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Optimal prediction pools
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Cited by:
- Hautsch, Nikolaus & Voigt, Stefan, 2019.
"Large-scale portfolio allocation under transaction costs and model uncertainty,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 212(1), pages 221-240.
- Nikolaus Hautsch & Stefan Voigt, 2017. "Large-Scale Portfolio Allocation Under Transaction Costs and Model Uncertainty," Papers 1709.06296, arXiv.org, revised Jun 2018.
- Hautsch, Nikolaus & Voigt, Stefan, 2017. "Large-scale portfolio allocation under transaction costs and model uncertainty," CFS Working Paper Series 582, Center for Financial Studies (CFS).
- Li, Li & Kang, Yanfei & Li, Feng, 2023.
"Bayesian forecast combination using time-varying features,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 39(3), pages 1287-1302.
- Li Li & Yanfei Kang & Feng Li, 2021. "Bayesian forecast combination using time-varying features," Papers 2108.02082, arXiv.org, revised Jun 2022.
- Hansen, Lars Peter & Sargent, Thomas J., 2022. "Structured ambiguity and model misspecification," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 199(C).
- Kajal Lahiri & Huaming Peng & Xuguang Simon Sheng, 2022.
"Measuring Uncertainty of a Combined Forecast and Some Tests for Forecaster Heterogeneity,"
Advances in Econometrics, in: Essays in Honor of M. Hashem Pesaran: Prediction and Macro Modeling, volume 43, pages 29-50,
Emerald Group Publishing Limited.
- Kajal Lahiri & Huaming Peng & Xuguang Sheng, 2015. "Measuring Uncertainty of a Combined Forecast and Some Tests for Forecaster Heterogeneity," CESifo Working Paper Series 5468, CESifo.
- Kajal Lahiri & Huaming Peng & Xuguang Simon Sheng, 2021. "Measuring Uncertainty of a Combined Forecast and Some Tests for Forecaster Heterogeneity," Working Papers 2021-005, The George Washington University, Department of Economics, H. O. Stekler Research Program on Forecasting.
- Kajal Lahiri & Huaming Peng & Xuguang Sheng, 2020. "Measuring Uncertainty of a Combined Forecast and Some Tests for Forecaster Heterogeneity," CESifo Working Paper Series 8810, CESifo.
- Buncic, Daniel & Müller, Oliver, 2017. "Measuring the output gap in Switzerland with linear opinion pools," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 64(C), pages 153-171.
- Tsionas, Mike & Parmeter, Christopher F. & Zelenyuk, Valentin, 2023.
"Bayesian Artificial Neural Networks for frontier efficiency analysis,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 236(2).
- Valentin Zelenyuk & Valentyn Panchenko, 2023. "Bayesian Artificial Neural Networks for Frontier Efficiency Analysis," CEPA Working Papers Series WP022023, School of Economics, University of Queensland, Australia.
- Mike Tsionas & Christopher F. Parmeter & Valentin Zelenyuk, 2023. "Bayesian Artificial Neural Networks for Frontier Efficiency Analysis," CEPA Working Papers Series WP012023, School of Economics, University of Queensland, Australia.
- Tan, Fei, 2018. "A Frequency-Domain Approach to Dynamic Macroeconomic Models," MPRA Paper 90487, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Ohtsuka, Yoshihiro & Oga, Takashi & Kakamu, Kazuhiko, 2010. "Forecasting electricity demand in Japan: A Bayesian spatial autoregressive ARMA approach," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 54(11), pages 2721-2735, November.
- Pauwels, Laurent & Radchenko, Peter & Vasnev, Andrey, 2019.
"Higher Moment Constraints for Predictive Density Combinations,"
Working Papers
BAWP-2019-01, University of Sydney Business School, Discipline of Business Analytics.
- Pauwels, Laurent & Radchenko, Peter & Vasnev, Andrey, 2020. "Higher Moment Constraints for Predictive Density Combinations," Working Papers BAWP-2020-01, University of Sydney Business School, Discipline of Business Analytics.
- Emilio Zanetti Chini, 2018.
"Forecaster’s utility and forecasts coherence,"
DEM Working Papers Series
145, University of Pavia, Department of Economics and Management.
