IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/nat/natcom/v15y2024i1d10.1038_s41467-024-47051-8.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Recent autumn sea ice loss in the eastern Arctic enhanced by summer Asian-Pacific Oscillation

Author

Listed:
  • Botao Zhou

    (Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology
    Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology)

  • Ziyi Song

    (Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology
    Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology)

  • Zhicong Yin

    (Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology
    Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology)

  • Xinping Xu

    (Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology
    Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology)

  • Bo Sun

    (Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology
    Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology)

  • Pangchi Hsu

    (Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology
    Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology)

  • Haishan Chen

    (Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology
    Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology)

Abstract

Recent rapid Arctic sea ice loss was documented as combined results from anthropogenic forcing and climate system internal variability. However, the role of internal variability is not well understood. Here, we propose that the Asian-Pacific Oscillation (APO), an intrinsic atmospheric mode featuring out-of-phase variations in upper-tropospheric temperatures between Asia and the North Pacific, is one driver for autumn sea ice variability in the eastern Arctic. The positive summer APO favors warming of the mid-latitude North Atlantic sea surface temperatures. This warming persists to autumn and in turn triggers strong anticyclonic anomalies over the Barents-Kara-Laptev Seas and weak lower-tropospheric cyclonic anomalies over the East Siberian Sea, enhancing moisture transport into the eastern Arctic. Such changes consequently increase lower-tropospheric humidity, downwelling longwave radiation, and surface air temperature in the eastern Arctic, thereby melting sea ice. Hence, a recent tendency of the summer APO towards the positive phase accelerates autumn sea ice loss in the eastern Arctic.

