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Rational Expectations and the Dynamics of Hyperinflation

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Cited by:

  1. Pekarski, Sergey, 2011. "Budget deficits and inflation feedback," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 22(1), pages 1-11, February.
  2. Evens SALIES & Peter MOFFATT, 2006. "Inaccurate approximations in the modeling of hyper-inflations," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 28(1), pages 1.
  3. Hartwell, Christopher A., 2019. "Short waves in Hungary, 1923 and 1946: Persistence, chaos, and (lack of) control," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 163(C), pages 532-550.
  4. Alexandre Sokic, 2008. "Monetary Hyperinflations, Speculative Hyperinflations and Modeling the Use of Money," The IUP Journal of Monetary Economics, IUP Publications, vol. 0(3), pages 51-70, August.
  5. Ibrahim Abdulhamid Danlami, 2019. "Inflation Persistence in the West African Commonwealth Countries," Academic Journal of Economic Studies, Faculty of Finance, Banking and Accountancy Bucharest,"Dimitrie Cantemir" Christian University Bucharest, vol. 5(3), pages 80-89, September.
  6. Jani Bekő, 2003. "Causality between exports and economic growth: empirical estimates for slovenia," Prague Economic Papers, Prague University of Economics and Business, vol. 2003(2), pages 169-186.
  7. Bernard Walliser, 1982. "Equilibres et anticipations," Revue Économique, Programme National Persée, vol. 33(4), pages 594-638.
  8. Juan Carlos Cuestas & Estefanía Mourelle, 2009. "Inflation persistence and asymmetries: evidence for African countries," NBS Discussion Papers in Economics 2009/2, Economics, Nottingham Business School, Nottingham Trent University.
  9. Caplan, B., 2002. "How does war shock the economy?," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 21(2), pages 145-162, April.
  10. Gbaguidi DAVID, 2011. "Expectations Impact On The Effectiveness Of The Inflation-Real Activity Trade-Off," Theoretical and Practical Research in the Economic Fields, ASERS Publishing, vol. 2(2), pages 141-181.
  11. Chemla, Gilles & Hennessy, Christopher A., 2020. "Rational expectations and the Paradox of policy-relevant natural experiments," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 114(C), pages 368-381.
  12. Burdekin, Richard C.K. & Whited, Hsin-hui I.H., 2005. "Exporting hyperinflation: The long arm of Chiang Kai-shek," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 16(1), pages 71-89.
  13. Robert P. Flood & Robert J. Hodrick & Paul Kaplan, 1986. "An Evaluation of Recent Evidence on Stock Market Bubbles," NBER Working Papers 1971, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  14. Ruge-Murcia, Francisco J., 1999. "Government expenditure and the dynamics of high inflation," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 58(2), pages 333-358, April.
  15. Reghezza, Alessio & Seghezza, Elena & Thornton, John, 2020. "Expectations in an open economy hyperinflation: Evidence from Germany 1921–23," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 192(C).
  16. Bordo, Michael D., 1986. "Explorations in monetary history: A survey of the literature," Explorations in Economic History, Elsevier, vol. 23(4), pages 339-415, October.
  17. Bennett T. McCallum & Edward Nelson, 2005. "Monetary and Fiscal Theories of the Price Level: The Irreconcilable Differences," Oxford Review of Economic Policy, Oxford University Press and Oxford Review of Economic Policy Limited, vol. 21(4), pages 565-583, Winter.
  18. McNulty, Mark S., 1985. "Information usage in the formation of price expectations: theory and econometric tests," ISU General Staff Papers 1985010108000013085, Iowa State University, Department of Economics.
  19. Rashkovskiy, S.A., 2021. "Economic thermodynamics," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 582(C).
  20. Nielsen, Bent, 2008. "On the Explosive Nature of Hyper-Inflation Data," Economics - The Open-Access, Open-Assessment E-Journal (2007-2020), Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel), vol. 2, pages 1-29.
