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Econometric Implications of the Rational Expectations Hypothesis

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Cited by:

  1. Hansen, Lars Peter, 2013. "Uncertainty Outside and Inside Economic Models," Nobel Prize in Economics documents 2013-7, Nobel Prize Committee.
  2. Lui, Silvia & Mitchell, James & Weale, Martin, 2011. "The utility of expectational data: Firm-level evidence using matched qualitative-quantitative UK surveys," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 27(4), pages 1128-1146, October.
  3. Bernard Walliser, 1982. "Equilibres et anticipations," Revue Économique, Programme National Persée, vol. 33(4), pages 594-638.
  4. Driskill, Robert A. & Sheffrin, Steven M., 1982. "Some Evidence In Favor Of A Monetary Model Of Exchange Rate Determination," 1982 Annual Meeting, August 1-4, Logan, Utah 279142, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
  5. Burton, Diana M. & Love, H. Alan, 1996. "A Review of Alternative Expectations Regimes in Commodity Markets: Specification, Estimation, and Hypothesis Testing Using Structural Models," Agricultural and Resource Economics Review, Cambridge University Press, vol. 25(2), pages 213-231, October.
  6. Majid M. Al-Sadoon & Piotr Zwiernik, 2019. "The Identification Problem for Linear Rational Expectations Models," Working Papers 1114, Barcelona School of Economics.
  7. Seale, James L., Jr. & Shonkwiler, John Scott, 1987. "Rationality, Price Risk, And Response," Southern Journal of Agricultural Economics, Southern Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 19(1), pages 1-8, July.
  8. Della Corte, Pasquale & Sarno, Lucio & Thornton, Daniel L., 2008. "The expectation hypothesis of the term structure of very short-term rates: Statistical tests and economic value," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 89(1), pages 158-174, July.
  9. Gary Koop & M. Hashem Pesaran & Ron P. Smith, 2013. "On Identification of Bayesian DSGE Models," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 31(3), pages 300-314, July.
  10. McNulty, Mark S., 1985. "Information usage in the formation of price expectations: theory and econometric tests," ISU General Staff Papers 1985010108000013085, Iowa State University, Department of Economics.
  11. Pagoulatos, Emilio & Azzam, Azzeddine & Kitazawa, Motoichiro, 1990. "An Econometric Analysis of the Forward Premium in the International Corn Market," European Review of Agricultural Economics, Oxford University Press and the European Agricultural and Applied Economics Publications Foundation, vol. 17(3), pages 335-347.
  12. Fair, Ray C & Taylor, John B, 1983. "Solution and Maximum Likelihood Estimation of Dynamic Nonlinear Rational Expectations Models," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 51(4), pages 1169-1185, July.
  13. Tilak Abeysinghe & Ananda Jayawickrama, 2013. "A segmented trend model to assess fiscal sustainability: The US experience 1929–2009," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 44(3), pages 1129-1141, June.
  14. Arnade, Carlos & Grigsby, Elaine, 1988. "Foreign Borrowing and Agricultural Trade of Major Latin American Debtors," Staff Reports 278010, United States Department of Agriculture, Economic Research Service.
  15. Peter M. Garber & Robert G. King, 1983. "Deep Structral Excavation? A Critique of Euler Equation Methods," NBER Technical Working Papers 0031, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  16. Bradley, John & Modesto, Leonor & Sosvilla-Rivero, Simon, 1995. "HERMIN : A macroeconometric modelling framework for the EU periphery," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 12(3), pages 221-247, July.
  17. Riccardo Fiorentini, 1991. "Ex ante purchasing power parity: An empirical note," Review of World Economics (Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv), Springer;Institut für Weltwirtschaft (Kiel Institute for the World Economy), vol. 127(2), pages 343-355, June.
  18. Mercado, P Ruben & Kendrick, David A & Amman, Hans, 1998. "Teaching Macroeconomics with GAMS," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 12(2), pages 125-149, October.
  19. Amman, Hans M. & Kendrick, David A., 2003. "Mitigation of the Lucas critique with stochastic control methods," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 27(11), pages 2035-2057.
  20. Miranda, Mario J & Glauber, Joseph W, 1993. "Estimation of Dynamic Nonlinear Rational Expectations Models of Primary Commodity Markets with Private and Government Stockholding," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 75(3), pages 463-470, August.
