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Some Theoretical Problems Suggested by the Movements of Interest Rates, Bond Yields and Stock Prices in the United States since 1856

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Cited by:

  1. H. Jaffal & Y. Rakotondratsimba & A. Yassine, 2017. "Sensitivities under G2++ model of the yield curve," International Journal of Financial Engineering (IJFE), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 4(01), pages 1-38, March.
  2. Geoffrey Poitras & Franck Jovanovic, 2010. "Pioneers of Financial Economics: Das Adam Smith Irrelevanzproblem?," History of Economics Review, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 51(1), pages 43-64, January.
  3. Marc Flandreau & Kim Oosterlinck, 2011. "Was the Emergence of the International Gold Standard Expected? Melodramatic Evidence from Indian Government Securities," Working Papers 0005, European Historical Economics Society (EHES).
  4. Miles Livingston & Lei Zhou, 2005. "Exponential Duration: A More Accurate Estimation Of Interest Rate Risk," Journal of Financial Research, Southern Finance Association;Southwestern Finance Association, vol. 28(3), pages 343-361, September.
  5. Kenneth A. Froot, 2019. "Currency Hedging Over Long Horizons," Annals of Economics and Finance, Society for AEF, vol. 20(1), pages 37-66, May.
  6. Ozdagli, Ali & Velikov, Mihail, 2020. "Show me the money: The monetary policy risk premium," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 135(2), pages 320-339.
  7. Long H. Vo, 2014. "Application of Kalman Filter on modelling interest rates," Journal of Management Sciences, Geist Science, Iqra University, Faculty of Business Administration, vol. 1(1), pages 1-15, March.
  8. Arunima Sinha, 2016. "Learning and the Yield Curve," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 48(2-3), pages 513-547, March.
  9. John Y. Campbell, Robert J. Shiller, 1988. "The Dividend-Price Ratio and Expectations of Future Dividends and Discount Factors," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 1(3), pages 195-228.
  10. Tallman, Ellis W. & Moen, Jon R., 2012. "Liquidity creation without a central bank: Clearing house loan certificates in the banking panic of 1907," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 8(4), pages 277-291.
  11. Kursat Onder, Yasin, 2016. "Asset backed contracts and sovereign risk," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 132(C), pages 237-252.
  12. Shaffer, Sherrill, 2007. "Equity duration and convexity when firms can fail or stagnate," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 4(4), pages 233-241, December.
  13. Tomat, Gian Maria, 2021. "Term Spreads, Forward Rates and Yield Curve Forecasts," Research in Economics, Elsevier, vol. 75(2), pages 152-163.
  14. John Caks & William R. Lane & Robert W. Greenleaf & Reginald G. Joules, 1985. "A Simple Formula For Duration," Journal of Financial Research, Southern Finance Association;Southwestern Finance Association, vol. 8(3), pages 245-249, September.
  15. Bordo, Michael D. & Haubrich, Joseph G., 2010. "Credit crises, money and contractions: An historical view," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 57(1), pages 1-18, January.
  16. Francesco Ravazzolo & Joaquin Vespignani, 2020. "World steel production: A new monthly indicator of global real economic activity," Canadian Journal of Economics/Revue canadienne d'économique, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 53(2), pages 743-766, May.
  17. Zvi Bodie & Alex Kane & Robert McDonald, 1985. "Inflation and the Role of Bonds in Investor Portfolios," NBER Chapters, in: Corporate Capital Structures in the United States, pages 167-196, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  18. Eduard Braun, 2020. "Capital as in capitalism, or capital as in capital goods, or both?," The Review of Austrian Economics, Springer;Society for the Development of Austrian Economics, vol. 33(3), pages 383-395, September.
  19. Velde, François R., 2022. "What Happened to the U.S. Economy during the 1918 Influenza Pandemic? A View Through High-Frequency Data," The Journal of Economic History, Cambridge University Press, vol. 82(1), pages 284-326, March.
  20. Alberto Giovannini, 1992. "Bretton Woods and Its Precursors: Rules Versus Discretion in the History of International Monetary Regimes," NBER Working Papers 4001, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  21. Murphy, Austin, 2003. "An empirical analysis of the structure of credit risk premiums in the Eurobond market," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 22(6), pages 865-885, November.
  22. Campbell, John Y, 1986. "A Defense of Traditional Hypotheses about the Term Structure of Interest Rates," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 41(1), pages 183-193, March.
  23. Lasha Kavtaradze & Manouchehr Mokhtari, 2018. "Factor Models And Time†Varying Parameter Framework For Forecasting Exchange Rates And Inflation: A Survey," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 32(2), pages 302-334, April.
