Irma Hindrayanto
Personal Details
First Name: | Irma |
Middle Name: | |
Last Name: | Hindrayanto |
Suffix: | |
RePEc Short-ID: | phi186 |
| |
https://www.dnb.nl/en/research/personal-pages/irma-hindrayanto/ | |
Terminal Degree: | 2011 Afdeling Econometrie and Operations Research; School of Business and Economics; Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam (from RePEc Genealogy) |
Affiliation
de Nederlandsche Bank
Amsterdam, Netherlandshttp://www.dnb.nl/
RePEc:edi:dnbgvnl (more details at EDIRC)
Research output
Jump to: Working papers ArticlesWorking papers
- Mengheng Li & Irma Hindrayanto, 2018. "Looking for the stars: Estimating the natural rate of interest," Working Paper Series 51, Economics Discipline Group, UTS Business School, University of Technology, Sydney.
- Rünstler, Gerhard & Balfoussia, Hiona & Burlon, Lorenzo & Buss, Ginters & Comunale, Mariarosaria & De Backer, Bruno & Dewachter, Hans & Guarda, Paolo & Haavio, Markus & Hindrayanto, Irma & Iskrev, Nik, 2018. "Real and financial cycles in EU countries - Stylised facts and modelling implications," Occasional Paper Series 205, European Central Bank.
- Irma Hindrayanto & Jan P.A.M. Jacobs & Denise R. Osborn & Jing Tian, 2017.
"Trend-cycle-seasonal interactions: identification and estimation,"
CAMA Working Papers
2017-57, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Hindrayanto, Irma & Jacobs, Jan P.A.M. & Osborn, Denise R. & Tian, Jing, 2019. "Trend–Cycle–Seasonal Interactions: Identification And Estimation," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 23(8), pages 3163-3188, December.
- Gabriele Galati & Irma Hindrayanto & Siem Jan Koopman & Marente Vlekke, 2016.
"Measuring Financial Cycles in a Model-Based Analysis: Empirical Evidence for the United States and the Euro Area,"
Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers
16-029/III, Tinbergen Institute.
- Galati, Gabriele & Hindrayanto, Irma & Koopman, Siem Jan & Vlekke, Marente, 2016. "Measuring financial cycles in a model-based analysis: Empirical evidence for the United States and the euro area," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 145(C), pages 83-87.
- Irma Hindrayanto & Siem Jan Koopman & Jasper de Winter, 2014. "Nowcasting and Forecasting Economic Growth in the Euro Area using Principal Components," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 14-113/III, Tinbergen Institute.
- Irma Hindrayanto & John A.D. Aston & Siem Jan Koopman & Marius Ooms, 2010.
"Modeling Trigonometric Seasonal Components for Monthly Economic Time Series,"
Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers
10-018/4, Tinbergen Institute.
- Irma Hindrayanto & John A.D. Aston & Siem Jan Koopman & Marius Ooms, 2013. "Modelling trigonometric seasonal components for monthly economic time series," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 45(21), pages 3024-3034, July.
- Siem Jan Koopman & Marius Ooms & Irma Hindrayanto, 2006.
"Periodic Unobserved Cycles in Seasonal Time Series with an Application to US Unemployment,"
Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers
06-101/4, Tinbergen Institute.
- Siem Jan Koopman & Marius Ooms & Irma Hindrayanto, 2009. "Periodic Unobserved Cycles in Seasonal Time Series with an Application to US Unemployment," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 71(5), pages 683-713, October.
Articles
- Jasper de Winter & Siem Jan Koopman & Irma Hindrayanto, 2022. "Joint Decomposition of Business and Financial Cycles: Evidence from Eight Advanced Economies," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 84(1), pages 57-79, February.
- Hindrayanto, Irma & Samarina, Anna & Stanga, Irina M., 2019. "Is the Phillips curve still alive? Evidence from the euro area," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 174(C), pages 149-152.
- Hindrayanto, Irma & Jacobs, Jan P.A.M. & Osborn, Denise R. & Tian, Jing, 2019.
"Trend–Cycle–Seasonal Interactions: Identification And Estimation,"
Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 23(8), pages 3163-3188, December.
- Irma Hindrayanto & Jan P.A.M. Jacobs & Denise R. Osborn & Jing Tian, 2017. "Trend-cycle-seasonal interactions: identification and estimation," CAMA Working Papers 2017-57, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Hindrayanto, Irma & Koopman, Siem Jan & de Winter, Jasper, 2016. "Forecasting and nowcasting economic growth in the euro area using factor models," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 32(4), pages 1284-1305.
- Galati, Gabriele & Hindrayanto, Irma & Koopman, Siem Jan & Vlekke, Marente, 2016.
"Measuring financial cycles in a model-based analysis: Empirical evidence for the United States and the euro area,"
Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 145(C), pages 83-87.
- Gabriele Galati & Irma Hindrayanto & Siem Jan Koopman & Marente Vlekke, 2016. "Measuring Financial Cycles in a Model-Based Analysis: Empirical Evidence for the United States and the Euro Area," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 16-029/III, Tinbergen Institute.
- Irma Hindrayanto & John A.D. Aston & Siem Jan Koopman & Marius Ooms, 2013.
"Modelling trigonometric seasonal components for monthly economic time series,"
Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 45(21), pages 3024-3034, July.
- Irma Hindrayanto & John A.D. Aston & Siem Jan Koopman & Marius Ooms, 2010. "Modeling Trigonometric Seasonal Components for Monthly Economic Time Series," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 10-018/4, Tinbergen Institute.
- Hindrayanto, Irma & Koopman, Siem Jan & Ooms, Marius, 2010. "Exact maximum likelihood estimation for non-stationary periodic time series models," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 54(11), pages 2641-2654, November.
- Siem Jan Koopman & Marius Ooms & Irma Hindrayanto, 2009.
"Periodic Unobserved Cycles in Seasonal Time Series with an Application to US Unemployment,"
Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 71(5), pages 683-713, October.
- Siem Jan Koopman & Marius Ooms & Irma Hindrayanto, 2006. "Periodic Unobserved Cycles in Seasonal Time Series with an Application to US Unemployment," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 06-101/4, Tinbergen Institute.
Citations
Many of the citations below have been collected in an experimental project, CitEc, where a more detailed citation analysis can be found. These are citations from works listed in RePEc that could be analyzed mechanically. So far, only a minority of all works could be analyzed. See under "Corrections" how you can help improve the citation analysis.Working papers
- Rünstler, Gerhard & Balfoussia, Hiona & Burlon, Lorenzo & Buss, Ginters & Comunale, Mariarosaria & De Backer, Bruno & Dewachter, Hans & Guarda, Paolo & Haavio, Markus & Hindrayanto, Irma & Iskrev, Nik, 2018.
"Real and financial cycles in EU countries - Stylised facts and modelling implications,"
Occasional Paper Series
205, European Central Bank.
Cited by:
- Eyno Rots, 2018. "Business, Housing, and Credit Cycles – The Case of Hungary," Financial and Economic Review, Magyar Nemzeti Bank (Central Bank of Hungary), vol. 17(4), pages 5-22.
- Kohler, Karsten & Tippet, Ben & Stockhammer, Engelbert, 2022.
"House price cycles, housing systems, and growth models,"
IPE Working Papers
194/2022, Berlin School of Economics and Law, Institute for International Political Economy (IPE).
- Karsten Kohler & Benjamin Tippet & Engelbert Stockhammer, 2023. "House price cycles, housing systems, and growth models," European Journal of Economics and Economic Policies: Intervention, Edward Elgar Publishing, vol. 20(3), pages 461-490, December.