- Emilio Zanetti Chini, 2018. "Forecaster’s utility and forecasts coherence," CREATES Research Papers 2018-01, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
- Emilio Zanetti Chini, 2018. "Forecasters’ utility and forecast coherence," CREATES Research Papers 2018-23, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
- Bjørnland, Hilde C. & Ravazzolo, Francesco & Thorsrud, Leif Anders, 2017.
"Forecasting GDP with global components: This time is different,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 33(1), pages 153-173.
- Hilde C. Bjørnland & Francesco Ravazzolo & Leif Anders Thorsrud, 2015. "Forecasting GDP with global components. This time is different," Working Paper 2015/05, Norges Bank.
- Hilde C. Bjornland & Francesco Ravazzolo & Leif Anders Thorsrud, 2016. "Forecasting GDP with global components. This time is different," CAMA Working Papers 2016-26, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Kenichiro McAlinn, 2021. "Mixed‐frequency Bayesian predictive synthesis for economic nowcasting," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series C, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 70(5), pages 1143-1163, November.
- Anders Warne & Günter Coenen & Kai Christoffel, 2017.
"Marginalized Predictive Likelihood Comparisons of Linear Gaussian State‐Space Models with Applications to DSGE, DSGE‐VAR, and VAR Models,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 32(1), pages 103-119, January.
- Warne, Anders & Coenen, Günter & Christoffel, Kai, 2014. "Marginalized predictive likelihood comparisons of linear Gaussian state-space models with applications to DSGE, DSGEVAR, and VAR models," CFS Working Paper Series 478, Center for Financial Studies (CFS).
- Marek Jarociński & Bartosz Maćkowiak, 2017.
"Granger Causal Priority and Choice of Variables in Vector Autoregressions,"
The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 99(2), pages 319-329, May.
- Jarociński, Marek & Maćkowiak, Bartosz, 2013. "Granger-causal-priority and choice of variables in vector autoregressions," Working Paper Series 1600, European Central Bank.
- Mackowiak, Bartosz & Jarocinski, Marek, 2013. "Granger-Causal-Priority and Choice of Variables in Vector Autoregressions," CEPR Discussion Papers 9686, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Bartosz Mackowiak, 2015. "Granger-Causal-Priority and Choice of Variables in Vector Autoregressions," 2015 Meeting Papers 66, Society for Economic Dynamics.
- Mehmet Pinar & Thanasis Stengos & M. Ege Yazgan, 2018. "Quantile forecast combination using stochastic dominance," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 55(4), pages 1717-1755, December.
- Aknouche, Abdelhakim & Dimitrakopoulos, Stefanos, 2020. "On an integer-valued stochastic intensity model for time series of counts," MPRA Paper 105406, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Timmermann, Allan & Pettenuzzo, Davide & Valkanov, Rossen, 2014.
"A Bayesian MIDAS Approach to Modeling First and Second Moment Dynamics,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
10160, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Davide Pettenuzzo & Rossen Valkanov & Allan Timmermann, 2014. "A Bayesian MIDAS Approach to Modeling First and Second Moment Dynamics," Working Papers 76, Brandeis University, Department of Economics and International Business School.
- Berg, Tim O. & Henzel, Steffen R., 2015.
"Point and density forecasts for the euro area using Bayesian VARs,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 31(4), pages 1067-1095.
- Berg, Tim Oliver & Henzel, Steffen, 2013. "Point and Density Forecasts for the Euro Area Using Many Predictors: Are Large BVARs Really Superior?," VfS Annual Conference 2013 (Duesseldorf): Competition Policy and Regulation in a Global Economic Order 79783, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
- Tim Oliver Berg & Steffen Henzel, 2013. "Point and Density Forecasts for the Euro Area Using Many Predictors: Are Large BVARs Really Superior?," ifo Working Paper Series 155, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich.
- Tim Oliver Berg & Steffen Henzel, 2014. "Point and Density Forecasts for the Euro Area Using Bayesian VARs," CESifo Working Paper Series 4711, CESifo.
- Davide Pettenuzzo & Allan Timmermann, 2017.
"Forecasting Macroeconomic Variables Under Model Instability,"
Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 35(2), pages 183-201, April.
