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Dynamic scoring of tax reforms in a small open economy model

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  • Choi, Yoonseok
  • Kim, Sunghyun

Abstract

We examine dynamic revenue effects of a permanent tax cut on labor and capital income using a small open two-sector dynamic general equilibrium model. We use a dynamic scoring technique to calculate long-run as well as transitional effects on fiscal revenue when a tax cut is financed by either a lump-sum tax or consumption tax. We show that the revenue loss from an income tax cut becomes substantially smaller when agents can use international financial markets compared to the case of the closed economy. Responses of tradable and nontradable sectors to the capital income tax cut display a stark contrast in both long-run equilibrium and transitional dynamics due to different factor intensities. Capital income tax cut in the tradable sector is the most efficient policy instrument in terms of minimizing fiscal revenue loss. These simulation results suggest that fiscal sustainability issue when implementing a tax cut could be overstated.

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  • Choi, Yoonseok & Kim, Sunghyun, 2016. "Dynamic scoring of tax reforms in a small open economy model," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 182-193.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:ecmode:v:58:y:2016:i:c:p:182-193
    DOI: 10.1016/j.econmod.2016.06.001
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    Cited by:

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    3. Lin, Boqiang & Jia, Zhijie, 2019. "Tax rate, government revenue and economic performance: A perspective of Laffer curve," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 56(C), pages 1-1.
    4. Cieślik, Andrzej & Turgut, Mehmet Burak, 2021. "Fiscal harmonization in view of the Euro adoption: Economic implications for Poland," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 43(2), pages 394-415.
    5. Choi, Yoonseok & Hirata, Hideaki & Kim, Sunghyun Henry, 2017. "Tax reform in Japan: Is it welfare-enhancing?," Japan and the World Economy, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 12-22.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Dynamic scoring; General equilibrium; Tax cut; Revenue neutral; Feedback effect;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E6 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook

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