Karol Szafranek

Personal Details

First Name:	Karol
Middle Name:
Last Name:	Szafranek
Suffix:
RePEc Short-ID:	psz65
	[This author has chosen not to make the email address public]
	https://sites.google.com/view/karol-szafranek/

Affiliation

(50%) Narodowy Bank Polski

Warszawa, Poland
http://www.nbp.pl/
RePEc:edi:nbpgvpl (more details at EDIRC)

(50%) Szkoła Główna Handlowa w Warszawie

Warszawa, Poland
http://www.sgh.waw.pl/
RePEc:edi:sgwawpl (more details at EDIRC)

Citations

Many of the citations below have been collected in an experimental project, CitEc, where a more detailed citation analysis can be found. These are citations from works listed in RePEc that could be analyzed mechanically. So far, only a minority of all works could be analyzed. See under "Corrections" how you can help improve the citation analysis.

Working papers

1. Strasser, Georg & Wieland, Elisabeth & Macias, Paweł & Błażejowska, Aneta & Szafranek, Karol & Wittekopf, David & Franke, Jörn & Henkel, Lukas & Osbat, Chiara, 2023. "E-commerce and price setting: evidence from Europe," Occasional Paper Series 320, European Central Bank.

   Cited by:

2. Karol Szafranek & Grzegorz Szafrański & Agnieszka Leszczyńska-Paczesna, 2023. "Inflation returns. Revisiting the role of external and domestic shocks with Bayesian structural VAR," NBP Working Papers 357, Narodowy Bank Polski.
   • Szafranek, Karol & Szafrański, Grzegorz & Leszczyńska-Paczesna, Agnieszka, 2024. "Inflation returns. Revisiting the role of external and domestic shocks with Bayesian structural VAR," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 93(PA), pages 789-810.

   Cited by:

   1. Roman A. Zhukov & Svetlana V. Prokopchina & Maria A. Plinskaya & Maria A. Zhelunitsina, 2024. "Modeling of Functional Relationships of Regional Economic Systems Based on Small Samples Based on Bayesian Intelligent Measurements," Journal of Applied Economic Research, Graduate School of Economics and Management, Ural Federal University, vol. 23(3), pages 721-750.

3. Michał Greszta & Marcin Humanicki & Mariusz Kapuściński & Tomasz Kleszcz & Andrzej Kocięcki & Jacek Kotłowski & Michał Ledóchowski & Michał Łesyk & Tomasz Łyziak & Mateusz Pipień & Piotr Popowski & Ew, 2023. "Monetary policy transmission mechanism in Poland What do we know in 2023?," NBP Working Papers 365, Narodowy Bank Polski.

   Cited by:

   1. Szafranek, Karol & Szafrański, Grzegorz & Leszczyńska-Paczesna, Agnieszka, 2024. "Inflation returns. Revisiting the role of external and domestic shocks with Bayesian structural VAR," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 93(PA), pages 789-810.
      • Karol Szafranek & Grzegorz Szafrański & Agnieszka Leszczyńska-Paczesna, 2023. "Inflation returns. Revisiting the role of external and domestic shocks with Bayesian structural VAR," NBP Working Papers 357, Narodowy Bank Polski.

4. Michał Rubaszek & Karol Szafranek, 2022. "Have European natural gas prices decoupled from crude oil prices? Evidence from TVP-VAR analysis," KAE Working Papers 2022-078, Warsaw School of Economics, Collegium of Economic Analysis.
   • Szafranek Karol & Rubaszek Michał, 2024. "Have European natural gas prices decoupled from crude oil prices? Evidence from TVP-VAR analysis," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 28(3), pages 507-530.

   Cited by:

   1. Goodell, John W. & Gurdgiev, Constantin & Paltrinieri, Andrea & Piserà, Stefano, 2023. "Global energy supply risk: Evidence from the reactions of European natural gas futures to Nord Stream announcements," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 125(C).
   2. Szafranek, Karol & Papież, Monika & Rubaszek, Michał & Śmiech, Sławomir, 2023. "How immune is the connectedness of European natural gas markets to exceptional shocks?," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 85(PA).
   3. Michał Rubaszek & Karol Szafranek, 2025. "The European energy crisis and the US natural gas market dynamics: a structural VAR investigation," International Economics and Economic Policy, Springer, vol. 22(1), pages 1-22, February.
   4. Bańbura, Marta & Bobeica, Elena & Martínez Hernández, Catalina, 2023. "What drives core inflation? The role of supply shocks," Working Paper Series 2875, European Central Bank.

5. Karol Szafranek, 2017. "Bagged artificial neural networks in forecasting inflation: An extensive comparison with current modelling frameworks," NBP Working Papers 262, Narodowy Bank Polski.
   • Szafranek, Karol, 2019. "Bagged neural networks for forecasting Polish (low) inflation," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 35(3), pages 1042-1059.