- Timmermann, Allan & Pettenuzzo, Davide, 2016. "Forecasting Macroeconomic Variables under Model Instability," CEPR Discussion Papers 11355, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Matteo Mogliani & Anna Simoni, 2024. "Bayesian Bi-level Sparse Group Regressions for Macroeconomic Density Forecasting," Papers 2404.02671, arXiv.org, revised Nov 2024.
- Szabolcs Deák & Paul Levine & Afrasiab Mirza & Joseph Pearlman, 2019.
"Designing Robust Monetary Policy Using Prediction Pools,"
School of Economics Discussion Papers
1219, School of Economics, University of Surrey.
- Deak, S. & Levine, P. & Mirza, A. & Pearlman, J., 2019. "Designing Robust Monetary Policy Using Prediction Pools," Working Papers 19/11, Department of Economics, City University London.
- Roberto Casarin & Fabrizio Leisen & German Molina & Enrique ter Horst, 2014.
"A Bayesian Beta Markov Random Field Calibration of the Term Structure of Implied Risk Neutral Densities,"
Papers
1409.1956, arXiv.org.
- Roberto Casarin & Fabrizio Leisen & German Molina & Enrique Ter Horst, 2014. "A Bayesian Beta Markov Random Field calibration of the term structure of implied risk neutral densities," Working Papers 2014:22, Department of Economics, University of Venice "Ca' Foscari".
- George Papadopoulos & Savas Papadopoulos & Thomas Sager, 2016. "Credit risk stress testing for EU15 banks: a model combination approach," Working Papers 203, Bank of Greece.
- Mike G. Tsionas, 2023. "Linex and double-linex regression for parameter estimation and forecasting," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 323(1), pages 229-245, April.
- James Morley, 2014. "Measuring economic slack in Asia and the Pacific," BIS Papers chapters, in: Bank for International Settlements (ed.), Globalisation, inflation and monetary policy in Asia and the Pacific, volume 77, pages 35-50, Bank for International Settlements.
- Doron Avramov & Si Cheng & Lior Metzker & Stefan Voigt, 2023. "Integrating Factor Models," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 78(3), pages 1593-1646, June.
- Davide Pettenuzzo & Francesco Ravazzolo, 2016.
"Optimal Portfolio Choice Under Decision‐Based Model Combinations,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 31(7), pages 1312-1332, November.
- Davide Pettenuzzo & Francesco Ravazzolo, 2014. "Optimal Portfolio Choice under Decision-Based Model Combinations," Working Papers 80, Brandeis University, Department of Economics and International Business School.
- Davide Pettenuzzo & Francesco Ravazzolo, 2014. "Optimal portfolio choice under decision-based model combinations," Working Paper 2014/15, Norges Bank.
- Hautsch, Nikolaus & Voigt, Stefan, 2017. "Large-Scale Portfolio Allocation Under Transaction Costs and Model Uncertainty: Adaptive Mixing of High- and Low-Frequency Information," VfS Annual Conference 2017 (Vienna): Alternative Structures for Money and Banking 168222, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
- Richard K. Crump & Domenico Giannone & Sean Hundtofte, 2018.
"Changing Risk-Return Profiles,"
Liberty Street Economics
20181004, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
- Richard K. Crump & Miro Everaert & Domenico Giannone & Sean Hundtofte, 2018. "Changing Risk-Return Profiles," Staff Reports 850, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
- Qian, Wei & Rolling, Craig A. & Cheng, Gang & Yang, Yuhong, 2022. "Combining forecasts for universally optimal performance," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 38(1), pages 193-208.
- Pettenuzzo, Davide & Timmermann, Allan & Valkanov, Rossen, 2016. "A MIDAS approach to modeling first and second moment dynamics," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 193(2), pages 315-334.
- Čapek, Jan & Crespo Cuaresma, Jesús & Hauzenberger, Niko & Reichel, Vlastimil, 2023.
"Macroeconomic forecasting in the euro area using predictive combinations of DSGE models,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 39(4), pages 1820-1838.
- Capek, Jan & Crespo Cuaresma, Jesus & Hauzenberger, Niko & Reichel, Vlastimil, 2020. "Macroeconomic forecasting in the euro area using predictive combinations of DSGE models," Department of Economics Working Paper Series 305, WU Vienna University of Economics and Business.
