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Content
2020
2019
- 2019-087 The Effect of the China Connect
by Chang Ma & John H. Rogers & Sili Zhou
- 2019-086 Disentangling the Effects of the 2018-2019 Tariffs on a Globally Connected U.S. Manufacturing Sector
by Aaron Flaaen & Justin R. Pierce
- 2019-085 How Well Does Economic Uncertainty Forecast Economic Activity?
by John H. Rogers & Jiawen Xu
- 2019-084 The Propagation of Demand Shocks Through Housing Markets
by Elliot Anenberg & Daniel R. Ringo
- 2019-083 Collateralized Debt Networks with Lender Default
by Jin-Wook Chang
- 2019-082 Strategic Liquidity Mismatch and Financial Sector Stability
by André F. Silva
- 2019-081 Does Intergenerational Mobility Increase Corporate Profits?
by James F. Albertus & Michael Smolyansky
- 2019-080 Local Ties in Spatial Equilibrium
by Mike Zabek
- 2019-079 Intermediary Segmentation in the Commercial Real Estate Market
by David P. Glancy & John Krainer & Robert J. Kurtzman & Joseph B. Nichols
- 2019-078 Learning and Misperception: Implications for Price-Level Targeting
by Martin Bodenstein & James Hebden & Fabian Winkler
- 2019-077 Effective Lower Bound Risk
by Timothy S. Hills & Taisuke Nakata & Sebastian Schmidt
- 2019-076 The Global Equilibrium Real Interest Rate: Concepts, Estimates, and Challenges
by Michael T. Kiley
- 2019-075 In Search of Lost Time Aggregation
by Edmund Crawley
- 2019-074 A Coherent Framework for Predicting Emerging Market Credit Spreads with Support Vector Regression
by Gary S. Anderson & Alena Audzeyeva
- 2019-073 Tractable Rare Disaster Probability and Options-Pricing
by Robert J. Barro & Gordon Y. Liao
- 2019-072 Okun Revisited: Who Benefits Most from a Strong Economy
by Stephanie Aaronson & Mary C. Daly & William L. Wascher & David W. Wilcox
- 2019-071 The Welfare Costs of Misaligned Incentives: Energy Inefficiency and the Principal-Agent Problem
by Joshua Blonz
- 2019-070 Bottom-up Leading Macroeconomic Indicators: An Application to Non-Financial Corporate Defaults using Machine Learning
by Tyler Pike & Horacio Sapriza & Tom Zimmermann
- 2019-069 Trends in Household Portfolio Composition
by Jesse Bricker & Kevin B. Moore & Jeffrey P. Thompson
- 2019-068 What are the Price Effects of Trade? Evidence from the U.S. and Implications for Quantitative Trade Models
by Xavier Jaravel & Erick Sager
- 2019-067 Sellin’ in the Rain: Adaptation to Weather and Climate in the Retail Sector
by Brigitte Roth Tran
- 2019-066 Policy Uncertainty and Bank Mortgage Credit
by Gazi I. Kara & Youngsuk Yook
- 2019-065 Improving the Accuracy of Economic Measurement with Multiple Data Sources: The Case of Payroll Employment Data
by Tomaz Cajner & Leland D. Crane & Ryan A. Decker & Adrian Hamins-Puertolas & Christopher J. Kurz
- 2019-064 Monetary Policy and Bank Equity Values in a Time of Low and Negative Interest Rates
by Miguel Ampudia & Skander J. van den Heuvel
- 2019-063 Exporters of Services: A Look at U.S. Exporters Outside of the Manufacturing Sector
by Maria D. Tito
- 2019-062 Parental Proximity and Earnings After Job Displacements
by Patrick Coate & Pawel Krolikowski & Mike Zabek
- 2019-061 CECL and the Credit Cycle
by Bert Loudis & Ben Ranish
- 2019-060 A Simple Model of Voluntary Reserve Targets with Tolerance Bands
by Garth Baughman & Francesca Carapella
- 2019-059 Variance Disparity and Market Frictions
by Yang-Ho Park
- 2019-058 Transparency and Collateral: The Design of CCPs' Loss Allocation Rules
by Gaetano Antinolfi & Francesca Carapella & Francesco Carli
