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The Strategy of Professional Forecasting
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Cited by:
- Clements, Michael P., 2010.
"Explanations of the inconsistencies in survey respondents' forecasts,"
European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 54(4), pages 536-549, May.
- Clements, Michael P., 2008. "Explanations of the inconsistencies in survey respondents' forecasts," Economic Research Papers 269881, University of Warwick - Department of Economics.
- Clements, Michael P., 2008. "Explanations of the inconsistencies in survey respondents'forecasts," The Warwick Economics Research Paper Series (TWERPS) 870, University of Warwick, Department of Economics.
- Markku Lanne, 2009. "Properties of Market-Based and Survey Macroeconomic Forecasts for Different Data Releases," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 29(3), pages 2231-2240.
- Guembel, Alexander & Rossetto, Silvia, 2009.
"Reputational cheap talk with misunderstanding,"
Games and Economic Behavior, Elsevier, vol. 67(2), pages 736-744, November.
- Alexander Guembel & Silvia Rossetto, 2009. "Reputational cheap talk with misunderstanding," Post-Print halshs-00491767, HAL.
- Jun Duanmu & Garrett A. McBrayer, 2024. "Structural Drivers of Credit Rating Uncertainty: An Examination of the Changes Imposed by Dodd-Frank," Journal of Financial Services Research, Springer;Western Finance Association, vol. 65(2), pages 243-267, June.
- , L., 2013.
"Fragility of reputation and clustering of risk-taking,"
Theoretical Economics, Econometric Society, vol. 8(3), September.
- Guillermo Ordonez, 2008. "Fragility of Reputation and Clustering in Risk Taking," 2008 Meeting Papers 441, Society for Economic Dynamics.
- Guillermo Ordoñez, 2009. "Fragility of reputation and clustering of risk-taking," Staff Report 431, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis.
- Batchelor, Roy, 2007. "Bias in macroeconomic forecasts," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 23(2), pages 189-203.
- Doherty, Neil A. & Kartasheva, Anastasia V. & Phillips, Richard D., 2012. "Information effect of entry into credit ratings market: The case of insurers' ratings," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 106(2), pages 308-330.
- Cipullo, Davide & Reslow, André, 2019.
"Biased Forecasts to Affect Voting Decisions? The Brexit Case,"
Working Paper Series
364, Sveriges Riksbank (Central Bank of Sweden).
- Cipullo, Davide & Reslow, André, 2019. "Biased Forecasts to Affect Voting Decisions? The Brexit Case," Working Paper Series 2019:4, Uppsala University, Department of Economics.
- Capistrán, Carlos, 2008.
"Bias in Federal Reserve inflation forecasts: Is the Federal Reserve irrational or just cautious?,"
Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 55(8), pages 1415-1427, November.
- Carmona, Carlos Capistran, 2005. "Bias in Federal Reserve Inflation Forecasts: Is the Federal Reserve Irrational or Just Cautious?," University of California at San Diego, Economics Working Paper Series qt6v28v0b6, Department of Economics, UC San Diego.
- Carlos Capistrán-Carmona, 2005. "Bias in Federal Reserve Inflation Forecasts: Is the Federal Reserve Irrational or Just Cautious?," Computing in Economics and Finance 2005 127, Society for Computational Economics.
- Capistrán Carlos, 2006. "Bias in Federal Reserve Inflation Forecasts: Is the Federal Reserve Irrational or Just Cautious?," Working Papers 2006-14, Banco de México.
- Phillip E. Pfeifer & Yael Grushka-Cockayne & Kenneth C. Lichtendahl, 2014. "The Promise of Prediction Contests," The American Statistician, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 68(4), pages 264-270, November.
- Young-Ro Yoon, 2017. "Strategic Disclosure Of Meaningful Information To Rival," Economic Inquiry, Western Economic Association International, vol. 55(2), pages 806-824, April.
- Rocco Ciciretti & Gerald P. Dwyer & Iftekhar Hasan, 2009. "Investment analysts' forecasts of earnings," Review, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, vol. 91(Sep), pages 545-568.
