IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/spr/waterr/v28y2014i13p4857-4873.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Intermittent Streamflow Forecasting and Extreme Event Modelling using Wavelet based Artificial Neural Networks

Author

Listed:
  • Jaydip Makwana
  • Mukesh Tiwari

Abstract

Forecasting of intermittent stream flow is necessary for water resource planning and management at catchment scale. Forecasting of extreme events and events outside the range of training data used for artificial neural network (ANN) model development has been a major bottleneck in their generalization capabilities till date. Despite of several studies using wavelet analysis in water resource modelling, no study has yet been conducted to explore capabilities of hybrid ANN modelling techniques for extreme events outside the training range. In this study a wavelet based ANN model (WANN) is proposed for intermittent streamflow forecasting and extreme event modelling. This study is carried out in a watershed in semi arid middle region of Gujarat, India. 6 years of hydro-climatic data are used in this study. 4 years of data are used for model training, 1 year for cross-validation and remaining 1 year data are used to evaluate the effectiveness of the WANN model. Two different approaches of data arrangement are considered in this study, in one approach testing data are within the range of training dataset, whereas in another approach testing data are outside the training dataset range. Performance of four different training algorithms and different types of wavelet functions are also evaluated for WANN model development. In this study it is found that WANN model performed significantly better than standard ANN models. It is observed in this study that different wavelet functions have different role in modelling complexities of normal and extreme events. WANN model simulated peak values very well and it shows that WANN model has the potential to be applied successfully for intermittent streamflow forecasting even for the data outside the training range and for extreme events. Copyright Springer Science+Business Media Dordrecht 2014

