IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/reensy/v152y2016icp151-165.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Analysis of transportation networks subject to natural hazards – Insights from a Colombian case

Author

Listed:
  • Muriel-Villegas, Juan E.
  • Alvarez-Uribe, Karla C.
  • Patiño-Rodríguez, Carmen E.
  • Villegas, Juan G.

Abstract

This study provides an applied framework to derive the connectivity reliability and vulnerability of inter-urban transportation systems under network disruptions. The proposed model integrates statistical reliability analysis to find the reliability and vulnerability of transportation networks. Most of the modern research in this field has focused on urban networks where the primary concerns are guaranteeing predefined standards of capacity and travel time. However, at a regional and national level, especially in developing countries, the connectivity of remote populations in the case of disaster is of utmost importance. The applicability of the framework is demonstrated with a case study in the state of Antioquia, Colombia, using historical records from the 2010 to 2011 rainy season, an aspect that stands out and gives additional support compared to previous studies that considers simulated data from assumed distributions. The results provide significant insights to practitioners and researchers for the design and management of transportation systems and route planning strategies under this type of disruptions.

Suggested Citation

  • Muriel-Villegas, Juan E. & Alvarez-Uribe, Karla C. & Patiño-Rodríguez, Carmen E. & Villegas, Juan G., 2016. "Analysis of transportation networks subject to natural hazards – Insights from a Colombian case," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 152(C), pages 151-165.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:reensy:v:152:y:2016:i:c:p:151-165
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ress.2016.03.006
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0951832016000727
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.ress.2016.03.006?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Knoop, Victor L. & Snelder, Maaike & van Zuylen, Henk J. & Hoogendoorn, Serge P., 2012. "Link-level vulnerability indicators for real-world networks," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 46(5), pages 843-854.
    2. Carrion, Carlos & Levinson, David, 2012. "Value of travel time reliability: A review of current evidence," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 46(4), pages 720-741.
    3. Chen, Bi Yu & Lam, William H.K. & Sumalee, Agachai & Li, Qingquan & Li, Zhi-Chun, 2012. "Vulnerability analysis for large-scale and congested road networks with demand uncertainty," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 46(3), pages 501-516.
    4. David M. Levinson & Henry X. Liu & Michael Bell (ed.), 2012. "Network Reliability in Practice," Transportation Research, Economics and Policy, Springer, edition 1, number 978-1-4614-0947-2, June.
    5. Paramet Luathep & Agachai Sumalee & H. Ho & Fumitaka Kurauchi, 2011. "Large-scale road network vulnerability analysis: a sensitivity analysis based approach," Transportation, Springer, vol. 38(5), pages 799-817, September.
    6. Fumitaka Kurauchi & Nobuhiro Uno & Agachai Sumalee & Yumiko Seto, 2009. "Network Evaluation Based on Connectivity Vulnerability," Springer Books, in: William H. K. Lam & S. C. Wong & Hong K. Lo (ed.), Transportation and Traffic Theory 2009: Golden Jubilee, chapter 0, pages 637-649, Springer.
    7. Nagae, Takeshi & Fujihara, Tomo & Asakura, Yasuo, 2012. "Anti-seismic reinforcement strategy for an urban road network," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 46(5), pages 813-827.
    8. Chen, Anthony & Yang, Hai & Lo, Hong K. & Tang, Wilson H., 2002. "Capacity reliability of a road network: an assessment methodology and numerical results," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 36(3), pages 225-252, March.
    9. Alan T. Murray & Timothy C. Matisziw & Tony H. Grubesic, 2008. "A Methodological Overview of Network Vulnerability Analysis," Growth and Change, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 39(4), pages 573-592, December.
    10. Taylor, Michael A.P. & Susilawati,, 2012. "Remoteness and accessibility in the vulnerability analysis of regional road networks," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 46(5), pages 761-771.
