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Enhanced jet stream waviness induced by suppressed tropical Pacific convection during boreal summer

Author

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  • Xiaoting Sun

    (Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology
    Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences
    University of California
    Laboratory for Climate Studies, National Climate Center, China Meteorological Administration)

  • Qinghua Ding

    (University of California)

  • Shih-Yu Simon Wang

    (Utah State University)

  • Dániel Topál

    (University of California
    Eötvös Loránd Research Network
    ELTE Eötvös Loránd University, Doctoral School of Environmental Sciences)

  • Qingquan Li

    (Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology
    Laboratory for Climate Studies, National Climate Center, China Meteorological Administration)

  • Christopher Castro

    (The University of Arizona)

  • Haiyan Teng

    (Pacific Northwest National Laboratory)

  • Rui Luo

    (Deep-Sea Multidisciplinary Research Center, Pilot National Laboratory of Marine Science and Technology (Qingdao)
    Ocean University of China)

  • Yihui Ding

    (Laboratory for Climate Studies, National Climate Center, China Meteorological Administration)

Abstract

Consensus on the cause of recent midlatitude circulation changes toward a wavier manner in the Northern Hemisphere has not been reached, albeit a number of studies collectively suggest that this phenomenon is driven by global warming and associated Arctic amplification. Here, through a fingerprint analysis of various global simulations and a tropical heating-imposed experiment, we suggest that the suppression of tropical convection along the Inter Tropical Convergence Zone induced by sea surface temperature (SST) cooling trends over the tropical Eastern Pacific contributed to the increased summertime midlatitude waviness in the past 40 years through the generation of a Rossby-wave-train propagating within the jet waveguide and the reduced north-south temperature gradient. This perspective indicates less of an influence from the Arctic amplification on the observed mid-latitude wave amplification than what was previously estimated. This study also emphasizes the need to better predict the tropical Pacific SST variability in order to project the summer jet waviness and consequent weather extremes.

Suggested Citation

  • Xiaoting Sun & Qinghua Ding & Shih-Yu Simon Wang & Dániel Topál & Qingquan Li & Christopher Castro & Haiyan Teng & Rui Luo & Yihui Ding, 2022. "Enhanced jet stream waviness induced by suppressed tropical Pacific convection during boreal summer," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 13(1), pages 1-10, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:nat:natcom:v:13:y:2022:i:1:d:10.1038_s41467-022-28911-7
    DOI: 10.1038/s41467-022-28911-7
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    1. Rachel H. White & Sam Anderson & James F. Booth & Ginni Braich & Christina Draeger & Cuiyi Fei & Christopher D. G. Harley & Sarah B. Henderson & Matthias Jakob & Carie-Ann Lau & Lualawi Mareshet Admas, 2023. "The unprecedented Pacific Northwest heatwave of June 2021," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 14(1), pages 1-20, December.
    2. Efi Rousi & Kai Kornhuber & Goratz Beobide-Arsuaga & Fei Luo & Dim Coumou, 2022. "Accelerated western European heatwave trends linked to more-persistent double jets over Eurasia," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 13(1), pages 1-11, December.
    3. Lifei Lin & Chundi Hu & Bin Wang & Renguang Wu & Zeming Wu & Song Yang & Wenju Cai & Peiliang Li & Xuejun Xiong & Dake Chen, 2024. "Atlantic origin of the increasing Asian westerly jet interannual variability," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 15(1), pages 1-10, December.

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