- Jared Williams, 2013. "Financial Analysts and the False Consensus Effect," Journal of Accounting Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 51(4), pages 855-907, September.
- Noriyuki Yanagawa, 2008. "Biased Motivation of Experts: Should They be Aggressive or Conservative?," CARF F-Series CARF-F-133, Center for Advanced Research in Finance, Faculty of Economics, The University of Tokyo.
- Berna Karali & Scott H. Irwin & Olga Isengildina‐Massa, 2020.
"Supply Fundamentals and Grain Futures Price Movements,"
American Journal of Agricultural Economics, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 102(2), pages 548-568, March.
- Karali, Berna & Isengildina Massa, Olga & Irwin, Scott H., 2018. "Does Noise in Market Expectations Dilute Price Reactions to USDA Reports?," 2018 Annual Meeting, August 5-7, Washington, D.C. 273973, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
- Dick, Christian D. & Schmeling, Maik & Schrimpf, Andreas, 2013.
"Macro-expectations, aggregate uncertainty, and expected term premia,"
European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 58-80.
- Christian D. Dick & Maik Schmeling & Andreas Schrimpf, 2010. "Macro Expectations, Aggregate Uncertainty, and Expected Term Premia," CREATES Research Papers 2010-49, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
- Dick, Christian D. & Schmeling, Maik & Schrimpf, Andreas, 2010. "Macro expectations, aggregate uncertainty, and expected term premia," ZEW Discussion Papers 10-064, ZEW - Leibniz Centre for European Economic Research.
- Yann Braouezec, 2010.
"Committee, Expert Advice, and the Weighted Majority Algorithm: An Application to the Pricing Decision of a Monopolist,"
Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 35(3), pages 245-267, March.
- Y. Braouezec, 2010. "Committee, Expert Advice, and the Weighted Majority Algorithm: An Application to the Pricing Decision of a Monopolist," Post-Print hal-00677779, HAL.
- Meub, Lukas & Proeger, Till, 2016. "Can anchoring explain biased forecasts? Experimental evidence," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, Elsevier, vol. 12(C), pages 1-13.
- Mariano, Beatriz, 2012. "Market power and reputational concerns in the ratings industry," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 36(6), pages 1616-1626.
- Wojciech Olszewski & Alvaro Sandroni, 2008.
"Manipulability of Future-Independent Tests,"
Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 76(6), pages 1437-1466, November.
- Alvaro Sandroni & Wojciech Olszewski, 2008. "Manipulability of Future-Independent Tests," PIER Working Paper Archive 08-014, Penn Institute for Economic Research, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania.
- Deimen, Inga & Szalay, Dezsö, 2014.
"Smooth, strategic communication,"
VfS Annual Conference 2014 (Hamburg): Evidence-based Economic Policy
100333, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
- Deimen, Inga & Szalay, Dezsö, 2014. "A Smooth, strategic communication," Discussion Paper Series of SFB/TR 15 Governance and the Efficiency of Economic Systems 479, Free University of Berlin, Humboldt University of Berlin, University of Bonn, University of Mannheim, University of Munich.
- Szalay, Dezső & Deimen, Inga, 2014. "Smooth, strategic communication," CEPR Discussion Papers 10190, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Alessandro Acquisti, 2014. "Inducing Customers to Try New Goods," Review of Industrial Organization, Springer;The Industrial Organization Society, vol. 44(2), pages 131-146, March.
- Meub, Lukas & Proeger, Till & Bizer, Kilian, 2013. "Anchoring: A valid explanation for biased forecasts when rational predictions are easily accessible and well incentivized?," University of Göttingen Working Papers in Economics 166, University of Goettingen, Department of Economics.
- Laura Carabotta & Peter Claeys, 2024.
"Combine to compete: Improving fiscal forecast accuracy over time,"
Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 43(4), pages 948-982, July.
- Laura Carabotta & Peter Claeys, 2015. "Combine to compete: improving fiscal forecast accuracy over time," UB School of Economics Working Papers 2015/320, University of Barcelona School of Economics.
- Christian Hellwig & Laura Veldkamp, 2009.
"Knowing What Others Know: Coordination Motives in Information Acquisition,"
The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 76(1), pages 223-251.
