Bartosz Uniejewski
Citations
Many of the citations below have been collected in an experimental project, CitEc, where a more detailed citation analysis can be found. These are citations from works listed in RePEc that could be analyzed mechanically. So far, only a minority of all works could be analyzed. See under "Corrections" how you can help improve the citation analysis.Working papers
- Bartosz Uniejewski, 2023.
"Electricity price forecasting with Smoothing Quantile Regression Averaging: Quantifying economic benefits of probabilistic forecasts,"
Papers
2302.00411, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2024.
Cited by:
- Weronika Nitka & Rafa{l} Weron, 2023.
"Combining predictive distributions of electricity prices: Does minimizing the CRPS lead to optimal decisions in day-ahead bidding?,"
Papers
2308.15443, arXiv.org.
- Weronika Nitka & Rafał Weron, 2023. "Combining predictive distributions of electricity prices. Does minimizing the CRPS lead to optimal decisions in day-ahead bidding?," Operations Research and Decisions, Wroclaw University of Science and Technology, Faculty of Management, vol. 33(3), pages 105-118.
- Grzegorz Marcjasz & Micha{l} Narajewski & Rafa{l} Weron & Florian Ziel, 2022.
"Distributional neural networks for electricity price forecasting,"
Papers
2207.02832, arXiv.org, revised Dec 2022.
- Marcjasz, Grzegorz & Narajewski, Michał & Weron, Rafał & Ziel, Florian, 2023. "Distributional neural networks for electricity price forecasting," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 125(C).
- Sheybanivaziri, Samaneh & Le Dréau, Jérôme & Kazmi, Hussain, 2024. "Forecasting price spikes in day-ahead electricity markets: techniques, challenges, and the road ahead," Discussion Papers 2024/1, Norwegian School of Economics, Department of Business and Management Science.
- Weronika Nitka & Rafa{l} Weron, 2023.
"Combining predictive distributions of electricity prices: Does minimizing the CRPS lead to optimal decisions in day-ahead bidding?,"
Papers
2308.15443, arXiv.org.
- Bartosz Uniejewski & Katarzyna Maciejowska, 2022.
"LASSO Principal Component Averaging -- a fully automated approach for point forecast pooling,"
Papers
2207.04794, arXiv.org.
- Uniejewski, Bartosz & Maciejowska, Katarzyna, 2023. "LASSO principal component averaging: A fully automated approach for point forecast pooling," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 39(4), pages 1839-1852.
Cited by:
- Bartosz Uniejewski, 2023. "Electricity price forecasting with Smoothing Quantile Regression Averaging: Quantifying economic benefits of probabilistic forecasts," Papers 2302.00411, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2024.
- Weronika Nitka & Rafa{l} Weron, 2023.
"Combining predictive distributions of electricity prices: Does minimizing the CRPS lead to optimal decisions in day-ahead bidding?,"
Papers
2308.15443, arXiv.org.
- Weronika Nitka & Rafał Weron, 2023. "Combining predictive distributions of electricity prices. Does minimizing the CRPS lead to optimal decisions in day-ahead bidding?," Operations Research and Decisions, Wroclaw University of Science and Technology, Faculty of Management, vol. 33(3), pages 105-118.
- Grzegorz Marcjasz & Micha{l} Narajewski & Rafa{l} Weron & Florian Ziel, 2022.
"Distributional neural networks for electricity price forecasting,"
Papers
2207.02832, arXiv.org, revised Dec 2022.
- Marcjasz, Grzegorz & Narajewski, Michał & Weron, Rafał & Ziel, Florian, 2023. "Distributional neural networks for electricity price forecasting," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 125(C).
- Katarzyna Maciejowska & Bartosz Uniejewski & Rafa{l} Weron, 2022.
"Forecasting Electricity Prices,"
Papers
2204.11735, arXiv.org.
Cited by:
- Linian Wang & Jianghong Liu & Huibin Zhang & Leye Wang, 2024. "Revisiting Day-ahead Electricity Price: Simple Model Save Millions," Papers 2405.14893, arXiv.org, revised Aug 2024.
- Brown, David P. & Cajueiro, Daniel O. & Eckert, Andrew & Silveira, Douglas, 2024. "Evaluating the Role of Information Disclosure on Bidding Behavior in Wholesale Electricity Markets," Working Papers 2024-2, University of Alberta, Department of Economics.
- Grzegorz Marcjasz & Bartosz Uniejewski & Rafal Weron, 2020.
"Beating the naive: Combining LASSO with naive intraday electricity price forecasts,"
WORking papers in Management Science (WORMS)
WORMS/20/01, Department of Operations Research and Business Intelligence, Wroclaw University of Science and Technology.
- Grzegorz Marcjasz & Bartosz Uniejewski & Rafał Weron, 2020. "Beating the Naïve—Combining LASSO with Naïve Intraday Electricity Price Forecasts," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(7), pages 1-16, April.
Cited by:
- Özen, Kadir & Yıldırım, Dilem, 2021. "Application of bagging in day-ahead electricity price forecasting and factor augmentation," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 103(C).
- Petropoulos, Fotios & Apiletti, Daniele & Assimakopoulos, Vassilios & Babai, Mohamed Zied & Barrow, Devon K. & Ben Taieb, Souhaib & Bergmeir, Christoph & Bessa, Ricardo J. & Bijak, Jakub & Boylan, Joh, 2022.
"Forecasting: theory and practice,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 38(3), pages 705-871.
- Fotios Petropoulos & Daniele Apiletti & Vassilios Assimakopoulos & Mohamed Zied Babai & Devon K. Barrow & Souhaib Ben Taieb & Christoph Bergmeir & Ricardo J. Bessa & Jakub Bijak & John E. Boylan & Jet, 2020. "Forecasting: theory and practice," Papers 2012.03854, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2022.
- Kuppelwieser, Thomas & Wozabal, David, 2021. "Liquidity costs on intraday power markets: Continuous trading versus auctions," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 154(C).
- Katarzyna Maciejowska & Bartosz Uniejewski & Tomasz Serafin, 2020.
"PCA forecast averaging - predicting day-ahead and intraday electricity prices,"
WORking papers in Management Science (WORMS)
WORMS/20/02, Department of Operations Research and Business Intelligence, Wroclaw University of Science and Technology.
- Katarzyna Maciejowska & Bartosz Uniejewski & Tomasz Serafin, 2020. "PCA Forecast Averaging—Predicting Day-Ahead and Intraday Electricity Prices," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(14), pages 1-19, July.
- Yuriy Bilan & Serhiy Kozmenko & Alex Plastun, 2022. "Price Forecasting in Energy Market," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(24), pages 1-6, December.
- Philip Beran & Arne Vogler, 2021. "Multi-Day-Ahead Electricity Price Forecasting: A Comparison of fundamental, econometric and hybrid Models," EWL Working Papers 2102, University of Duisburg-Essen, Chair for Management Science and Energy Economics, revised Oct 2021.
- Hugo Siqueira & Mariana Macedo & Yara de Souza Tadano & Thiago Antonini Alves & Sergio L. Stevan & Domingos S. Oliveira & Manoel H.N. Marinho & Paulo S.G. de Mattos Neto & João F. L. de Oliveira & Ive, 2020. "Selection of Temporal Lags for Predicting Riverflow Series from Hydroelectric Plants Using Variable Selection Methods," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(16), pages 1-35, August.
- Micha{l} Narajewski & Florian Ziel, 2020. "Ensemble Forecasting for Intraday Electricity Prices: Simulating Trajectories," Papers 2005.01365, arXiv.org, revised Aug 2020.
- Grzegorz Marcjasz, 2020. "Forecasting Electricity Prices Using Deep Neural Networks: A Robust Hyper-Parameter Selection Scheme," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(18), pages 1-18, September.
- Arkadiusz Jedrzejewski & Grzegorz Marcjasz & Rafal Weron, 2021.
"Importance of the long-term seasonal component in day-ahead electricity price forecasting revisited: Parameter-rich models estimated via the LASSO,"
WORking papers in Management Science (WORMS)
WORMS/21/04, Department of Operations Research and Business Intelligence, Wroclaw University of Science and Technology.
- Arkadiusz Jędrzejewski & Grzegorz Marcjasz & Rafał Weron, 2021. "Importance of the Long-Term Seasonal Component in Day-Ahead Electricity Price Forecasting Revisited: Parameter-Rich Models Estimated via the LASSO," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(11), pages 1-17, June.
- Kadir Özen & Dilem Yıldırım, 2021. "Application of Bagging in Day-Ahead Electricity Price Forecasting and Factor Augmentation," ERC Working Papers 2101, ERC - Economic Research Center, Middle East Technical University, revised Apr 2021.
- Silvia Golia & Luigi Grossi & Matteo Pelagatti, 2022. "Machine Learning Models and Intra-Daily Market Information for the Prediction of Italian Electricity Prices," Forecasting, MDPI, vol. 5(1), pages 1-21, December.
- Grzegorz Marcjasz & Jesus Lago & Rafa{l} Weron, 2020. "Neural networks in day-ahead electricity price forecasting: Single vs. multiple outputs," Papers 2008.08006, arXiv.org.
- Narajewski, Michał & Ziel, Florian, 2020. "Ensemble forecasting for intraday electricity prices: Simulating trajectories," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 279(C).
- Katarzyna Maciejowska & Bartosz Uniejewski & Tomasz Serafin, 2020.
"PCA forecast averaging - predicting day-ahead and intraday electricity prices,"
WORking papers in Management Science (WORMS)
WORMS/20/02, Department of Operations Research and Business Intelligence, Wroclaw University of Science and Technology.
- Katarzyna Maciejowska & Bartosz Uniejewski & Tomasz Serafin, 2020. "PCA Forecast Averaging—Predicting Day-Ahead and Intraday Electricity Prices," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(14), pages 1-19, July.
Cited by:
- Micha{l} Narajewski & Florian Ziel, 2021. "Optimal bidding in hourly and quarter-hourly electricity price auctions: trading large volumes of power with market impact and transaction costs," Papers 2104.14204, arXiv.org, revised Feb 2022.
- Bartosz Uniejewski & Katarzyna Maciejowska, 2022.
"LASSO Principal Component Averaging -- a fully automated approach for point forecast pooling,"
Papers
2207.04794, arXiv.org.
- Uniejewski, Bartosz & Maciejowska, Katarzyna, 2023. "LASSO principal component averaging: A fully automated approach for point forecast pooling," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 39(4), pages 1839-1852.
- Jonathan Berrisch & Florian Ziel, 2023. "Multivariate Probabilistic CRPS Learning with an Application to Day-Ahead Electricity Prices," Papers 2303.10019, arXiv.org, revised Feb 2024.
- Christopher Kath & Florian Ziel, 2020. "Optimal Order Execution in Intraday Markets: Minimizing Costs in Trade Trajectories," Papers 2009.07892, arXiv.org, revised Oct 2020.
- Paul Ghelasi & Florian Ziel, 2024. "From day-ahead to mid and long-term horizons with econometric electricity price forecasting models," Papers 2406.00326, arXiv.org, revised Aug 2024.
- Uniejewski, Bartosz & Weron, Rafał, 2021.
"Regularized quantile regression averaging for probabilistic electricity price forecasting,"
Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 95(C).
- Bartosz Uniejewski & Rafal Weron, 2019. "Regularized Quantile Regression Averaging for probabilistic electricity price forecasting," HSC Research Reports HSC/19/04, Hugo Steinhaus Center, Wroclaw University of Science and Technology.
- Grzegorz Marcjasz & Micha{l} Narajewski & Rafa{l} Weron & Florian Ziel, 2022.
"Distributional neural networks for electricity price forecasting,"
Papers
2207.02832, arXiv.org, revised Dec 2022.
- Marcjasz, Grzegorz & Narajewski, Michał & Weron, Rafał & Ziel, Florian, 2023. "Distributional neural networks for electricity price forecasting," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 125(C).
- Narajewski, Michał & Ziel, Florian, 2022. "Optimal bidding in hourly and quarter-hourly electricity price auctions: Trading large volumes of power with market impact and transaction costs," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 110(C).
- Rainer Baule & Michael Naumann, 2021. "Volatility and Dispersion of Hourly Electricity Contracts on the German Continuous Intraday Market," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(22), pages 1-24, November.
- Katarzyna Maciejowska & Bartosz Uniejewski & Rafa{l} Weron, 2022. "Forecasting Electricity Prices," Papers 2204.11735, arXiv.org.
- Philip Beran & Arne Vogler, 2021. "Multi-Day-Ahead Electricity Price Forecasting: A Comparison of fundamental, econometric and hybrid Models," EWL Working Papers 2102, University of Duisburg-Essen, Chair for Management Science and Energy Economics, revised Oct 2021.
- Jonathan Berrisch & Florian Ziel, 2021. "CRPS Learning," Papers 2102.00968, arXiv.org, revised Nov 2021.
- Katarzyna Maciejowska & Weronika Nitka, 2024. "Multiple split approach -- multidimensional probabilistic forecasting of electricity markets," Papers 2407.07795, arXiv.org.
- Weronika Nitka & Tomasz Serafin & Dimitrios Sotiros, 2021. "Forecasting Electricity Prices: Autoregressive Hybrid Nearest Neighbors (ARHNN) method," WORking papers in Management Science (WORMS) WORMS/21/06, Department of Operations Research and Business Intelligence, Wroclaw University of Science and Technology.
- Berrisch, Jonathan & Ziel, Florian, 2023. "CRPS learning," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 237(2).
- Silvia Golia & Luigi Grossi & Matteo Pelagatti, 2022. "Machine Learning Models and Intra-Daily Market Information for the Prediction of Italian Electricity Prices," Forecasting, MDPI, vol. 5(1), pages 1-21, December.
- Tomasz Serafin & Bartosz Uniejewski & Rafal Weron, 2019.
"Averaging predictive distributions across calibration windows for day-ahead electricity price forecasting,"
WORking papers in Management Science (WORMS)
WORMS/19/08, Department of Operations Research and Business Intelligence, Wroclaw University of Science and Technology, revised 06 Jul 2019.
- Tomasz Serafin & Bartosz Uniejewski & Rafał Weron, 2019. "Averaging Predictive Distributions Across Calibration Windows for Day-Ahead Electricity Price Forecasting," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(13), pages 1-12, July.
Cited by:
- Özen, Kadir & Yıldırım, Dilem, 2021. "Application of bagging in day-ahead electricity price forecasting and factor augmentation," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 103(C).
- Maciejowska, Katarzyna, 2020.
"Assessing the impact of renewable energy sources on the electricity price level and variability – A quantile regression approach,"
Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 85(C).
- Katarzyna Maciejowska, 2019. "Assessing the impact of renewable energy sources on the electricity price level and variability - a Quantile Regression approach," HSC Research Reports HSC/19/02, Hugo Steinhaus Center, Wroclaw University of Science and Technology.
- Michał Narajewski, 2022. "Probabilistic Forecasting of German Electricity Imbalance Prices," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(14), pages 1-17, July.
- Jesus Lago & Grzegorz Marcjasz & Bart De Schutter & Rafa{l} Weron, 2020.
"Forecasting day-ahead electricity prices: A review of state-of-the-art algorithms, best practices and an open-access benchmark,"
Papers
2008.08004, arXiv.org, revised Dec 2020.
