IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/vrs/quageo/v43y2024i3p47-64n1003.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

The Impact of Circulation Types and their Changing Thermal Properties on the Probability of Days with Snowfall and Rainfall in Poland, 1966–2020

Author

Listed:
  • Łupikasza Ewa B.

    (Institute of Earth Sciences, University of Silesia in Katowice, Katowice, Poland)

  • Małarzewski Łukasz

    (Institute of Earth Sciences, University of Silesia in Katowice, Katowice, Poland)

  • Pham Quoc B.

    (Institute of Earth Sciences, University of Silesia in Katowice, Katowice, Poland)

Abstract

The frequency of snowfall and rainfall is expected to change due to the warming climate. However, trends in liquid and solid phases are not linearly related to air temperature trends. This paper discusses the impact of thermal properties of circulation types (CTs) on the trends in snowy and rainy days in Poland in the period 1966–2020. The visual observations from 42 synoptic stations, which constitute the most-reliable information on precipitation type, were used to identify the precipitation phase. In most CTs, the air temperature increased between 1966–1985 and 2001–2020, but at various rates depending on the type of circulation. Positive tendencies in the thermal properties of CTs contributed to decreasing trends in winter snowfall and increasing trends in winter rainfall. The rate of tendencies in the probability of the precipitation phases depended on the average temperature and the intensity of warming, in particular CTs. In winter, both the snowfall and rainfall tendencies were the strongest for those CTs with average air temperatures (ATs) close to the freezing point, particularly when the average had crossed that threshold between the years 1966–1985 and 2001–2020. The most rapid tendencies in winter snowfall and rainfall, and in the spring mixed phase were induced by N and NW air advection under cyclonic conditions, bringing air from the rapidly warming Arctic. No trends in the winter mixed precipitation probability resulted from its various tendencies in particular CTs. The probability of snowfall increased during air advection from the southeastern sector, particularly in winter.