- Laura Veldkamp & Christian Hellwig, 2006. "Knowing What Others Know: Coordination Motives in Information Acquisition," Working Papers 06-14, New York University, Leonard N. Stern School of Business, Department of Economics.
- Veldkamp, Laura & Hellwig, Christian, 2007. "Knowing What Others Know: Coordination Motives in Information Acquisition," CEPR Discussion Papers 6506, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Christian Hellwig & Laura Veldkamp, 2006. "Knowing what others Know: Coordination motives in information acquisition," 2006 Meeting Papers 361, Society for Economic Dynamics.
- Marinelli, Carlo & Weissensteiner, Alex, 2014. "On the relation between forecast precision and trading profitability of financial analysts," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 20(C), pages 39-60.
- Timmermann, Allan & Patton, Andrew, 2007. "Learning in Real Time: Theory and Empirical Evidence from the Term Structure of Survey Forecasts," CEPR Discussion Papers 6526, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Ruiz-Verdú, Pablo & Singh, Ravi, 2014. "Board Independence, CEO Pay, and Camouflaged Compensation," DEE - Working Papers. Business Economics. WB wb140704, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid. Departamento de EconomÃa de la Empresa.
- Satopää, Ville A., 2021. "Improving the wisdom of crowds with analysis of variance of predictions of related outcomes," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 37(4), pages 1728-1747.
- Aleksei Smirnov & Egor Starkov, 2019. "Timing of predictions in dynamic cheap talk: experts vs. quacks," ECON - Working Papers 334, Department of Economics - University of Zurich.
- Kryvtsov, Oleksiy & Petersen, Luba, 2021.
"Central bank communication that works: Lessons from lab experiments,"
Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 117(C), pages 760-780.
- Oleksiy Kryvtsov & Luba Petersen, 2019. "Central Bank Communication That Works: Lessons from Lab Experiments," Staff Working Papers 19-21, Bank of Canada.
- Carlos Capistr¡N & Allan Timmermann, 2009.
"Disagreement and Biases in Inflation Expectations,"
Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 41(2-3), pages 365-396, March.
- Carlos Capistrán & Allan Timmermann, 2006. "Disagreement and Biases in Inflation Expectations," Computing in Economics and Finance 2006 3, Society for Computational Economics.
- Carlos Capistrán & Allan Timmermann, 2008. "Disagreement and Biases in Inflation Expectations," CREATES Research Papers 2008-56, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
- Timmermann Allan & Capistrán Carlos, 2006. "Disagreement and Biases in Inflation Expectations," Working Papers 2006-07, Banco de México.
- Mokinski, Frieder, 2016. "Using time-stamped survey responses to measure expectations at a daily frequency," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 32(2), pages 271-282.
- Campbell, Sean D. & Sharpe, Steven A., 2009.
"Anchoring Bias in Consensus Forecasts and Its Effect on Market Prices,"
Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 44(2), pages 369-390, April.
- Sean D. Campbell & Steven A. Sharpe, 2007. "Anchoring bias in consensus forecasts and its effect on market prices," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2007-12, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Chen, Qiwei & Costantini, Mauro & Deschamps, Bruno, 2016. "How accurate are professional forecasts in Asia? Evidence from ten countries," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 32(1), pages 154-167.
- Crowe, Christopher & Meade, Ellen E., 2008.
"Central bank independence and transparency: Evolution and effectiveness,"
European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 24(4), pages 763-777, December.
- Christopher Crowe & Ellen E. Meade, 2007. "Central Bank Independence and Transparency: Evolution and Effectiveness," Working Papers 2007-20, American University, Department of Economics.
- Mr. Christopher W. Crowe & Ellen E. Meade, 2008. "Central Bank Independence and Transparency: Evolution and Effectiveness," IMF Working Papers 2008/119, International Monetary Fund.
- Hautsch, Nikolaus & Hess, Dieter & Müller, Christoph, 2012.
"Price adjustment to news with uncertain precision,"
Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 31(2), pages 337-355.