- Amat Adarov, 2019.
"Financial Cycles in Europe: Dynamics, Synchronicity and Implications for Business Cycles and Macroeconomic Imbalances,"
wiiw Working Papers
166, The Vienna Institute for International Economic Studies, wiiw.
- Amat Adarov, 2023. "Financial cycles in Europe: dynamics, synchronicity and implications for business cycles and macroeconomic imbalances," Empirica, Springer;Austrian Institute for Economic Research;Austrian Economic Association, vol. 50(2), pages 551-583, May.
- Mariarosaria Comunale & Markus Eller & Mathias Lahnsteiner, 2020. "Assessing credit gaps in CESEE based on levels justified by fundamentals – a comparison across different estimation approaches," Bank of Lithuania Working Paper Series 74, Bank of Lithuania.
- Filippo Gusella, 2022.
"Detecting And Measuring Financial Cycles In Heterogeneous Agents Models: An Empirical Analysis,"
Advances in Complex Systems (ACS), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 25(02n03), pages 1-22, March.
- Filippo Gusella, 2022. "Detecting and Measuring Financial Cycles in Heterogeneous Agents Models: An Empirical Analysis," Working Papers - Economics wp2022_02.rdf, Universita' degli Studi di Firenze, Dipartimento di Scienze per l'Economia e l'Impresa.
- Davor Kunovac & Ivan Žilić, 2020. "Home sweet home: The effects of housing loan subsidies on the housing market in Croatia," Working Papers 60, The Croatian National Bank, Croatia.
- Ernest Gnan & Claudia Kwapil & Maria Teresa Valderrama, 2018. "Monetary policy after the crisis: mandates, targets, and international linkages," Monetary Policy & the Economy, Oesterreichische Nationalbank (Austrian Central Bank), issue Q2/18, pages 8-33.
- Rob Luginbuhl, 2020. "Estimation of the Financial Cycle with a Rank-Reduced Multivariate State-Space Model," CPB Discussion Paper 409, CPB Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy Analysis.
- Mariarosaria Comunale & Francesco Paolo Mongelli, 2019.
"Who did it? A European Detective Story. Was it Real, Financial, Monetary and/or Institutional: Tracking Growth in the Euro Area with an Atheoretical Tool,"
Bank of Lithuania Working Paper Series
70, Bank of Lithuania.
- Mariarosaria Comunale & Francesco Paolo Mongelli, 2020. "Who did it? A European detective story was it real, financial, monetary and/or institutional: Tracking growth in the Euro area with an atheoretical tool," CAMA Working Papers 2020-05, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Mariarosaria Comunale & Francesco Paolo Mongelli, 2020. "Who did it? A European Detective Story Was it Real, Financial, Monetary and/or Institutional: Tracking Growth in the Euro Area with an Atheoretical Tool," CEIS Research Paper 481, Tor Vergata University, CEIS, revised 11 May 2020.
- Mariarosaria Comunale & Francesco Paolo Mongelli, 2019. "Euro Area Growth and European Institutional Reforms," Bank of Lithuania Occasional Paper Series 24, Bank of Lithuania.
- Mandler, Martin & Scharnagl, Michael, 2019.
"Financial cycles across G7 economies: A view from wavelet analysis,"
Discussion Papers
22/2019, Deutsche Bundesbank.
- Mandler, Martin & Scharnagl, Michael, 2022. "Financial cycles across G7 economies: A view from wavelet analysis," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 26(C).
- Mariarosaria Comunale & Markus Eller & Mathias Lahnsteiner, 2020. "Assessing Credit Gaps in CESEE Based on Levels Justified by Fundamentals – A Comparison Across Different Estimation Approaches (Mariarosaria Comunale, Markus Eller, Mathias Lahnsteiner)," Working Papers 229, Oesterreichische Nationalbank (Austrian Central Bank).
- Davor Kunovac & Martin Mandler & Michael Scharnagl, 2018.
"Financial cycles in euro area economies: a cross-country perspective,"
Working Papers
55, The Croatian National Bank, Croatia.
- Kunovac, Davor & Mandler, Martin & Scharnagl, Michael, 2018. "Financial cycles in euro area economies: A cross-country perspective," Discussion Papers 04/2018, Deutsche Bundesbank.
- Maximilien Coussin & Anne-Laure Delatte, 2019. "Les cycles financiers convergent-ils en zone euro? En phase oui, en amplitude non," La Lettre du CEPII, CEPII research center, issue 403.
- Jesper Pedersen, 2019. "What Are the Effects of Changes in Taxation and New Types of Mortgages on the Real Economy? The Case of Denmark during the 2000s," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 15(5), pages 47-99, December.
- Dmitrij Celov & Mariarosaria Comunale, 2022.
"Business Cycles in the EU: A Comprehensive Comparison Across Methods,"
Advances in Econometrics, in: Essays in Honour of Fabio Canova, volume 44, pages 99-146,
Emerald Group Publishing Limited.
- Mariarosaria Comunale & Dmitrij Celov, 2021. "Business cycles in the EU: A comprehensive comparison across methods," Bank of Lithuania Discussion Paper Series 26, Bank of Lithuania.
- Yannis Dafermos & Daniela Gabor & Jo Michell, 2023. "Institutional supercycles: an evolutionary macro-finance approach," New Political Economy, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 28(5), pages 693-712, September.
- Potjagailo, Galina & Wolters, Maik H., 2019.
"Global financial cycles since 1880,"
IMFS Working Paper Series
132, Goethe University Frankfurt, Institute for Monetary and Financial Stability (IMFS).
- Potjagailo, Galina & Wolters, Maik H., 2019. "Global financial cycles since 1880," Kiel Working Papers 2122, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
- Potjagailo, Galina & Wolters, Maik H, 2020. "Global financial cycles since 1880," Bank of England working papers 867, Bank of England.
- Potjagailo, Galina & Wolters, Maik H., 2023. "Global financial cycles since 1880," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 131(C).
- Chikako Baba & Mr. Salvatore Dell'Erba & Ms. Enrica Detragiache & Olamide Harrison & Ms. Aiko Mineshima & Anvar Musayev & Asghar Shahmoradi, 2020. "How Should Credit Gaps Be Measured? An Application to European Countries," IMF Working Papers 2020/006, International Monetary Fund.
- Gabriel Zsurkis, 2022. "Determinants of cost of equity for listed euro area banks," Working Papers w202209, Banco de Portugal, Economics and Research Department.
- Jasper de Winter & Siem Jan Koopman & Irma Hindrayanto, 2022. "Joint Decomposition of Business and Financial Cycles: Evidence from Eight Advanced Economies," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 84(1), pages 57-79, February.
- Mariarosaria Comunale & Francesco Paolo Mongelli, 2021.
"Tracking growth in the euro area subject to a dimensionality problem,"
Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 53(57), pages 6611-6625, December.
- Comunale, Mariarosaria & Mongelli, Francesco Paolo, 2021. "Tracking growth in the euro area subject to a dimensionality problem," Working Paper Series 2591, European Central Bank.
- Jitka Pomenkova & Eva Klejmova & Zuzana Kucerova, 2019. "Cyclicality in lending activity of Euro area in pre- and post- 2008 crisis: a local-adaptive-based testing of wavelets," Baltic Journal of Economics, Baltic International Centre for Economic Policy Studies, vol. 19(1), pages 155-175.
- Lang, Jan Hannes & Welz, Peter, 2018. "Semi-structural credit gap estimation," Working Paper Series 2194, European Central Bank.
- Chalmovianský, Jakub & Němec, Daniel, 2022. "Assessing uncertainty of output gap estimates: Evidence from Visegrad countries," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 116(C).