- Lago, Jesus & Marcjasz, Grzegorz & De Schutter, Bart & Weron, Rafał, 2021. "Forecasting day-ahead electricity prices: A review of state-of-the-art algorithms, best practices and an open-access benchmark," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 293(C).
- Bartosz Uniejewski & Katarzyna Maciejowska, 2022.
"LASSO Principal Component Averaging -- a fully automated approach for point forecast pooling,"
Papers
2207.04794, arXiv.org.
- Uniejewski, Bartosz & Maciejowska, Katarzyna, 2023. "LASSO principal component averaging: A fully automated approach for point forecast pooling," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 39(4), pages 1839-1852.
- Jonathan Berrisch & Florian Ziel, 2023. "Multivariate Probabilistic CRPS Learning with an Application to Day-Ahead Electricity Prices," Papers 2303.10019, arXiv.org, revised Feb 2024.
- Jozef Barunik & Lubos Hanus, 2023. "Learning Probability Distributions of Day-Ahead Electricity Prices," Papers 2310.02867, arXiv.org, revised Oct 2023.
- Uniejewski, Bartosz & Weron, Rafał, 2021.
"Regularized quantile regression averaging for probabilistic electricity price forecasting,"
Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 95(C).
- Bartosz Uniejewski & Rafal Weron, 2019. "Regularized Quantile Regression Averaging for probabilistic electricity price forecasting," HSC Research Reports HSC/19/04, Hugo Steinhaus Center, Wroclaw University of Science and Technology.
- Hakan Acaroğlu & Fausto Pedro García Márquez, 2021. "Comprehensive Review on Electricity Market Price and Load Forecasting Based on Wind Energy," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(22), pages 1-23, November.
- Grzegorz Marcjasz & Micha{l} Narajewski & Rafa{l} Weron & Florian Ziel, 2022.
"Distributional neural networks for electricity price forecasting,"
Papers
2207.02832, arXiv.org, revised Dec 2022.
- Marcjasz, Grzegorz & Narajewski, Michał & Weron, Rafał & Ziel, Florian, 2023. "Distributional neural networks for electricity price forecasting," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 125(C).
- Katarzyna Maciejowska & Bartosz Uniejewski & Tomasz Serafin, 2020.
"PCA forecast averaging - predicting day-ahead and intraday electricity prices,"
WORking papers in Management Science (WORMS)
WORMS/20/02, Department of Operations Research and Business Intelligence, Wroclaw University of Science and Technology.
- Katarzyna Maciejowska & Bartosz Uniejewski & Tomasz Serafin, 2020. "PCA Forecast Averaging—Predicting Day-Ahead and Intraday Electricity Prices," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(14), pages 1-19, July.
- Bartosz Uniejewski, 2024. "Regularization for electricity price forecasting," Papers 2404.03968, arXiv.org.
- Christopher Kath & Weronika Nitka & Tomasz Serafin & Tomasz Weron & Przemyslaw Zaleski & Rafal Weron, 2019. "Balancing RES generation: Profitability of an energy trader," HSC Research Reports HSC/19/07, Hugo Steinhaus Center, Wroclaw University of Science and Technology.
- Tomasz Serafin & Grzegorz Marcjasz & Rafal Weron, 2020.
"Trading on short-term path forecasts of intraday electricity prices,"
WORking papers in Management Science (WORMS)
WORMS/20/17, Department of Operations Research and Business Intelligence, Wroclaw University of Science and Technology.
- Serafin, Tomasz & Marcjasz, Grzegorz & Weron, Rafał, 2022. "Trading on short-term path forecasts of intraday electricity prices," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 112(C).
- Katarzyna Maciejowska & Bartosz Uniejewski & Rafa{l} Weron, 2022. "Forecasting Electricity Prices," Papers 2204.11735, arXiv.org.
- Philip Beran & Arne Vogler, 2021. "Multi-Day-Ahead Electricity Price Forecasting: A Comparison of fundamental, econometric and hybrid Models," EWL Working Papers 2102, University of Duisburg-Essen, Chair for Management Science and Energy Economics, revised Oct 2021.
- Janczura, Joanna & Wójcik, Edyta, 2022. "Dynamic short-term risk management strategies for the choice of electricity market based on probabilistic forecasts of profit and risk measures. The German and the Polish market case study," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 110(C).
- Maciejowska, Katarzyna & Nitka, Weronika & Weron, Tomasz, 2021. "Enhancing load, wind and solar generation for day-ahead forecasting of electricity prices," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 99(C).
- Sheybanivaziri, Samaneh & Le Dréau, Jérôme & Kazmi, Hussain, 2024. "Forecasting price spikes in day-ahead electricity markets: techniques, challenges, and the road ahead," Discussion Papers 2024/1, Norwegian School of Economics, Department of Business and Management Science.
- Micha{l} Narajewski & Florian Ziel, 2020. "Ensemble Forecasting for Intraday Electricity Prices: Simulating Trajectories," Papers 2005.01365, arXiv.org, revised Aug 2020.
- Grzegorz Marcjasz, 2020. "Forecasting Electricity Prices Using Deep Neural Networks: A Robust Hyper-Parameter Selection Scheme," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(18), pages 1-18, September.
- Micha{l} Narajewski, 2022. "Probabilistic forecasting of German electricity imbalance prices," Papers 2205.11439, arXiv.org.
- Katarzyna Maciejowska & Weronika Nitka & Tomasz Weron, 2019. "Enhancing load, wind and solar generation forecasts in day-ahead forecasting of spot and intraday electricity prices," HSC Research Reports HSC/19/08, Hugo Steinhaus Center, Wroclaw University of Science and Technology.
- Christopher Kath & Weronika Nitka & Tomasz Serafin & Tomasz Weron & Przemysław Zaleski & Rafał Weron, 2020. "Balancing Generation from Renewable Energy Sources: Profitability of an Energy Trader," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(1), pages 1-15, January.
- Narajewski, Michał & Ziel, Florian, 2020. "Ensemble forecasting for intraday electricity prices: Simulating trajectories," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 279(C).
- Bartosz Uniejewski & Rafal Weron, 2019.
"Regularized Quantile Regression Averaging for probabilistic electricity price forecasting,"
HSC Research Reports
HSC/19/04, Hugo Steinhaus Center, Wroclaw University of Science and Technology.
- Uniejewski, Bartosz & Weron, Rafał, 2021. "Regularized quantile regression averaging for probabilistic electricity price forecasting," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 95(C).
Cited by:
- Jiang, Ping & Nie, Ying & Wang, Jianzhou & Huang, Xiaojia, 2023. "Multivariable short-term electricity price forecasting using artificial intelligence and multi-input multi-output scheme," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 117(C).
- Michał Narajewski, 2022. "Probabilistic Forecasting of German Electricity Imbalance Prices," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(14), pages 1-17, July.
- Jesus Lago & Grzegorz Marcjasz & Bart De Schutter & Rafa{l} Weron, 2020.
"Forecasting day-ahead electricity prices: A review of state-of-the-art algorithms, best practices and an open-access benchmark,"
Papers
2008.08004, arXiv.org, revised Dec 2020.
- Lago, Jesus & Marcjasz, Grzegorz & De Schutter, Bart & Weron, Rafał, 2021. "Forecasting day-ahead electricity prices: A review of state-of-the-art algorithms, best practices and an open-access benchmark," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 293(C).
- Kin G. Olivares & Cristian Challu & Grzegorz Marcjasz & Rafal Weron & Artur Dubrawski, 2021.
"Neural basis expansion analysis with exogenous variables: Forecasting electricity prices with NBEATSx,"
WORking papers in Management Science (WORMS)
WORMS/21/07, Department of Operations Research and Business Intelligence, Wroclaw University of Science and Technology.
- Olivares, Kin G. & Challu, Cristian & Marcjasz, Grzegorz & Weron, Rafał & Dubrawski, Artur, 2023. "Neural basis expansion analysis with exogenous variables: Forecasting electricity prices with NBEATSx," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 39(2), pages 884-900.
- Bartosz Uniejewski & Katarzyna Maciejowska, 2022.
"LASSO Principal Component Averaging -- a fully automated approach for point forecast pooling,"
Papers
2207.04794, arXiv.org.
- Uniejewski, Bartosz & Maciejowska, Katarzyna, 2023. "LASSO principal component averaging: A fully automated approach for point forecast pooling," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 39(4), pages 1839-1852.
- Simon Hirsch & Jonathan Berrisch & Florian Ziel, 2024. "Online Distributional Regression," Papers 2407.08750, arXiv.org, revised Aug 2024.
- Bartosz Uniejewski, 2023. "Electricity price forecasting with Smoothing Quantile Regression Averaging: Quantifying economic benefits of probabilistic forecasts," Papers 2302.00411, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2024.
- Mira Watermeyer & Thomas Mobius & Oliver Grothe & Felix Musgens, 2023. "A hybrid model for day-ahead electricity price forecasting: Combining fundamental and stochastic modelling," Papers 2304.09336, arXiv.org.
- Weronika Nitka & Rafa{l} Weron, 2023.
"Combining predictive distributions of electricity prices: Does minimizing the CRPS lead to optimal decisions in day-ahead bidding?,"
Papers
2308.15443, arXiv.org.
- Weronika Nitka & Rafał Weron, 2023. "Combining predictive distributions of electricity prices. Does minimizing the CRPS lead to optimal decisions in day-ahead bidding?," Operations Research and Decisions, Wroclaw University of Science and Technology, Faculty of Management, vol. 33(3), pages 105-118.
- Arkadiusz Lipiecki & Bartosz Uniejewski & Rafa{l} Weron, 2024. "Postprocessing of point predictions for probabilistic forecasting of day-ahead electricity prices: The benefits of using isotonic distributional regression," Papers 2404.02270, arXiv.org, revised Oct 2024.
- Grzegorz Marcjasz & Micha{l} Narajewski & Rafa{l} Weron & Florian Ziel, 2022.
"Distributional neural networks for electricity price forecasting,"
Papers
2207.02832, arXiv.org, revised Dec 2022.
- Marcjasz, Grzegorz & Narajewski, Michał & Weron, Rafał & Ziel, Florian, 2023. "Distributional neural networks for electricity price forecasting," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 125(C).
- Tomasz Serafin & Grzegorz Marcjasz & Rafal Weron, 2020.
"Trading on short-term path forecasts of intraday electricity prices,"
WORking papers in Management Science (WORMS)
WORMS/20/17, Department of Operations Research and Business Intelligence, Wroclaw University of Science and Technology.
- Serafin, Tomasz & Marcjasz, Grzegorz & Weron, Rafał, 2022. "Trading on short-term path forecasts of intraday electricity prices," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 112(C).
- Nie, Ying & Li, Ping & Wang, Jianzhou & Zhang, Lifang, 2024. "A novel multivariate electrical price bi-forecasting system based on deep learning, a multi-input multi-output structure and an operator combination mechanism," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 366(C).
- Katarzyna Maciejowska & Bartosz Uniejewski & Rafa{l} Weron, 2022. "Forecasting Electricity Prices," Papers 2204.11735, arXiv.org.
- Janczura, Joanna & Wójcik, Edyta, 2022. "Dynamic short-term risk management strategies for the choice of electricity market based on probabilistic forecasts of profit and risk measures. The German and the Polish market case study," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 110(C).
- Stephen Haben & Julien Caudron & Jake Verma, 2021. "Probabilistic Day-Ahead Wholesale Price Forecast: A Case Study in Great Britain," Forecasting, MDPI, vol. 3(3), pages 1-37, August.
- Miller, J. Isaac & Nam, Kyungsik, 2022.
"Modeling peak electricity demand: A semiparametric approach using weather-driven cross-temperature response functions,"
Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 114(C).
- J. Isaac Miller & Kyungsik Nam, 2021. "Modeling Peak Electricity Demand: A Semiparametric Approach Using Weather-Driven Cross Temperature Response Functions," Working Papers 2112, Department of Economics, University of Missouri.
- Lehna, Malte & Scheller, Fabian & Herwartz, Helmut, 2022. "Forecasting day-ahead electricity prices: A comparison of time series and neural network models taking external regressors into account," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 106(C).
- Micha{l} Narajewski, 2022. "Probabilistic forecasting of German electricity imbalance prices," Papers 2205.11439, arXiv.org.
- Arkadiusz Jedrzejewski & Grzegorz Marcjasz & Rafal Weron, 2021.
"Importance of the long-term seasonal component in day-ahead electricity price forecasting revisited: Parameter-rich models estimated via the LASSO,"
WORking papers in Management Science (WORMS)
WORMS/21/04, Department of Operations Research and Business Intelligence, Wroclaw University of Science and Technology.
- Arkadiusz Jędrzejewski & Grzegorz Marcjasz & Rafał Weron, 2021. "Importance of the Long-Term Seasonal Component in Day-Ahead Electricity Price Forecasting Revisited: Parameter-Rich Models Estimated via the LASSO," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(11), pages 1-17, June.
- Russo, Marianna & Kraft, Emil & Bertsch, Valentin & Keles, Dogan, 2022.
"Short-term risk management of electricity retailers under rising shares of decentralized solar generation,"
Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 109(C).
- Russo, Marianna & Kraft, Emil & Bertsch, Valentin & Keles, Dogan, 2021. "Short-term risk management for electricity retailers under rising shares of decentralized solar generation," Working Paper Series in Production and Energy 57, Karlsruhe Institute of Technology (KIT), Institute for Industrial Production (IIP).
- Nazila Pourhaji & Mohammad Asadpour & Ali Ahmadian & Ali Elkamel, 2022. "The Investigation of Monthly/Seasonal Data Clustering Impact on Short-Term Electricity Price Forecasting Accuracy: Ontario Province Case Study," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(5), pages 1-14, March.
- Cramer, Eike & Witthaut, Dirk & Mitsos, Alexander & Dahmen, Manuel, 2023. "Multivariate probabilistic forecasting of intraday electricity prices using normalizing flows," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 346(C).
- Bartosz Uniejewski & Grzegorz Marcjasz & Rafal Weron, 2018.
"Understanding intraday electricity markets: Variable selection and very short-term price forecasting using LASSO,"
HSC Research Reports
HSC/18/07, Hugo Steinhaus Center, Wroclaw University of Science and Technology.
- Uniejewski, Bartosz & Marcjasz, Grzegorz & Weron, Rafał, 2019. "Understanding intraday electricity markets: Variable selection and very short-term price forecasting using LASSO," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 35(4), pages 1533-1547.
Cited by:
- Özen, Kadir & Yıldırım, Dilem, 2021. "Application of bagging in day-ahead electricity price forecasting and factor augmentation," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 103(C).
- Lu, Xin & Qiu, Jing & Lei, Gang & Zhu, Jianguo, 2022. "Scenarios modelling for forecasting day-ahead electricity prices: Case studies in Australia," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 308(C).
- Narajewski, Michał & Ziel, Florian, 2020. "Econometric modelling and forecasting of intraday electricity prices," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 19(C).
- Tim Janke & Florian Steinke, 2019. "Forecasting the Price Distribution of Continuous Intraday Electricity Trading," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(22), pages 1-14, November.
- Katarzyna Maciejowska, 2022. "A portfolio management of a small RES utility with a Structural Vector Autoregressive model of German electricity markets," Papers 2205.00975, arXiv.org.