- Hautsch, Nikolaus & Hess, Dieter E. & Müller, Christoph, 2008. "Price adjustment to news with uncertain precision," CFS Working Paper Series 2008/28, Center for Financial Studies (CFS).
- Nikolaus Hautsch & Dieter Hess & Christoph Müller, 2008. "Price Adjustment to News with Uncertain Precision," FRU Working Papers 2008/01, University of Copenhagen. Department of Economics. Finance Research Unit.
- Hautsch, Nikolaus & Hess, Dieter E. & Müller, Christoph, 2008. "Price adjustment to news with uncertain precision," CFR Working Papers 08-04, University of Cologne, Centre for Financial Research (CFR).
- Hautsch, Nikolaus & Hess, Dieter & Müller, Christoph, 2011. "Price adjustment to news with uncertain precision," CFR Working Papers 08-04 [rev.], University of Cologne, Centre for Financial Research (CFR).
- Hautsch, Nikolaus & Hess, Dieter E. & Müller, Christoph, 2008. "Price adjustment to news with uncertain precision," SFB 649 Discussion Papers 2008-025, Humboldt University Berlin, Collaborative Research Center 649: Economic Risk.
- Artūras Juodis & Simas Kučinskas, 2023. "Quantifying noise in survey expectations," Quantitative Economics, Econometric Society, vol. 14(2), pages 609-650, May.
- Lindner, Axel & Heinisch, Katja, 2019. "Economic Sentiment in Europe: Disentangling Private Information from Public Knowledge," VfS Annual Conference 2019 (Leipzig): 30 Years after the Fall of the Berlin Wall - Democracy and Market Economy 203501, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
- Bar-Isaac Heski, 2012. "Transparency, Career Concerns, and Incentives for Acquiring Expertise," The B.E. Journal of Theoretical Economics, De Gruyter, vol. 12(1), pages 1-15, January.
- Dilmé, Francesc, 2022.
"Strategic communication with a small conflict of interest,"
Games and Economic Behavior, Elsevier, vol. 134(C), pages 1-19.
- Francesc Dilmé, 2022. "Strategic Communication with a Small Conflict of Interest," ECONtribute Discussion Papers Series 148, University of Bonn and University of Cologne, Germany.
- Francesc Dilmé, 2022. "Strategic Communication With a Small Conflict of Interest," CRC TR 224 Discussion Paper Series crctr224_2022_344, University of Bonn and University of Mannheim, Germany.
- Francesca Pancotto & Giuseppe Pignataro & Davide Raggi, 2015. "Social Learning and Higher Order Beliefs: A Structural Model of Exchange Rates Dynamics," LEM Papers Series 2015/24, Laboratory of Economics and Management (LEM), Sant'Anna School of Advanced Studies, Pisa, Italy.
- Cukierman, Alex & Lustenberger, Thomas, 2017.
"International evidence on professional interest rates forecasts: The impact of forecasting ability,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
12489, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Alex Cukierman & Thomas Lustenberger, 2018. "International Evidence on Professional Interest Rate Forecasts: The Impact of Forecasting Ability," Working Papers 2018-10, Swiss National Bank.
- Asa B. Palley & Jack B. Soll, 2019. "Extracting the Wisdom of Crowds When Information Is Shared," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 67(5), pages 2291-2309, May.
- Bruno Deschamps & Christos Ioannidis, 2014. "The Efficiency of Multivariate Macroeconomic Forecasts," Manchester School, University of Manchester, vol. 82(5), pages 509-523, September.
- Rybacki Jakub, 2020. "Macroeconomic forecasting in Poland: The role of forecasting competitions," Central European Economic Journal, Sciendo, vol. 7(54), pages 1-11, January.
- Szalay, Dezső & Deimen, Inga, 2015.
"Information, authority, and smooth communication in organizations,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
10969, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Szalay, Dezsö & Deimen, Inga, 2016. "Information, Authority, And Smooth Communication In Organizations," VfS Annual Conference 2016 (Augsburg): Demographic Change 145668, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
- Papastamos, Dimitrios & Matysiak, George & Stevenson, Simon, 2015. "Assessing the accuracy and dispersion of real estate investment forecasts," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 141-152.