- Jaromir Baxa & Jan Zacek, 2022. "Monetary Policy and the Financial Cycle: International Evidence," Working Papers 2022/4, Czech National Bank.
- Xin Tian & Jan Jacobs & Jakob de Haan, 2022. "Alternative Measures for the Global Financial Cycle: Do They Make a Difference?," CESifo Working Paper Series 9730, CESifo.
- Hiona Balfoussia & Heather D. Gibson & Dimitris Malliaropulos & Dimitris Papageorgiou, 2020. "The economic impact of pandemics: real and financial transmission channels," Working Papers 283, Bank of Greece.
- Lenarčič, Črt, 2021. "Estimating business and financial cycles in Slovenia," MPRA Paper 109977, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Mariarosaria Comunale, 2020. "New synchronicity indices between real and financial cycles: Is there any link to structural characteristics and recessions in European Union countries?," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 25(4), pages 617-641, October.
- Burlon, Lorenzo & D’Imperio, Paolo, 2020. "Reliable real-time estimates of the euro-area output gap," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
- Andreea Maria Muraru, 2020. "The Impact of Global Tensions on the Economic and Financial Cycle in Romania," Postmodern Openings, Editura Lumen, Department of Economics, vol. 11(3), pages 115-128, October.
- Paolo Guarda & Alban Moura, 2019. "Measuring real and financial cycles in Luxembourg: An unobserved components approach," BCL working papers 126, Central Bank of Luxembourg.
- O'Brien, Martin & Velasco, Sofia, 2020. "Unobserved components models with stochastic volatility for extracting trends and cycles in credit," Research Technical Papers 09/RT/20, Central Bank of Ireland.
- Scharnagl Michael & Mandler Martin, 2019. "Real and Financial Cycles in Euro Area Economies: Results from Wavelet Analysis," Journal of Economics and Statistics (Jahrbuecher fuer Nationaloekonomie und Statistik), De Gruyter, vol. 239(5-6), pages 895-916, October.
- Irma Hindrayanto & Jan P.A.M. Jacobs & Denise R. Osborn & Jing Tian, 2017.
"Trend-cycle-seasonal interactions: identification and estimation,"
CAMA Working Papers
2017-57, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Hindrayanto, Irma & Jacobs, Jan P.A.M. & Osborn, Denise R. & Tian, Jing, 2019. "Trend–Cycle–Seasonal Interactions: Identification And Estimation," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 23(8), pages 3163-3188, December.
Cited by:
- Blazsek, Szabolcs & Licht, Adrian, 2018. "Seasonal Quasi-Vector Autoregressive Models with an Application to Crude Oil Production and Economic Activity in the United States and Canada," UC3M Working papers. Economics 27484, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid. Departamento de EconomÃa.
- Barend Abeln & Jan P.A.M. Jacobs, 2021.
"COVID-19 and seasonal adjustment,"
CAMA Working Papers
2021-23, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Barend Abeln & Jan P. A. M. Jacobs, 2022. "COVID-19 and Seasonal Adjustment," Journal of Business Cycle Research, Springer;Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys (CIRET), vol. 18(2), pages 159-169, July.
- Barend Abeln & Jan P. A. M. Jacobs, 2023. "COVID-19 and Seasonal Adjustment," SpringerBriefs in Economics, in: Seasonal Adjustment Without Revisions, chapter 0, pages 53-61, Springer.
- Barend Abeln & Jan P.A.M. Jacobs, 2021. "COVID19 and Seasonal Adjustment," CIRANO Working Papers 2021s-05, CIRANO.
- Webel, Karsten, 2022. "A review of some recent developments in the modelling and seasonal adjustment of infra-monthly time series," Discussion Papers 31/2022, Deutsche Bundesbank.
- Gabriele Galati & Irma Hindrayanto & Siem Jan Koopman & Marente Vlekke, 2016.
"Measuring Financial Cycles in a Model-Based Analysis: Empirical Evidence for the United States and the Euro Area,"
Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers
16-029/III, Tinbergen Institute.
- Galati, Gabriele & Hindrayanto, Irma & Koopman, Siem Jan & Vlekke, Marente, 2016. "Measuring financial cycles in a model-based analysis: Empirical evidence for the United States and the euro area," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 145(C), pages 83-87.
Cited by:
- Eyno Rots, 2018. "Business, Housing, and Credit Cycles – The Case of Hungary," Financial and Economic Review, Magyar Nemzeti Bank (Central Bank of Hungary), vol. 17(4), pages 5-22.
- Krug, Sebastian & Wohltmann, Hans-Werner, 2016. "Shadow banking, financial regulation and animal spirits: An ACE approach," Economics Working Papers 2016-08, Christian-Albrechts-University of Kiel, Department of Economics.
- Berger, Tino & Richter, Julia & Wong, Benjamin, 2021.
"A unified approach for jointly estimating the business and financial cycle, and the role of financial factors,"
University of Göttingen Working Papers in Economics
415, University of Goettingen, Department of Economics.
- Tino Berger & Julia Richter & Benjamin Wong, 2021. "A Unified Approach for Jointly Estimating the Business and Financial Cycle, and the Role of Financial Factors," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers 4/21, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics.
- Tino Berger & Julia Richter & Benjamin Wong, 2020. "Financial factors and the business cycle," CAMA Working Papers 2020-44, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Berger, Tino & Richter, Julia & Wong, Benjamin, 2021. "A unified approach for jointly estimating the business and financial cycle, and the role of financial factors," Working Papers 02/2021, German Council of Economic Experts / Sachverständigenrat zur Begutachtung der gesamtwirtschaftlichen Entwicklung.
- Berger, Tino & Richter, Julia & Wong, Benjamin, 2022. "A unified approach for jointly estimating the business and financial cycle, and the role of financial factors," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 136(C).
- Önundur Páll Ragnarsson & Jón Magnús Hannesson & Loftur Hreinsson, 2019. "Financial cycles as early warning indicators - Lessons from the Nordic region," Economics wp80, Department of Economics, Central bank of Iceland.
- Guido Bulligan & Lorenzo Burlon & Davide Delle Monache & Andrea Silvestrini, 2017.
"Real and financial cycles: estimates using unobserved component models for the Italian economy,"
Questioni di Economia e Finanza (Occasional Papers)
382, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
- Guido Bulligan & Lorenzo Burlon & Davide Delle Monache & Andrea Silvestrini, 2019. "Real and financial cycles: estimates using unobserved component models for the Italian economy," Statistical Methods & Applications, Springer;Società Italiana di Statistica, vol. 28(3), pages 541-569, September.
- Jorge E. Galán & Javier Mencía, 2018. "Empirical assessment of alternative structural methods for identifying cyclical systemic risk in Europe," Working Papers 1825, Banco de España.
- Ажгалиева Д. // Azhgaliyeva D. & Капсалямова З. // Kapsalyamova Z., 2024. "Государственная поддержка в продвижении зеленых облигаций в Азии: эмпирические данные // Policy support in promoting green bonds in Asia: empirical evidence," Economic Review(National Bank of Kazakhstan), National Bank of Kazakhstan, issue 2 Special, pages 63-64.
- Schüler, Yves S. & Hiebert, Paul P. & Peltonen, Tuomas A., 2020. "Financial cycles: Characterisation and real-time measurement," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 100(C).
- Hartwig, Benny & Meinerding, Christoph & Schüler, Yves S., 2021.
"Identifying indicators of systemic risk,"
Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 132(C).