    11. Michael Taylor & Somenahalli Sekhar & Glen D'Este, 2006. "Application of Accessibility Based Methods for Vulnerability Analysis of Strategic Road Networks," Networks and Spatial Economics, Springer, vol. 6(3), pages 267-291, September.
    12. Sohn, Jungyul, 2006. "Evaluating the significance of highway network links under the flood damage: An accessibility approach," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 40(6), pages 491-506, July.
    13. Sánchez-Silva, M. & Daniels, M. & Lleras, G. & Patiño, D., 2005. "A transport network reliability model for the efficient assignment of resources," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 39(1), pages 47-63, January.
    14. Yanyan Chen & Michael G. H. Bell & Ioannis Kaparias, 2007. "Reliability Analysis of Road Networks and Preplanning of Emergency Rescue Paths," Advances in Spatial Science, in: Alan T. Murray & Tony H. Grubesic (ed.), Critical Infrastructure, chapter 9, pages 173-196, Springer.
    15. Ryuhei Kondo & Yasuhiro Shiomi & Nobuhiro Uno, 2012. "Network Evaluation Based on Connectivity Reliability and Accessibility," Transportation Research, Economics and Policy, in: David M. Levinson & Henry X. Liu & Michael Bell (ed.), Network Reliability in Practice, edition 1, chapter 0, pages 131-149, Springer.
    16. Katja Berdica & Lars-Göran Mattsson, 2007. "Vulnerability: A Model-Based Case Study of the Road Network in Stockholm," Advances in Spatial Science, in: Alan T. Murray & Tony H. Grubesic (ed.), Critical Infrastructure, chapter 5, pages 81-106, Springer.
    17. Tu, Huizhao & Li, Hao & van Lint, Hans & van Zuylen, Henk, 2012. "Modeling travel time reliability of freeways using risk assessment techniques," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 46(10), pages 1528-1540.
    18. Berdica, Katja, 2002. "An introduction to road vulnerability: what has been done, is done and should be done," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 9(2), pages 117-127, April.
    19. van Lint, J.W.C. & van Zuylen, Henk J. & Tu, H., 2008. "Travel time unreliability on freeways: Why measures based on variance tell only half the story," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 42(1), pages 258-277, January.
    20. Du, Zhen-Ping & Nicholson, Alan, 1997. "Degradable transportation systems: Sensitivity and reliability analysis," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 31(3), pages 225-237, June.
    21. Bell, Michael G. H., 2000. "A game theory approach to measuring the performance reliability of transport networks," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 34(6), pages 533-545, August.
    22. Watling, David & Balijepalli, N.C., 2012. "A method to assess demand growth vulnerability of travel times on road network links," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 46(5), pages 772-789.
    23. Yang, Hai & Bell, Michael G. H. & Meng, Qiang, 2000. "Modeling the capacity and level of service of urban transportation networks," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 34(4), pages 255-275, May.
    24. Bell, Michael G. H. & Cassir, Chris, 2002. "Risk-averse user equilibrium traffic assignment: an application of game theory," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 36(8), pages 671-681, September.
    25. Jenelius, Erik & Mattsson, Lars-Göran, 2012. "Road network vulnerability analysis of area-covering disruptions: A grid-based approach with case study," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 46(5), pages 746-760.
    26. Nicholson, Alan & Du, Zhen-Ping, 1997. "Degradable transportation systems: An integrated equilibrium model," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 31(3), pages 209-223, June.
    27. Kim, Youngsuk & Kang, Won-Hee, 2013. "Network reliability analysis of complex systems using a non-simulation-based method," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 110(C), pages 80-88.
    28. Masiero, Lorenzo & Maggi, Rico, 2012. "Estimation of indirect cost and evaluation of protective measures for infrastructure vulnerability: A case study on the transalpine transport corridor," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 20(C), pages 13-21.
    29. Sullivan, J.L. & Novak, D.C. & Aultman-Hall, L. & Scott, D.M., 2010. "Identifying critical road segments and measuring system-wide robustness in transportation networks with isolating links: A link-based capacity-reduction approach," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 44(5), pages 323-336, June.