- Lanne, Markku, 2007. "The Properties of Market-Based and Survey Forecasts for Different Data Releases," MPRA Paper 3877, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Reslow, André, 2019.
"Inefficient Use of Competitors'Forecasts?,"
Working Paper Series
380, Sveriges Riksbank (Central Bank of Sweden).
- Reslow, André, 2019. "Inefficient Use of Competitors’ Forecasts?," Working Paper Series 2019:9, Uppsala University, Department of Economics.
- Michael P. Clements, 2014.
"US Inflation Expectations and Heterogeneous Loss Functions, 1968–2010,"
Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 33(1), pages 1-14, January.
- Clements, Michael P., 2012. "US inflation expectations and heterogeneous loss functions, 1968–2010," Economic Research Papers 270653, University of Warwick - Department of Economics.
- Clements, Michael P., 2012. "US inflation expectations and heterogeneous loss functions, 1968–2010," The Warwick Economics Research Paper Series (TWERPS) 986, University of Warwick, Department of Economics.
- Fritsche, Ulrich & Pierdzioch, Christian & Rülke, Jan-Christoph & Stadtmann, Georg, 2015.
"Forecasting the Brazilian real and the Mexican peso: Asymmetric loss, forecast rationality, and forecaster herding,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 31(1), pages 130-139.
- Ulrich Fritsche & Christian Pierdzioch & Jan-Christoph Ruelke & Georg Stadtmann, 2012. "Forecasting the Brazilian Real and the Mexican Peso: Asymmetric Loss, Forecast Rationality, and Forecaster Herding," Macroeconomics and Finance Series 201202, University of Hamburg, Department of Socioeconomics.
- Bespalova, Olga, 2018. "Forecast Evaluation in Macroeconomics and International Finance. Ph.D. thesis, George Washington University, Washington, DC, USA," MPRA Paper 117706, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Thomas P. Gehrig & Torben Lütje & Lukas Menkhoff, 2009.
"Bonus Payments and Fund Managers' Behavior: Transatlantic Evidence,"
CESifo Economic Studies, CESifo Group, vol. 55(3-4), pages 569-594.
- Gehrig, Thomas P. & Lütje, Torben & Menkhoff, Lukas, 2008. "Bonus Payments and Fund Managers' Behavior: Trans-Atlantic Evidence," Hannover Economic Papers (HEP) dp-411, Leibniz Universität Hannover, Wirtschaftswissenschaftliche Fakultät.
- Gehrig, Thomas & Menkhoff, Lukas & Lütje, Torben, 2009. "Bonus Payments and Fund Managers? Behaviour: Trans-Atlantic Evidence," CEPR Discussion Papers 7118, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Jesper Rudiger & Adrien Vigier, 2015. "Pundits and Quacks," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 1997, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University.
- Jalles, João Tovar, 2017. "On the rationality and efficiency of inflation forecasts: Evidence from advanced and emerging market economies," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 40(C), pages 175-189.
- Roy Batchelor, 2007. "Forecaster Behaviour and Bias in Macroeconomic Forecasts," ifo Working Paper Series 39, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich.
- Daron Acemoglu & Victor Chernozhukov & Muhamet Yildiz, 2006.
"Learning and Disagreement in an Uncertain World,"
NBER Working Papers
12648, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Daron Acemoglu & Victor Chernozhukov & Muhamet Yildiz, 2007. "Learning and Disagreement in an Uncertain World," Carlo Alberto Notebooks 48, Collegio Carlo Alberto.
- Ottaviani, Marco & Sorensen, Peter Norman, 2006.
"Professional advice,"
Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 126(1), pages 120-142, January.
- Marco Ottaviani & Peter Sorensen, 1999. "Professional Advice," Game Theory and Information 9906003, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Sebastiano Manzan, 2011. "Differential Interpretation in the Survey of Professional Forecasters," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 43(5), pages 993-1017, August.
- Yen-Cheng Chang & Alexander Ljungqvist & Kevin Tseng, 2023.
"Do Corporate Disclosures Constrain Strategic Analyst Behavior?,"
The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 36(8), pages 3163-3212.