- Jan Capek & Jesus Crespo Cuaresma & Niko Hauzenberger & Vlastimil Reichel, 2020. "Macroeconomic forecasting in the euro area using predictive combinations of DSGE models," Department of Economics Working Papers wuwp305, Vienna University of Economics and Business, Department of Economics.
- Mengheng Li & Siem Jan Koopman, 2021. "Unobserved components with stochastic volatility: Simulation‐based estimation and signal extraction," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 36(5), pages 614-627, August.
- Ruben Loaiza‐Maya & Gael M. Martin & David T. Frazier, 2021.
"Focused Bayesian prediction,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 36(5), pages 517-543, August.
- Ruben Loaiza-Maya & Gael M. Martin & David T. Frazier, 2019. "Focused Bayesian Prediction," Papers 1912.12571, arXiv.org, revised Aug 2020.
- Ruben Loaiza-Maya & Gael M Martin & David T. Frazier, 2020. "Focused Bayesian Prediction," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers 1/20, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics.
- Miranda-Agrippino, Silvia & Ricco, Giovanni, 2018.
"Bayesian Vector Autoregressions,"
The Warwick Economics Research Paper Series (TWERPS)
1159, University of Warwick, Department of Economics.
- Miranda-Agrippino, Silvia & Ricco, Giovanni, 2018. "Bayesian vector autoregressions," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 87393, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
- Silvia Miranda Agrippino & Giovanni Ricco, 2018. "Bayesian vector autoregressions," SciencePo Working papers Main hal-03458277, HAL.
- Silvia Miranda Agrippino & Giovanni Ricco, 2018. "Bayesian vector autoregressions," Working Papers hal-03458277, HAL.
- Miranda-Agrippino, Silvia & Ricco, Giovanni, 2018. "Bayesian vector autoregressions," Bank of England working papers 756, Bank of England.
- Silvia Miranda-Agrippino & Giovanni Ricco, 2018. "Bayesian vector autoregressions," Documents de Travail de l'OFCE 2018-18, Observatoire Francais des Conjonctures Economiques (OFCE).
- Silvia Miranda-Agrippino & Giovanni Ricco, 2018. "Bayesian Vector Autoregressions," Discussion Papers 1808, Centre for Macroeconomics (CFM).
- Antonio Gargano & Davide Pettenuzzo & Allan Timmermann, 2019.
"Bond Return Predictability: Economic Value and Links to the Macroeconomy,"
Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 65(2), pages 508-540, February.
- Davide Pettenuzzo & Antonio Gargano & Allan Timmermann, 2014. "Bond Return Predictability: Economic Value and Links to the Macroeconomy," Working Papers 75, Brandeis University, Department of Economics and International Business School.
- Timmermann, Allan & Pettenuzzo, Davide & Gargano, Antonio, 2014. "Bond Return Predictability: Economic Value and Links to the Macroeconomy," CEPR Discussion Papers 10104, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Davide Pettenuzzo & Antonio Gargano & Allan Timmermann, 2014. "Bond Return Predictability: Economic Value and Links to the Macroeconomy," Working Papers 75R, Brandeis University, Department of Economics and International Business School, revised Jul 2016.
- Li, Bing & Pei, Pei & Tan, Fei, 2021. "Financial distress and fiscal inflation," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 70(C).
- Kenichiro McAlinn & Knut Are Aastveit & Jouchi Nakajima & Mike West, 2020.
"Multivariate Bayesian Predictive Synthesis in Macroeconomic Forecasting,"
Journal of the American Statistical Association, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 115(531), pages 1092-1110, July.
- Kenichiro McAlinn & Knut Are Aastveit & Jouchi Nakajima & Mike West, 2019. "Multivariate Bayesian Predictive Synthesis in Macroeconomic Forecasting," Working Paper 2019/2, Norges Bank.
- Conflitti, Cristina & De Mol, Christine & Giannone, Domenico, 2015.
"Optimal combination of survey forecasts,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 31(4), pages 1096-1103.
