Content
December 2013, Volume 10, Issue 4
- 305-326 Probabilistic Coherence Weighting for Optimizing Expert Forecasts
by Christopher W. Karvetski & Kenneth C. Olson & David R. Mandel & Charles R. Twardy - 327-340 Why Do Simple Heuristics Perform Well in Choices with Binary Attributes?
by Konstantinos V. Katsikopoulos - 341-351 The Value of Information in Portfolio Problems with Dependent Projects
by Debarun Bhattacharjya & Jo Eidsvik & Tapan Mukerji - 352-368 Information Security Investment When Hackers Disseminate Knowledge
by Xing Gao & Weijun Zhong & Shue Mei
September 2013, Volume 10, Issue 3
- 187-188 From the Editor —Optimal Betting, Reducing Unnecessary Mammography in Breast Cancer Diagnosis, Product Line Design, and Value of Information
by Rakesh K. Sarin - 189-199 Optimal Betting Under Parameter Uncertainty: Improving the Kelly Criterion
by Rose D. Baker & Ian G. McHale - 200-224 Optimal Policies for Reducing Unnecessary Follow-Up Mammography Exams in Breast Cancer Diagnosis
by Oguzhan Alagoz & Jagpreet Chhatwal & Elizabeth S. Burnside - 225-244 Product Line Design with Deliberation Costs: A Two-Stage Process
by Hui Xiong & Ying-Ju Chen - 245-256 Decreasing Marginal Value of Information Under Symmetric Loss
by Sushil Bikhchandani & John W. Mamer - 257-275 Effects of Risk Aversion on the Value of Information in Two-Action Decision Problems
by Ali E. Abbas & N. Onur Bakır & Georgia-Ann Klutke & Zhengwei Sun
June 2013, Volume 10, Issue 2
- 99-102 From the Editors ---Group Decisions, Preference Elicitation, Experienced Utility, Survival Probabilities, and Portfolio Value of Information
by Rakesh K. Sarin & L. Robin Keller - 103-120 Foundations for Group Decision Analysis
by Ralph L. Keeney - 121-134 Toward an Improved Methodology to Construct and Reconcile Decision Analytic Preference Judgments
by Richard M. Anderson & Robert Clemen - 135-151 Determinants of Experienced Utility: Laws and Implications
by Manel Baucells & Rakesh K. Sarin - 152-170 Estimating Second Order Probability Beliefs from Subjective Survival Data
by Péter Hudomiet & Robert J. Willis - 171-185 Components of Portfolio Value of Information
by Kun Zan & J. Eric Bickel
March 2013, Volume 10, Issue 1
- 1-5 From the Editors: Probability Approximations, Anti-Terrorism Strategy, and Bull's-Eye Display for Performance Feedback
by Rakesh K. Sarin & L. Robin Keller - 6-25 Reexamining Discrete Approximations to Continuous Distributions
by Robert K. Hammond & J. Eric Bickel - 26-41 Approximating Joint Probability Distributions Given Partial Information
by Luis V. Montiel & J. Eric Bickel - 42-62 Exploitation of Ambiguous Cues to Infer Terrorist Activity
by Kevin S. Ni & Daniel Faissol & Thomas Edmunds & Richard Wheeler - 63-81 Passenger Profiling and Screening for Aviation Security in the Presence of Strategic Attackers
by Huseyin Cavusoglu & Young Kwark & Bin Mai & Srinivasan Raghunathan - 82-97 WholeSoldier Performance Appraisal to Support Mentoring and Personnel Decisions
by Robert A. Dees & Scott T. Nestler & Robert Kewley
December 2012, Volume 9, Issue 4
- 297-302 From the Editors ---Brainstorming, Multiplicative Utilities, Partial Information on Probabilities or Outcomes, and Regulatory Focus
by L. Robin Keller & Ali Abbas & J. Eric Bickel & Vicki M. Bier & David V. Budescu & John C. Butler & Enrico Diecidue & Robin L. Dillon-Merrill & Raimo P. Hämäläinen & Kenneth C. Lichtendahl & Jason R. W. Merrick & Jay R. Simon & George Wu - 303-313 Value-Focused Brainstorming
by Ralph L. Keeney - 314-328 Multiplicative Utilities for Health and Consumption
by Kenneth C. Lichtendahl & Samuel E. Bodily - 329-347 A Simulation-Based Approach to Decision Making with Partial Information