  21. Abdul Qadir Patoli & Tayyab Zarif & Nadeem A. Syed, 2012. "Impact Of Inflation On Taxes In Pakistan: An Empirical Study Of 2000-2010 Period," IBT Journal of Business Studies (JBS), Ilma University, Faculty of Management Science, vol. 8(2), pages 8-4.
  22. Benjamin Beckers & Anthony Brassil, 2022. "Inflation Expectations in Australia," Australian Economic Review, The University of Melbourne, Melbourne Institute of Applied Economic and Social Research, vol. 55(1), pages 125-135, March.
  23. Chappell, David & Peel, David A., 1998. "A note on some properties of the ESTAR model," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 60(3), pages 311-315, September.
  24. Salemi, Michael K & Sargent, Thomas J, 1979. "The Demand for Money during Hyperinflation under Rational Expectations: II," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 20(3), pages 741-758, October.
  25. RUGE-MURCIA, Francisco J., 1997. "Credibility and Signaling in Disinflation- a Cross Country Examination," Cahiers de recherche 9712, Universite de Montreal, Departement de sciences economiques.
  26. Adama Zerbo, 2018. "Essai d'une nouvelle représentation macroéconomique du marché du travail," Documents de travail 178, Groupe d'Economie du Développement de l'Université Montesquieu Bordeaux IV.
  27. Pedro Garcia Duarte, 2005. "A FEASIBLE AND OBJECTIVE CONCEPT OF OPTIMALITY: THE QUADRATIC LOSS FUNCTION AND U. S. MONETARY POLICY IN THE 1960's," Anais do XXXIII Encontro Nacional de Economia [Proceedings of the 33rd Brazilian Economics Meeting] 016, ANPEC - Associação Nacional dos Centros de Pós-Graduação em Economia [Brazilian Association of Graduate Programs in Economics].
  28. Binder, Carola Conces, 2016. "Estimation of historical inflation expectations," Explorations in Economic History, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 1-31.
  29. Ashra, Sunil & Chattopadhyay, Saumen & Chaudhuri, Kausik, 2004. "Deficit, money and price: the Indian experience," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 26(3), pages 289-299, April.
  30. Lawrence J. Christiano, 1980. "The term structure of interest rates and the aliasing identification problem," Working Papers 165, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis.
  31. Albert Makochekanwa, 2007. "A Dynamic Enquiry into the Causes of Hyperinflation in Zimbabwe," Working Papers 200710, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
  32. Aurélien Goutsmedt & Erich Pinzon-Fuchs & Matthieu Renault & Francesco Sergi, 2015. "Criticizing the Lucas Critique: Macroeconometricians' Response to Robert Lucas," Post-Print halshs-01179114, HAL.
  33. Ivan Paya & David A. Peel, 2003. "Purchasing Power Parity Adjustment Speeds in High Frequency Data when the Equilibrium Real Exchange Rate is Proxied by a Deterministic Trend," Manchester School, University of Manchester, vol. 71(s1), pages 39-53, September.
  34. Pierre L. Siklos, 1990. "The Transition from Hyperinflation to Price Stability: Further Evidence," Eastern Economic Journal, Eastern Economic Association, vol. 16(1), pages 65-69, Jan-Mar.
  35. Rilina Basu & Nandini Das & Ranjanendra Narayan Nag, 2019. "Openness, Inflation and Output Under Alternative Monetary Policies: A Structuralist Approach," Foreign Trade Review, , vol. 54(2), pages 75-90, May.
  36. Hartwell, Christopher A & Szybisz, Martin Andres, 2021. "Corralling Expectations: The Role of Institutions in (Hyper)Inflation," MPRA Paper 105612, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  37. Giovanni B. Pittaluga & Elena Seghezza & Pierluigi Morelli, 2021. "The political economy of hyperinflation in Venezuela," Public Choice, Springer, vol. 186(3), pages 337-350, March.