- Hartwig, Benny & Meinerding, Christoph & Schüler, Yves, 2020. "Identifying indicators of systemic risk," Discussion Papers 33/2020, Deutsche Bundesbank.
- Milan Christian Wet & Ilse Botha, 2022. "Constructing and Characterising the Aggregate South African Financial Cycle: A Markov Regime-Switching Approach," Journal of Business Cycle Research, Springer;Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys (CIRET), vol. 18(1), pages 37-67, March.
- Яндиев М. // Yandiyev М., 2024. "Феномен недооценки при первичном размещении акций объясняется алчностью финансовых спекулянтов // The Phenomenon of Underpricing during Initial Public Offering is Explained by the Greed of Financial S," Economic Review(National Bank of Kazakhstan), National Bank of Kazakhstan, issue 2 Special, pages 65-85.
- Schüler, Yves S., 2020.
"On the credit-to-GDP gap and spurious medium-term cycles,"
Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 192(C).
- Schüler, Yves, 2020. "On the credit-to-GDP gap and spurious medium-term cycles," Discussion Papers 28/2020, Deutsche Bundesbank.
- Chafik, Omar & Achour, Aya, 2022. "Cycle financier, cycle réel et transmission de la politique monétaire au Maroc," Document de travail 2022-2, Bank Al-Maghrib, Département de la Recherche.
- Filippo Gusella, 2022.
"Detecting And Measuring Financial Cycles In Heterogeneous Agents Models: An Empirical Analysis,"
Advances in Complex Systems (ACS), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 25(02n03), pages 1-22, March.
- Filippo Gusella, 2022. "Detecting and Measuring Financial Cycles in Heterogeneous Agents Models: An Empirical Analysis," Working Papers - Economics wp2022_02.rdf, Universita' degli Studi di Firenze, Dipartimento di Scienze per l'Economia e l'Impresa.
- Carina Burs, 2023. "A Model of Cycles and Bubbles under Heterogeneous Beliefs in Financial Markets," Working Papers CIE 154, Paderborn University, CIE Center for International Economics.
- Rob Luginbuhl, 2020. "Estimation of the Financial Cycle with a Rank-Reduced Multivariate State-Space Model," CPB Discussion Paper 409, CPB Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy Analysis.
- Mehdi El Herradi & Aurélien Leroy, 2022.
"The rich, poor, and middle class: Banking crises and income distribution,"
Post-Print
hal-03770620, HAL.
- Mehdi El Herradi & Aurélien Leroy, 2021. "The rich, the poor, and the middle class: banking crises and income distribution," AMSE Working Papers 2136, Aix-Marseille School of Economics, France.
- Mehdi El Herradi & Aurélien Leroy, 2021. "The rich, the poor, and the middle class: banking crises and income distribution," Working Papers halshs-03269859, HAL.
- Herradi, Mehdi El & Leroy, Aurélien, 2022. "The rich, poor, and middle class: Banking crises and income distribution," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 127(C).
- Behn, Markus & Detken, Carsten & Peltonen, Tuomas A. & Schudel, Willem, 2016.
"Predicting vulnerabilities in the EU banking sector: the role of global and domestic factors,"
ESRB Working Paper Series
29, European Systemic Risk Board.
- Markus Behn & Carsten Detken & Tuomas Peltonen & Willem Schudel, 2017. "Predicting Vulnerabilities in the EU Banking Sector: The Role of Global and Domestic Factors," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 13(4), pages 147-189, December.
- Filippo Gusella & Engelbert Stockhammer, 2021.
"Testing fundamentalist–momentum trader financial cycles: An empirical analysis via the Kalman filter,"
Metroeconomica, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 72(4), pages 758-797, November.
- Filippo Gusella & Engelbert Stockhammer, 2020. "Testing fundamentalist-momentum trader financial cycles. An empirical analysis via the Kalman filter," Working Papers PKWP2009, Post Keynesian Economics Society (PKES).
- Siem Jan Koopman & Rutger Lit & Andre Lucas, 2016. "Model-based Business Cycle and Financial Cycle Decomposition for Europe and the U.S," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 16-051/IV, Tinbergen Institute.
- Hessler, Andrew, 2023. "Unobserved components model estimates of credit cycles: Tests and predictions," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 66(C).
- Borio, Claudio & Drehmann, Mathias & Xia, Fan Dora, 2020. "Forecasting recessions: the importance of the financial cycle," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 66(C).
- Hwang, Sun Ho & Kim, Yun Jung, 2021. "International output synchronization at different frequencies," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 104(C).
- Mandler, Martin & Scharnagl, Michael, 2019.
"Financial cycles across G7 economies: A view from wavelet analysis,"
Discussion Papers
22/2019, Deutsche Bundesbank.
- Mandler, Martin & Scharnagl, Michael, 2022. "Financial cycles across G7 economies: A view from wavelet analysis," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 26(C).
- Strohsal, Till & Proaño Acosta, Christian & Wolters, Jürgen, 2015.
"Characterizing the financial cycle: Evidence from a frequency domain analysis,"
SFB 649 Discussion Papers
2015-021, Humboldt University Berlin, Collaborative Research Center 649: Economic Risk.
- Strohsal, Till & Proaño, Christian R. & Wolters, Jürgen, 2015. "Characterizing the financial cycle: Evidence from a frequency domain analysis," Discussion Papers 22/2015, Deutsche Bundesbank.
- Strohsal, Till & Proaño, Christian R. & Wolters, Jürgen, 2015. "Characterizing the Financial Cycle: Evidence from a Frequency Domain Analysis," VfS Annual Conference 2015 (Muenster): Economic Development - Theory and Policy 113143, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
- Strohsal, Till & Proaño, Christian R. & Wolters, Jürgen, 2019. "Characterizing the financial cycle: Evidence from a frequency domain analysis," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 106(C), pages 568-591.
- Till Strohsal & Christian R. Proaño & Jürgen Wolters, 2017. "Characterizing the financial cycle: evidence from a frequency domain analysis," IMK Working Paper 189-2017, IMK at the Hans Boeckler Foundation, Macroeconomic Policy Institute.
- Monica Billio & Roberto Casarin & Enrica De Cian & Malcolm Mistry & Anthony Osuntuyi, 2020.
"The impact of Climate on Economic and Financial Cycles: A Markov-switching Panel Approach,"
Papers
2012.14693, arXiv.org.
- Monica Billio & Roberto Casarin & Enrica De Cian & Malcolm Mistry & Anthony Osuntuyi, 2021. "The Impact of Climate on Economic and Financial Cycles: A Markov-switching Panel Approach," Working Papers 2021:03, Department of Economics, University of Venice "Ca' Foscari".
- Marlon Fritz & Thomas Gries & Lukas Wiechers, 2024.
"An early indicator for anomalous stock market performance,"
Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 24(1), pages 105-118, January.
- Marlon Fritz & Thomas Gries & Lukas Wiechers, 2022. "An Early Indicator for Anomalous Stock Market Performance," Working Papers CIE 153, Paderborn University, CIE Center for International Economics.
- Adam Cagliarini & Fiona Price, 2017. "Exploring the Link between the Macroeconomic and Financial Cycles," RBA Annual Conference Volume (Discontinued), in: Jonathan Hambur & John Simon (ed.),Monetary Policy and Financial Stability in a World of Low Interest Rates, Reserve Bank of Australia.
- Davor Kunovac & Martin Mandler & Michael Scharnagl, 2018.
"Financial cycles in euro area economies: a cross-country perspective,"
Working Papers
55, The Croatian National Bank, Croatia.
- Kunovac, Davor & Mandler, Martin & Scharnagl, Michael, 2018. "Financial cycles in euro area economies: A cross-country perspective," Discussion Papers 04/2018, Deutsche Bundesbank.