- 2019-057 From Transactions Data to Economic Statistics: Constructing Real-time, High-frequency, Geographic Measures of Consumer Spending
by Aditya Aladangady & Shifrah Aron-Dine & Wendy E. Dunn & Laura Feiveson & Paul Lengermann & Claudia R. Sahm
- 2019-056 Regulating Financial Networks Under Uncertainty
by Carlos Ramírez
- 2019-055 Measuring the Liquidity Profile of Mutual Funds
by Sirio Aramonte & Chiara Scotti & Ilknur Zer
- 2019-054 Pricing Poseidon: Extreme Weather Uncertainty and Firm Return Dynamics
by Mathias S. Kruttli & Brigitte Roth Tran & Sumudu W. Watugala
- 2019-053 Expectations-Driven Liquidity Traps: Implications for Monetary and Fiscal Policy
by Taisuke Nakata & Sebastian Schmidt
- 2019-052 Shock Transmission through Cross-Border Bank Lending: Credit and Real Effects
by Galina Hale & Tumer Kapan & Camelia Minoiu
- 2019-051 When do low-frequency measures really measure transaction costs?
by Mohammad Jahan-Parvar & Filip Zikes
- 2019-050 The Effects of Bank Capital Buffers on Bank Lending and Firm Activity: What Can We Learn from Five Years of Stress-Test Results?
by Jose M. Berrospide & Rochelle M. Edge
- 2019-049 Accounting for Innovations in Consumer Digital Services: IT still matters
by David M. Byrne & Carol Corrado
- 2019-048 Reach for Yield by U.S. Public Pension Funds
by Kenechukwu E. Anadu & James Bohn & Lina Lu & Matthew Pritsker & Andrei Zlate
- 2019-047 Leveraged Bank Loan versus High Yield Bond Mutual Funds
by Ayelen Banegas & Jessica Goldenring
- 2019-046 The Impact of Credit Risk Mispricing on Mortgage Lending during the Subprime Boom
by James A. Kahn & Benjamin S. Kay
- 2019-045 How does the interaction of macroprudential and monetary policies affect cross-border bank lending?
by Elod Takats & Judit Temesvary
- 2019-044 Mixed Signals: Investment Distortions with Adverse Selection
by Matt Darst & Ehraz Refayet
- 2019-043 A Unified Measure of Fed Monetary Policy Shocks
by Chunya Bu & John Rogers & Wenbin Wu
- 2019-042 Inflation and Deflationary Biases in Inflation Expectations
by Michael J. Lamla & Damjan Pfajfar & Lea Rendell
- 2019-041 The costs and benefits of liquidity regulations: Lessons from an idle monetary policy tool
by Christopher Curfman & John Kandrac
- 2019-040 Bond Risk Premiums at the Zero Lower Bound
by Martin M. Andreasen & Kasper Joergensen & Andrew C. Meldrum
- 2019-039 The Role of U.S. Monetary Policy in Global Banking Crises
by Bora Durdu & Alex Martin & Ilknur Zer
- 2019-038 Benchmarking Operational Risk Stress Testing Models
by Filippo Curti & Marco Migueis & Rob T. Stewart
- 2019-037 Credible Forward Guidance
by Taisuke Nakata & Takeki Sunakawa
- 2019-036 Optimal Inflation Target with Expectations-Driven Liquidity Traps
by Philip Coyle & Taisuke Nakata
- 2019-035 Measuring Labor-Force Participation and the Incidence and Duration of Unemployment
by Hie Joo Ahn & James D. Hamilton
- 2019-034 Business Dynamics in the National Establishment Time Series (NETS)/Leland Crane, Ryan Decker
by Leland D. Crane & Ryan A. Decker
- 2019-033 A Generalized Approach to Indeterminacy in Linear Rational Expectations Models
by Francesco Bianchi & Giovanni Nicolo
- 2019-032 Some International Evidence for Keynesian Economics Without the Phillips Curve
by Roger E. A. Farmer & Giovanni Nicolo
- 2019-031 Understanding Bank and Nonbank Credit Cycles: A Structural Exploration
by Bora Durdu & Molin Zhong
- 2019-030 When Simplicity Offers a Benefit, Not a Cost: Closed-Form Estimation of the GARCH(1,1) Model that Enhances the Efficiency of Quasi-Maximum Likelihood
by Todd Prono
- 2019-029 Second Home Buyers and the Housing Boom and Bust
by Daniel I. García