   Cited by:

   1. Muhammad Ali Musarat & Wesam Salah Alaloul & M. S. Liew & Ahsen Maqsoom & Abdul Hannan Qureshi, 2021. "The Effect of Inflation Rate on CO 2 Emission: A Framework for Malaysian Construction Industry," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(3), pages 1-16, February.
   2. Macias, Paweł & Stelmasiak, Damian & Szafranek, Karol, 2023. "Nowcasting food inflation with a massive amount of online prices," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 39(2), pages 809-826.
   3. Paweł Macias & Damian Stelmasiak, 2019. "Food inflation nowcasting with web scraped data," NBP Working Papers 302, Narodowy Bank Polski.
   4. Yun Feng & Weijie Hou & Yuping Song, 2024. "Tail risk forecasting and its application to margin requirements in the commodity futures market," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 43(5), pages 1513-1529, August.
   5. Qifa Xu & Zezhou Wang & Cuixia Jiang & Yezheng Liu, 2023. "Deep learning on mixed frequency data," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(8), pages 2099-2120, December.
   6. Tea Šestanović & Josip Arnerić, 2021. "Can Recurrent Neural Networks Predict Inflation in Euro Zone as Good as Professional Forecasters?," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 9(19), pages 1-13, October.
   7. Denis Shibitov & Mariam Mamedli, 2021. "Forecasting Russian Cpi With Data Vintages And Machine Learning Techniques," Bank of Russia Working Paper Series wps70, Bank of Russia.
   8. Meira, Erick & Cyrino Oliveira, Fernando Luiz & de Menezes, Lilian M., 2022. "Forecasting natural gas consumption using Bagging and modified regularization techniques," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 106(C).
   9. Jena, Pradyot Ranjan & Majhi, Ritanjali & Kalli, Rajesh & Managi, Shunsuke & Majhi, Babita, 2021. "Impact of COVID-19 on GDP of major economies: Application of the artificial neural network forecaster," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 69(C), pages 324-339.
   10. Panpan Zhu & Qingjie Zhou & Yinpeng Zhang, 2024. "Investor attention and consumer price index inflation rate: Evidence from the United States," Palgrave Communications, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 11(1), pages 1-12, December.
   11. Feng, Yun & Hou, Weijie & Song, Yuping, 2023. "Tail risk in the Chinese stock market: An AEV model on the maximal drawdowns," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 58(PA).
   12. Urmat Dzhunkeev, 2024. "Forecasting Inflation in Russia Using Gradient Boosting and Neural Networks," Russian Journal of Money and Finance, Bank of Russia, vol. 83(1), pages 53-76, March.
   13. Mariusz Kapuściński, 2018. "How far does monetary policy reach? Evidence from factor-augmented vector autoregressions for Poland," Bank i Kredyt, Narodowy Bank Polski, vol. 49(3), pages 191-216.
       • Mariusz Kapuściński, 2017. "How far does monetary policy reach? Evidence from factor-augmented vector autoregressions for Poland," NBP Working Papers 273, Narodowy Bank Polski.
   14. Dbouk, Wassim & Jamali, Ibrahim, 2018. "Predicting daily oil prices: Linear and non-linear models," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 46(C), pages 149-165.
   15. Evgeny Pavlov, 2020. "Forecasting Inflation in Russia Using Neural Networks," Russian Journal of Money and Finance, Bank of Russia, vol. 79(1), pages 57-73, March.
   16. Meira, Erick & Cyrino Oliveira, Fernando Luiz & de Menezes, Lilian M., 2021. "Point and interval forecasting of electricity supply via pruned ensembles," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 232(C).
   17. Erol Eğrioğlu & Robert Fildes, 2022. "A New Bootstrapped Hybrid Artificial Neural Network Approach for Time Series Forecasting," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 59(4), pages 1355-1383, April.

6. Aleksandra Halka & Karol Szafranek, 2017. "Determinants of low inflation in emerging, small open economy. Comparison of aggregated and disaggregated approaches," EcoMod2017 10560, EcoMod.
   • Karol Szafranek & Aleksandra Hałka, 2019. "Determinants of Low Inflation in an Emerging, Small Open Economy through the Lens of Aggregated and Disaggregated Approach," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 55(13), pages 3094-3111, October.
   • Karol Szafranek & Aleksandra Hałka, 2017. "Determinants of low inflation in an emerging, small open economy. A comparison of aggregated and disaggregated approaches," NBP Working Papers 267, Narodowy Bank Polski.

