of equilibrium indeterminacy?," UFAE and IAE Working Papers 657.05, Unitat de Fonaments de l'Anàlisi Econòmica (UAB) and Institut d'Anàlisi Econòmica (CSIC).
    6. Eduardo de Sá Fortes Leitão Rodrigues, 2021. "Uncertainty and Effectiveness of Public Consumption," Working Papers REM 2021/0180, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa.
    7. Toshiki Tamai, 2019. "A note on fiscal policy, indeterminacy, and endogenous time preference," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 39(1), pages 615-625.
    8. Sayantan Ghosh Dastidar & Nicholas Apergis, 2022. "Holidays and economic growth: Evidence from a panel of Indian states," Economics of Transition and Institutional Change, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 30(1), pages 33-50, January.
    9. Chen, Shu-Hua & Guo, Jang-Ting, 2014. "Progressive taxation and macroeconomic (in)stability with utility-generating government spending," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 174-183.
    10. Kamiguchi, Akira & Tamai, Toshiki, 2011. "Can productive government spending be a source of equilibrium indeterminacy?," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 28(3), pages 1335-1340, May.
    11. Teresa Lloyd-Braga & Leonor Modesto & Thomas Seegmuller, 2008. "Tax Rate Variability and Public Spending as Sources of Indeterminacy," Post-Print halshs-00194395, HAL.
    12. Wei-Bin ZHANG, 2018. "Nonlinear Progressive Income Taxation And Inequalities In Income And Wealth Between Heterogeneous Households," Scientific Bulletin - Economic Sciences, University of Pitesti, vol. 17(2), pages 42-53.
    13. Hosoya, Kei, 2012. "Growth and multiple equilibria: A unique local dynamics," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 29(5), pages 1662-1665.
    14. Mehmet Fatih Demiral & Åžen Halil, 2021. "Integer Programming Model for Two-Centered Double Traveling Salesman Problem," European Journal of Economics and Business Studies Articles, Revistia Research and Publishing, vol. 2, May - Aug.
    15. Takeo Hori & Noritaka Maebayashi, 2013. "Indeterminacy and utility-generating government spending under balanced-budget fiscal policies," Discussion Papers in Economics and Business 13-13, Osaka University, Graduate School of Economics.
    16. Fernández, Esther & Pérez, Rafaela & Ruiz, Jesús, 2012. "The environmental Kuznets curve and equilibrium indeterminacy," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 36(11), pages 1700-1717.
    17. Senjuti Gupta & Bidisha Chakraborty & Tanmoyee Banerjee (Chatterjee), 2019. "Service Good as an Intermediate Input and Optimal Government Policy in an Endogenous Growth Model," South Asian Journal of Macroeconomics and Public Finance, , vol. 8(1), pages 57-91, June.
    18. Rafaela Mª Pérez Sánchez & Jesús Ruiz Andújar, 2004. "Global and local indeterminacy and optimal environmental public policies in an economy with public abatement activities," Documentos de Trabajo del ICAE 0408, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales, Instituto Complutense de Análisis Económico.
    19. Deku, Solomon Y. & Lim, King Yoong, 2024. "Oil price effects on optimal extraction–exploration and offshore entities: An applied-theoretical and empirical investigation in oil-rich economies," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 129(C).

  23. Pilar Abad & Alfonso Novales, 2004. "Volatility transmission across the term structure of swap markets: international evidence," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 14(14), pages 1045-1058.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  24. Lafuente, Juan A. & Novales, Alfonso, 2003. "Optimal hedging under departures from the cost-of-carry valuation: Evidence from the Spanish stock index futures market," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 27(6), pages 1053-1078, June.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  25. Novales, Alfonso & Ruiz, Jesus, 2002. "Dynamic Laffer curves," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 27(2), pages 181-206, December.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  26. Emilio Dominguez & Alfonso Novales, 2002. "Can forward rates be used to improve interest rate forecasts?," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 12(7), pages 493-504.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  27. Emilio Dominguez & Alfonso Novales, 2002. "A factor model of term structure slopes in Eurocurrency markets," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 9(9), pages 585-593.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  28. Dominguez, Emilio & Novales, Alfonso, 2000. "Testing the expectations hypothesis in Eurodeposits," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 19(5), pages 713-736, October.