by Luis V. Montiel & J. Eric Bickel - 348-358 Decision Trees with Single and Multiple Interval-Valued Objectives
by Kash Barker & Kaycee J. Wilson - 359-372 Explaining Risk Attitude in Framing Tasks by Regulatory Focus: A Verbal Protocol Analysis and a Simulation Using Fuzzy Logic
by Anton Kühberger & Christian Wiener
September 2012, Volume 9, Issue 3
- 213-218 From the Editors ---Copulas, Group Preferences, Multilevel Defenders, Sharing Rewards, and Communicating Analytics
by L. Robin Keller & Kelly M. Kophazi - 219-230 Conditionalization of Copula-Based Models
by Dorota Kurowicka - 231-237 A Note on a Group Preference Axiomatization with Cardinal Utility
by Luis C. Dias & Paula Sarabando - 238-252 Resource Allocation for Homeland Defense: Dealing with the Team Effect
by Andrew Samuel & Seth D. Guikema - 253-273 Sharing Rewards Among Strangers Based on Peer Evaluations
by Arthur Carvalho & Kate Larson - 274-292 Communicating Analytic Results: A Tutorial for Decision Consultants
by Jeffrey M. Keisler & Patrick S. Noonan
June 2012, Volume 9, Issue 2
- 81-85 From the Editors---Games and Decisions in Reliability and Risk
by Jason R. W. Merrick & Fabrizio Ruggeri & Refik Soyer & L. Robin Keller - 86-95 Adversarial Risk Analysis: The Somali Pirates Case
by Juan Carlos Sevillano & David Rios Insua & Jesus Rios - 96-102 Risk Measures from Risk-Reducing Experiments
by Philippe Delquié - 103-118 Interactions Between Ageing and Risk Properties in the Analysis of Burn-in Problems
by Rachele Foschi & Fabio Spizzichino - 119-127 Expert Judgment, Meta-analysis, and Participatory Risk Analysis
by Simon French - 128-137 From Reliability Block Diagrams to Fault Tree Circuits
by Debarun Bhattacharjya & Léa A. Deleris - 138-145 Formulating Asymmetric Decision Problems as Decision Circuits
by Debarun Bhattacharjya & Ross D. Shachter - 146-155 Game Theoretical Approach for Reliable Enhanced Indexation
by Miguel A. Lejeune - 156-164 Regulation Games Between Government and Competing Companies: Oil Spills and Other Disasters
by May Cheung & Jun Zhuang - 165-171 Regulating Autonomous Agents Facing Conflicting Objectives: A Command and Control Example
by Jim Q. Smith & Lorraine Dodd - 172-185 Modeling State-Dependent Priorities of Malicious Agents
by Sumitra Sri Bhashyam & Gilberto Montibeller - 186-203 Games, Risks, and Analytics: Several Illustrative Cases Involving National Security and Management Situations
by M. Elisabeth Paté-Cornell
March 2012, Volume 9, Issue 1
- 1-5 From the Editor---Decisions over Time (Exploding Offers or Purchase Regret), in Game Settings (Embedded Nash Bargaining or Adversarial Games), and in Influence Diagrams
by L. Robin Keller - 6-21 Exploding Offers
by Steven A. Lippman & John W. Mamer - 22-30 Dynamic Purchase Decisions Under Regret: Price and Availability
by Enrico Diecidue & Nils Rudi & Wenjie Tang - 31-40 Embedded Nash Bargaining: Risk Aversion and Impatience
by Steven A. Lippman & Kevin F. McCardle - 41-54 Robust Adversarial Risk Analysis: A Level- k Approach
by Laura McLay & Casey Rothschild & Seth Guikema - 55-75 A Framework for Solving Hybrid Influence Diagrams Containing Deterministic Conditional Distributions
by Yijing Li & Prakash P. Shenoy
December 2011, Volume 8, Issue 4
- 251-255 From the Editors ---Probability Scoring Rules, Ambiguity, Multiattribute Terrorist Utility, and Sensitivity Analysis
by L. Robin Keller & Ali Abbas & J. Eric Bickel & Vicki M. Bier & David V. Budescu & John C. Butler & Philippe Delquié & Kenneth C. Lichtendahl & Jason R. W. Merrick & Ahti Salo & George Wu - 256-268 Tailored Scoring Rules for Probabilities
by David J. Johnstone & Victor Richmond R. Jose & Robert L. Winkler - 269-285 Do Bayesians Learn Their Way Out of Ambiguity?