   Cited by:

   1. Jakšić Saša, 2022. "Modelling Determinants of Inflation in CESEE Countries: Global Vector Autoregressive Approach," Review of Economic Perspectives, Sciendo, vol. 22(2), pages 137-169, June.
   2. Szafranek, Karol & Szafrański, Grzegorz & Leszczyńska-Paczesna, Agnieszka, 2024. "Inflation returns. Revisiting the role of external and domestic shocks with Bayesian structural VAR," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 93(PA), pages 789-810.
      • Karol Szafranek & Grzegorz Szafrański & Agnieszka Leszczyńska-Paczesna, 2023. "Inflation returns. Revisiting the role of external and domestic shocks with Bayesian structural VAR," NBP Working Papers 357, Narodowy Bank Polski.
   3. Rybinski, Krzysztof, 2021. "Ranking professional forecasters by the predictive power of their narratives," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 37(1), pages 186-204.
   4. Ahmad Zubaidi Baharumshah & Siew-Voon Soon & Mark E. Wohar, 2021. "Phillips Curve for the Asian Economies: A Nonlinear Perspective," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 57(12), pages 3508-3537, September.
   5. Julius Stakenas, 2018. "Slicing up inflation: analysis and forecasting of Lithuanian inflation components," Bank of Lithuania Working Paper Series 56, Bank of Lithuania.
   6. Macias, Paweł & Stelmasiak, Damian & Szafranek, Karol, 2023. "Nowcasting food inflation with a massive amount of online prices," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 39(2), pages 809-826.
   7. Paweł Macias & Damian Stelmasiak, 2019. "Food inflation nowcasting with web scraped data," NBP Working Papers 302, Narodowy Bank Polski.
   8. Conti, Antonio M., 2021. "Resurrecting the Phillips Curve in Low-Inflation Times," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 96(C), pages 172-195.
   9. Mariusz Kapuściński, 2018. "How far does monetary policy reach? Evidence from factor-augmented vector autoregressions for Poland," Bank i Kredyt, Narodowy Bank Polski, vol. 49(3), pages 191-216.
      • Mariusz Kapuściński, 2017. "How far does monetary policy reach? Evidence from factor-augmented vector autoregressions for Poland," NBP Working Papers 273, Narodowy Bank Polski.
   10. Szafranek, Karol, 2021. "Disentangling the sources of inflation synchronization. Evidence from a large panel dataset," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 229-245.
   11. Szafranek, Karol, 2021. "Evidence on time-varying inflation synchronization," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 94(C), pages 1-13.

7. Karol Szafranek, 2016. "Linking excessive disinflation and output movements in an emerging, small open economy A hybrid New Keynesian Phillips Curve perspective," NBP Working Papers 239, Narodowy Bank Polski.
   • Szafranek, Karol, 2017. "Flattening of the New Keynesian Phillips curve: Evidence for an emerging, small open economy," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 63(C), pages 334-348.

   Cited by:

