IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/nat/natcom/v14y2023i1d10.1038_s41467-023-41548-4.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

A net-zero emissions strategy for China’s power sector using carbon-capture utilization and storage

Author

Listed:
  • Jing-Li Fan

    (China University of Mining & Technology
    State Key Laboratory of Coal Resources and Safe Mining (China University of Mining and Technology))

  • Zezheng Li

    (China University of Mining & Technology
    State Key Laboratory of Coal Resources and Safe Mining (China University of Mining and Technology))

  • Xi Huang

    (China University of Mining & Technology
    State Key Laboratory of Coal Resources and Safe Mining (China University of Mining and Technology))

  • Kai Li

    (China University of Mining & Technology
    State Key Laboratory of Coal Resources and Safe Mining (China University of Mining and Technology))

  • Xian Zhang

    (Ministry of Science and Technology)

  • Xi Lu

    (Tsinghua University
    Tsinghua University)

  • Jianzhong Wu

    (Cardiff University)

  • Klaus Hubacek

    (University of Groningen)

  • Bo Shen

    (Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory)

Abstract

Decarbonized power systems are critical to mitigate climate change, yet methods to achieve a reliable and resilient near-zero power system are still under exploration. This study develops an hourly power system simulation model considering high-resolution geological constraints for carbon-capture-utilization-and-storage to explore the optimal solution for a reliable and resilient near-zero power system. This is applied to 31 provinces in China by simulating 10,450 scenarios combining different electricity storage durations and interprovincial transmission capacities, with various shares of abated fossil power with carbon-capture-utilization-and-storage. Here, we show that allowing up to 20% abated fossil fuel power generation in the power system could reduce the national total power shortage rate by up to 9.0 percentages in 2050 compared with a zero fossil fuel system. A lowest-cost scenario with 16% abated fossil fuel power generation in the system even causes 2.5% lower investment costs in the network (or $16.8 billion), and also increases system resilience by reducing power shortage during extreme climatic events.

