World steel production: A new monthly indicator of global real economic activity
Author
Abstract
Suggested Citation
Download full text from publisher
Other versions of this item:
- Francesco Ravazzolo & Joaquin Vespignani, 2020. "World steel production: A new monthly indicator of global real economic activity," Canadian Journal of Economics/Revue canadienne d'économique, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 53(2), pages 743-766, May.
- Ravazzolo, Francesco & Vespignani, Joaquin, 2017. "World steel production: A new monthly indicator of global real economic activity," Working Papers 2017-08, University of Tasmania, Tasmanian School of Business and Economics.
References listed on IDEAS
- Ron Alquist & Olivier Gervais, 2013.
"The Role of Financial Speculation in Driving the Price of Crude Oil,"
The Energy Journal, , vol. 34(3), pages 35-54, July.
- Ron Alquist and Olivier Gervais, 2013. "The Role of Financial Speculation in Driving the Price of Crude Oil," The Energy Journal, International Association for Energy Economics, vol. 0(Number 3).
- Ron Alquist & Olivier Gervais, 2011. "The Role of Financial Speculation in Driving the Price of Crude Oil," Discussion Papers 11-6, Bank of Canada.
- Angus Deaton, 2005.
"Measuring Poverty in a Growing World (or Measuring Growth in a Poor World),"
The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 87(1), pages 1-19, February.
- Angus Deaton, 2003. "Measuring Poverty in a Growing World (or Measuring Growth in a Poor World)," NBER Working Papers 9822, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Angus Deaton, 2004. "Measuring poverty in a growing world (or measuring growth in a poor world)," Working Papers 178, Princeton University, Woodrow Wilson School of Public and International Affairs, Research Program in Development Studies..
- Alquist, Ron & Kilian, Lutz & Vigfusson, Robert J., 2013.
"Forecasting the Price of Oil,"
Handbook of Economic Forecasting, in: G. Elliott & C. Granger & A. Timmermann (ed.), Handbook of Economic Forecasting, edition 1, volume 2, chapter 0, pages 427-507,
Elsevier.
- Ron Alquist & Lutz Kilian & Robert Vigfusson, 2011. "Forecasting the Price of Oil," Staff Working Papers 11-15, Bank of Canada.
- Ron Alquist & Lutz Kilian & Robert J. Vigfusson, 2011. "Forecasting the price of oil," International Finance Discussion Papers 1022, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Kilian, Lutz & Alquist, Ron & Vigfusson, Robert J., 2011. "Forecasting the Price of Oil," CEPR Discussion Papers 8388, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Humphreys, David, 2010. "The great metals boom: A retrospective," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 35(1), pages 1-13, March.
- Christiane Baumeister & Gert Peersman, 2013.
"The Role Of Time‐Varying Price Elasticities In Accounting For Volatility Changes In The Crude Oil Market,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 28(7), pages 1087-1109, November.
- Christiane Baumeister & Gert Peersman, 2011. "The Role of Time-Varying Price Elasticities in Accounting for Volatility Changes in the Crude Oil Market," Staff Working Papers 11-28, Bank of Canada.
- Jan J. J. Groen & Paolo A. Pesenti, 2011.
"Commodity Prices, Commodity Currencies, and Global Economic Developments,"
NBER Chapters, in: Commodity Prices and Markets, pages 15-42,
National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Jan J. J. Groen & Paolo Pesenti, 2009. "Commodity prices, commodity currencies, and global economic developments," Staff Reports 387, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
- Pesenti, Paolo & Groen, Jan J. J., 2010. "Commodity prices, commodity currencies, and global economic developments," CEPR Discussion Papers 7689, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Paolo A. Pesenti & Jan J.J. Groen, 2011. "Commodity prices, commodity currencies, and global economic developments," European Economy - Economic Papers 2008 - 2015 440, Directorate General Economic and Financial Affairs (DG ECFIN), European Commission.
- Jan J. J. Groen & Paolo A. Pesenti, 2010. "Commodity prices, commodity currencies, and global economic developments," NBER Working Papers 15743, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Laurent Ferrara & Clément Marsilli, 2019.
"Nowcasting global economic growth: A factor‐augmented mixed‐frequency approach,"
The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 42(3), pages 846-875, March.
- L. Ferrara & C. Marsilli, 2014. "Nowcasting global economic growth: A factor-augmented mixed-frequency approach," Working papers 515, Banque de France.
- Laurent Ferrara & Clément Marsilli, 2019. "Nowcasting global economic growth: A factor-augmented mixed-frequency approach," Post-Print hal-01636761, HAL.
- Robert B. Barsky & Lutz Kilian, 2004.
"Oil and the Macroeconomy Since the 1970s,"
Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 18(4), pages 115-134, Fall.
- Barsky, Robert & Kilian, Lutz, 2004. "Oil and the Macroeconomy Since the 1970s," CEPR Discussion Papers 4496, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Robert Barsky & Lutz Kilian, 2004. "Oil and the Macroeconomy Since the 1970s," NBER Working Papers 10855, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Basher, Syed Abul & Haug, Alfred A. & Sadorsky, Perry, 2012.