by Alexander Zimper - 286-302 Target-Hardening Decisions Based on Uncertain Multiattribute Terrorist Utility
by Chen Wang & Vicki M. Bier - 303-321 A Practical Procedure for Customizable One-Way Sensitivity Analysis in Additive Value Models
by Stephen P. Chambal & Jeffery D. Weir & Yucel R. Kahraman & Alex J. Gutman
September 2011, Volume 8, Issue 3
- 165-169 From the Editor ---Multiattribute and Intertemporal Preferences, Probability, and Stochastic Processes: Models and Assessment
by L. Robin Keller - 170-179 A Multiattribute Sealed-Bid Procurement Auction with Multiple Budgets for Government Vendor Selection
by Jay Simon & Francois Melese - 180-205 The Multiattribute Utility Tree
by Ali E. Abbas - 206-219 Quantile-Parameterized Distributions
by Thomas W. Keelin & Bradford W. Powley - 220-232 A Discrete Time Approach for Modeling Two-Factor Mean-Reverting Stochastic Processes
by Warren J. Hahn & James S. Dyer - 233-246 Consistency Among Elicitation Techniques for Intertemporal Choice: A Within-Subjects Investigation of the Anomalies
by Jeffery L. Guyse & Jay Simon
June 2011, Volume 8, Issue 2
- 83-87 From the Editors---Deterrence, Multiattribute Utility, and Probability and Bayes' Updating
by L. Robin Keller & Kelly M. Kophazi - 88-102 Deterring the Smuggling of Nuclear Weapons in Container Freight Through Detection and Retaliation
by Naraphorn Haphuriwat & Vicki M. Bier & Henry H. Willis - 103-116 Decomposing the Cross Derivatives of a Multiattribute Utility Function into Risk Attitude and Value
by Ali E. Abbas - 117-127 Using Bayes' Rule to Update an Event's Probabilities Based on the Outcomes of Partially Similar Events
by Robert F. Bordley - 128-144 Aggregating Large Sets of Probabilistic Forecasts by Weighted Coherent Adjustment
by Guanchun Wang & Sanjeev R. Kulkarni & H. Vincent Poor & Daniel N. Osherson - 145-157 Whether to Retest the Lipids of HIV-Infected Patients: How Much Does Fasting Bias Matter?
by Xiting Yang & Joseph B. Kadane & Heidi M. Crane & Mari M. Kitahata
March 2011, Volume 8, Issue 1
- 1-3 Investment and Defense Strategies, Heuristics, and Games: From the Editor ..
by L. Robin Keller - 4-9 Partial-Kelly Strategies and Expected Utility: Small-Edge Asymptotics
by Joseph B. Kadane - 10-29 Psychological Heuristics for Making Inferences: Definition, Performance, and the Emerging Theory and Practice
by Konstantinos V. Katsikopoulos - 30-45 Analysis of National Strategies to Counter a Country's Nuclear Weapons Program
by David J. Caswell & Ronald A. Howard & M. Elisabeth Paté-Cornell - 46-70 Governments' and Terrorists' Defense and Attack in a T -Period Game
by Kjell Hausken & Jun Zhuang - 71-77 Playing Squash Against Ralph Keeney: Should Weaker Players Always Prefer Shorter Games?
by Jeryl L. Mumpower - 82-82 Call for Papers ---Special Issue of Decision Analysis on Games and Decisions in Reliability and Risk
by L. Robin Keller & Refik Soyer & Fabrizio Ruggeri & Jason R. W. Merrick
December 2010, Volume 7, Issue 4
- 327-330 From the Editors..