- Giannone, Domenico & De Mol, Christine & Conflitti, Cristina, 2012. "Optimal Combination of Survey Forecasts," CEPR Discussion Papers 9096, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Cristina Conflitti & Christine De Mol & Domenico Giannone, 2012. "Optimal Combination of Survey Forecasts," Working Papers ECARES ECARES 2012-023, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
- Michael S. O’Doherty & N. E. Savin & Ashish Tiwari, 2016. "Evaluating Hedge Funds with Pooled Benchmarks," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 62(1), pages 69-89, January.
- Barbara Rossi, 2019.
"Forecasting in the Presence of Instabilities: How Do We Know Whether Models Predict Well and How to Improve Them,"
Working Papers
1162, Barcelona School of Economics.
- Rossi, Barbara, 2020. "Forecasting in the Presence of Instabilities: How Do We Know Whether Models Predict Well and How to Improve Them," CEPR Discussion Papers 14472, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Barbara Rossi, 2019. "Forecasting in the presence of instabilities: How do we know whether models predict well and how to improve them," Economics Working Papers 1711, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra, revised Jul 2021.
- Guofu Zhou, 2018. "Measuring Investor Sentiment," Annual Review of Financial Economics, Annual Reviews, vol. 10(1), pages 239-259, November.
- Gianni Amisano & John Geweke, 2017.
"Prediction Using Several Macroeconomic Models,"
The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 99(5), pages 912-925, December.
- Amisano, Gianni & Geweke, John, 2013. "Prediction using several macroeconomic models," Working Paper Series 1537, European Central Bank.
- Chen, Yi-Ting & Liu, Chu-An, 2023.
"Model averaging for asymptotically optimal combined forecasts,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 235(2), pages 592-607.
- Yi-Ting Chen & Chu-An Liu, 2021. "Model Averaging for Asymptotically Optimal Combined Forecasts," IEAS Working Paper : academic research 21-A002, Institute of Economics, Academia Sinica, Taipei, Taiwan.
- Ferrara, Laurent & Mogliani, Matteo & Sahuc, Jean-Guillaume, 2022.
"High-frequency monitoring of growth at risk,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 38(2), pages 582-595.
- Laurent Ferrara & Matteo Mogliani & Jean-Guillaume Sahuc, 2020. "High-frequency monitoring of growth-at-risk," CAMA Working Papers 2020-97, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Jean-Guillaume Sahuc & Matteo Mogliani & Laurent Ferrara, 2022. "High-frequency monitoring of growth at risk," Post-Print hal-03361425, HAL.
- Carlos Carvalho & Jared D. Fisher & Davide Pettenuzzo, 2018. "Optimal Asset Allocation with Multivariate Bayesian Dynamic Linear Models," Working Papers 123, Brandeis University, Department of Economics and International Business School.
- Del Negro, Marco & Hasegawa, Raiden B. & Schorfheide, Frank, 2016.
"Dynamic prediction pools: An investigation of financial frictions and forecasting performance,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 192(2), pages 391-405.
- Marco Del Negro & Raiden B. Hasegawa & Frank Schorfheide, 2014. "Dynamic Prediction Pools: An Investigation of Financial Frictions and Forecasting Performance," NBER Working Papers 20575, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Marco Del Negro & Raiden B. Hasegawa & Frank Schorfheide, 2014. "Dynamic Prediction Pools: An Investigation of Financial Frictions and Forecasting Performance," PIER Working Paper Archive 14-034, Penn Institute for Economic Research, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania.
- Marco Del Negro & Raiden B. Hasegawa & Frank Schorfheide, 2014. "Dynamic prediction pools: an investigation of financial frictions and forecasting performance," Staff Reports 695, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
- Guérin, Pierre & Leiva-Leon, Danilo, 2017.
"Model averaging in Markov-switching models: Predicting national recessions with regional data,"
Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 157(C), pages 45-49.
- Guérin, Pierre & Leiva-Leon, Danilo, 2014. "Model Averaging in Markov-Switching Models: Predicting National Recessions with Regional Data," MPRA Paper 59361, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Pierre Guérin & Danilo Leiva-Leon, 2017. "Model averaging in markov-switching models: predicting national recessions with regional data," Working Papers 1727, Banco de España.