- Абилов Н. // Abilov N., 2024. "Риск действительно имеет значение: шоки неопределенности в условиях малой экономики страны – экспортера нефти // Risk indeed matters: uncertainty shocks in a small oil-exporting economy," Economic Review(National Bank of Kazakhstan), National Bank of Kazakhstan, issue 2 Special, pages 7-23.
- Mathias Drehmann & James Yetman, 2020.
"Which credit gap is better at predicting financial crises? A comparison of univariate filters,"
BIS Working Papers
878, Bank for International Settlements.
- Mathias Drehmann & James Yetman, 2021. "Which Credit Gap Is Better at Predicting Financial Crises? A Comparison of Univariate Filters," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 17(70), pages 1-31, October.
- Jorge E. Galán, 2019. "Measuring credit-to-gdp gaps. The hodrick-prescott filter revisited," Occasional Papers 1906, Banco de España.
- Cem Çakmakli & Hamza Dem I˙rcani & Sumru Altug, 2021. "Modelling of Economic and Financial Conditions for Real‐Time Prediction of Recessions," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 83(3), pages 663-685, June.
- Samarina, Anna & Zhang, Lu & Bezemer, Dirk, 2017. "Credit cycle coherence in the eurozone: Was there a euro effect?," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 77(C), pages 77-98.
- Terhi Jokipii & Reto Nyffeler & Stéphane Riederer, 2021.
"Exploring BIS credit-to-GDP gap critiques: the Swiss case,"
Swiss Journal of Economics and Statistics, Springer;Swiss Society of Economics and Statistics, vol. 157(1), pages 1-19, December.
- Dr. Terhi Jokipii & Dr. Reto Nyffeler & Stéphane Riederer, 2020. "Exploring BIS credit-to-GDP gap critiques: the Swiss case," Working Papers 2020-19, Swiss National Bank.
- Harendra Behera & Saurabh Sharma, 2022. "Characterizing India’s Financial Cycle," Journal of Emerging Market Finance, Institute for Financial Management and Research, vol. 21(2), pages 152-183, June.
- Адилханова З. // Adilkhanova Z., 2024. "Влияние жесткости заработных плат на инфляцию в рамках трансмиссионного механизма монетарной политики // Impact of Wage Rigidity on Inflation within the Framework of Monetary Policy Transmission Mecha," Economic Review(National Bank of Kazakhstan), National Bank of Kazakhstan, issue 2 Special, pages 45-59.
- Schüler, Yves S. & Peltonen, Tuomas A. & Hiebert, Paul, 2017. "Coherent financial cycles for G-7 countries: Why extending credit can be an asset," ESRB Working Paper Series 43, European Systemic Risk Board.
- Patrik Kupkovic & Martin Suster, 2020. "Identifying the Financial Cycle in Slovakia," Working and Discussion Papers WP 2/2020, Research Department, National Bank of Slovakia.
- Dutra, Tiago Mota & Dias, José Carlos & Teixeira, João C.A., 2022. "Measuring financial cycles: Empirical evidence for Germany, United Kingdom and United States of America," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 79(C), pages 599-630.
- policy, Work stream on macroprudential & Albertazzi, Ugo & Martin, Alberto & Assouan, Emmanuelle & Tristani, Oreste & Galati, Gabriele & Vlassopoulos, Thomas, 2021. "The role of financial stability considerations in monetary policy and the interaction with macroprudential policy in the euro area," Occasional Paper Series 272, European Central Bank.
- Еселева-Пионка М. // Yesseleva-Pionka М. & Кенжегаранова М. // Kenzhegaranova М. & Азимбекова А. // Azimbekova А. & Кусниева А. // Kusniyeva А. & Байбекова А. // Baibekova А., 2024. "Противодействие финансовым мошенничествам, в частности пирамидам, интернет и телефонным мошенничествам // Combating Fnancial Fraud, in Particular Pyramid, Internet and Telephone Fraud," Economic Review(National Bank of Kazakhstan), National Bank of Kazakhstan, issue 2 Special, pages 86-89.
- Jorge E. Galán & Matías Lamas, 2019. "Beyond the LTV ratio: new macroprudential lessons from Spain," Working Papers 1931, Banco de España.
- Tihana Skrinjaric, 2023. "Leading indicators of financial stress in Croatia: a regime switching approach," Public Sector Economics, Institute of Public Finance, vol. 47(2), pages 205-232.
- Benjamin Larin, 2018. "A Quantitative Model of Bubble-Driven Business Cycles," 2018 Meeting Papers 662, Society for Economic Dynamics.
- Wolf, Elias & Mokinski, Frieder & Schüler, Yves, 2020. "On adjusting the one-sided Hodrick-Prescott filter," Discussion Papers 11/2020, Deutsche Bundesbank.
- Małgorzata Iwanicz-Drozdowska & Paola Bongini & Paweł Smaga & Bartosz Witkowski, 2019. "The role of banks in CESEE countries: exploring non-standard determinants of economic growth," Post-Communist Economies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 31(3), pages 349-382, May.
- Chikako Baba & Mr. Salvatore Dell'Erba & Ms. Enrica Detragiache & Olamide Harrison & Ms. Aiko Mineshima & Anvar Musayev & Asghar Shahmoradi, 2020. "How Should Credit Gaps Be Measured? An Application to European Countries," IMF Working Papers 2020/006, International Monetary Fund.
- Victor Pontines, 2017. "Extracting and Measuring Periodicities of Credit and Housing Cycles: Evidence from Eight Economies," Working Papers wp28, South East Asian Central Banks (SEACEN) Research and Training Centre.
- Solikin M. Juhro & Bernard Njindan Iyke & Paresh Kumar Narayan, 2021.
"Capital Flow Dynamics And The Synchronization Of Financial Cycles And Business Cycles In Emerging Market Economies,"
Working Papers
WP/02/2021, Bank Indonesia.
- Juhro, Solikin M. & Iyke, Bernard Njindan & Narayan, Paresh Kumar, 2024. "Capital flow dynamics and the synchronization of financial cycles and business cycles in emerging market economies," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 92(C).
- Jasper de Winter & Siem Jan Koopman & Irma Hindrayanto, 2022. "Joint Decomposition of Business and Financial Cycles: Evidence from Eight Advanced Economies," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 84(1), pages 57-79, February.
- Jitka Pomenkova & Eva Klejmova & Zuzana Kucerova, 2019. "Cyclicality in lending activity of Euro area in pre- and post- 2008 crisis: a local-adaptive-based testing of wavelets," Baltic Journal of Economics, Baltic International Centre for Economic Policy Studies, vol. 19(1), pages 155-175.
- Mundra, Sruti & Bicchal, Motilal, 2024. "Financial cycle comovement with monetary and macroprudential policy and global factors: Evidence from India," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 71(C).
- Andrew Lee-Poy, 2018. "Characterizing the Canadian Financial Cycle with Frequency Filtering Approaches," Staff Analytical Notes 2018-34, Bank of Canada.
- Jaromir Baxa & Jan Zacek, 2022. "Monetary Policy and the Financial Cycle: International Evidence," Working Papers 2022/4, Czech National Bank.
- Larin, Benjamin, 2016. "A Quantitative Model of Bubble-Driven Business Cycles," VfS Annual Conference 2016 (Augsburg): Demographic Change 145817, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
- Rünstler, Gerhard & Balfoussia, Hiona & Burlon, Lorenzo & Buss, Ginters & Comunale, Mariarosaria & De Backer, Bruno & Dewachter, Hans & Guarda, Paolo & Haavio, Markus & Hindrayanto, Irma & Iskrev, Nik, 2018. "Real and financial cycles in EU countries - Stylised facts and modelling implications," Occasional Paper Series 205, European Central Bank.