   1. Julián Caballero & Michael Chui & Emanuel Kohlscheen & Christian Upper, 2023. "Inflation and labour markets," BIS Papers chapters, in: Bank for International Settlements (ed.), Inflation and labour markets, volume 127, pages 1-19, Bank for International Settlements.
      • Bank for International Settlements, 2023. "Inflation and labour markets," BIS Papers, Bank for International Settlements, number 142.
   2. Camila Figueroa & Jorge Fornero & Pablo García, 2019. "Hindsight vs. Real time measurement of the output gap: Implications for the Phillips curve in the Chilean Case," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 854, Central Bank of Chile.
   3. Szafranek, Karol & Szafrański, Grzegorz & Leszczyńska-Paczesna, Agnieszka, 2024. "Inflation returns. Revisiting the role of external and domestic shocks with Bayesian structural VAR," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 93(PA), pages 789-810.
      • Karol Szafranek & Grzegorz Szafrański & Agnieszka Leszczyńska-Paczesna, 2023. "Inflation returns. Revisiting the role of external and domestic shocks with Bayesian structural VAR," NBP Working Papers 357, Narodowy Bank Polski.
   4. Guirguis, Hany & Cwik, Kelly & DeMauro, Joseph & Suen, Michael, 2024. "Can the Phillips curve provide answers to current high inflation rates," Research in Economics, Elsevier, vol. 78(2).
   5. Conti, Antonio M., 2021. "Resurrecting the Phillips Curve in Low-Inflation Times," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 96(C), pages 172-195.
   6. Karol Szafranek, 2017. "Bagged artificial neural networks in forecasting inflation: An extensive comparison with current modelling frameworks," NBP Working Papers 262, Narodowy Bank Polski.
      • Szafranek, Karol, 2019. "Bagged neural networks for forecasting Polish (low) inflation," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 35(3), pages 1042-1059.
   7. Chen, Zhihong & Xia, Huizhu, 2020. "Trend instrumental variable regression with an application to the US New Keynesian Phillips Curve," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 93(C), pages 595-604.
   8. Helder Ferreira de Mendonça & Natália Ferreira Trigo, 2024. "What is the effect of imported inflation and central bank credibility on the poor and rich?," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 56(21), pages 2520-2543, May.
   9. Antonio M. Conti & Concetta Gigante, 2018. "Weakness in Italy�s core inflation and the Phillips curve: the role of labour and financial indicators," Questioni di Economia e Finanza (Occasional Papers) 466, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
   10. Karol Szafranek & Aleksandra Hałka, 2017. "Determinants of low inflation in an emerging, small open economy. A comparison of aggregated and disaggregated approaches," NBP Working Papers 267, Narodowy Bank Polski.
       • Karol Szafranek & Aleksandra Hałka, 2019. "Determinants of Low Inflation in an Emerging, Small Open Economy through the Lens of Aggregated and Disaggregated Approach," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 55(13), pages 3094-3111, October.
       • Aleksandra Halka & Karol Szafranek, 2017. "Determinants of low inflation in emerging, small open economy. Comparison of aggregated and disaggregated approaches," EcoMod2017 10560, EcoMod.
   11. Franz Xaver Zobl & Martin Ertl, 2021. "The Condemned Live Longer – New Evidence of the New Keynesian Phillips Curve in Central and Eastern Europe," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 32(4), pages 671-699, September.
   12. Ha,Jongrim & Ivanova,Anna & Ohnsorge,Franziska Lieselotte & Unsal Portillo Ocando,Derya Filiz, 2019. "Inflation : Concepts, Evolution, and Correlates," Policy Research Working Paper Series 8738, The World Bank.
   13. Tomasz Chmielewski & Mariusz Kapuściński & Andrzej Kocięcki & Tomasz Łyziak & Jan Przystupa & Ewa Stanisławska & Ewa Wróbel, 2018. "Monetary transmission mechanism in Poland. What do we know in 2017?," NBP Working Papers 286, Narodowy Bank Polski.
   14. Tomasz Chmielewski & Andrzej Kocięcki & Tomasz Łyziak & Jan Przystupa & Ewa Stanisławska & Małgorzata Walerych & Ewa Wróbel, 2020. "Monetary policy transmission mechanism in Poland What do we know in 2019?," NBP Working Papers 329, Narodowy Bank Polski.
   15. Baumann, Ursel & Darracq Pariès, Matthieu & Westermann, Thomas & Riggi, Marianna & Bobeica, Elena & Meyler, Aidan & Böninghausen, Benjamin & Fritzer, Friedrich & Trezzi, Riccardo & Jonckheere, Jana & , 2021. "Inflation expectations and their role in Eurosystem forecasting," Occasional Paper Series 264, European Central Bank.
   16. Mariusz Kapuściński, 2018. "How far does monetary policy reach? Evidence from factor-augmented vector autoregressions for Poland," Bank i Kredyt, Narodowy Bank Polski, vol. 49(3), pages 191-216.
       • Mariusz Kapuściński, 2017. "How far does monetary policy reach? Evidence from factor-augmented vector autoregressions for Poland," NBP Working Papers 273, Narodowy Bank Polski.
   17. Szafranek, Karol, 2021. "Disentangling the sources of inflation synchronization. Evidence from a large panel dataset," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 229-245.
   18. Hałka, Aleksandra & Leszczyńska-Paczesna, Agnieszka, 2019. "Price convergence in the European Union – What has changed?," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 79(C), pages 226-241.
   19. Szafranek, Karol, 2021. "Evidence on time-varying inflation synchronization," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 94(C), pages 1-13.

8. Karol Szafranek, 2015. "Financialisation of the commodity markets. Conclusions from the VARX DCC GARCH," EcoMod2015 8554, EcoMod.
   • Karol Szafranek, 2015. "Financialisation of the commodity markets. Conclusions from the VARX DCC GARCH," NBP Working Papers 213, Narodowy Bank Polski.

   Cited by:

   1. Sania Wadud & Robert D. Durand & Marc Gronwald, 2021. "Connectedness between the Crude Oil Futures and Equity Markets during the Pre- and Post-Financialisation Eras," CESifo Working Paper Series 9202, CESifo.

9. Aleksandra Hałka & Karol Szafranek, 2015. "Whose inflation is it anyway? The inflation spillovers between the euro area and small open economies," NBP Working Papers 223, Narodowy Bank Polski.
   • Aleksandra Hałka & Karol Szafranek, 2016. "Whose Inflation Is It Anyway? Inflation Spillovers Between the Euro Area and Small Open Economies," Eastern European Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 54(2), pages 109-132, March.