"Oil prices, exchange rates and emerging stock markets,"
Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 34(1), pages 227-240.
- Syed Abul Basher & Alfred Haug & Perry Sadorsky, 2010. "Oil Prices, Exchange Rates and Emerging Stock Markets," Working Papers 1014, University of Otago, Department of Economics, revised Sep 2010.
- Basher, Syed Abul & Haug, Alfred A. & Sadorsky, Perry, 2011. "Oil prices, exchange rates and emerging stock markets," MPRA Paper 30140, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Christiane Baumeister & Lutz Kilian, 2016.
"Forty Years of Oil Price Fluctuations: Why the Price of Oil May Still Surprise Us,"
Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 30(1), pages 139-160, Winter.
- Baumeister, Christiane & Kilian, Lutz, 2015. "Forty years of oil price fluctuations: Why the price of oil may still surprise us," CFS Working Paper Series 525, Center for Financial Studies (CFS).
- Christiane Baumeister & Lutz Kilian, 2016. "Forty Years of Oil Price Fluctuations: Why the Price of Oil May Still Surprise Us," CESifo Working Paper Series 5709, CESifo.
- Kilian, Lutz & Baumeister, Christiane, 2016. "Forty Years of Oil Price Fluctuations: Why the Price of Oil May Still Surprise Us," CEPR Discussion Papers 11035, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Matteo Ciccarelli & Benoît Mojon, 2010.
"Global Inflation,"
The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 92(3), pages 524-535, August.
- Ciccarelli, Matteo & Mojon, Benoît, 2005. "Global inflation," Working Paper Series 537, European Central Bank.
- Flora Budianto & Giovanni Lombardo & Benoit Mojon & Daniel Rees, 2021. "Global reflation ?," BIS Bulletins 43, Bank for International Settlements.
- Ciccarelli, Matteo & Mojon, Benoît, 2006. "Global Inflation," Kiel Working Papers 1337, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
- Matteo Ciccarelli & Benoit Mojon, 2008. "Global inflation," Working Paper Series WP-08-05, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago.
- Matteo Ciccarelli & Benoît Mojon, 2005. "Global Inflation," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 357, Central Bank of Chile.
- Michael P. Clements & Ana Beatriz Galvao, 2009.
"Forecasting US output growth using leading indicators: an appraisal using MIDAS models,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 24(7), pages 1187-1206.
- Michael P. Clements & Ana Beatriz Galvão, 2009. "Forecasting US output growth using leading indicators: an appraisal using MIDAS models," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 24(7), pages 1187-1206, November.
- Grilli, Vittorio & Roubini, Nouriel, 1996.
"Liquidity models in open economies: Theory and empirical evidence,"
European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 40(3-5), pages 847-859, April.
- Nouriel Roubini & Vittorio Grilli, 1995. "Liquidity Models in Open Economies: Theory and Empirical Evidence," NBER Working Papers 5313, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Vittorio Grilli & Nouriel Roubini, 1995. "Liquidity Models in Open Economies: Theory and Empirical Evidence," Working Papers 95-16, New York University, Leonard N. Stern School of Business, Department of Economics.
- Lutz Kilian, 2008.
"The Economic Effects of Energy Price Shocks,"
Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 46(4), pages 871-909, December.
- Kilian, Lutz, 2007. "The Economic Effects of Energy Price Shocks," CEPR Discussion Papers 6559, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Christiane Baumeister & Lutz Kilian, 2015.
"Forecasting the Real Price of Oil in a Changing World: A Forecast Combination Approach,"
Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 33(3), pages 338-351, July.
- Christiane Baumeister & Lutz Kilian, 2013. "Forecasting the Real Price of Oil in a Changing World: A Forecast Combination Approach," Staff Working Papers 13-28, Bank of Canada.
- Kilian, Lutz & Baumeister, Christiane, 2013. "Forecasting the Real Price of Oil in a Changing World: A Forecast Combination Approach," CEPR Discussion Papers 9569, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Baumeister, Christiane & Kilian, Lutz, 2013. "Forecasting the real price of oil in a changing world: A forecast combination approach," CFS Working Paper Series 2013/11, Center for Financial Studies (CFS).
- Victor Zarnowitz, 1987. "The Regularity of Business Cycles," NBER Working Papers 2381, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Gorton, Gary, 1988.
"Banking Panics and Business Cycles,"
Oxford Economic Papers, Oxford University Press, vol. 40(4), pages 751-781, December.
- Gary Gorton, 1986. "Banking panics and business cycles," Working Papers 86-9, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia.
- Francesco Lippi & Andrea Nobili, 2012.
"Oil And The Macroeconomy: A Quantitative Structural Analysis,"
Journal of the European Economic Association, European Economic Association, vol. 10(5), pages 1059-1083, October.