- 2019-028 Likelihood Evaluation of Models with Occasionally Binding Constraints
by Pablo A. Cuba-Borda & Luca Guerrieri & Matteo Iacoviello & Molin Zhong
- 2019-027 The Marginal Effect of Government Mortgage Guarantees on Homeownership
by Serafin J. Grundl & You Suk Kim
- 2019-026 Assessing Macroeconomic Tail Risk
by Francesca Loria & Christian Matthes & Donghai Zhang
- 2019-025 Information in Yield Spread Trades
by Yang-Ho Park
- 2019-024 Uncertainty Shocks, Monetary Policy and Long-Term Interest Rates
by Gianni Amisano & Oreste Tristani
- 2019-023 How Does the Strength of Monetary Policy Transmission Depend on Real Economic Activity?
by Horacio Sapriza & Judit Temesvary
- 2019-022 Marketplace Lending and Consumer Credit Outcomes : Evidence from Prosper
by Timothy E. Dore & Traci L. Mach
- 2019-021 Do Greasy Wheels Curb Inequality?
by Cynthia L. Doniger
- 2019-020 Duration Dependence, Monetary Policy Asymmetries, and the Business Cycle
by Travis J. Berge & Damjan Pfajfar
- 2019-019 New Financial Stability Governance Structures and Central Banks
by Rochelle M. Edge & J. Nellie Liang
- 2019-018 Does Price Regulation Affect Competition? Evidence from Credit Card Solicitations
by Yiwei Dou & Geng Li & Joshua Ronen
- 2019-017 Introducing the Distributional Financial Accounts of the United States
by Michael M. Batty & Jesse Bricker & Joseph S. Briggs & Alice Henriques Volz & Elizabeth Ball Holmquist & Susan Hume McIntosh & Kevin B. Moore & Eric R. Nielsen & Sarah Reber & Molly Shatto & Kamila Sommer & Tom Sweeney
- 2019-016 The Limits of p-Hacking : A Thought Experiment
by Andrew Y. Chen
- 2019-015 Who Values Access to College?
by Kartik B. Athreya & Felicia Ionescu & Urvi Neelakantan & Ivan Vidangos
- 2019-014 Inferring Term Rates from SOFR Futures Prices
by Erik Heitfield & Yang-Ho Park
- 2019-013 Test Questions, Economic Outcomes, and Inequality
by Eric R. Nielsen
- 2019-012 Getting Smart About Phones : New Price Indexes and the Allocation of Spending Between Devices and Services Plans in Personal Consumption Expenditures
by Ana M. Aizcorbe & David M. Byrne & Daniel E. Sichel
- 2019-011 Over-the-Counter Market Liquidity and Securities Lending
by Nathan Foley-Fisher & Stefan Gissler & Stéphane Verani
- 2019-010 Lifecycle Patterns of Saving and Wealth Accumulation
by Laura Feiveson & John Edward Sabelhaus
- 2019-009 Monetary Policy Strategies for a Low-Rate Environment
by Ben S. Bernanke & Michael T. Kiley & John M. Roberts
- 2019-008 Stress Testing Household Debt
by Neil Bhutta & Jesse Bricker & Lisa J. Dettling & Jimmy Kelliher & Steven Laufer
- 2019-007 Trade Exposure and the Evolution of Inflation Dynamics
by Simon Gilchrist & Egon Zakrajšek
- 2019-006 Robust Inference in First-Price Auctions : Experimental Findings as Identifying Restrictions
by Serafin J. Grundl & Yu Zhu
- 2019-004 Karl Brunner and U.K. Monetary Debate
by Edward Nelson
- 2019-003 Monetary Policy Options at the Effective Lower Bound : Assessing the Federal Reserve's Current Policy Toolkit
by Hess T. Chung & Etienne Gagnon & Taisuke Nakata & Matthias Paustian & Bernd Schlusche & James Trevino & Diego Vilán & Wei Zheng
- 2019-002 Evaluating the Conditionality of Judgmental Forecasts
by Travis J. Berge & Andrew C. Chang & Nitish R. Sinha
- 2019-001 The Monetary Base in Allan Meltzer's Analytical Framework
by Edward Nelson
- 2019-005r1 Banks as Regulated Traders
by Antonio Falato & Diana A. Iercosan & Filip Zikes
2018
- 2018-089 Short Takes on Monetary Policy Strategy : An Introduction to Some Basic Concepts
by James A. Clouse
- 2018-088 Can the US Interbank Market be Revived?