  38. I A Venetis & I Paya & D Peel, 2009. "ESTAR model with multiple fixed points. Testing and Estimation," Working Papers 599093, Lancaster University Management School, Economics Department.
  39. Eckstein, Zvi & Leiderman, Leonardo, 1992. "Seigniorage and the welfare cost of inflation: Evidence from an intertemporal model of money and consumption," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 29(3), pages 389-410, June.
  40. Sargent, Thomas, 1976. "Econometric exogeneity and alternative estimators of portfolio balance schedules for hyperinflations : A note," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 2(4), pages 511-521, November.
  41. Maganya, Mnaku H. & Ndanshau, Michael O. A., 2020. "Money and Output in Tanzania: A Test for Causality," African Journal of Economic Review, African Journal of Economic Review, vol. 8(2), July.
  42. Jr., Luiz R. de Mello & Carneiro, Francisco G., 2000. "Consumption Behaviour and Persistently High Inflation: Evidence from Latin America," Revista Brasileira de Economia - RBE, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil), vol. 54(2), April.
  43. Petia Ivanova, 2007. "The Fiscal Theory for the Cost Level and Monetarism," Economic Thought journal, Bulgarian Academy of Sciences - Economic Research Institute, issue 1, pages 60-79.
  44. Evans, George W. & Honkapohja, Seppo & Mitra, Kaushik, 2009. "Anticipated fiscal policy and adaptive learning," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 56(7), pages 930-953, October.
  45. López-Martín Bernabé & Ramírez de Aguilar Alberto & Sámano Daniel, 2018. "Fiscal Policy and Inflation: Understanding the Role of Expectations in Mexico," Working Papers 2018-18, Banco de México.
  46. Zhang, Lingxiang, 2013. "Modeling China's inflation dynamics: An MRSTAR approach," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 31(C), pages 440-446.
  47. Topal, yavuz Han, 2013. "On the tracks of Zimbabwe’s Hyperinflation: A Quantitative Investigation," MPRA Paper 56117, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  48. Thomas Havrilesky, 1990. "Distributive Conflict And Monetary Policy," Contemporary Economic Policy, Western Economic Association International, vol. 8(2), pages 50-61, April.
  49. Moffatt, P. G. & Salies, E., 2003. "A note on the modelling of hyper-inflations," Working Papers 03/02, Department of Economics, City University London.
  50. John H Cochrane, "undated". "Expectations and the Neutrality of Interest Rates," RBA Annual Conference Papers acp2023-07, Reserve Bank of Australia, revised Nov 2023.
  51. Matheny, K. J., 1998. "Equilibrium beliefs in linear rational expectations models," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 23(3), pages 393-413, November.
  52. Sehati , Elham & Mousavi Jahromi , Yeganeh & Mehrara , Mohsen & Najafizadeh , Abbas, 2018. "Non-Linear Inflationary Dynamics based on the Concept of Missing Money in Iran," Journal of Money and Economy, Monetary and Banking Research Institute, Central Bank of the Islamic Republic of Iran, vol. 13(2), pages 221-243, April.
  53. Imad Moosa, 1999. "Testing the currency-substitution model under the German hyperinflation," Journal of Economics, Springer, vol. 70(1), pages 61-78, February.
  54. Valérie Lelièvre, 1995. "Un modèle théorique de la dynamique de l'hyperinflation : une reformulation du modèle de Cagan," Revue Française d'Économie, Programme National Persée, vol. 10(1), pages 115-133.
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  56. Jean-Paul Azam, 1995. "Dollars en solde : politique de change et inflation au Nigéria (1980-1993)," Revue Économique, Programme National Persée, vol. 46(3), pages 727-737.
  57. Torre Cepeda Leonardo E. & Flores Segovia Miguel A., 2020. "Private Banking Credit and Economic Growth in Mexico: A State Level Panel Data Analysis 2005-2018," Working Papers 2020-17, Banco de México.
