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A Comparative Study of MLR, KNN, ANN and ANFIS Models with Wavelet Transform in Monthly Stream Flow Prediction

Author

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  • Ahmad Khazaee Poul

    (Shahid Beheshti University)

  • Mojtaba Shourian

    (Shahid Beheshti University)

  • Hadi Ebrahimi

    (University of Qom)

Abstract

Reliable and precise prediction of the rivers flow is a major concern in hydrologic and water resources analysis. In this study, multi-linear regression (MLR) as a statistical method, artificial neural network (ANN) and adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS) as non-linear ones and K-nearest neighbors (KNN) as a non-parametric regression method are applied to predict the monthly flow in the St. Clair River between the US and Canada. In the developed methods, six scenarios for input combinations are defined in order to study the effect of different input data on the outcomes. Performances of the models are evaluated using statistical indices as the performance criteria. Results obtained show that adding lag times of flow, temperature and precipitation to the inputs improve the accuracy of the predictions significantly. For a further investigation, the aforementioned models are coupled with wavelet transform. Using the wavelet transform improves the values of Nash-Sutcliff coefficient to 0.907, 0.930, 0.923, and 0.847 from 0.340, 0.404, 0.376 and 0.419 respectively, by coupling it with MLR, ANN, ANFIS, and KNN models.

Suggested Citation

  • Ahmad Khazaee Poul & Mojtaba Shourian & Hadi Ebrahimi, 2019. "A Comparative Study of MLR, KNN, ANN and ANFIS Models with Wavelet Transform in Monthly Stream Flow Prediction," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 33(8), pages 2907-2923, June.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:waterr:v:33:y:2019:i:8:d:10.1007_s11269-019-02273-0
    DOI: 10.1007/s11269-019-02273-0
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    6. Maha Shabbir & Sohail Chand & Farhat Iqbal, 2022. "A Novel Hybrid Method for River Discharge Prediction," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 36(1), pages 253-272, January.
    7. Yun Bai & Nejc Bezak & Klaudija Sapač & Mateja Klun & Jin Zhang, 2019. "Short-Term Streamflow Forecasting Using the Feature-Enhanced Regression Model," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 33(14), pages 4783-4797, November.
    8. Hossien Riahi-Madvar & Majid Dehghani & Rasoul Memarzadeh & Bahram Gharabaghi, 2021. "Short to Long-Term Forecasting of River Flows by Heuristic Optimization Algorithms Hybridized with ANFIS," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 35(4), pages 1149-1166, March.
    9. Fatemeh Bakhshi Ostadkalayeh & Saba Moradi & Ali Asadi & Alireza Moghaddam Nia & Somayeh Taheri, 2023. "Performance Improvement of LSTM-based Deep Learning Model for Streamflow Forecasting Using Kalman Filtering," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 37(8), pages 3111-3127, June.
    10. Ana C. Cebrián & Ricardo Salillas, 2021. "Forecasting High-Frequency River Level Series Using Double Switching Regression with ARMA Errors," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 35(1), pages 299-313, January.
    11. Wen-chuan Wang & Yu-jin Du & Kwok-wing Chau & Dong-mei Xu & Chang-jun Liu & Qiang Ma, 2021. "An Ensemble Hybrid Forecasting Model for Annual Runoff Based on Sample Entropy, Secondary Decomposition, and Long Short-Term Memory Neural Network," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 35(14), pages 4695-4726, November.
    12. M. Rajesh & Sachdeva Anishka & Pansari Satyam Viksit & Srivastav Arohi & S. Rehana, 2023. "Improving Short-range Reservoir Inflow Forecasts with Machine Learning Model Combination," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 37(1), pages 75-90, January.
    13. Wenxin Xu & Jie Chen & Xunchang J. Zhang, 2022. "Scale Effects of the Monthly Streamflow Prediction Using a State-of-the-art Deep Learning Model," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 36(10), pages 3609-3625, August.

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