  24. Maria Teresa Medeiros Garcia & Liane Costa Gabriel, 2021. "Asset Liability Management: Evidence from the Banco de Portugal defined benefit pension fund," Working Papers REM 2021/0159, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa.
  25. Vipul Bhatt & Andre R. Neveu, 2019. "Re-Thinking Debt Burden: Going with the Flow?," Eastern Economic Journal, Palgrave Macmillan;Eastern Economic Association, vol. 45(2), pages 179-203, April.
  26. Shiller, Robert J. & Beltratti, Andrea E., 1992. "Stock prices and bond yields : Can their comovements be explained in terms of present value models?," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 30(1), pages 25-46, October.
  27. David K. Backus & Jonathan H. Wright, 2007. "Cracking the Conundrum," Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, Economic Studies Program, The Brookings Institution, vol. 38(1), pages 293-329.
  28. Vahidreza Yousefi & Siamak Haji Yakhchali & Jolanta Tamošaitienė, 2019. "Application of Duration Measure in Quantifying the Sensitivity of Project Returns to Changes in Discount Rates," Administrative Sciences, MDPI, vol. 9(1), pages 1-14, February.
  29. Giovanna Paladino & Gianluca Salsecci, 1999. "Spread corrigé des risques et dynamique du taux d'intérêt à long terme : une application aux marchés allemand, américain et italien," Économie et Prévision, Programme National Persée, vol. 140(4), pages 45-62.
  30. Cucciniello, Maria Chiara & Deleidi, Matteo & Levrero, Enrico Sergio, 2022. "The cost channel of monetary policy: The case of the United States in the period 1959–2018," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 409-433.
  31. Stephen A. Buser & G. Andrew Karolyi & Anthony B. Sanders, "undated". "Adjusted Forward Rates as Predictors of Future Spot Rates," Research in Financial Economics 9605, Ohio State University.
  32. Roberds, William & Whiteman, Charles H., 1999. "Endogenous term premia and anomalies in the term structure of interest rates: Explaining the predictability smile," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 44(3), pages 555-580, December.
  33. Joseph E. Gagnon & Ralph W. Tryon, 1993. "Price and output stability under alternative monetary policy rules," Proceedings, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
  34. Jeff Fuhrer & George Moore, 1995. "Inflation Persistence," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 110(1), pages 127-159.
  35. David Schröder & Florian Esterer, 2016. "A New Measure of Equity and Cash Flow Duration: The Duration‐Based Explanation of the Value Premium Revisited," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 48(5), pages 857-900, August.
  36. Lawrence Fisher & Daniel Weaver & Gwendolyn Webb, 2010. "Removing biases in computed returns," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 35(2), pages 137-161, August.
  37. Kilian, Lutz & Zhou, Xiaoqing, 2018. "Modeling fluctuations in the global demand for commodities," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 88(C), pages 54-78.
  38. Gareth Campbell & Meeghan Rogers, 2017. "Integration between the London and New York Stock Exchanges, 1825–1925," Economic History Review, Economic History Society, vol. 70(4), pages 1185-1218, November.
  39. Gollier, Christian, 2016. "Gamma discounters are short-termist," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 142(C), pages 83-90.
  40. Thornton, Daniel L., 2005. "Tests of the expectations hypothesis: Resolving the anomalies when the short-term rate is the federal funds rate," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 29(10), pages 2541-2556, October.
  41. Philipp Maier & Garima Vasishtha, 2008. "Good Policies or Good Fortune: What Drives the Compression in Emerging Market Spreads?," Staff Working Papers 08-25, Bank of Canada.
  42. Yasuo Nishiyama, 2007. "Are Banks Risk-Averse?," Eastern Economic Journal, Eastern Economic Association, vol. 33(4), pages 471-490, Fall.
  43. Hanes, Christopher & Rhode, Paul W., 2013. "Harvests and Financial Crises in Gold Standard America," The Journal of Economic History, Cambridge University Press, vol. 73(1), pages 201-246, March.
  44. Sebastián A. Rey, 2016. "Theory of long-term interest rates," International Journal of Financial Engineering (IJFE), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 3(03), pages 1-18, September.
  45. Bryan D. MacGregor & Nanda Nanthakumaran & Allison M. Orr, 2011. "The sensitivity of UK commercial property values to interest rate changes," Journal of Property Research, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 29(2), pages 123-151, November.
  46. Daniel K. Benjamin & Levis A. Kochin, 1984. "War, Prices, and Interest Rates: A Martial Solution to Gibson's Paradox," NBER Chapters, in: A Retrospective on the Classical Gold Standard, 1821-1931, pages 587-612, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  47. Anonymous, 1993. "Expectations and the term structure of interest rates," Reserve Bank of New Zealand Bulletin, Reserve Bank of New Zealand, vol. 56, December.