  58. Azam, Jean-Paul, 1999. "Dollars for Sale: Exchange Rate Policy and Inflation in Africa," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 27(10), pages 1843-1859, October.
  59. Dai, Meixing, 1998. "Les effets stabilisants de la zone-cible du taux d’inflation [The stabilising effects of inflation-targeting zone]," MPRA Paper 13856, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised Nov 2001.
  60. Jesús Vazquez, 1995. "The relative importance of inflation and currency depreciation in the demand for money: an application of the estimation by simulation method to the German hyperinflation," Investigaciones Economicas, Fundación SEPI, vol. 19(2), pages 269-289, May.
  61. Lars Peter Hansen & Thomas J. Sargent, 1993. "Recursive linear models of dynamic economies," Proceedings, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue Mar.
  62. Estefania Mourelle & Juan Carlos Cuestas & Luis Alberiko Gil‐alana, 2011. "Is There An Asymmetric Behaviour In African Inflation? A Non‐Linear Approach," South African Journal of Economics, Economic Society of South Africa, vol. 79(1), pages 68-90, March.
  63. M. Yu. Andreyev & A. V. Polbin, 2019. "Trends of Macroeconomic Models," Administrative Consulting, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration. North-West Institute of Management., issue 2.
  64. George, Donald A.R. & Oxley, Les, 2008. "Money and inflation in a nonlinear model," Mathematics and Computers in Simulation (MATCOM), Elsevier, vol. 78(2), pages 257-265.
  65. Luca Benati, 2018. "Cagan s Paradox Revisited," Diskussionsschriften dp1826, Universitaet Bern, Departement Volkswirtschaft.
  66. Ellison, Martin & Pearlman, Joseph, 2011. "Saddlepath learning," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 146(4), pages 1500-1519, July.
  67. Tolar, Martin Michael, 1997. "A behavioral model of nondurable consumption expenditure," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Economics (formerly The Journal of Socio-Economics), Elsevier, vol. 26(3), pages 291-302.
  68. Sumru Altug, 2004. "Notes on Hyperinflations," Working Papers 2004/10, Turkish Economic Association.
  69. Harashima, Taiji, 2007. "Hyperinflation, disinflation, deflation, etc.: A unified and micro-founded explanation for inflation," MPRA Paper 3836, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  70. Tourinho, Octávio A. F ., 1997. "The Demand and Supply of Money Under High Inflation: Brazil 1974-1994," Brazilian Review of Econometrics, Sociedade Brasileira de Econometria - SBE, vol. 17(2), November.
  71. Beat Hotz, 1982. "Konservative Wirtschaftspolitik aus neokeynes'scher Sicht," Wirtschaft und Gesellschaft - WuG, Kammer für Arbeiter und Angestellte für Wien, Abteilung Wirtschaftswissenschaft und Statistik, vol. 8(3), pages 579-606.
  72. Duo Qin, 2006. "VAR Modelling Approach and Cowles Commission Heritage," Working Papers 557, Queen Mary University of London, School of Economics and Finance.
  73. Akhand Akhtar Hossain, 2009. "Central Banking and Monetary Policy in the Asia-Pacific," Books, Edward Elgar Publishing, number 12777, March.
  74. Jean-Claude Maswana, 2005. "Assessing the Money, Exchange Rate, Price Links during Hyperinflationary Episodes in the Democratic Republic of the Congo," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 15(19), pages 1-10.
  75. Erwin W. Heri, 1986. "Irrationales rational gesehen: Eine Übersicht über die Theorie der "Bubbles"," Swiss Journal of Economics and Statistics (SJES), Swiss Society of Economics and Statistics (SSES), vol. 122(II), pages 163-186, June.
  76. Dimitris Georgoutsos & Georgios Kouretas, 2004. "A Multivariate I(2) cointegration analysis of German hyperinflation," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 14(1), pages 29-41.