Suggested Citation

  • Botao Zhou & Ziyi Song & Zhicong Yin & Xinping Xu & Bo Sun & Pangchi Hsu & Haishan Chen, 2024. "Recent autumn sea ice loss in the eastern Arctic enhanced by summer Asian-Pacific Oscillation," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 15(1), pages 1-10, December.
  • Handle: RePEc:nat:natcom:v:15:y:2024:i:1:d:10.1038_s41467-024-47051-8
    DOI: 10.1038/s41467-024-47051-8
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-024-47051-8
    File Function: Abstract
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1038/s41467-024-47051-8?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Russell Blackport & James A. Screen, 2020. "Weakened evidence for mid-latitude impacts of Arctic warming," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 10(12), pages 1065-1066, December.
    2. Baek-Min Kim & Seok-Woo Son & Seung-Ki Min & Jee-Hoon Jeong & Seong-Joong Kim & Xiangdong Zhang & Taehyoun Shim & Jin-Ho Yoon, 2014. "Weakening of the stratospheric polar vortex by Arctic sea-ice loss," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 5(1), pages 1-8, December.
    3. Marie-Luise Kapsch & Rune Grand Graversen & Michael Tjernström, 2013. "Springtime atmospheric energy transport and the control of Arctic summer sea-ice extent," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 3(8), pages 744-748, August.
    4. Hugues Goosse & Jennifer E. Kay & Kyle C. Armour & Alejandro Bodas-Salcedo & Helene Chepfer & David Docquier & Alexandra Jonko & Paul J. Kushner & Olivier Lecomte & François Massonnet & Hyo-Seok Park , 2018. "Quantifying climate feedbacks in polar regions," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 9(1), pages 1-13, December.
    5. Tetsu Nakamura & Koji Yamazaki & Tomonori Sato & Jinro Ukita, 2019. "Memory effects of Eurasian land processes cause enhanced cooling in response to sea ice loss," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 10(1), pages 1-8, December.
    6. Qinghua Ding & John M. Wallace & David S. Battisti & Eric J. Steig & Ailie J. E. Gallant & Hyung-Jin Kim & Lei Geng, 2014. "Tropical forcing of the recent rapid Arctic warming in northeastern Canada and Greenland," Nature, Nature, vol. 509(7499), pages 209-212, May.
    7. Judah Cohen & Karl Pfeiffer & Jennifer A. Francis, 2018. "Warm Arctic episodes linked with increased frequency of extreme winter weather in the United States," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 9(1), pages 1-12, December.
    8. Zhongfang Liu & Camille Risi & Francis Codron & Xiaogang He & Christopher J. Poulsen & Zhongwang Wei & Dong Chen & Sha Li & Gabriel J. Bowen, 2021. "Acceleration of western Arctic sea ice loss linked to the Pacific North American pattern," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 12(1), pages 1-9, December.
    9. D. M. Smith & R. Eade & M. B. Andrews & H. Ayres & A. Clark & S. Chripko & C. Deser & N. J. Dunstone & J. García-Serrano & G. Gastineau & L. S. Graff & S. C. Hardiman & B. He & L. Hermanson & T. Jung , 2022. "Robust but weak winter atmospheric circulation response to future Arctic sea ice loss," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 13(1), pages 1-15, December.
    10. James A. Screen & Ian Simmonds, 2010. "The central role of diminishing sea ice in recent Arctic temperature amplification," Nature, Nature, vol. 464(7293), pages 1334-1337, April.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Xiaoting Sun & Qinghua Ding & Shih-Yu Simon Wang & Dániel Topál & Qingquan Li & Christopher Castro & Haiyan Teng & Rui Luo & Yihui Ding, 2022. "Enhanced jet stream waviness induced by suppressed tropical Pacific convection during boreal summer," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 13(1), pages 1-10, December.
    2. D. M. Smith & R. Eade & M. B. Andrews & H. Ayres & A. Clark & S. Chripko & C. Deser & N. J. Dunstone & J. García-Serrano & G. Gastineau & L. S. Graff & S. C. Hardiman & B. He & L. Hermanson & T. Jung , 2022. "Robust but weak winter atmospheric circulation response to future Arctic sea ice loss," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 13(1), pages 1-15, December.
    3. Liangying Zeng & Yao Ha & Chuanfeng Zhao & Haixia Dai & Yimin Zhu & Yijia Hu & Xiaoyu Zhu & Zhiyuan Ding & Yudi Liu & Zhong Zhong, 2024. "Tropical cyclone activity over western North Pacific favors Arctic sea ice increase," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 15(1), pages 1-11, December.
    4. Weiming Ma & Hailong Wang & Gang Chen & L. Ruby Leung & Jian Lu & Philip J. Rasch & Qiang Fu & Ben Kravitz & Yufei Zou & John J. Cassano & Wieslaw Maslowski, 2024. "The role of interdecadal climate oscillations in driving Arctic atmospheric river trends," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 15(1), pages 1-11, December.
    5. Wenyu Zhou & L. Ruby Leung & Shang-Ping Xie & Jian Lu, 2024. "An analytic theory for the degree of Arctic Amplification," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 15(1), pages 1-11, December.
    6. Jennifer A. Francis & Stephen J. Vavrus & Judah Cohen, 2017. "Amplified Arctic warming and mid‐latitude weather: new perspectives on emerging connections," Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Climate Change, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 8(5), September.
    7. Cook, Nikolai & Heyes, Anthony, 2020. "Brain freeze: outdoor cold and indoor cognitive performance," Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, Elsevier, vol. 101(C).
    8. Miao Fang & Xin Li & Hans W. Chen & Deliang Chen, 2022. "Arctic amplification modulated by Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation and greenhouse forcing on multidecadal to century scales," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 13(1), pages 1-8, December.
    9. Lisa Reyes Mason & Bonita B. Sharma & Jayme E. Walters & Christine C. Ekenga, 2020. "Mental Health and Weather Extremes in a Southeastern U.S. City: Exploring Group Differences by Race," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 17(10), pages 1-18, May.
    10. Clifford Chuwah & Twan Noije & Detlef Vuuren & Philippe Sager & Wilco Hazeleger, 2016. "Global and regional climate impacts of future aerosol mitigation in an RCP6.0-like scenario in EC-Earth," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 134(1), pages 1-14, January.
    11. Jill F. Lundell & Brennan Bean & Jürgen Symanzik, 2023. "Let’s talk about the weather: a cluster-based approach to weather forecast accuracy," Computational Statistics, Springer, vol. 38(3), pages 1135-1155, September.
    12. M. S. Sthel & J. G. R. Tostes & J. R. Tavares, 2017. "Sustainable Geometric and Bio-Cultural/Cultural Models of Human Society: The Role of Non-Capitalist Cooperation in Times of Civilizational/Environmental Crisis," Journal of Sustainable Development, Canadian Center of Science and Education, vol. 10(2), pages 1-13, March.
    13. Philippe Goulet Coulombe & Maximilian Gobel, 2020. "Arctic Amplification of Anthropogenic Forcing: A Vector Autoregressive Analysis," Papers 2005.02535, arXiv.org, revised Mar 2021.
    14. Xiaofei Yang & Haopeng Yu & Susan Duncan & Yueying Zhang & Jitender Cheema & Haifeng Liu & J. Benjamin Miller & Jie Zhang & Chun Kit Kwok & Huakun Zhang & Yiliang Ding, 2022. "RNA G-quadruplex structure contributes to cold adaptation in plants," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 13(1), pages 1-9, December.
    15. Lauren Dundes & Madeline Streiff & Zachary Streiff, 2018. "Storm Power, an Icy Tower and Elsa’s Bower: The Winds of Change in Disney’s Frozen," Social Sciences, MDPI, vol. 7(6), pages 1-29, May.
    16. Hasan Sohail & Virpi Kollanus & Pekka Tiittanen & Alexandra Schneider & Timo Lanki, 2020. "Heat, Heatwaves and Cardiorespiratory Hospital Admissions in Helsinki, Finland," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 17(21), pages 1-11, October.
    17. S. B. Cornish & H. L. Johnson & R. D. C. Mallett & J. Dörr & Y. Kostov & A. E. Richards, 2022. "Rise and fall of sea ice production in the Arctic Ocean’s ice factories," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 13(1), pages 1-13, December.
    18. Hua Liao & Chen Zhang & Paul J. Burke & Ru Li & Yi‐Ming Wei, 2023. "Extreme temperatures, mortality, and adaptation: Evidence from the county level in China," Health Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 32(4), pages 953-969, April.
    19. Yu Yueyue & Yang Wenwen & Zhang Lingli & Guan Zhaoyong & Yang Qinlan & Hu Muxin & Qiu Wentian & Wang Jingyi, 2023. "Region-dependent meteorological conditions for the winter cold hazards with and without precipitation in China," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 115(3), pages 2673-2698, February.
    20. Elizabeth Kopits & Alex L. Marten & Ann Wolverton, 2013. "Moving Forward with Incorporating "Catastrophic" Climate Change into Policy Analysis," NCEE Working Paper Series 201301, National Center for Environmental Economics, U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, revised Jan 2013.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:nat:natcom:v:15:y:2024:i:1:d:10.1038_s41467-024-47051-8. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.nature.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.