by L. Robin Keller & Ali Abbas & Manel Baucells & Vicki M. Bier & David Budescu & John C. Butler & Philippe Delquié & Jason R. W. Merrick & Ahti Salo & George Wu - 331-345 Darden's Luckiest Student: Lessons from a High-Stakes Risk Experiment
by Samuel E. Bodily & Phillip E. Pfeifer - 346-357 Scoring Rules and Decision Analysis Education
by J. Eric Bickel - 358-365 Eliciting Patients' Revealed Preferences: An Inverse Markov Decision Process Approach
by Zeynep Erkin & Matthew D. Bailey & Lisa M. Maillart & Andrew J. Schaefer & Mark S. Roberts - 366-377 Cost Effectiveness of On-Site Chlorine Generation for Chlorine Truck Attack Prevention
by Anthony M. Barrett - 378-403 Paradoxes in Learning and the Marginal Value of Information
by Peter I. Frazier & Warren B. Powell
September 2010, Volume 7, Issue 3
- 235-237 From the Editor..
by L. Robin Keller - 238-255 Improving the Generation of Decision Objectives
by Samuel D. Bond & Kurt A. Carlson & Ralph L. Keeney - 256-281 Cardinal Scales for Health Evaluation
by Charles M. Harvey & Lars Peter Østerdal - 282-301 How Riskily Do I Invest? The Role of Risk Attitudes, Risk Perceptions, and Overconfidence
by Alen Nosić & Martin Weber - 302-312 Bivariate Stochastic Dominance and Substitute Risk-(In)dependent Utilities
by Michel Denuit & Louis Eeckhoudt - 313-321 Sensitivity Analysis of Risk Tolerance
by Bjørn Sandvik & Lars Thorlund-Petersen
June 2010, Volume 7, Issue 2
- 151-154 From the Editors..
by L. Robin Keller & Kelly M. Kophazi - 155-171 Is Screening Cargo Containers for Smuggled Nuclear Threats Worthwhile?
by Jason R. W. Merrick & Laura A. McLay - 172-184 Decision-Focused Transformation of Additive Value Models to Improve Communication
by Robert A. Dees & Matthew F. Dabkowski & Gregory S. Parnell - 185-195 Valuing Multifactor Real Options Using an Implied Binomial Tree
by Tianyang Wang & James S. Dyer - 196-214 Generalized Diagonal Band Copulas with Two-Sided Generating Densities
by Samuel Kotz & Johan René van Dorp - 215-228 The Role of Some Functional Equations in Decision Analysis
by Ali E. Abbas & János Aczél
March 2010, Volume 7, Issue 1
- 1-4 Honoring Michael H. Rothkopf's Legacy of Rigor and Relevance in Auction Theory: From the Editors
by Robert F. Bordley & Elena Katok & L. Robin Keller - 6-22 Procurement Auctions for Differentiated Goods
by Jason Shachat & J. Todd Swarthout - 23-39 Managing Project Failure Risk Through Contingent Contracts in Procurement Auctions
by Jianqing Chen & Lizhen Xu & Andrew Whinston - 40-57 Pricing Rule in a Clock Auction
by Peter Cramton & Pacharasut Sujarittanonta - 58-77 A Practical Combinatorial Clock Exchange for Spectrum Licenses
by Karla Hoffman & Dinesh Menon - 78-85 Auctioning the Right to Choose When Competition Persists
by Ronald M. Harstad - 86-98 Common Value vs. Private Value Categories in Online Auctions: A Distinction Without a Difference?
by Peter Boatwright & Sharad Borle & Joseph B. Kadane - 99-106 The Impact of Online Auction Duration
by Ernan Haruvy & Peter T. L. Popkowski Leszczyc - 107-122 Optimal Static Hedging of Volumetric Risk in a Competitive Wholesale Electricity Market
by Yumi Oum & Shmuel S. Oren - 123-136 Measuring Risk Aversion in a Name-Your-Own-Price Channel
by Ali E. Abbas & Il-Horn Hann - 137-142 Information Variability Impacts in Auctions
by Justin Jia & Ronald M. Harstad & Michael H. Rothkopf
December 2009, Volume 6, Issue 4
- 199-201 From the Editors ..