- Ulrich, Matthias & Jahnke, Hermann & Langrock, Roland & Pesch, Robert & Senge, Robin, 2022. "Classification-based model selection in retail demand forecasting," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 38(1), pages 209-223.
- Michał Narajewski, 2022. "Probabilistic Forecasting of German Electricity Imbalance Prices," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(14), pages 1-17, July.
- Jesus Lago & Grzegorz Marcjasz & Bart De Schutter & Rafa{l} Weron, 2020.
"Forecasting day-ahead electricity prices: A review of state-of-the-art algorithms, best practices and an open-access benchmark,"
Papers
2008.08004, arXiv.org, revised Dec 2020.
- Lago, Jesus & Marcjasz, Grzegorz & De Schutter, Bart & Weron, Rafał, 2021. "Forecasting day-ahead electricity prices: A review of state-of-the-art algorithms, best practices and an open-access benchmark," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 293(C).
- Billé, Anna Gloria & Gianfreda, Angelica & Del Grosso, Filippo & Ravazzolo, Francesco, 2023.
"Forecasting electricity prices with expert, linear, and nonlinear models,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 39(2), pages 570-586.
- Anna Gloria Billé & Angelica Gianfreda & Filippo Del Grosso & Francesco Ravazzolo, 2021. "Forecasting Electricity Prices with Expert, Linear and Non-Linear Models," Working Paper series 21-20, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis.
- Micha{l} Narajewski & Florian Ziel, 2021. "Optimal bidding in hourly and quarter-hourly electricity price auctions: trading large volumes of power with market impact and transaction costs," Papers 2104.14204, arXiv.org, revised Feb 2022.
- Michał Narajewski & Florian Ziel, 2019. "Estimation and Simulation of the Transaction Arrival Process in Intraday Electricity Markets," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(23), pages 1-16, November.
- Christopher Kath & Florian Ziel, 2020. "Optimal Order Execution in Intraday Markets: Minimizing Costs in Trade Trajectories," Papers 2009.07892, arXiv.org, revised Oct 2020.
- Ismael Ahrazem Dfuf & José Manuel Mira McWilliams & María Camino González Fernández, 2019. "Multi-Output Conditional Inference Trees Applied to the Electricity Market: Variable Importance Analysis," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(6), pages 1-24, March.
- Marcel Kremer & Rüdiger Kiesel & Florentina Paraschiv, 2020. "Intraday Electricity Pricing of Night Contracts," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(17), pages 1-14, September.
- Katarzyna Maciejowska & Weronika Nitka & Tomasz Weron, 2019. "Day-Ahead vs. Intraday—Forecasting the Price Spread to Maximize Economic Benefits," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(4), pages 1-15, February.
- Hakan Acaroğlu & Fausto Pedro García Márquez, 2021. "Comprehensive Review on Electricity Market Price and Load Forecasting Based on Wind Energy," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(22), pages 1-23, November.
- Yang, Yang & Fan, Yawen & Jiang, Lan & Liu, Xiaohui, 2022. "Search query and tourism forecasting during the pandemic: When and where can digital footprints be helpful as predictors?," Annals of Tourism Research, Elsevier, vol. 93(C).
- Li, Wei & Paraschiv, Florentina, 2022. "Modelling the evolution of wind and solar power infeed forecasts," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 25(C).
- Grzegorz Marcjasz & Micha{l} Narajewski & Rafa{l} Weron & Florian Ziel, 2022.
"Distributional neural networks for electricity price forecasting,"
Papers
2207.02832, arXiv.org, revised Dec 2022.
- Marcjasz, Grzegorz & Narajewski, Michał & Weron, Rafał & Ziel, Florian, 2023. "Distributional neural networks for electricity price forecasting," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 125(C).
- Christopher Kath, 2019. "Modeling Intraday Markets under the New Advances of the Cross-Border Intraday Project (XBID): Evidence from the German Intraday Market," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(22), pages 1-35, November.
- Katarzyna Maciejowska & Bartosz Uniejewski & Tomasz Serafin, 2020.
"PCA forecast averaging - predicting day-ahead and intraday electricity prices,"
WORking papers in Management Science (WORMS)
WORMS/20/02, Department of Operations Research and Business Intelligence, Wroclaw University of Science and Technology.
- Katarzyna Maciejowska & Bartosz Uniejewski & Tomasz Serafin, 2020. "PCA Forecast Averaging—Predicting Day-Ahead and Intraday Electricity Prices," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(14), pages 1-19, July.
- Richter, Lucas & Lehna, Malte & Marchand, Sophie & Scholz, Christoph & Dreher, Alexander & Klaiber, Stefan & Lenk, Steve, 2022. "Artificial Intelligence for Electricity Supply Chain automation," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 163(C).
- Juraj Čurpek, 2019. "Time Evolution of Hurst Exponent: Czech Wholesale Electricity Market Study," European Financial and Accounting Journal, Prague University of Economics and Business, vol. 2019(3), pages 25-44.
- Lu, Shixiang & Xu, Qifa & Jiang, Cuixia & Liu, Yezheng & Kusiak, Andrew, 2022. "Probabilistic load forecasting with a non-crossing sparse-group Lasso-quantile regression deep neural network," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 242(C).
- Christopher Kath & Weronika Nitka & Tomasz Serafin & Tomasz Weron & Przemyslaw Zaleski & Rafal Weron, 2019. "Balancing RES generation: Profitability of an energy trader," HSC Research Reports HSC/19/07, Hugo Steinhaus Center, Wroclaw University of Science and Technology.
- Feng Guo & David Schlipf, 2021. "A Spectral Model of Grid Frequency for Assessing the Impact of Inertia Response on Wind Turbine Dynamics," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(9), pages 1-19, April.
- Tomasz Serafin & Grzegorz Marcjasz & Rafal Weron, 2020.
"Trading on short-term path forecasts of intraday electricity prices,"
WORking papers in Management Science (WORMS)
WORMS/20/17, Department of Operations Research and Business Intelligence, Wroclaw University of Science and Technology.
- Serafin, Tomasz & Marcjasz, Grzegorz & Weron, Rafał, 2022. "Trading on short-term path forecasts of intraday electricity prices," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 112(C).
- Narajewski, Michał & Ziel, Florian, 2022. "Optimal bidding in hourly and quarter-hourly electricity price auctions: Trading large volumes of power with market impact and transaction costs," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 110(C).
- Ilkay Oksuz & Umut Ugurlu, 2019. "Neural Network Based Model Comparison for Intraday Electricity Price Forecasting," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(23), pages 1-14, November.
- Rainer Baule & Michael Naumann, 2021. "Volatility and Dispersion of Hourly Electricity Contracts on the German Continuous Intraday Market," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(22), pages 1-24, November.
- Karpinska, Lilia & Śmiech, Sławomir, 2020. "Conceptualising housing costs: The hidden face of energy poverty in Poland," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 147(C).
- Joanna Janczura & Aleksandra Michalak, 2020. "Optimization of Electric Energy Sales Strategy Based on Probabilistic Forecasts," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(5), pages 1-16, February.
- Katarzyna Maciejowska & Bartosz Uniejewski & Rafa{l} Weron, 2022. "Forecasting Electricity Prices," Papers 2204.11735, arXiv.org.
- Janczura, Joanna & Wójcik, Edyta, 2022. "Dynamic short-term risk management strategies for the choice of electricity market based on probabilistic forecasts of profit and risk measures. The German and the Polish market case study," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 110(C).
- Grzegorz Marcjasz & Bartosz Uniejewski & Rafał Weron, 2020.
"Beating the Naïve—Combining LASSO with Naïve Intraday Electricity Price Forecasts,"
Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(7), pages 1-16, April.
- Grzegorz Marcjasz & Bartosz Uniejewski & Rafal Weron, 2020. "Beating the naive: Combining LASSO with naive intraday electricity price forecasts," WORking papers in Management Science (WORMS) WORMS/20/01, Department of Operations Research and Business Intelligence, Wroclaw University of Science and Technology.
- Maciejowska, Katarzyna & Nitka, Weronika & Weron, Tomasz, 2021. "Enhancing load, wind and solar generation for day-ahead forecasting of electricity prices," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 99(C).
- Spandagos, Constantine & Tovar Reaños, Miguel Angel & Lynch, Muireann Á., 2023. "Energy poverty prediction and effective targeting for just transitions with machine learning," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 128(C).
- Yafen Ye & Renyong Chi & Yuan-Hai Shao & Chun-Na Li & Xiangyu Hua, 2022. "Indicator Selection of Index Construction by Adaptive Lasso with a Generic $$\varepsilon $$ ε -Insensitive Loss," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 60(3), pages 971-990, October.
- Micha{l} Narajewski & Florian Ziel, 2020. "Ensemble Forecasting for Intraday Electricity Prices: Simulating Trajectories," Papers 2005.01365, arXiv.org, revised Aug 2020.
- Joanna Janczura & Andrzej Puć, 2023. "ARX-GARCH Probabilistic Price Forecasts for Diversification of Trade in Electricity Markets—Variance Stabilizing Transformation and Financial Risk-Minimizing Portfolio Allocation," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(2), pages 1-28, January.
- Micha{l} Narajewski, 2022. "Probabilistic forecasting of German electricity imbalance prices," Papers 2205.11439, arXiv.org.
- Russo, Marianna & Kraft, Emil & Bertsch, Valentin & Keles, Dogan, 2022.
"Short-term risk management of electricity retailers under rising shares of decentralized solar generation,"
Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 109(C).
- Russo, Marianna & Kraft, Emil & Bertsch, Valentin & Keles, Dogan, 2021. "Short-term risk management for electricity retailers under rising shares of decentralized solar generation," Working Paper Series in Production and Energy 57, Karlsruhe Institute of Technology (KIT), Institute for Industrial Production (IIP).
- Auer, Benjamin R. & Schuhmacher, Frank & Niemann, Sebastian, 2023. "Cloning mutual fund returns," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 90(C), pages 31-37.
- Katarzyna Maciejowska & Weronika Nitka & Tomasz Weron, 2019. "Enhancing load, wind and solar generation forecasts in day-ahead forecasting of spot and intraday electricity prices," HSC Research Reports HSC/19/08, Hugo Steinhaus Center, Wroclaw University of Science and Technology.
- Christopher Kath & Weronika Nitka & Tomasz Serafin & Tomasz Weron & Przemysław Zaleski & Rafał Weron, 2020. "Balancing Generation from Renewable Energy Sources: Profitability of an Energy Trader," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(1), pages 1-15, January.
- Kadir Özen & Dilem Yıldırım, 2021. "Application of Bagging in Day-Ahead Electricity Price Forecasting and Factor Augmentation," ERC Working Papers 2101, ERC - Economic Research Center, Middle East Technical University, revised Apr 2021.
- Micha{l} Narajewski & Florian Ziel, 2018. "Econometric modelling and forecasting of intraday electricity prices," Papers 1812.09081, arXiv.org, revised Sep 2019.
- Nazila Pourhaji & Mohammad Asadpour & Ali Ahmadian & Ali Elkamel, 2022. "The Investigation of Monthly/Seasonal Data Clustering Impact on Short-Term Electricity Price Forecasting Accuracy: Ontario Province Case Study," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(5), pages 1-14, March.
- Ayşe Özmen, 2023. "Sparse regression modeling for short- and long‐term natural gas demand prediction," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 322(2), pages 921-946, March.
- Simon Hirsch & Florian Ziel, 2023. "Multivariate Simulation-based Forecasting for Intraday Power Markets: Modelling Cross-Product Price Effects," Papers 2306.13419, arXiv.org.
- Narajewski, Michał & Ziel, Florian, 2020. "Ensemble forecasting for intraday electricity prices: Simulating trajectories," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 279(C).
- Micha{l} Narajewski & Florian Ziel, 2019. "Estimation and simulation of the transaction arrival process in intraday electricity markets," Papers 1901.09729, arXiv.org, revised Dec 2019.
- Bartosz Uniejewski & Rafal Weron, 2018.
"Efficient forecasting of electricity spot prices with expert and LASSO models,"
HSC Research Reports
HSC/18/02, Hugo Steinhaus Center, Wroclaw University of Science and Technology.
- Bartosz Uniejewski & Rafał Weron, 2018. "Efficient Forecasting of Electricity Spot Prices with Expert and LASSO Models," Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(8), pages 1-26, August.
Cited by:
- Özen, Kadir & Yıldırım, Dilem, 2021. "Application of bagging in day-ahead electricity price forecasting and factor augmentation," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 103(C).
- Narajewski, Michał & Ziel, Florian, 2020. "Econometric modelling and forecasting of intraday electricity prices," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 19(C).
- Finnah, Benedikt & Gönsch, Jochen & Ziel, Florian, 2022. "Integrated day-ahead and intraday self-schedule bidding for energy storage systems using approximate dynamic programming," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 301(2), pages 726-746.
- Stylianos Loizidis & Georgios Konstantinidis & Spyros Theocharides & Andreas Kyprianou & George E. Georghiou, 2023. "Electricity Day-Ahead Market Conditions and Their Effect on the Different Supervised Algorithms for Market Price Forecasting," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(12), pages 1-29, June.
- Jesus Lago & Grzegorz Marcjasz & Bart De Schutter & Rafa{l} Weron, 2020.
"Forecasting day-ahead electricity prices: A review of state-of-the-art algorithms, best practices and an open-access benchmark,"
Papers
2008.08004, arXiv.org, revised Dec 2020.
- Lago, Jesus & Marcjasz, Grzegorz & De Schutter, Bart & Weron, Rafał, 2021. "Forecasting day-ahead electricity prices: A review of state-of-the-art algorithms, best practices and an open-access benchmark," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 293(C).
- Haider Ali & Faheem Aslam & Paulo Ferreira, 2021. "Modeling Dynamic Multifractal Efficiency of US Electricity Market," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(19), pages 1-16, September.
- Micha{l} Narajewski & Florian Ziel, 2021. "Optimal bidding in hourly and quarter-hourly electricity price auctions: trading large volumes of power with market impact and transaction costs," Papers 2104.14204, arXiv.org, revised Feb 2022.
- Bartosz Uniejewski & Katarzyna Maciejowska, 2022.
"LASSO Principal Component Averaging -- a fully automated approach for point forecast pooling,"
Papers
2207.04794, arXiv.org.
- Uniejewski, Bartosz & Maciejowska, Katarzyna, 2023. "LASSO principal component averaging: A fully automated approach for point forecast pooling," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 39(4), pages 1839-1852.
- Grzegorz Marcjasz & Tomasz Serafin & Rafal Weron, 2018.
"Selection of calibration windows for day-ahead electricity price forecasting,"
HSC Research Reports
HSC/18/06, Hugo Steinhaus Center, Wroclaw University of Science and Technology.
- Grzegorz Marcjasz & Tomasz Serafin & Rafał Weron, 2018. "Selection of Calibration Windows for Day-Ahead Electricity Price Forecasting," Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(9), pages 1-20, September.
- Ismael Ahrazem Dfuf & José Manuel Mira McWilliams & María Camino González Fernández, 2019. "Multi-Output Conditional Inference Trees Applied to the Electricity Market: Variable Importance Analysis," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(6), pages 1-24, March.
- Kuppelwieser, Thomas & Wozabal, David, 2021. "Liquidity costs on intraday power markets: Continuous trading versus auctions," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 154(C).
- Bartosz Uniejewski & Rafal Weron, 2018.