- Francesco Lippi & Andrea Nobili, 2009. "Oil and the macroeconomy: a quantitative structural analysis," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 704, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
- Francesco Lippi & Andrea Nobili, 2010. "Oil and the Macroeconomy: A Quantitative Structural Analysis," EIEF Working Papers Series 1009, Einaudi Institute for Economics and Finance (EIEF), revised Apr 2010.
- Clark, Todd E. & West, Kenneth D., 2007.
"Approximately normal tests for equal predictive accuracy in nested models,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 138(1), pages 291-311, May.
- Todd E. Clark & Kenneth D. West, 2005. "Approximately normal tests for equal predictive accuracy in nested models," Research Working Paper RWP 05-05, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City.
- Kenneth D. West & Todd Clark, 2006. "Approximately Normal Tests for Equal Predictive Accuracy in Nested Models," NBER Technical Working Papers 0326, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Shaohua Chen & Martin Ravallion, 2010.
"The Developing World is Poorer than We Thought, But No Less Successful in the Fight Against Poverty,"
The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 125(4), pages 1577-1625.
- Chen, Shaohua & Ravallion, Martin, 2008. "The developing world is poorer than we thought, but no less successful in the fight against poverty," Policy Research Working Paper Series 4703, The World Bank.
- Ratti, Ronald A & Vespignani, Joaquin L., 2012.
"Why are crude oil prices high when global activity is weak?,"
MPRA Paper
43777, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Ratti, Ronald A & Vespignani, Joaquin L., 2013. "Why crude oil prices are high when global activity is weak?," Working Papers 2013-01, University of Tasmania, Tasmanian School of Business and Economics, revised 20 Mar 2013.
- Knut Are Aastveit & Hilde C. Bjørnland & Leif Anders Thorsrud, 2015.
"What Drives Oil Prices? Emerging Versus Developed Economies,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 30(7), pages 1013-1028, November.
- Knut Are Aastveit & Hilde C. Bjørnland & Leif Anders Thorsrud, 2012. "What drives oil prices? Emerging versus developed economies," Working Papers No 2/2012, Centre for Applied Macro- and Petroleum economics (CAMP), BI Norwegian Business School.
- Knut Are Aastveit & Hilde C. Bjornland, 2013. "What drives oil prices? Emerging versus developed economies," CAMA Working Papers 2013-11, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Knut Are Aastveit & Hilde C. Bjørnland & Leif Anders Thorsrud, 2012. "What drives oil prices? Emerging versus developed economies," Working Paper 2012/11, Norges Bank.
- Ben S. Bernanke & Mark Gertler & Mark Watson, 1997.
"Systematic Monetary Policy and the Effects of Oil Price Shocks,"
Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, Economic Studies Program, The Brookings Institution, vol. 28(1), pages 91-157.
- Bernanke, Ben S. & Gertler, Mark & Waston, Mark, 1997. "Systematic Monetary Policy and the Effects of Oil Price Shocks," Working Papers 97-25, C.V. Starr Center for Applied Economics, New York University.
- Ben S. Bernanke & Mark Gertler & Mark W. Watson, 1997. "Systematic Monetary Policy and the Effects of Oil Price Shocks," Working Papers 1997-1, Princeton University. Economics Department..
- Mario Crucini & Ayhan Kose & Christopher Otrok, 2011.
"What are the driving forces of international business cycles?,"
Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 14(1), pages 156-175, January.
- Mario J. Crucini & M. Ayhan Kose & Christopher Otrok, 2008. "What Are the Driving Forces of International Business Cycles?," Vanderbilt University Department of Economics Working Papers 0815, Vanderbilt University Department of Economics.
- Christopher Otrok & Ayhan Kose & Mario J. Crucini, 2009. "What are the driving forces of international business cycles," 2009 Meeting Papers 820, Society for Economic Dynamics.
- Mario J. Crucini & M. Ayhan Kose & Christopher Otrok, 2008. "What Are the Driving Forces of International Business Cycles?," NBER Working Papers 14380, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- M. Ayhan Kose & Christopher Otrok & Eswar Prasad, 2012.
"Global Business Cycles: Convergence Or Decoupling?,"
International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 53(2), pages 511-538, May.
- Kose, M. Ayhan & Otrok, Christopher & Prasad, Eswar, 2008. "Global Business Cycles: Convergence or Decoupling?," IZA Discussion Papers 3442, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
- M. Ayhan Kose & Christopher Otrok & Eswar S. Prasad, 2008. "Global Business Cycles: Convergence or Decoupling?," NBER Working Papers 14292, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Mr. Ayhan Kose & Mr. Eswar S Prasad & Mr. Christopher Otrok, 2008. "Global Business Cycles: Convergence or Decoupling?," IMF Working Papers 2008/143, International Monetary Fund.
- Kose, M. Ayhan & Otrok, Christopher M. & Prasad, Eswar S., 2008. "Global business cycles: convergence or decoupling?," Discussion Paper Series 1: Economic Studies 2008,17, Deutsche Bundesbank.