- Pierre Guérin & Danilo Leiva-Leon, 2015. "Model Averaging in Markov-Switching Models: Predicting National Recessions with Regional Data," Staff Working Papers 15-24, Bank of Canada.
- repec:spo:wpmain:info:hdl:2441/27od5pb99881folvtfs8s3k16l is not listed on IDEAS
- Mogliani, Matteo & Simoni, Anna, 2021.
"Bayesian MIDAS penalized regressions: Estimation, selection, and prediction,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 222(1), pages 833-860.
- Matteo Mogliani & Anna Simoni, 2019. "Bayesian MIDAS Penalized Regressions: Estimation, Selection, and Prediction," Papers 1903.08025, arXiv.org, revised Jun 2020.
- Matteo Mogliani & Anna Simoni, 2020. "Bayesian MIDAS penalized regressions: Estimation, selection, and prediction," Post-Print hal-03089878, HAL.
- Matteo Mogliani, 2019. "Bayesian MIDAS penalized regressions: estimation, selection, and prediction," Working papers 713, Banque de France.
- Knüppel, Malte & Krüger, Fabian, 2017.
"Forecast Uncertainty, Disagreement, and Linear Pools of Density Forecasts,"
VfS Annual Conference 2017 (Vienna): Alternative Structures for Money and Banking
168294, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
- Knüppel, Malte & Krüger, Fabian, 2019. "Forecast uncertainty, disagreement, and the linear pool," Discussion Papers 28/2019, Deutsche Bundesbank.
- Cheng, Xu & Hansen, Bruce E., 2015.
"Forecasting with factor-augmented regression: A frequentist model averaging approach,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 186(2), pages 280-293.
- Xu Cheng & Bruce E. Hansen, 2012. "Forecasting with Factor-Augmented Regression: A Frequentist Model Averaging Approach," PIER Working Paper Archive 12-046, Penn Institute for Economic Research, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania.
- Tsionas, Mike G., 2021. "Bayesian forecasting with the structural damped trend model," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 234(C).
- Fabian Krüger & Todd E. Clark & Francesco Ravazzolo, 2017.
"Using Entropic Tilting to Combine BVAR Forecasts With External Nowcasts,"
Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 35(3), pages 470-485, July.
- Fabian Kr ger & Todd E. Clark & Francesco Ravazzolo, 2015. "Using Entropic Tilting to Combine BVAR Forecasts with External Nowcasts," Working Papers No 8/2015, Centre for Applied Macro- and Petroleum economics (CAMP), BI Norwegian Business School.
- Krüger, Fabian & Clark, Todd E. & Ravazzolo, Francesco, 2015. "Using Entropic Tilting to Combine BVAR Forecasts with External Nowcasts," VfS Annual Conference 2015 (Muenster): Economic Development - Theory and Policy 113077, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
- Todd E. Clark & Fabian Krueger & Francesco Ravazzolo, 2015. "Using Entropic Tilting to Combine BVAR Forecasts with External Nowcasts," Working Papers (Old Series) 1439, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
- Timmermann, Allan, 2018. "Forecasting Methods in Finance," CEPR Discussion Papers 12692, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Chin, Kuo-Hsuan & Li, Xue, 2019. "Bayesian forecast combination in VAR-DSGE models," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 278-298.
- Wang, Shengjie & Kang, Yanfei & Petropoulos, Fotios, 2024. "Combining probabilistic forecasts of intermittent demand," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 315(3), pages 1038-1048.
- Paolo Gorgi, 2020. "Beta–negative binomial auto‐regressions for modelling integer‐valued time series with extreme observations," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 82(5), pages 1325-1347, December.
- Martin, Gael M. & Frazier, David T. & Maneesoonthorn, Worapree & Loaiza-Maya, Rubén & Huber, Florian & Koop, Gary & Maheu, John & Nibbering, Didier & Panagiotelis, Anastasios, 2024.
"Bayesian forecasting in economics and finance: A modern review,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 40(2), pages 811-839.
- Gael M. Martin & David T. Frazier & Worapree Maneesoonthorn & Ruben Loaiza-Maya & Florian Huber & Gary Koop & John Maheu & Didier Nibbering & Anastasios Panagiotelis, 2022. "Bayesian Forecasting in Economics and Finance: A Modern Review," Papers 2212.03471, arXiv.org, revised Jul 2023.