"Efficient forecasting of electricity spot prices with expert and LASSO models,"
HSC Research Reports
HSC/18/02, Hugo Steinhaus Center, Wroclaw University of Science and Technology.
- Bartosz Uniejewski & Rafał Weron, 2018. "Efficient Forecasting of Electricity Spot Prices with Expert and LASSO Models," Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(8), pages 1-26, August.
- Uniejewski, Bartosz & Weron, Rafał, 2021.
"Regularized quantile regression averaging for probabilistic electricity price forecasting,"
Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 95(C).
- Bartosz Uniejewski & Rafal Weron, 2019. "Regularized Quantile Regression Averaging for probabilistic electricity price forecasting," HSC Research Reports HSC/19/04, Hugo Steinhaus Center, Wroclaw University of Science and Technology.
- Hakan Acaroğlu & Fausto Pedro García Márquez, 2021. "Comprehensive Review on Electricity Market Price and Load Forecasting Based on Wind Energy," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(22), pages 1-23, November.
- Katarzyna Maciejowska & Bartosz Uniejewski & Tomasz Serafin, 2020.
"PCA forecast averaging - predicting day-ahead and intraday electricity prices,"
WORking papers in Management Science (WORMS)
WORMS/20/02, Department of Operations Research and Business Intelligence, Wroclaw University of Science and Technology.
- Katarzyna Maciejowska & Bartosz Uniejewski & Tomasz Serafin, 2020. "PCA Forecast Averaging—Predicting Day-Ahead and Intraday Electricity Prices," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(14), pages 1-19, July.
- Tomasz Serafin & Bartosz Uniejewski & Rafal Weron, 2019.
"Averaging predictive distributions across calibration windows for day-ahead electricity price forecasting,"
WORking papers in Management Science (WORMS)
WORMS/19/08, Department of Operations Research and Business Intelligence, Wroclaw University of Science and Technology, revised 06 Jul 2019.
- Tomasz Serafin & Bartosz Uniejewski & Rafał Weron, 2019. "Averaging Predictive Distributions Across Calibration Windows for Day-Ahead Electricity Price Forecasting," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(13), pages 1-12, July.
- Narajewski, Michał & Ziel, Florian, 2022. "Optimal bidding in hourly and quarter-hourly electricity price auctions: Trading large volumes of power with market impact and transaction costs," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 110(C).
- Madadkhani, Shiva & Ikonnikova, Svetlana, 2024. "Toward high-resolution projection of electricity prices: A machine learning approach to quantifying the effects of high fuel and CO2 prices," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 129(C).
- Katarzyna Maciejowska & Bartosz Uniejewski & Rafa{l} Weron, 2022. "Forecasting Electricity Prices," Papers 2204.11735, arXiv.org.
- Philip Beran & Arne Vogler, 2021. "Multi-Day-Ahead Electricity Price Forecasting: A Comparison of fundamental, econometric and hybrid Models," EWL Working Papers 2102, University of Duisburg-Essen, Chair for Management Science and Energy Economics, revised Oct 2021.
- Grzegorz Marcjasz & Bartosz Uniejewski & Rafał Weron, 2020.
"Beating the Naïve—Combining LASSO with Naïve Intraday Electricity Price Forecasts,"
Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(7), pages 1-16, April.
- Grzegorz Marcjasz & Bartosz Uniejewski & Rafal Weron, 2020. "Beating the naive: Combining LASSO with naive intraday electricity price forecasts," WORking papers in Management Science (WORMS) WORMS/20/01, Department of Operations Research and Business Intelligence, Wroclaw University of Science and Technology.
- Maciejowska, Katarzyna & Nitka, Weronika & Weron, Tomasz, 2021. "Enhancing load, wind and solar generation for day-ahead forecasting of electricity prices," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 99(C).
- Demir, Sumeyra & Mincev, Krystof & Kok, Koen & Paterakis, Nikolaos G., 2021. "Data augmentation for time series regression: Applying transformations, autoencoders and adversarial networks to electricity price forecasting," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 304(C).
- Kath, Christopher & Ziel, Florian, 2021. "Conformal prediction interval estimation and applications to day-ahead and intraday power markets," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 37(2), pages 777-799.
- Miguel Pinhão & Miguel Fonseca & Ricardo Covas, 2022. "Electricity Spot Price Forecast by Modelling Supply and Demand Curve," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 10(12), pages 1-20, June.
- Bartosz Uniejewski & Grzegorz Marcjasz & Rafal Weron, 2018.
"Understanding intraday electricity markets: Variable selection and very short-term price forecasting using LASSO,"
HSC Research Reports
HSC/18/07, Hugo Steinhaus Center, Wroclaw University of Science and Technology.
- Uniejewski, Bartosz & Marcjasz, Grzegorz & Weron, Rafał, 2019. "Understanding intraday electricity markets: Variable selection and very short-term price forecasting using LASSO," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 35(4), pages 1533-1547.
- Arkadiusz Jedrzejewski & Grzegorz Marcjasz & Rafal Weron, 2021.
"Importance of the long-term seasonal component in day-ahead electricity price forecasting revisited: Parameter-rich models estimated via the LASSO,"
WORking papers in Management Science (WORMS)
WORMS/21/04, Department of Operations Research and Business Intelligence, Wroclaw University of Science and Technology.
- Arkadiusz Jędrzejewski & Grzegorz Marcjasz & Rafał Weron, 2021. "Importance of the Long-Term Seasonal Component in Day-Ahead Electricity Price Forecasting Revisited: Parameter-Rich Models Estimated via the LASSO," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(11), pages 1-17, June.
- Katarzyna Hubicka & Grzegorz Marcjasz & Rafal Weron, 2018. "A note on averaging day-ahead electricity price forecasts across calibration windows," HSC Research Reports HSC/18/03, Hugo Steinhaus Center, Wroclaw University of Science and Technology.
- Katarzyna Maciejowska & Weronika Nitka & Tomasz Weron, 2019. "Enhancing load, wind and solar generation forecasts in day-ahead forecasting of spot and intraday electricity prices," HSC Research Reports HSC/19/08, Hugo Steinhaus Center, Wroclaw University of Science and Technology.
- Kadir Özen & Dilem Yıldırım, 2021. "Application of Bagging in Day-Ahead Electricity Price Forecasting and Factor Augmentation," ERC Working Papers 2101, ERC - Economic Research Center, Middle East Technical University, revised Apr 2021.
- Micha{l} Narajewski & Florian Ziel, 2018. "Econometric modelling and forecasting of intraday electricity prices," Papers 1812.09081, arXiv.org, revised Sep 2019.
- Pedro Bento & Hugo Nunes & José Pombo & Maria do Rosário Calado & Sílvio Mariano, 2019. "Daily Operation Optimization of a Hybrid Energy System Considering a Short-Term Electricity Price Forecast Scheme," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(5), pages 1-25, March.
- Mihail Busu, 2020. "Analyzing the Impact of the Renewable Energy Sources on Economic Growth at the EU Level Using an ARDL Model," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 8(8), pages 1-18, August.
- Grzegorz Marcjasz & Bartosz Uniejewski & Rafal Weron, 2018.
"Probabilistic electricity price forecasting with NARX networks: Combine point or probabilistic forecasts?,"
HSC Research Reports
HSC/18/05, Hugo Steinhaus Center, Wroclaw University of Science and Technology.
- Marcjasz, Grzegorz & Uniejewski, Bartosz & Weron, Rafał, 2020. "Probabilistic electricity price forecasting with NARX networks: Combine point or probabilistic forecasts?," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 36(2), pages 466-479.
Cited by:
- Jiang, Ping & Nie, Ying & Wang, Jianzhou & Huang, Xiaojia, 2023. "Multivariable short-term electricity price forecasting using artificial intelligence and multi-input multi-output scheme," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 117(C).
- Arne Vogler & Florian Ziel, "undated". "On The Evaluation Of Binary Event Probability Predictions In Electricity Price Forecasting," EWL Working Papers 1911, University of Duisburg-Essen, Chair for Management Science and Energy Economics.
- Oliver Grothe & Fabian Kachele & Fabian Kruger, 2022. "From point forecasts to multivariate probabilistic forecasts: The Schaake shuffle for day-ahead electricity price forecasting," Papers 2204.10154, arXiv.org.
- Jonathan Berrisch & Florian Ziel, 2023. "Multivariate Probabilistic CRPS Learning with an Application to Day-Ahead Electricity Prices," Papers 2303.10019, arXiv.org, revised Feb 2024.
- Daniel Manfre Jaimes & Manuel Zamudio López & Hamidreza Zareipour & Mike Quashie, 2023. "A Hybrid Model for Multi-Day-Ahead Electricity Price Forecasting considering Price Spikes," Forecasting, MDPI, vol. 5(3), pages 1-23, July.
- Jozef Barunik & Lubos Hanus, 2023. "Learning Probability Distributions of Day-Ahead Electricity Prices," Papers 2310.02867, arXiv.org, revised Oct 2023.
- Bartosz Uniejewski, 2023. "Electricity price forecasting with Smoothing Quantile Regression Averaging: Quantifying economic benefits of probabilistic forecasts," Papers 2302.00411, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2024.
- Mira Watermeyer & Thomas Mobius & Oliver Grothe & Felix Musgens, 2023. "A hybrid model for day-ahead electricity price forecasting: Combining fundamental and stochastic modelling," Papers 2304.09336, arXiv.org.
- Uniejewski, Bartosz & Weron, Rafał, 2021.
"Regularized quantile regression averaging for probabilistic electricity price forecasting,"
Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 95(C).
- Bartosz Uniejewski & Rafal Weron, 2019. "Regularized Quantile Regression Averaging for probabilistic electricity price forecasting," HSC Research Reports HSC/19/04, Hugo Steinhaus Center, Wroclaw University of Science and Technology.
- Weronika Nitka & Rafa{l} Weron, 2023.
"Combining predictive distributions of electricity prices: Does minimizing the CRPS lead to optimal decisions in day-ahead bidding?,"
Papers
2308.15443, arXiv.org.
- Weronika Nitka & Rafał Weron, 2023. "Combining predictive distributions of electricity prices. Does minimizing the CRPS lead to optimal decisions in day-ahead bidding?," Operations Research and Decisions, Wroclaw University of Science and Technology, Faculty of Management, vol. 33(3), pages 105-118.
- Lee, Juyong & Cho, Youngsang, 2022. "National-scale electricity peak load forecasting: Traditional, machine learning, or hybrid model?," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 239(PD).
- Grzegorz Marcjasz & Micha{l} Narajewski & Rafa{l} Weron & Florian Ziel, 2022.
"Distributional neural networks for electricity price forecasting,"
Papers
2207.02832, arXiv.org, revised Dec 2022.
- Marcjasz, Grzegorz & Narajewski, Michał & Weron, Rafał & Ziel, Florian, 2023. "Distributional neural networks for electricity price forecasting," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 125(C).
- Tomasz Serafin & Bartosz Uniejewski & Rafal Weron, 2019.
"Averaging predictive distributions across calibration windows for day-ahead electricity price forecasting,"
WORking papers in Management Science (WORMS)
WORMS/19/08, Department of Operations Research and Business Intelligence, Wroclaw University of Science and Technology, revised 06 Jul 2019.
- Tomasz Serafin & Bartosz Uniejewski & Rafał Weron, 2019. "Averaging Predictive Distributions Across Calibration Windows for Day-Ahead Electricity Price Forecasting," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(13), pages 1-12, July.
- Grothe, Oliver & Kächele, Fabian & Krüger, Fabian, 2023. "From point forecasts to multivariate probabilistic forecasts: The Schaake shuffle for day-ahead electricity price forecasting," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 120(C).
- Tomasz Serafin & Grzegorz Marcjasz & Rafal Weron, 2020.
"Trading on short-term path forecasts of intraday electricity prices,"
WORking papers in Management Science (WORMS)
WORMS/20/17, Department of Operations Research and Business Intelligence, Wroclaw University of Science and Technology.
- Serafin, Tomasz & Marcjasz, Grzegorz & Weron, Rafał, 2022. "Trading on short-term path forecasts of intraday electricity prices," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 112(C).
- Nie, Ying & Li, Ping & Wang, Jianzhou & Zhang, Lifang, 2024. "A novel multivariate electrical price bi-forecasting system based on deep learning, a multi-input multi-output structure and an operator combination mechanism," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 366(C).
- Saâdaoui, Foued & Ben Jabeur, Sami, 2023. "Analyzing the influence of geopolitical risks on European power prices using a multiresolution causal neural network," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 124(C).
- Katarzyna Maciejowska & Bartosz Uniejewski & Rafa{l} Weron, 2022. "Forecasting Electricity Prices," Papers 2204.11735, arXiv.org.
- Juyong Lee & Youngsang Cho, 2021. "National-scale electricity peak load forecasting: Traditional, machine learning, or hybrid model?," Papers 2107.06174, arXiv.org.
- Sheybanivaziri, Samaneh & Le Dréau, Jérôme & Kazmi, Hussain, 2024. "Forecasting price spikes in day-ahead electricity markets: techniques, challenges, and the road ahead," Discussion Papers 2024/1, Norwegian School of Economics, Department of Business and Management Science.
- Stephen Haben & Julien Caudron & Jake Verma, 2021. "Probabilistic Day-Ahead Wholesale Price Forecast: A Case Study in Great Britain," Forecasting, MDPI, vol. 3(3), pages 1-37, August.
- Elmore, Clay T. & Dowling, Alexander W., 2021. "Learning spatiotemporal dynamics in wholesale energy markets with dynamic mode decomposition," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 232(C).
- Micha{l} Narajewski & Florian Ziel, 2020. "Ensemble Forecasting for Intraday Electricity Prices: Simulating Trajectories," Papers 2005.01365, arXiv.org, revised Aug 2020.
- Lehna, Malte & Scheller, Fabian & Herwartz, Helmut, 2022. "Forecasting day-ahead electricity prices: A comparison of time series and neural network models taking external regressors into account," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 106(C).
- Monjazeb, Mohammad Reza & Amiri, Hossein & Movahedi, Akram, 2024. "Wholesale electricity price forecasting by Quantile Regression and Kalman Filter method," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 290(C).
- Arne Vogler & Florian Ziel, 2021. "Event-Based Evaluation of Electricity Price Ensemble Forecasts," Forecasting, MDPI, vol. 4(1), pages 1-21, December.
- Grzegorz Marcjasz & Bartosz Uniejewski & Rafal Weron, 2017.
"Importance of the long-term seasonal component in day-ahead electricity price forecasting revisited: Neural network models,"
HSC Research Reports
HSC/17/03, Hugo Steinhaus Center, Wroclaw University of Science and Technology.
Cited by:
- Ismail Shah & Hasnain Iftikhar & Sajid Ali & Depeng Wang, 2019. "Short-Term Electricity Demand Forecasting Using Components Estimation Technique," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(13), pages 1-17, July.
- Grzegorz Marcjasz & Tomasz Serafin & Rafal Weron, 2018.
"Selection of calibration windows for day-ahead electricity price forecasting,"
HSC Research Reports
HSC/18/06, Hugo Steinhaus Center, Wroclaw University of Science and Technology.
- Grzegorz Marcjasz & Tomasz Serafin & Rafał Weron, 2018. "Selection of Calibration Windows for Day-Ahead Electricity Price Forecasting," Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(9), pages 1-20, September.