by L. Robin Keller & Manel Baucells & John C. Butler & Philippe Delquié & Jason R. W. Merrick & Gregory S. Parnell & Ahti Salo - 202-221 Proper Scoring Rules, Dominated Forecasts, and Coherence
by Mark J. Schervish & Teddy Seidenfeld & Joseph B. Kadane - 222-238 Bayesian Simulation and Decision Analysis: An Expository Survey
by Jason R. W. Merrick - 239-255 A Decision Analysis Approach to Solving the Signaling Game
by Barry R. Cobb & Atin Basuchoudhary - 256-262 On the Choice of Baselines in Multiattribute Portfolio Analysis: A Cautionary Note
by Robert T. Clemen & James E. Smith - 263-272 An Interview with Ronald A. Howard
by Russ Garber
September 2009, Volume 6, Issue 3
- 121-123 From the Editor..
by L. Robin Keller - 124-138 A Prospect Theory Model of Resource Allocation
by Philip Bromiley - 139-152 Combining a Multiattribute Value Function with an Optimization Model: An Application to Dynamic Resource Allocation for Infrastructure Maintenance
by Pekka Mild & Ahti Salo - 153-171 Supporting Negotiations over Influence Diagrams
by Jesus Rios & David Rios Insua - 172-185 Development of a Green Building Decision Support Tool: A Collaborative Process
by Ben Ewing & Erin Baker - 186-193 On the Decision to Take a Pitch
by J. Eric Bickel
June 2009, Volume 6, Issue 2
- 53-56 From the Editors..
by L. Robin Keller & Kelly M. Kophazi - 57-74 Impact of Presentation Format and Self-Reported Risk Aversion on Revealed Skewness Preferences
by Dennis Vrecko & Alexander Klos & Thomas Langer - 75-86 A Direct Test of Risk Aversion and Regret in First Price Sealed-Bid Auctions
by Richard Engelbrecht-Wiggans & Elena Katok - 87-97 Anchor Selection and Group Dynamics in Newsvendor Decisions---A Note
by Srinagesh Gavirneni & Yusen Xia - 98-114 Resource-Limited Multiattribute Value Analysis of Alternatives for Immobilizing Radioactive Liquid Process Waste Stored in Saluggia, Italy
by Alan J. Brothers & Shas V. Mattigod & Denis M. Strachan & Gordon H. Beeman & Paul K. Kearns & Angelo Papa & Carlo Monti
March 2009, Volume 6, Issue 1
- 1-3 From the Editor..
by L. Robin Keller - 4-13 A Decision Analysis Tool for Evaluating Fundraising Tiers
by Kevin F. McCardle & Kumar Rajaram & Christopher S. Tang - 14-24 Working with Policy Makers on Their Choices: A Decision Analyst Reminisces
by Rex V. Brown - 25-37 A Kullback-Leibler View of Linear and Log-Linear Pools
by Ali E. Abbas - 38-46 Combining the Opinions of Experts Who Partition Events Differently
by Robert F. Bordley - 51-51 Call for Papers ---Special “Michael Rothkopf Memorial” Issue on Auctions
by Robert Bordley & Elena Katok
December 2008, Volume 5, Issue 4
- 173-176 From the Editors..
by L. Robin Keller & Manel Baucells & John C. Butler & Philippe Delquié & Jason R. W. Merrick & Gregory S. Parnell & Ahti Salo - 177-189 Aggregating Probabilistic Forecasts from Incoherent and Abstaining Experts
by Joel B. Predd & Daniel N. Osherson & Sanjeev R. Kulkarni & H. Vincent Poor - 190-202 A Comparison of Two Probability Encoding Methods: Fixed Probability vs. Fixed Variable Values
by Ali E. Abbas & David V. Budescu & Hsiu-Ting Yu & Ryan Haggerty - 203-229 An Interactive Search Method Based on User Preferences
by Asim Roy & Patrick Mackin & Jyrki Wallenius & James Corner & Mark Keith & Gregory Schymik & Hina Arora - 230-248 A Decision Tree Model for Evaluating Countermeasures to Secure Cargo at United States Southwestern Ports of Entry
by Niyazi Onur Bakır
September 2008, Volume 5, Issue 3
- 113-115 From the Editor..