    Cited by:

    1. Casper de Vries & Xuedong Wang, 2015. "Inflation, Endogenous Market Segmentation and the Term Structure of Interest Rates," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 15-066/VI, Tinbergen Institute.
    2. Silva Lopes, Artur C. & M. Monteiro, Olga Susana, 2007. "The expectations hypothesis of the term structure: some empirical evidence for Portugal," MPRA Paper 3437, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    3. Esteve, Vicente & Navarro-Ibáñez, Manuel & Prats, María A., 2013. "The Spanish term structure of interest rates revisited: Cointegration with multiple structural breaks, 1974–2010," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 25(C), pages 24-34.
    4. Sonia Benito & Alfonso Novales Cinca, 2005. "A factor analysis of volatility across the term structure: the Spanish case," Documentos de Trabajo del ICAE 0502, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales, Instituto Complutense de Análisis Económico.
    5. Mauricio Larraín E. & Fernando Parro G., 2006. "La Información Contenida en los Movimientos de las Tasas Forward en Chile," Notas de Investigación Journal Economía Chilena (The Chilean Economy), Central Bank of Chile, vol. 9(3), pages 125-132, December.
    6. María José Gutiérrez & Jesús Vázquez, "undated". "The Changing Behavior of the Term Structure of Post-War U.S. Interest Rates and Changes in the Federal Reserve Chairman. Is There a Link?," Working Papers on International Economics and Finance 01-03, FEDEA.
    7. Silva Lopes, Artur C. B. da & Monteiro, Olga Susana, 2008. "Short and long run tests of the expectations hypothesis: the Portuguese case," MPRA Paper 12001, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    8. Emma Berenguer-Carceles & Ricardo Gimeno & Juan M. Nave, 2012. "Estimation of the Term Structure of Interest Rates: Methodology and Applications," Working Papers 12.06, Universidad Pablo de Olavide, Department of Financial Economics and Accounting (former Department of Business Administration).
    9. Katarzyna Lasak & Carlos Velasco, 2014. "Fractional Cointegration Rank Estimation," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 14-021/III, Tinbergen Institute.
    10. Fabrizio Iacone, 2009. "A Semiparametric Analysis of the Term Structure of the US Interest Rates," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 71(4), pages 475-490, August.
    11. Cavaliere Giuseppe & Fanelli Luca & Paruolo Paolo, 2001. "Determining the number of cointegrating relations under rank constraints," Economics and Quantitative Methods qf0109, Department of Economics, University of Insubria.
    12. Christian Wolff & Ron Jongen & Willem F.C. Verschoor, 2009. "Time-Variation in Term Permia: International Survey-Based Evidence," LSF Research Working Paper Series 09-02, Luxembourg School of Finance, University of Luxembourg.
    13. Smant, David / D.J.C., 2010. "Direct tests of the expectations theory of the term structure: Survey expectations, the term premium and coefficient biases," MPRA Paper 19815, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    14. M. Isabel Martínez-Serna & Eliseo Navarro-Arribas, 2002. "El modelo de McCallum. Evidencia empírica en la estructura temporal de los tipos de interés española," Investigaciones Economicas, Fundación SEPI, vol. 26(2), pages 323-357, May.
    15. Pilar Abad Romero, 2003. "Un Contraste Alternativo De La Hipótesis De Las Expectativas En Swaps De Tipos De Interés," Working Papers 0306, Universidade de Vigo, Departamento de Economía Aplicada.
    16. Vidal Fernadez Montoro, 2001. "Expectations and Behaviour of the Spanish Treasury Bill Rates Patterns in Neighboring Areas," Ekonomia, Cyprus Economic Society and University of Cyprus, vol. 5(1), pages 61-83, Summer.
    17. Haug Alfred A & Siklos Pierre L, 2006. "The Behavior of Short-Term Interest Rates: International Evidence of Non-Linear Adjustment," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 10(4), pages 1-34, December.
    18. Magdalena Massot Perelló & Juan M. Nave Pineda, 2003. "La hipótesis de las expectativas en el largo plazo: evidencia en el mercado español de deuda pública," Investigaciones Economicas, Fundación SEPI, vol. 27(3), pages 533-564, September.
    19. Hernandis, Lucía & Torró, Hipòlit, 2013. "The information content of Eonia swap rates before and during the financial crisis," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 37(12), pages 5316-5328.
    20. Mauricio Larraín & Fernando Parro, 2006. "The Information Contained in Forward Rates Movements in Chile," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 386, Central Bank of Chile.
    21. Benjamin Tabak, 2009. "Testing the expectations hypothesis in the Brazilian term structure of interest rates: a cointegration analysis," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 41(21), pages 2681-2689.
    22. A. Mansur & M. Masih & Vicky Ryan, 2005. "The term structure of interest rates in Australia: an application of long run structural modelling," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 15(8), pages 557-573.