- Marcjasz, Grzegorz & Uniejewski, Bartosz & Weron, Rafał, 2019. "On the importance of the long-term seasonal component in day-ahead electricity price forecasting with NARX neural networks," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 35(4), pages 1520-1532.
- Bartosz Uniejewski & Rafal Weron, 2018.
"Efficient forecasting of electricity spot prices with expert and LASSO models,"
HSC Research Reports
HSC/18/02, Hugo Steinhaus Center, Wroclaw University of Science and Technology.
- Bartosz Uniejewski & Rafał Weron, 2018. "Efficient Forecasting of Electricity Spot Prices with Expert and LASSO Models," Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(8), pages 1-26, August.
- Rafal Weron & Florian Ziel, 2018.
"Electricity price forecasting,"
HSC Research Reports
HSC/18/08, Hugo Steinhaus Center, Wroclaw University of Science and Technology.
- Katarzyna Maciejowska & Rafal Weron, 2019. "Electricity price forecasting," HSC Research Reports HSC/19/01, Hugo Steinhaus Center, Wroclaw University of Science and Technology.
- Christian Giovanelli & Seppo Sierla & Ryutaro Ichise & Valeriy Vyatkin, 2018. "Exploiting Artificial Neural Networks for the Prediction of Ancillary Energy Market Prices," Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(7), pages 1-22, July.
- Carlo Fezzi & Luca Mosetti, 2018. "Size matters: Estimation sample length and electricity price forecasting accuracy," DEM Working Papers 2018/10, Department of Economics and Management.
- Marcjasz, Grzegorz & Uniejewski, Bartosz & Weron, Rafał, 2020.
"Probabilistic electricity price forecasting with NARX networks: Combine point or probabilistic forecasts?,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 36(2), pages 466-479.
- Grzegorz Marcjasz & Bartosz Uniejewski & Rafal Weron, 2018. "Probabilistic electricity price forecasting with NARX networks: Combine point or probabilistic forecasts?," HSC Research Reports HSC/18/05, Hugo Steinhaus Center, Wroclaw University of Science and Technology.
- Rinne, Sonja, 2018. "Radioinactive: Are nuclear power plant outages in France contagious to the German electricity price?," CIW Discussion Papers 3/2018, University of Münster, Center for Interdisciplinary Economics (CIW).
- Katarzyna Hubicka & Grzegorz Marcjasz & Rafal Weron, 2018. "A note on averaging day-ahead electricity price forecasts across calibration windows," HSC Research Reports HSC/18/03, Hugo Steinhaus Center, Wroclaw University of Science and Technology.
- Ziel, Florian & Weron, Rafał, 2018.
"Day-ahead electricity price forecasting with high-dimensional structures: Univariate vs. multivariate modeling frameworks,"
Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 396-420.
- Florian Ziel & Rafal Weron, 2018. "Day-ahead electricity price forecasting with high-dimensional structures: Univariate vs. multivariate modeling frameworks," Papers 1805.06649, arXiv.org.
- Bartosz Uniejewski & Grzegorz Marcjasz & Rafal Weron, 2017.
"On the importance of the long-term seasonal component in day-ahead electricity price forecasting. Part II – Probabilistic forecasting,"
HSC Research Reports
HSC/17/02, Hugo Steinhaus Center, Wroclaw University of Science and Technology.
- Uniejewski, Bartosz & Marcjasz, Grzegorz & Weron, Rafał, 2019. "On the importance of the long-term seasonal component in day-ahead electricity price forecasting: Part II — Probabilistic forecasting," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 79(C), pages 171-182.
Cited by:
- Lu, Xin & Qiu, Jing & Lei, Gang & Zhu, Jianguo, 2022. "Scenarios modelling for forecasting day-ahead electricity prices: Case studies in Australia," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 308(C).
- Guo, Bowei & Newbery, David, 2021.
"The cost of uncoupling GB interconnectors,"
Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 158(C).
- Guo, B. & Newbery, D., 2021. "The cost of uncoupling GB interconnectors," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 2118, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
- Bowei Guo & David Newbery, 2021. "The cost of uncoupling GB interconnectors," Working Papers EPRG2102, Energy Policy Research Group, Cambridge Judge Business School, University of Cambridge.
- Finnah, Benedikt & Gönsch, Jochen & Ziel, Florian, 2022. "Integrated day-ahead and intraday self-schedule bidding for energy storage systems using approximate dynamic programming," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 301(2), pages 726-746.
- Shao, Zhen & Zheng, Qingru & Yang, Shanlin & Gao, Fei & Cheng, Manli & Zhang, Qiang & Liu, Chen, 2020. "Modeling and forecasting the electricity clearing price: A novel BELM based pattern classification framework and a comparative analytic study on multi-layer BELM and LSTM," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 86(C).
- Jesus Lago & Grzegorz Marcjasz & Bart De Schutter & Rafa{l} Weron, 2020.
"Forecasting day-ahead electricity prices: A review of state-of-the-art algorithms, best practices and an open-access benchmark,"
Papers
2008.08004, arXiv.org, revised Dec 2020.
- Lago, Jesus & Marcjasz, Grzegorz & De Schutter, Bart & Weron, Rafał, 2021. "Forecasting day-ahead electricity prices: A review of state-of-the-art algorithms, best practices and an open-access benchmark," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 293(C).
- Ismail Shah & Hasnain Iftikhar & Sajid Ali & Depeng Wang, 2019. "Short-Term Electricity Demand Forecasting Using Components Estimation Technique," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(13), pages 1-17, July.
- Grzegorz Marcjasz & Tomasz Serafin & Rafal Weron, 2018.
"Selection of calibration windows for day-ahead electricity price forecasting,"
HSC Research Reports
HSC/18/06, Hugo Steinhaus Center, Wroclaw University of Science and Technology.
- Grzegorz Marcjasz & Tomasz Serafin & Rafał Weron, 2018. "Selection of Calibration Windows for Day-Ahead Electricity Price Forecasting," Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(9), pages 1-20, September.
- Marcjasz, Grzegorz & Uniejewski, Bartosz & Weron, Rafał, 2019. "On the importance of the long-term seasonal component in day-ahead electricity price forecasting with NARX neural networks," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 35(4), pages 1520-1532.
- Mira Watermeyer & Thomas Mobius & Oliver Grothe & Felix Musgens, 2023. "A hybrid model for day-ahead electricity price forecasting: Combining fundamental and stochastic modelling," Papers 2304.09336, arXiv.org.
- Bartosz Uniejewski & Rafal Weron, 2018.
"Efficient forecasting of electricity spot prices with expert and LASSO models,"
HSC Research Reports
HSC/18/02, Hugo Steinhaus Center, Wroclaw University of Science and Technology.
- Bartosz Uniejewski & Rafał Weron, 2018. "Efficient Forecasting of Electricity Spot Prices with Expert and LASSO Models," Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(8), pages 1-26, August.
- Uniejewski, Bartosz & Weron, Rafał, 2021.
"Regularized quantile regression averaging for probabilistic electricity price forecasting,"
Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 95(C).
- Bartosz Uniejewski & Rafal Weron, 2019. "Regularized Quantile Regression Averaging for probabilistic electricity price forecasting," HSC Research Reports HSC/19/04, Hugo Steinhaus Center, Wroclaw University of Science and Technology.
- Tomasz Zema & Adam Sulich, 2022. "Models of Electricity Price Forecasting: Bibliometric Research," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(15), pages 1-18, August.
- Macedo, Daniela Pereira & Marques, António Cardoso & Damette, Olivier, 2020. "The impact of the integration of renewable energy sources in the electricity price formation: is the Merit-Order Effect occurring in Portugal?," Utilities Policy, Elsevier, vol. 66(C).
- Grzegorz Marcjasz & Micha{l} Narajewski & Rafa{l} Weron & Florian Ziel, 2022.
"Distributional neural networks for electricity price forecasting,"
Papers
2207.02832, arXiv.org, revised Dec 2022.
- Marcjasz, Grzegorz & Narajewski, Michał & Weron, Rafał & Ziel, Florian, 2023. "Distributional neural networks for electricity price forecasting," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 125(C).
- Rafal Weron & Florian Ziel, 2018.
"Electricity price forecasting,"
HSC Research Reports
HSC/18/08, Hugo Steinhaus Center, Wroclaw University of Science and Technology.
- Katarzyna Maciejowska & Rafal Weron, 2019. "Electricity price forecasting," HSC Research Reports HSC/19/01, Hugo Steinhaus Center, Wroclaw University of Science and Technology.
- Katarzyna Maciejowska & Bartosz Uniejewski & Tomasz Serafin, 2020.
"PCA forecast averaging - predicting day-ahead and intraday electricity prices,"
WORking papers in Management Science (WORMS)
WORMS/20/02, Department of Operations Research and Business Intelligence, Wroclaw University of Science and Technology.
- Katarzyna Maciejowska & Bartosz Uniejewski & Tomasz Serafin, 2020. "PCA Forecast Averaging—Predicting Day-Ahead and Intraday Electricity Prices," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(14), pages 1-19, July.
- Tomasz Serafin & Bartosz Uniejewski & Rafal Weron, 2019.
"Averaging predictive distributions across calibration windows for day-ahead electricity price forecasting,"
WORking papers in Management Science (WORMS)
WORMS/19/08, Department of Operations Research and Business Intelligence, Wroclaw University of Science and Technology, revised 06 Jul 2019.
- Tomasz Serafin & Bartosz Uniejewski & Rafał Weron, 2019. "Averaging Predictive Distributions Across Calibration Windows for Day-Ahead Electricity Price Forecasting," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(13), pages 1-12, July.
- Tomasz Serafin & Grzegorz Marcjasz & Rafal Weron, 2020.
"Trading on short-term path forecasts of intraday electricity prices,"
WORking papers in Management Science (WORMS)
WORMS/20/17, Department of Operations Research and Business Intelligence, Wroclaw University of Science and Technology.
- Serafin, Tomasz & Marcjasz, Grzegorz & Weron, Rafał, 2022. "Trading on short-term path forecasts of intraday electricity prices," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 112(C).
- Narajewski, Michał & Ziel, Florian, 2022. "Optimal bidding in hourly and quarter-hourly electricity price auctions: Trading large volumes of power with market impact and transaction costs," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 110(C).
- Katarzyna Maciejowska & Bartosz Uniejewski & Rafa{l} Weron, 2022. "Forecasting Electricity Prices," Papers 2204.11735, arXiv.org.
- Christian Giovanelli & Seppo Sierla & Ryutaro Ichise & Valeriy Vyatkin, 2018. "Exploiting Artificial Neural Networks for the Prediction of Ancillary Energy Market Prices," Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(7), pages 1-22, July.
- Janczura, Joanna & Wójcik, Edyta, 2022. "Dynamic short-term risk management strategies for the choice of electricity market based on probabilistic forecasts of profit and risk measures. The German and the Polish market case study," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 110(C).
- Grzegorz Marcjasz & Bartosz Uniejewski & Rafał Weron, 2020.
"Beating the Naïve—Combining LASSO with Naïve Intraday Electricity Price Forecasts,"
Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(7), pages 1-16, April.
- Grzegorz Marcjasz & Bartosz Uniejewski & Rafal Weron, 2020. "Beating the naive: Combining LASSO with naive intraday electricity price forecasts," WORking papers in Management Science (WORMS) WORMS/20/01, Department of Operations Research and Business Intelligence, Wroclaw University of Science and Technology.
- Maciejowska, Katarzyna & Nitka, Weronika & Weron, Tomasz, 2021. "Enhancing load, wind and solar generation for day-ahead forecasting of electricity prices," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 99(C).
- Sheybanivaziri, Samaneh & Le Dréau, Jérôme & Kazmi, Hussain, 2024. "Forecasting price spikes in day-ahead electricity markets: techniques, challenges, and the road ahead," Discussion Papers 2024/1, Norwegian School of Economics, Department of Business and Management Science.
- Stephen Haben & Julien Caudron & Jake Verma, 2021. "Probabilistic Day-Ahead Wholesale Price Forecast: A Case Study in Great Britain," Forecasting, MDPI, vol. 3(3), pages 1-37, August.
- Grzegorz Marcjasz & Bartosz Uniejewski & Rafal Weron, 2017. "Importance of the long-term seasonal component in day-ahead electricity price forecasting revisited: Neural network models," HSC Research Reports HSC/17/03, Hugo Steinhaus Center, Wroclaw University of Science and Technology.
- Carlo Fezzi & Luca Mosetti, 2018. "Size matters: Estimation sample length and electricity price forecasting accuracy," DEM Working Papers 2018/10, Department of Economics and Management.
- Marcjasz, Grzegorz & Uniejewski, Bartosz & Weron, Rafał, 2020.
"Probabilistic electricity price forecasting with NARX networks: Combine point or probabilistic forecasts?,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 36(2), pages 466-479.
- Grzegorz Marcjasz & Bartosz Uniejewski & Rafal Weron, 2018. "Probabilistic electricity price forecasting with NARX networks: Combine point or probabilistic forecasts?," HSC Research Reports HSC/18/05, Hugo Steinhaus Center, Wroclaw University of Science and Technology.
- Anna Brdulak & Grażyna Chaberek & Jacek Jagodziński, 2020. "Determination of Electricity Demand by Personal Light Electric Vehicles (PLEVs): An Example of e-Motor Scooters in the Context of Large City Management in Poland," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(1), pages 1-18, January.
- Rinne, Sonja, 2018. "Radioinactive: Are nuclear power plant outages in France contagious to the German electricity price?," CIW Discussion Papers 3/2018, University of Münster, Center for Interdisciplinary Economics (CIW).
- Micha{l} Narajewski & Florian Ziel, 2020. "Ensemble Forecasting for Intraday Electricity Prices: Simulating Trajectories," Papers 2005.01365, arXiv.org, revised Aug 2020.
- Usman Zafar & Neil Kellard & Dmitri Vinogradov, 2022. "Multistage optimization filter for trend‐based short‐term forecasting," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 41(2), pages 345-360, March.
- Arkadiusz Jedrzejewski & Grzegorz Marcjasz & Rafal Weron, 2021.
"Importance of the long-term seasonal component in day-ahead electricity price forecasting revisited: Parameter-rich models estimated via the LASSO,"
WORking papers in Management Science (WORMS)
WORMS/21/04, Department of Operations Research and Business Intelligence, Wroclaw University of Science and Technology.
- Arkadiusz Jędrzejewski & Grzegorz Marcjasz & Rafał Weron, 2021. "Importance of the Long-Term Seasonal Component in Day-Ahead Electricity Price Forecasting Revisited: Parameter-Rich Models Estimated via the LASSO," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(11), pages 1-17, June.
- Katarzyna Hubicka & Grzegorz Marcjasz & Rafal Weron, 2018. "A note on averaging day-ahead electricity price forecasts across calibration windows," HSC Research Reports HSC/18/03, Hugo Steinhaus Center, Wroclaw University of Science and Technology.
- Nijolė MAKNICKIENĖ & Jelena STANKEVIČIENĖ & Algirdas MAKNICKAS, 2020. "Comparison of Forex Market Forecasting Tools Based on Evolino Ensemble and Technical Analysis Indicators," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(3), pages 134-148, September.