   Cited by:

   1. Karol Szafranek, 2016. "Linking excessive disinflation and output movements in an emerging, small open economy A hybrid New Keynesian Phillips Curve perspective," NBP Working Papers 239, Narodowy Bank Polski.
      • Szafranek, Karol, 2017. "Flattening of the New Keynesian Phillips curve: Evidence for an emerging, small open economy," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 63(C), pages 334-348.
   2. Nguyen, Thao Thac Thanh & Pham, Son Duy & Li, Xiao-Ming & Do, Hung Xuan, 2024. "Does the U.S. export inflation? Evidence from the dynamic inflation spillover between the U.S. and EAGLEs," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 94(C).
   3. Yang, Tianle & Dong, Qingyuan & Du, Min & Du, Qunyang, 2023. "Geopolitical risks, oil price shocks and inflation: Evidence from a TVP–SV–VAR approach," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 127(PB).
   4. Karol Szafranek & Aleksandra Hałka, 2017. "Determinants of low inflation in an emerging, small open economy. A comparison of aggregated and disaggregated approaches," NBP Working Papers 267, Narodowy Bank Polski.
      • Karol Szafranek & Aleksandra Hałka, 2019. "Determinants of Low Inflation in an Emerging, Small Open Economy through the Lens of Aggregated and Disaggregated Approach," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 55(13), pages 3094-3111, October.
      • Aleksandra Halka & Karol Szafranek, 2017. "Determinants of low inflation in emerging, small open economy. Comparison of aggregated and disaggregated approaches," EcoMod2017 10560, EcoMod.
   5. Mazumder, Sandeep, 2018. "Inflation in Europe after the Great Recession," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 71(C), pages 202-213.
   6. Cepni, Oguzhan & Clements, Michael P., 2024. "How local is the local inflation factor? Evidence from emerging European countries," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 40(1), pages 160-183.
      • Cepni, Oguzhan & Clements, Michael P., 2021. "How Local is the Local Inflation Factor? Evidence from Emerging European Countries," Working Papers 8-2021, Copenhagen Business School, Department of Economics.
   7. Filip Premik & Ewa Stanisławska, 2017. "The impact of inflation expectations on Polish consumers’ spending and saving," NBP Working Papers 255, Narodowy Bank Polski.
      • Filip Premik & Ewa Stanisławska, 2017. "The Impact of Inflation Expectations on Polish Consumers’ Spending and Saving," Eastern European Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 55(1), pages 3-28, January.
   8. Ana Ivkovic, Mirjana Miletic, Savo Jakovljevic & Ana Ivkovic & Mirjana Miletic & Savo Jakovljevic, 2022. "Estimation of the impact of global and domestic factors on inflation in Serbia," Working Papers Bulletin 8, National Bank of Serbia.
   9. Paweł Gajewski, 2017. "Sources of Regional Inflation in Poland," Eastern European Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 55(3), pages 261-276, May.
      • Pawel Gajewski, 2016. "Sources of Regional Inflation in Poland," Lodz Economics Working Papers 5/2016, University of Lodz, Faculty of Economics and Sociology.
   10. Papież, Monika & Rubaszek, Michał & Szafranek, Karol & Śmiech, Sławomir, 2022. "Are European natural gas markets connected? A time-varying spillovers analysis," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
   11. Dr. Gregor Bäurle & Dr. Matthias Gubler & Diego R. Känzig, 2017. "International inflation spillovers - the role of different shocks," Working Papers 2017-07, Swiss National Bank.
       • Gregor Bäurle & Matthias Gubler & Diego R. Känzig, 2021. "International Inflation Spillovers: The Role of Different Shocks," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 17(1), pages 191-230, March.

Articles

1. Szafranek, Karol & Szafrański, Grzegorz & Leszczyńska-Paczesna, Agnieszka, 2024. "Inflation returns. Revisiting the role of external and domestic shocks with Bayesian structural VAR," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 93(PA), pages 789-810.
   • Karol Szafranek & Grzegorz Szafrański & Agnieszka Leszczyńska-Paczesna, 2023. "Inflation returns. Revisiting the role of external and domestic shocks with Bayesian structural VAR," NBP Working Papers 357, Narodowy Bank Polski.
   See citations under working paper version above.
2. Szafranek Karol & Rubaszek Michał, 2024. "Have European natural gas prices decoupled from crude oil prices? Evidence from TVP-VAR analysis," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 28(3), pages 507-530.
   • Michał Rubaszek & Karol Szafranek, 2022. "Have European natural gas prices decoupled from crude oil prices? Evidence from TVP-VAR analysis," KAE Working Papers 2022-078, Warsaw School of Economics, Collegium of Economic Analysis.
   See citations under working paper version above.
3. Macias, Paweł & Stelmasiak, Damian & Szafranek, Karol, 2023. "Nowcasting food inflation with a massive amount of online prices," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 39(2), pages 809-826.