  21. Ananda Jayawickrama & Tilak Abeysinghe, 2006. "Sustainability of Fiscal Deficits : The US Experience 1929-2004," Governance Working Papers 21924, East Asian Bureau of Economic Research.
  22. Meijdam, A.C. & Plasmans, J.E.J., 1986. "Maximum likelihood estimation of econometric models with rational expectations of current endogenous variables," Other publications TiSEM c54e24f3-d734-4a30-97e4-9, Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management.
  23. Shonkwiler, John Scott & Hinckley, Suzanne, 1985. "A Generalized Supply Response/Factor Demand Model And Its Application To The Feeder Cattle Market," Western Journal of Agricultural Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 10(2), pages 1-9, December.
  24. M Suresh Babu, 2007. "Economic Reforms And Entry Barriers In Indian Manufacturing," Working Papers id:978, eSocialSciences.
  25. Laurence Broze & Ariane Szafarz, 1985. "Solutions des modèles linéaires à anticipations rationnelles," ULB Institutional Repository 2013/679, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
  26. Pesaran, M. Hashem & Smith, Ron P., 2011. "Beyond the DSGE Straitjacket," IZA Discussion Papers 5661, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
  27. Barry A. Goss & S. Gulay Avsar, 2013. "Simultaneity, Forecasting and Profits in London Copper Futures," Australian Economic Papers, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 52(2), pages 79-96, June.
  28. Duo Qin, 2010. "Modelling of the Inflation-Unemployment Tradeoff from the Perspective of the History of Econometrics," Working Papers 661, Queen Mary University of London, School of Economics and Finance.
  29. Buiter, Willem H., 1983. "Real effects of anticipated and unanticipated money : Some problems of estimation and hypothesis testing," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 11(2), pages 207-224.
  30. Palm, F.C. & Nijman, Th., 1984. "Consistent estimation using proxy-variables in models with unobserved variables," Serie Research Memoranda 0012, VU University Amsterdam, Faculty of Economics, Business Administration and Econometrics.
  31. Bonomo, Marco Antonio Cesar & Brito, Ricardo D., 2002. "Regras Monetárias e Dinâmica Macroeconômica no Brasil: Uma Abordagem de Expectativas Racionais," Revista Brasileira de Economia - RBE, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil), vol. 56(4), October.
  32. Kenneth F. Wallis, 1993. "On Macroeconomic Policy and Macroeconometric Models," The Economic Record, The Economic Society of Australia, vol. 69(2), pages 113-130, June.
  33. Joaquin Alfredo-Angel Rubalcaba & José R. Bucheli & Camila Morales, 2024. "Immigration enforcement and labor supply: Hispanic youth in mixed-status families," Journal of Population Economics, Springer;European Society for Population Economics, vol. 37(2), pages 1-38, June.
  34. Shideed, Kamil H. & White, Fred C. & Brannen, Stephen J., 1987. "Alternative Procedures For The Formation Of Price Expectations In Supply Response Analysis: An Application To U.S. Corn Acreage," 1987 Annual Meeting, August 2-5, East Lansing, Michigan 269926, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
  35. Lucio Sarno & Daniel L. Thornton, 2004. "The efficient market hypothesis and identification in structural VARs," Review, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, vol. 86(Jan), pages 49-60.
  36. Luc Anselin, 1988. "Model Validation in Spatial Econometrics: A Review and Evaluation of Alternative Approaches," International Regional Science Review, , vol. 11(3), pages 279-316, December.
  37. Lopez, Rigoberto A. & Munoz, Arnold O., 1986. "An Application of Composite Price Expectations to the Fresh Tomato Market," 1986 Annual Meeting, July 27-30, Reno, Nevada 278112, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
  38. Holt, Matthew T. & Aradhyula, Satheesh V., 1991. "Endogenous Risk in a Rational-Expectation Model of the U.S. Broiler Market: A Multivariate Arch-M Approach," Staff Papers 200538, University of Wisconsin-Madison, Department of Agricultural and Applied Economics.
  39. Zant, Wouter, 1997. "Stabilizing prices in commodity markets: Price bounds versus private stockholding," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 19(3), pages 253-277, June.
  40. William A. Brock & Steven N. Durlauf, 2001. "Discrete Choice with Social Interactions," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 68(2), pages 235-260.