- Katarzyna Maciejowska & Weronika Nitka & Tomasz Weron, 2019. "Enhancing load, wind and solar generation forecasts in day-ahead forecasting of spot and intraday electricity prices," HSC Research Reports HSC/19/08, Hugo Steinhaus Center, Wroclaw University of Science and Technology.
- Ziel, Florian & Weron, Rafał, 2018.
"Day-ahead electricity price forecasting with high-dimensional structures: Univariate vs. multivariate modeling frameworks,"
Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 396-420.
- Florian Ziel & Rafal Weron, 2018. "Day-ahead electricity price forecasting with high-dimensional structures: Univariate vs. multivariate modeling frameworks," Papers 1805.06649, arXiv.org.
- Arne Vogler & Florian Ziel, 2021. "Event-Based Evaluation of Electricity Price Ensemble Forecasts," Forecasting, MDPI, vol. 4(1), pages 1-21, December.
- Narajewski, Michał & Ziel, Florian, 2020. "Ensemble forecasting for intraday electricity prices: Simulating trajectories," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 279(C).
- Bartosz Uniejewski & Rafal Weron & Florian Ziel, 2017.
"Variance stabilizing transformations for electricity spot price forecasting,"
HSC Research Reports
HSC/17/01, Hugo Steinhaus Center, Wroclaw University of Science and Technology.
Cited by:
- Tim Janke & Florian Steinke, 2019. "Forecasting the Price Distribution of Continuous Intraday Electricity Trading," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(22), pages 1-14, November.
- Nowotarski, Jakub & Weron, Rafał, 2018.
"Recent advances in electricity price forecasting: A review of probabilistic forecasting,"
Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 81(P1), pages 1548-1568.
- Jakub Nowotarski & Rafal Weron, 2016. "Recent advances in electricity price forecasting: A review of probabilistic forecasting," HSC Research Reports HSC/16/07, Hugo Steinhaus Center, Wroclaw University of Science and Technology.
- Michał Narajewski, 2022. "Probabilistic Forecasting of German Electricity Imbalance Prices," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(14), pages 1-17, July.
- Micha{l} Narajewski & Florian Ziel, 2021. "Optimal bidding in hourly and quarter-hourly electricity price auctions: trading large volumes of power with market impact and transaction costs," Papers 2104.14204, arXiv.org, revised Feb 2022.
- Grzegorz Marcjasz & Tomasz Serafin & Rafal Weron, 2018.
"Selection of calibration windows for day-ahead electricity price forecasting,"
HSC Research Reports
HSC/18/06, Hugo Steinhaus Center, Wroclaw University of Science and Technology.
- Grzegorz Marcjasz & Tomasz Serafin & Rafał Weron, 2018. "Selection of Calibration Windows for Day-Ahead Electricity Price Forecasting," Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(9), pages 1-20, September.
- Christopher Kath & Florian Ziel, 2018. "The value of forecasts: Quantifying the economic gains of accurate quarter-hourly electricity price forecasts," Papers 1811.08604, arXiv.org.
- Sergei Kulakov, 2020. "X-Model: Further Development and Possible Modifications," Forecasting, MDPI, vol. 2(1), pages 1-16, February.
- Paul Ghelasi & Florian Ziel, 2024. "From day-ahead to mid and long-term horizons with econometric electricity price forecasting models," Papers 2406.00326, arXiv.org, revised Aug 2024.
- Bartosz Uniejewski & Rafal Weron, 2018.
"Efficient forecasting of electricity spot prices with expert and LASSO models,"
HSC Research Reports
HSC/18/02, Hugo Steinhaus Center, Wroclaw University of Science and Technology.
- Bartosz Uniejewski & Rafał Weron, 2018. "Efficient Forecasting of Electricity Spot Prices with Expert and LASSO Models," Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(8), pages 1-26, August.
- Uniejewski, Bartosz & Weron, Rafał, 2021.
"Regularized quantile regression averaging for probabilistic electricity price forecasting,"
Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 95(C).
- Bartosz Uniejewski & Rafal Weron, 2019. "Regularized Quantile Regression Averaging for probabilistic electricity price forecasting," HSC Research Reports HSC/19/04, Hugo Steinhaus Center, Wroclaw University of Science and Technology.
- Umut Ugurlu & Ilkay Oksuz & Oktay Tas, 2018. "Electricity Price Forecasting Using Recurrent Neural Networks," Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(5), pages 1-23, May.
- Rafal Weron & Florian Ziel, 2018.
"Electricity price forecasting,"
HSC Research Reports
HSC/18/08, Hugo Steinhaus Center, Wroclaw University of Science and Technology.
- Katarzyna Maciejowska & Rafal Weron, 2019. "Electricity price forecasting," HSC Research Reports HSC/19/01, Hugo Steinhaus Center, Wroclaw University of Science and Technology.
- Christopher Kath, 2019. "Modeling Intraday Markets under the New Advances of the Cross-Border Intraday Project (XBID): Evidence from the German Intraday Market," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(22), pages 1-35, November.
- Tomasz Serafin & Bartosz Uniejewski & Rafal Weron, 2019.
"Averaging predictive distributions across calibration windows for day-ahead electricity price forecasting,"
WORking papers in Management Science (WORMS)
WORMS/19/08, Department of Operations Research and Business Intelligence, Wroclaw University of Science and Technology, revised 06 Jul 2019.
- Tomasz Serafin & Bartosz Uniejewski & Rafał Weron, 2019. "Averaging Predictive Distributions Across Calibration Windows for Day-Ahead Electricity Price Forecasting," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(13), pages 1-12, July.
- Juraj Čurpek, 2019. "Time Evolution of Hurst Exponent: Czech Wholesale Electricity Market Study," European Financial and Accounting Journal, Prague University of Economics and Business, vol. 2019(3), pages 25-44.
- Mwampashi, Muthe Mathias & Nikitopoulos, Christina Sklibosios & Konstandatos, Otto & Rai, Alan, 2021.
"Wind generation and the dynamics of electricity prices in Australia,"
Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 103(C).
- Muthe Mathias Mwampashi & Christina Sklibosios Nikitopoulos & Otto Konstandatos & Alan Rai, 2020. "Wind Generation and the Dynamics of Electricity Prices in Australia," Research Paper Series 416, Quantitative Finance Research Centre, University of Technology, Sydney.
- Narajewski, Michał & Ziel, Florian, 2022. "Optimal bidding in hourly and quarter-hourly electricity price auctions: Trading large volumes of power with market impact and transaction costs," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 110(C).
- Kılıç Depren, Serpil & Kartal, Mustafa Tevfik & Ertuğrul, Hasan Murat & Depren, Özer, 2022. "The role of data frequency and method selection in electricity price estimation: Comparative evidence from Turkey in pre-pandemic and pandemic periods," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 186(C), pages 217-225.
- Derek W. Bunn & Angelica Gianfreda & Stefan Kermer, 2018. "A Trading-Based Evaluation of Density Forecasts in a Real-Time Electricity Market," Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(10), pages 1-13, October.
- Sheybanivaziri, Samaneh & Le Dréau, Jérôme & Kazmi, Hussain, 2024. "Forecasting price spikes in day-ahead electricity markets: techniques, challenges, and the road ahead," Discussion Papers 2024/1, Norwegian School of Economics, Department of Business and Management Science.
- Taylor, James W., 2021. "Evaluating quantile-bounded and expectile-bounded interval forecasts," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 37(2), pages 800-811.
- Rodrigo A. de Marcos & Antonio Bello & Javier Reneses, 2019. "Short-Term Electricity Price Forecasting with a Composite Fundamental-Econometric Hybrid Methodology," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(6), pages 1-15, March.
- Carlo Fezzi & Luca Mosetti, 2018. "Size matters: Estimation sample length and electricity price forecasting accuracy," DEM Working Papers 2018/10, Department of Economics and Management.
- Chanatásig-Niza, Evelyn & Ciarreta, Aitor & Zarraga, Ainhoa, 2022. "A volatility spillover analysis with realized semi(co)variances in Australian electricity markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 111(C).
- Sergei Kulakov, 2019. "X-model: further development and possible modifications," Papers 1907.09206, arXiv.org.
- Bartosz Uniejewski & Grzegorz Marcjasz & Rafal Weron, 2018.
"Understanding intraday electricity markets: Variable selection and very short-term price forecasting using LASSO,"
HSC Research Reports
HSC/18/07, Hugo Steinhaus Center, Wroclaw University of Science and Technology.
- Uniejewski, Bartosz & Marcjasz, Grzegorz & Weron, Rafał, 2019. "Understanding intraday electricity markets: Variable selection and very short-term price forecasting using LASSO," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 35(4), pages 1533-1547.
- Tim Janke & Florian Steinke, 2020. "Probabilistic multivariate electricity price forecasting using implicit generative ensemble post-processing," Papers 2005.13417, arXiv.org.
- Micha{l} Narajewski, 2022. "Probabilistic forecasting of German electricity imbalance prices," Papers 2205.11439, arXiv.org.
- Katarzyna Hubicka & Grzegorz Marcjasz & Rafal Weron, 2018. "A note on averaging day-ahead electricity price forecasts across calibration windows," HSC Research Reports HSC/18/03, Hugo Steinhaus Center, Wroclaw University of Science and Technology.
- Micha{l} Narajewski & Florian Ziel, 2018. "Econometric modelling and forecasting of intraday electricity prices," Papers 1812.09081, arXiv.org, revised Sep 2019.
- Kahvecioğlu, Gökçe & Morton, David P. & Wagner, Michael J., 2022. "Dispatch optimization of a concentrating solar power system under uncertain solar irradiance and energy prices," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 326(C).
- Cramer, Eike & Witthaut, Dirk & Mitsos, Alexander & Dahmen, Manuel, 2023. "Multivariate probabilistic forecasting of intraday electricity prices using normalizing flows," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 346(C).
- Florian Ziel & Kevin Berk, 2019. "Multivariate Forecasting Evaluation: On Sensitive and Strictly Proper Scoring Rules," Papers 1910.07325, arXiv.org.
- Ziel, Florian & Weron, Rafał, 2018.
"Day-ahead electricity price forecasting with high-dimensional structures: Univariate vs. multivariate modeling frameworks,"
Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 396-420.
- Florian Ziel & Rafal Weron, 2018. "Day-ahead electricity price forecasting with high-dimensional structures: Univariate vs. multivariate modeling frameworks," Papers 1805.06649, arXiv.org.
- Rodrigo A. de Marcos & Derek W. Bunn & Antonio Bello & Javier Reneses, 2020. "Short-Term Electricity Price Forecasting with Recurrent Regimes and Structural Breaks," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(20), pages 1-14, October.
- Bartosz Uniejewski & Jakub Nowotarski & Rafal Weron, 2016.
"Automated variable selection and shrinkage for day-ahead electricity price forecasting,"
HSC Research Reports
HSC/16/06, Hugo Steinhaus Center, Wroclaw University of Science and Technology.
- Bartosz Uniejewski & Jakub Nowotarski & Rafał Weron, 2016. "Automated Variable Selection and Shrinkage for Day-Ahead Electricity Price Forecasting," Energies, MDPI, vol. 9(8), pages 1-22, August.
Cited by:
- Özen, Kadir & Yıldırım, Dilem, 2021. "Application of bagging in day-ahead electricity price forecasting and factor augmentation," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 103(C).
- Renato Fernandes & Isabel Soares, 2022. "Reviewing Explanatory Methodologies of Electricity Markets: An Application to the Iberian Market," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(14), pages 1-17, July.
- Nowotarski, Jakub & Weron, Rafał, 2018.
"Recent advances in electricity price forecasting: A review of probabilistic forecasting,"
Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 81(P1), pages 1548-1568.
- Jakub Nowotarski & Rafal Weron, 2016. "Recent advances in electricity price forecasting: A review of probabilistic forecasting," HSC Research Reports HSC/16/07, Hugo Steinhaus Center, Wroclaw University of Science and Technology.
- Lago, Jesus & De Ridder, Fjo & Vrancx, Peter & De Schutter, Bart, 2018. "Forecasting day-ahead electricity prices in Europe: The importance of considering market integration," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 211(C), pages 890-903.
- Satre-Meloy, Aven, 2019. "Investigating structural and occupant drivers of annual residential electricity consumption using regularization in regression models," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 174(C), pages 148-168.
- Jesus Lago & Grzegorz Marcjasz & Bart De Schutter & Rafa{l} Weron, 2020.
"Forecasting day-ahead electricity prices: A review of state-of-the-art algorithms, best practices and an open-access benchmark,"
Papers
2008.08004, arXiv.org, revised Dec 2020.
- Lago, Jesus & Marcjasz, Grzegorz & De Schutter, Bart & Weron, Rafał, 2021. "Forecasting day-ahead electricity prices: A review of state-of-the-art algorithms, best practices and an open-access benchmark," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 293(C).
- Kin G. Olivares & Cristian Challu & Grzegorz Marcjasz & Rafal Weron & Artur Dubrawski, 2021.
"Neural basis expansion analysis with exogenous variables: Forecasting electricity prices with NBEATSx,"
WORking papers in Management Science (WORMS)
WORMS/21/07, Department of Operations Research and Business Intelligence, Wroclaw University of Science and Technology.
- Olivares, Kin G. & Challu, Cristian & Marcjasz, Grzegorz & Weron, Rafał & Dubrawski, Artur, 2023. "Neural basis expansion analysis with exogenous variables: Forecasting electricity prices with NBEATSx," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 39(2), pages 884-900.
- Bartosz Uniejewski & Katarzyna Maciejowska, 2022.
"LASSO Principal Component Averaging -- a fully automated approach for point forecast pooling,"
Papers
2207.04794, arXiv.org.
- Uniejewski, Bartosz & Maciejowska, Katarzyna, 2023. "LASSO principal component averaging: A fully automated approach for point forecast pooling," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 39(4), pages 1839-1852.
- Angelica Gianfreda & Francesco Ravazzolo & Luca Rossini, 2018.
"Comparing the Forecasting Performances of Linear Models for Electricity Prices with High RES Penetration,"
Working Papers
No 2/2018, Centre for Applied Macro- and Petroleum economics (CAMP), BI Norwegian Business School.
- Gianfreda, Angelica & Ravazzolo, Francesco & Rossini, Luca, 2020. "Comparing the forecasting performances of linear models for electricity prices with high RES penetration," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 36(3), pages 974-986.
- Angelica Gianfreda & Francesco Ravazzolo & Luca Rossini, 2018. "Comparing the Forecasting Performances of Linear Models for Electricity Prices with High RES Penetration," Papers 1801.01093, arXiv.org, revised Nov 2019.
- Jozef Barunik & Lubos Hanus, 2023. "Learning Probability Distributions of Day-Ahead Electricity Prices," Papers 2310.02867, arXiv.org, revised Oct 2023.
- Bartosz Uniejewski, 2023. "Electricity price forecasting with Smoothing Quantile Regression Averaging: Quantifying economic benefits of probabilistic forecasts," Papers 2302.00411, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2024.
- Grzegorz Marcjasz & Tomasz Serafin & Rafal Weron, 2018.
"Selection of calibration windows for day-ahead electricity price forecasting,"
HSC Research Reports
HSC/18/06, Hugo Steinhaus Center, Wroclaw University of Science and Technology.
- Grzegorz Marcjasz & Tomasz Serafin & Rafał Weron, 2018. "Selection of Calibration Windows for Day-Ahead Electricity Price Forecasting," Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(9), pages 1-20, September.