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  78. Gerunov, Anton, 2014. "Критичен Преглед На Основните Подходи За Моделиране На Икономическите Очаквания [A Critical Review of Major Approaches for Modeling Economic Expectations]," MPRA Paper 68797, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  79. Joseph Bisignano & Kevin D. Hoover, 1982. "Monetary and fiscal impacts on exchange rates," Economic Review, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue Win, pages 19-36.
  80. Harashima, Taiji, 2008. "A Microfounded Mechanism of Observed Substantial Inflation Persistence," MPRA Paper 10668, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  81. Evens SALIES & Peter MOFFATT, 2004. "A note on the modelling of hyper-inflations," Econometrics 0406002, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  82. Zorica Mladenovic & Bent Nielsen, 2009. "The role of income in money demand during hyper-inflation: the case of Yugoslavia," Economics Papers 2009-W02, Economics Group, Nuffield College, University of Oxford.
  83. Jun-Hyun Ko & Hiroshi Morita, 2015. "How does hyperinflation shock the economy?: Panel VAR Approach," Working Papers e090, Tokyo Center for Economic Research.
  84. M. Fase, 2007. "Notes and Communications," De Economist, Springer, vol. 155(2), pages 221-238, June.
  85. Rui & Shi, 2021. "Can an AI agent hit a moving target?," Papers 2110.02474, arXiv.org, revised Oct 2022.
  86. Ruge-Murcia, Francisco J, 1995. "Credibility and Changes in Policy Regime," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 103(1), pages 176-208, February.
  87. Jose Saboin, 2018. "The Modern Hyperinflation Cycle: Some New Empirical Regularities," IMF Working Papers 2018/266, International Monetary Fund.
  88. Rolando Gonzales Martínez, 2013. "Modeling Hyperinflation Phenomenon: A Bayesian Approach," Documentos de Investigación - Research Papers 8, CEMLA.
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  94. Jermann, Urban J., 2021. "Cryptocurrencies and Cagan’s model of hyperinflation," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 69(C).
  95. Simonsen, Mario Henrique, 1986. "Um paradoxo em expectativas racionais," Revista Brasileira de Economia - RBE, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil), vol. 40(1), January.
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  101. Marco Lorusso & Francesco Ravazzolo & Claudia Udroiu, 2024. "Fiscal stimuli: Monetary versus Fiscal Financing," BEMPS - Bozen Economics & Management Paper Series BEMPS105, Faculty of Economics and Management at the Free University of Bozen.
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  104. Gail E. Makinen & G. Thomas Woodward, 1988. "The Transition from Hyperinflation to Stability: Some Evidence," Eastern Economic Journal, Eastern Economic Association, vol. 14(1), pages 19-26, Jan-Mar.
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  107. Mehmet ÖZCAN, 2016. "Economical Expectation Theories with Quantitative Aspects: Case of Turkey and Kazakhstan," Eurasian Academy Of Sciences Social Sciences Journal, Eurasian Academy Of Sciences, vol. 7(7), pages 50-73, March.
  108. Gérard Kremer & Ali Bouhaili, 1992. "Modèles monétaristes de l'hyperinflation," Revue Tiers Monde, Programme National Persée, vol. 33(129), pages 113-136.
  109. Jani Beko, 2002. "Foreign trade flows and economic activity in Slovenia - causality patterns from a transition episode," IWE Working Papers 132, Institute for World Economics - Centre for Economic and Regional Studies.
  110. Constantinos Alexiou & Persefoni Tsaliki & Lefteris Tsoulfidis, 2008. "The Greek Hyperinflation Revisited," Ekonomia, Cyprus Economic Society and University of Cyprus, vol. 11(1), pages 19-34, Summer.
  111. Abdul Qadir Patoli & Tayyab Zarif & Nadeem A.Syed, 2012. "Impact Of Inflation On Taxes In Pakistan: An Empirical Study Of 2000-2010 Period," IBT Journal of Business Studies (JBS), Ilma University, Faculty of Management Science, vol. 8(2), pages 31-41.
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