- Lutz Kilian, 2009.
"Not All Oil Price Shocks Are Alike: Disentangling Demand and Supply Shocks in the Crude Oil Market,"
American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 99(3), pages 1053-1069, June.
- Kilian, Lutz, 2006. "Not All Oil Price Shocks Are Alike: Disentangling Demand and Supply Shocks in the Crude Oil Market," CEPR Discussion Papers 5994, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Apergis, Nicholas & Miller, Stephen M., 2009.
"Do structural oil-market shocks affect stock prices?,"
Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 31(4), pages 569-575, July.
- Nicholas Apergis & Stephen M. Miller, 2008. "Do Structural Oil-Market Shocks Affect Stock Prices?," Working papers 2008-51, University of Connecticut, Department of Economics.
- Nicholas Apergis & Stephen M. Miller, 2009. "Do Structural Oil-Market Shocks Affect Stock Prices?," Working Papers 0917, University of Nevada, Las Vegas , Department of Economics.
- Charles Steindel, 2004. "The relationship between manufacturing production and goods output," Current Issues in Economics and Finance, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, vol. 10(Aug).
- Radetzki, Marian, 2006. "The anatomy of three commodity booms," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 31(1), pages 56-64, March.
- Ashley, R & Granger, C W J & Schmalensee, R, 1980. "Advertising and Aggregate Consumption: An Analysis of Causality," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 48(5), pages 1149-1167, July.
- Christiane Baumeister & James D. Hamilton, 2019.
"Structural Interpretation of Vector Autoregressions with Incomplete Identification: Revisiting the Role of Oil Supply and Demand Shocks,"
American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 109(5), pages 1873-1910, May.
- Christiane J.S. Baumeister & James D. Hamilton, 2017. "Structural Interpretation of Vector Autoregressions with Incomplete Identification: Revisiting the Role of Oil Supply and Demand Shocks," NBER Working Papers 24167, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Christiane Baumeister & James D. Hamilton, 2017. "Structural Interpretation of Vector Autoregressions with Incomplete Identification: Revisiting the Role of Oil Supply and Demand Shocks," CESifo Working Paper Series 6835, CESifo.
- Mullineaux, Donald J, 1980. "Unemployment, Industrial Production, and Inflation Uncertainty in the United States," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 62(2), pages 163-169, May.
- Ghysels, Eric & Santa-Clara, Pedro & Valkanov, Rossen, 2004.
"The MIDAS Touch: Mixed Data Sampling Regression Models,"
University of California at Los Angeles, Anderson Graduate School of Management
qt9mf223rs, Anderson Graduate School of Management, UCLA.
- Eric Ghysels & Pedro Santa-Clara & Rossen Valkanov, 2004. "The MIDAS Touch: Mixed Data Sampling Regression Models," CIRANO Working Papers 2004s-20, CIRANO.
- Lutz Kilian & Bruce Hicks, 2013.
"Did Unexpectedly Strong Economic Growth Cause the Oil Price Shock of 2003–2008?,"
Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 32(5), pages 385-394, August.
- Kilian, Lutz & Hicks, Bruce, 2009. "Did Unexpectedly Strong Economic Growth Cause the Oil Price Shock of 2003-2008?," CEPR Discussion Papers 7265, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Kilian, Lutz & Zhou, Xiaoqing, 2018.
"Modeling fluctuations in the global demand for commodities,"
Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 88(C), pages 54-78.
- Lutz Kilian & Xiaoqing Zhou, 2017. "Modeling Fluctuations in the Global Demand for Commodities," CESifo Working Paper Series 6749, CESifo.
- Kilian, Lutz & Zhou, Xiaoqing, 2017. "Modeling Fluctuations in the Global Demand for Commodities," CEPR Discussion Papers 12357, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- James Rossiter, 2010. "Nowcasting the Global Economy," Discussion Papers 10-12, Bank of Canada.
- G. Elliott & C. Granger & A. Timmermann (ed.), 2006. "Handbook of Economic Forecasting," Handbook of Economic Forecasting, Elsevier, edition 1, volume 1, number 1.
- Golinelli, Roberto & Parigi, Giuseppe, 2014.
"Tracking world trade and GDP in real time,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 30(4), pages 847-862.
- Roberto Golinelli & Giuseppe Parigi, 2013. "Tracking world trade and GDP in real time," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 920, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
- Kim, Soyoung & Roubini, Nouriel, 2000. "Exchange rate anomalies in the industrial countries: A solution with a structural VAR approach," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 45(3), pages 561-586, June.
- Angus Deaton, 2005. "ERRATUM: Measuring Poverty in a Growing World (or Measuring Growth in a Poor World)," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 87(2), pages 395-395, May.
- Miron, Jeffrey A. & Romer, Christina D., 1990.
"A New Monthly Index of Industrial Production, 1884–1940,"
The Journal of Economic History, Cambridge University Press, vol. 50(2), pages 321-337, June.