- Ismael Ahrazem Dfuf & José Manuel Mira McWilliams & María Camino González Fernández, 2019. "Multi-Output Conditional Inference Trees Applied to the Electricity Market: Variable Importance Analysis," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(6), pages 1-24, March.
- Christopher Kath & Florian Ziel, 2018. "The value of forecasts: Quantifying the economic gains of accurate quarter-hourly electricity price forecasts," Papers 1811.08604, arXiv.org.
- Bartosz Uniejewski & Grzegorz Marcjasz & Rafal Weron, 2017.
"On the importance of the long-term seasonal component in day-ahead electricity price forecasting. Part II – Probabilistic forecasting,"
HSC Research Reports
HSC/17/02, Hugo Steinhaus Center, Wroclaw University of Science and Technology.
- Uniejewski, Bartosz & Marcjasz, Grzegorz & Weron, Rafał, 2019. "On the importance of the long-term seasonal component in day-ahead electricity price forecasting: Part II — Probabilistic forecasting," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 79(C), pages 171-182.
- Marcjasz, Grzegorz & Uniejewski, Bartosz & Weron, Rafał, 2019. "On the importance of the long-term seasonal component in day-ahead electricity price forecasting with NARX neural networks," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 35(4), pages 1520-1532.
- Sergei Kulakov, 2020. "X-Model: Further Development and Possible Modifications," Forecasting, MDPI, vol. 2(1), pages 1-16, February.
- Bartosz Uniejewski & Rafal Weron, 2018.
"Efficient forecasting of electricity spot prices with expert and LASSO models,"
HSC Research Reports
HSC/18/02, Hugo Steinhaus Center, Wroclaw University of Science and Technology.
- Bartosz Uniejewski & Rafał Weron, 2018. "Efficient Forecasting of Electricity Spot Prices with Expert and LASSO Models," Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(8), pages 1-26, August.
- Uniejewski, Bartosz & Weron, Rafał, 2021.
"Regularized quantile regression averaging for probabilistic electricity price forecasting,"
Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 95(C).
- Bartosz Uniejewski & Rafal Weron, 2019. "Regularized Quantile Regression Averaging for probabilistic electricity price forecasting," HSC Research Reports HSC/19/04, Hugo Steinhaus Center, Wroclaw University of Science and Technology.
- Hakan Acaroğlu & Fausto Pedro García Márquez, 2021. "Comprehensive Review on Electricity Market Price and Load Forecasting Based on Wind Energy," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(22), pages 1-23, November.
- Li, Wei & Becker, Denis Mike, 2021. "Day-ahead electricity price prediction applying hybrid models of LSTM-based deep learning methods and feature selection algorithms under consideration of market coupling," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 237(C).
- Štefan Bojnec & Alan Križaj, 2021. "Electricity Markets during the Liberalization: The Case of a European Union Country," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(14), pages 1-21, July.
- Umut Ugurlu & Ilkay Oksuz & Oktay Tas, 2018. "Electricity Price Forecasting Using Recurrent Neural Networks," Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(5), pages 1-23, May.
- Rafal Weron & Florian Ziel, 2018.
"Electricity price forecasting,"
HSC Research Reports
HSC/18/08, Hugo Steinhaus Center, Wroclaw University of Science and Technology.
- Katarzyna Maciejowska & Rafal Weron, 2019. "Electricity price forecasting," HSC Research Reports HSC/19/01, Hugo Steinhaus Center, Wroclaw University of Science and Technology.
- Linian Wang & Jianghong Liu & Huibin Zhang & Leye Wang, 2024. "Revisiting Day-ahead Electricity Price: Simple Model Save Millions," Papers 2405.14893, arXiv.org, revised Aug 2024.
- Bartosz Uniejewski, 2024. "Regularization for electricity price forecasting," Papers 2404.03968, arXiv.org.
- Halužan, Marko & Verbič, Miroslav & Zorić, Jelena, 2020. "Performance of alternative electricity price forecasting methods: Findings from the Greek and Hungarian power exchanges," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 277(C).
- Rafał Trzaska & Adam Sulich & Michał Organa & Jerzy Niemczyk & Bartosz Jasiński, 2021. "Digitalization Business Strategies in Energy Sector: Solving Problems with Uncertainty under Industry 4.0 Conditions," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(23), pages 1-21, November.
- Madadkhani, Shiva & Ikonnikova, Svetlana, 2024. "Toward high-resolution projection of electricity prices: A machine learning approach to quantifying the effects of high fuel and CO2 prices," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 129(C).
- Katarzyna Maciejowska & Bartosz Uniejewski & Rafa{l} Weron, 2022. "Forecasting Electricity Prices," Papers 2204.11735, arXiv.org.
- Umut Ugurlu & Oktay Tas & Aycan Kaya & Ilkay Oksuz, 2018. "The Financial Effect of the Electricity Price Forecasts’ Inaccuracy on a Hydro-Based Generation Company," Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(8), pages 1-19, August.
- Grzegorz Marcjasz & Bartosz Uniejewski & Rafał Weron, 2020.
"Beating the Naïve—Combining LASSO with Naïve Intraday Electricity Price Forecasts,"
Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(7), pages 1-16, April.
- Grzegorz Marcjasz & Bartosz Uniejewski & Rafal Weron, 2020. "Beating the naive: Combining LASSO with naive intraday electricity price forecasts," WORking papers in Management Science (WORMS) WORMS/20/01, Department of Operations Research and Business Intelligence, Wroclaw University of Science and Technology.
- Botman, Lola & Lago, Jesus & Fu, Xiaohan & Chia, Keaton & Wolf, Jesse & Kleissl, Jan & De Moor, Bart, 2024. "Building plug load mode detection, forecasting and scheduling," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 364(C).
- Maciejowska, Katarzyna & Nitka, Weronika & Weron, Tomasz, 2021. "Enhancing load, wind and solar generation for day-ahead forecasting of electricity prices," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 99(C).
- Sheybanivaziri, Samaneh & Le Dréau, Jérôme & Kazmi, Hussain, 2024. "Forecasting price spikes in day-ahead electricity markets: techniques, challenges, and the road ahead," Discussion Papers 2024/1, Norwegian School of Economics, Department of Business and Management Science.
- Demir, Sumeyra & Mincev, Krystof & Kok, Koen & Paterakis, Nikolaos G., 2021. "Data augmentation for time series regression: Applying transformations, autoencoders and adversarial networks to electricity price forecasting," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 304(C).
- Bartosz Uniejewski & Rafal Weron & Florian Ziel, 2017. "Variance stabilizing transformations for electricity spot price forecasting," HSC Research Reports HSC/17/01, Hugo Steinhaus Center, Wroclaw University of Science and Technology.
- Nikodinoska, Dragana & Käso, Mathias & Müsgens, Felix, 2022. "Solar and wind power generation forecasts using elastic net in time-varying forecast combinations," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 306(PA).
- Rodrigo A. de Marcos & Antonio Bello & Javier Reneses, 2019. "Short-Term Electricity Price Forecasting with a Composite Fundamental-Econometric Hybrid Methodology," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(6), pages 1-15, March.
- Muniain, Peru & Ziel, Florian, 2020. "Probabilistic forecasting in day-ahead electricity markets: Simulating peak and off-peak prices," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 36(4), pages 1193-1210.
- Grzegorz Marcjasz & Bartosz Uniejewski & Rafal Weron, 2017. "Importance of the long-term seasonal component in day-ahead electricity price forecasting revisited: Neural network models," HSC Research Reports HSC/17/03, Hugo Steinhaus Center, Wroclaw University of Science and Technology.
- Marcjasz, Grzegorz & Uniejewski, Bartosz & Weron, Rafał, 2020.
"Probabilistic electricity price forecasting with NARX networks: Combine point or probabilistic forecasts?,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 36(2), pages 466-479.
- Grzegorz Marcjasz & Bartosz Uniejewski & Rafal Weron, 2018. "Probabilistic electricity price forecasting with NARX networks: Combine point or probabilistic forecasts?," HSC Research Reports HSC/18/05, Hugo Steinhaus Center, Wroclaw University of Science and Technology.
- Micha{l} Narajewski & Florian Ziel, 2020. "Ensemble Forecasting for Intraday Electricity Prices: Simulating Trajectories," Papers 2005.01365, arXiv.org, revised Aug 2020.
- Miguel Pinhão & Miguel Fonseca & Ricardo Covas, 2022. "Electricity Spot Price Forecast by Modelling Supply and Demand Curve," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 10(12), pages 1-20, June.
- Usman Zafar & Neil Kellard & Dmitri Vinogradov, 2022. "Multistage optimization filter for trend‐based short‐term forecasting," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 41(2), pages 345-360, March.
- Bartosz Uniejewski & Grzegorz Marcjasz & Rafal Weron, 2018.
"Understanding intraday electricity markets: Variable selection and very short-term price forecasting using LASSO,"
HSC Research Reports
HSC/18/07, Hugo Steinhaus Center, Wroclaw University of Science and Technology.
- Uniejewski, Bartosz & Marcjasz, Grzegorz & Weron, Rafał, 2019. "Understanding intraday electricity markets: Variable selection and very short-term price forecasting using LASSO," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 35(4), pages 1533-1547.
- Grzegorz Marcjasz, 2020. "Forecasting Electricity Prices Using Deep Neural Networks: A Robust Hyper-Parameter Selection Scheme," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(18), pages 1-18, September.
- Peru Muniain & Florian Ziel, 2018. "Probabilistic Forecasting in Day-Ahead Electricity Markets: Simulating Peak and Off-Peak Prices," Papers 1810.08418, arXiv.org, revised Dec 2019.
- Florian Ziel & Rafal Weron, 2016. "Day-ahead electricity price forecasting with high-dimensional structures: Univariate vs. multivariate models," HSC Research Reports HSC/16/08, Hugo Steinhaus Center, Wroclaw University of Science and Technology.
- Rostami-Tabar, Bahman & Ziel, Florian, 2022. "Anticipating special events in Emergency Department forecasting," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 38(3), pages 1197-1213.
- Arkadiusz Jedrzejewski & Grzegorz Marcjasz & Rafal Weron, 2021.
"Importance of the long-term seasonal component in day-ahead electricity price forecasting revisited: Parameter-rich models estimated via the LASSO,"
WORking papers in Management Science (WORMS)
WORMS/21/04, Department of Operations Research and Business Intelligence, Wroclaw University of Science and Technology.
- Arkadiusz Jędrzejewski & Grzegorz Marcjasz & Rafał Weron, 2021. "Importance of the Long-Term Seasonal Component in Day-Ahead Electricity Price Forecasting Revisited: Parameter-Rich Models Estimated via the LASSO," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(11), pages 1-17, June.
- Kath, Christopher & Ziel, Florian, 2018. "The value of forecasts: Quantifying the economic gains of accurate quarter-hourly electricity price forecasts," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 411-423.
- Katarzyna Maciejowska & Weronika Nitka & Tomasz Weron, 2019. "Enhancing load, wind and solar generation forecasts in day-ahead forecasting of spot and intraday electricity prices," HSC Research Reports HSC/19/08, Hugo Steinhaus Center, Wroclaw University of Science and Technology.
- Samarth Kumar & David Schönheit & Matthew Schmidt & Dominik Möst, 2019. "Parsing the Effects of Wind and Solar Generation on the German Electricity Trade Surplus," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(18), pages 1-17, September.
- Kadir Özen & Dilem Yıldırım, 2021. "Application of Bagging in Day-Ahead Electricity Price Forecasting and Factor Augmentation," ERC Working Papers 2101, ERC - Economic Research Center, Middle East Technical University, revised Apr 2021.
- Florian Ziel, 2020. "Load Nowcasting: Predicting Actuals with Limited Data," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(6), pages 1-15, March.
- Manuel Zamudio López & Hamidreza Zareipour & Mike Quashie, 2024. "Forecasting the Occurrence of Electricity Price Spikes: A Statistical-Economic Investigation Study," Forecasting, MDPI, vol. 6(1), pages 1-23, February.
- Javier Contreras, 2017. "Forecasting Models of Electricity Prices," Energies, MDPI, vol. 10(2), pages 1-2, January.
- Grzegorz Marcjasz & Jesus Lago & Rafa{l} Weron, 2020. "Neural networks in day-ahead electricity price forecasting: Single vs. multiple outputs," Papers 2008.08006, arXiv.org.
- Lago, Jesus & De Ridder, Fjo & De Schutter, Bart, 2018. "Forecasting spot electricity prices: Deep learning approaches and empirical comparison of traditional algorithms," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 221(C), pages 386-405.
- Ziel, Florian & Weron, Rafał, 2018.
"Day-ahead electricity price forecasting with high-dimensional structures: Univariate vs. multivariate modeling frameworks,"
Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 396-420.
- Florian Ziel & Rafal Weron, 2018. "Day-ahead electricity price forecasting with high-dimensional structures: Univariate vs. multivariate modeling frameworks," Papers 1805.06649, arXiv.org.
- Narajewski, Michał & Ziel, Florian, 2020. "Ensemble forecasting for intraday electricity prices: Simulating trajectories," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 279(C).
- Hain, Martin & Kargus, Tobias & Schermeyer, Hans & Uhrig-Homburg, Marliese & Fichtner, Wolf, 2022. "An electricity price modeling framework for renewable-dominant markets," Working Paper Series in Production and Energy 66, Karlsruhe Institute of Technology (KIT), Institute for Industrial Production (IIP).
Articles
- Uniejewski, Bartosz & Maciejowska, Katarzyna, 2023.
"LASSO principal component averaging: A fully automated approach for point forecast pooling,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 39(4), pages 1839-1852.
See citations under working paper version above.
- Bartosz Uniejewski & Katarzyna Maciejowska, 2022. "LASSO Principal Component Averaging -- a fully automated approach for point forecast pooling," Papers 2207.04794, arXiv.org.
- Uniejewski, Bartosz & Weron, Rafał, 2021.
"Regularized quantile regression averaging for probabilistic electricity price forecasting,"
Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 95(C).
See citations under working paper version above.
- Bartosz Uniejewski & Rafal Weron, 2019. "Regularized Quantile Regression Averaging for probabilistic electricity price forecasting," HSC Research Reports HSC/19/04, Hugo Steinhaus Center, Wroclaw University of Science and Technology.
- Katarzyna Maciejowska & Bartosz Uniejewski & Tomasz Serafin, 2020.
"PCA Forecast Averaging—Predicting Day-Ahead and Intraday Electricity Prices,"
Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(14), pages 1-19, July.
See citations under working paper version above.
- Katarzyna Maciejowska & Bartosz Uniejewski & Tomasz Serafin, 2020. "PCA forecast averaging - predicting day-ahead and intraday electricity prices," WORking papers in Management Science (WORMS) WORMS/20/02, Department of Operations Research and Business Intelligence, Wroclaw University of Science and Technology.
- Grzegorz Marcjasz & Bartosz Uniejewski & Rafał Weron, 2020.
"Beating the Naïve—Combining LASSO with Naïve Intraday Electricity Price Forecasts,"
Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(7), pages 1-16, April.
See citations under working paper version above.
- Grzegorz Marcjasz & Bartosz Uniejewski & Rafal Weron, 2020. "Beating the naive: Combining LASSO with naive intraday electricity price forecasts," WORking papers in Management Science (WORMS) WORMS/20/01, Department of Operations Research and Business Intelligence, Wroclaw University of Science and Technology.