- Ljungqvist, Alexander & Chang, Yen-Cheng & Tseng, Kevin, 2020. "Do corporate disclosures constrain strategic analyst behavior?," CEPR Discussion Papers 14678, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Kiryl Khalmetski & Dirk Sliwka, 2019.
"Disguising Lies—Image Concerns and Partial Lying in Cheating Games,"
American Economic Journal: Microeconomics, American Economic Association, vol. 11(4), pages 79-110, November.
- Kiryl Khalmetski & Dirk Sliwka, 2017. "Disguising Lies - Image Concerns and Partial Lying in Cheating Games," CESifo Working Paper Series 6347, CESifo.
- repec:cup:judgdm:v:15:y:2020:i:5:p:863-880 is not listed on IDEAS
- Carlos Capistrán & Allan Timmermann, 2009. "Disagreement and Biases in Inflation Expectations," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 41(2‐3), pages 365-396, March.
- Bullard, James & Evans, George W. & Honkapohja, Seppo, 2010.
"A Model Of Near-Rational Exuberance,"
Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 14(2), pages 166-188, April.
- James B. Bullard & George W. Evans & Seppo Honkapohja, 2007. "A model of near-rational exuberance," Working Papers 2007-009, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.
- Evans, George & Bullard, James & Honkapohja, Seppo, 2009. "A Model of Near-Rational Exuberance," SIRE Discussion Papers 2009-11, Scottish Institute for Research in Economics (SIRE).
- Goldstein, Nathan & Zilberfarb, Ben-Zion, 2021. "Do forecasters really care about consensus?," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 100(C).
- Dovern, Jonas & Jannsen, Nils, 2017.
"Systematic errors in growth expectations over the business cycle,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 33(4), pages 760-769.
- Dovern, Jonas & Jannsen, Nils, 2015. "Systematic errors in growth expectations over the business cycle," Kiel Working Papers 1989, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
- Phillip E. Pfeifer, 2016. "The promise of pick-the-winners contests for producing crowd probability forecasts," Theory and Decision, Springer, vol. 81(2), pages 255-278, August.
- Clements, Michael P., 2021.
"Do survey joiners and leavers differ from regular participants? The US SPF GDP growth and inflation forecasts,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 37(2), pages 634-646.
- Michael P. Clements, 2020. "Do Survey Joiners and Leavers Differ from Regular Participants? The US SPF GDP Growth and Inflation Forecasts," ICMA Centre Discussion Papers in Finance icma-dp2020-01, Henley Business School, University of Reading.
- Wagner Piazza Gaglianone, 2017. "Empirical Findings on Inflation Expectations in Brazil: a survey," Working Papers Series 464, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department.
- Jordi Blanes, 2003. "Credibility and Cheap Talk of Securities Analysts:Theory and Evidence," FMG Discussion Papers dp472, Financial Markets Group.
- Broer, Tobias & Kohlhas, Alexandre, 2018.
"Forecaster (Mis-)Behavior,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
12898, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Alexandre Kohlhas & Tobias Broer, 2019. "Forecaster (Mis-)Behavior," 2019 Meeting Papers 1171, Society for Economic Dynamics.
- Tzu-Pu CHANG, Ray Yeutien CHOU & Ray Yeutien CHOU, 2018. "Anchoring Effect on Macroeconomic Forecasts : A Heterogeneity Approach," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(4), pages 134-147, December.
- Deschamps, Bruno & Ioannidis, Christos, 2013. "Can rational stubbornness explain forecast biases?," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 92(C), pages 141-151.
- Cao, H. Henry & Han, Bing & Hirshleifer, David, 2011.
"Taking the road less traveled by: Does conversation eradicate pernicious cascades?,"
Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 146(4), pages 1418-1436, July.
- Henry Cao & David Hirshleifer, 2004. "Taking the Road Less Traveled: Does Conversation Eradicate Pernicious Cascades?," Game Theory and Information 0412001, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Rudiger, Jesper & Vigier, Adrien, 2013. "Financial Experts, Asset Prices and Reputation," MPRA Paper 51784, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Veronica Guerrieri & Peter Kondor, 2012.