    30. Michael A. P. Taylor, 2008. "Critical Transport Infrastructure in Urban Areas: Impacts of Traffic Incidents Assessed Using Accessibility‐Based Network Vulnerability Analysis," Growth and Change, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 39(4), pages 593-616, December.
    31. Snelder, M. & van Zuylen, H.J. & Immers, L.H., 2012. "A framework for robustness analysis of road networks for short term variations in supply," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 46(5), pages 828-842.
    32. El-Rashidy, Rawia Ahmed & Grant-Muller, Susan M., 2014. "An assessment method for highway network vulnerability," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 34(C), pages 34-43.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Yamada, Takashi, 2022. "Generalizing the probability of reaching a destination in case of route blockage," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 607(C).
    2. Wandelt, Sebastian & Shi, Xing & Sun, Xiaoqian, 2021. "Estimation and improvement of transportation network robustness by exploiting communities," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 206(C).
    3. Amir Al Hamdi Redzuan & Rozana Zakaria & Aznah Nor Anuar & Eeydzah Aminudin & Norbazlan Mohd Yusof, 2022. "Road Network Vulnerability Based on Diversion Routes to Reconnect Disrupted Road Segments," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(4), pages 1-22, February.
    4. Pan, Shouzheng & Yan, Hai & He, Jia & He, Zhengbing, 2021. "Vulnerability and resilience of transportation systems: A recent literature review," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 581(C).
    5. Khademi, Navid & Babaei, Mohsen & Schmöcker, Jan-Dirk & Fani, Amirhossein, 2018. "Analysis of incident costs in a vulnerable sparse rail network – Description and Iran case study," Research in Transportation Economics, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 9-27.
    6. Cancela, Héctor & Guerberoff, Gustavo & Robledo, Franco & Romero, Pablo, 2021. "Analysis and reliability of separable systems," Operations Research Perspectives, Elsevier, vol. 8(C).
    7. Zhou, Yaoming & Wang, Junwei & Sheu, Jiuh-Biing, 2019. "On connectivity of post-earthquake road networks," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 123(C), pages 1-16.
    8. Zhang, Yifan & Ng, S. Thomas, 2021. "A hypothesis-driven framework for resilience analysis of public transport network under compound failure scenarios," International Journal of Critical Infrastructure Protection, Elsevier, vol. 35(C).
    9. Ghavami, Seyed Morsal, 2019. "Multi-criteria spatial decision support system for identifying strategic roads in disaster situations," International Journal of Critical Infrastructure Protection, Elsevier, vol. 24(C), pages 23-36.
    10. Argyroudis, Sotirios A. & Mitoulis, Stergios Α. & Winter, Mike G. & Kaynia, Amir M., 2019. "Fragility of transport assets exposed to multiple hazards: State-of-the-art review toward infrastructural resilience," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 191(C).
    11. Pennetti, Cody A. & Fontaine, Michael D. & Jun, Jungwook & Lambert, James H., 2020. "Evaluating capacity of transportation operations with highway travel time reliability," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 204(C).
    12. Liu, Kai & Wang, Ming & Cao, Yinxue & Zhu, Weihua & Yang, Guiling, 2018. "Susceptibility of existing and planned Chinese railway system subjected to rainfall-induced multi-hazards," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 117(C), pages 214-226.
    13. Monfared, M.A.S. & Rezazadeh, Masoumeh & Alipour, Zohreh, 2022. "Road networks reliability estimations and optimizations: A Bi-directional bottom-up, top-down approach," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 222(C).
    14. Dong, Shangjia & Gao, Xinyu & Mostafavi, Ali & Gao, Jianxi & Gangwal, Utkarsh, 2023. "Characterizing resilience of flood-disrupted dynamic transportation network through the lens of link reliability and stability," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 232(C).
    15. Clavijo-Buritica, Nicolás & Triana-Sanchez, Laura & Escobar, John Willmer, 2023. "A hybrid modeling approach for resilient agri-supply network design in emerging countries: Colombian coffee supply chain," Socio-Economic Planning Sciences, Elsevier, vol. 85(C).

