Unified Inference for Dynamic Quantile Predictive Regression
Author
Abstract
Suggested Citation
Download full text from publisher
References listed on IDEAS
- Ivo Welch & Amit Goyal, 2008.
"A Comprehensive Look at The Empirical Performance of Equity Premium Prediction,"
The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 21(4), pages 1455-1508, July.
- Amit Goyal & Ivo Welch, 2004. "A Comprehensive Look at the Empirical Performance of Equity Premium Prediction," Yale School of Management Working Papers amz2412, Yale School of Management, revised 01 Jan 2006.
- Amit Goyal & Ivo Welch & Athanasse Zafirov, 2021. "A Comprehensive Look at the Empirical Performance of Equity Premium Prediction II," Swiss Finance Institute Research Paper Series 21-85, Swiss Finance Institute.
- Amit Goval & Ivo Welch, 2004. "A Comprehensive Look at the Empirical Performance of Equity Premium Prediction," NBER Working Papers 10483, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Cai, Zongwu & Wang, Yunfei, 2014. "Testing predictive regression models with nonstationary regressors," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 178(P1), pages 4-14.
- Peter C.B. Phillips, 1987. "Multiple Regression with Integrated Time Series," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 852, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University.
- Kasparis, Ioannis & Andreou, Elena & Phillips, Peter C.B., 2015.
"Nonparametric predictive regression,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 185(2), pages 468-494.
- Ioannis Kasparis & Elena Andreou & Peter C. B. Phillips, 2012. "Nonparametric Predictive Regression," University of Cyprus Working Papers in Economics 14-2012, University of Cyprus Department of Economics.
- Andreou, Elena & Kasparis, Ioannis & Phillips, Peter C. B., 2013. "Nonparametric Predictive Regression," CEPR Discussion Papers 9570, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Ioannis Kasparis & Elena Andreou & Peter C.B. Phillips, 2012. "Nonparametric Predictive Regression," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 1878, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University.
- Hosseinkouchack, Mehdi & Demetrescu, Matei, 2021. "Finite-Sample Size Control Of Ivx-Based Tests In Predictive Regressions," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 37(4), pages 769-793, August.
- Fukang Zhu & Zongwu Cai & Liang Peng, 2014. "Predictive regressions for macroeconomic data," Papers 1404.7642, arXiv.org.
- Liudas Giraitis & Peter C. B. Phillips, 2006.
"Uniform Limit Theory for Stationary Autoregression,"
Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 27(1), pages 51-60, January.
- L Giraitis & P C B Phillips, "undated". "Uniform limit theory for stationary autoregression," Discussion Papers 05/23, Department of Economics, University of York.
- Liudas Giraitis & Peter C.B. Phillips, 2004. "Uniform Limit Theory for Stationary Autoregression," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 1475, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University.
- Phillips, P C B, 1987.
"Time Series Regression with a Unit Root,"
Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 55(2), pages 277-301, March.
- Phillips, P.C.B., 1986. "Testing for a Unit Root in Time Series Regression," Cahiers de recherche 8633, Universite de Montreal, Departement de sciences economiques.
- Peter C.B. Phillips & Pierre Perron, 1986. "Testing for a Unit Root in Time Series Regression," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 795R, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University, revised Sep 1987.
- Tom Doan, "undated". "PPUNIT: RATS procedure to perform Phillips-Perron Unit Root test," Statistical Software Components RTS00160, Boston College Department of Economics.
- Romano, Joseph P & Wolf, Michael, 2001.
"Subsampling Intervals in Autoregressive Models with Linear Time Trend,"
Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 69(5), pages 1283-1314, September.
- Romano, Joseph P. & Wolf, Michael, 1999. "Subsampling intervals in autoregressive models with linear time trend," DES - Working Papers. Statistics and Econometrics. WS 6400, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid. Departamento de EstadÃstica.
- Willa W. Chen & Rohit S. Deo & Yanping Yi, 2013. "Uniform Inference in Predictive Regression Models," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 31(4), pages 525-533, October.
- Michael Jansson & Marcelo J. Moreira, 2006.
"Optimal Inference in Regression Models with Nearly Integrated Regressors,"
Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 74(3), pages 681-714, May.
- Michael Jansson & Marcelo J. Moreira, 2004. "Optimal Inference in Regression Models with Nearly Integrated Regressors," Harvard Institute of Economic Research Working Papers 2047, Harvard - Institute of Economic Research.