- Christina Romer & Jeffrey A. Miron, 1989. "A New Monthly Index of Industrial Production, 1884-1940," NBER Working Papers 3172, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Christiane Baumeister & Lutz Kilian, 2014.
"What Central Bankers Need To Know About Forecasting Oil Prices,"
International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 55, pages 869-889, August.
- Baumeister, Christiane & Kilian, Lutz, 2012. "What Central Bankers Need to Know about Forecasting Oil Prices," CEPR Discussion Papers 9118, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Christiane Baumeister & Lutz Kilian, 2013. "What Central Bankers Need to Know about Forecasting Oil Prices," Staff Working Papers 13-15, Bank of Canada.
- Baumeister, Christiane & Hamilton, James, 2017. "Structural Interpretation of Vector Autoregressions with Incomplete Identification: Revisiting the Role of Oil Supply and Deman," CEPR Discussion Papers 12532, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Herrera, Ana María & Lagalo, Latika Gupta & Wada, Tatsuma, 2011. "Oil Price Shocks And Industrial Production: Is The Relationship Linear?," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 15(S3), pages 472-497, November.
- Frederick R. Macaulay, 1938. "Some Theoretical Problems Suggested by the Movements of Interest Rates, Bond Yields and Stock Prices in the United States since 1856," NBER Books, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number maca38-1.
- Kim, Soyoung, 2001. "International transmission of U.S. monetary policy shocks: Evidence from VAR's," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 48(2), pages 339-372, October.
- Gerlach, H M Stefan, 1988. "World Business Cycles under Fixed and Flexible Exchange Rates," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 20(4), pages 621-632, November.
- Charles W. Calomiris & R. Glenn Hubbard, 1989. "Price Flexibility, Credit Availability, and Economic Fluctuations: Evidence from the United States, 1894–1909," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 104(3), pages 429-452.
- Raffaella Giacomini & Barbara Rossi, 2010.
"Forecast comparisons in unstable environments,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 25(4), pages 595-620.
- Giacomini, Raffaella & Rossi, Barbara, 2008. "Forecast Comparisons in Unstable Environments," Working Papers 08-04, Duke University, Department of Economics.
- Ratti, Ronald A. & Vespignani, Joaquin L., 2013.
"Why are crude oil prices high when global activity is weak?,"
Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 121(1), pages 133-136.
- Ratti, Ronald A & Vespignani, Joaquin L., 2012. "Why are crude oil prices high when global activity is weak?," MPRA Paper 43777, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Citations
Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
Cited by:
- Baumeister, Christiane & Guérin, Pierre, 2021.
"A comparison of monthly global indicators for forecasting growth,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 37(3), pages 1276-1295.
- Christiane Baumeister & Pierre Guérin, 2020. "A Comparison of Monthly Global Indicators for Forecasting Growth," NBER Working Papers 28014, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Christiane Baumeister & Pierre Guérin, 2020. "A Comparison of Monthly Global Indicators for Forecasting Growth," CESifo Working Paper Series 8656, CESifo.
- Christiane Baumeister & Pierre Guérin, 2020. "A comparison of monthly global indicators for forecasting growth," CAMA Working Papers 2020-93, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Baumeister, Christiane & Guerin, Pierre, 2020. "A Comparison of Monthly Global Indicators for Forecasting Growth," CEPR Discussion Papers 15403, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Olayeni, Olaolu Richard & Tiwari, Aviral Kumar & Wohar, Mark E., 2020. "Global economic activity, crude oil price and production, stock market behaviour and the Nigeria-US exchange rate," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 92(C).
- Funashima, Yoshito, 2020. "Global economic activity indexes revisited," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 193(C).
- Diaz, Elena Maria & Pérez Quirós, Gabriel, 2020.
"Daily tracker of global economic activity: a close-up of the COVID-19 pandemic,"
Working Paper Series
2505, European Central Bank.
- Pérez-Quirós, Gabriel & Diaz, Elena, 2020. "Daily Tracker of Global Economic Activity. A Close-Up of the Covid-19 Pandemic," CEPR Discussion Papers 15451, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Angelini, Giovanni & Cavaliere, Giuseppe & Fanelli, Luca, 2024.
"An identification and testing strategy for proxy-SVARs with weak proxies,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 238(2).
- Giovanni Angelini & Giuseppe Cavaliere & Luca Fanelli, 2022. "An identification and testing strategy for proxy-SVARs with weak proxies," Papers 2210.04523, arXiv.org, revised Oct 2023.
- Galdi, Giulio & Casarin, Roberto & Ferrari, Davide & Fezzi, Carlo & Ravazzolo, Francesco, 2023.
"Nowcasting industrial production using linear and non-linear models of electricity demand,"
Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 126(C).
- Giulio Galdi & Roberto Casarin & Davide Ferrari & Carlo Fezzi & Francesco Ravazzolo, 2022. "Nowcasting industrial production using linear and non-linear models of electricity demand," DEM Working Papers 2022/2, Department of Economics and Management.
