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Unravelling Land-Use Change Mechanisms at Global and Regional Scales

Author

Listed:
  • T. Brunelle

    (CIRAD, UMR CIRED)

  • P. Dumas

    (CIRAD, UMR CIRED)

  • W. Ben Aoun

    (UMR ECOSYS, INRA, AgroParisTech, Université Paris-Saclay)

  • Benoit Gabrielle

    (UMR ECOSYS, INRA, AgroParisTech, Université Paris-Saclay)

Abstract

Unravelling the dynamics of land-use change is key to assess the environmental and socioeconomic impacts of land-based strategies regarding climate or energy. In this prospect, this paper proposes an analytical decomposition of land-use change resulting from a shock in agricultural demand which takes into account indirect effects from price signals. This analytical equation is numerically estimated using a global model of land-use combining biophysics and economics. While being relatively simple, this model captures the main processes of land-use change: change in the intensive and extensive margins, international trade, change in intermediary demand and possible by-products. At the global scale, our results show that yield losses due to the conversion of marginal land amount approximately to half of yield gains due to fertiliser use. At the regional scale, patterns of yield and area responses are depicted by assessing the potentials for intensification (yield gaps) and extensification (areas of extensive pastures) given the future pathways of agricultural demand.

Suggested Citation

  • T. Brunelle & P. Dumas & W. Ben Aoun & Benoit Gabrielle, 2018. "Unravelling Land-Use Change Mechanisms at Global and Regional Scales," Biophysical Economics and Resource Quality, Springer, vol. 3(3), pages 1-14, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:bioerq:v:3:y:2018:i:3:d:10.1007_s41247-018-0047-2
    DOI: 10.1007/s41247-018-0047-2
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Rémi Prudhomme & Raja Chakir & Anna Lungarska & Thierry Brunelle & Narayanappa Devaraju & Nathalie de Noblet & Pierre-Alain Jayet & Stéphane De Cara & Jean-Christophe Bureau, 2022. "Food, climate and biodiversity: a trilemma of mineral nitrogen use in European agriculture," Review of Agricultural, Food and Environmental Studies, Springer, vol. 103(3), pages 271-299, September.
    2. N. Devaraju & Rémi Prudhomme & Anna Lungarska & Xuhui Wang & Zun Yin & Nathalie de Noblet-Decoudré & Raja R. Chakir & Pierre-Alain Jayet & Thierry Brunelle & Nicolas Viovy & Adriana De Palma & Ricardo, 2022. "How reducing synthetic nitrogen in Europe affects ecosystem carbon and biodiversity: two perspectives of the same policy [Comment la réduction de l'azote synthétique en Europe affecte le carbone et," CIRED Working Papers hal-03763653, HAL.

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