- Škare, Marinko & Porada-Rochoń, Małgorzata, 2020. "Multi-channel singular-spectrum analysis of financial cycles in ten developed economies for 1970–2018," Journal of Business Research, Elsevier, vol. 112(C), pages 567-575.
- Lenarčič, Črt, 2021. "Estimating business and financial cycles in Slovenia," MPRA Paper 109977, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Eddie Gerba & Danilo Leiva-Leon, 2020. "Macro-financial interactions in a changing world," Working Papers 2018, Banco de España.
- Рысбаева Ә. Б. // Rysbayeva A.B. & Ханет А. Б. // Khanet А. B., 2024. "Фискальные мультипликаторы в Казахстане // Fiscal Multipliers in Kazakhstan," Economic Review(National Bank of Kazakhstan), National Bank of Kazakhstan, issue 2 Special, pages 24-44.
- Алдашев А. // Aldashev А. & Баткеев Б. // Batkeyev В., 2024. "Задолженность домохозяйств, гетерогенность и финансовая стабильность на примере Казахстана // Household debt, heterogeneity and financial stability: Evidence from Kazakhstan," Economic Review(National Bank of Kazakhstan), National Bank of Kazakhstan, issue 2 Special, pages 90-91.
- Татибеков Б. // Tatibekov B. & Абдразакова А. // Abdrazakova А., 2024. "Особенности взаимосвязи рынка труда и инфляционных процессов в экономике Казахстана в период 2001-2021 гг.: теория и практика реализации // Specifics of Relationship between the Labor Market and Infla," Economic Review(National Bank of Kazakhstan), National Bank of Kazakhstan, issue 2 Special, pages 60-61.
- Greg Farrell & Esti Kemp, 2020. "Measuring the Financial Cycle in South Africa," South African Journal of Economics, Economic Society of South Africa, vol. 88(2), pages 123-144, June.
- Ыбраев Ж. // Ybrayev Zh., 2024. "Макроэкономическая активность и контр-циклический буфер капитала в Казахстане // Macroeconomic Activity and Countercyclical Capital Buffer in Kazakhstan," Economic Review(National Bank of Kazakhstan), National Bank of Kazakhstan, issue 2 Special, pages 92-100.
- Schüler, Yves S., 2018. "On the cyclical properties of Hamilton's regression filter," Discussion Papers 03/2018, Deutsche Bundesbank.
- Paolo Guarda & Alban Moura, 2019. "Measuring real and financial cycles in Luxembourg: An unobserved components approach," BCL working papers 126, Central Bank of Luxembourg.
- O'Brien, Martin & Velasco, Sofia, 2020. "Unobserved components models with stochastic volatility for extracting trends and cycles in credit," Research Technical Papers 09/RT/20, Central Bank of Ireland.
- Malgorzata Porada - Rochon, 2020. "The Length of Financial Cycle and its Impact on Business Cycle in Poland," European Research Studies Journal, European Research Studies Journal, vol. 0(4), pages 1278-1290.
- Schüler, Yves S., 2018. "Detrending and financial cycle facts across G7 countries: mind a spurious medium term!," Working Paper Series 2138, European Central Bank.
- Hiebert, Paul & Jaccard, Ivan & Schüler, Yves, 2018. "Contrasting financial and business cycles: Stylized facts and candidate explanations," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 38(C), pages 72-80.
- Scharnagl Michael & Mandler Martin, 2019. "Real and Financial Cycles in Euro Area Economies: Results from Wavelet Analysis," Journal of Economics and Statistics (Jahrbuecher fuer Nationaloekonomie und Statistik), De Gruyter, vol. 239(5-6), pages 895-916, October.
- Dalia Mansour-Ibrahim, 2023. "Are the Eurozone Financial and Business Cycles Convergent Across Time and Frequency?," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 61(1), pages 389-427, January.
- Jorge E. Galán & Javier Mencía, 2021. "Model-based indicators for the identification of cyclical systemic risk," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 61(6), pages 3179-3211, December.
- Irma Hindrayanto & John A.D. Aston & Siem Jan Koopman & Marius Ooms, 2010.
"Modeling Trigonometric Seasonal Components for Monthly Economic Time Series,"
Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers
10-018/4, Tinbergen Institute.
- Irma Hindrayanto & John A.D. Aston & Siem Jan Koopman & Marius Ooms, 2013. "Modelling trigonometric seasonal components for monthly economic time series," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 45(21), pages 3024-3034, July.
Cited by:
- C. Vladimir Rodr'iguez-Caballero & Esther Ruiz, 2024. "Temperature in the Iberian Peninsula: Trend, seasonality, and heterogeneity," Papers 2406.14145, arXiv.org.
- González-Rivera, Gloria & Rodríguez Caballero, Carlos Vladimir, 2023. "Modelling intervals of minimum/maximum temperatures in the Iberian Peninsula," DES - Working Papers. Statistics and Econometrics. WS 37968, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid. Departamento de EstadÃstica.
- Fausto Hern'andez Trillo & C. Vladimir Rodr'iguez-Caballero & Daniel Ventosa-Santaul`aria, 2024. "Monopoly Unveiled: Telecom Breakups in the US and Mexico," Papers 2407.09695, arXiv.org.
- Castillo-Manzano, José I. & Pedregal, Diego J. & Pozo-Barajas, Rafael, 2016. "An econometric evaluation of the management of large-scale transport infrastructure in Spain during the great recession: Lessons for infrastructure bubbles," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 53(C), pages 302-313.
- Siem Jan Koopman & Marius Ooms & Irma Hindrayanto, 2006.
"Periodic Unobserved Cycles in Seasonal Time Series with an Application to US Unemployment,"
Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers
06-101/4, Tinbergen Institute.
- Siem Jan Koopman & Marius Ooms & Irma Hindrayanto, 2009. "Periodic Unobserved Cycles in Seasonal Time Series with an Application to US Unemployment," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 71(5), pages 683-713, October.
Cited by:
- Uwe Blien & Oliver Ludewig & Anja Rossen, 2023. "Contradictory effects of technological change across developed countries," Review of International Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 31(2), pages 580-608, May.
- Sergey Seleznev & Natalia Turdyeva & Ramis Khabibullin & Anna Tsvetkova, 2020. "Seasonal adjustment of the Bank of Russia Payment System financial flows data," Bank of Russia Working Paper Series wps65, Bank of Russia.
- Hindrayanto, Irma & Koopman, Siem Jan & Ooms, Marius, 2010. "Exact maximum likelihood estimation for non-stationary periodic time series models," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 54(11), pages 2641-2654, November.
- Rodrigo Barbone Gonzalez & Joaquim Lima & Leonardo Marinho, 2015. "Countercyclical Capital Buffers: bayesian estimates and alternatives focusing on credit growth," Working Papers Series 384, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department.
- Rodrigo Barbone Gonzalez & Joaquim Lima & Leonardo Marinho, 2015. "Business and Financial Cycles: an estimation of cycles’ length focusing on Macroprudential Policy," Working Papers Series 385, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department.
Articles
- Jasper de Winter & Siem Jan Koopman & Irma Hindrayanto, 2022.
"Joint Decomposition of Business and Financial Cycles: Evidence from Eight Advanced Economies,"
Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 84(1), pages 57-79, February.
Cited by:
- Berger, Tino & Richter, Julia & Wong, Benjamin, 2021.