- Michael Jansson & Marcelo J. Moreira, 2004. "Optimal Inference in Regression Models with Nearly Integrated Regressors," NBER Technical Working Papers 0303, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Xiaohui Liu & Liang Peng, 2019. "Asymptotic Theory and Unified Confidence Region for an Autoregressive Model," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 40(1), pages 43-65, January.
- Willa W. Chen & Rohit S. Deo, 2012. "The restricted likelihood ratio test for autoregressive processes," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 33(2), pages 325-339, March.
- Lee, Ji Hyung, 2016.
"Predictive quantile regression with persistent covariates: IVX-QR approach,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 192(1), pages 105-118.
- Lee, JiHyung, 2015. "Predictive quantile regression with persistent covariates: IVX-QR approach," MPRA Paper 65150, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Phillips, Peter C.B. & Magdalinos, Tassos, 2007.
"Limit theory for moderate deviations from a unit root,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 136(1), pages 115-130, January.
- Peter C.B. Phillips & Tassos Magdalinos, 2004. "Limit Theory for Moderate Deviations from a Unit Root," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 1471, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University.
- Harvey, David I & Leybourne, Stephen J & Taylor, AM Robert, 2023. "Improved Tests for Stock Return Predictability," Essex Finance Centre Working Papers 35133, University of Essex, Essex Business School.
- Chenxue Li & Deyuan Li & Liang Peng, 2017. "Uniform Test for Predictive Regression With AR Errors," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 35(1), pages 29-39, January.
- Tassos Magdalinos & Katerina Petrova, 2022.
"Uniform and distribution-free inference with general autoregressive processes,"
Economics Working Papers
1837, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra.
- Tassos Magdalinos & Katerina Petrova, 2022. "Uniform and Distribution-Free Inference with General Autoregressive Processes," Working Papers 1344, Barcelona School of Economics.
- Liu, Xiaohui & Yang, Bingduo & Cai, Zongwu & Peng, Liang, 2019. "A unified test for predictability of asset returns regardless of properties of predicting variables," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 208(1), pages 141-159.
- Whang, Yoon-Jae, 2006.
"Smoothed Empirical Likelihood Methods For Quantile Regression Models,"
Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 22(2), pages 173-205, April.
- Yoon-Jae Whang, 2003. "Smoothed Empirical Likelihood Methods for Quantile Regression Models," Econometrics 0310005, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Yoon-Jae Whang, 2004. "Smoothed Empirical Likelihood Methods for Quantile Regression Models," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 1453, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University.
- Demetrescu, Matei, 2014. "Enhancing the local power of IVX-based tests in predictive regressions," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 124(2), pages 269-273.
- DeJong, David N & Whiteman, Charles H, 1991. "The Temporal Stability of Dividends and Stock Prices: Evidence from the Likelihood Function," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 81(3), pages 600-617, June.
- Willa W. Chen & Rohit S. Deo, 2009. "The restricted likelihood ratio test at the boundary in autoregressive series," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 30(6), pages 618-630, November.
- Zhao, Quanshui, 2000. "Restricted Regression Quantiles," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 72(1), pages 78-99, January.
- Bingduo Yang & Xiaohui Liu & Liang Peng & Zongwu Cai, 2021. "Unified Tests for a Dynamic Predictive Regression," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 39(3), pages 684-699, July.
- Alex Maynard & Katsumi Shimotsu & Nina Kuriyama, 2023. "Inference in Predictive Quantile Regressions," Papers 2306.00296, arXiv.org, revised May 2024.
- Phillips, P C B, 1987.
"Time Series Regression with a Unit Root,"
Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 55(2), pages 277-301, March.
- Peter C.B. Phillips, 1985. "Time Series Regression with a Unit Root," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 740R, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University, revised Feb 1986.
- Chen, Willa W. & Deo, Rohit S., 2009. "Bias Reduction And Likelihood-Based Almost Exactly Sized Hypothesis Testing In Predictive Regressions Using The Restricted Likelihood," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 25(5), pages 1143-1179, October.
- Alexandros Kostakis & Tassos Magdalinos & Michalis P. Stamatogiannis, 2015. "Robust Econometric Inference for Stock Return Predictability," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 28(5), pages 1506-1553.
- Fan, Rui & Lee, Ji Hyung, 2019. "Predictive quantile regressions under persistence and conditional heteroskedasticity," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 213(1), pages 261-280.
Most related items
These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.- Christis Katsouris, 2023. "Quantile Time Series Regression Models Revisited," Papers 2308.06617, arXiv.org, revised Aug 2023.
