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Modeling China's inflation dynamics: An MRSTAR approach

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  • Zhang, Lingxiang

Abstract

This paper examines the nonlinearity of China's inflation rate and models its nonlinear dynamics using the multiple-regime smooth transition autoregressive model. The empirical results show that a four-regime logistic smooth transition autoregressive model can be used to model the nonlinear dynamics of China's inflation rate, and the impulse response analysis shows that the effect of shocks is transient and appears to be asymmetrical between the impulse responses to positive and negative shocks.

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  • Zhang, Lingxiang, 2013. "Modeling China's inflation dynamics: An MRSTAR approach," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 31(C), pages 440-446.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:ecmode:v:31:y:2013:i:c:p:440-446
    DOI: 10.1016/j.econmod.2012.12.019
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    Cited by:

    1. Chen, Shyh-Wei & Hsu, Chi-Sheng, 2016. "Threshold, smooth transition and mean reversion in inflation: New evidence from European countries," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 53(C), pages 23-36.
    2. Zhenzhong Wang & Yundong Tu & Song Xi Chen, 2019. "Analyzing China's Consumer Price Index Comparatively with that of United States," Papers 1910.13301, arXiv.org.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    China inflation rate; Multiple-regime smooth transition autoregressive model; Nonlinear dynamics;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E31 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation
    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
    • E58 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Central Banks and Their Policies
    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes

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