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Time-varying exchange rate exposure and exchange rate risk pricing in the Canadian Equity Market

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  • Al-Shboul, Mohammad
  • Anwar, Sajid

Abstract

This paper aims to extend the existing literature on foreign exchange rate risk pricing. Unlike the existing studies on Canada, we use six alternative bilateral and one multilateral exchange rate proxies. Furthermore, using both a two-factor and a three-factor capital asset pricing model (CAPM), we test for the presence of a long-run relationship among exchange rate risk pricing, herding behavior, term structure and the interest rate. The estimated results based on both the ordinary least squares (OLS) and generalized least squares (GLS) estimation techniques confirm that exchange rate risk in the Canadian equity market is priced and that the pricing of this risk is time-varying. This result holds for all seven exchange rate proxies. Our empirical analysis also suggests the presence of a long-run relationship among exchange rate risk pricing, herding behavior, term structure and the interest rate. This relationship is found to be insensitive to variations in the world market return.

Suggested Citation

  • Al-Shboul, Mohammad & Anwar, Sajid, 2014. "Time-varying exchange rate exposure and exchange rate risk pricing in the Canadian Equity Market," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 37(C), pages 451-463.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:ecmode:v:37:y:2014:i:c:p:451-463
    DOI: 10.1016/j.econmod.2013.11.034
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Foreign exchange risk; Time-varying risk; Exchange rate risk pricing; Canadian equity market; Rolling window regression; Asset pricing; Herding behavior; Cointegration;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets
    • G10 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - General (includes Measurement and Data)
    • C50 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - General
    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
    • G02 - Financial Economics - - General - - - Behavioral Finance: Underlying Principles
    • G01 - Financial Economics - - General - - - Financial Crises
    • E43 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Interest Rates: Determination, Term Structure, and Effects

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