by Kyungmin Kim & Antoine Martin & Ed Nosal
- 2018-087 The Impact of Post Stress Tests Capital on Bank Lending
by William F. Bassett & Jose M. Berrospide
- 2018-086 The Optimal Inflation Rate with Discount Factor Heterogeneity
by Antoine Lepetit
- 2018-085 The U.S. Syndicated Loan Market : Matching Data
by Gregory J. Cohen & Melanie Friedrichs & Kamran Gupta & William Hayes & Seung Jung Lee & W. Blake Marsh & Nathan Mislang & Maya Shaton & Martin Sicilian
- 2018-084 Liquidity Regulation and Financial Intermediaries
by Marco Macchiavelli & Luke Pettit
- 2018-083 A Promised Value Approach to Optimal Monetary Policy
by Timothy S. Hills & Taisuke Nakata & Takeki Sunakawa
- 2018-082 Supervisory Stress Testing For CCPs : A Macro-Prudential, Two-Tier Approach
by Edward L. Anderson & Fernando Cerezetti & Mark Manning
- 2018-081 Level Shifts in Beta, Spurious Abnormal Returns and the TARP Announcement
by Andrew Phin & Todd Prono & Jonathan J. Reeves & Konark Saxena
- 2018-080 Are Millennials Different?
by Christopher J. Kurz & Geng Li & Daniel J. Vine
- 2018-079 How do Capital Requirements Affect Loan Rates? Evidence from High Volatility Commercial Real Estate
by David P. Glancy & Robert J. Kurtzman
- 2018-078 Emergency Collateral Upgrades
by Mark A. Carlson & Marco Macchiavelli
- 2018-077 Rural Affordable Rental Housing : Quantifying Need, Reviewing Recent Federal Support, and Assessing the Use of Low Income Housing Tax Credits in Rural Areas
by Andrew M. Dumont
- 2018-076 The Non-Bank Credit Cycle
by Esti Kemp & Rene van Stralen & Alexandros Vardoulakis & Peter J. Wierts
- 2018-075 On the U.S. Firm and Establishment Size Distributions
by Illenin O. Kondo & Logan T. Lewis & Andrea Stella
- 2018-074 Employment in the Great Recession : How Important Were Household Credit Supply Shocks?
by Daniel I. García
- 2018-073 Perceptions and Expectations of Inflation by U.S. Households
by Sandor Axelrod & David E. Lebow & Ekaterina V. Peneva
- 2018-072 Forward Guidance with Bayesian Learning and Estimation
by Christopher J. Gust & Edward P. Herbst & J. David López-Salido
- 2018-071 Employment Effects of Unconventional Monetary Policy : Evidence from QE
by Stephan Luck & Tom Zimmermann
- 2018-070 Reliably Computing Nonlinear Dynamic Stochastic Model Solutions: An Algorithm with Error Formulas
by Gary S. Anderson
- 2018-069 The Effect of Common Ownership on Profits : Evidence From the U.S. Banking Industry
by Jacob P. Gramlich & Serafin J. Grundl
- 2018-068 The Long and Short of It : Do Public and Private Firms Invest Differently?