Suggested Citation

  • Jing-Li Fan & Zezheng Li & Xi Huang & Kai Li & Xian Zhang & Xi Lu & Jianzhong Wu & Klaus Hubacek & Bo Shen, 2023. "A net-zero emissions strategy for China’s power sector using carbon-capture utilization and storage," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 14(1), pages 1-16, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:nat:natcom:v:14:y:2023:i:1:d:10.1038_s41467-023-41548-4
    DOI: 10.1038/s41467-023-41548-4
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-023-41548-4
    File Function: Abstract
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1038/s41467-023-41548-4?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Pfeiffer, Alexander & Hepburn, Cameron & Vogt-Schilb, Adrien & Caldecott, Ben, 2018. "Committed Emissions from Existing and Planned Power Plants and Asset Stranding Required to Meet the Paris Agreement," IDB Publications (Working Papers) 8886, Inter-American Development Bank.
    2. Alexander E. MacDonald & Christopher T. M. Clack & Anneliese Alexander & Adam Dunbar & James Wilczak & Yuanfu Xie, 2016. "Future cost-competitive electricity systems and their impact on US CO2 emissions," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 6(5), pages 526-531, May.
    3. Dmitrii Bogdanov & Javier Farfan & Kristina Sadovskaia & Arman Aghahosseini & Michael Child & Ashish Gulagi & Ayobami Solomon Oyewo & Larissa Souza Noel Simas Barbosa & Christian Breyer, 2019. "Radical transformation pathway towards sustainable electricity via evolutionary steps," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 10(1), pages 1-16, December.
    4. Xiaofan Xing & Rong Wang & Nico Bauer & Philippe Ciais & Junji Cao & Jianmin Chen & Xu Tang & Lin Wang & Xin Yang & Olivier Boucher & Daniel Goll & Josep Peñuelas & Ivan A. Janssens & Yves Balkanski &, 2021. "Spatially explicit analysis identifies significant potential for bioenergy with carbon capture and storage in China," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 12(1), pages 1-12, December.
    5. Yangsiyu Lu & Francois Cohen & Stephen M. Smith & Alexander Pfeiffer, 2022. "Plant conversions and abatement technologies cannot prevent stranding of power plant assets in 2 °C scenarios," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 13(1), pages 1-11, December.
    6. Abdulla Kaya & Denes Csala & Sgouris Sgouridis, 2017. "Constant elasticity of substitution functions for energy modeling in general equilibrium integrated assessment models: a critical review and recommendations," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 145(1), pages 27-40, November.
    7. Yi-Ming Wei & Jia-Ning Kang & Lan-Cui Liu & Qi Li & Peng-Tao Wang & Juan-Juan Hou & Qiao-Mei Liang & Hua Liao & Shi-Feng Huang & Biying Yu, 2021. "A proposed global layout of carbon capture and storage in line with a 2 °C climate target," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 11(2), pages 112-118, February.
    8. Bertsch, Valentin & Hyland, Marie & Mahony, Michael, 2017. "What drives people's opinions of electricity infrastructure? Empirical evidence from Ireland," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 106(C), pages 472-497.
    9. Gang He & Jiang Lin & Froylan Sifuentes & Xu Liu & Nikit Abhyankar & Amol Phadke, 2020. "Rapid cost decrease of renewables and storage accelerates the decarbonization of China’s power system," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 11(1), pages 1-9, December.
    10. Edward A. Byers & Gemma Coxon & Jim Freer & Jim W. Hall, 2020. "Drought and climate change impacts on cooling water shortages and electricity prices in Great Britain," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 11(1), pages 1-12, December.
    11. John E. T. Bistline & David T. Young, 2022. "The role of natural gas in reaching net-zero emissions in the electric sector," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 13(1), pages 1-11, December.
    12. Nestor A. Sepulveda & Jesse D. Jenkins & Aurora Edington & Dharik S. Mallapragada & Richard K. Lester, 2021. "The design space for long-duration energy storage in decarbonized power systems," Nature Energy, Nature, vol. 6(5), pages 506-516, May.
    13. Kairui Feng & Min Ouyang & Ning Lin, 2022. "Tropical cyclone-blackout-heatwave compound hazard resilience in a changing climate," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 13(1), pages 1-11, December.