- Stavros Degiannakis, George Filis, and Vipin Arora, 2018.
"Oil Prices and Stock Markets: A Review of the Theory and Empirical Evidence,"
The Energy Journal, International Association for Energy Economics, vol. 0(Number 5).
- Stavros Degiannakis & George Filis & Vipin Arora, 2018. "Oil Prices and Stock Markets: A Review of the Theory and Empirical Evidence," The Energy Journal, , vol. 39(5), pages 85-130, September.
- Stavros Degiannakis & George Filis & Vipin Arora, 2018. "Oil prices and stock markets: A review of the theory and empirical evidence," BAFES Working Papers BAFES22, Department of Accounting, Finance & Economic, Bournemouth University.
- Degiannakis, Stavros & Filis, George & Arora, Vipin, 2018. "Oil Prices and Stock Markets: A Review of the Theory and Empirical Evidence," MPRA Paper 96270, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Kilian, Lutz, 2022.
"Facts and fiction in oil market modeling,"
Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 110(C).
- Lutz Kilian, 2019. "Facts and Fiction in Oil Market Modeling," CESifo Working Paper Series 7902, CESifo.
- Kilian, Lutz, 2019. "Facts and Fiction in Oil Market Modeling," CEPR Discussion Papers 14047, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Kilian, Lutz, 2021. "Facts and fiction in oil market modeling," CFS Working Paper Series 661, Center for Financial Studies (CFS).
- Lutz Kilian, 2019. "Facts and Fiction in Oil Market Modeling," Working Papers 1907, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, revised 21 Dec 2020.
- Diaz, Elena Maria & Perez-Quiros, Gabriel, 2021. "GEA tracker: A daily indicator of global economic activity," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 115(C).
- Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta & Elie Bouri & Qiang Ji, 2020. "Forecasting Oil Volatility Using a GARCH-MIDAS Approach: The Role of Global Economic Conditions," Working Papers 202051, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Arabinda Basistha & Richard Startz, 2024.
"Measuring persistent global economic factors with output, commodity price, and commodity currency data,"
Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 43(7), pages 2860-2885, November.
- Arabinda Basistha & Richard Startz, 2023. "Measuring Persistent Global Economic Factors with Output, Commodity Price, and Commodity Currency Data," Working Papers 23-05, Department of Economics, West Virginia University.
- Wen, Xiaoqian & Xie, Yuxin & Pantelous, Athanasios A., 2022. "Extreme price co-movement of commodity futures and industrial production growth: An empirical evaluation," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 108(C).
- Guo, Yangli & Ma, Feng & Li, Haibo & Lai, Xiaodong, 2022. "Oil price volatility predictability based on global economic conditions," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).
- Nonejad, Nima, 2021. "The price of crude oil and (conditional) out-of-sample predictability of world industrial production," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 23(C).
- Jiménez-Rodríguez, Rebeca, 2022. "Oil shocks and global economy," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 115(C).
- Afees A. Salisu & Philip C. Omoke & Abdulsalam Abidemi Sikiru, 2023. "Geopolitical risk and global financial cycle: Some forecasting experiments," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(1), pages 3-16, January.
- Stolbov, Mikhail & Shchepeleva, Maria, 2022. "Modeling global real economic activity: Evidence from variable selection across quantiles," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 25(C).
- Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta & Elie Bouri & Qiang Ji, 2022. "Mixed‐frequency forecasting of crude oil volatility based on the information content of global economic conditions," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 41(1), pages 134-157, January.
- Chew Lian Chua & Sarantis Tsiaplias & Ruining Zhou, 2024. "Constructing a high‐frequency World Economic Gauge using a mixed‐frequency dynamic factor model," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 43(6), pages 2212-2227, September.
- Salisu, Afees A. & Gupta, Rangan & Bouri, Elie & Ji, Qiang, 2020.
"The role of global economic conditions in forecasting gold market volatility: Evidence from a GARCH-MIDAS approach,"
Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 54(C).
- Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta & Elie Bouri & Qiang Ji, 2020. "The Role of Global Economic Conditions in Forecasting Gold Market Volatility: Evidence from a GARCH-MIDAS Approach," Working Papers 202043, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Nguyen, BH & Zhang, Bo, 2022. "Forecasting oil Prices: can large BVARs help?," Working Papers 2022-04, University of Tasmania, Tasmanian School of Business and Economics.
Most related items
These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.- Francesco Ravazzolo & Joaquin L. Vespignani, 2015.
"A new monthly indicator of global real economic activity,"
Globalization Institute Working Papers
244, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas.
- Ravazzolo, Francesco & Vespignani, Joaquin, 2015. "A new monthly indicator of global real economic activity," Working Papers 2015-07, University of Tasmania, Tasmanian School of Business and Economics.
- Francesco Ravazzolo & Joaquin L. Vespignani, 2015. "A New Monthly Indicator of Global Real Economic Activity," Working Papers No 2/2015, Centre for Applied Macro- and Petroleum economics (CAMP), BI Norwegian Business School.