  29. Novales, Alfonso & de Fruto, Rafael Flores, 1997. "Forecasting with periodic models A comparison with time invariant coefficient models," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 13(3), pages 393-405, September.

    Cited by:

    1. Franses, Ph.H.B.F. & Paap, R., 1999. "Forecasting with periodic autoregressive time series models," Econometric Institute Research Papers EI 9927-/A, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Erasmus School of Economics (ESE), Econometric Institute.
    2. Antoine Mandel & Amir Sani, 2017. "A Machine Learning Approach to the Forecast Combination Puzzle," Working Papers halshs-01317974, HAL.
    3. Daniel Dzikowski & Carsten Jentsch, 2024. "Structural Periodic Vector Autoregressions," Papers 2401.14545, arXiv.org.
    4. A.S.M. Arroyo & A. de Juan Fern¨¢ndez, 2014. "Split-then-Combine Method for out-of-sample Combinations of Forecasts," Journal of Business Administration Research, Journal of Business Administration Research, Sciedu Press, vol. 3(1), pages 19-37, April.
    5. Łukasz Lenart, 2017. "Examination of Seasonal Volatility in HICP for Baltic Region Countries: Non-Parametric Test versus Forecasting Experiment," Central European Journal of Economic Modelling and Econometrics, Central European Journal of Economic Modelling and Econometrics, vol. 9(1), pages 29-67, March.
    6. T. Manouchehri & A. R. Nematollahi, 2019. "Periodic autoregressive models with closed skew-normal innovations," Computational Statistics, Springer, vol. 34(3), pages 1183-1213, September.
    7. Pilar Abad & Alfonso Novales, 2004. "Volatility transmission across the term structure of swap markets: international evidence," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 14(14), pages 1045-1058.
    8. Franses, Philip Hans & van Dijk, Dick, 2005. "The forecasting performance of various models for seasonality and nonlinearity for quarterly industrial production," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 21(1), pages 87-102.
    9. De Gooijer, Jan G. & Hyndman, Rob J., 2006. "25 years of time series forecasting," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 22(3), pages 443-473.
    10. Antoine Mandel & Amir Sani, 2016. "Learning Time-Varying Forecast Combinations," Documents de travail du Centre d'Economie de la Sorbonne 16036r, Université Panthéon-Sorbonne (Paris 1), Centre d'Economie de la Sorbonne, revised Sep 2016.
    11. Jan G. De Gooijer & Rob J. Hyndman, 2005. "25 Years of IIF Time Series Forecasting: A Selective Review," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers 12/05, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics.
    12. Yorghos Tripodis & Jeremy Penzer, 2009. "Modelling time series with season-dependent autocorrelation structure," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 28(7), pages 559-574.
    13. Albertson, Kevin & Aylen, Jonathan, 1999. "Forecasting using a periodic transfer function: with an application to the UK price of ferrous scrap," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 15(4), pages 409-419, October.

  30. Rafael Flores & Alfonso Novales, 1997. "A General Test For Univariate Seasonality," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 18(1), pages 29-48, January.

    Cited by:

    1. Pilar Abad & Alfonso Novales, 2004. "Volatility transmission across the term structure of swap markets: international evidence," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 14(14), pages 1045-1058.
    2. Sajjad Akhtar, 2003. "Is There Seasonality in Pakistan’s Merchandise Exports and Imports? The Univariate Modelling Approach," The Pakistan Development Review, Pakistan Institute of Development Economics, vol. 42(1), pages 59-75.
    3. Novales, Alfonso & de Fruto, Rafael Flores, 1997. "Forecasting with periodic models A comparison with time invariant coefficient models," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 13(3), pages 393-405, September.

  31. Novales, Alfonso, 1992. "Equilibrium interest-rate determination under adjustment costs," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 16(1), pages 1-25, January.

    Cited by:

    1. Beaudry, Paul & Guay, Alain, 1996. "What do interest rates reveal about the functioning of real business cycle models?," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 20(9-10), pages 1661-1682.
    2. Wayne E. Ferson & Ravi Jagannathan, 1996. "Econometric evaluation of asset pricing models," Staff Report 206, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis.
    3. Kim, Jinill, 2000. "Constructing and estimating a realistic optimizing model of monetary policy," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 45(2), pages 329-359, April.