    14. Zhenyu Zhuo & Ershun Du & Ning Zhang & Chris P. Nielsen & Xi Lu & Jinyu Xiao & Jiawei Wu & Chongqing Kang, 2022. "Cost increase in the electricity supply to achieve carbon neutrality in China," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 13(1), pages 1-13, December.
    15. Hansen, Kenneth & Breyer, Christian & Lund, Henrik, 2019. "Status and perspectives on 100% renewable energy systems," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 175(C), pages 471-480.
    16. Michaja Pehl & Anders Arvesen & Florian Humpenöder & Alexander Popp & Edgar G. Hertwich & Gunnar Luderer, 2017. "Understanding future emissions from low-carbon power systems by integration of life-cycle assessment and integrated energy modelling," Nature Energy, Nature, vol. 2(12), pages 939-945, December.
    17. Dan Tong & Qiang Zhang & Yixuan Zheng & Ken Caldeira & Christine Shearer & Chaopeng Hong & Yue Qin & Steven J. Davis, 2019. "Committed emissions from existing energy infrastructure jeopardize 1.5 °C climate target," Nature, Nature, vol. 572(7769), pages 373-377, August.
    18. Sgouris Sgouridis & Michael Carbajales-Dale & Denes Csala & Matteo Chiesa & Ugo Bardi, 2019. "Comparative net energy analysis of renewable electricity and carbon capture and storage," Nature Energy, Nature, vol. 4(6), pages 456-465, June.
    19. Seleshi G. Yalew & Michelle T. H. van Vliet & David E. H. J. Gernaat & Fulco Ludwig & Ariel Miara & Chan Park & Edward Byers & Enrica De Cian & Franziska Piontek & Gokul Iyer & Ioanna Mouratiadou & Ja, 2020. "Impacts of climate change on energy systems in global and regional scenarios," Nature Energy, Nature, vol. 5(10), pages 794-802, October.
    20. A. T. D. Perera & Vahid M. Nik & Deliang Chen & Jean-Louis Scartezzini & Tianzhen Hong, 2020. "Quantifying the impacts of climate change and extreme climate events on energy systems," Nature Energy, Nature, vol. 5(2), pages 150-159, February.
    21. Joeri Rogelj & Gunnar Luderer & Robert C. Pietzcker & Elmar Kriegler & Michiel Schaeffer & Volker Krey & Keywan Riahi, 2015. "Energy system transformations for limiting end-of-century warming to below 1.5 °C," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 5(6), pages 519-527, June.
    22. Jeffrey A. Bennett & Claire N. Trevisan & Joseph F. DeCarolis & Cecilio Ortiz-García & Marla Pérez-Lugo & Bevin T. Etienne & Andres F. Clarens, 2021. "Extending energy system modelling to include extreme weather risks and application to hurricane events in Puerto Rico," Nature Energy, Nature, vol. 6(3), pages 240-249, March.
    23. Marianne Zeyringer & James Price & Birgit Fais & Pei-Hao Li & Ed Sharp, 2018. "Designing low-carbon power systems for Great Britain in 2050 that are robust to the spatiotemporal and inter-annual variability of weather," Nature Energy, Nature, vol. 3(5), pages 395-403, May.
    24. Alassi, Abdulrahman & Bañales, Santiago & Ellabban, Omar & Adam, Grain & MacIver, Callum, 2019. "HVDC Transmission: Technology Review, Market Trends and Future Outlook," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 112(C), pages 530-554.
    25. Gang He & Jiang Lin & Froylan Sifuentes & Xu Liu & Nikit Abhyankar & Amol Phadke, 2020. "Author Correction: Rapid cost decrease of renewables and storage accelerates the decarbonization of China’s power system," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 11(1), pages 1-1, December.
    26. Dan Tong & David J. Farnham & Lei Duan & Qiang Zhang & Nathan S. Lewis & Ken Caldeira & Steven J. Davis, 2021. "Geophysical constraints on the reliability of solar and wind power worldwide," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 12(1), pages 1-12, December.
    27. Debora Maia-Silva & Rohini Kumar & Roshanak Nateghi, 2020. "The critical role of humidity in modeling summer electricity demand across the United States," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 11(1), pages 1-8, December.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Li, Zezheng & Yu, Pengwei & Xian, Yujiao & Fan, Jing-Li, 2024. "Investment benefit analysis of coal-to-hydrogen coupled CCS technology in China based on real option approach," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 294(C).