- Francesco Ravazzolo & Joaquin L. Vespignani, 2015. "A New Monthly Indicator of Global Real Economic Activity," Working Paper 2015/06, Norges Bank.
- Francesco Ravazzolo & Joaquin L. Vespignani, 2015. "A New Monthly Indicator of Global Real Economic Activity," CAMA Working Papers 2015-13, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Lang, Korbinian & Auer, Benjamin R., 2020. "The economic and financial properties of crude oil: A review," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 52(C).
- Simona Delle Chiaie & Laurent Ferrara & Domenico Giannone, 2022.
"Common factors of commodity prices,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 37(3), pages 461-476, April.
- Delle Chiaie, Simona & Ferrara, Laurent & Giannone, Domenico, 2018. "Common factors of commodity prices," Research Bulletin, European Central Bank, vol. 51.
- S. Delle Chiaie & L. Ferrara & D. Giannone, 2017. "Common Factors of Commodity Prices," Working papers 645, Banque de France.
- Giannone, Domenico & Ferrara, Laurent & Delle Chiaie, Simona, 2018. "Common Factors of Commodity Prices," CEPR Discussion Papers 12767, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Delle Chiaie, Simona & Ferrara, Laurent & Giannone, Domenico, 2017. "Common factors of commodity prices," Working Paper Series 2112, European Central Bank.
- Lorusso, Marco & Pieroni, Luca, 2018.
"Causes and consequences of oil price shocks on the UK economy,"
Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 72(C), pages 223-236.
- Marco Lorusso & Luca Pieroni, 2015. "Causes and Consequences of Oil Price Shocks on the UK Economy," CEERP Working Paper Series 002, Centre for Energy Economics Research and Policy, Heriot-Watt University, revised Nov 2015.
- Ratti, Ronald A. & Vespignani, Joaquin L., 2015.
"Commodity prices and BRIC and G3 liquidity: A SFAVEC approach,"
Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 53(C), pages 18-33.
- Ratti, Ronald A & Vespignani, Joaquin L., 2013. "Commodity Prices and BRIC and G3 Liquidity: A SFAVEC Approach," Working Papers 17096, University of Tasmania, Tasmanian School of Business and Economics, revised 09 Jan 2013.
- Ronald A. Ratti & Joaquin L. Vespignani, 2014. "Commodity Prices and BRIC and G3 Liquidity: A SFAVEC Approach," CAMA Working Papers 2014-13, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Ratti, Ronald A. & Vespignani, Joaquin L., 2013. "Commodity Prices and BRIC and G3 Liquidity: A SFAVEC Approach," MPRA Paper 49324, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Dong, Minyi & Chang, Chun-Ping & Gong, Qiang & Chu, Yin, 2019. "Revisiting global economic activity and crude oil prices: A wavelet analysis," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 134-149.
- Baumeister, Christiane & Guérin, Pierre, 2021.
"A comparison of monthly global indicators for forecasting growth,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 37(3), pages 1276-1295.
- Christiane Baumeister & Pierre Guérin, 2020. "A Comparison of Monthly Global Indicators for Forecasting Growth," NBER Working Papers 28014, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Baumeister, Christiane & Guerin, Pierre, 2020. "A Comparison of Monthly Global Indicators for Forecasting Growth," CEPR Discussion Papers 15403, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Christiane Baumeister & Pierre Guérin, 2020. "A comparison of monthly global indicators for forecasting growth," CAMA Working Papers 2020-93, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Christiane Baumeister & Pierre Guérin, 2020. "A Comparison of Monthly Global Indicators for Forecasting Growth," CESifo Working Paper Series 8656, CESifo.
- Degiannakis, Stavros & Filis, George, 2018. "Forecasting oil prices: High-frequency financial data are indeed useful," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 388-402.
- Mont'Alverne Duarte, Angelo & Gaglianone, Wagner Piazza & de Carvalho Guillén, Osmani Teixeira & Issler, João Victor, 2021.
"Commodity prices and global economic activity: A derived-demand approach,"
Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 96(C).
- Angelo Mont’Alverne Duarte & Wagner Piazza Gaglianone & Osmani Teixeira de Carvalho Guillén & João Victor Issler, 2020. "Commodity Prices and Global Economic Activity: a derived-demand approach," Working Papers Series 539, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department.
- Raghavan, Mala, 2020.
"An analysis of the global oil market using SVARMA models,"
Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 86(C).
- Mala Raghavan, 2019. "An analysis of the global oil market using SVARMA models," CAMA Working Papers 2019-25, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Raghavan, Mala, 2019. "An analysis of the global oil market using SVARMA models," Working Papers 2019-01, University of Tasmania, Tasmanian School of Business and Economics.
- Lutz Kilian & Xiaoqing Zhou, 2023.
"The Econometrics of Oil Market VAR Models,"
Advances in Econometrics, in: Essays in Honor of Joon Y. Park: Econometric Methodology in Empirical Applications, volume 45, pages 65-95,
Emerald Group Publishing Limited.