by Jesse Edgerton & Naomi E. Feldman & Laura Kawano & Elena Patel & Nirupama Rao & Michael Stevens
- 2018-067 Unemployment Risk
by Michael T. Kiley
- 2018-066 The Differential Impact of Bank Size on Systemic Risk
by Amy Lorenc & Jeffery Y. Zhang
- 2018-065 Price Pressure and Price Discovery in the Term Structure of Interest Rates
by Scott Mixon & Tugkan Tuzun
- 2018-064 Measuring Aggregate Housing Wealth : New Insights from an Automated Valuation Model
by Joshua H. Gallin & Raven S. Molloy & Eric R. Nielsen & Paul A. Smith & Kamila Sommer
- 2018-063 Bank Holdings and Systemic Risk
by Celso Brunetti & Jeffrey H. Harris & Shawn Mankad
- 2018-062 The Role of Expectations in Changed Inflation Dynamics
by Damjan Pfajfar & John M. Roberts
- 2018-061 Information and Liquidity of OTC Securities : Evidence from Public Registration of Rule 144A Bonds
by Song Han & Alan G. Huang & Madhu Kalimipalli & Ke Wang
- 2018-059 Some Implications of Uncertainty and Misperception for Monetary Policy
by Christopher J. Erceg & James Hebden & Michael T. Kiley & J. David López-Salido & Robert J. Tetlow
- 2018-058 Oil, Equities, and the Zero Lower Bound
by Deepa Dhume Datta & Benjamin K. Johannsen & Hannah Kwon & Robert J. Vigfusson
- 2018-057 Hidden Baggage : Behavioral Responses to Changes in Airline Ticket Tax Disclosure
by Sebastien Bradley & Naomi E. Feldman
- 2018-056 A Shadow Rate or a Quadratic Policy Rule? The Best Way to Enforce the Zero Lower Bound in the United States
by Martin M. Andreasen & Andrew C. Meldrum
- 2018-055 The Near-Term Forward Yield Spread as a Leading Indicator : A Less Distorted Mirror
by Eric Engstrom & Steven A. Sharpe
- 2018-054 Financial Frictions, Financial Shocks, and Aggregate Volatility
by Cristina Fuentes-Albero
- 2018-053 Tapping into Financial Synergies : Alleviating Financial Constraints Through Acquisitions
by Rohan Williamson & Jie Yang
- 2018-052 Preventing Controversial Catastrophes
by Steven D. Baker & Burton Hollifield & Emilio Osambela
- 2018-051 From Taylor's Rule to Bernanke's Temporary Price Level Targeting
by James Hebden & J. David López-Salido
- 2018-050 Speed Limit Policy and Liquidity Traps
by Taisuke Nakata & Sebastian Schmidt & Paul Yoo
- 2018-049 Attenuating the Forward Guidance Puzzle : Implications for Optimal Monetary Policy
by Taisuke Nakata & Ryota Ogaki & Sebastian Schmidt & Paul Yoo
- 2018-048 Income Inequality, Financial Crises, and Monetary Policy
by Isabel Cairó & Jae W. Sim
- 2018-047 Half-full or Half-empty? Financial Institutions, CDS Use, and Corporate Credit Risk
by Cecilia R. Caglio & Matt Darst & Eric Parolin
- 2018-046 Self-confirming Price Dispersion in Monetary Economies
by Garth Baughman & Stanislav Rabinovich
- 2018-045 The Local Impact of Containerization
by Leah Brooks & Nicolas Gendron-Carrier & Gisela Rua
- 2018-044 A Nowcasting Model for the Growth Rate of Real GDP of Ecuador : Implementing a Time-Varying Intercept
by Daniel Baquero & Manuel Gonzalez-Astudillo
- 2018-043 Financial Heterogeneity and Monetary Union
by Simon Gilchrist & Raphael Schoenle & Jae W. Sim & Egon Zakrajšek
- 2018-042 The Money View Versus the Credit View
by Sarah S. Baker & J. David López-Salido & Edward Nelson
- 2018-041 Nothing is Certain Except Death and Taxes : The Lack of Policy Uncertainty from Expiring \"Temporary\" Taxes
by Andrew C. Chang
- 2018-040 An Output Gap Measure for the Euro Area : Exploiting Country-Level and Cross-Sectional Data Heterogeneity
by Manuel Gonzalez-Astudillo
- 2018-039 The Rise of Shadow Banking : Evidence from Capital Regulation
by Rustom M. Irani & Rajkamal Iyer & Ralf R. Meisenzahl & José-Luis Peydró
- 2018-038 What Macroeconomic Conditions Lead Financial Crises?