by L. Robin Keller - 116-128 The Relationship Between Perfect and Imperfect Information in a Two-Action Risk-Sensitive Problem
by J. Eric Bickel - 129-139 The Value of Information and Intensity of Preference
by Philippe Delquié - 140-156 Valuing Future Information Under Uncertainty Using Polynomial Chaos
by Michael Prange & William J. Bailey & Benoit Couët & Hugues Djikpesse & Margaret Armstrong & Alain Galli & David Wilkinson - 157-167 Value-of-Information Analysis for Nuclear Waste Storage Tanks
by Thomas Eppel & Detlof von Winterfeldt
June 2008, Volume 5, Issue 2
- 57-59 From the Editors..
by L. Robin Keller & Kelly M. Kophazi - 60-75 Incorporating Path Dependency into Decision-Analytic Methods: An Application to Global Climate-Change Policy
by Mort Webster - 76-87 Eliciting Subjective Probabilities Through Exchangeable Events: An Advantage and a Limitation
by Aurélien Baillon - 88-99 Norms and Descriptions
by Niklas Vareman - 100-110 Improving Time-Critical Decision Making in Life-Threatening Situations: Observations and Insights
by Izack Cohen
March 2008, Volume 5, Issue 1
- 1-4 From the Editor..
by L. Robin Keller - 5-9 Interpretation of the Risk Tolerance Coefficient in Terms of Maximum Acceptable Loss
by Philippe Delquié - 10-18 Optimal Betting Strategies for Simultaneous Games
by Andrew Grant & David Johnstone & Oh Kang Kwon - 19-21 Decision-Analytic Approach to Knockout Auctions
by Yigal Gerchak - 22-42 Development of Reusable Bid Evaluation Models for the Portuguese Electric Transmission Company
by Carlos A. Bana e Costa & João C. Lourenço & Manuel P. Chagas & João C. Bana e Costa - 43-52 Getting the Right Mix of Experts
by Jason R. W. Merrick
December 2007, Volume 4, Issue 4
- 173-175 From the Editors..
by L. Robin Keller & Manel Baucells & Kevin F. McCardle & Gregory S. Parnell & Ahti Salo - 176-193 On the Trend Recognition and Forecasting Ability of Professional Traders
by Markus Glaser & Thomas Langer & Martin Weber - 194-210 Quantifying and Mitigating the Splitting Bias and Other Value Tree-Induced Weighting Biases
by Sarah K. Jacobi & Benjamin F. Hobbs - 211-226 e -Participation and Decision Analysis
by Simon French & David Rios Insua & Fabrizio Ruggeri - 227-242 How Effective Are Decision Analyses? Assessing Decision Process and Group Alignment Effects
by Martin S. Schilling & Nadine Oeser & Cornelius Schaub
September 2007, Volume 4, Issue 3
- 111-113 From the Editor..
by L. Robin Keller - 114-135 Analysis of the Biological Clock Decision
by Ralph L. Keeney & Dinah A. Vernik - 136-155 Influence Diagrams with Continuous Decision Variables and Non-Gaussian Uncertainties
by Barry R. Cobb - 156-166 An Elicitation Procedure for the Generalized Trapezoidal Distribution with a Uniform Central Stage
by Johan René van Dorp & Salvador Cruz Rambaud & José García Pérez & Rafael Herrerías Pleguezuelo - 167-172 Decision Analysis: The Right Tool for Auctions
by Michael H. Rothkopf
June 2007, Volume 4, Issue 2
- 47-48 From the Editor..
by L. Robin Keller - 49-65 Some Comparisons among Quadratic, Spherical, and Logarithmic Scoring Rules
by J. Eric Bickel - 66-75 The Parimutuel Kelly Probability Scoring Rule
by David J. Johnstone - 76-90 Using a Software Tool for Public Decision Analysis: The Case of Nacka Municipality
by Mats Danielson & Love Ekenberg & Jim Idefeldt & Aron Larsson - 91-109 Elicitation from Large, Heterogeneous Expert Panels: Using Multiple Uncertainty Measures to Characterize Information Quality for Decision Analysis
by Sandra Hoffmann & Paul Fischbeck & Alan Krupnick & Michael McWilliams
March 2007, Volume 4, Issue 1
- 1-2 From the Editor..
by L. Robin Keller - 3-16 Adding Extrinsic Goals to the Quality-Adjusted Life Year Model
by Gordon B. Hazen - 17-31 Invariant Utility Functions and Certain Equivalent Transformations
by Ali E. Abbas - 32-40 Exploring Relations Between Decision Analysis and Game Theory
by Jules H. van Binsbergen & Leslie M. Marx - 41-45 The 2002 Ryder Cup: Was Strange’s Decision to Put Tiger Woods in the Anchor Match a Good One?