- Lutz Kilian & Xiaoqing Zhou, 2020. "The Econometrics of Oil Market VAR Models," Working Papers 2006, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas.
- Kilian, Lutz & Zhou, Xiaoqing, 2020. "The Econometrics of Oil Market VAR Models," CEPR Discussion Papers 14460, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Lutz Kilian & Xiaoqing Zhou, 2020. "The Econometrics of Oil Market VAR Models," CESifo Working Paper Series 8153, CESifo.
- Kilian, Lutz & Zhou, Xiaoqing, 2018.
"Modeling fluctuations in the global demand for commodities,"
Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 88(C), pages 54-78.
- Lutz Kilian & Xiaoqing Zhou, 2017. "Modeling Fluctuations in the Global Demand for Commodities," CESifo Working Paper Series 6749, CESifo.
- Kilian, Lutz & Zhou, Xiaoqing, 2017. "Modeling Fluctuations in the Global Demand for Commodities," CEPR Discussion Papers 12357, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Nonejad, Nima, 2021. "The price of crude oil and (conditional) out-of-sample predictability of world industrial production," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 23(C).
- Ratti, Ronald A. & Vespignani, Joaquin L., 2016.
"Oil prices and global factor macroeconomic variables,"
Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 198-212.
- Ratti, Ronald & Vespignani, Joaquin, 2015. "Oil prices and global factor macroeconomic variables," Working Papers 2015-08, University of Tasmania, Tasmanian School of Business and Economics.
- Raghavan, Mala, 2015. "The macroeconomic effects of oil price shocks on ASEAN-5 economies," Working Papers 2015-10, University of Tasmania, Tasmanian School of Business and Economics.
- Christiane Baumeister & Lutz Kilian, 2016.
"Forty Years of Oil Price Fluctuations: Why the Price of Oil May Still Surprise Us,"
Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 30(1), pages 139-160, Winter.
- Baumeister, Christiane & Kilian, Lutz, 2015. "Forty years of oil price fluctuations: Why the price of oil may still surprise us," CFS Working Paper Series 525, Center for Financial Studies (CFS).
- Christiane Baumeister & Lutz Kilian, 2016. "Forty Years of Oil Price Fluctuations: Why the Price of Oil May Still Surprise Us," CESifo Working Paper Series 5709, CESifo.
- Kilian, Lutz & Baumeister, Christiane, 2016. "Forty Years of Oil Price Fluctuations: Why the Price of Oil May Still Surprise Us," CEPR Discussion Papers 11035, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Francesco Ravazzolo & Philip Rothman, 2013.
"Oil and U.S. GDP: A Real-Time Out-of-Sample Examination,"
Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 45(2-3), pages 449-463, March.
- Francesco Ravazzolo & Philip Rothman, 2013. "Oil and U.S. GDP: A Real‐Time Out‐of‐Sample Examination," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 45(2‐3), pages 449-463, March.
- Francesco Ravazzolo & Philip Rothman, 2010. "Oil and US GDP: A real-time out-of-sample examination," Working Paper 2010/18, Norges Bank.
- Francesco Ravazzolo & Philip Rothman, 2011. "Oil and US GDP: A Real-Time out-of Sample Examination," Working Papers No 2/2011, Centre for Applied Macro- and Petroleum economics (CAMP), BI Norwegian Business School.
- Ratti, Ronald A. & Vespignani, Joaquin L., 2014.
"Oil prices and the economy: A global perspective,"
MPRA Paper
59407, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Ronald A. Ratti & Joaquin L. Vespignani, 2014. "Oil prices and the economy: A global perspective," CAMA Working Papers 2014-41, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Degiannakis, Stavros & Filis, George, 2017. "Forecasting oil prices," MPRA Paper 77531, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Cotter, John & Eyiah-Donkor, Emmanuel & Potì, Valerio, 2023.
"Commodity futures return predictability and intertemporal asset pricing,"
Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 31(C).
- John Cotter & Emmanuel Eyiah-Donkor & Valerio Potì, 2020. "Commodity Futures Return Predictability and Intertemporal Asset Pricing," Working Papers 202011, Geary Institute, University College Dublin.
- John Cotter & Emmanuel Eyiah-Donkor & Valerio Potì, 2023. "Commodity futures return predictability and intertemporal asset pricing," Post-Print hal-04192933, HAL.
More about this item
Keywords
Global real economic activity; World steel production; Forecasting;All these keywords.
JEL classification:
- E1 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - General Aggregative Models
- E3 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles
- C1 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General
- C5 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling
- C8 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Data Collection and Data Estimation Methodology; Computer Programs
NEP fields
This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:- NEP-FOR-2017-07-02 (Forecasting)
- NEP-MAC-2017-07-02 (Macroeconomics)
Statistics
Access and download statisticsCorrections
All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:een:camaaa:2017-42. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.
If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.
If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .
If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.
For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Cama Admin (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/asanuau.html .
Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.