"A unified approach for jointly estimating the business and financial cycle, and the role of financial factors,"
University of Göttingen Working Papers in Economics
415, University of Goettingen, Department of Economics.
- Tino Berger & Julia Richter & Benjamin Wong, 2021. "A Unified Approach for Jointly Estimating the Business and Financial Cycle, and the Role of Financial Factors," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers 4/21, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics.
- Tino Berger & Julia Richter & Benjamin Wong, 2020. "Financial factors and the business cycle," CAMA Working Papers 2020-44, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Berger, Tino & Richter, Julia & Wong, Benjamin, 2021. "A unified approach for jointly estimating the business and financial cycle, and the role of financial factors," Working Papers 02/2021, German Council of Economic Experts / Sachverständigenrat zur Begutachtung der gesamtwirtschaftlichen Entwicklung.
- Berger, Tino & Richter, Julia & Wong, Benjamin, 2022. "A unified approach for jointly estimating the business and financial cycle, and the role of financial factors," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 136(C).
- Mundra, Sruti & Bicchal, Motilal, 2024. "Financial cycle comovement with monetary and macroprudential policy and global factors: Evidence from India," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 71(C).
- Xin Tian & Jan Jacobs & Jakob de Haan, 2022. "Alternative Measures for the Global Financial Cycle: Do They Make a Difference?," CESifo Working Paper Series 9730, CESifo.
- Shengnan Lv & Zeshui Xu & Xuecheng Fan & Yong Qin & Marinko Skare, 2023. "The mean reversion/persistence of financial cycles: Empirical evidence for 24 countries worldwide," Equilibrium. Quarterly Journal of Economics and Economic Policy, Institute of Economic Research, vol. 18(1), pages 11-47, March.
- Marina Khismatullina & Michael Vogt, 2022. "Multiscale Comparison of Nonparametric Trend Curves," Papers 2209.10841, arXiv.org.
- Berger, Tino & Richter, Julia & Wong, Benjamin, 2021.
"A unified approach for jointly estimating the business and financial cycle, and the role of financial factors,"
University of Göttingen Working Papers in Economics
415, University of Goettingen, Department of Economics.
- Hindrayanto, Irma & Samarina, Anna & Stanga, Irina M., 2019.
"Is the Phillips curve still alive? Evidence from the euro area,"
Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 174(C), pages 149-152.
Cited by:
- Marente Vlekke & Martin Mellens & Siem Jan Koopmans, 2020. "An assessment of the Phillips curve over time: evidence for the United States and the euro area," CPB Discussion Paper 416, CPB Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy Analysis.
- Petar Soric & Enric Monte & Salvador Torra & Oscar Claveria, 2022.
"“Density forecasts of inflation using Gaussian process regression models”,"
AQR Working Papers
202207, University of Barcelona, Regional Quantitative Analysis Group, revised Jul 2022.
- Petar Soric & Enric Monte & Salvador Torra & Oscar Claveria, 2022. ""Density forecasts of inflation using Gaussian process regression models"," IREA Working Papers 202210, University of Barcelona, Research Institute of Applied Economics, revised Jul 2022.
- Conti, Antonio M., 2021. "Resurrecting the Phillips Curve in Low-Inflation Times," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 96(C), pages 172-195.
- Byrne, David & Zekaite, Zivile, 2020. "Non-linearity in the wage Phillips curve: Euro area analysis," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 186(C).
- Teresa Messner & Fabio Rumler, 2020. "Langfristige Determinanten der österreichischen Inflation – die Rolle des EU-Beitritts," Monetary Policy & the Economy, Oesterreichische Nationalbank (Austrian Central Bank), issue Q1-Q2/20, pages 169-179.
- Koester, Gerrit & Lis, Eliza & Nickel, Christiane & Osbat, Chiara & Smets, Frank, 2021. "Understanding low inflation in the euro area from 2013 to 2019: cyclical and structural drivers," Occasional Paper Series 280, European Central Bank.
- David Staines, 2023. "Stochastic Equilibrium the Lucas Critique and Keynesian Economics," Papers 2312.16214, arXiv.org, revised Jun 2024.
- Bańbura, Marta & Bobeica, Elena, 2023.
"Does the Phillips curve help to forecast euro area inflation?,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 39(1), pages 364-390.
- Bańbura, Marta & Bobeica, Elena, 2020. "Does the Phillips curve help to forecast euro area inflation?," Working Paper Series 2471, European Central Bank.
- Liu, Tie-Ying & Lin, Ye, 2023. "Does global warming affect unemployment? International evidence," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 991-1005.
- Faryna, Oleksandr & Pham, Tho & Talavera, Oleksandr & Tsapin, Andriy, 2022. "Wage and unemployment: Evidence from online job vacancy data," Journal of Comparative Economics, Elsevier, vol. 50(1), pages 52-70.
- Narayan, Seema & Cirikisuva, Salote & Naivutu, Revoni, 2023. "A hybrid NKPC inflation model for the small Island state of Fiji," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 873-886.
- Hindrayanto, Irma & Jacobs, Jan P.A.M. & Osborn, Denise R. & Tian, Jing, 2019.
"Trend–Cycle–Seasonal Interactions: Identification And Estimation,"
Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 23(8), pages 3163-3188, December.
See citations under working paper version above.
- Irma Hindrayanto & Jan P.A.M. Jacobs & Denise R. Osborn & Jing Tian, 2017. "Trend-cycle-seasonal interactions: identification and estimation," CAMA Working Papers 2017-57, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Hindrayanto, Irma & Koopman, Siem Jan & de Winter, Jasper, 2016.
"Forecasting and nowcasting economic growth in the euro area using factor models,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 32(4), pages 1284-1305.
Cited by:
- Francisco Corona & Graciela González-Farías & Pedro Orraca, 2017. "A dynamic factor model for the Mexican economy: are common trends useful when predicting economic activity?," Latin American Economic Review, Springer;Centro de Investigaciòn y Docencia Económica (CIDE), vol. 26(1), pages 1-35, December.
- Gloria Gonzalez-Rivera & Vladimir Rodriguez-Caballero & Esther Ruiz, 2023.
"Expecting the unexpected: Stressed scenarios for economic growth,"
Working Papers
202314, University of California at Riverside, Department of Economics.
- Gloria González‐Rivera & C. Vladimir Rodríguez‐Caballero & Esther Ruiz, 2024. "Expecting the unexpected: Stressed scenarios for economic growth," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 39(5), pages 926-942, August.
- Giovanni Ballarin & Petros Dellaportas & Lyudmila Grigoryeva & Marcel Hirt & Sophie van Huellen & Juan-Pablo Ortega, 2022.
"Reservoir Computing for Macroeconomic Forecasting with Mixed Frequency Data,"
Papers
2211.00363, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2024.
- Ballarin, Giovanni & Dellaportas, Petros & Grigoryeva, Lyudmila & Hirt, Marcel & van Huellen, Sophie & Ortega, Juan-Pablo, 2024. "Reservoir computing for macroeconomic forecasting with mixed-frequency data," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 40(3), pages 1206-1237.
- Dorinth van Dijk & Jasper de Winter, 2023. "Nowcasting GDP using tone-adjusted time varying news topics: Evidence from the financial press," Working Papers 766, DNB.
- Dennis Kant & Andreas Pick & Jasper de Winter, 2022. "Nowcasting GDP using machine learning methods," Working Papers 754, DNB.
- Richard Schnorrenberger & Aishameriane Schmidt & Guilherme Valle Moura, 2024. "Harnessing Machine Learning for Real-Time Inflation Nowcasting," Working Papers 806, DNB.
- Poncela Blanco, Maria Pilar, 2020.
