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The restricted likelihood ratio test at the boundary in autoregressive series

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  • Willa W. Chen
  • Rohit S. Deo

Abstract

. The restricted likelihood ratio test, RLRT, for the autoregressive coefficient in autoregressive models has recently been shown to be second‐order pivotal when the autoregressive coefficient is in the interior of the parameter space and so is very well approximated by the distribution. In this article, the non‐standard asymptotic distribution of the RLRT for the unit root boundary value is obtained and is found to be almost identical to that of the in the right tail. Together, these two results imply that the distribution approximates the RLRT distribution very well even for near unit root series and transitions smoothly to the unit root distribution.

Suggested Citation

  • Willa W. Chen & Rohit S. Deo, 2009. "The restricted likelihood ratio test at the boundary in autoregressive series," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 30(6), pages 618-630, November.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:jtsera:v:30:y:2009:i:6:p:618-630
    DOI: 10.1111/j.1467-9892.2009.00630.x
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Takesi Hayakawa, 1977. "The likelihood ratio criterion and the asymptotic expansion of its distribution," Annals of the Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Springer;The Institute of Statistical Mathematics, vol. 29(1), pages 359-378, December.
    2. Rahman, Shahidur & King, Maxwell L., 1997. "Marginal-likelihood score-based tests of regression disturbances in the presence of nuisance parameters," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 82(1), pages 81-106.
    3. Francke, Marc K. & de Vos, Aart F., 2007. "Marginal likelihood and unit roots," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 137(2), pages 708-728, April.
    4. Gerda Claeskens, 2004. "Restricted likelihood ratio lack‐of‐fit tests using mixed spline models," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 66(4), pages 909-926, November.
    5. Chen, Willa W. & Deo, Rohit S., 2009. "Bias Reduction And Likelihood-Based Almost Exactly Sized Hypothesis Testing In Predictive Regressions Using The Restricted Likelihood," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 25(5), pages 1143-1179, October.
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    Cited by:

    1. Christis Katsouris, 2023. "Unified Inference for Dynamic Quantile Predictive Regression," Papers 2309.14160, arXiv.org, revised Nov 2023.
    2. Peter C.B. Phillips & Ye Chen, "undated". "Restricted Likelihood Ratio Tests in Predictive Regression," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 1968, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University.
    3. Christis Katsouris, 2023. "Quantile Time Series Regression Models Revisited," Papers 2308.06617, arXiv.org, revised Aug 2023.

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