Author
Listed:
- Seleshi G. Yalew
(Utrecht University
Wageningen University
Technical University of Delft)
- Michelle T. H. van Vliet
(Wageningen University
Utrecht University)
- David E. H. J. Gernaat
(Utrecht University
Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency-PBL)
- Fulco Ludwig
(Wageningen University)
- Ariel Miara
(Advanced Science Research Center, GC/CUNY
National Renewable Energy Laboratory)
- Chan Park
(University of Seoul)
- Edward Byers
(International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis-IIASA)
- Enrica De Cian
(Fondazione CMCC
Università Ca’ Foscari Venezia)
- Franziska Piontek
(Leibniz Association)
- Gokul Iyer
(Pacific Northwest National Laboratory)
- Ioanna Mouratiadou
(Utrecht University)
- James Glynn
(University College Cork)
- Mohamad Hejazi
(Pacific Northwest National Laboratory)
- Olivier Dessens
(University College London)
- Pedro Rochedo
(Universidade Federal do Rio de Janeiro)
- Robert Pietzcker
(Leibniz Association)
- Roberto Schaeffer
(Universidade Federal do Rio de Janeiro)
- Shinichiro Fujimori
(National Institute for Environmental Studies
Kyoto University)
- Shouro Dasgupta
(Fondazione CMCC
Università Ca’ Foscari Venezia)
- Silvana Mima
(Laboratoire d’économie appliquée de Grenoble)
- Silvia R. Santos da Silva
(Pacific Northwest National Laboratory
University of Maryland)
- Vaibhav Chaturvedi
(Environment and Water)
- Robert Vautard
(Laboratoire des Sciences du Climat et l’Environnement-LSCE)
- Detlef P. van Vuuren
(Utrecht University
Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency-PBL)
Abstract
Although our knowledge of climate change impacts on energy systems has increased substantially over the past few decades, there remains a lack of comprehensive overview of impacts across spatial scales. Here, we analyse results of 220 studies projecting climate impacts on energy systems globally and at the regional scale. Globally, a potential increase in cooling demand and decrease in heating demand can be anticipated, in contrast to slight decreases in hydropower and thermal energy capacity. Impacts at the regional scale are more mixed and relatively uncertain across regions, but strongest impacts are reported for South Asia and Latin America. Our assessment shows that climate impacts on energy systems at regional and global scales are uncertain due partly to the wide range of methods and non-harmonized datasets used. For a comprehensive assessment of climate impacts on energy, we propose a consistent multi-model assessment framework to support regional-to-global-scale energy planning.
Suggested Citation
Seleshi G. Yalew & Michelle T. H. van Vliet & David E. H. J. Gernaat & Fulco Ludwig & Ariel Miara & Chan Park & Edward Byers & Enrica De Cian & Franziska Piontek & Gokul Iyer & Ioanna Mouratiadou & Ja, 2020.
"Impacts of climate change on energy systems in global and regional scenarios,"
Nature Energy, Nature, vol. 5(10), pages 794-802, October.
Handle:
RePEc:nat:natene:v:5:y:2020:i:10:d:10.1038_s41560-020-0664-z
DOI: 10.1038/s41560-020-0664-z
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