  48. Steven Russell, 1993. "Monetary policy experiments in a stochastic overlapping generations model of the term structure," Proceedings, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
  49. Francesca Beccacece & Roberto Tasca & Luisa Tibiletti, 2021. "The Macaulay Duration: A Key Indicator for the Risk-Adjustment in Fair Value," International Journal of Business and Management, Canadian Center of Science and Education, vol. 13(12), pages 251-251, July.
  50. J. Barkley Rosser, 2020. "Austrian themes and the Cambridge capital theory controversies," The Review of Austrian Economics, Springer;Society for the Development of Austrian Economics, vol. 33(4), pages 415-431, December.
  51. Lekkos, Ilias & Milas, Costas, 2004. "Time-varying excess returns on UK government bonds: A non-linear approach," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 28(1), pages 45-62, January.
  52. Theodore Mariolis & George Soklis & Eugenia Zouvela, 2013. "Testing Böhm-Bawerk’s theory of capital: Some evidence from the Finnish economy," The Review of Austrian Economics, Springer;Society for the Development of Austrian Economics, vol. 26(2), pages 207-220, June.
  53. Peter Englund & Åke Gunnelin & Martin Hoesli & Bo Söderberg, 2004. "Implicit Forward Rents as Predictors of Future Rents," Real Estate Economics, American Real Estate and Urban Economics Association, vol. 32(2), pages 183-215, June.
  54. Raphael I. Udegbunam & Hassan E. Oaikhenan, 2012. "Interest Rate Risk of Stock Prices in Nigeria," Journal of Emerging Market Finance, Institute for Financial Management and Research, vol. 11(1), pages 93-113, April.
  55. Shiller, Robert J., 1982. "Consumption, asset markets and macroeconomic fluctuations," Carnegie-Rochester Conference Series on Public Policy, Elsevier, vol. 17(1), pages 203-238, January.
  56. Heck, Jean L. & Zivney, Terry L. & Modani, Naval K., 1995. "A simplified approach to measuring bond duration," Financial Services Review, Elsevier, vol. 4(1), pages 31-40.
  57. Theodosiou, Marina, 2011. "Forecasting monthly and quarterly time series using STL decomposition," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 27(4), pages 1178-1195, October.
  58. Daniel L. Thornton, 2005. "Predictions of short-term rates and the expectations hypothesis of the term structure of interest rates," Working Papers 2004-010, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.
  59. Ellis W. Tallman & Jon R. Moen, 2018. "The transmission of the financial crisis in 1907: an empirical investigation," Cliometrica, Springer;Cliometric Society (Association Francaise de Cliométrie), vol. 12(2), pages 277-312, May.
  60. Xuanling MA & Meng JI, 2023. "Analysis on Liquidity Risk Management of Monetary and Financial Services based on the Goal of Financial Stability," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(2), pages 72-91, June.
  61. Driessen, Joost & Melenberg, Bertrand & Nijman, Theo, 2003. "Common factors in international bond returns," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 22(5), pages 629-656, October.
  62. Geoffrey H. Moore, 1983. "Why the Leading Indicators Really Do Lead," NBER Chapters, in: Business Cycles, Inflation, and Forecasting, 2nd edition, pages 339-352, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  63. Nason James M. & Smith Gregor W, 2008. "Great Moderation(s) and US Interest Rates: Unconditional Evidence," The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics, De Gruyter, vol. 8(1), pages 1-33, November.
  64. Carlos David Ardila-Dueñas & Hernán Rincón-Castro, 2019. "¿Cómo y qué tanto impacta la deuda pública a las tasas de interés de mercado?," Borradores de Economia 1077, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
  65. Jeffrey C. Fuhrer & C. Hoyt Bleakley, "undated". "Computationally Efficient Solution and Maximum Likelihood Estimation of Nonlinear Rational Expectations Models," Computing in Economics and Finance 1997 35, Society for Computational Economics.
  66. Berdin, Elia & Pancaro, Cosimo & Kok Sørensen, Christoffer, 2016. "A stochastic forward-looking model to assess the profitability and solvency of European insurers," SAFE Working Paper Series 137, Leibniz Institute for Financial Research SAFE, revised 2016.
  67. Galy, Michel, 1989. "Banks exposure to market risks," MPRA Paper 62304, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  68. Alberto Giovannini, 1993. "Bretton Woods and Its Precursors: Rules versus Discretion in the History of International Monetary Regimes," NBER Chapters, in: A Retrospective on the Bretton Woods System: Lessons for International Monetary Reform, pages 109-154, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  69. Jakob Korbinian Eberl, 2016. "The Collateral Framework of the Eurosystem and Its Fiscal Implications," ifo Beiträge zur Wirtschaftsforschung, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, number 69.
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