  41. Willem H. Buiter, 1981. "Macroeconometric Modelling for Policy Evaluation and Design," NBER Technical Working Papers 0013, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  42. Ghatak S. & Seale J., 2001. "Rice, Risk and Rationality: Supply Response in West Bengal, India," European Research Studies Journal, European Research Studies Journal, vol. 0(3-4), pages 155-155, July - De.
  43. Torok, Steven John, 1982. "International trade in commodities and labor: the case of the importation of Mexican agricultural labor and fresh market winter tomatoes into the US, 1964-1979," ISU General Staff Papers 198201010800008550, Iowa State University, Department of Economics.
  44. Nerlove, Marc & Fornari, Ilaria, 1998. "Quasi-rational expectations, an alternative to fully rational expectations: An application to US beef cattle supply," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 83(1-2), pages 129-161.
  45. Vogelvang, E., 1981. "A quarterly econometric model for the price formation of coffee on the world market," Serie Research Memoranda 0001, VU University Amsterdam, Faculty of Economics, Business Administration and Econometrics.
  46. K.F. Wallis, 1992. "On Macroeconomic Policy and Macroeconomic Modeling," Economics Discussion / Working Papers 92-04, The University of Western Australia, Department of Economics.
  47. Broze, Laurence & Gourieroux Christian & Szafarz A, 1986. "Reduction and identification of simultaneous equations models with rational expectations," CEPREMAP Working Papers (Couverture Orange) 8601, CEPREMAP.
  48. Duo Qin, 2006. "VAR Modelling Approach and Cowles Commission Heritage," Working Papers 557, Queen Mary University of London, School of Economics and Finance.
  49. Oliner, Stephen D. & Rudebusch, Glenn D. & Sichel, Daniel, 1996. "The Lucas critique revisited assessing the stability of empirical Euler equations for investment," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 70(1), pages 291-316, January.
  50. Roger J. Bowden, 1990. "Predictive Disequilibria and the Short Run Dynamics of Asset Prices," Australian Journal of Management, Australian School of Business, vol. 15(1), pages 65-87, June.
  51. James J. Heckman, 2000. "Causal Parameters and Policy Analysis in Economics: A Twentieth Century Retrospective," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 115(1), pages 45-97.
  52. Frederic S. Mishkin, 1983. "References," NBER Chapters, in: A Rational Expectations Approach to Macroeconometrics: Testing Policy Ineffectiveness and Efficient-Markets Models, pages 159-168, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  53. Thraen, Cameron S., 1982. "Rational Expectations and Agricultural Policy: An Econometric Application to the U.S. Dairy Economy," 1982 Annual Meeting, August 1-4, Logan, Utah 279141, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
  54. Eliasson, Gunnar, 2004. "Ignorant Actors in the Resource Rich World of the Knowledge Based Economy - On Rational Management in an Experimentally Organized Economy (EOE)," Ratio Working Papers 47, The Ratio Institute.
  55. Shonkwiler, J. Scott & Spreen, Thomas H., 1980. "The Rational Expectations Hypothesis: An Empirical Application To The Florida Escarole Market," 1980 Annual Meeting, July 27-30, Urbana-Champaign, Illinois 278478, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
  56. Holt, Matthew T. & Aradhyula, Satheesh V., 1998. "Endogenous risk in rational-expectations commodity models: A multivariate generalized ARCH-M approach," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 5(2), pages 99-129, June.
  57. Pettersson-Lidbom, Per & Dahlberg, Matz, 2003. "An Empirical Approach for Evaluating Soft Budget Constraints," Working Paper Series 2003:28, Uppsala University, Department of Economics.
  58. Roshan Sedhain & S. Shijin, 2023. "Expectations and Stock Market in Nepal," Vision, , vol. 27(5), pages 671-679, November.
  59. Antonovitz, Frances & Green, Richard, 1987. "Discriminating Among Fed Beef Expectations Models Using Non-Nested Testing Procedures," Working Papers 225806, University of California, Davis, Department of Agricultural and Resource Economics.
  60. Jean-Paul Azam, 1982. "L'impact macroéconomique de la politique commerciale en déséquilibre : le rôle des importations de biens intermédiaires," Revue Économique, Programme National Persée, vol. 33(6), pages 1089-1114.
  61. da Silva, J.A.B.B. & Young, T., 1984. "Distortions of Agricultural Incentives: An Analysis of the Effects of Government Policy on the Brazilian Beef and Dairy Sectors," Manchester Discussion Papers in Development Studies 232617, University of Manchester, School of Economics, International Development Centre.