   Cited by:

   1. Richard Schnorrenberger & Aishameriane Schmidt & Guilherme Valle Moura, 2024. "Harnessing Machine Learning for Real-Time Inflation Nowcasting," Working Papers 806, DNB.
   2. Beck, Günter W. & Carstensen, Kai & Menz, Jan-Oliver & Schnorrenberger, Richard & Wieland, Elisabeth, 2023. "Nowcasting consumer price inflation using high-frequency scanner data: Evidence from Germany," Discussion Papers 34/2023, Deutsche Bundesbank.
      • Beck, Günter W. & Carstensen, Kai & Menz, Jan-Oliver & Schnorrenberger, Richard & Wieland, Elisabeth, 2024. "Nowcasting consumer price inflation using high-frequency scanner data: evidence from Germany," Working Paper Series 2930, European Central Bank.
   3. Muñoz-Villamizar, Andrés & Piatti, Matias & Mejía-Argueta, Christopher & Pirabe, Luis Felipe & Namdar, Jafar & Gomez, Juan Felipe, 2024. "Navigating retail inflation in Brazil: A machine learning and web scraping approach to the basic food basket," Journal of Retailing and Consumer Services, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
   4. Dedola, Luca & Ehrmann, Michael & Hoffmann, Peter & Lamo, Ana & Paz-Pardo, Gonzalo & Slacalek, Jiri & Strasser, Georg, 2023. "Digitalisation and the economy," Working Paper Series 2809, European Central Bank.
   5. Barış Soybilgen & M. Ege Yazgan & Hüseyin Kaya, 2023. "Nowcasting Turkish Food Inflation Using Daily Online Prices," Journal of Business Cycle Research, Springer;Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys (CIRET), vol. 19(2), pages 171-190, September.

4. Szafranek, Karol & Papież, Monika & Rubaszek, Michał & Śmiech, Sławomir, 2023. "How immune is the connectedness of European natural gas markets to exceptional shocks?," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 85(PA).

   Cited by:

   1. Karol Szafranek & Michał Rubaszek & Gazi Salah Uddin, 2023. "The role of uncertainty and sentiment for intraday volatility connectedness between oil and financial markets," KAE Working Papers 2023-095, Warsaw School of Economics, Collegium of Economic Analysis.
      • Szafranek, Karol & Rubaszek, Michał & Uddin, Gazi Salah, 2024. "The role of uncertainty and sentiment for intraday volatility connectedness between oil and financial markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 137(C).
   2. Francesco Calise & Francesco Liberato Cappiello & Luca Cimmino & Massimo Dentice d’Accadia & Maria Vicidomini, 2024. "A Novel Layout for Combined Heat and Power Production for a Hospital Based on a Solid Oxide Fuel Cell," Energies, MDPI, vol. 17(5), pages 1-21, February.
   3. Michał Rubaszek & Karol Szafranek, 2025. "The European energy crisis and the US natural gas market dynamics: a structural VAR investigation," International Economics and Economic Policy, Springer, vol. 22(1), pages 1-22, February.
   4. Karol Szafranek & Michał Rubaszek, 2024. "The European energy crisis and the US natural gas market dynamics. A structural VAR investigation," KAE Working Papers 2024-099, Warsaw School of Economics, Collegium of Economic Analysis.

5. Papież, Monika & Rubaszek, Michał & Szafranek, Karol & Śmiech, Sławomir, 2022. "Are European natural gas markets connected? A time-varying spillovers analysis," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).

   Cited by:

   1. Szafranek Karol & Rubaszek Michał, 2024. "Have European natural gas prices decoupled from crude oil prices? Evidence from TVP-VAR analysis," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 28(3), pages 507-530.
      • Michał Rubaszek & Karol Szafranek, 2022. "Have European natural gas prices decoupled from crude oil prices? Evidence from TVP-VAR analysis," KAE Working Papers 2022-078, Warsaw School of Economics, Collegium of Economic Analysis.
   2. Szafranek, Karol & Papież, Monika & Rubaszek, Michał & Śmiech, Sławomir, 2023. "How immune is the connectedness of European natural gas markets to exceptional shocks?," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 85(PA).
   3. Su, Chi Wei & Qin, Meng & Chang, Hsu-Ling & Țăran, Alexandra-Mădălina, 2023. "Which risks drive European natural gas bubbles? Novel evidence from geopolitics and climate," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
   4. Karol Szafranek & Michał Rubaszek, 2024. "The European energy crisis and the US natural gas market dynamics. A structural VAR investigation," KAE Working Papers 2024-099, Warsaw School of Economics, Collegium of Economic Analysis.

6. Jakub Mućk & Michał Rubaszek & Karol Szafranek, 2021. "A note on the heterogenous economic effects of COVID-19 on GDP via the sectoral structure," Bank i Kredyt, Narodowy Bank Polski, vol. 52(3), pages 253-266.

   Cited by:

   1. Bukalska Elżbieta & Skibińska-Fabrowska Ilona, 2023. "Corporate Investment in Bank-Dependent Companies in Crisis Time," Central European Economic Journal, Sciendo, vol. 10(57), pages 1-22, January.
   2. Jakub Rybacki & Michał Gniazdowski, 2023. "Macroeconomic forecasting in Poland: lessons from the external shocks," Bank i Kredyt, Narodowy Bank Polski, vol. 54(1), pages 45-64.