by Michael T. Kiley
- 2018-037 Efficient Mismatch
by David M. Arseneau & Brendan Epstein
- 2018-036 Density Forecasts in Panel Data Models : A Semiparametric Bayesian Perspective
by Laura Liu
- 2018-035 Can More Housing Supply Solve the Affordability Crisis? Evidence from a Neighborhood Choice Model
by Elliot Anenberg & Edward Kung
- 2018-034 The Nature of Household Labor Income Risk
by Seth Pruitt & Nicholas Turner
- 2018-033 Publication Bias and the Cross-Section of Stock Returns
by Andrew Y. Chen & Tom Zimmermann
- 2018-032 Voluntary Reserve Targets
by Garth Baughman & Francesca Carapella
- 2018-031 The Origins of Aggregate Fluctuations in a Credit Network Economy
by Levent Altinoglu
- 2018-030 How Much Does Health Insurance Cost? Comparison of Premiums in Administrative and Survey Data
by Jeff Larrimore & David Splinter
- 2018-029 Reconsidering the Consequences of Worker Displacements : Firm versus Worker Perspective
by Aaron Flaaen & Matthew D. Shapiro & Isaac Sorkin
- 2018-028 Optimal Public Debt with Life Cycle Motives
by William B. Peterman & Erick Sager
- 2018-027 The Regulatory and Monetary Policy Nexus in the Repo Market
by Sriya Anbil & Zeynep Senyuz
- 2018-026 The Fed's Asymmetric Forecast Errors
by Andrew C. Chang
- 2018-025 A Day Late and a Dollar Short : Liquidity and Household Formation among Student Borrowers
by Sarena Goodman & Adam Isen & Constantine Yannelis
- 2018-024 How Much has Wealth Concentration Grown in the United States? A Re-Examination of Data from 2001-2013
by Jesse Bricker & Peter Hansen & Alice Henriques Volz
- 2018-023 New Perspectives on the Decline of U.S. Manufacturing Employment
by Teresa C. Fort & Justin R. Pierce & Peter K. Schott
- 2018-022 Collateral Runs
by Sebastian Infante & Alexandros Vardoulakis
- 2018-021 Spectral Backtests of Forecast Distributions with Application to Risk Management
by Michael B. Gordy & Alexander J. McNeil
- 2018-020 The Impact of the Current Expected Credit Loss Standard (CECL) on the Timing and Comparability of Reserves
by Sarah Chae & Robert F. Sarama & Cindy M. Vojtech & James Z. Wang
- 2018-019 “Unconventional” Monetary Policy as Conventional Monetary Policy : A Perspective from the U.S. in the 1920s
by Mark A. Carlson & Burcu Duygan-Bump
- 2018-018 Liquidity Requirements, Free-Riding, and the Implications for Financial Stability Evidence from the Early 1900s
by Mark A. Carlson & Matthew Jaremski
- 2018-017 Transparency and Collateral : Central versus Bilateral Clearing
by Gaetano Antinolfi & Francesca Carapella & Francesco Carli
- 2018-016 Liquidity Crises in the Mortgage Market
by You Suk Kim & Steven Laufer & Karen M. Pence & Richard Stanton & Nancy Wallace
- 2018-015 Early-Stage Business Formation : An Analysis of Applications for Employer Identification Numbers
by Kimberly Bayard & Emin M. Dinlersoz & Timothy Dunne & John Haltiwanger & Javier Miranda & John J. Stevens
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