  62. Hui-Kuan Tseng, 1998. "Exchange Rate Variability and Exchange Market Intervention: Spot vs. Forward," International Economic Journal, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 12(2), pages 1-16.
  63. Filippo Altissimo & Alberto Locarno & Stefano Siviero, 2002. "Dealing with forward-looking expectations and policy rules in quantifying the channels of transmission of monetary policy," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 460, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
  64. Gourieroux Christian & Monfort Alain & Renault E, 1985. "Testing unknown linear restrictions on parameter functions," CEPREMAP Working Papers (Couverture Orange) 8516, CEPREMAP.
  65. G.W. Harrison, 1982. "On the Limited-Information Estimation of Rational Expectations Models," Economics Discussion / Working Papers 82-09, The University of Western Australia, Department of Economics.
  66. Michael W. M. Roos & Ulrich Schmidt, 2012. "The Importance of Time‐Series Extrapolation for Macroeconomic Expectations," German Economic Review, Verein für Socialpolitik, vol. 13(2), pages 196-210, May.
  67. Ananda Jayawickrama & Tilak Abeysinghe, 2006. "Sustainability of Fiscal Deficits : The US Experience 1929-2004," Governance Working Papers 21924, East Asian Bureau of Economic Research.
  68. Gilbert, Christopher L., 1990. "The rational expectations hypothesis in models of primary commodity prices," Policy Research Working Paper Series 384, The World Bank.
  69. Flôres Jr., Renato G. & Szafarz, Ariane, 1994. "Agents, Econometricians and the Identification of Rational Expectations Systems," Brazilian Review of Econometrics, Sociedade Brasileira de Econometria - SBE, vol. 14(1), April.
  70. Campos, M. Isabel & Herrera, Julio & Jimenez-Ridruejo, Zenon, 1999. "Censured Exchange Rates in a Discrete Time Target Zones Model: The Spanish Peseta/Deutsche Mark Case," ERSA conference papers ersa99pa183, European Regional Science Association.
  71. Tsai, Grace Yueh-Hsiang, 1989. "A dynamic model of the U.S. cotton market with rational expectations," ISU General Staff Papers 1989010108000012168, Iowa State University, Department of Economics.
  72. Willett, Lois Schertz, 1991. "An Application Of The Rational Expectations Hypothesis In The U.S. Beekeeping Industry," Northeastern Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Northeastern Agricultural and Resource Economics Association, vol. 20(2), pages 1-13, October.
  73. Taremi, Mohammad & Esksndari, Farzad & Bameni Moghadam, Mohammad, 2016. "Identifiability of Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium Models with Covariance Restrictions," Journal of Money and Economy, Monetary and Banking Research Institute, Central Bank of the Islamic Republic of Iran, vol. 11(3), pages 225-243, July.
  74. von Witzke, Harald & Hausner, Ulrich, 1993. "A Public Choice Analysis Of U.S. Producer Price Support In Wheat And Corn: Implications For Agricultural Trade And Policy," Staff Papers 13475, University of Minnesota, Department of Applied Economics.
  75. Garcia, Raúl, 1989. "Combined Tests of The Fisher and Expectation Hypothesis," Brazilian Review of Econometrics, Sociedade Brasileira de Econometria - SBE, vol. 9(1), April.
  76. M. Suresh Babu, 2002. "Economic reforms and entry barriers in Indian manufacturing," Centre for Development Studies, Trivendrum Working Papers 331, Centre for Development Studies, Trivendrum, India.
  77. Hazard, Suzanne & Shonkwiler, J. Scott, 1984. "The Use of Expectations In Agricultural Supply Response," 1984 Annual Meeting, August 5-8, Ithaca, New York 278895, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
  78. Fisher, Brian S., 1983. "Rational Expectations In The Australian Wool Industry," Australian Journal of Agricultural Economics, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society, vol. 27(3), pages 1-9, December.
  79. Lopez, Rigoberto A. & Munoz, Arnold O., 1987. "Supply Response In The Northeastern Fresh Tomato Market," Northeastern Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Northeastern Agricultural and Resource Economics Association, vol. 16(1), pages 1-9, April.
  80. Fei Tan, 2017. "Interpreting rational expectations econometrics via analytic function approach," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 37(2), pages 1182-1190.
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