7. Rubaszek, Michał & Szafranek, Karol & Uddin, Gazi Salah, 2021. "The dynamics and elasticities on the U.S. natural gas market. A Bayesian Structural VAR analysis," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 103(C).

   Cited by:

   1. Cavicchioli, Maddalena, 2024. "A matrix unified framework for deriving various impulse responses in Markov switching VAR: Evidence from oil and gas markets," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 29(C).
   2. Szafranek, Karol & Szafrański, Grzegorz & Leszczyńska-Paczesna, Agnieszka, 2024. "Inflation returns. Revisiting the role of external and domestic shocks with Bayesian structural VAR," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 93(PA), pages 789-810.
      • Karol Szafranek & Grzegorz Szafrański & Agnieszka Leszczyńska-Paczesna, 2023. "Inflation returns. Revisiting the role of external and domestic shocks with Bayesian structural VAR," NBP Working Papers 357, Narodowy Bank Polski.
   3. Szafranek Karol & Rubaszek Michał, 2024. "Have European natural gas prices decoupled from crude oil prices? Evidence from TVP-VAR analysis," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 28(3), pages 507-530.
      • Michał Rubaszek & Karol Szafranek, 2022. "Have European natural gas prices decoupled from crude oil prices? Evidence from TVP-VAR analysis," KAE Working Papers 2022-078, Warsaw School of Economics, Collegium of Economic Analysis.
   4. Delalibera, Bruno R. & Serrano-Quintero, Rafael & Zimmermann, Guilherme G., 2023. "Reforms in the natural gas sector and economic development," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 125(C).
   5. Piergiorgio Alessandri & Andrea Gazzani, 2023. "Natural gas and the macroeconomy: not all energy shocks are alike," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 1428, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
   6. Michał Rubaszek & Karol Szafranek, 2025. "The European energy crisis and the US natural gas market dynamics: a structural VAR investigation," International Economics and Economic Policy, Springer, vol. 22(1), pages 1-22, February.
   7. Karol Szafranek & Michał Rubaszek, 2024. "The European energy crisis and the US natural gas market dynamics. A structural VAR investigation," KAE Working Papers 2024-099, Warsaw School of Economics, Collegium of Economic Analysis.

8. Szafranek, Karol, 2021. "Evidence on time-varying inflation synchronization," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 94(C), pages 1-13.

   Cited by:

   1. Szafranek, Karol & Szafrański, Grzegorz & Leszczyńska-Paczesna, Agnieszka, 2024. "Inflation returns. Revisiting the role of external and domestic shocks with Bayesian structural VAR," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 93(PA), pages 789-810.
      • Karol Szafranek & Grzegorz Szafrański & Agnieszka Leszczyńska-Paczesna, 2023. "Inflation returns. Revisiting the role of external and domestic shocks with Bayesian structural VAR," NBP Working Papers 357, Narodowy Bank Polski.
   2. Jia, Yanyan & Fang, Yi & Jing, Zhongbo & Lin, Faqin, 2022. "Price connectedness and input–output linkages: Evidence from China," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 116(C).
   3. De Simone, Francisco Nadal, 2024. "The transmission of U.S. monetary policy to small open economies," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 142(C).
   4. Caraiani, Petre & Gupta, Rangan & Nel, Jacobus & Nielsen, Joshua, 2023. "Monetary policy and bubbles in G7 economies using a panel VAR approach: Implications for sustainable development," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 133-155.
   5. Szafranek, Karol, 2021. "Disentangling the sources of inflation synchronization. Evidence from a large panel dataset," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 229-245.

9. Szafranek, Karol, 2021. "Disentangling the sources of inflation synchronization. Evidence from a large panel dataset," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 229-245.

   Cited by:

   1. Szafranek, Karol & Szafrański, Grzegorz & Leszczyńska-Paczesna, Agnieszka, 2024. "Inflation returns. Revisiting the role of external and domestic shocks with Bayesian structural VAR," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 93(PA), pages 789-810.
      • Karol Szafranek & Grzegorz Szafrański & Agnieszka Leszczyńska-Paczesna, 2023. "Inflation returns. Revisiting the role of external and domestic shocks with Bayesian structural VAR," NBP Working Papers 357, Narodowy Bank Polski.
   2. Jana Budova & Veronika Sulikova & Marianna Sinicakova, 2023. "When Inflation Again Matters: Do Domestic and Global Output Gaps Determine Inflation in the EU?," The AMFITEATRU ECONOMIC journal, Academy of Economic Studies - Bucharest, Romania, vol. 25(63), pages 575-575, April.

10. Karol Szafranek & Marek Kwas & Grzegorz Szafrański & Zuzanna Wośko, 2020. "Common Determinants of Credit Default Swap Premia in the North American Oil and Gas Industry. A Panel BMA Approach," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(23), pages 1-23, November.

