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The dynamics of implied volatilities: A common principal components approach

Citations

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Cited by:

  1. Kearney, Fearghal & Shang, Han Lin & Sheenan, Lisa, 2019. "Implied volatility surface predictability: The case of commodity markets," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 108(C).
  2. Krylova, Elizaveta & Nikkinen, Jussi & Vähämaa, Sami, 2009. "Cross-dynamics of volatility term structures implied by foreign exchange options," Journal of Economics and Business, Elsevier, vol. 61(5), pages 355-375, September.
  3. Francesco Audrino & Dominik Colangelo, 2009. "Option trading strategies based on semi-parametric implied volatility surface prediction," University of St. Gallen Department of Economics working paper series 2009 2009-24, Department of Economics, University of St. Gallen.
  4. T. F. Coleman & Y. Kim & Y. Li & M. Patron, 2007. "Robustly Hedging Variable Annuities With Guarantees Under Jump and Volatility Risks," Journal of Risk & Insurance, The American Risk and Insurance Association, vol. 74(2), pages 347-376, June.
  5. He, Xin-Jiang & Zhu, Song-Ping, 2017. "How should a local regime-switching model be calibrated?," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 149-163.
  6. Kneip, Alois & Benko, Michal, 2005. "Common functional component modelling," SFB 649 Discussion Papers 2005-016, Humboldt University Berlin, Collaborative Research Center 649: Economic Risk.
  7. repec:hum:wpaper:sfb649dp2005-007 is not listed on IDEAS
  8. Vedant Choudhary & Sebastian Jaimungal & Maxime Bergeron, 2023. "FuNVol: A Multi-Asset Implied Volatility Market Simulator using Functional Principal Components and Neural SDEs," Papers 2303.00859, arXiv.org, revised Dec 2023.
  9. Kim, Alisa & Trimborn, Simon & Härdle, Wolfgang Karl, 2021. "VCRIX — A volatility index for crypto-currencies," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
  10. Laurini, Márcio P., 2007. "Imposing No-Arbitrage Conditions In Implied Volatility Surfaces Using Constrained Smoothing Splines," Insper Working Papers wpe_89, Insper Working Paper, Insper Instituto de Ensino e Pesquisa.
  11. Beer, Simone & Braun, Alexander, 2022. "Market-consistent valuation of natural catastrophe risk," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 134(C).
  12. Kun Li & Joseph D. Cursio & Yunchuan Sun, 2018. "Principal Component Analysis of Price Fluctuation in the Smart Grid Electricity Market," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(11), pages 1-16, November.
  13. Ci­zek, P. & Tamine, J. & Härdle, W., 2008. "Smoothed L-estimation of regression function," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 52(12), pages 5154-5162, August.
  14. repec:hum:wpaper:sfb649dp2005-020 is not listed on IDEAS
  15. Tanha, Hassan & Dempsey, Michael, 2016. "The evolving dynamics of the Australian SPI 200 implied volatility surface," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 43(C), pages 44-57.
  16. repec:hum:wpaper:sfb649dp2006-010 is not listed on IDEAS
  17. Bernales, Alejandro & Guidolin, Massimo, 2014. "Can we forecast the implied volatility surface dynamics of equity options? Predictability and economic value tests," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 46(C), pages 326-342.
  18. Brüggemann, Ralf & Härdle, Wolfgang Karl & Mungo, Julius & Trenkler, Carsten, 2006. "VAR modeling for dynamic semiparametric factors of volatility strings," SFB 649 Discussion Papers 2006-011, Humboldt University Berlin, Collaborative Research Center 649: Economic Risk.
  19. Xiu Xu & Cathy Yi-Hsuan Chen & Wolfgang Karl Härdle, 2019. "Dynamic credit default swap curves in a network topology," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 19(10), pages 1705-1726, October.
  20. Fengler, Matthias & Hin, Lin-Yee, 2011. "Semi-nonparametric estimation of the call price surface under strike and time-to-expiry no-arbitrage constraints," Economics Working Paper Series 1136, University of St. Gallen, School of Economics and Political Science, revised May 2013.
  21. Michel van der Wel & Sait R. Ozturk & Dick van Dijk, 2015. "Dynamic Factor Models for the Volatility Surface," CREATES Research Papers 2015-13, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
  22. repec:hum:wpaper:sfb649dp2006-011 is not listed on IDEAS
  23. Fengler, Matthias R. & Härdle, Wolfgang Karl & Mammen, Enno, 2005. "A dynamic semiparametric factor model for implied volatility string dynamics," SFB 649 Discussion Papers 2005-020, Humboldt University Berlin, Collaborative Research Center 649: Economic Risk.
  24. Barletta, Andrea & Santucci de Magistris, Paolo & Sloth, David, 2019. "It only takes a few moments to hedge options," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 100(C), pages 251-269.
  25. Martin Magris & Perttu Barholm & Juho Kanniainen, 2017. "Implied volatility smile dynamics in the presence of jumps," Papers 1711.02925, arXiv.org, revised May 2020.
  26. Miloš Kopa & Sebastiano Vitali & Tomáš Tichý & Radek Hendrych, 2017. "Implied volatility and state price density estimation: arbitrage analysis," Computational Management Science, Springer, vol. 14(4), pages 559-583, October.