by William J. Hurley
December 2006, Volume 3, Issue 4
- 195-196 From the Editors..
by Robert T. Clemen & Don N. Kleinmuntz - 197-207 A Bayesian Decision-Theoretic Dose-Finding Trial
by Peter Müller & Don A. Berry & Andrew P. Grieve & Michael Krams - 208-219 Parametric Sensitivity Analysis Using Large-Sample Approximate Bayesian Posterior Distributions
by Gordon B. Hazen & Min Huang - 220-232 The Respective Roles of Risk and Decision Analyses in Decision Support
by M. Elisabeth Paté-Cornell & Robin L. Dillon - 233-251 Some Determinants of Corporate Risk Aversion
by J. Eric Bickel
September 2006, Volume 3, Issue 3
- 121-123 From the Special Issue Editors... Special Issue on Psychology and Decision Analysis
by Don N. Kleinmuntz & George Wu - 124-144 Regions of Rationality: Maps for Bounded Agents
by Robin M. Hogarth & Natalia Karelaia - 145-162 To Bayes or Not to Bayes? A Comparison of Two Classes of Models of Information Aggregation
by David V. Budescu & Hsiu-Ting Yu - 163-176 A Survey Study of Factors Influencing Risk-Taking Behavior in Real-World Decisions Under Uncertainty
by Manel Baucells & Cristina Rata - 177-193 The Sensitivity of Probability Assessments to Time Units and Performer Characteristics
by Eldad Yechiam & David V. Budescu
June 2006, Volume 3, Issue 2
- 61-62 From the Editors ..
by Robert T. Clemen & Don N. Kleinmuntz - 63-75 Should We Protect Commercial Airplanes Against Surface-to-Air Missile Attacks by Terrorists?
by Detlof von Winterfeldt & Terrence M. O'Sullivan - 76-93 A Multiple-Objective Decision Analysis for Terrorism Protection: Potassium Iodide Distribution in Nuclear Incidents
by Tianjun Feng & L. Robin Keller - 94-99 On Equivalent Target-Oriented Formulations for Multiattribute Utility
by Ilia Tsetlin & Robert L. Winkler - 100-116 Using Attributes to Predict Objectives in Preference Models
by John C. Butler & James S. Dyer & Jianmin Jia - 117-119 Comment on Influence Diagram Retrospective
by Ronald A. Howard & James E. Matheson & Miley W. (Lee) Merkhofer & Allen C. Miller & D. Warner North
March 2006, Volume 3, Issue 1
- 1-2 From the Editors..
by Robert T. Clemen & Don N. Kleinmuntz - 3-15 Sequential Search with Multiattribute Options
by Churlzu Lim & J. Neil Bearden & J. Cole Smith - 16-32 Optimal Sequential Exploration: A Binary Learning Model
by J. Eric Bickel & James E. Smith - 33-49 Use of Decision Analysis in the Army Base Realignment and Closure (BRAC) 2005 Military Value Analysis
by Paul L. Ewing & William Tarantino & Gregory S. Parnell - 50-58 Multiobjective Value Analysis of Army Basic Training
by William K. Klimack & Jack M. Kloeber
December 2005, Volume 2, Issue 4
- 183-184 From the Guest Editor...:New Contributions and Reflections on Graph-Based Representations for Decision Analysis
by Eric Horvitz - 185-206 Attribute Dominance Utility
by Ali E. Abbas & Ronald A. Howard - 207-228 Influence Diagrams for Team Decision Analysis
by Apiruk Detwarasiti & Ross D. Shachter - 229-231 The Influence of Influence Diagrams on Artificial Intelligence
by Craig Boutilier - 232-234 Influence Diagrams---Historical and Personal Perspectives
by Judea Pearl - 235-237 Influence Diagrams: A Practitioner's Perspective
by Dennis M. Buede - 238-244 The Influence of Influence Diagrams in Medicine
by Stephen G. Pauker & John B. Wong
September 2005, Volume 2, Issue 3
- 125-126 From the Guest Editor…
by Eric Horvitz