Suggested Citation

  • Jaydip Makwana & Mukesh Tiwari, 2014. "Intermittent Streamflow Forecasting and Extreme Event Modelling using Wavelet based Artificial Neural Networks," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 28(13), pages 4857-4873, October.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:waterr:v:28:y:2014:i:13:p:4857-4873
    DOI: 10.1007/s11269-014-0781-1
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1007/s11269-014-0781-1
    Download Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers.
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1007/s11269-014-0781-1?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Ozgur Kisi, 2011. "Wavelet Regression Model as an Alternative to Neural Networks for River Stage Forecasting," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 25(2), pages 579-600, January.
    2. Hui-cheng Zhou & Yong Peng & Guo-hua Liang, 2008. "The Research of Monthly Discharge Predictor-corrector Model Based on Wavelet Decomposition," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 22(2), pages 217-227, February.
    3. Taymoor Awchi, 2014. "River Discharges Forecasting In Northern Iraq Using Different ANN Techniques," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 28(3), pages 801-814, February.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Sanjeet Kumar & Mukesh Tiwari & Chandranath Chatterjee & Ashok Mishra, 2015. "Reservoir Inflow Forecasting Using Ensemble Models Based on Neural Networks, Wavelet Analysis and Bootstrap Method," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 29(13), pages 4863-4883, October.
    2. Chih-Chiang Wei & Nien-Sheng Hsu & Chien-Lin Huang, 2016. "Rainfall-Runoff Prediction Using Dynamic Typhoon Information and Surface Weather Characteristic Considering Monsoon Effects," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 30(2), pages 877-895, January.
    3. Ahmad Khazaee Poul & Mojtaba Shourian & Hadi Ebrahimi, 2019. "A Comparative Study of MLR, KNN, ANN and ANFIS Models with Wavelet Transform in Monthly Stream Flow Prediction," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 33(8), pages 2907-2923, June.
    4. Anas Mahmood Al-Juboori, 2019. "Generating Monthly Stream Flow Using Nearest River Data: Assessing Different Trees Models," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 33(9), pages 3257-3270, July.
    5. Chih-Chiang Wei & Nien-Sheng Hsu & Chien-Lin Huang, 2016. "Rainfall-Runoff Prediction Using Dynamic Typhoon Information and Surface Weather Characteristic Considering Monsoon Effects," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 30(2), pages 877-895, January.
    6. Xue-hua Zhao & Xu Chen, 2015. "Auto Regressive and Ensemble Empirical Mode Decomposition Hybrid Model for Annual Runoff Forecasting," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 29(8), pages 2913-2926, June.
    7. Jin-Cheng Fu & Hsiao-Yun Huang & Jiun-Huei Jang & Pei-Hsun Huang, 2019. "River Stage Forecasting Using Multiple Additive Regression Trees," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 33(13), pages 4491-4507, October.
    8. Sheng He & Xuefeng Sang & Junxian Yin & Yang Zheng & Heting Chen, 2023. "Short-term Runoff Prediction Optimization Method Based on BGRU-BP and BLSTM-BP Neural Networks," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 37(2), pages 747-768, January.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Vinit Sehgal & Rajeev Sahay & Chandranath Chatterjee, 2014. "Effect of Utilization of Discrete Wavelet Components on Flood Forecasting Performance of Wavelet Based ANFIS Models," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 28(6), pages 1733-1749, April.
    2. A. Agarwal & R. Maheswaran & J Kurths & R. Khosa, 2016. "Wavelet Spectrum and Self-Organizing Maps-Based Approach for Hydrologic Regionalization -a Case Study in the Western United States," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 30(12), pages 4399-4413, September.
    3. Manish Goyal, 2014. "Modeling of Sediment Yield Prediction Using M5 Model Tree Algorithm and Wavelet Regression," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 28(7), pages 1991-2003, May.
    4. Rana Muhammad Adnan & Zhongmin Liang & Xiaohui Yuan & Ozgur Kisi & Muhammad Akhlaq & Binquan Li, 2019. "Comparison of LSSVR, M5RT, NF-GP, and NF-SC Models for Predictions of Hourly Wind Speed and Wind Power Based on Cross-Validation," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(2), pages 1-22, January.
    5. Maryam Shafaei & Ozgur Kisi, 2016. "Lake Level Forecasting Using Wavelet-SVR, Wavelet-ANFIS and Wavelet-ARMA Conjunction Models," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 30(1), pages 79-97, January.
    6. Dimitrios Myronidis & Konstantinos Ioannou & Dimitrios Fotakis & Gerald Dörflinger, 2018. "Streamflow and Hydrological Drought Trend Analysis and Forecasting in Cyprus," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 32(5), pages 1759-1776, March.
    7. Ali Suliman & Milad Jajarmizadeh & Sobri Harun & Intan Mat Darus, 2015. "Comparison of Semi-Distributed, GIS-Based Hydrological Models for the Prediction of Streamflow in a Large Catchment," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 29(9), pages 3095-3110, July.
    8. Mustafa Turan & Mehmet Yurdusev, 2014. "Predicting Monthly River Flows by Genetic Fuzzy Systems," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 28(13), pages 4685-4697, October.
    9. Vahid Nourani & Mehdi Komasi & Akira Mano, 2009. "A Multivariate ANN-Wavelet Approach for Rainfall–Runoff Modeling," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 23(14), pages 2877-2894, November.
    10. Anas Mahmood Al-Juboori, 2021. "A Hybrid Model to Predict Monthly Streamflow Using Neighboring Rivers Annual Flows," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 35(2), pages 729-743, January.
    11. Anas Mahmood Al-Juboori, 2019. "Generating Monthly Stream Flow Using Nearest River Data: Assessing Different Trees Models," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 33(9), pages 3257-3270, July.
    12. Ervin Shan Khai Tiu & Yuk Feng Huang & Jing Lin Ng & Nouar AlDahoul & Ali Najah Ahmed & Ahmed Elshafie, 2022. "An evaluation of various data pre-processing techniques with machine learning models for water level prediction," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 110(1), pages 121-153, January.
    13. Sanjeet Kumar & Mukesh Tiwari & Chandranath Chatterjee & Ashok Mishra, 2015. "Reservoir Inflow Forecasting Using Ensemble Models Based on Neural Networks, Wavelet Analysis and Bootstrap Method," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 29(13), pages 4863-4883, October.
    14. Liang Zhu & Christine Lim & Wenjun Xie & Yuan Wu, 2017. "Analysis of tourism demand serial dependence structure for forecasting," Tourism Economics, , vol. 23(7), pages 1419-1436, November.
    15. Sajjad Abdollahi & Jalil Raeisi & Mohammadreza Khalilianpour & Farshad Ahmadi & Ozgur Kisi, 2017. "Daily Mean Streamflow Prediction in Perennial and Non-Perennial Rivers Using Four Data Driven Techniques," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 31(15), pages 4855-4874, December.
    16. Zaher Mundher Yaseen & Minglei Fu & Chen Wang & Wan Hanna Melini Wan Mohtar & Ravinesh C. Deo & Ahmed El-shafie, 2018. "Application of the Hybrid Artificial Neural Network Coupled with Rolling Mechanism and Grey Model Algorithms for Streamflow Forecasting Over Multiple Time Horizons," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 32(5), pages 1883-1899, March.
    17. Tarate Suryakant Bajirao & Pravendra Kumar & Manish Kumar & Ahmed Elbeltagi & Alban Kuriqi, 2021. "Superiority of Hybrid Soft Computing Models in Daily Suspended Sediment Estimation in Highly Dynamic Rivers," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(2), pages 1-29, January.
    18. Marijana Hadzima-Nyarko & Anamarija Rabi & Marija Šperac, 2014. "Implementation of Artificial Neural Networks in Modeling the Water-Air Temperature Relationship of the River Drava," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 28(5), pages 1379-1394, March.
    19. Thendiyath Roshni & Madan K. Jha & Ravinesh C. Deo & A. Vandana, 2019. "Development and Evaluation of Hybrid Artificial Neural Network Architectures for Modeling Spatio-Temporal Groundwater Fluctuations in a Complex Aquifer System," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 33(7), pages 2381-2397, May.
    20. Muhammad Shoaib & Asaad Y. Shamseldin & Sher Khan & Muhammad Sultan & Fiaz Ahmad & Tahir Sultan & Zakir Hussain Dahri & Irfan Ali, 2019. "Input Selection of Wavelet-Coupled Neural Network Models for Rainfall-Runoff Modelling," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 33(3), pages 955-973, February.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:spr:waterr:v:28:y:2014:i:13:p:4857-4873. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.springer.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.