    Cited by:

    1. Karol Szafranek & Michał Rubaszek & Gazi Salah Uddin, 2023. "The role of uncertainty and sentiment for intraday volatility connectedness between oil and financial markets," KAE Working Papers 2023-095, Warsaw School of Economics, Collegium of Economic Analysis.
       • Szafranek, Karol & Rubaszek, Michał & Uddin, Gazi Salah, 2024. "The role of uncertainty and sentiment for intraday volatility connectedness between oil and financial markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 137(C).
    2. Cheuathonghua, Massaporn & de Boyrie, Maria E. & Pavlova, Ivelina & Wongkantarakorn, Jutamas, 2022. "Extreme risk spillovers from commodity indexes to sovereign CDS spreads of commodity dependent countries: A VAR quantile analysis," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).

11. Szafranek, Karol, 2019. "Bagged neural networks for forecasting Polish (low) inflation," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 35(3), pages 1042-1059.
    • Karol Szafranek, 2017. "Bagged artificial neural networks in forecasting inflation: An extensive comparison with current modelling frameworks," NBP Working Papers 262, Narodowy Bank Polski.
    See citations under working paper version above.
12. Karol Szafranek & Aleksandra Hałka, 2019. "Determinants of Low Inflation in an Emerging, Small Open Economy through the Lens of Aggregated and Disaggregated Approach," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 55(13), pages 3094-3111, October.
    • Karol Szafranek & Aleksandra Hałka, 2017. "Determinants of low inflation in an emerging, small open economy. A comparison of aggregated and disaggregated approaches," NBP Working Papers 267, Narodowy Bank Polski.
    • Aleksandra Halka & Karol Szafranek, 2017. "Determinants of low inflation in emerging, small open economy. Comparison of aggregated and disaggregated approaches," EcoMod2017 10560, EcoMod.
    See citations under working paper version above.
13. Szafranek, Karol, 2017. "Flattening of the New Keynesian Phillips curve: Evidence for an emerging, small open economy," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 63(C), pages 334-348.
    • Karol Szafranek, 2016. "Linking excessive disinflation and output movements in an emerging, small open economy A hybrid New Keynesian Phillips Curve perspective," NBP Working Papers 239, Narodowy Bank Polski.
    See citations under working paper version above.
14. Aleksandra Hałka & Karol Szafranek, 2016. "Whose Inflation Is It Anyway? Inflation Spillovers Between the Euro Area and Small Open Economies," Eastern European Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 54(2), pages 109-132, March.
    • Aleksandra Hałka & Karol Szafranek, 2015. "Whose inflation is it anyway? The inflation spillovers between the euro area and small open economies," NBP Working Papers 223, Narodowy Bank Polski.
    See citations under working paper version above.

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Statistics

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Co-authorship network on CollEc

NEP Fields

NEP is an announcement service for new working papers, with a weekly report in each of many fields. This author has had 12 papers announced in NEP. These are the fields, ordered by number of announcements, along with their dates. If the author is listed in the directory of specialists for this field, a link is also provided.

1. NEP-MON: Monetary Economics (7) 2016-01-03 2016-07-02 2018-02-05 2023-07-31 2023-08-21 2023-08-21 2024-01-08. Author is listed
2. NEP-EEC: European Economics (6) 2016-01-03 2018-02-05 2022-08-15 2023-08-21 2023-08-21 2024-07-08. Author is listed
3. NEP-MAC: Macroeconomics (5) 2015-11-21 2016-01-03 2016-07-02 2018-02-05 2024-07-08. Author is listed
4. NEP-ENE: Energy Economics (4) 2022-08-15 2023-07-31 2024-02-19 2024-07-08. Author is listed
5. NEP-TRA: Transition Economics (4) 2018-02-05 2023-07-31 2024-01-08 2024-07-08. Author is listed
6. NEP-CBA: Central Banking (2) 2017-05-21 2024-01-08
7. NEP-ETS: Econometric Time Series (2) 2015-11-21 2017-05-21
8. NEP-BAN: Banking (1) 2024-01-08
9. NEP-CIS: Confederation of Independent States (1) 2024-07-08
10. NEP-CMP: Computational Economics (1) 2017-05-21
11. NEP-FMK: Financial Markets (1) 2024-02-19
12. NEP-FOR: Forecasting (1) 2017-05-21
13. NEP-IFN: International Finance (1) 2024-02-19
14. NEP-IND: Industrial Organization (1) 2023-08-21
15. NEP-INT: International Trade (1) 2024-07-08
16. NEP-MST: Market Microstructure (1) 2024-02-19
17. NEP-OPM: Open Economy Macroeconomics (1) 2023-07-31
18. NEP-ORE: Operations Research (1) 2017-05-21
19. NEP-REG: Regulation (1) 2022-08-15
20. NEP-RMG: Risk Management (1) 2024-02-19

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