  27. Wenyong Zhang & Lingfei Li & Gongqiu Zhang, 2021. "A Two-Step Framework for Arbitrage-Free Prediction of the Implied Volatility Surface," Papers 2106.07177, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2022.
  28. Sergey Nasekin & Wolfgang Karl Hardle, 2020. "Model-driven statistical arbitrage on LETF option markets," Papers 2009.09713, arXiv.org.
  29. Han Shang, 2014. "A survey of functional principal component analysis," AStA Advances in Statistical Analysis, Springer;German Statistical Society, vol. 98(2), pages 121-142, April.
  30. Shengli Chen & Zili Zhang, 2019. "Forecasting Implied Volatility Smile Surface via Deep Learning and Attention Mechanism," Papers 1912.11059, arXiv.org.
  31. Borak, Szymon & Fengler, Matthias R. & Härdle, Wolfgang Karl, 2005. "DSFM fitting of implied volatility surfaces," SFB 649 Discussion Papers 2005-022, Humboldt University Berlin, Collaborative Research Center 649: Economic Risk.
  32. Carol Alexander & Leonardo M. Nogueira, 2004. "Hedging with Stochastic and Local Volatility," ICMA Centre Discussion Papers in Finance icma-dp2004-10, Henley Business School, University of Reading, revised Dec 2004.
  33. Da Fonseca, José & Gottschalk, Katrin, 2014. "Cross-hedging strategies between CDS spreads and option volatility during crises," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 49(PB), pages 386-400.
  34. Härdle, Wolfgang Karl & Myšičková, Alena, 2008. "Numerics of implied binomial trees," SFB 649 Discussion Papers 2008-044, Humboldt University Berlin, Collaborative Research Center 649: Economic Risk.
  35. Čίžek, Pavel & Komorád, Karel, 2005. "Implied trinomial trees," SFB 649 Discussion Papers 2005-007, Humboldt University Berlin, Collaborative Research Center 649: Economic Risk.
  36. Fengler, Matthias R. & Wang, Qihua, 2003. "Fitting the Smile Revisited: A Least Squares Kernel Estimator for the Implied Volatility Surface," SFB 373 Discussion Papers 2003,25, Humboldt University of Berlin, Interdisciplinary Research Project 373: Quantification and Simulation of Economic Processes.
  37. Gang Li & Chu Zhang, 2010. "On the Number of State Variables in Options Pricing," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 56(11), pages 2058-2075, November.
  38. repec:hum:wpaper:sfb649dp2005-016 is not listed on IDEAS
  39. repec:hum:wpaper:sfb649dp2016-059 is not listed on IDEAS
  40. Bali, Juan Lucas & Boente, Graciela, 2017. "Robust estimators under a functional common principal components model," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 113(C), pages 424-440.
  41. Chantziara, Thalia & Skiadopoulos, George, 2008. "Can the dynamics of the term structure of petroleum futures be forecasted? Evidence from major markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 30(3), pages 962-985, May.
  42. Guidolin, Massimo & Wang, Kai, 2023. "The empirical performance of option implied volatility surface-driven optimal portfolios," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 618(C).
  43. Mónica Fuentes & Sergio Godoy, 2005. "Sovereign Spread in Emerging Markets: A Principal Component Analysis," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 333, Central Bank of Chile.
  44. Yueh-Neng Lin & Shih-Kuo Yeh & Shih-Ching Chuan & Steven J. Jordan, 2008. "The link between intraday signals and call warrant mispricing," The Service Industries Journal, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 30(13), pages 2273-2288, November.
  45. Chen, Si & Zhou, Zhen & Li, Shenghong, 2016. "An efficient estimate and forecast of the implied volatility surface: A nonlinear Kalman filter approach," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 655-664.
  46. Itkin, Andrey, 2015. "To sigmoid-based functional description of the volatility smile," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 31(C), pages 264-291.
  47. repec:hum:wpaper:sfb649dp2005-022 is not listed on IDEAS
  48. Bernd Engelmann & Matthias Fengler & Morten Nalholm & Peter Schwendner, 2006. "Static versus dynamic hedges: an empirical comparison for barrier options," Review of Derivatives Research, Springer, vol. 9(3), pages 239-264, November.
  49. Fengler, Matthias R. & Härdle, Wolfgang & Mammen, Enno, 2003. "Implied volatility string dynamics," SFB 373 Discussion Papers 2003,54, Humboldt University of Berlin, Interdisciplinary Research Project 373: Quantification and Simulation of Economic Processes.
  50. Wallmeier, Martin, 2012. "Smile in Motion: An Intraday Analysis of Asymmetric Implied Volatility," FSES Working Papers 427, Faculty of Economics and Social Sciences, University of Freiburg/Fribourg Switzerland.
  51. Benko, Michal & Härdle, Wolfgang Karl & Kneip, Alois, 2006. "Common functional principal components," SFB 649 Discussion Papers 2006-010, Humboldt University Berlin, Collaborative Research Center 649: Economic Risk.
  52. Sebastiano Vitali & Miloš Kopa & Gabriele Giana, 2023. "Implied volatility smoothing at COVID-19 times," Computational Management Science, Springer, vol. 20(1), pages 1-42, December.
  53. Panigirtzoglou, Nikolaos & Skiadopoulos, George, 2004. "A new approach to modeling the dynamics of implied distributions: Theory and evidence from the S&P 500 options," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 28(7), pages 1499-1520, July.
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