  32. Alfonso Novales & Belén Mateos, 1990. "Empleo, capital humano y participación femenina en España," Investigaciones Economicas, Fundación SEPI, vol. 14(3), pages 457-478, September.

    Cited by:

    1. María Dolores Guilló & Antonia Díaz, 1998. "- Some Stylized Facts Of Spanish Unemployment," Working Papers. Serie AD 1998-04, Instituto Valenciano de Investigaciones Económicas, S.A. (Ivie).
    2. Olympia Bover & Manuel Arellano, 1994. "Female Labour Force Participation in the 1980's: The Case of Spain," Working Papers 9427, Banco de España.

  33. Novales, Alfonso, 1990. "Solving Nonlinear Rational Expectations Models: A Stochastic Equilibrium Model of Interest Rates," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 58(1), pages 93-111, January.

    Cited by:

    1. Beaudry, Paul & Guay, Alain, 1996. "What do interest rates reveal about the functioning of real business cycle models?," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 20(9-10), pages 1661-1682.
    2. Fabio Canova & Eva Ortega, 1996. "Testing calibrated general equilibrium models," Economics Working Papers 166, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra.
    3. Adda, Jerome & Boucekkine, Raouf, 1995. "Liquidity constraints and time non-separable preferences: simulating models with large state spaces," UC3M Working papers. Economics 3911, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid. Departamento de Economía.
    4. Valles, Javier, 1997. "Aggregate investment in a business cycle model with adjustment costs," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 21(7), pages 1181-1198, June.
    5. Altug, S. & Miller, R.A., 1991. "Human capital, aggregate shocks and panel data estimation," Discussion Paper 1991-28, Tilburg University, Center for Economic Research.
    6. Rodríguez López, Rosa, 1996. "Modelos intertemporales de valoración de activos: análisis empírico para el caso español," DEE - Documentos de Trabajo. Economía de la Empresa. DB 6415, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid. Departamento de Economía de la Empresa.
    7. Teresa García-Milá, 1990. "Un modelo dinámico con capital público y su estimación por simulación," Investigaciones Economicas, Fundación SEPI, vol. 14(3), pages 369-383, September.
    8. Feldkord, Eva-Ulrike, 2005. "On the relevance of monetary aggregates in monetary policy models," HWWA Discussion Papers 317, Hamburg Institute of International Economics (HWWA).
    9. Wouter J. Den Haan & Albert Marcet, 1994. "Accuracy in Simulations," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 61(1), pages 3-17.
    10. Jon Faust & Eric M. Leeper, 1994. "When do long-run identifying restrictions give reliable results?," International Finance Discussion Papers 462, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    11. Feldkord, Eva-Ulrike, 2005. "On the Relevance of Monetary Aggregates in Monetary Policy Models," Discussion Paper Series 26343, Hamburg Institute of International Economics.
    12. Orazio P. Attanasio, 1998. "Consumption Demand," NBER Working Papers 6466, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    13. Alfonso Novales Cinca, 1993. "Price Volatility Under Alternative Monetary Instruments," Documentos de Trabajo del ICAE 9306, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales, Instituto Complutense de Análisis Económico.
    14. Pfann, Gerard, 1991. "Nonlinear error correction, asymmetric adjusment and cointegration," UC3M Working papers. Economics 2807, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid. Departamento de Economía.
    15. Escribano, Alvaro & Pfann, Gerard A., 1998. "Non-linear error correction, asymmetric adjustment and cointegration," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 15(2), pages 197-216, April.
    16. Pedro Garcia Duarte & Kevin D. Hoover, 2012. "Observing Shocks," History of Political Economy, Duke University Press, vol. 44(5), pages 226-249, Supplemen.
    17. Phillip A. Braun & George M. Constantinides & Wayne E. Ferson, 1992. "Time Nonseparability in Aggregate Consumption: International Evidence," NBER Working Papers 4104, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.

Software components

  1. Alfonso Novales & Emilio Dominguez & Javier J. Perez & Jesus Ruiz, 1998. "Solving Non-linear Rational Expectations Models By Eigenvalue-Eigenvector Decompositions," QM&RBC Codes 124, Quantitative Macroeconomics & Real Business Cycles.