Suggested Citation

  • Łupikasza Ewa B. & Małarzewski Łukasz & Pham Quoc B., 2024. "The Impact of Circulation Types and their Changing Thermal Properties on the Probability of Days with Snowfall and Rainfall in Poland, 1966–2020," Quaestiones Geographicae, Sciendo, vol. 43(3), pages 47-64.
    • Handle: RePEc:vrs:quageo:v:43:y:2024:i:3:p:47-64:n:1003
    DOI: 10.14746/quageo-2024-0025
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://doi.org/10.14746/quageo-2024-0025
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.14746/quageo-2024-0025?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Daniel Scott & Jackie Dawson & Brenda Jones, 2008. "Climate change vulnerability of the US Northeast winter recreation– tourism sector," Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change, Springer, vol. 13(5), pages 577-596, June.
    2. Christoph Marty & Juliette Blanchet, 2012. "Long-term changes in annual maximum snow depth and snowfall in Switzerland based on extreme value statistics," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 111(3), pages 705-721, April.
    3. James A. Screen & Ian Simmonds, 2010. "The central role of diminishing sea ice in recent Arctic temperature amplification," Nature, Nature, vol. 464(7293), pages 1334-1337, April.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Miao Fang & Xin Li & Hans W. Chen & Deliang Chen, 2022. "Arctic amplification modulated by Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation and greenhouse forcing on multidecadal to century scales," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 13(1), pages 1-8, December.
    2. Hongchao Zhang & Jordan W. Smith, 2018. "Weather and Air Quality Drive the Winter Use of Utah’s Big and Little Cottonwood Canyons," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(10), pages 1-12, October.
    3. Elizabeth E. Perry & Erin E. Budzyn, 2024. "Advancing Park Climate Planning Through Scaled Inquiry on Regional and Park-Based Ecosystem Services and Place Attachment," Land, MDPI, vol. 13(12), pages 1-17, December.
    4. Weiming Ma & Hailong Wang & Gang Chen & L. Ruby Leung & Jian Lu & Philip J. Rasch & Qiang Fu & Ben Kravitz & Yufei Zou & John J. Cassano & Wieslaw Maslowski, 2024. "The role of interdecadal climate oscillations in driving Arctic atmospheric river trends," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 15(1), pages 1-11, December.
    5. Steiger Robert & Trawöger Lisa, 2011. "Klimawandel und Wintertourismus – Ein Vulnerabilitätsprofil für die Region Tirol," Zeitschrift für Tourismuswissenschaft, De Gruyter, vol. 3(2), pages 151-164, November.
    6. Trawöger, Lisa, 2014. "Convinced, ambivalent or annoyed: Tyrolean ski tourism stakeholders and their perceptions of climate change," Tourism Management, Elsevier, vol. 40(C), pages 338-351.
    7. Clifford Chuwah & Twan Noije & Detlef Vuuren & Philippe Sager & Wilco Hazeleger, 2016. "Global and regional climate impacts of future aerosol mitigation in an RCP6.0-like scenario in EC-Earth," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 134(1), pages 1-14, January.
    8. Philippe Goulet Coulombe & Maximilian Gobel, 2020. "Arctic Amplification of Anthropogenic Forcing: A Vector Autoregressive Analysis," Papers 2005.02535, arXiv.org, revised Mar 2021.
    9. Mark Kanazawa & Mark T. Kanazawa, 2016. "Local consequences of climate change: State park visitations on the North Shore of Minnesota," Working Papers 2016-03, Carleton College, Department of Economics.
    10. Rutty, Michelle & Scott, Daniel & Johnson, Peter & Pons, Marc & Steiger, Robert & Vilella, Marc, 2017. "Using ski industry response to climatic variability to assess climate change risk: An analogue study in Eastern Canada," Tourism Management, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 196-204.
    11. Hasan Sohail & Virpi Kollanus & Pekka Tiittanen & Alexandra Schneider & Timo Lanki, 2020. "Heat, Heatwaves and Cardiorespiratory Hospital Admissions in Helsinki, Finland," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 17(21), pages 1-11, October.
    12. Jinxin Zhu & Xuerou Weng & Bing Guo & Xueting Zeng & Cong Dong, 2023. "Investigating Extreme Snowfall Changes in China Based on an Ensemble of High-Resolution Regional Climate Models," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(5), pages 1-17, February.
    13. Botao Zhou & Ziyi Song & Zhicong Yin & Xinping Xu & Bo Sun & Pangchi Hsu & Haishan Chen, 2024. "Recent autumn sea ice loss in the eastern Arctic enhanced by summer Asian-Pacific Oscillation," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 15(1), pages 1-10, December.
    14. D. M. Smith & R. Eade & M. B. Andrews & H. Ayres & A. Clark & S. Chripko & C. Deser & N. J. Dunstone & J. García-Serrano & G. Gastineau & L. S. Graff & S. C. Hardiman & B. He & L. Hermanson & T. Jung , 2022. "Robust but weak winter atmospheric circulation response to future Arctic sea ice loss," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 13(1), pages 1-15, December.
    15. Daniel Scott & Robert Steiger & Michelle Rutty & Marc Pons & Peter Johnson, 2020. "Climate Change and Ski Tourism Sustainability: An Integrated Model of the Adaptive Dynamics between Ski Area Operations and Skier Demand," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(24), pages 1-16, December.
    16. Elizabeth Kopits & Alex L. Marten & Ann Wolverton, 2013. "Moving Forward with Incorporating "Catastrophic" Climate Change into Policy Analysis," NCEE Working Paper Series 201301, National Center for Environmental Economics, U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, revised Jan 2013.
    17. Jun Yang & Ruimeng Yang & Jing Sun & Tai Huang & Quansheng Ge, 2017. "The Spatial Differentiation of the Suitability of Ice-Snow Tourist Destinations Based on a Comprehensive Evaluation Model in China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 9(5), pages 1-13, May.
    18. Binhe Luo & Dehai Luo & Aiguo Dai & Cunde Xiao & Ian Simmonds & Edward Hanna & James Overland & Jiaqi Shi & Xiaodan Chen & Yao Yao & Wansuo Duan & Yimin Liu & Qiang Zhang & Xiyan Xu & Yina Diao & Zhin, 2024. "Rapid summer Russian Arctic sea-ice loss enhances the risk of recent Eastern Siberian wildfires," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 15(1), pages 1-17, December.
    19. Weiying Cai & Hui Di & Xingpeng Liu, 2019. "Estimation of the Spatial Suitability of Winter Tourism Destinations Based on Copula Functions," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 16(2), pages 1-18, January.
    20. Xiaoqing Liu & Matthew Huber & Gavin L. Foster & Andrew Dessler & Yi Ge Zhang, 2022. "Persistent high latitude amplification of the Pacific Ocean over the past 10 million years," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 13(1), pages 1-14, December.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:vrs:quageo:v:43:y:2024:i:3:p:47-64:n:1003. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Peter Golla (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.sciendo.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.