- Marcjasz, Grzegorz & Uniejewski, Bartosz & Weron, Rafał, 2020.
"Probabilistic electricity price forecasting with NARX networks: Combine point or probabilistic forecasts?,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 36(2), pages 466-479.
See citations under working paper version above.
- Grzegorz Marcjasz & Bartosz Uniejewski & Rafal Weron, 2018. "Probabilistic electricity price forecasting with NARX networks: Combine point or probabilistic forecasts?," HSC Research Reports HSC/18/05, Hugo Steinhaus Center, Wroclaw University of Science and Technology.
- Uniejewski, Bartosz & Marcjasz, Grzegorz & Weron, Rafał, 2019.
"Understanding intraday electricity markets: Variable selection and very short-term price forecasting using LASSO,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 35(4), pages 1533-1547.
See citations under working paper version above.
- Bartosz Uniejewski & Grzegorz Marcjasz & Rafal Weron, 2018. "Understanding intraday electricity markets: Variable selection and very short-term price forecasting using LASSO," HSC Research Reports HSC/18/07, Hugo Steinhaus Center, Wroclaw University of Science and Technology.
- Marcjasz, Grzegorz & Uniejewski, Bartosz & Weron, Rafał, 2019.
"On the importance of the long-term seasonal component in day-ahead electricity price forecasting with NARX neural networks,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 35(4), pages 1520-1532.
Cited by:
- Guo, Bowei & Newbery, David, 2021.
"The cost of uncoupling GB interconnectors,"
Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 158(C).
- Guo, B. & Newbery, D., 2021. "The cost of uncoupling GB interconnectors," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 2118, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
- Bowei Guo & David Newbery, 2021. "The cost of uncoupling GB interconnectors," Working Papers EPRG2102, Energy Policy Research Group, Cambridge Judge Business School, University of Cambridge.
- Finnah, Benedikt & Gönsch, Jochen & Ziel, Florian, 2022. "Integrated day-ahead and intraday self-schedule bidding for energy storage systems using approximate dynamic programming," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 301(2), pages 726-746.
- Abdelrahman E. E. Eltoukhy & Ibrahim Abdelfadeel Shaban & Felix T. S. Chan & Mohammad A. M. Abdel-Aal, 2020. "Data Analytics for Predicting COVID-19 Cases in Top Affected Countries: Observations and Recommendations," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 17(19), pages 1-25, September.
- Jesus Lago & Grzegorz Marcjasz & Bart De Schutter & Rafa{l} Weron, 2020.
"Forecasting day-ahead electricity prices: A review of state-of-the-art algorithms, best practices and an open-access benchmark,"
Papers
2008.08004, arXiv.org, revised Dec 2020.
- Lago, Jesus & Marcjasz, Grzegorz & De Schutter, Bart & Weron, Rafał, 2021. "Forecasting day-ahead electricity prices: A review of state-of-the-art algorithms, best practices and an open-access benchmark," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 293(C).
- Ismail Shah & Hasnain Iftikhar & Sajid Ali & Depeng Wang, 2019. "Short-Term Electricity Demand Forecasting Using Components Estimation Technique," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(13), pages 1-17, July.
- Daniel Manfre Jaimes & Manuel Zamudio López & Hamidreza Zareipour & Mike Quashie, 2023. "A Hybrid Model for Multi-Day-Ahead Electricity Price Forecasting considering Price Spikes," Forecasting, MDPI, vol. 5(3), pages 1-23, July.
- Grzegorz Marcjasz & Tomasz Serafin & Rafal Weron, 2018.
"Selection of calibration windows for day-ahead electricity price forecasting,"
HSC Research Reports
HSC/18/06, Hugo Steinhaus Center, Wroclaw University of Science and Technology.
- Grzegorz Marcjasz & Tomasz Serafin & Rafał Weron, 2018. "Selection of Calibration Windows for Day-Ahead Electricity Price Forecasting," Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(9), pages 1-20, September.
- Petropoulos, Fotios & Apiletti, Daniele & Assimakopoulos, Vassilios & Babai, Mohamed Zied & Barrow, Devon K. & Ben Taieb, Souhaib & Bergmeir, Christoph & Bessa, Ricardo J. & Bijak, Jakub & Boylan, Joh, 2022.
"Forecasting: theory and practice,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 38(3), pages 705-871.
- Fotios Petropoulos & Daniele Apiletti & Vassilios Assimakopoulos & Mohamed Zied Babai & Devon K. Barrow & Souhaib Ben Taieb & Christoph Bergmeir & Ricardo J. Bessa & Jakub Bijak & John E. Boylan & Jet, 2020. "Forecasting: theory and practice," Papers 2012.03854, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2022.
- Bartosz Uniejewski & Grzegorz Marcjasz & Rafal Weron, 2017.
"On the importance of the long-term seasonal component in day-ahead electricity price forecasting. Part II – Probabilistic forecasting,"
HSC Research Reports
HSC/17/02, Hugo Steinhaus Center, Wroclaw University of Science and Technology.
- Uniejewski, Bartosz & Marcjasz, Grzegorz & Weron, Rafał, 2019. "On the importance of the long-term seasonal component in day-ahead electricity price forecasting: Part II — Probabilistic forecasting," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 79(C), pages 171-182.
- Mira Watermeyer & Thomas Mobius & Oliver Grothe & Felix Musgens, 2023. "A hybrid model for day-ahead electricity price forecasting: Combining fundamental and stochastic modelling," Papers 2304.09336, arXiv.org.
- Bartosz Uniejewski & Rafal Weron, 2018.
"Efficient forecasting of electricity spot prices with expert and LASSO models,"
HSC Research Reports
HSC/18/02, Hugo Steinhaus Center, Wroclaw University of Science and Technology.
- Bartosz Uniejewski & Rafał Weron, 2018. "Efficient Forecasting of Electricity Spot Prices with Expert and LASSO Models," Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(8), pages 1-26, August.
- Eric Cebekhulu & Adeiza James Onumanyi & Sherrin John Isaac, 2022. "Performance Analysis of Machine Learning Algorithms for Energy Demand–Supply Prediction in Smart Grids," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(5), pages 1-26, February.
- Tomasz Zema & Adam Sulich, 2022. "Models of Electricity Price Forecasting: Bibliometric Research," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(15), pages 1-18, August.
- Grzegorz Marcjasz & Micha{l} Narajewski & Rafa{l} Weron & Florian Ziel, 2022.
"Distributional neural networks for electricity price forecasting,"
Papers
2207.02832, arXiv.org, revised Dec 2022.
- Marcjasz, Grzegorz & Narajewski, Michał & Weron, Rafał & Ziel, Florian, 2023. "Distributional neural networks for electricity price forecasting," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 125(C).
- Ethem Çanakoğlu & Esra Adıyeke, 2020. "Comparison of Electricity Spot Price Modelling and Risk Management Applications," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(18), pages 1-22, September.
- Lu, Shixiang & Xu, Qifa & Jiang, Cuixia & Liu, Yezheng & Kusiak, Andrew, 2022. "Probabilistic load forecasting with a non-crossing sparse-group Lasso-quantile regression deep neural network," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 242(C).
- Katarzyna Maciejowska & Bartosz Uniejewski & Rafa{l} Weron, 2022. "Forecasting Electricity Prices," Papers 2204.11735, arXiv.org.
- Kılıç Depren, Serpil & Kartal, Mustafa Tevfik & Ertuğrul, Hasan Murat & Depren, Özer, 2022. "The role of data frequency and method selection in electricity price estimation: Comparative evidence from Turkey in pre-pandemic and pandemic periods," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 186(C), pages 217-225.
- Christian Giovanelli & Seppo Sierla & Ryutaro Ichise & Valeriy Vyatkin, 2018. "Exploiting Artificial Neural Networks for the Prediction of Ancillary Energy Market Prices," Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(7), pages 1-22, July.
- Shao, Zhen & Yang, Yudie & Zheng, Qingru & Zhou, Kaile & Liu, Chen & Yang, Shanlin, 2022. "A pattern classification methodology for interval forecasts of short-term electricity prices based on hybrid deep neural networks: A comparative analysis," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 327(C).
- Janczura, Joanna & Wójcik, Edyta, 2022. "Dynamic short-term risk management strategies for the choice of electricity market based on probabilistic forecasts of profit and risk measures. The German and the Polish market case study," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 110(C).
- Grzegorz Marcjasz & Bartosz Uniejewski & Rafał Weron, 2020.
"Beating the Naïve—Combining LASSO with Naïve Intraday Electricity Price Forecasts,"
Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(7), pages 1-16, April.
- Grzegorz Marcjasz & Bartosz Uniejewski & Rafal Weron, 2020. "Beating the naive: Combining LASSO with naive intraday electricity price forecasts," WORking papers in Management Science (WORMS) WORMS/20/01, Department of Operations Research and Business Intelligence, Wroclaw University of Science and Technology.
- Wagner, Andreas & Ramentol, Enislay & Schirra, Florian & Michaeli, Hendrik, 2022. "Short- and long-term forecasting of electricity prices using embedding of calendar information in neural networks," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 28(C).
- Sheybanivaziri, Samaneh & Le Dréau, Jérôme & Kazmi, Hussain, 2024. "Forecasting price spikes in day-ahead electricity markets: techniques, challenges, and the road ahead," Discussion Papers 2024/1, Norwegian School of Economics, Department of Business and Management Science.
- Anshuman Satapathy & Niranjan Nayak & Tanmoy Parida, 2022. "Real-Time Power Quality Enhancement in a Hybrid Micro-Grid Using Nonlinear Autoregressive Neural Network," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(23), pages 1-35, November.
- Yu, Vincent F. & Le, Thi Huynh Anh & Gupta, Jatinder N.D., 2022. "Sustainable microgrid design with multiple demand areas and peer-to-peer energy trading involving seasonal factors and uncertainties," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 161(C).
- Carlo Fezzi & Luca Mosetti, 2018. "Size matters: Estimation sample length and electricity price forecasting accuracy," DEM Working Papers 2018/10, Department of Economics and Management.
- Marcjasz, Grzegorz & Uniejewski, Bartosz & Weron, Rafał, 2020.
"Probabilistic electricity price forecasting with NARX networks: Combine point or probabilistic forecasts?,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 36(2), pages 466-479.
- Grzegorz Marcjasz & Bartosz Uniejewski & Rafal Weron, 2018. "Probabilistic electricity price forecasting with NARX networks: Combine point or probabilistic forecasts?," HSC Research Reports HSC/18/05, Hugo Steinhaus Center, Wroclaw University of Science and Technology.
- Anna Brdulak & Grażyna Chaberek & Jacek Jagodziński, 2020. "Determination of Electricity Demand by Personal Light Electric Vehicles (PLEVs): An Example of e-Motor Scooters in the Context of Large City Management in Poland," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(1), pages 1-18, January.
- Usman Zafar & Neil Kellard & Dmitri Vinogradov, 2022. "Multistage optimization filter for trend‐based short‐term forecasting," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 41(2), pages 345-360, March.
- Grzegorz Marcjasz, 2020. "Forecasting Electricity Prices Using Deep Neural Networks: A Robust Hyper-Parameter Selection Scheme," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(18), pages 1-18, September.
- Arkadiusz Jedrzejewski & Grzegorz Marcjasz & Rafal Weron, 2021.
"Importance of the long-term seasonal component in day-ahead electricity price forecasting revisited: Parameter-rich models estimated via the LASSO,"
WORking papers in Management Science (WORMS)
WORMS/21/04, Department of Operations Research and Business Intelligence, Wroclaw University of Science and Technology.
- Arkadiusz Jędrzejewski & Grzegorz Marcjasz & Rafał Weron, 2021. "Importance of the Long-Term Seasonal Component in Day-Ahead Electricity Price Forecasting Revisited: Parameter-Rich Models Estimated via the LASSO," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(11), pages 1-17, June.
- Katarzyna Hubicka & Grzegorz Marcjasz & Rafal Weron, 2018. "A note on averaging day-ahead electricity price forecasts across calibration windows," HSC Research Reports HSC/18/03, Hugo Steinhaus Center, Wroclaw University of Science and Technology.
- Silvia Golia & Luigi Grossi & Matteo Pelagatti, 2022. "Machine Learning Models and Intra-Daily Market Information for the Prediction of Italian Electricity Prices," Forecasting, MDPI, vol. 5(1), pages 1-21, December.
- Grzegorz Marcjasz & Jesus Lago & Rafa{l} Weron, 2020. "Neural networks in day-ahead electricity price forecasting: Single vs. multiple outputs," Papers 2008.08006, arXiv.org.
- Ziel, Florian & Weron, Rafał, 2018.
"Day-ahead electricity price forecasting with high-dimensional structures: Univariate vs. multivariate modeling frameworks,"
Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 396-420.
- Florian Ziel & Rafal Weron, 2018. "Day-ahead electricity price forecasting with high-dimensional structures: Univariate vs. multivariate modeling frameworks," Papers 1805.06649, arXiv.org.
- Guo, Bowei & Newbery, David, 2021.
"The cost of uncoupling GB interconnectors,"
Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 158(C).
- Tomasz Serafin & Bartosz Uniejewski & Rafał Weron, 2019.
"Averaging Predictive Distributions Across Calibration Windows for Day-Ahead Electricity Price Forecasting,"
Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(13), pages 1-12, July.
See citations under working paper version above.
- Tomasz Serafin & Bartosz Uniejewski & Rafal Weron, 2019. "Averaging predictive distributions across calibration windows for day-ahead electricity price forecasting," WORking papers in Management Science (WORMS) WORMS/19/08, Department of Operations Research and Business Intelligence, Wroclaw University of Science and Technology, revised 06 Jul 2019.
- Uniejewski, Bartosz & Marcjasz, Grzegorz & Weron, Rafał, 2019.
"On the importance of the long-term seasonal component in day-ahead electricity price forecasting: Part II — Probabilistic forecasting,"
Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 79(C), pages 171-182.
See citations under working paper version above.
- Bartosz Uniejewski & Grzegorz Marcjasz & Rafal Weron, 2017. "On the importance of the long-term seasonal component in day-ahead electricity price forecasting. Part II – Probabilistic forecasting," HSC Research Reports HSC/17/02, Hugo Steinhaus Center, Wroclaw University of Science and Technology.
- Bartosz Uniejewski & Rafał Weron, 2018.
"Efficient Forecasting of Electricity Spot Prices with Expert and LASSO Models,"
Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(8), pages 1-26, August.
See citations under working paper version above.
- Bartosz Uniejewski & Rafal Weron, 2018. "Efficient forecasting of electricity spot prices with expert and LASSO models," HSC Research Reports HSC/18/02, Hugo Steinhaus Center, Wroclaw University of Science and Technology.
- Bartosz Uniejewski & Jakub Nowotarski & Rafał Weron, 2016.
"Automated Variable Selection and Shrinkage for Day-Ahead Electricity Price Forecasting,"
Energies, MDPI, vol. 9(8), pages 1-22, August.
See citations under working paper version above.
- Bartosz Uniejewski & Jakub Nowotarski & Rafal Weron, 2016. "Automated variable selection and shrinkage for day-ahead electricity price forecasting," HSC Research Reports HSC/16/06, Hugo Steinhaus Center, Wroclaw University of Science and Technology.
Software components
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Sorry, no citations of software components recorded.