    Cited by:

    1. Mr. Christopher S Adam & Mr. Edward F Buffie, 2020. "The Minimum Wage Puzzle in Less Developed Countries: Reconciling Theory and Evidence," IMF Working Papers 2020/023, International Monetary Fund.

Chapters

  1. Alfonso Novales & Esther Fernández & Jesús Ruiz, 2009. "Numerical Solution Methods," Springer Books, in: Economic Growth, chapter 0, pages 195-255, Springer.

    Cited by:

    1. He, Yong, 2018. "On the sustainability of maximizing GDP Growth," MPRA Paper 88549, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    2. Smith, Matthew, 2018. "Demand-Led Growth Theory in a Classical Framework: Its Superiority, Its Limitations, and Its Explanatory Power," Centro Sraffa Working Papers CSWP29, Centro di Ricerche e Documentazione "Piero Sraffa".
    3. Sergey Kondyan & Karine Yenokyan, 2019. "The Effect of Foreign Direct Investment on Economic Growth," Eastern Economic Journal, Palgrave Macmillan;Eastern Economic Association, vol. 45(4), pages 532-564, October.
    4. Ji Uk Kim, 2020. "Technology diffusion, absorptive capacity, and income convergence for Asian developing countries: a dynamic spatial panel approach," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 59(2), pages 569-598, August.
    5. Kazunori Nakajima & Hisayoshi Morisugi & Masafumi Morisugi & Naoki Sakamoto, 2014. "Measurement of flood damage due to climate change by dynamic spatial computable general equilibrium model," ERSA conference papers ersa14p673, European Regional Science Association.
    6. Piotr Pietraszewski, 2016. "Microeconomic fundamentals of the aggregate production function with constant returns to scale," Ekonomia journal, Faculty of Economic Sciences, University of Warsaw, vol. 45.

Books

  1. Alfonso Novales & Esther Fernández & Jesús Ruíz, 2009. "Economic Growth," Springer Books, Springer, number 978-3-540-68669-9, March.

    Cited by:

    1. Alireza Poorfaraj & Hadi Keshavarz, 2011. "Knowledge and Economic Growth: Evidence from Some Developing Countries," Journal of Education and Vocational Research, AMH International, vol. 1(1), pages 21-25.
    2. Augustin Kwasi Fosu & Yoseph Yilma Getachew & Thomas Ziesemer, 2012. "Optimal public investment, growth and consumption: evidence from African countries," Global Development Institute Working Paper Series 16412, GDI, The University of Manchester.
    3. He, Yong, 2018. "On the sustainability of maximizing GDP Growth," MPRA Paper 88549, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    4. Smith, Matthew, 2018. "Demand-Led Growth Theory in a Classical Framework: Its Superiority, Its Limitations, and Its Explanatory Power," Centro Sraffa Working Papers CSWP29, Centro di Ricerche e Documentazione "Piero Sraffa".
    5. Sergey Kondyan & Karine Yenokyan, 2019. "The Effect of Foreign Direct Investment on Economic Growth," Eastern Economic Journal, Palgrave Macmillan;Eastern Economic Association, vol. 45(4), pages 532-564, October.
    6. Ji Uk Kim, 2020. "Technology diffusion, absorptive capacity, and income convergence for Asian developing countries: a dynamic spatial panel approach," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 59(2), pages 569-598, August.
    7. Augustin K. Fosu & Thomas H. W. Ziesemer & Yoseph Y. Getachew, 2014. "Optimal Public Investment, Growth, and Consumption: Fresh Evidence from African Countries," Working Papers 471, Economic Research Southern Africa.
    8. Fabio Privileggi, 2011. "Transition Dynamics in Endogenous Recombinant Growth Models by Means of Projection Methods," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 38(3), pages 367-387, October.
    9. Miguel Viegas & Ana Ribeiro, 2015. "Welfare and inequality effects of debt consolidation processes: the case of Spain, 1996–2007," SERIEs: Journal of the Spanish Economic Association, Springer;Spanish Economic Association, vol. 6(4), pages 479-496, November.
    10. Kazunori Nakajima & Hisayoshi Morisugi & Masafumi Morisugi & Naoki Sakamoto, 2014. "Measurement of flood damage due to climate change by dynamic spatial computable general equilibrium model," ERSA conference papers ersa14p673, European Regional Science Association.
    11. Piotr Pietraszewski, 2016. "Microeconomic fundamentals of the aggregate production function with constant returns to scale," Ekonomia journal, Faculty of Economic Sciences, University of Warsaw, vol. 45.

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