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Dongsheng Zheng & Dan Tong & Steven J. Davis & Yue Qin & Yang Liu & Ruochong Xu & Jin Yang & Xizhe Yan & Guannan Geng & Huizheng Che & Qiang Zhang, 2024. "Climate change impacts on the extreme power shortage events of wind-solar supply systems worldwide during 1980–2022," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 15(1), pages 1-11, December.
    2. Zhang, Yun-Long & Kang, Jia-Ning & Liu, Lan-Cui & Wei, Yi-Ming, 2024. "Unveiling the evolution and future prospects: A comprehensive review of low-carbon transition in the coal power industry," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 371(C).
    3. Ma, Huan & Sun, Qinghan & Chen, Lei & Chen, Qun & Zhao, Tian & He, Kelun & Xu, Fei & Min, Yong & Wang, Shunjiang & Zhou, Guiping, 2023. "Cogeneration transition for energy system decarbonization: From basic to flexible and complementary multi-energy sources," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 187(C).
    4. Bhattacharya, Subhadip & Banerjee, Rangan & Ramadesigan, Venkatasailanathan & Liebman, Ariel & Dargaville, Roger, 2024. "Bending the emission curve ― The role of renewables and nuclear power in achieving a net-zero power system in India," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 189(PA).
    5. Dan Tong & David J. Farnham & Lei Duan & Qiang Zhang & Nathan S. Lewis & Ken Caldeira & Steven J. Davis, 2021. "Geophysical constraints on the reliability of solar and wind power worldwide," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 12(1), pages 1-12, December.
    6. Charitopoulos, V. & Fajardy, M. & Chyong, C. K. & Reiner, D., 2022. "The case of 100% electrification of domestic heat in Great Britain," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 2210, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
    7. Laibao Liu & Gang He & Mengxi Wu & Gang Liu & Haoran Zhang & Ying Chen & Jiashu Shen & Shuangcheng Li, 2023. "Climate change impacts on planned supply–demand match in global wind and solar energy systems," Nature Energy, Nature, vol. 8(8), pages 870-880, August.
    8. Ken Oshiro & Shinichiro Fujimori, 2024. "Limited impact of hydrogen co-firing on prolonging fossil-based power generation under low emissions scenarios," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 15(1), pages 1-11, December.
    9. An, Kangxin & Wang, Can & Cai, Wenjia, 2023. "Low-carbon technology diffusion and economic growth of China: an evolutionary general equilibrium framework," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 65(C), pages 253-263.
    10. Wang, Zhaohua & Li, Jingyun & Wang, Bo & Hui, Ng Szu & Lu, Bin & Wang, Can & Xu, Shuling & Zhou, Zixuan & Zhang, Bin & Zheng, Yufeng, 2024. "The decarbonization pathway of power system by high-resolution model under different policy scenarios in China," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 355(C).
    11. Gallo Cassarino, Tiziano & Barrett, Mark, 2022. "Meeting UK heat demands in zero emission renewable energy systems using storage and interconnectors," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 306(PB).
    12. Lei, Hongxuan & Liu, Pan & Cheng, Qian & Xu, Huan & Liu, Weibo & Zheng, Yalian & Chen, Xiangding & Zhou, Yong, 2024. "Frequency, duration, severity of energy drought and its propagation in hydro-wind-photovoltaic complementary systems," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 230(C).
    13. Martin Staadecker & Julia Szinai & Pedro A. Sánchez-Pérez & Sarah Kurtz & Patricia Hidalgo-Gonzalez, 2024. "The value of long-duration energy storage under various grid conditions in a zero-emissions future," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 15(1), pages 1-15, December.
    14. Sánchez-Pérez, P.A. & Staadecker, Martin & Szinai, Julia & Kurtz, Sarah & Hidalgo-Gonzalez, Patricia, 2022. "Effect of modeled time horizon on quantifying the need for long-duration storage," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 317(C).
    15. Perera, A.T.D. & Khayatian, F. & Eggimann, S. & Orehounig, K. & Halgamuge, Saman, 2022. "Quantifying the climate and human-system-driven uncertainties in energy planning by using GANs," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 328(C).
    16. Kuang, Zhonghong & Chen, Qi & Yu, Yang, 2022. "Assessing the CO2-emission risk due to wind-energy uncertainty," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 310(C).
    17. Tong, Wenxuan & Lu, Zhengang & Chen, Yanbo & Zhao, Guoliang & Hunt, Julian David & Ren, Dawei & Xu, GuiZhi & Han, Minxiao, 2024. "Typical unit capacity configuration strategies and their control methods of modular gravity energy storage plants," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 295(C).
    18. Plaga, Leonie Sara & Bertsch, Valentin, 2023. "Methods for assessing climate uncertainty in energy system models — A systematic literature review," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 331(C).
    19. Jain, Sourabh, 2022. "Exploring structures of power purchase agreements towards supplying 24x7 variable renewable electricity," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 244(PA).
    20. Gilmore, Nicholas & Koskinen, Ilpo & van Gennip, Domenique & Paget, Greta & Burr, Patrick A. & Obbard, Edward G. & Daiyan, Rahman & Sproul, Alistair & Kay, Merlinde & Lennon, Alison & Konstantinou, Ge, 2022. "Clean energy futures: An Australian based foresight study," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 260(C).

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:nat:natcom:v:14:y:2023:i:1:d:10.1038_s41467-023-41548-4. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.nature.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.