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Reggiani, Aura & Nijkamp, Peter & Lanzi, Diego, 2015. "Transport resilience and vulnerability: The role of connectivity," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 81(C), pages 4-15.
    2. Rodríguez-Núñez, Eduardo & García-Palomares, Juan Carlos, 2014. "Measuring the vulnerability of public transport networks," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 35(C), pages 50-63.
    3. Khademi, Navid & Babaei, Mohsen & Schmöcker, Jan-Dirk & Fani, Amirhossein, 2018. "Analysis of incident costs in a vulnerable sparse rail network – Description and Iran case study," Research in Transportation Economics, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 9-27.
    4. Gu, Yu & Fu, Xiao & Liu, Zhiyuan & Xu, Xiangdong & Chen, Anthony, 2020. "Performance of transportation network under perturbations: Reliability, vulnerability, and resilience," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 133(C).
    5. Li, Tao & Rong, Lili & Yan, Kesheng, 2019. "Vulnerability analysis and critical area identification of public transport system: A case of high-speed rail and air transport coupling system in China," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 127(C), pages 55-70.
    6. Bell, Michael G.H. & Kurauchi, Fumitaka & Perera, Supun & Wong, Walter, 2017. "Investigating transport network vulnerability by capacity weighted spectral analysis," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 99(C), pages 251-266.
    7. Demirel, Hande & Kompil, Mert & Nemry, Françoise, 2015. "A framework to analyze the vulnerability of European road networks due to Sea-Level Rise (SLR) and sea storm surges," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 81(C), pages 62-76.
    8. Jenelius, Erik & Mattsson, Lars-Göran, 2012. "Road network vulnerability analysis of area-covering disruptions: A grid-based approach with case study," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 46(5), pages 746-760.
    9. Oliveira, Eduardo Leal de & Portugal, Licínio da Silva & Porto Junior, Walter, 2016. "Indicators of reliability and vulnerability: Similarities and differences in ranking links of a complex road system," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 88(C), pages 195-208.
    10. Federico Rupi & Silvia Bernardi & Guido Rossi & Antonio Danesi, 2015. "The Evaluation of Road Network Vulnerability in Mountainous Areas: A Case Study," Networks and Spatial Economics, Springer, vol. 15(2), pages 397-411, June.
    11. Richard Connors & David Watling, 2015. "Assessing the Demand Vulnerability of Equilibrium Traffic Networks via Network Aggregation," Networks and Spatial Economics, Springer, vol. 15(2), pages 367-395, June.
    12. Nogal, Maria & Morales Nápoles, Oswaldo & O’Connor, Alan, 2019. "Structured expert judgement to understand the intrinsic vulnerability of traffic networks," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 127(C), pages 136-152.
    13. Victor Cantillo & Luis F. Macea & Miguel Jaller, 2019. "Assessing Vulnerability of Transportation Networks for Disaster Response Operations," Networks and Spatial Economics, Springer, vol. 19(1), pages 243-273, March.
    14. Mengying Cui & David Levinson, 2018. "Accessibility analysis of risk severity," Transportation, Springer, vol. 45(4), pages 1029-1050, July.
    15. Nima Haghighi & S. Kiavash Fayyaz & Xiaoyue Cathy Liu & Tony H. Grubesic & Ran Wei, 2018. "A Multi-Scenario Probabilistic Simulation Approach for Critical Transportation Network Risk Assessment," Networks and Spatial Economics, Springer, vol. 18(1), pages 181-203, March.
    16. Kashin Sugishita & Yasuo Asakura, 2021. "Vulnerability studies in the fields of transportation and complex networks: a citation network analysis," Public Transport, Springer, vol. 13(1), pages 1-34, March.
    17. Ghavami, Seyed Morsal, 2019. "Multi-criteria spatial decision support system for identifying strategic roads in disaster situations," International Journal of Critical Infrastructure Protection, Elsevier, vol. 24(C), pages 23-36.
    18. Pan, Shouzheng & Yan, Hai & He, Jia & He, Zhengbing, 2021. "Vulnerability and resilience of transportation systems: A recent literature review," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 581(C).
    19. Gu, Yu & Chen, Anthony & Xu, Xiangdong, 2023. "Measurement and ranking of important link combinations in the analysis of transportation network vulnerability envelope buffers under multiple-link disruptions," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 167(C), pages 118-144.
    20. Almotahari, Amirmasoud & Yazici, M. Anil, 2019. "A link criticality index embedded in the convex combinations solution of user equilibrium traffic assignment," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 126(C), pages 67-82.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:reensy:v:152:y:2016:i:c:p:151-165. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.journals.elsevier.com/reliability-engineering-and-system-safety .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.