- Fernández-Villaverde, J. & Rubio-RamÃrez, J.F. & Schorfheide, F., 2016.
"Solution and Estimation Methods for DSGE Models,"
Handbook of Macroeconomics, in: J. B. Taylor & Harald Uhlig (ed.), Handbook of Macroeconomics, edition 1, volume 2, chapter 0, pages 527-724,
Elsevier.
- Jesus Fernandez-Villaverde & Juan Rubio-RamÃrez & Frank Schorfheide, 2015. "Solution and Estimation Methods for DSGE Models," PIER Working Paper Archive 15-042, Penn Institute for Economic Research, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania, revised 09 Dec 2015.
- Jesús Fernández-Villaverde & Juan F. Rubio Ramírez & Frank Schorfheide, 2016. "Solution and Estimation Methods for DSGE Models," NBER Working Papers 21862, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Rubio-RamÃrez, Juan Francisco & Schorfheide, Frank & Fernández-Villaverde, Jesús, 2015. "Solution and Estimation Methods for DSGE Models," CEPR Discussion Papers 11032, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Stanislav Anatolyev & Renat Khabibullin & Artem Prokhorov, 2012.
"Reconstructing high dimensional dynamic distributions from distributions of lower dimension,"
Working Papers
12003, Concordia University, Department of Economics.
- Stanislav Anatolyev & Renat Khabibullin & Artem Prokhorov, 2013. "Reconstructing high dimensional dynamic distributions from distributions of lower dimension," Working Papers w0167, New Economic School (NES).
- Stanislav Anatolyev & Renat Khabibullin & Artem Prokhorov, 2013. "Reconstructing high dimensional dynamic distributions from distributions of lower dimension," Working Papers w0167, Center for Economic and Financial Research (CEFIR).
- Rui Liu, 2019. "Forecasting Bond Risk Premia with Unspanned Macroeconomic Information," Quarterly Journal of Finance (QJF), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 9(01), pages 1-62, March.
- Knut Are Aastveit & Jamie L. Cross & Herman K. van Dijk, 2023.
"Quantifying Time-Varying Forecast Uncertainty and Risk for the Real Price of Oil,"
Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 41(2), pages 523-537, April.
- Knut Are Aastveit & Jamie L. Cross & Herman K. van Dijk, 2021. "Quantifying time-varying forecast uncertainty and risk for the real price of oil," Working Paper 2021/3, Norges Bank.
- Knut Are Aastveit & Jamie Cross & Herman K. van Dijk, 2021. "Quantifying time-varying forecast uncertainty and risk for the real price of oil," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 21-053/III, Tinbergen Institute.
- Knut Are Aastveit & Jamie Cross & Herman K. Djik, 2021. "Quantifying time-varying forecast uncertainty and risk for the real price of oil," Working Papers No 03/2021, Centre for Applied Macro- and Petroleum economics (CAMP), BI Norwegian Business School.
- Gael M. Martin & David T. Frazier & Ruben Loaiza-Maya & Florian Huber & Gary Koop & John Maheu & Didier Nibbering & Anastasios Panagiotelis, 2023. "Bayesian Forecasting in the 21st Century: A Modern Review," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers 1/23, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics.
- Cantore, Cristiano & Levine, Paul & Pearlman, Joseph & Yang, Bo, 2015.
"CES technology and business cycle fluctuations,"
Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 133-151.
- Cristiano Cantore & Paul Levine & Joseph Pearlman & Bo Yang, 2014. "CES Technology and Business Cycle Fluctuations," School of Economics Discussion Papers 0414, School of Economics, University of Surrey.
- Joshua C. C. Chan & Eric Eisenstat & Chenghan Hou & Gary Koop, 2020.
"Composite likelihood methods for large Bayesian VARs with stochastic volatility,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 35(6), pages 692-711, September.
- Joshua C.C. Chan & Eric Eisenstat & Chenghan Hou & Gary Koop, 2018. "Composite Likelihood Methods for Large Bayesian VARs with Stochastic Volatility," Working Paper Series 44, Economics Discipline Group, UTS Business School, University of Technology, Sydney.
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