"Fund Managers, Career Concerns, and Asset Price Volatility,"
American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 102(5), pages 1986-2017, August.
- Veronica Guerrieri & Péter Kondor, 2009. "Fund Managers, Career Concerns, and Asset Price Volatility," NBER Working Papers 14898, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Veronica Guerrieri & Peter Kondor, 2010. "Fund managers, career concerns, and asset price volatility," Staff Report 446, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis.
- Kondor, Péter & Guerrieri, Veronica, 2011. "Fund Managers, Career Concerns, and Asset Price Volatility," CEPR Discussion Papers 8454, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Yoichi Tsuchiya, 2021. "Crises, market shocks, and herding behavior in stock price forecasts," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 61(2), pages 919-945, August.
- Andrew Gelman & Jessica Hullman & Christopher Wlezien & George Elliott Morris, 2020. "Information, incentives, and goals in election forecasts," Judgment and Decision Making, Society for Judgment and Decision Making, vol. 15(5), pages 863-880, September.
- Christian Pierdzioch & Jan-Christoph Rülke & Georg Stadtmann, 2012.
"A Note on Forecasting Emerging Market Exchange Rates: Evidence of Anti-herding,"
Review of International Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 20(5), pages 974-984, November.
- Pierdzioch, Christian & Rülke, Jan-Christoph & Stadtmann, Georg, 2012. "A note on forecasting emerging market exchange rates: Evidence of anti-herding," Discussion Papers 324, European University Viadrina Frankfurt (Oder), Department of Business Administration and Economics.
- Sinkey, Michael, 2015. "How do experts update beliefs? Lessons from a non-market environment," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Economics (formerly The Journal of Socio-Economics), Elsevier, vol. 57(C), pages 55-63.
- Taylor, James W., 2020. "A strategic predictive distribution for tests of probabilistic calibration," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 36(4), pages 1380-1388.
- Wagner Piazza Gaglianone & João Victor Issler, 2014.
"Microfounded Forecasting,"
Working Papers Series
372, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department.
- Gaglianone, Wagner Piazza & Issler, João Victor, 2019. "Microfounded forecasting," FGV EPGE Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE) 813, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil).
- Gaglianone, Wagner Piazza & Issler, João Victor, 2015. "Microfounded forecasting," FGV EPGE Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE) 766, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil).
- Gil Aharoni & Eti Einhorn & Qi Zeng, 2017. "Under weighting of Private Information by Top Analysts," Journal of Accounting Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 55(3), pages 551-590, June.
- Xing Guo & Alistair Macaulay & Wenting Song, 2024. "The (Mis)Allocation of Corporate News," Staff Working Papers 24-47, Bank of Canada.
- Jeremy Sandford & Paul Shea, 2013. "Optimal Setting of Point Spreads," Economica, London School of Economics and Political Science, vol. 80(317), pages 149-170, January.
- Prati, Alessandro & Sbracia, Massimo, 2010.
"Uncertainty and currency crises: Evidence from survey data,"
Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 57(6), pages 668-681, September.
- Prati, Alessandro & Sbracia, Massimo, 2010. "Uncertainty and Currency Crises: Evidence from Survey Data," MPRA Paper 21209, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Schanne, Norbert, 2012. "The formation of experts' expectations on labour markets : do they run with the pack?," IAB-Discussion Paper 201225, Institut für Arbeitsmarkt- und Berufsforschung (IAB), Nürnberg [Institute for Employment Research, Nuremberg, Germany].
- Jan Christoph Ruelke & Ralf Fendel & Michael Frenkel, 2011. "Do Professional Forecasters Trust in Taylor-Type Rules? - Evidence from the Wall Street Journal Poll," Post-Print hal-00743770, HAL.
- Andina-Díaz, Ascensión & García-Martínez, José A., 2023. "Reputation and perverse transparency under two concerns," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
- Sylvain Marsat, 2006. "Does The Consensus Prevail? Experimental Evidence," Working Papers hal-02156562, HAL.
- Tillmann, Peter, 2011.
"Strategic forecasting on the FOMC,"
European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 27(3), pages 547-553, September.
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