Conformal prediction interval estimation and applications to day-ahead and intraday power markets
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DOI: 10.1016/j.ijforecast.2020.09.006
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Citations
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- Dean Fantazzini, 2024.
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- Fantazzini, Dean, 2024. "Adaptive Conformal Inference for computing Market Risk Measures: an Analysis with Four Thousands Crypto-Assets," MPRA Paper 121214, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Jan Niklas Buescher & Daria Gottwald & Florian Momm & Alexander Zureck, 2022. "Impact of the COVID-19 Pandemic Crisis on the Efficiency of European Intraday Electricity Markets," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(10), pages 1-21, May.
- Oliver Grothe & Fabian Kachele & Fabian Kruger, 2022. "From point forecasts to multivariate probabilistic forecasts: The Schaake shuffle for day-ahead electricity price forecasting," Papers 2204.10154, arXiv.org.
- Ajroldi, Niccolò & Diquigiovanni, Jacopo & Fontana, Matteo & Vantini, Simone, 2023. "Conformal prediction bands for two-dimensional functional time series," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 187(C).
- Arkadiusz Lipiecki & Bartosz Uniejewski & Rafa{l} Weron, 2024. "Postprocessing of point predictions for probabilistic forecasting of day-ahead electricity prices: The benefits of using isotonic distributional regression," Papers 2404.02270, arXiv.org, revised Oct 2024.
- Grothe, Oliver & Kächele, Fabian & Krüger, Fabian, 2023. "From point forecasts to multivariate probabilistic forecasts: The Schaake shuffle for day-ahead electricity price forecasting," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 120(C).
- Katarzyna Maciejowska & Bartosz Uniejewski & Rafa{l} Weron, 2022. "Forecasting Electricity Prices," Papers 2204.11735, arXiv.org.
- Maria da Graça Ruano & Antonio Ruano, 2024. "A Multi-Step Ensemble Approach for Energy Community Day-Ahead Net Load Point and Probabilistic Forecasting," Energies, MDPI, vol. 17(3), pages 1-49, January.
- Ciaran O'Connor & Joseph Collins & Steven Prestwich & Andrea Visentin, 2024. "Electricity Price Forecasting in the Irish Balancing Market," Papers 2402.06714, arXiv.org.
- Niccol`o Ajroldi & Jacopo Diquigiovanni & Matteo Fontana & Simone Vantini, 2022. "Conformal Prediction Bands for Two-Dimensional Functional Time Series," Papers 2207.13656, arXiv.org, revised Jul 2023.
- Sheybanivaziri, Samaneh & Le Dréau, Jérôme & Kazmi, Hussain, 2024. "Forecasting price spikes in day-ahead electricity markets: techniques, challenges, and the road ahead," Discussion Papers 2024/1, Norwegian School of Economics, Department of Business and Management Science.
- Stephen Haben & Julien Caudron & Jake Verma, 2021. "Probabilistic Day-Ahead Wholesale Price Forecast: A Case Study in Great Britain," Forecasting, MDPI, vol. 3(3), pages 1-37, August.
- Katarzyna Maciejowska & Weronika Nitka, 2024. "Multiple split approach -- multidimensional probabilistic forecasting of electricity markets," Papers 2407.07795, arXiv.org.
- Simon Hirsch & Florian Ziel, 2023. "Multivariate Simulation-based Forecasting for Intraday Power Markets: Modelling Cross-Product Price Effects," Papers 2306.13419, arXiv.org.
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Keywords
Energy forecasting; Prediction intervals; Electricity price forecasting; Probability forecasting; Quantile regression; Linear models;All these keywords.
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