- Cai, Zongwu & Chen, Haiqiang & Liao, Xiaosai, 2023. "A new robust inference for predictive quantile regression," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 234(1), pages 227-250.
- Christis Katsouris, 2023. "Structural Break Detection in Quantile Predictive Regression Models with Persistent Covariates," Papers 2302.05193, arXiv.org.
- Christis Katsouris, 2023. "Bootstrapping Nonstationary Autoregressive Processes with Predictive Regression Models," Papers 2307.14463, arXiv.org.
- Zongwu Cai & Haiqiang Chen & Xiaosai Liao, 2020. "A New Robust Inference for Predictive Quantile Regression," WORKING PAPERS SERIES IN THEORETICAL AND APPLIED ECONOMICS 202002, University of Kansas, Department of Economics, revised Feb 2020.
- Christis Katsouris, 2023. "Estimating Conditional Value-at-Risk with Nonstationary Quantile Predictive Regression Models," Papers 2311.08218, arXiv.org, revised Apr 2024.
- Bingduo Yang & Xiaohui Liu & Liang Peng & Zongwu Cai, 2018. "Unified Tests for a Dynamic Predictive Regression," WORKING PAPERS SERIES IN THEORETICAL AND APPLIED ECONOMICS 201808, University of Kansas, Department of Economics, revised Sep 2018.
- Zhan Gao & Ji Hyung Lee & Ziwei Mei & Zhentao Shi, 2024. "Econometric Inference for High Dimensional Predictive Regressions," Papers 2409.10030, arXiv.org, revised Nov 2024.
- Pitarakis, Jean-Yves, 2019. "Predictive Regressions," UC3M Working papers. Economics 28554, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid. Departamento de EconomÃa.
- Christis Katsouris, 2023. "Predictability Tests Robust against Parameter Instability," Papers 2307.15151, arXiv.org.
- Christis Katsouris, 2022. "Asymptotic Theory for Unit Root Moderate Deviations in Quantile Autoregressions and Predictive Regressions," Papers 2204.02073, arXiv.org, revised Aug 2023.
- Rustam Ibragimov & Jihyun Kim & Anton Skrobotov, 2020. "New robust inference for predictive regressions," Papers 2006.01191, arXiv.org, revised Mar 2023.
- Tu, Yundong & Xie, Xinling, 2023. "Penetrating sporadic return predictability," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 237(1).
- Zongwu Cai & Seong Yeon Chang, 2018. "A New Test In A Predictive Regression with Structural Breaks," WORKING PAPERS SERIES IN THEORETICAL AND APPLIED ECONOMICS 201811, University of Kansas, Department of Economics, revised Dec 2018.
- Christis Katsouris, 2023. "Estimation and Inference in Threshold Predictive Regression Models with Locally Explosive Regressors," Papers 2305.00860, arXiv.org, revised May 2023.
- Christis Katsouris, 2024. "Robust Estimation in Network Vector Autoregression with Nonstationary Regressors," Papers 2401.04050, arXiv.org.
- Christis Katsouris, 2023. "Limit Theory under Network Dependence and Nonstationarity," Papers 2308.01418, arXiv.org, revised Aug 2023.
- Liu, Xiaohui & Yang, Bingduo & Cai, Zongwu & Peng, Liang, 2019. "A unified test for predictability of asset returns regardless of properties of predicting variables," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 208(1), pages 141-159.
- Lee, Ji Hyung & Shi, Zhentao & Gao, Zhan, 2022.
"On LASSO for predictive regression,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 229(2), pages 322-349.
- Ji Hyung Lee & Zhentao Shi & Zhan Gao, 2018. "On LASSO for Predictive Regression," Papers 1810.03140, arXiv.org, revised Feb 2021.
- Demetrescu, Matei & Rodrigues, Paulo M.M., 2022.
"Residual-augmented IVX predictive regression,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 227(2), pages 429-460.
- Paulo M.M. Rodrigues & Matei Demetrescu, 2016. "Residual-augmented IVX predictive regression," Working Papers w201605, Banco de Portugal, Economics and Research Department.
More about this item
NEP fields
This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:- NEP-ECM-2023-10-23 (Econometrics)
- NEP-ETS-2023-10-23 (Econometric Time Series)
Statistics
Access and download statisticsCorrections
All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:arx:papers:2309.14160. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.
If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.
If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .
If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.
For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: arXiv administrators (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://arxiv.org/ .
Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.