"Factor extraction using Kalman filter and smoothing: this is not just another survey,"
DES - Working Papers. Statistics and Econometrics. WS
30644, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid. Departamento de EstadÃstica.
- Poncela, Pilar & Ruiz, Esther & Miranda, Karen, 2021. "Factor extraction using Kalman filter and smoothing: This is not just another survey," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 37(4), pages 1399-1425.
- Algaba, Andres & Borms, Samuel & Boudt, Kris & Verbeken, Brecht, 2023.
"Daily news sentiment and monthly surveys: A mixed-frequency dynamic factor model for nowcasting consumer confidence,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 39(1), pages 266-278.
- Andres Algaba & Samuel Borms & Kris Boudt & Brecht Verbeken, 2021. "Daily news sentiment and monthly surveys: A mixed–frequency dynamic factor model for nowcasting consumer confidence," Working Paper Research 396, National Bank of Belgium.
- Karen Miranda & Pilar Poncela & Esther Ruiz, 2022. "Dynamic factor models: Does the specification matter?," SERIEs: Journal of the Spanish Economic Association, Springer;Spanish Economic Association, vol. 13(1), pages 397-428, May.
- Guobin Fang & Xuehua Zhou, 2024. "Web Semantic Analysis of Investor Sentiment, Short Trading, and Stock Market Volatility," International Journal on Semantic Web and Information Systems (IJSWIS), IGI Global, vol. 20(1), pages 1-35, January.
- Bennedsen, Mikkel & Hillebrand, Eric & Koopman, Siem Jan, 2021.
"Modeling, forecasting, and nowcasting U.S. CO2 emissions using many macroeconomic predictors,"
Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 96(C).
- Mikkel Bennedsen & Eric Hillebrand & Siem Jan Koopman, 2019. "Modeling, Forecasting, and Nowcasting U.S. CO2 Emissions Using Many Macroeconomic Predictors," CREATES Research Papers 2019-21, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
- Caterina Schiavoni & Franz Palm & Stephan Smeekes & Jan van den Brakel, 2021.
"A dynamic factor model approach to incorporate Big Data in state space models for official statistics,"
Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 184(1), pages 324-353, January.
- Caterina Schiavoni & Franz Palm & Stephan Smeekes & Jan van den Brakel, 2019. "A dynamic factor model approach to incorporate Big Data in state space models for official statistics," Papers 1901.11355, arXiv.org, revised Feb 2020.
- Cepni, Oguzhan & Güney, I. Ethem & Swanson, Norman R., 2019. "Nowcasting and forecasting GDP in emerging markets using global financial and macroeconomic diffusion indexes," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 35(2), pages 555-572.
- James T. E. Chapman & Ajit Desai, 2022.
"Macroeconomic Predictions using Payments Data and Machine Learning,"
Papers
2209.00948, arXiv.org.
- James T. E. Chapman & Ajit Desai, 2023. "Macroeconomic Predictions Using Payments Data and Machine Learning," Forecasting, MDPI, vol. 5(4), pages 1-32, November.
- James Chapman & Ajit Desai, 2022. "Macroeconomic Predictions Using Payments Data and Machine Learning," Staff Working Papers 22-10, Bank of Canada.
- Poncela, Pilar, 2021. "Dynamic factor models: does the specification matter?," DES - Working Papers. Statistics and Econometrics. WS 32210, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid. Departamento de EstadÃstica.
- Galati, Gabriele & Hindrayanto, Irma & Koopman, Siem Jan & Vlekke, Marente, 2016.
"Measuring financial cycles in a model-based analysis: Empirical evidence for the United States and the euro area,"
Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 145(C), pages 83-87.
See citations under working paper version above.
- Gabriele Galati & Irma Hindrayanto & Siem Jan Koopman & Marente Vlekke, 2016. "Measuring Financial Cycles in a Model-Based Analysis: Empirical Evidence for the United States and the Euro Area," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 16-029/III, Tinbergen Institute.
- Irma Hindrayanto & John A.D. Aston & Siem Jan Koopman & Marius Ooms, 2013.
"Modelling trigonometric seasonal components for monthly economic time series,"
Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 45(21), pages 3024-3034, July.
See citations under working paper version above.
- Irma Hindrayanto & John A.D. Aston & Siem Jan Koopman & Marius Ooms, 2010. "Modeling Trigonometric Seasonal Components for Monthly Economic Time Series," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 10-018/4, Tinbergen Institute.
- Hindrayanto, Irma & Koopman, Siem Jan & Ooms, Marius, 2010.
"Exact maximum likelihood estimation for non-stationary periodic time series models,"
Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 54(11), pages 2641-2654, November.
Cited by:
- Abdelkamel Alj & Christophe Ley & Guy Melard, 2015. "Asymptotic Properties of QML Estimators for VARMA Models with Time-Dependent Coefficients: Part I," Working Papers ECARES ECARES 2015-21, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
- Dordonnat, Virginie & Koopman, Siem Jan & Ooms, Marius, 2012. "Dynamic factors in periodic time-varying regressions with an application to hourly electricity load modelling," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 56(11), pages 3134-3152.
- Alj, Abdelkamel & Jónasson, Kristján & Mélard, Guy, 2016. "The exact Gaussian likelihood estimation of time-dependent VARMA models," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 100(C), pages 633-644.
- Bos, Charles S. & Koopman, Siem Jan & Ooms, Marius, 2014. "Long memory with stochastic variance model: A recursive analysis for US inflation," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 144-157.
- Boshnakov, Georgi N. & Lambert-Lacroix, Sophie, 2012. "A periodic Levinson-Durbin algorithm for entropy maximization," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 56(1), pages 15-24, January.
- Thornton, Michael A., 2013. "Removing seasonality under a changing regime: Filtering new car sales," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 4-14.
- Milenković, Miloš S. & Bojović, Nebojša J. & Švadlenka, Libor & Melichar, Vlastimil, 2015. "A stochastic model predictive control to heterogeneous rail freight car fleet sizing problem," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 82(C), pages 162-198.
- Siem Jan Koopman & Marius Ooms & Irma Hindrayanto, 2009.
"Periodic Unobserved Cycles in Seasonal Time Series with an Application to US Unemployment,"
Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 71(5), pages 683-713, October.
See citations under working paper version above.
- Siem Jan Koopman & Marius Ooms & Irma Hindrayanto, 2006. "Periodic Unobserved Cycles in Seasonal Time Series with an Application to US Unemployment," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 06-101/4, Tinbergen Institute.
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NEP Fields
NEP is an announcement service for new working papers, with a weekly report in each of many fields. This author has had 7 papers announced in NEP. These are the fields, ordered by number of announcements, along with their dates. If the author is listed in the directory of specialists for this field, a link is also provided.- NEP-MAC: Macroeconomics (6) 2007-01-23 2015-04-25 2016-05-08 2017-09-10 2018-03-26 2018-12-24. Author is listed
- NEP-ECM: Econometrics (3) 2007-01-23 2011-02-26 2017-09-10
- NEP-ETS: Econometric Time Series (3) 2007-01-23 2011-02-26 2017-09-10
- NEP-FOR: Forecasting (3) 2007-01-23 2014-09-05 2015-04-25
- NEP-BAN: Banking (1) 2016-05-08
- NEP-BEC: Business Economics (1) 2016-05-08
- NEP-CBA: Central Banking (1) 2018-12-24
- NEP-EEC: European Economics (1) 2015-04-25
- NEP-PKE: Post Keynesian Economics (1) 2016-05-08
- NEP-URE: Urban and Real Estate Economics (1) 2018-03-26
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